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tv   [untitled]    June 30, 2024 11:00am-11:31am EEST

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virtually silent, no more heavy lawn sprayers, grease or gas for refueling, only convenience and a well-kept plot, order now, light, powerful and reliable cors trimmers from only uah 799, offer is limited, call. news time on the espresso tv channel. kateryna shiropoyas works in the studio. the explosion rang out in odesa. the local media wrote about a possible arrival in the belgorod-dniester district of the region and announced an alarm. the air force
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reported ballistic and missile threats to in the direction of odesa from the black sea. and the russians shelled selidodov in donetsk region at night. the mine was damaged, some production facilities were completely destroyed, a fire broke out - the city council reported. the town of selidove is located not far from the front line in the pokrovsky direction. the russians killed a resident of the kherson region, wounded five more, and the enemy attacked a detachment from a drone near kamianko. an elderly man died. during the day, the occupiers shelled 24 points in the region, shells hit a store and a garage, two high-rise buildings, 11 private houses were damaged and cars, - said the head of the regional military administration oleksandr prokudin. the russians do not stop terrorizing dnipropetrovsk region, the enemy attacked nikopol from a drone, and also dropped ammunition on the city from a drone. a private house and an outbuilding were damaged.
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serhii lysak, the head of the regional military administration, said. in the morning, the occupiers hit the pokrovsk community with a drone, marganetska was shelled with artillery, a fire broke out, there were no casualties or injuries. the number of wounded as a result of the russian shelling increased to 36 vilniatsk in the zaporizhzhia region. doctors assess the condition of six as serious. the injured have shrapnel wounds, contusions, fractures and traumatic amputations. among. a pregnant woman and nine children were injured, seven people died, including three children, the national police reported. the day before , the enemy attacked the city with several rockets, two high-rise buildings and 12 commercial premises were damaged, along with cars, critical infrastructure and public buildings were destroyed in nivychchyna. the rescue operation at the site of the impact has been completed. a day of mourning for the victims of the russian attack was announced today in the zaporizhzhia region.
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more than 1,100 russians became fertilizer for the ukrainian black earth, and in general, since the beginning of the full-scale invasion, thanks to our defenders, almost 543 thousand occupiers have approved the harvest, the defense forces are relentlessly destroying the enemy's equipment, burned seven tanks, 19 armored combat vehicles and 53 artillery systems, the zsu was turned into a metallobroket, one rocket salvo fire system and two air defense systems. defenders of the sky landed 46 drones operational-tactical level, in the general staff, all data are approximate. six people were injured in a road accident in mykolaiv, including two children. two cars land cruiser prado and vaz collided at the intersection. the driver of the latter and his five passengers, including four and nine-year-old children , received injuries of varying degrees of severity. all the others are in the hospital, the other driver was not threatened.
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gave information to the regional police. law enforcement officers are determining the cause of the accident, the culprit faces up to three years in prison. they helped an injured tourist. 22 years old a resident of ivano-frankivsk was injured while climbing a mountain on mount yagidna. the man could not move on by himself. so i turned to the state emergency service. emergency services determined the victim's location, arrived at the man's place, provided medical assistance to... and then escorted him to the foot of the mountain, where he was handed over to doctors. this was reported to the state emergency service of the region. act, support, love. in boryspil , the first local sports competitions for war veterans are taking place, and our correspondent kateryna galko is watching the battle of the brave. she is with us live. katya, congratulations, how are you? the atmosphere and how many veterans there are today...
