tv [untitled] June 6, 2024 4:00am-4:31am EEST
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you can do it at the moment it was not, they are trying to put the emphasis on zelensky, that it is he who should make the decision, but frankly, they are not very frank about it, so does ukraine now have enough weapons from other countries to carry out serious attacks on "projects located behind the kharkiv and sumy fronts?" i will say yes, enough, but certainly not more. i mean, it's not enough for a major offensive, but it's enough. in order to at least inflict serious damage on the russians and possibly delay their advance for three weeks, a month or two so i hope that zelenskyi will make a decision today to at least use those stormshadow missiles that they already have, for example, to start doing some damage to russian forces, because otherwise time will be lost, momentum will be lost, and russia will seize the initiative again and start attacking along the line. frontline, and when they attack in
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the frontline, then it's much harder to use weapons like stormshadow to maximum effect, you have to use them by hitting troops that are gathering in the rear, like right now, but in any case, we understand that the russian command is demonstrating a readiness to commit crimes, that is, it is a demonstrative crime, and we understand that no one can write it off at the level, i do not know one or another tactic groups or level... of the aviation industry. the russians gave the order to hit a peaceful supermarket, a civilian object, with three controlled air bombs, one of them, fortunately, did not explode, that is, they wanted to kill civilians, a sufficiently large number. so we understand that this crime is very serious read correctly in many european capitals, and let's hope that decisions will be made, yes? well, but when we talk about... finalizing certain decisions,
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in particular the presence of western instructors in our territory, this will reduce the logistical burden, and at the same time it will allow us to train or train a large number of our recruits as soon as possible, but there is one more important point, the russians have already announced their criminal intent to kill or attempt to kill western instructors, and that means that this will also read correctly in western capitals, so what is the feeling? of these new wars and possibly a new stage of the war connected with the fact that the west has decided, it is possible for himself to be ready to take serious steps. the first thing i thought about was that they dragged it out for a very long time. in fact, it should have happened a year ago, maybe even a year and a half ago. instead , western capitals tried to use peacetime methods to solve the wartime problem, and now they see that it didn't work. what they were trying to do
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some here, some there, just didn't have enough effect to really influence russia to stop the war, or to allow ukraine to push the invaders back. so the europeans are now in a situation where they have to start helping from within the country to strengthen the training and resolve of the ukrainian forces. we are slowly but surely moving towards the point where european troops will be forced to take part in hostilities. i have no doubt that at some stage it will happen because the alternative is to find a huge quantities of ammunition, huge quantities of equipment, huge quantities of everything necessary, be it food, mortars, helmets, clothes, which is less likely, in my opinion, and russia will continue to move forward, step by step, until we reach the stage, when the european capital will be told: enough, we are ready to join you and
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fight against russia, it may take a year or two, but we are steadily moving in this direction. speaking about the possible participation of the ground forces of our western allies, perhaps speaking about aviation of our western allies, in whatever concept it might be included, we understand, yes, in order not to raise the degree of escalation, it would be necessary to act quickly and quite harshly, for this the use of aviation would be required. on the other hand, we are also aware that the russian enemy is ready to use nuclear weapons, for good reason, they have been preparing their so-called strategic doctrine regarding the use of tactical and strategic nuclear weapons, and accordingly the pace of how quickly this would be done, when we talk about our western partners, and the quantity and quality and range of weapons that could be used, do we understand? so that it was not for nothing that putin
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now met with lukashenka in belarus, yes, and he took the minister of defense with him, and in principle, i think, they clearly discussed very specific military scenarios. and we understand that here we are talking not only about ukraine, but possibly about pushers and possibly about a certain threat to continental europe. regarding the nuclear scenario: the fact is that if russia cannot win a conventional conventional war, then nukes won't change anything in particular, meaning there's no point in using nukes if you don't have conventional powers to back up for using them. this will not help them at all. in fact, the use of of nuclear weapons will very quickly bring down on russia the wrath of the rest of the western world. this is why it is foolish to even consider such a possibility. as for the meetings in belarus, in reality they mean little, because belarus still does not have a full-fledged army. if we talk about the quality of fighters, then there are at most former
