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tv   [untitled]    July 1, 2024 8:00pm-8:31pm EEST

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in the evening, there is a possibility of short-term rain in russia, an atmospheric front will reach there. chernihiv region and sumy region will be dry and hot, 31-34° above zero, in zhytomyr region it will be a little easier, and in kyiv there is a hint of relief. in the east, the anti-cyclonic nature of the weather remains, which intensifies even the heat. 33-37 above zero tomorrow in the east, no precipitation, sun and high fire danger. in the central part of ukraine only in vinnytsia, it may be a little easier to breathe, in the rest of the territory, high air temperature, precipitation, unlikely hot and dry in the southern part of ukraine , the heat is also strong, up to 35, in some places up to 37° without precipitation. well, in kyiv, in the capital tomorrow, there is a hint of the heat easing, not easing yet, but somewhere around 30° is expected in kyiv. in the evening, there is a possibility of short-term rain with a thunderstorm on july 3 in the west and north of ukraine. well, it is already so precise, so to speak,
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that the air temperature will decrease, the heat will ease, but tomorrow, and on the third day, and until the end of the week, the severe heat will continue in the east, south, and most of the central regions, please take this into account, and of course, keep a close eye on our updated weather forecasts on the espresso channel. good evening, we are from ukraine. our greetings to all viewers, listeners of the espresso tv channel, thank you for being with us, it's a new week and andrii smolii and khrystyna yatskiv. so, a new week, new analytics, a new look at the events that will happen during the week, that are happening to us and to our country right now, and of course. we will also talk to
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our guests, as i have already announced, at our place there will be three guests, after which at 9:15 p.m., in the second part, there will definitely be analytics, discussions, conversations with khrystyna yatskiv, well, let's share our thoughts with each other and with you, and of course we also want to traditionally remind you about our poll, which we conduct every monday , today is a poll, more precisely , the question sounds like this: should ukraine agree to negotiations with the russian federation with the participation of mediators? you can choose two answers: if yes, then call 0800 211381, if no, call 0800, 2111-382 from your phones, from your smartphones, absolutely free of charge, at the end of this hour we will draw up intermediate results, at the end of the second we will have finality. well
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, it is probably worth explaining a little to those who are just joining the broadcast of espress and in general to the information picture of this day and the last few days, that we are talking about the fact that in the information space, in particular from the mouth of the president of ukraine volodymyr zelenskyi, from there is a thesis about, well , at least the possibility and efforts to implement the next model of at least some negotiations with the russian federation, and here the president. gives an example of the negotiations that took place when the so-called grain corridor was functioning, ensured by the participation of the united nations organization and turkey, you remember that then it was actually 3:3 and directly between ukraine and russia did not contact all the responsibility , or the lion's share of responsibility was still assumed by turkey and the un in order to ensure this process, and here is a somewhat similar model of the president of ukraine in an interview with trudy rubin. polnist, the
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philadelphia inquire, suggested that regarding, well, at least the ceasefire as we understand it i do not understand whether we are talking about the end of the war in general, and i do not think that we can seriously talk about it until there is an understanding that the russian federation and the russian president in particular will agree to such a thing. well, actually, this is the topic of our, our today's survey, and it seems to me that this will be the leitmotif of our program today. we are now listening to what volodymyr zelenskyi said. such a model was applied for the first time on the example of the grain corridor, when ukraine negotiated not with the blocking hand of russia, but we negotiated with organization of the united nations, as well as with turkey. they, in turn, took responsibility for negotiating a tripartite agreement with us, and... then
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signing a corresponding agreement with the russian side, and this is how it worked: two mirror agreements between the un and turkey were signed. ukraine and separately signed with representatives of russia. and by the way, in addition to what volodymyr zelenskyi said, such opinions also began to be heard, including from some ukrainian experts. maybe our viewers it has already been observed in social networks. i think that we will discuss this with our first guest, oleksandr musienko, director of the center for military legal studies. we are now on the direct line, mr. oleksandr, congratulations, good evening, good evening, i congratulate you, mr. oleksandr, you have probably already seen the statements of mr. zelensky, you probably see that, in general, in the ukrainian information space , the following are starting to appear topics about a certain kind of negotiation, how
