when there will be more ethnic irish, catholics in northern ireland, most likely there will be new referendums, and this territory will join the irish republic, this is an almost inevitable process, and scotland can now be said to have digested this situation with brexit. it is often said in british politics that indecision is also one of the reasons why rishi sunak's party lost. the problem of migration, which is quite acute, including in great britain, in your opinion, what will this policy be under labor, softer, labor has always been much more relaxed about migration than the conservatives, and the conservatives have largely made the fight against migration the slogan of their anti-european policies, as has nigel farage, by the way. and then it turned out that they are not

able to solve this problem, and one more thing turned out that the exit of great britain from the european union does not solve the migration problems, this is what was said before this exit, that you will not get rid of anything, only make the situation worse , well, i think that now it will be necessary to do everything possible so that in this situations that have developed in... british politics to begin, i would say, to solve the pressing problems of the british economy. migration is of course also part of these problems, because it is necessary that people who came to great britain at least receive the opportunity to adapt jobs, so that there is a fight against illegal migration, that there is a clear bureaucratic process for legal migration, because you know that there are also a huge number of problems with this, and here is the very story that was connected with the fact that great britain. was

a big supporter of ukraine, but let's say, to get to great britain, as you know, you needed whole special stories with instructions from people who were ready to receive you, right? yes, in fact, people who got to great britain, and there are quite a lot of such stories, they talked about how difficult it was for them to do it and how much more difficult your, in general, institutional adaptation of these people. unlike the european union countries but but but you know what's interesting unlike scotland because in scotland your guarantor was the government scotland, it is also a very interesting point that at the level of scotland it was possible to solve it in the same way as in the european union, because the initiator of solving all these problems was the scottish government, so in fact, if you want to solve these problems, you can solve them, well and probably the last question in this block. still, which

surprised me personally, because we are used to the fact that many politicians like to hold on to their seats, rishi sunaka had the opportunity to hold on until the end of the year, at least legally, the election could not have been held in july, and tentatively speaking, the last possible date for the election, if i'm not mistaken, is the end of december, i understand that he thought that this was because inflation had started to come down, this was a chance for him to get a better result, uh, because he could as an economist to believe that this is not a long-term process, that it can start again after the summer vacation, uh, uh, go in the other direction, and while there is such a trend, he decided to capture this trend, there could be such an idea, it is absolutely not political, this is an economic calculation, this once again indicates that. what

reshe sunok was more of an economic manager than a politician, a politician, a populist, boris johnson was, well, we see, it all led to this, because there you could talk about both love and hate, as you can see, from love to hate one step to boris johnson. the politician keir starmer is just very, you know, like that, he is a poor politician, but maybe he is the kind of politician, just after boris johnson, that great britain needs, that he is a non-star personality. such, i would say, a party bureaucrat, but on the other hand, it is necessary to decide right away problems, like me, when the boris government will solve, we don't know, the last liberal prime ministers, tony blair was such a political star, in front of which even no boris johnson can be compared, but gordon brown, tony blair's successor, already there was such a party bureaucrat, well we see, i'm a bit of a snob, by the way we... we see that it didn't

save the conservatives, yes, actually, from a whole series of wrong decisions, we have a short break, and after that... we'll be back another important topic, let's talk about the united states of america, about elections, about re- about the consequences of the debate and about the ratings, don't switch, see you soon. tingling, numbness or crawling of ants in the limbs arise spontaneously and worry you. a special complex of active substances of dolgit antineuro helps to normalize the functioning of the nervous system. contributes to the return to usual activities, without tingling and numbness in the limbs. capsules doolgit antineuro - help to your nervous system. there are discounts representing the only discounts on пенистыел 15% in pharmacies, plantain, you and savings. the book of women at war, a joint project of the espresso tv channel and the duhi

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improves memory and attention, helps to think. do you suffer from heartburn? i recommend izoto. isoto interacts with the acid in the stomach, which leads to a reduction in the symptoms of pachia. isodaa your water, if it bothers you. or i usual things become unreal, heavy bags are not for my sore back, back pain, try doligit cream. long-acting cream relieves pain, reduces swelling and improves joint mobility. dolgit is the only yellow cream for joint and back pain. when buying a large package of 150 g, you save up to 50%. there are discounts that represent the only discounts on glicised and gliciset max 20% in travel pharmacies and savings. a journalist who joined the armed forces, a political expert who became a special agent, taras berezovyts in the new projects on espresso. the real front is a thorough analysis of the main events. reports,