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night club guards. yes, they will have several good soldiers, but this is nothing compared to the number of soldiers that western countries, in particular, have. poland, lithuania, not to mention the troops behind them in sweden and finland. belarus is not a serious player in this game. so if they are really thinking about crossing the suval corridor, they will be in trouble because it is an extremely difficult piece of land. i have already written and spoken about it many times. everything is very simple. if belarus dares to do so, it will automatically involve itself in the war. and what then? especially considering the geographical location of belarus. which is surrounded by both nato and ukraine. to get out of the suval corridor, the russians will need every soldier there. the american brigade will simply come in from behind, close the port and seize all means of air defense. so, russia doesn't have enough troops to raise
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rates now. european forces will most likely have to enter ukraine, but i don't think that will happen within the next year or in the near future. granted, macron made it clear that if we again we will see the possibility of a second attack on kyiv, or if odessa is captured, then the french troops will start to do something, but until then such a prospect is somewhere on the horizon, and personally i do not think that we will see european forces in action, but they are already beginning to understand , that maybe they will have to intervene. i would like to ask you what the current, modern modern ones should be like? fortifications, we understand that we have thousands of kilometers of front, there are sharper sections, there are calmer sections, relatively speaking, but in in any case, we understand that there must be some general logic to what is called military fortifications, so how do
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you think it should look and how long should it take to build it, yes, because we understand that they built the surovykin line quite quickly , on the other hand, we also understand, you can build a line... maginot in one direction or another, but the enemy can always bypass one or another hadrian's wall in another direction, and so on. the most important thing about fortifications is not that they should just be long straight rows, but that they have be concentrated at key points where the enemy is likely to want to break through key defensive points. they should be placed by the operational command, not by local builders, not by the mayor's decision. or anyone else, and by the decision of the commander defending that area, he must ensure that these defenses are built where they are needed, in the form in which they are needed, in the direction in which they are needed, and in such a way that they cannot be bypassed
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if the fortifications are built in a straight line, then as soon as the straight line is broken, you will have to move to the next straight line, that is, at high points and in places that are difficult for the driver to reach. places require much more complex structures, this may mean actually fortifying some cities, meaning not just using buildings, but deploying something around the buildings. currently, the development of defense structures is taking place, i would say using a simple method. in fact, you need to think much more about where to build fortifications, where to place anti-tank ditches, as well as anti-tank units. but the last thing to consider about defensive structures. not only the land, but also the human component. everything you do is aimed at making the terrain more difficult. and the most important are the soldiers who go to this difficult area and protect it. you can build as many fortifications as you want, but if the soldiers you send there are not properly
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trained to defend their land, if they are not properly equipped and equipped, then their positions will be overrun very quickly by the enemy. and then you will need it. more one moat, so it is very important that we do not forget that in the end it is about people, that's right, it is about people, and defensive structures are a tool to protect these people, there are no people. there is no protection. putin's new logic of war, putin's new plan, maybe he is there, maybe he isn't, well, but in any case, we saw that the minister of defense of russia shuigu was thrown out of office and who was put in his place? in principle, an economist is a cybernetic. we understand that there is now a certain redistribution of influences and possibly a new one, the so-called military logistics of the russian federation, i don't know how it will all look, but the situation is quite serious. because we understand that the russians have not proposed anything new, but meat assaults,
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mechanized convoys, i don't know how much equipment they have, and a new minister of defense who has to fix what is called the russian economy or the russian military economy and the russian military logistics, what could be the scenarios from the side of the russians and what should be the counter-response from our side and from the side of our western allies. i wonder what the comments... that appeared after all these changes show that we still do not really understand what is happening in russia. analysts consider two explanations: on the one hand, there is the view that this is some grandiose plan by putin to prolong the war by appointing an economist to improve the efficiency of the defense industry, for a potential five- or ten-year conflict against nato. on the other hand, there are those who claim that shoigu was removed because he is too much. krade, several generals were involved in corruption, therefore, with on the one hand it's a big war, on the other hand