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do you generally evaluate these statements, can it be such introduction informational in order to really through several. months or closer to the end of the year to actually implement such a model of changes? i think that this statement that was made should be perceived first of all as an attempt to ensure the durability of this process that began after the global peace summit, well, what i mean, so as not to get the impression that everything, the summit has passed and that's it , well, that's all, that is, what happens next? if nothing is happening, then how did the summit take place, and what was the communique for? so on. and just after this summit was held, there were statements from the minister of foreign affairs of ukraine, from the deputy head of the president's office, kuleba and zhovku, respectively , that there would be preparations for the next summit,
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it could take place in the fall, and so on. well, right now the president is talking about the fact that by the end of the year we can see another plan, actually. therefore, first of all, it should be perceived as ukraine not abandoning the plan that was proposed, but there is the next point, yes itself, it is that somewhere, let's say, there may be certain signals from other countries, from the global south and so on, that they are ready to talk and consider this plan, but with certain considerations, and with certain wishes and with certain remarks , which they may have, and this includes: this is what is called diplomacy, we need to find some ways, but i would, let's say, not very much, you know, you said about what is discussed in social networks, i would not i would be in a hurry to discuss something, because in fact, nothing is globally clear yet, because
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is still being decided on the battlefield, we are still waiting for the results of the election in the united states, and without these two components, but understanding how the negotiation process might take place, whether it will take place at all, or not take place, in what form, according to which mediators, it is premature to speak now, the only thing that can be said is that there are two possible scenarios: peace can be won, that is, by military means, russia can be forced to fulfill the conditions that will be set for it, not their ultimatums, the bad things that putin announces about kherson, zaporizhzhia and so on, our requirements are the first way that it can be, but it requires...resources, it requires means, and it requires an understanding that it can only be achieved through military means, but here we are approaching the position of our partners, so that there is so much that is still unknown, again, our provision until the end of the year for next year, what will be the mood in connection with the elections that
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are happening in many capitals and in many countries that are due to take place this year, and so on and so forth, and the second scenario is this, this is that... given the trends that may develop, there is such a possibility that we will have to seek agreements, in particular due to the fact that the west will also push us to this, to seek agreements that will involve not only concessions from the russian side, but from ukrainian, and it is not known what these concessions might be at the moment, what might happen and so on, and this issue, too , has not been understood to date, therefore , summarizing the answer to this question, i can say: yes, before the end of the current year, the beginning of the next, some clarity, regarding how the situation may develop and what track it will take, which i said, it is difficult to say so far, especially russia too, you see, russia will not take any steps,
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no countermeasures, even with losses, with everything, they will too wait for the end of the year, they plan to increase their mobilization a little more in the fall. they plan, no matter what, to achieve certain results on the battlefield, and the first priority is the donetsk region, of course, where the enemy is currently conducting offensive operations. russia will also monitor... how things will happen the elections in the united states, what will be the situation in europe in connection with this, and so on, and so before that, plus they will take into account the position of china, china is articulating certain initiatives, but it is also not in a hurry, for now, at least, and therefore, i think that even by the end of the year, the ukrainian president is speaking, and everyone agrees that before, we should talk about some scenarios, even outlines of how it could be. which country can become an intermediary, as in the case of the grain agreement , turkey, etc., talk about it for today
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for now, this is a useless matter, because there are still a lot of unknowns in this equation, and alexander, please tell me, actually, if we are talking about the approach of autumn and certain important events across the ocean, how they will be reflected in our situation, then how you... in general, you commented quite briefly, perhaps, you know, it has already been compressed in the right consistency in your head, what took place literally a few days ago, at the beginning of last week, the minister of defense, the ministers of defense of the russian federation and actually of the united states, as what is it all for, or was it it is connected with putin's tour, north korea, vietnam, then, should it be considered as links of a single chain? to some extent yes, but the united states is most interested
