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tv   [untitled]    July 22, 2024 1:00am-1:30am EEST

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curtailment of the present situation. i completely agree with you. if we recall march 2022 and the istanbul statement, the main representative from ukraine at the negotiations said that he was ready to accept a compromise on the spot, but his russian colleague had to return to moscow to get approval, which he never received. so now putin, as always, is lying and pretending that russia was ready to accept the previous wording. now like you just now. they said, mr. borkovsky, putin is not even talking about the original the istanbul formulation, and about its method of action. in an interview with tucker carsonson, putin said something incredibly outrageous, especially for an american with polish roots like me. he said that poland attacked russia, or the soviet union in september 1939, that is , completely twisting history again, as in the case of katyn, so he is doing it again. putin pretends to be ukraine. had to
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agree to the annexation of these territories, which russia did not even occupy and tries to appear peaceful, hoping to create the necessary impetus with the help of orban's emissary, and yet i think that he will not succeed, the truth is on the side of ukraine. one more thing about orban: for many years, his foreign policy was based on special relations, including economic and currency, both with moscow and beijing. a former hungarian high... gardener responsible for this policy told me that they didn't want to talk about it publicly, but it was something they did with their hands, to a large extent it was just money flowing to orbán, not a principled policy. dear mr. ambassador, bryza, what are the prospects for holding the so-called second peace summit? we understand that the kremlin is saying one thing publicly, behind the scenes they are sending other signals, so there is a feeling that some or other indirect things are going on. negotiations between
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the main capitals of the world, yes, well , i didn't want it to be at the expense of ukraine, but in any case, the prospects for a successful second peace summit, something like what happened in switzerland, but with a very specific by fixing certain parameters. i don't think she has perspective for all, if success means an agreement that ukraine will accept. i remember how i was very worried during the first president. trump, when it was clear that he was trying to get a deal with putin behind ukraine's back, which was some kind of compromise, maybe like the istanbul statement, in exchange for some cooperation from putin in syria. there is always the danger that if trump is elected, he will try to make such a deal with putin without consulting ukraine, but this will definitely not happen at the peace summit, it is a deal that is not in the interests of ukraine, and it is obvious to me that as an organization.
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the european union and the vast majority of its member states do not want ukraine to be forced to end the war as a result of the peace summit, if it is not yet ready for it. there will be some pressure in this direction if there is another such peace agreement from some of the participants, but i do not think that the european union and nato support forcing ukraine to end the war without liberating its territories on its own terms. dear mr. ambassador bryza, how about ukraine, our president, our ukrainian authorities to do the right thing in the current situation, yes, well, because we understand that donald trump is not donald trump himself, and it's not even the republicans, we understand that there are very different approaches in the republican party of the united states, so donald trump - this is boris johnson, yes, who recently met with him, and elon musk, and in general, he represents a certain economic and global environment, so we understand that... he will
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voice certain things, maybe by himself, maybe this there will be some collective decision, a collective manifestation of a certain political will, i really would not like donald trump to say, listen, you are in ukraine, i will give you two or three months, come to an agreement with the russians there, otherwise i will not give you help, so we we understand that not giving aid to ukraine is a stab in the back, that is, the situation is unpleasant, but given the way trump... can conduct negotiations, this may happen, and therefore we need to act as soon as possible. first, boris johnson doesn't really have any influence because donald trump has all the power. even elon musk may be the richest man in the world and have more followers on twitter or x than anyone else, but he has no real political power. so now he has decided to support the course of donald trump. trump is the one who will host. in
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the united states government, and he can indeed do exactly what you mention. in my opinion, ukraine can continue to do what it is doing, but perhaps it should be stated more clearly. we are a sovereign country with a democratically elected leadership, therefore, dear mr. trump, if the united states, heaven forbid if mexico or canada or anyone else attacked you would insist on the right to fight as long as necessary to restore your territorial integrity. at some point, the ukrainian leadership will need to make a clear statement about this. at the same time, of course, ukraine must win on the battlefield. yes, we, the us and europe, should provide... the promised weapons systems, but ukraine definitely needs more soldiers on the battlefield, which is a very difficult domestic political issue in ukraine. so, i would advise ukraine to speak clearly and clearly, and b) win on the battlefield and continue to put pressure on the usa and europe. to put pressure on europe,