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it's the same war, but putin can't allow so much to be stolen probably because he wants more money to go to his friends who encroach on defense contracts to profit from the war . in both scenarios, the goal is to keep the money flowing because people are making very good money at it. i do not think that there is an economist in the ministry. defense will be able to dramatically influence the situation. if he was capable of this, we would have heard about it by now. he doesn't have the skills to change the system training, or the supply system, or to understand how the generals deceive him, because one should not forget that all russian generals lie to the minister. this is standard russian practice. no one tells the truth there, it is a land of lies. so, he will be fed a bunch of nonsense, though. how wonderful everything is, which will make it difficult to implement any meaningful changes. so i don't foresee
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any major changes in the near future. he can create better relations with iran and north korea to get more benefits from future, but this is already something completely different. dear glen, what should we expect in the next month or two, what should we prepare for? not sure what exactly, but somewhat obvious. as the war progresses, russia... becomes more desperate in its attempts to achieve its goals, attacks become more frequent, more and more old equipment is dumped on the front lines, and even innovative tactics such as the use of battle buggies and motorcycles for attacks are used. in this way , the russian front line and officers are under pressure to achieve results. they will try to do it, but i don't think it will involve nuclear weapons. most likely, it will be unexpected. it is one that will catch us by surprise, but one thing should be made clear: even though the front line
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is moving forward step by step, in the larger scheme of things, russia is losing, that's right, russia is losing, it is losing at sea, it is losing on land, so which continues to lose its people. if you are constantly losing personnel, eventually you will run out of quality personnel who can train and lead. russian losses amount to 7-10 sols. against holding on for a while longer, but with the time of one ukrainian fighter, they can , the quality of their forces will inevitably decrease, and how then they want to hold the front line, what has not yet happened is a mass rebellion of russians somewhere on the front line, no matter how numerous the soldiers simply turned and went back. this had already happened in russia before, in 1917, and it is quite possible that it will happen again. so, back to... something is bound to happen, just don't ask me to predict what, because for now it's out
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beyond my imagination. it is important for ukraine to be ready for anything, and this means conducting a thorough scenario analysis to anticipate potential threats and develop response strategies. we shouldn't wait for something to happen and then try to fix it. we must be proactive, identify potential challenges and find. ways of effectively overcoming them. thank you very much, dear mr. colonel, for this extremely important conversation on the air of the tv channel, i want to remind our tv viewers what is now for them worked as a colonel of the british retired army military expert glen grant. an unusual look at the news. good health, ladies and gentlemen, my name is mykola veresen. sharp presentation of facts and competent opinions. and in america they also say, let's have better roads, we will have even better ones. a special look at the events in ukraine, there will be some
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katsaps on the border of kyiv and beyond. what kind of world does norman dream of, can we imagine it? all this is in informational. in september, saturday 17:10, sunday 18:15 at espresso. congratulations, this svoboda live on radio svoboda. we have already come to the snake itself. the following shots may shock you. news from the scene. live kamikaze drone attacks. political analytics, objectively and meaningfully. there is no political season. exclusive interviews, reports from the hottest. you draw your own conclusions. miroslav cheh, a historian, publicist, deputy of the polish diet of the second or third term, will be working on the air of the tv channel. glory to ukraine, myroslav, i congratulate
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you. well, the key story: permits to use western weapons for... to deter the aggression of the russian enemy, so we understand that the process has not yet been finalized, but the signals coming in are generally good, of course, we are waiting for the final authorization from the united states, which may or may not be made publicly, that is, as daniel frith told me last week, the former coordinator of the state department on sanctions policy, he says, well, there can be such a decision as with etekoms already a posteriori, we give permission, and then the russians will find out about it. at their military airfields, from which the planes they bomb take off kharkiv. well, anton, you very correctly said that this is the finalization of the process, because the permission is from great britain, well, the information went out that sturm shadow had already been beaten in the krasnodar territory, and the russians felt it and understood that it was so. the french, too, and president macron said that he allows strikes on
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military targets in the presence of german chancellor olaf. scholz, well, we are all waiting for that moment, of course, for the decision of president joe biden and the democratic administration, but i think that if this has not already happened, then it it will happen soon, we will find out after that, how the russians will feel it, it is probably true, but we will find out, for sure, well, let's be honest , why did it take so long, the americans were given a decision about the attacks, not because the attacks will stand and it is so terrible . and so on, because there was another understanding that when you hand over the attack, it is equivalent to the fact that they will be used against targets on the territory of the russian federation, just like with the f-16, well, why ukraine the f-16, if they will not impress the entire territory of the russian federation, that they will chase missiles here that will already be present on