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in the issue of, well, in general, they are interested in the issue of technology transfers, primarily to north korea, which give the koreans the opportunity to develop their naval forces, this is the most important thing that worries the united states and its partners in the region, first of all, it is south korea and japan, and therefore, of course, they could touch on these topics, but i think what... you know, in general, between the united states and russia, there is this line of strategic security, the so-called military-to-military dialogue, it only stopped working once at the beginning of 2022 after a full-scale invasion, then it was restored, and it seems to me that this conversation, it was simply connected with the fact that lloyd austin decided to call and talk to the new secretary of defense, before that they spoke with shaigu exclusively, this is bilousov, just like that ... such an introductory call, which took place, of course, the united states emphasized certain positions that may
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be related to nuclear security, i am sure of that, but you understand very well that it is not the white man in russia who makes the decisions about signing agreements with the dprk and so on, no matter what the united states says in within the framework of this dialogue, it does not have, is not decisive. this dialogue, it was initiated, and this line to avoid incidents related to the line. military confrontation, that is, when there are risks that there may be risks of direct military confrontation between russia and the united states confrontations that could lead to the start of a nuclear war, and in order to prevent that, they are in contact, this dialogue has been used often, most often, probably most recently in recent history, when russia was in syria and the united states was in syria and they were in contact, in the end there was even one case when russia... did not recognize that among assad’s forces there were russian soldiers and
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wagnerites, as a result of which they were hit, there was such an interesting episode and many of their russians died there, well, but in general, this line, it is primarily for such things - it is the avoidance of unwanted incidents between countries directly, but it is interesting that exactly at the same time, well almost simultaneously with this conversation, which in the opinion of many analysts, in particular your opinion, oleksandr, all- still revolved around the nuclear issue, lukashenko, putin's stooge, again hints at the possibility of using some kind of nuclear weapons there in the event, as he says, of any threats to their sovereignty, but it is difficult to imagine that lukashenko would do or say something on his own without any what consultations with the kremlin, yes, there is such a calendar. you know, you can set a reminder in the calendar, every month or every quarter, what i have to do,
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what meetings i have, what my schedule should be, i put a mark on myself: to mention nuclear weapons on the territory of belarus, well, in case i am there , of course he would be there in belarus and, god forbid, of course he would belong to these forces of evil, but you just have to understand that it happens roughly the same way, from time to time russia or belarus, or lukashenko, or putin, or anyone . the other there is one of theirs representatives of the security bloc come out and make statements reminding us that we have nuclear weapons, we will use them, but not so long ago they graduated from oshmiansk. forestry, not far from the border with lithuania, 20 kilometers away, they drove iskanders with nuclear warheads, they scared lithuania and poland, of course, then they conducted a check of the combat readiness of their aircraft, just as quickly, by the way, in russia they criticized, they said that they checked like this if everything happened so quickly, and now again, another round, just to be sure
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recall and include this scenario of escalation, well, it's more, you know, aimed at the west. after all, it is a constant reminder that there is a weapon, that it can be used, and that the event may be slowing down the pace of aid to ukraine, well, it is not working, but it will be used, eventually, it must understand that this will not be refused, i will tell you that such actions, they happen from time to time, then statements, then training, then the movement of these weapons, why is lukashenko doing now, why is this command there, he... is doing these now statements, because in fact there is a serious problem there now, because poland is on the verge of closing absolutely completely any communication with belarus at all crossing points, due to the fact that russia and belarus are terrorizing the border with poland with illegal migrants, and imagine to themselves that, in principle, this is a blow to belarusian transit, it is a blow to
