for diesel and gasoline, the consumer will not notice these changes, because the market is such a dynamic, uh, dynamic story, when oil is cheaper there, on the contrary, in ukraine, there are changes in the exchange rate of the hryvnia to the euro and the dollar, the currency for which we import , we buy imported oil products. that is why these hryvnias and a half or 2 hryvnias are estimated so far , how much this rate will increase from july 1 at gas stations, the driver may not even notice, that is, as i understand it, everything will depend on how much oil costs on world markets, how much now, for example, when the excise tax is raised , the dollar is sold in exchanges, that is, everything will be balanced, and the retail price will essentially be formed from such components, of course, for another one and a half... months before these changes

are final, and let me remind you that you have not voted yet parliament for these changes. i would emphasize that liquefied gas will now be the subject of events and discussions, possibly in the press and in society, why the price of liquefied gas is too high, because it turns out that gasoline can increase there by 1.5 hryvnias. diesel for uah 2, and liquefied gas immediately for uah 6 hryvnias, this is a precedent and i would like to remind you that liquefied gas is such a social fuel, that is , people who drive on liquefied gas are more economical, they specially converted their cars to use this type of fuel, and this is exactly what is happening with it at the moment the biggest increase, well, this needs to be discussed, whether it is right to go to the cabinet of ministers, why did he

introduce such rates, is it even appropriate to move taxes now during the war, when our economy is already, well, not feeling well, we mostly live off other people's money money, for money, which we are given by our partners abroad, production in ukraine does not work, very little is powerfully working in our country, in order to earn enough money for the functioning of the economy. sir oleksandr, here you also touched on the topic of whether it is necessary to raise the excise tax right now. it is clear that the government needs to look for any opportunities to fill the state budget, but they refer to the so-called european directive, well, as if it is a mandatory document, although i read the opinion of your analyst colleague, analyst serhii kuyuna, who says that this directive is a recommendation, it is not a mandatory implementation, which, they say, ukraine must comply with on the way to european integration. document and

raise fuel taxes? well, here i would take one more step back from these directives of the european union, we are not a member of the european union, and we have such a long way to it, i am not sure that we will be there in ten years, we will at least come close to this membership, well ... objectively, but it turns out that we need to raise some taxes to the level in three years european, and i would like to emphasize that taxes on gasoline, diesel and liquefied gas were taken not least in the european union, the european union is a collection of some more than two dozen european states, which have different taxes on fuel, so for some reason it was chosen for ukraine... , i don’t know who in the cockpit

selected this, but they did not take it from the smallest link, well, we need to understand the logic and whether we are needed, after all, we need to carry out this directive now, of course, and thank you for joining the conversation, it is really an initiative , which you voiced, is still in the parliament, i hope the debate continues, we also hope that oil will fall in price, and it will not beat, at least in the near future. oleksandr sirenko, an analyst at the consulting company naftorynok, was in touch with ukrainian drivers and ukrainian businesses. and i also continue to talk about energy resources. the april export of oil and oil products from russia collapsed, now it has returned to the level recorded at the end of last year. and all, experts say, because of ukrainian drone attacks and the planned reduction production by refia. this essentially puts pressure on the kremlin's revenues, analysts said. agency

bloomberg, so last month refia exported a total of almost 7.5 million barrels per day, which is less than at the beginning of spring, however, the increase in oil prices on... the world market partially compensated for russia's losses from the decrease in exports, well, as we talked with the expert, excise taxes will also rise, but what will happen to oil, the price of oil, what will happen to the dollar exchange rate, it is unknown, all this is a moving price, also a moving price on russian oil, but the only thing that pleases me is that the export of bloody barrels from the aggressor country is falling rapidly, this was the last information from the world of money, i say goodbye. look at us, good evening, vasyl, congratulations, dear viewers of the espresso channel, the sports section will really start in a moment, and we will start with the most interesting. so,