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your physical training, tell me. i congratulate katya, i congratulate the viewers of the tv channel, so today, even in spite of the terrible heat, ours. the defenders, already veterans of this war , demonstrate their strength, demonstrate extraordinary physical training. such an event was organized by the non-governmental organization heart of the brave to promote the integration of our veterans, as well as their psychological support. today , 21 participants took part in the battle of the brave, they were divided into three teams. four locations worked here, on which our veterans competed in a variety of adaptive sports including... lying up armwrestling and rowing, everyone competed bravely despite the hot weather and luckily no one got sick due to the hot weather, let's also hear from organizers about why and what
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is happening here today, well, here we conduct it more as a social project, not as a competition, but as a social project to show the veterans of boryspil region. otg, that they are not alone, that there are people like us, that we rallied together, and we do everything for their sake, for their sake, to help them go through this difficult path after being injured and receiving the status of a person with a disability, we , the city council, will always support them, help them, socialize them, so that they feel themselves, as we all feel, competitions, they are useful, it is rehabilitation. starting with the physical, yes, because the boys are working out, because they visit the gyms, and of course the psychological, which is communication with fellow citizens, communication with members of their families, communication with citizens of ukraine, who are not indifferent to such events
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competitions so, as you can see, the competition is already coming to an end and very soon all the participants will receive their awards, we made it. to talk with the boys during the competition, they said that mostly they are just returning from rehabilitation facilities, so they do not have any specific preparation for such sports competitions, which did not prevent them from showing excellent results. let's hear them too. to support the boys, i decided to show that injury and amputation is not the end, for many of us, it is the beginning of a new life.
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so such sports competitions among veterans in boryspil is being held in... for the first time, but certainly not for the last time, today quite a lot of veterans took part here, many, many spectators also came, as you can hear, they are already supporting the participants, today there is an extraordinary atmosphere of courage, courage and endurance, our boys, despite the circumstances, even despite the weather, are able to show incredible results, so this is the information as of now, katya, i am passing the ether to you, thank you katya, i will remind you, this was... our kateryna galko, she was in boryspil and told how things were going the first sports competitions for war veterans in boryspil. and he offers to convert all our people into donations for our defenders due to enemy shelling. the espresso tv channel invites you to join the collection for drones and components for art reconnaissance of the hundredth
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zysu brigade. the first lot that we plan to purchase is eight improved models of mavic flycomb and five mavic 3t. quadcopters are the watchful eyes in the sky. security and provide an opportunity to confidently move forward, most importantly, they help save the lives of our military, we need to collect 2.5 million hryvnias, so no we are wasting your time and i ask you to join our gathering. the second anniversary of the outflow of russian troops from zmiiny island, the fighting for this border outpost in the black sea began on the first day of the full-scale invasion, it was then that the ultimatum to our military... to lay down arms, which came from the russian cruiser moskva, was already answered by one of the border guards a winged phrase known to everyone about a russian warship . snake island was occupied for 126 days, and since the end of april 2022, the ukrainian military has struck the island, destroying ships, warehouses with ammunition and
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anti-aircraft defenses of the enemy. on june 30 , russian troops fled the island, and propaganda called this retreat a gesture of goodwill . and in a few days on the island. the ukrainian flag flew over the snakes again. to find out more interesting and up-to-date information, follow the updates on our website espresso.tv, as well as on our social networks, we will see you soon. in a little less than an hour, dear friends, it's again the cute vakulyuk, andriy saichuk, we're working in this studio for you today until 5 p.m., and we hope that you will spend this time with us, we have prepared for you many guests, many topics, we also want to remind you that today... as in the previous days, and there will be days ahead of us, our
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gathering will continue, collection for the hundredth brigade of the armed forces of ukraine for artillery reconnaissance, and i want to thank you because you collected 26,000 already this morning, and another 25,000 separates us from reaching the mark of 1,400,000 hryvnias. in total, 2.5 million must be collected, but you can already see a part, most of it is already on your screens, now both accounts are on monobank and on the private bank, if i face the mono screen on the right, the private bank on the left, as you can see, the card numbers are indicated under them, this is for those who do not know how to cope with those qr codes, how to scan everything, so it’s simple the old grandfather way, so to speak, write down card numbers, make notes and transfer money for our beautiful boys, you will see now. for whom, i wish you