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the economy, to those connections they still had with poland and europe. since lithuania is closed, everything can be closed with poland, so what next? and i think that these are all the statements of lukashenka and others, that ukraine is something the troops there in the zhytomyr region are redeploying something else, and what are they already shooting down some ukrainian drones, you know, this is in any dictatorial regime, when you need to divert attention from some events, arranges a small victory war, now lukashenko has arranged it again in order to divert attention. from the issues that arise, and russia is on schedule, everything is in order, you know, there is a date in the calendar when it is necessary to remind that there are nuclear weapons that can be used. but not according to the schedule, hits on russian power plants, we saw what happened last night in belgorod oblast, kursk oblast, voronezh oblast, there actually
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was at least a partial blackout, the latest message that is now in... basically on social networks, is an arrival in crimea, allegedly struck the balaklava thermal power plant, that is, in fact, as far as i understand, the armed forces, including them, began their operation, and not only the armed forces, but ukraine against the russian energy carriers, yes, and we see that russia has also become more active in the last few days yesterday they tried to carry out another attack on kyiv with two iskander m missiles, we see that today the whole day is restless, air alarms throughout the country, strikes most likely on myrhorod, explosions in kropyvnytskyi. if, mr. oleksandr, we are talking about these strikes on russian
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power plants, is this a certain beginning, or is this a continuation of strikes on... russian infrastructure, and should we really expect that a blackout or something might really occur in russia or on the territories occupied by russia like what unfortunately we have now in ukraine. with from what i know, which can be stated in principle, ukraine has struck or is striking only those objects, for example, you mentioned balaklava, why there, because it is an object that enters. into the operation of so-called tench or ketch, i.e. residential and operational parts, which directly provide engineering, technical, needs of military units or specifically military towns, that is, what can be qualified exclusively as a military object, which does not cause excessive damage to civilians, because basically, let's say
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the position of the ukrainian command, in particular the military... leadership, including that we will not act contrary to international humanitarian law, unlike our enemy, so, strictly speaking, these objects were hit, i think, that will be inflicted, as for the rest, which relate to civilian support, i have nothing to say here, it is unlikely that our forces will act purposefully, directly, precisely against civilian objects, well, according to some information, if we are talking about sevastopol literally in these minutes then it can be about a military unit in the karani region, this is a naval unit, so-called, there is a position on the karani heights, well, we are waiting for more detailed information, we are very grateful to those... those sources of our information on the crimean peninsula, who continue to give us an understanding of what is happening in crimea and
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what potential losses the russian military machine can suffer there. oleksandr, thank you for joining the live broadcast. we will remind that oleksandr musienko, the director of the center for military legal research, was in contact with the studio, and that's all i would like to remind you that the military situation in our country remains extraordinary. is tense and the enemy continues to advance, in particular in the donetsk region, does not stop his attempts in the south as well. in the kharkiv region, in the area where they actually broke through the border recently. the defense forces continue to defend themselves and push the russians out of some of their positions. we understand that everything looks extremely dynamic, but what... if we are talking about the last month of spring and the first month of summer, then we have absolute records, starting from february 2022, for
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the destruction of russian special equipment, russian air defense equipment and art systems, which cannot help but please, well, at the expense of their, relatively speaking, citizens, i think that they absolutely do not care, but the equipment - this is very important for russia and much more important... than their people, i remind you about our survey that we are conducting today, whether ukraine should agree to negotiations with the russian federation with the participation of mediators, you can vote for free, in your opinion, yes or no, if so, please vote 0800 211 381, if you think no, then you can vote 0.800 21. 382 and we already have the next guest, this is ivanna klympush-tsensadze, people's deputy of ukraine, head of the committee on
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integration of ukraine to of the european union, mrs. ivano, we congratulate you, glory to ukraine, unfortunately, we have little which in principle should be addressed attention, because it happened yesterday, it is happening today, it will happen all week, it is an election in france, it is important, because in fact , the fate of france itself, the european union, and ukraine will depend on these elections. i think we will also talk about orbán's 11 demands, that is important. also for our country, because it actually caused a great resonance in ukraine, our citizens are talking about it, and here we need to understand which