the winner of the ukrainian football cup will be decided today. at this moment, the match is in progress. in rivne, the final, where poltava vorskla and donetsk shakhtar meet. just before the start of the sports section, shakhtar donetsk opened score, so it's currently 1-0 in favor of the miners. danilo sikan, the forward of donetsk, scored a goal in the 39th minute. shakhtar, he noted, is playing this match already in the status of the country's champion. today, in case of victory, the miners can complete a golden double, and at the moment, donetsk residents have won 13 trophies, we are talking about the cup of ukraine. vorska is trying to repeat its achievement of 2009, when mykola pavlov's team beat mircha lucescu's shakhtar donetsk in the final of the ukrainian cup. this is, of course , a big event for the people of vorskla, and a lot of people talked about it before with this match, so it would be great to repeat this

success. it is interesting that serhii dolganskyi played in goal for vorsk then, and now he coaches vorsklian. and i would also like to add that shakhtar pro... will play this match without its leader, midfielder georgy sudakov, the head coach of the ukrainian national team serhiy rebrov announced that he suffered, that is, sudakov was injured, of course we wish georgy health, because already very, very important matches await the national team of ukraine soon. today's match, the final of the cup of ukraine, was called a match of gratitude to the defense forces of ukraine, because it is precisely thanks to our soldiers that it is possible in principle. holding such games, and this should be remembered, the first half will end soon and there will be a break, if anything changes, vasyl and i will let you know, and we will continue our issue with other news, the star time of artem dovbyk, the forward of the national team

of ukraine and catalan girona, contends for the title of the best player of the season in the spanish la liga, the nomination includes, in particular , the nearest main... competitor of dovbek in the scoring race, jude bellingham from real madrid and teammate of the ukrainian aleesh garcía. dovbyk is holding his debut championship in spain, he moved to gerona last summer from dnipro-1 and artem is the top scorer of his team, and he is currently leading the rating of la liga scorers with 20 goals scored. way to already. at the age of 41, the anthem of the champions league will be heard in birmingham next autumn, astonville have guaranteed themselves early participation in the most prestigious european club tournament. unai emery's team took fourth place in english premier league. and villa's main competitor

, tottenham, lost to manchester city 0:2 yesterday and is now five points behind aston villa for the tour until the end of the championship. aston villa will play in the main euro. which tournament for the first time since the 1982-1983 season, then birmingham took part in the champions cup as the winners of the preliminary draw of the tournament. this season , the unameri team played in the conference league, performed quite successfully, but in the semi-finals aston villa lost, unexpectedly lost to the greek olympiakos. fifa planned carrying out. the first ever women 's club world championship, this was reported on the official website of the organization, the tournament was announced back in 2021, then it was about the basic principles, so to speak, according to which the championship will be held, and now it is known that

16 will take part in the first draw clubs, the allocation of quotas between continental federations has not yet been approved by fifa, the debut tournament is scheduled for january-february 2020. from the sixth year onwards, the championship will be played once every four years. this is the end of the sports column. i still i will remind you that at this moment. the final match of the football cup of ukraine is taking place, where shakhtar donetsk and poltava vorska meet, and currently the freshly minted champions of ukraine, shakhtar are ahead, with a score of 1:0 at the end of the first half , danylo sika scored a goal for poltava. i wish you a quiet, pleasant evening, stay with espresso, vasyl zima will continue the big broadcast. thanks to yevhen pastukhov, and i want this

football final to take place under the slogan of gratitude to the armed forces of ukraine, because it is thanks to the defense forces, in general, in particular armed forces of ukraine, and it is possible to hold the final in the rivne cup of ukraine. therefore, let's support our troops, therefore, the soldiers asked us, and we ask you to join the collection for the repair of heavy armored vehicles in the combat zone in solodarsk and zaporizhzhya in... directions, the repair and restoration regiment works mainly on the contact line or in the gray zone, well, in fact, constantly in the zone of mortal danger in the open air in any weather day and night, so for emergency recovery and return to the field battle damaged military equipment, everyone understands that the equipment is often damaged by enemies and other conditions of war, so it must be repaired, these are bmp tanks, armored personnel carriers, and for that you need a minibus to transport them to... combat operations mobile, and mobile repair teams and equipment