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the discussion with vitaly portnikov of all the most important events of this week. united states of america, debates, elections, it would seem already. everyone discussed the debate, it would seem that the consequences are already quite clear, but as you can see, as they say, it is still thundering, i am not going anywhere, - says biden, but we see that this position is not shared by everyone in the democratic party, we see that the internal shake-up of the democrats continues, we see that there are votes against biden, and we ... see that the polls, that have been released, at least in recent days, suggest that trump has added a little in his ratings, although it does not really affect the final result, which

is still unknown. let's start, perhaps, with the situation in the democratic party, it is still shaking, there is a position of donors, a position individual senators, there is a position of journalists who are close to the democratic party, i would say to the left democratic camp. sion of average democrats, and this position as of now is not the only one, at the same time biden says that he is not going to withdraw from the primary, primary race, he shows that he continues to meet with voters, give interviews, shows confidence, that everything is normal, what can this lead to? what, what more upheavals in the next few weeks, at least until

the beginning of august, when it will be final to check, so to speak, in the elections, they can expect biden and his political power. you know, i think everything is very simple. if biden decides to stay in this fight, the democrats will have nowhere to go. biden, as we saw from his interview with yesterday's tv channel. he said clearly that he is not going to drop out of the race and that he does not believe all these negative ratings that the host of this interview told him about, but he does not believe, our polls show otherwise, biden said when a reporter told him that he has a 38% rating polls, and this is an absolutely accurate assessment of the situation with biden's mood and with the mood. that is, the democrats have to decide for themselves a simple thing: do they want to vote against

trump or not? this is the logic of elections. you won't be able to prove to any democrat that a more, i would say, energetic trump is better than a less energetic biden. this is such a choice. supporters of republicans, say: "look, you saw, they decided to vote for trump before this debate." these debates did not convince them of anything, they already knew everything, if people ready to vote for not just trump, who became the first candidate for the post of president, but for trump after the storming of the capitol, you can have any debate, you will not convince them of anything, voting for trump is a political diagnosis with an absolute lack of understanding of the consequences . now one more important point. which should be emphasized. in any case, voting in

the united states takes place in three states. be that as it may, or whatever happens at the debate, the american political audience is divided into supporters democrats and republican supporters. this is the legacy of the civil war and subsequent political processes. it is not directly related to trump or biden. there are several states where this is not the case. strongly expressed as you know they are changing hands if donald trump had not won these states in 2000 16 16 he would not be president of the united states the president of the united states would be hillary clinton joseph biden brought these states back to democrat, if donald trump wins them now, he will be president if he loses them. he won't president, no debate will change that, he can win all the debates and lose three states,

three, how many, wisconsin, michigan and not, and arizona, not pilsenvalia, not even, i think, but it's called, some say three, some say seven, i understand that among these seven key ones there are these three, these three, yes, well, well, we will consider even seven, this, but this is the logic of the american election campaign, you can be brilliant. hold an election, you can get a majority of the electoral votes like hillary clinton, trump never did received the majority of the electoral votes, but once he became president and the other time he did not? both times, he had a minority of votes, arithmetically, so what? so this isn't a story about the debate, it's a story about how well these states can be campaigned. of course, the debate will affect the mood of the people in these states, that's clear, but it's also not true. as far as what is most important there, the debate, let's say, whether their economic level, or some issues

of migration, it is necessary to be a specialist in each such story, and do you remember this recalculation votes in the last elections in pennsylvania , he was, it seems, well, they were generally 50 to 50 there, and why then are the democrats shaking so much, there are different, different currents, relatively speaking, trying to stir the water, that is... they are trying to advance, someone is trying to advance their candidates, because it is said that two or three people are already appearing in the press, and even among these donors , these... donors, in particular, they talk about the fact that they would like to see the governors of either michigan or california instead of biden, they why do they say that, there is something in it for them logic, but these people did not win the primaries for democracy, yes, yes, yes, it is not the donors who determine who should be the candidate for the post

of president, but the supporters, but for some purpose now they are actually engaged in separation, well, by the way, related to the larger situation , the fact is, because the democratic party has a big and loud left wing, uh, which now thinks that it can take revenge, that's it, very much, these people think that donald trump, joseph biden is enough , very moderate in relation to the situation which has developed in the gas sector, and as a result, they will not bring to power donald trump, who will not be measured. in relation to the situation of the gas sector, they will tell the israelis to clear it without thinking about the consequences. so will their stupid position, instead of supporting a centrist approach, they will give trump the opportunity to solve the gas issue as he understands it, you probably have no doubt that trump does not even support netanyahu, but the far right in israel government, look at bingwira, that these are

