in principle, it was not followed, so there were provocations, there were shellings and so on and so on, and this story was crowned by the fact that the real provision of civil shipping was achieved exclusively by the work of the armed forces of ukraine. i don't know if we can talk about the fact that this three-part story, the three-part format has been given to us for some time. in order to have the tools and be able to cut a road for our ships and foreign ships with our grain by sea, but now civil shipping in the black sea exists in limited format, but we can implement it and can support it, and here , in principle, this is a three-way story, it had an exclusively temporary temporary effect.

maybe volodymyr zelensky had something like that, something like that, because, we understand that any agreement with the russian federation is an extremely uncertain, extremely uncertain story, and you shouldn't, probably, rely on it too much, but the fact that it can help let's buy time for something, right? perhaps this is exactly what the ukrainian president meant, but that's it strange to sit and think about, really. indeed , everything can be, but the question is whether russia needs it, whether russia will go to, well, for example, a ceasefire at this stage, whether it is beneficial for them or not, this is also a question, and here the question is what wins, we're talking about the fact that we, we have to win some, somehow time, again, maybe, but only if... the west sets itself the goal that ukraine

must win this war, and ukraine must never be attacked by russia ever again. this is the main question, if the west will not ask itself such a question, then with probability, well, not 100%, but 90% , ukraine, which will not... under the security umbrella of the western world, will be attacked by russia. so you asked the question, does russia need it, pause, does russia need it? well, again, returning exclusively to the statistical data of the last literally two months, we are mainly talking about june, which has passed, then all the graphs and all the exclusively confirmed data of our general staff indicate that the losses of... automotive

equipment, special equipment, artillery systems, in general, the peak there in june 2024 on the part of the russian federation is colossal, as far as air defense is concerned, in principle, the destroyed affected means are also very many, there were more only in june 2023, well, that is , exactly a year ago, and this is quite illustrative, ukraine. finds opportunities to destroy russian forces exclusively on the battlefield and in the front-line territories, but whether this is enough for putin to see the need for a respite, we cannot be sure at all, because certain successes we we have, we are wearing down the russian army, this is objective, but we are wearing out our capabilities in the same way. energy resources, economically we

now have a situation, well, to put it mildly, not the best because, again, energy carriers, we see what is currently being done in the country, the audience will not let us lie, business today is not in the best situation because of that, and we have, this there are both objective and, unfortunately, not the same reasons. and we must understand that russia is unlikely to stop in this direction, at least until the moment when the sky is closed above us at least by the same patriots. by the way, how many have we requested during these years, that we need how many seven, eight, 9, 10, at least of these systems that are available in the world, that could already be in ukraine. unfortunately, this is another delay and the misunderstanding of what... what ukraine needs has led to

the fact that we have this situation with the energy system today. i would like to consider one more side, in general, let me... a parallel reality for myself, at least some changes about the future settlement of the situation, i is now very cautious in any wording between russia and ukraine. the fact is that, if it were not for the war, the powers of the ukrainian president have been exhausted, but the constitution of ukraine provides president volodymyr zelensky with his position because... martial law, because the war with the russian federation is ongoing, it seems to me that everything is quite clear here , but the russian federation has never paid attention either to our constitution or to any more or less ineffective documents of a global scale, not to mention us,

they also made it quite clear that for them president zelenskyi and the ukrainian government are not at all something legitimate here in our country. the state, for them both the previous governments and the previous president were not legitimate, they called them a junta in general, and they equated them with neo-nazis, less so, but do we consider vladimir putin a legitimate president of the russian federation, i don’t, because i don’t i believe that what happened and was called an election in russia was really an election, and the question is not even that everything there... was written as it should be to the current kremlin, the issue is that the annexed ukrainian territories took part in the vote, and the fact that they are now temporarily effectively controlled by the russian federation does not change in any way the fact

that russia, although it wrote them into its constitution, but by the same token, well, it seems to me , completely delegalized its own basic law. well , come on, i don't know, let's write some maldives into the ukrainian constitution and say that they are ours, well, what will our constitution turn into then, if we shove whatever we want in there, well, that is, there is logic, russia doesn't care, russia doesn't care, they don't have a constitution, they don't have laws, they don't have anything, what the rule of law should contain, russia should not be viewed through the lens. the fact that they have a government, a constitution, there are some deputies, there is a state council, it should not be considered from the point of view of the rule of law at all, it is a state entity, well, you can say, even a terrorist state entity, which is waging war against