to carry out this repair, well , people should not run through the fields, of course, it should be done quickly and efficiently, as well as pneumatic hydraulic jacks for the prompt repair of foreign equipment, our goal is 630 uah. let's you report, and i'll do it for now i will invite you to a conversation, and you will inform even more actively, natalko didenko with the weather forecast. ms. natalya, i congratulate you, sometimes i also get confused. welcome everyone of course, and we will talk about the weather that is expected for the next day and not only, as always, about the weather, literally in a second, hello everyone, we are talking about the weather and all kinds of weather-related things, and today we will talk about the topic... which i , to be honest, i don't really like, about folk signs, but they are so popular, and

people are so often interested in them and mention them, that how can i pass this one, well, really, well, at least a romantic theme, let's say so, well , what i looked at specifically for the month of may, as soon as the nightingale started singing, you should expect a cooling down for two weeks, well , it seems that he sang very actively for two weeks. if the nightingale sings all night without a break on a beautiful sunny day, well, if it is someone without sleep or a lack of melatonin, then you can definitely determine whether this omen of hers will come true. well, it is more interesting, if the beginning of may is warm, then the end of the month will be cold and vice versa. well, since we had it's cold, then let's hope that it will be warm, and we will definitely check it together. flies, ants, spiders or bees, if detected. great activity, the weather will be comfortable, after a dry may, this is such an interesting

sign, a dry june is coming, and if there is a lot of rain in may, and it often does, by the way, then there will be few in september as well, and if it smells juicy guys, rain is expected soon, the mint is growing nicely right now, it is flourishing, and i think that many of you have already bought it or stocked up and are drying it, for example, i dry in the kitchen, or you can freeze. drying for tea is a wonderful thing, well, we are moving from such fragrant mints to the upper atmosphere and will now talk with you about magnetic storms, about geoactive ee geomagnetic, geomagnetic activity of the earth, i'm sorry, ee diagram is prognostic for your attention, you see , that there will be some small fluctuations tomorrow, very little activation at the beginning of the day and at the end of the day, but... nothing serious, nothing threatening, neither to the radar systems, nor to the well-being, i hope, so we just

let's calmly switch to e-weather and see what tomorrow will be like in the synoptic situation in each region of ukraine, and traditionally we start from the western regions, now we will look together at the map, at the air temperature, at all kinds of numbers, so tomorrow the air temperature will fluctuate in the west from 16 to 19° of heat, more traditionally, it will be traditionally warmer in transcarpathia until 22 and here is another interesting fact that tomorrow in ternopil oblast and khmelnytskyi oblast, this is more of a prognostic sign, there is a chance of rain, but a significant part of the evening will be... in dry weather in the north of ukraine: in the north of ukraine tomorrow and in kyiv region, zhytomyr region, sumy region, chernihiv region +14, +16°. precipitation is not expected, it is already slowly starting to warm up, and with more intensive solar heating, it may be a couple of degrees higher. in the east of ukraine tomorrow

, the air temperature is expected to be similar to that in the north, +15-+17°. in kharkiv oblast and there is no precipitation in luhansk region, but there is a chance of rain in donetsk region tomorrow. in the central part of ukraine, rain is expected tomorrow, in places, periodic, but nevertheless, take an umbrella, please, residents of the central regions, and the air temperature is +14-17°, as you can see, practically, well, almost everywhere is the same. in the south of ukraine, wet weather will prevail tomorrow, sometimes it will rain, well, it will be difficult to burn, well, tomorrow , may 16, weather without precipitation is expected in kyiv, now we will also see the images and numbers of kyiv, please give us, here, and in in kyiv tomorrow, as you can see, there will be no precipitation, the sun will shine and the air temperature will fluctuate within the limits