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in particular, because trump and owens are actually right that europe has for too long not spent enough on its own defense and has relied. on the united states to bear the burden of what is essentially a huge tax imposed on the united states by its allies. president zelensky would be wise to find a way to strengthen this argument. the us has done a lot for us, but europe, maybe trump is right, you need to do more too. if president zelenskyi was leading such an argument, trump would perhaps be more favorable to him in the event of his re-election. well, i was talking to my ex recently. of the polish senate by bohdan borusewicz, yes, and when i said that the european union, well, it was fitting that they give more money, yes, because there is a situation that could become critical after the arrival of trump and after he will conduct his negotiations, well, on that borusevych said yes, well , we understand that the united states is still
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richer and its budgets are larger, that is , it is a story of sorts, and so is donald trump, i do not think that he has come up with some new scheme, newer than the one i am now voicing. that is , he will say to our official kyiv: listen, you must do this and that, or i will not give it to you, he will say to the russians: listen, you must enter into negotiations, otherwise we will give ukraine additional weapons, lethal and , perhaps, allow us to strike deep of russian territory, not by 100 km, by 500 or by 100 km, so it will generally raise the stakes, but knowing, for example, putin, he will simply, i don't know, conduct another ballistic or tactical training. not tactical nuclear weapons, after then we will be on the threshold of the caribbean crisis, after that everything will decrease, the level of stakes and the level of aggression, but i fear that all this will happen at our expense, i simply do not see that putin is ready to concede anything, maybe i am wrong.
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returning to the comment of the ex-speaker of the polish senate, it should be noted that it does not completely cover the whole picture. the economy of the united states is not as big as the economy. union, the european union has a stronger economy. the problem is that member states have decided not to have them large defense budgets like those of the united states. this is exactly what trump is talking about. you have money, you just choose not to spend it on defense because you rely on us and our own welfare to cover your defense needs. so, european union, you need to use more money to take care of your own defense needs. here you are. argument: if a polish politician does not interfere with this, it means that he does not really pay attention to the political realities that will come after the election of trump. like putin reacted to such a possible deal? i agree that most likely this would be trump's approach, although we don't know
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for sure. we can analyze what is happening now and what happened yesterday, but predicting the future is very difficult. and yet, let's assume that this scenario would be exactly. so yes, i agree that putin will make more threats with nuclear weapons, but i am less and less worried that these threats will work. as my former atlantic council colleague peter dickinson wrote in a recent article for the atlantic council. see how putin behaves in the black sea. ukraine, in fact, not having a fleet, destroyed or disabled a third of the black sea fleet, and forced russia to withdraw such a large part of it from crimea. russia, that now naval experts in great britain say that the black sea fleet is essentially no longer operational. putin has threatened nuclear retaliation if force is used and there are attacks in crimea. but in the end he did what every goof does, gave up and retreated. i don't think there's any
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chance he'll ever use a tactical nuke weapons he will never use a serious nuclear weapon, but if he used a tactical nuclear weapon, it would fundamentally change in ... everything, let's remember how bill burns, the director of the cia, went to warn him about a year and a half ago that if russia used a tactical nuclear weapons, the united states will not stand aside. there will definitely be some nato member countries that will step in and destroy the russian armed forces occupying ukraine, but that's not the scenario anyone wants to see, and i don't think we'll ever get there. well, it's simple we see how hysterically putin is in a hurry. that is, if putin is in such a hurry, we can see this, based on the situation on the front line, he does not spare the people now and constantly drives them to attacks in the donetsk direction. this means that putin wants to invest in his certain grandfather. yes literally and figuratively, well , actually, what kind of deadline is putin's, i think that
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the presidential elections in the usa are definitely an important milestone or marker for putin. i don't know if they are a certain deadline for him, but he really hopes that everything, what we just talked about will happen if donald trump is elected president, and then from his point of view, the support for ukraine will be much less and it will give russia more chance to avoid. but there are also internal undefined terms. no one knows what is really going on. putin probably doesn't know, but right now, as vice-presidential candidate jaydy vance noted in an article he wrote last february: russia produces more artillery shells and basic weapons than the united states and the eu combined. i mean it's like three o'clock or four times more. consequently, the us and the eu have allowed their defense industries to reduce capacity. investing in non-military defense, but we see that the situation is starting to change: firstly, german companies say: oh yes, we
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have to plant military products, weapons and artillery shells, when, as in the past, it has always been a kind of political taboo for german companies, that is, they stayed away from the military context because of germany's nazi past. so gradually american and european factories start to produce more and more weapons, it will take some time, but russia is capable. to produce so much ammunition and weapons because putin directed 6% of russia's entire gross domestic product to the defense sector. he has reorganized the russian economy so that it is completely military-oriented, and this can last for a very long time. for how long, who knows, but the russian people also suffer from the fact that they have much less money for health care, much less money for caring for the elderly , much less money for education. and even a dictator like putin should not to forget about the possibility of revolution.