a whole series of states recognized under international law, and therefore... i would not at all consider and would not elaborate at least in terms of points, there is their kind of constitutional system, because it is absent, only tsar putin is present there, there is a certain vertical of power of the fsb, the gru, relatively speaking, all these international, actually recognized sanctioned persons, and here the question arises, really, how then conduct with such people? any negotiations, on the one hand, on the other hand, we understand that it is unlikely to ever change, well, putin, not putin, there will be a new putin, putin two, putin 3, putin 10, it doesn't matter, so and we are probably talking about some certain intermediaries, but

there is another situation, which consists in the fact that many countries still recognize putin, well, for example, even the united states of america does not say so. that putin is illegitimate, for us he may be illegitimate, but for many states of the civilized world, he is the legitimate leader of russia, everything is correct, they say, we do not recognize elections in the occupied territories, we have not recognized elections since the 14th year in crimea, but we recognize that putin is a legitimate crimean citizen of russia, and here we will not get anywhere from this ship, if the majority of states do not have the strength, do not... have the understanding that the state structure of russia in its current form must be dismantled, so what can be discussed next, then of course we have to play this game in such a case , because, unfortunately, we do not set the rules here, the rules are set by those hegemon states that create world

politics, at the expense of the fact that russia does not recognize our leadership, and i will explain why they do it, they do it with.. .of course, the first is to delegitimize information the ukrainian authorities, and secondly, even if they sign something in the future, they will say, i'm sorry, we won't recognize them. we do not recognize these treaties, any treaties signed with russia, this is just toilet paper for them, i apologize, which they can take and throw away and say: that's it, we, we do not count with these treaties, we are going to war again, that's why i say that in order to sign any truce, any guarantees, any agreements, it does not matter at what point and in what form it is will be, we must have our guarantees from the civilized world, because guarantees from russia

in principle do not exist a priori, there can be no guarantees from putin, from medvedev, from shaigu or from patrushev, there is no guarantee from terrorists, gopniki, everything, it's an axiom, so, that's why it's, that's why it's a big problem that, so that we don't lay down, we should now work on it, if, so that it doesn't happen. and whatever the situation regarding the same negotiations, we must understand: we must together with the western world today lay the the basis of security, so that there will be no war in the future, because if it happens, because if people understand that there will be a war in the future, people will flee from ukraine, many people will say: oh, listen, there are no guarantees, we will go, we will leave here, but even now a lot of people are just trying to flee there... across the border, that 's another question, moral, the question of the legality of what they're doing, but they

're leaving now even taking into account the fact that the borders are closed, if the borders open and say that i'm sorry, there are no guarantees now, that the war will not resume in a year, 2, 3, 5, 10, then people will start fleeing ukraine, this is the number one task for all of us, for the president, for the government, for the verkhovna rada, and the most important thing is this task: for of western civilization as a whole, if it wants ukraine to exist, for ukraine to be an independent state, for ukraine to be a subject and to be part of the civilized world, they must offer us such an option that will testify to the fact that ukraine will be, no one will attack ukraine will not attack, and ukraine will be part of it nato, part of the european union, ukraine will get everything. funds are needed for recovery, for the return of our citizens to ukraine, and russia will continue to bear

responsibility for its actions. without each of these points, we will have a problem, problem, problem, problem, which is called in one general word: gray area, this cannot be allowed in any case. well, as promised, now let's try to look at what is happening in france, and the first round of elections there... shows that the right gets 34%, the left - 29, and macron's party - 21. marine le pen's national association is in the lead, exit polls say that 34.2% of french people vote for it, in second place is the bloc of left parties, the new people's front, which includes socialists, communists, environmentalists, etc., voted for it votes 29.1%. party of something. president macron's revival and its allies the bloc together win the support of 21.5%