+16° that in the coming days, in the future we always look a little closer. in advance, by the end of the week it will warm up, not rapidly, not strongly, it is not about some 28-30°, but nevertheless, every day it will be warmer and warmer, but not without rains, but how will they fall, when and where, it is of course in our, as always, detailed weather forecasts on the espresso channel. so, i thank ms. natalka very much for the information about the weather. today we collected almost uah 231 00, thank you for this, continue to donate, i will say goodbye to you until tomorrow at 18:10, take care and stay with us, good evening, we are from ukraine. glory to ukraine, dear tv viewers,

the program is on the espresso tv channel. studio zahid will traditionally analyze the most important events of this week. our guests today are glen grant and mark fagin. our first guest is retired british army colonel, military expert glen grant. glory to ukraine, dear mr. colonel. well, first of all, i would like us to analyze the great russian offensive of may-june, right? many analysts talked about it, and we certainly did complex bloody battles, we are talking not only about the donetsk region, but about the front line in general, if we analyze the enemy's preparations for large-scale actions, what will they be, in your opinion and in the opinion of military experts of various western countries. in fact, it is quite difficult to judge now and i will try to explain why: firstly, in the last 2-3 months, the situation

on the ukrainian front was not the best, in many places there were bad things. but if you look at the map on a large scale, the amount of lost territory compared to in terms of size, ukraine is actually quite small, but of course no one likes to lose villages. so, the russians managed to advance, but in the south , the ukrainian troops on the eastern bank seem to be holding up quite well, despite the loss, they manage to hold their positions, and this is impressive, they even walk. that there are many russian deserters in the south. on the other hand, the russian side is not as strong as we imagine. at the moment, the biggest concern is the talk that russia may launch an attack and dynamically develop it. my contacts reports that russia is indeed massing troops

for a potential attack somewhere likely east or south of bakhmut. however. it remains to be seen whether the russians will have enough strength for such an offensive, given the significant number of casualties and the loss of weapons and equipment they have suffered. there is also talk of a possible attack from the north, particularly towards kharkiv or sumy, but again, i have not seen any us or uk intelligence to indicate significant troop movements in the area. seems to that these rumors originate mainly from the ukrainian general staff, and not from the international community, which probably has access to satellite intelligence. at the moment, the key question about... is how much aid will flow to ukraine over the next few months and where it will be used. analysts cannot predict this, as the government and

general staff do not reveal their strategic plans for where and how they intend to pressure russia. however, they must act in the central part, because it is unacceptable to continue to retreat, both politically and politically and from a military point of view. it is necessary to put pressure on russia, whether through a counteroffensive or in some other way. perhaps it would be worthwhile to pay more attention to the south, in particular to the kherson region. as for zaporizhzhia, it is now a special region with a strong defense and a rather static situation. it is unclear whether russia will try to do anything there. we know that russia will continue to press, it is not known for what. and it is not known where. we also do not know where ukraine will direct the aid it will receive from the united states and europe. so you can make a lot of predictions,

but we are likely to see dynamic developments over the next few months as both sides put pressure on each other. maybe in the current or other places. hopefully within the next three to four weeks. we will begin to gain more information and understanding of what is really going on. well, we understand that the classic russian scheme is an offensive until the end of the offensive impulse, that is, in simple language, when the personnel ends, so we understand that the russians have now prepared a certain number reservists, trained them, and here is the key story: in your opinion, mr. colonel, will they be ready to open additional hot... front lines, yes, those lines that could, well, until a certain time, they were as if asleep, in particular , for example, will it apply to kharkiv and the kharkiv

region, yes, in addition to the kupinsky direction, they can also apply certain or other sections of the front, there is also the question of the sumy region, this is midnight, and of course, the zaporizhia direction you already mentioned, but the key story, if we operate with the number of russians interveners, prepared and already available... the front line, what it is, whether they will have enough strength, and at the same time we are also aware of the fact that, most likely, russia is not just entering the may-june offensive campaign, rather, we are entering a new phase of the war. good question. we know they mobilized, and you mentioned training, but if they didn't have time to train people properly, and in principle, we didn't see any evidence of quality training. side over the last period, then did they succeed do vocational training now? i mean, the crews of tanks and armored personnel carriers obviously do not know

their way around. this can be seen in the videos, in which the soldiers do not act in a coordinated manner, so the russian tactic at the moment is to use its artillery and guided air bombs to destroy the front as much as possible, to make it impossible for the ukrainian... soldiers to stay in the trenches, and therefore to attack as large as possible the amount of cannon fodder, i don't think that any of this will change, what can change is the ukrainian opportunity side to use artillery and counter-battery fire to destroy the enemy's artillery capability, but where they are going to attack i have no idea, maybe they don't even know yet, but you can be sure that if they have enough... they will continue the attack where, in their opinion, will be the weakest position. this is russian policy: they push through, probe, and then consolidate