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health, we are fighters of the art-reconnaissance of the hundredth brigade, we ask you to join our collection for drones and their components, which will help us in the future to destroy the enemy and to protect our homeland, glory to ukraine, glory to the heroes, what a good start at this hour, while they were making reminders, 1000 hryvnias have already been added, the guys are asking, we are asking. join in, please , in the meantime, we will talk with our guests, and we start this hour with a conversation with the economist, former adviser to the president oleg, oleg ustenko, we are joining him on our air, say, it is already, mr. oleg, mr. oleg, we welcome you , yes, welcome, let's start with the latest news, probably it is that the international monetary fund has downgraded the forecast growth of ukraine's real gdp. that year from 3x4 to 2.5 - 3.5, that's it, this percentage,
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half a percent, how important are these values, and why actually worsened, very important values, very important values ​​from several such points of view, first of all, after all, i would allocate our state budget, in general, 4.5% growth is laid down in our state budget. if the growth, say, will be at the level of 3%, and even worse at the level of, say, 2.5%, then this means that it is not us who do not add 2% points to our growth, but it is already a question of money, and 2% points to our growth that we might miss, that would mean we're shorting uh about $4 billion to our, to our economy, to our economic growth. and if we add to it how much our state budget is shortfalling, then we will be talking
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about 1.60 billion dollars for the state budget, and this is already considerable funds, well , you just started talking about the imf again, the same imf gave us now, well, i agreed not long ago, the money will come, i understand, already this week, on the new one, agreed 2.2 we may fall short of our state budget due to the fact that growth may be reduced to 2.5%. and again, if you look at why this is happening, it 's because the attacks on our energy in the first place, it slows down opportunities for economic growth, that's understandable. er, is there any solution for this, if we have a base scenario, really 12 hours a day,
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connecting the light for for consumers, will we be able to, will the business even manage, what to do? first of all, first of all, our business more than adaptive, if you look at, let's say 20, the second year, just the beginning of this great war, you could see that despite the... that business was suffering, despite the fact that our economy fell by almost a third in in the first year of this war, uh, business started to adapt quickly, and so in the 23rd year... we've already got growth with you at about 5% economic growth in the country, if we're talking about whether or not business to work in such conditions, in which it will work now, when there is no energy, there won't be enough electricity, no, it will be very difficult for him to do it, some
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will be able to adapt, but you also have to understand that when it comes to, say, generators, generators are not the same price. if you used electricity, even if they say there will be an increase in tariffs, an increase in tariffs, but if you produce it with a generator, then it is a completely different price, because fuel costs much more there, and if fuel costs much more, if energy is more expensive, then this means that in in the end, the cost of production will be increased, the increase in the cost of production will affect the price of the product, the marking on the price of the product means that there will be an increase in inflation on the one hand, on the other hand, the competitiveness of these products will be reduced, and in general there are whole businesses that will be more than it is difficult to survive, well, let's say, if we think about the agricultural sector and the storage of agricultural products, it's one thing when you
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store wheat, it's another thing when you have to freeze and then store it... strawberries or vegetables or there are other fruits, berries, and when you need it, when you need constant stress, when you constantly need electricity transmission, it will be difficult to do, it will be difficult to do and work for a service that is also important for the country, it will be difficult to work as an industrial enterprise , even though we understand how difficult it will be for the population. country, you can imagine how difficult it is to be at an industrial enterprise, especially at those industrial enterprises where there is such a production cycle that you cannot stop at all, that is, it this enterprise should work 24 hours a day, 7 days a week, and we have such enterprises, but imagine that there is no electricity, and