of voters. another 10% of french people vote for republicans, some of whom may enter into an alliance with the far-right. and the turnout in these elections is a record 68%. this is also there a characteristic feature of this election process. more than 20 million, almost 21 million voters voted. france has a majoritarian system. parliamentary elections, the second round is ahead, which will take place on july 7. in principle, the situation can change, after the results of the elections to the european parliament, which were not very satisfactory for him, president macron announced that there will also be elections to the national assembly, but, but i would like to note that macron just had a one-time and rather sharp reaction. on what is happening in europe in general, on the current trends in

the european union, the elections in the european parliament led to the fact that he announced elections in his country as well, and did he understand that he would find himself in a not very attractive situation for himself, i think so, but he still takes this step, why do you think, and macron wanted to act in advance, that is, after seeing the results before the european parliament. macron thought that this would lay the groundwork for the presidential elections that will be held in 2027 . we saw that, by the way, in the elections to the european parliament. and in the elections to of the national parliament in marie le pen's party , it is roughly the same 32 34 35%. macron is convinced that they will still manage to turn the situation around in the second round, rightly or wrongly, but i think he

believes at least that much. look, in fact, he could have said, i need to... go to prison until the 27th year, i will calmly serve my term, after that, well, yes, that is, in fact, he has a majority in the parliament, the current parliament, he has presidential vertical, he controls everything, elections to the parliament could take place in 2027 together with the elections before the presidential elections, and accordingly everything, macron completes his second round, then, well, then he wins, for example, marie le pen, or, for example, someone else from the representatives of the national front wins, it could be so , it could be that macron, conditionally speaking, tried to make such a development of events for the presidential elections now ahead, whether he was wrong or not, i think it is too early to judge why, i would not call the elections in france a complete victory of the national

front marine le pen, uh, they get really 34%, but 28-29%. supports the bloc of the left, that is, their votes are practically polarized, in france we see an absolute polarization of voters, and somewhere in the middle 20% are centrists, by the way, centrists - that is, this is the phenomenon that macron created, because in france has never had centrists, there have always been rightists and always leftists in france, just a little less right, less left, but centrists. as a rule , it never happened in france, macron created this phenomenon, but, as we can see, it has not completely taken root, then there is still this polarization, it is very important here what the second round will be, the second round, we just have to understand the electoral system in france in general, it consists in the fact that all constituencies are majoritarian, these

percentages are just , well, conditionally considered for the general public. in order to see the trends, but they do not correspond to the number of mandates, because one candidate is elected in each district, that is, as of now , 34 candidates out of 577 have won in france from the national front, the rest are 30 28, if i am not mistaken, these are those people who won from the bloc of the left, and only two candidates won from... macron's party. we'll see later, because in reality, both macron's party and the left are allegedly going to withdraw their candidacies in those constituencies where one of them will win. and here it can have a cumulative effect. therefore, i will not yet claim that marie le pen's party has completely won. there is

a certain tendency. yes, this trend indicates that the right movements. in europe every month and every year, at least in the last one five-year, they are gaining great, great results, gaining great strength, and why? europe has already had a similar experience, and we understand that historical processes, they very often have a spiral character, if you can say so, why exactly such a trend appears again, well, first of all, we are here... to understand that we are right movements, of course, this does not mean that they are fascists there, or that they are some, that is, let us not also fall into this kind of maximalism and fall into such thoughts that it is supposed that these are some, that these are some fascists there, the hitlerites are leaving, this absolutely it is not true, it is normal that there are leftists, there are

centrists, there are rightists, there are different movements, there are of course. for example, the same political force of the afd in germany, well, there is a slightly different question, there is the party of marie le pen, which is now slowly gravitating to the center, but why are they recruiting. the reason lies in the absolutely wrong policy, which, unfortunately, some states in the european union have pursued, and this policy is primarily built, most likely, on the reception of migrants, that is... these states received probably such a number of migrants that they could not master . see, in fact, reception migrants, it is not. there is absolutely a negative thing, just every state must understand, there is a certain limit and there is a certain number of places