success. it's hard to say right now because we analysts don't have enough information, in particular, how much ukraine has soldiers in various directions. of course, there are weak points. we know about it because the soldiers report it on facebook and elsewhere, but... whether the russians understand where these weak points are, i don't know. we will only know when they attack and where they direct their energy. until that moment, i think, we should not make empty predictions. is there already an understanding, for example, that the enemy with artillery barrels has artillery systems, right? perhaps there is also an understanding of what the enemy is doing with the heavy armored vehicles so we understand that the offensive impulse is not only about manpower, but also about equipment, so we also understand how many enemy armored vehicles and enemy artillery systems were destroyed by our fighters. this is a very good

question. my answer is this. "if you take into account the current way of fighting, then yes, they lack armored vehicles, they do not use their vehicles in the way that we usually imagine in the west, they operate in ones and twos, which shows that they are in short supply. now they produce more, but the question remains open, whether they will continue to disperse them along the entire front line, or, on the contrary, concentrate them to conduct concentrated armored "attacks. however, to conduct such attacks , properly trained personnel are needed, which they clearly lack. and it is not only a matter of shortage of armored vehicles, as it is probably still in sufficient quantity, in the shortage of trained crews who could operate it.the loss of experienced tank crews, in particular through injuries, led to reducing their number. whether

russia is making a significant... effort to covertly train personnel is possible, as there is no satellite evidence to indicate such an effort. previously, american intelligence effectively monitored activities in russia, but since 2021, no such reports have been received. this suggests that they may be conserving their armor until they can muster enough personnel to make a breakthrough. in the near future. months, they will most likely deploy all they have on the front lines means however, the mobilization of a large number of vehicles is associated with certain difficulties, as there is a high risk that ukrainian intelligence can detect and neutralize such a concentrated deployment. thus, their advancement is not an easy task. the key story is the goals of the war, so in order to plan and deploy

certain military. capabilities , matthew bryza, former director of european and eurasian affairs at the national security council of the united states, said to me a couple of days ago that the russians will advance throughout this year, and next year, on the 25th, we can expect a counteroffensive from the armed forces of ukraine. subsequently, this information was confirmed literally in a couple of days by jake sullivan, president joseph biden's adviser on national security. and the russians have already announced theirs. thunderstorm in the case of supplying ukraine with f-16, they somehow compared it even with the prospect of using or using nuclear weapons, that is, this is a much more serious story for them, and they are afraid of it. what difference does it make who has the plan? the priority was and remains the ukrainian plan. it's not about london, berlin or anyone else. it is about ukraine. i don't

see anyone going to use it. nuclear weapons due to the appearance of the f-16. russia didn't use nukes when tanks came out and didn't use them when atakams or hymars or anything else came out. therefore, i do not see that this will change anything, nor do i think that f-16s in the ukrainian sky will bring victory. they are definitely important, but not as much as everyone expects. and yet we must be very careful when we talk about counter-offensive, in order to carry out an effective counter-offensive, you have to have... you have to have a surplus of resources, that means you have to have more resources than the enemy and that you have to have trained people, and we still did not go so far as to say that the ukrainian fighters had passed the appropriate counterattack training. so, in order to have enough people for a counteroffensive in 2025, we have to mobilize and recruit them now, but at the moment almost all of the mobilized are going straight to

the front because the line... the front is thin, so if we want to launch a counter-offensive, we should be talking about a very different state of affairs from the one we have now, 2025 is still a long way off, we have to survive 2024 first , but i don't see a nuclear threat, there is no such coordinated plan in case of use nuclear weapons, it is obvious that there are action plans in the event of a russian attack on a nato country. these plans are being implemented, and now, for example, the baltic countries and finland are undergoing intensive training to be ready in case russia continues to advance. i don't take things lightly putin's threats, in particular, taking into account the fact that they are preparing to conduct exercises of non-strategic, tactical nuclear weapons, and you will be in charge of the so-called southern russian military district. the southern military district is actively involved

in... aggression against ukraine. we hear a lot.