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it can be colossal problems of a man-made nature, and we have already seen it with you. this is at coke at one of the coke plants in the east of the country, when the electricity supply simply stopped, there was an accident at the enterprise, that is, you can imagine that these are also colossal problems, but it is also true that if you look again, who and how we supports, now there are many programs of an economic nature, they go precisely to support of our power system, fast rebuilding, fast. smoothing the system, reconfiguring the system, credit resources for green energy, again from our allies and partners, generally investing in this sector, so that there are opportunities for issues to be resolved, but still everything depends on the ability of our military to defend itself,
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to protect our territory, why, by the way, are so many of our government officials out loud. the president of the country on the need to obtain air defense in order to ensure stability functioning, including the energy system. well, it is clear that in this war there are things that do not depend much on us, there are things that do depend on us, and the ability of the army is one of them, the economic ability, the ability of the military budget, we are all that too, i i think we understand the question, you know, we had roman yesterday. chuk, the ukrainian business ombudsman, who was the canadian ambassador to ukraine for a long time, and he said that we talked about the need to raise taxes, which mr. heitmantsev he says, correctly, he probably says, uh, and, but, but, but the fears that there are in business, this is what mr. roman vashchuk told us yesterday, that this
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tax increase will first of all affect those people who already pay taxes , he gave a figure that... only 1% return tax audits, compared to the 99% paying taxes now, that does not mean that there is no shadow, shadow circulation, it is huge, we know it, there 40% say , for example, and so on, but, but, but the question is that we have somehow never changed, it seems to me that mr. roman vashchuk is saying, herself the philosophy that we have a person who is a person on... is suspected of being guilty, and in us this philosophy continues to be sovshes, everything that we did not allow is forbidden, i just what is it for i say everything. it's just that we are now in such a period, when we can't just do business as usual, when we don't need some cosmetic changes, we need to change, it seems to me
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, the very philosophy of the relationship between the state and business, otherwise, well, we will lose to russia, because it simply has a bigger economy, or we completely dependent on western aid, i, andriy dligoch , also says about this that there are many people in the government who hope for... that they will give us another 50 billion, it is possible to do the economy in general, not to deal with the economy, you are already an adviser to the president, what are your thoughts on this, what can be done now so that we can fight for more than one year? well, if we talk about the fact that we should continue to run a marathon, not a sprint, but a marathon, then we really need a financial resource and a significant financial resource, as in this year, $40 billion comes from or about $40 billion is about what we receive from our allies and partners, that is, everything related to our non-military,
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non-security expenses is completely covered by our allies and partners, and there is a deficit in this year, the minister of finance talks about the additional 5 billion dollars that appeared this year, for the next year the deficit will be maintained, which... is less at the level of 45 billion dollars, if we take , respectively, the 40 that were and plus five , those that additionally arose are at least 45, the additional army will also cost money for well, my calculations show that every 3.5, excuse me, every 100,00 people to the army additionally means plus 3.5 billion dollars in annual terms to ours. of the additional part of our budget, well, count, if you are guided by the figure of an additional 300,000 for the army, then this means an additional 10.5 billion dollars
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to the expenditure part of the budget, if 200, then 7 billion dollars, respectively, that is, to those 45 billion, which i mentioned before, that is , huge funds are needed, the economy will be to grow, but it will grow even in the same... forecast issued by the national bank of ukraine, or which was confirmed by the international monetary fund, for the next year already, they are talking about 5% growth for the next year, this is not the kind of growth that is simply drastic will increase the revenues of the state budget, and then the question arises, in order to run a marathon, even in conditions of geoeconomic, geopolitical uncertainty, or high risks that exist in... in the economy, in geopolitics, what will this mean for us? we have to provide our, well, foundation, our such an airbag, actually independently, and
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to provide it independently, it means a lot, first of all it means, yes, indeed the detinization of the economy, but you also understand that the detinization of the economy is that we can quite easily pronounce these words of the deification of the economy with you, but this does not mean... that it can be done so quickly, if you look at our recent economic history in general, starting from 91 and up to, let's say, the statistics of the last 21, when the level of the shadow economy was generally assessed by our ministry economy, then it was always around 30%, plus or minus 30%, more like plus than minus, 30% was the shadow sector of the economy, what is it? means, this means that approximately 60 billion dollars, well, as of now, are circulating in the price, they are produced in the price, if it is produced in the price, then accordingly, well