that they can, a certain number of people that they can accept, because every migrant is also a responsibility, every migrant must, if he arrived, socialize in this country, get housing, get a job, get a certain status. to integrate into this society, and in the beginning it really was like that, those waves of migrants, the first who arrived in great britain, in france, in to germany, to sweden, to other countries, they, they integrated perfectly, they, some of them have now become politicians, some have become businessmen, some have become doctors, their children have studied and they have become full members. society, well, i'm afraid that in this rhetoric, in principle, we have not gone into the wrong corner, because, of course, successful cases are

very important, and we can talk about it, but from the position of the left, so let's try now to illustrate a little like this, i say from the position of li, i say, i say, i conclude, i say from the position of the left, that the initial idea was quite... languid, it consisted in the fact that people who, unfortunately, suffer from troubles, various troubles in their countries, could adapt, could come to those countries, what would become of society, i i'm not sure prostate, at least the left wanted it to happen, but the other question is whether it happened, it's about the fact that people who flee their countries find themselves conditionally, now i say very conditionally, there in the middle. well, they only have a way forward, and to specific shores, and if these shores push them away, it for them, it very often means simply death, and

europe has found itself, or rather, europe has been found, and we can also talk about this, this is a long- known fact, in a situation where it has to, or is now actually showing, demonstrating in practice these values ​​that it professes , or to think exclusively from practical... well, some opinions, and how much we can take, how we can provide them, how much we can integrate, practice and values ​​ended up a little here, well, let's say this, on different on different, well, completely different planes , in different planes, but europe was brought to this naturally, let's say, step by step and it was done, in particular by russian president putin, and all these migrants. the waves and crises that took place already after he started armed aggression against ukraine in 2014, all this is equally

worth considering with the puzzles of a single picture, the question here is complex, it consists in what we said about ukraine, that many states, many leaders, states for years and decades turned a blind eye to terrorism, for... turned a blind eye to international terrorists, turned a blind eye to those people who committed crimes against humanity, who violated international law, and among them is vladimir putin. this is a person who is also to blame for the fact that so many migrants are arriving in the european union. this is a person who entered, for example, the same syria, supporting, in fact , the same war criminal as him, bashar assad, who committed crimes against his own

people. that is, the question, it is so difficult and so complex, and its root does not lie now, its root lies in the distant zeros, maybe in the 90s somewhere, but rather in the zeros. when european states, european leaders thought that we would fence off, or even not fence off, that we would put up with, build business, build relations with people like kagebist putin, but not have any consequences, they got consequences. and therefore, when i say that this left-wing policy, it also led to such results, because these are also the results of left-wing politics, when they tried to play for such

people, should be. the middle ground, in my opinion, the middle ground is to help people, and to fight terrorists, and to comply with international law, and now even in europe we need to find some kind of middle ground so that it is not too late, because unfortunately, we we see that people who are ready to destroy the european union are coming to power, including in various states. who had relations with putin, who had, who will flirt even now with the russian federation, well, let's finally say a few words with you about those who have already has left the european union, and we are talking about great britain, our program is called new week, and we not only analyze what is happening right now and has been happening for the last few days, but also what is about to happen, and the results of this we will already to discuss in our next program,

but... ah, we are talking about the 4th of july and the elections to the british parliament, a week before the elections , three polls predict the defeat of sunak's party in great britain, actually, is it a key partner, our key partner , is there certain caveats, i think everything will be fine, because both conservatives and laborers equally support ukraine. uhu, everything will be fine, and the fact that the party, everything will be fine with britain, everything will be fine, there is a complete consensus there, so there is nothing to worry about, i think, at all, about nothing and nothing, prytania is and will support our country, i would also like to remind our viewers that today , all evening in the novy vykyd program, we are asking you whether ukraine should...

agree to negotiations with the russian federation with the participation of mediators, as ukrainian president volodymyr zelenskyi talked about this in his last interview, and i would now like us to produce results again if possible, the vast majority, the vast majority of our respondents believe that it is not necessary, it is not necessary for ukraine to agree to such negotiations, 69 %. of respondents and those who called us, and 31% believe that it should be done this way, especially if someone will stand between us, i hope from adequate sides. well, thank you, yes, thank you to our viewers, thank you khrystyna, and we will see you in a week, take care myself, i didn't understand something. there are discounts

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