his real political allies, and just like that to people donald trump is committed to solving the palestinian issue, and memory on american university campuses depends on this palestinian issue. that's how it will be, but for some reason they like it, well, and it's their problems, who's against? it is difficult to understand why they decided instead of discussing this situation with a debate in their own circle, to start such a panic, although again, i believe that these ... statements by the editorial boards of the new york times or the economist, these are not statements of the are related to reality, statements are related to exploitation the reality of the left, uh, political circle in the democratic party, if you read everything that these people write, well, this is their position, you see that it is not about biden's age, but about biden's position, again, let's not tell ourselves , that the issue of biden's age does not exist

as a problem, there is, there is, but you can find out, they definitely ... at which debates they saw it, when they supported him, his nomination, why did they not talk about it, here suddenly they got into some kind of reality, oops, biden turns out to be 81 years old and you haven't seen him passport, you looked at it before that, well , you have to remember again that a person who, how to say it. who opposes biden, she is not a boy either, trump is 78 years old, if he is elected president this year, he will be inaugurated at 79, and will finish his term as president at 83, if biden is elected president, he will be inaugurated at 82 and will graduate in 86, you can

find out what is the significant difference for all these people at the age of 83 and at the age of 86. well , in principle, that is, i understand, if the question is about someone's paratrooper or about nick haley, listen, these are two, two very old politicians both, this difference, it is quite illusory, and it most likely just comes from some imposed stereotypes that trump is such a jerk , who turns out to be a young man, by the way, in russia , most of them believe. russian society considers zhivchikov to be putin's young man, who doesn't look like him anymore, look, he runs, he jumps, he's there, he's on a horse, he's on something else, he hasn't been on it for a long time on a horse, again, when was the last time he was on a horse, it's a horse, but many russians still think he is, look at our younger one, well, you remember the last time putin stripped to the waist, well,

maybe 12 years ago , well, the man is now 72 or how many years old, it seems to me. will be 72 this year, but he is clearly not in the best condition . how he behaved when he was 60, how brutal mother, it's also strange for 60, but his information, informational propaganda machine of the kremlin paints him vividly, so i watch it sometimes on youtube. they happen, they are there, we won't name them, they make such a deep fake project, a child in the form of dubstep represents. such a life-saver, and i see that there are millions, thousands of russians writing about how cool he is, what started from the first day when putin became the president of the russian

federation, the huge problem was that he looked, to put it mildly, uncharismatic he's uncharismatic, he looks terrible, he's creepy, i don't know, you've seen him in reality, well, if, if you turn on and look at what he was like in 99 , that's basically it. year, if you look at him other than on tv, he looks very strange, i told me that, he has these kind of short pants, pants, he walks in short pants, he has such a huge jacket, uh, for two sizes bigger than him, the one with the big shoulders, and those heels, and it looks absolutely terrible, i mean it's on screen looks more or less normal, huh, but in real life, when you stand with a man in short pants, a big jacket and heels, it's like he ran away from some

weedy club, but what did they start doing, they started recording songs , i want someone like putin, remember, to make him a sexual image of what he has never been in his life, this is small. the man is short, well, well, according to these clothes , he is five sizes bigger and two sizes smaller, he is complex, well, i can again to be a terrible person, an authoritarian ruler, and he can look good, dress properly, well, but there is some marshal yosif brostita, i don't know, a style icon, yes, yes, but he was a communist leader, he was not a democratically elected leader, but he knew how to dress suits, that cigar, fidel castro, yet another style icon, right? well,

what are we leading to? we lead to the fact that the technology of promoting trump as a lifeblood, as a person who, allegedly, well, that he is not 78 years old, but that he is, well, well, well, well, at least 56, it is similar, well looks american media say that biden asked his people. advisers, that all events with his participation took place until 8 p.m., so that he would get more sleep during the election campaign, well, it seems to me a completely logical request from a person of any age, remember biden at the age of 81, recently he was in normandy, ugh, then went to italy with a group of seven, then went to collect her money. for a company, this is a very serious pace, for an 81-year-old person, even for a 51-year-old person, this is a very strong pace, this is a pace. man ho