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the territory of ukraine, well, it is pointless, then why send such expensive installations here, that is. a weapon that should drive away the russian aviation conditionally, to the depth of hundreds of kilometers from the front line there, if not deeper, yes, this is very good, but as far as i understand, it will symbolize the beginning of a new stage of the war, yes, well, at least the russian federation is trying to do it that way present, they again and again repeat their mantra about nuclear threat, they are preparing to conduct another nuclear test, they say, well , as soon as the west does it, then, accordingly, the west will already... find itself, well, directly on the front line and so on and so forth. the event went for it . this means that it is possible that there is already an understanding that the russian federation must be restrained by force. well, i will quote, and i am extremely pleased to be able to quote the prime minister of foreign affairs of the republic of poland, radislaw szykorski, who supported president macron, who stated in
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february of this year, said that we strategic uncertainty is needed. sand nato may be present and french troops may be present on the territory of russia, and the minister went further, on the territory of ukraine, or already on the territory of russia, maybe we don’t know something, yes, kaluga, kaluga is under threat, well not yet, but god knows , world history develops in strange meanderings, as we know different stories, different scenarios 400 years ago it was like that, our kaluga is, relatively speaking, and mine is more. the concern is that, you know, there would be a victory parade of the ukrainian armed forces of ukraine in sevastopol, a wall built on the russian side, on the ukrainian-russian border, ukraine in the eu and nato, and what will happen there? i don't know if they chinese will be called russians,
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it's not really so, it's not that important to me, well , returning a little to a more serious matter, and it's not only the instructors, minister shikorskyi made such a strong statement, to which russia simply reacted, well not so nervous he said well... i don't know the price the americans put on them when they try to use, to use nuclear weapons, they will have destroyed the entire army that is on the territory of ukraine and not only on the territory of ukraine, the americans really told them, as victoria nulland, who was an assistant to the state secretariat until recently, it seems until march, spoke about this year, and she told this to the russians back in 2022. so that when it comes to such a strategic strategic picture of the war in ukraine, it is already more or less formed, and when it comes to nato troops in
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ukraine or nato countries, let's say it like that, instructors from nato countries, then yapska still paid attention to this first of all, because there won't be, or maybe those instructors actually already exist, when you look at it, and how far the situation will go enter with permissions. permits everything that happens with china and with its support of the russian federation, the americans say extremely strongly that thanks to china, russia has been waging this aggressive war for so long without the support of china, er, technology, finances, and a certain part of electronics and devices for various military-industrial complex, russia would not have the resources to wage this war. and the americans are very clearly declaring at that moment, moreover, they are trying to convince the europeans to this approach as well, that is, there is an understanding now that the decision on the war in
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ukraine and russian aggression against ukraine is not made in moscow, but in beijing , and appropriate, appropriate messages are addressed to them, messages are addressed to them such that russia is incapable of winning a war against ukraine, that's for sure, but... we will do everything to make ukraine win this war. yes, well but at the same time, going back to the story with the instructors, yes, we understand that their number may not be determined, why we only talk there, i don't know, about 100 or about 100 people, yes, it could be 10,000, 20,000, 3,000 and so on, that is, the key story is a decision, a political-military decision, and in particular, we understand that if there will already be contingents of instructors who will be in charge of, i don't know, military airfields or some other, i don't know, military logistics, answer. one can be victims until about the answer to the alleged murders of western instructors, about the greatest grief, as it is, that is, the destruction
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of civilian infrastructure and the killing of peaceful ukrainians, in particular in kharkiv, it was all predicted, in fact, it is the worst that can be, because everyone who even slightly understands the nature of this war , the nature of the putin regime and today's russia, well , he realizes that... the ukrainian people pay the highest price, and these victims might not have been there, if it had been earlier, everything had been put in place, and now we are talking about air defense systems, not only not only, but i read in foreign affairs article by andrii zagorodnyuk and elton cohen. andriy zagorodnyuk is the former minister of defense of ukraine, elton cohen is an employee of the administration of george w. bush, plus today one of the leading teachers. of military history in america, very authoritatively, an authoritative person, well , they wrote directly to them, in fact, this is what timothy snyder also says, the war could have ended in 22nd year, the russian troops after