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there were many revolutions in russia. no, russia is not on the verge of a revolution, but he knows that he cannot continue the intensive militarization of the russian economy. every day that the entire russian economy is focused on the military sphere is another day that moves russia away from the opportunity to modernize its economy and acquire the technologies it needs to compete on the world stage. after this terrible invasion of ukraine ends. i don't know when this deadline will be in my head putin, or when this deadline will come in russian society, i don't know, but it definitely exists somewhere. thank you very much, dear mr. ambassador bryza, for this brilliant conversation and for this extremely important analysis on the air of the tv channel. and i want to remind our tv viewers that matthew bryza, ex-counselor of the state, currently worked for you. of the united states, former director of european and eurasian affairs at the us national security council.
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impartially. you draw your own conclusions. the premium sponsor of the national team represents. united by football, stronger together. andriy piontkovskyi, a famous political scientist based in washington, will be on the air of the espresso tv channel. glory to ukraine, andriy andriyovych, glad to see you. words, well, an assassination attempt on trump is much more serious than just this or that trick of a killer or a madman, so we understand that it generally raises the problem of the internal reorganization of america to an unprecedented level, and trump's victory is already becoming a reality, although the current incumbent president joseph biden is holding his own, but in the united states, there was another rather
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significant, symbolic election. trump has already appointed poti to the position. may indicate certain parallel lines voiced by the same viktor orban, that is, everything is extremely serious, and we see how actively putin is in a hurry. yes, you are right, this is a very important political event, a very important election indicator, trump's choice of vice president. we remember very well his activity in blocking aid to ukraine. he hates ukraine the most in the american congress. for the past 5 months, he has not left the television screens from the meetings of the congress commissions, spreading all kinds of lies and hatred towards ukraine. about the fact that aid is stolen, that in a totalitarian state 20 parties are banned in ukraine, and prominent christian preachers
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are imprisoned by the ukrainian authorities. it was he who influenced the republican fundamentalists, of whom there are quite a few in... and actually, he did not add any electoral advantages to trump, because in the party itself, we know very well about the report of the heads of the three commissions, mccall, rogers and turner, about how defeat ukraine. they sharply criticize biden for insufficient support for ukraine, and from the point of view of average voters, they never pressure trump to be against ukraine. for the overwhelming majority of trump-supporting cattle, ukraine is not at all... in the person of the leaders i have named very strongly supports ukraine, so the appointment of this person shows how dependent trump is in this position, it is no coincidence that orban, trump, and now his new vice president, vance, are
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a team, which is intensively working on the surrender plan of ukraine. force ukraine to give up territory and agree to a ceasefire without any guarantees for ukrainian security. we understand that the plan of presidential candidate trump is quite simple, that is, he would issue a certain ultimatum to our leadership and would roll out certain proposals to the kremlin. so is the key story, it is in our ukrainian case, it is a matter of resources and support with ammunition and weapons. and so on, what concerns russia, i don't know, trump would threaten something, yes, but it would mean that putin would de facto, just raise the level a little higher and might just not agree, so... . this is the plan that trump, if you are to believe, announced to american journalists, yes, this plan would be doomed, well, at least everything would be done at our expense, everything is correct,
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no, not like that, because all these stories about how he will put pressure on putin are empty seasoning for the essence of the trump-putin plan, and the essence is one - to fix real assets as much as possible, putin is pursuing this, he realized that the war that he... he needs to fix some honorable draw that he will sell to his deep people, and this honorable draw is the capitulation of ukraine and its territorial division. andrii andriyevich, parameters, how putin would see it all. we understand that perhaps no one will give him anything like that implement, well, but the key story is putin's desire, but he himself, we see that he lied even in his false