says: ok, i'm going to work on the campaign like this, but i want to have time to sleep, ugh, this is being sensationalized, but can you find out how much sleep donald trump sleeps? do we even know when he goes to bed? he spends most of his life in maralaga playing golf, someone has this schedule... when he finishes playing golf and goes to bed. i want to know when donald trump goes to bed. but you will not find this information. nobody cares about that. no one is interested in this for some reason. and this is a strange thing, you know? if we speak not about the statements, but about trump's plans, in particular, the so-called trump plan is again politically forced. they say that trump or his entourage. now he is preparing the nearest decisions for him in the event that he is elected, they say that he is going to give

part of ukraine to putin and forbid its entry, well, at least not to forbid, but to sabotage ukraine's entry into nato. this is the plan, it was announced a few months ago, it is now repeated again by politiko. we... understand that this could be a reality, we we understand that some kind of formula similar to the one that the american publications are talking about can be built, but we cannot be 100% sure, after all, what trump's position will be, it can be like one, two, three, because we have repeatedly said that he is a person who is absolutely unstable in his views. is trump's entourage, his republican entourage, really ready to give

him the opportunity... to implement such plans, which the american publications are talking about today? well, the first point, we don't know if there is he has a republican background, the impression is that the republican party as it existed, at least even during the first trump presidency, has ceased to exist, and this can be seen from what is happening in congress with the republican faction. secondly, it is absolutely obvious that all these plans have no meaning, even if you imagine that there is some consultation between people who call themselves trump's entourage and the russian leadership, because when trump comes. to power, this environment will change under this one for the simple reason that such a law is of a political genre. you are deforming the whole of the united states, not great britain - the price government even before you come to power, but now there is labor, they just named their price ministers, mostly 90%, as current ministers, and all this is over, that is the transfer of power, now there will be a shadow race of conservatives who will prepare to rule the country, that is the system there,

there is no such thing in america, people will be selected there. and these people will start all the consultations again, even if some results were achieved. the third point is that all this nonsense looks very good on paper, but the question arises, how to implement it, which means that putin will give the territory, that it is putin who decides and trump? can they sign an agreement among themselves that we will transfer the donetsk, luhansk, kherson, and zaporizhia regions to russia? of course not. this cannot be. it. ukraine should decide. the third point, what does it mean to decide ukraine? what do we think that some president of ukraine can sit down and, contrary to the constitution and so on, agree to the fact that does he give the president of russia some territory? it can't be like that either. how do you understand? so it doesn't work like that. and here, by the way, the idea is that you can play some kind of duel between the leaders of the countries, the peoples do not play this role, this is an incredible underestimation

of the situation. therefore, again, trump can guarantee putin that ukraine will not join nato, but how? well, he will say that during his tenure ukraine will not join nato, and then there will be the next president who will say that he will join like biden, what is the price of such guarantees? idea, putin's idea that he should take over ukraine consists precisely in the fact that he does not believe that... any guarantees that ukraine will not go somewhere, and it can, cannot be taken over, they are not permanent , but he had an example, there was president yanukovych, who was ready to give everything to him, president yanukovych is gone, there was an example that there was president trump, who was not ready to talk about ukraine in nato, and president trump is not there, why putin, so that ukraine is not a member of nato, so that it can be annexed, that's right, this is the idea, so that no one is against it

helped, here... trump tells him: don't touch ukraine anymore, please, but the whole point of touching ukraine is, don't touch ukraine and we won't accept it into nato. okay, but as we said, president trump will be 79 years old when he says that. first, he will leave office, because this will be his last term by the draft constitution, secondly, he can just die at 80, well, that's what happens to people, alive and alive, walking, the cast woke up and there is no president trump, that's all of us time we say what guarantees are possible to give ukraine so that it feels safe, we say membership in nato, and what guarantees can be given to putin so that he is sure that sooner or later he will capture ukraine, name me such a guarantee,

imagine that you are trump. and you need to promise putin something, so that putin knows for sure that sooner or later, when he wants, or when the conditions are created, or when he gathers his strength again, he will be able to occupy ukraine? what is the warranty? well, there is no guarantee, but a certain period is just as important for putin to win for himself, and if he thinks that he needs a period of time, or maybe he thinks that he needs to conduct the war better, maybe we do not know what is in his mind and what will be in his mind until the end of the year. we say that putin has a third period, then he will be looking for him now, why does he need trump for this? he may believe that it is easier for him to agree on a suspension of war with biden than with trump. and you think it's easier to agree with biden on, i say, as i can believe, in theory, i think so, because trump is absolutely not foreseen, trump, putin also already knows that trump is not foreseen, and biden is foreseen, he will not do anything at least until the end of his presidency.