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the successes of the ukrainian army near kiev, chernihiv, kharkiv, kherson , there were 140,000 in october 22, and the ukrainian army then calculated 800 thousand for the entire defense sector, 100,000, give weapons, and it would be all over the place, and this... this is exactly what is happening today, fortunately, consciousness seems to be a little different already, this war can be ended, and it must be limited , to limit casualties, and why president macron's statements are so, so important, and what he said that, well, general syrsky said, yes, mainly the commander of the armed forces of ukraine, that everything has already been signed, and macron said, wait, wait, i will tell everything about everything here with zelensky, but syrsky will not be there to tell me, he said so, we are talking about everything in the 6th grade. let's say, when president zelensky goes to commemorate the landing in normandy, the landing in normandy, it will be the 80th anniversary of the landing in normandy, then macron, as the host of this, uh, announces to the... world, and
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how are we going to end this war? and now, returning to the instructors, security and so on, and i remember, i remember very well the year 2021, and the discussions will go or not, the troops, russian, russian, american british instructors were on the territory of ukraine at that time, and a decision was made to first withdraw their instructors by washington and london, not only them, then the embassy, as you know, and then there was the realization that... the west really does not believe in ukraine, the scenarios that should be played out with those javelins, enlavs and so on, this event should be repeated, repeat the scenario from afghanistan, that is, blame, or in syria, the destruction of cities and so on, extraordinary victims, i thought that it was just then i remember my great indignation, and i think, yes in politics you just can't do no answer, but that was the understanding of the situation, today it is a different understanding, in which
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the structures are important and... you, anton, are absolutely right, it doesn’t matter how many there are 100 or so, the important thing today is that the westerners don’t send them here, or they won’t to send western countries to die on the fronts in ukraine, this is obvious, and this means covering the skies of ukrainian security, so that they will be, because they will be the first targets to influence western opinion, le pen has already said, you see, macron is hogging us to this, so that we took part in the war and yes, what are they doing. politicians, populists and various friends, friends of putin. in general, orban stated that it is what it is, that it is allowed, irresponsible and so on, we understand it, instead , what we are leading to, and we record what we said in your anton program, begins with the understanding of the event, with these decisions, all the totality of these of the decisions we talked about, the final stage of russian aggression against ukraine should begin. duda tusk, the polish
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political community, the polish military, they will be ready to put their signatures, their signatures on those documents, which would, for example, allow polish instructors to join this international contingent, must, of course, polish instructors and so on, that is, this one must also be present, because with regard to history and friendship and everything else, instead, today we will not say that poland is facing a prospect, well, that's what we call it. a hybrid attack by russia and belarus against ukraine involving thousands of refugees or migrants from the middle east, all of whom have russian, or 90% have a russian visa, that is, people selected by the russians to attack the polish polish border with belarus, and maybe also with hezbollah and the taliban, so to speak, on the belarusian policy, on the policy, and maybe also on the krulevetsk or kaliningrad. the sharp
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border between russia and poland, that is, what i am leading to is that, in fact, poland today should be focused on the defense of a common front against russia and its ally lukashenko , belarus, at this not-so-neural point, it is called the soufel reshuffle, it did not go anywhere, the plans are russian, which already have been voiced since 2009 that we will attack through this isthmus until we reach berlin, no one has de-actualized, they at least... to implement it in moscow , the focus now is on wanting and being able, we understand that these are also two big differences, yes the key story here is the readiness to quickly deploy troops, the readiness to react quickly and not allow, but i will not take this danger lightly either, it is very appropriate, myroslav, that you mentioned this about her, yes, because putin went to lukashenko, took with themselves as the new leadership of the ministry of defense, and they
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for two days or so a little... more they held some of their meetings and we understand that they were not talking about potatoes, about human potatoes, in their understanding, i apologize for saying so, but that is how they treat people, it is not for them no, you and i, anton, are not people, those who are subject to destruction, if not needed, are such people, yes , yes, this is how they think, and of course that poland must be concentrated, since lithuania is also digging trenches, estonia, latvia, wow, they are building their own. the germans, believe, will deploy their brigade in lithuania, that is, to meet as putin or lukashenko will want to go against lithuania, because lukashenko was there three or four months ago on this border, but with lithuania, on the border with lithuania, belarus with lithuania, he said: "oh, how much do we have, suvalsky pass 40 km, and this, that's how much, that's not that much." ugh. that is, we understand what they are, because of that.
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