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, approximately 24 billion do not receive the budget, as if colossal numbers that make it possible to simply to maintain financial stability for a long period of time, but it is also true that there is no need to build illusions, the shadow sector of the economy, it generally exists through everyone countries and in switzerland, and in the states and... anywhere, and even if we take hungary as a parameter there, the country with the highest level of the shadow sector of the economy among european countries, it is there, according to the same statistics, at about 15%, then if you imagine we can bring it down to that level, that means an additional $10 billion in public funding, but again, hope it can be done like this... and quickly, no, it won't work, yes, it the right main road, which will have to move, but hope that
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it will be possible to get the effect of speed. but all the same , i would definitely not count on this money, even next year, and even this year, at the end of this year, because there will simply be much more risks if you do not receive this money in the state budget, so the second direction that needs to be done, and i would recommend that it be done immediately, is to take the entire spending part of our state budget that does not relate to the army, security and defense, outline all the expenses that are there, and then just cut those costs, that is prioritize and cut, because the economic theory of economic policy and the practice of economic policy in the world, it says that if you have deficits of the state budget, which must be reduced quickly, then the only correct way is to cut the spending part, the spending part do not want to kill any politicians in any country of the world,
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it is clear that it will be used. that we need to do this immediately, we also need to think about where to get additional funds, it is good that we need to continue the fight against corruption, we need to continue there detinization of the economy and everything else that can bring additional income to the state budget, but again here we need, by the way, we need a really aggressive policy in these areas. but an aggressive policy and the desire to receive these additional funds in the state budget does not at all mean that they will be received so quickly in the state budget, then we will still have to look for additional funds, in addition, they can be negotiated with our allies and partners once again and get engaged not just additional guarantees, because it is difficult to get these additional guarantees, but there
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there are also ways to... possible development, and in the end you will still be left with the fact that everything related to our tax legislation will have to be revised, i am far from the opinion that it is necessary to simply completely, well, as they say, just radically change our tax laws and increase taxes by colossal figures, here i see serious effects, negative, this is a serious negative effect will be that if you increase very quickly and so on... a serious tax burden, then in countries, in which there is a large sector of the shadow economy, you simply increase the level of shadows, and you can reduce it, in general, it can lead to the opposite effect and the income to the state budget will simply decrease, what i am talking about, what exactly we talked about with mr. roman vyshuk, and increase the burden on those who already pay a large amount of taxes and reduce their competitiveness, compared to those who have completely gone into the shadows, for example, having
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some kind of shoulder. relatively speaking, in the government or in the tax office, we understand where we all live, yes, and then you can go to this alternative path, which will have to use everything related to economic reservation, yes, or economic mobilization, whatever you want to call it, it is about the fact that, in principle, this direction can give additional funds, but it needs to be decided politically, economically , it seems that everything is clear and simple, from the point of view of finances, if you introduce... this is an economic reservation, of course, you will receive additional revenues to the state budget, another thing is whether the society is ready are you ready for this? politicians on this, but this is one of the possible directions that can provide additional funds, another issue that we wanted to touch on is the issue of the sea corridor, which was unblocked after the liberation of snake island, this is our way out finally to... and big
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roads trade, how much we can increase our exports here, how much it helps us now? well, in principle it helps us, in principle, after all, we must remember that we are an export-oriented state, we generally receive 50% of our gross domestic product at the expense of of exports, i.e. colossal figures, and received, it is better to say, pre-war periods of time, also received one of the chains of transport chains. through which we transport our export products, our exports go through the black sea, and this is especially important for our agriculture, but after the island was liberated and after it was clear how we move through the black sea, after the ships of russia were partly of them.

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