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requirements we can really fulfill, which requirements we cannot fulfill, which requirements are problems, problematic for our country, and which are possibly contrary to the constitution of our state, so i... think that we will also, in principle, touch on the topic with ms. ivanna, which concerns the accession of ukraine to the european union, the summit that was held in the past weeks, and what will happen after it, what should be the reaction of ukraine, europe, how long will we go to this, what pitfalls will we have on this way? well, in the meantime, in my opinion, it is quite fair, albeit late, in the important ones. for us, organizations are gradually beginning to reach clear and fair ones wordings relating to the armed aggression
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of the russian federation against ukraine. we will remind you that the osce parliamentary assembly adopted a resolution condemning the ten-year armed aggression of the russian federation against ukraine, which recognized the actions of the military-political leadership of the russian federation and its armed forces during the full-scale genocidal invasion of ukraine. people, we understand that everything that concerns, in general, the osce parliamentary assembly and similar organizations, unfortunately, we can hardly rely on any practical consequences of this voting, but less so, it is precisely on such sites that absolutely correct messages and consolidated positions are born, which are poured out a little later in completely different, albeit related, bodies. in practical decisions, practical votes and practical sanctions against the russian federation, but the sanctions, by the way, seem to hurt putin, almost the most, he constantly
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signals this to the westerners. we have a phone, there are some problems with the video, so we will still talk now, mrs. ivanna, we welcome you again, dear, yes, mrs. ivanna, here is the first topic, which i would like to talk to you about, it concerns the elections in france, we saw yesterday's results, there are approximately 34%. please tell me, in your opinion, whether these results, or possibly the results of the second round, which will take place on july 7, will affect the relations between france and ukraine and , in general, whether this may have an effect on the general position of the european union in the future, well, everything will be depend on how it will finally
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end... the election and what majority will be formed on the basis of the new composition of the parliament and what will be the cabinet of ministers and who will be the head of the cabinet of ministers, although of course we know that france is still a presidential republic, and a large number of things related to foreign policy and defense policy will remain in the hands of the president... and macron, but at the same time we understand that the government is responsible for budget funds, for the allocation of those budget funds, for certain things, and of course, this can be, well , significant, the new government can be a significant challenge for ukraine, but not only for ukraine, it can be a significant challenge for france itself within the european union and for the european union, therefore, and therefore
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, everything will depend, again we... you are talking about the far-right, which received 33%, there are also left-wing forces with the ultra-left inside, they made such a coalition, formed left-wing forces, they also received 28% , and they are also very different, and at the moment it is probably not a well-developed such coalition, and it is also among those parties that for us... are, well, to put it mildly, risky. mrs. ivano, please tell me the trend, for similar results, of elections in europe, this applies not only france, and is there, in your opinion, a threat to ukraine for its future accession to the european union in view of this? well, of course, not only france, we saw with you the results of the elections to the european parliament, when the ultra-right and the ultra-left.
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forces, well, like in france or there, say, in germany, in the netherlands, received additional votes, due to the loss of specific forces, and this definitely indicates changes in attitudes within european societies, but first of all, it is about a certain growth of internal nationalism , in accordance. if this trend continues, if it gains strength and governments change as a result, then obviously this will be an additional call, including for ukraine, and in external negotiations, because we will need, when negotiating the european future, our , of course, the main emphasis should be placed on interaction with the european commission regarding
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the adaptation of our legislation to the european one, but without a partnership dialogue with each member country, it will also not be possible to go this way quickly and efficiently, therefore it well, the big challenge that is growing in europe is growing in relation to ukraine as well, but if we are really talking about ukraine and the eu, it is about this accession period. in fact, when we already have a real chance to join the european union in a few years, we now see that pitfalls are emerging in the form of another orbán demand, this is about these 11 orbán demands, and i would like to ask you, in your opinion, whether whether it is really possible to implement them, whether it is necessary to do so, or whether some of them contradict the constitution.

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