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signals about his readiness to talk about something there, that is, putin refers very often to the so-called istanbul talks, although he completely rewrote them under his ambitions, i.e. now, when putin is talking about the so -called istanbul and some unsigned istanbul agreements, well, we understand that... in the first version it was about something else entirely, now he is trying to annex those territories that he did not seize and capture this is an unprecedented peace proposal in world history, fix for me those territories that i did not capture. there is no way i can capture kherson and zaporizhzhia, so give me kherson and zaporizhia, please. it's all talk, but he hopes trump wins and joins. to his pressure on ukraine, now is the decisive moment, how the democratic party will react, it has a chance to win the election from trump, for this
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, a non-standard solution and a complete change of personalities and policies are needed. it is obvious that with every hour, i watched american television in front of our airwaves, biden is already a laughing stock in politics, everyone is demanding that he leave, a real scenario. american democrats, that it is not just necessary to remove biden from the negotiations, he should resign from the post of president, why? because then harris is automatically non-acting, she becomes president before that term expires, and if she becomes the democratic nominee, she will have more power and authority as president. do not forget that inside the republican parties under... the surface of the congress that is happening now is a very deep split. on the one hand, the trump vance gang, doing putin's bidding, on the other hand, the three
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wonderful heads of the committees we have already mentioned, mccaul, rogers and turner, the authors of the plan to win ukraine. i propose to publicize the plan published in washington in russian and english with the proposal: biden resigns due to health. by the way, because it was the republicans who passed the law on military aid with a demand on the administration, within 45 days to report to congress on his plan for war in ukraine. 45 days later, on his first day , harris has to present the republican plan as the administration's plan. this is a broad step, imagine a democratic president presenting a republican plan for the us's war in ukraine. this is a step towards the unification of the political
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elite, and during her term of the presidency , she positions herself with her political statements and military-political decisions as the leader of the free world, leading the fight against the regimes of terrorists and autocrats who have declared war. in particular, together with the french president. macron agrees on the provision of a large number of planes, including those operated by western crews, what does sociology suggest to andrii andriyovych, does kharis have a sociological chance, yes, because, oddly enough, after the assassination of trump, sociology still showed that he was starting to overtake of the current president biden by 1.5%, well, it's actually a pittance, so i am... not in the change of surnames, but in the change of logic and politics. by adopting this republican program , she seems to be abandoning the biden program the politics of the cowards. democrats should become
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a party. victory in ukraine to win trump's election, because this is the weakest place of the republican party, i have already said, it is divided between supporters of victory and supporters of putin's forced capitulation, if the democratic party in the person of garis completely changes the program on ukraine, taking the republican program of mccall rogers and turner, then what trump and vance will do, they are connected completely by themselves. the capitulation of ukraine, and they will be sharply against, and thereby ultimately themselves are discredited as putin's agents, well , you know, there are two more indicators or manifestations of certain political processes, and they relate not only to the domestic american agenda, certain global players are already saying this, an extremely serious player elon musk made a multi-million dollar donation to
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donald trump's campaign trump yes, and we saw an extremely eloquent photo with johnson, the british prime minister, beloved by all ukrainians until recently, and this also means that a much bigger and wider game is being played. mask's position was well known, he was never a friend of ukraine. i repeat once again that it is possible to win against trump only by completely changing the concept of the democratic party regarding ukraine. biden even after his press conference, after the summit. nato continued its stupid statements about avoiding escalation. in my opinion, he is the only person in the administration who continues to hold on to the ban on ukrainians from striking deep into russian territory. he began to think that moscow could be hit in the same way. how come? and he said this the day after the terrible terrorist attack on kyiv, and attacks on ukrainian cities occur every day.
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democrats. the only way to avoid defeat is to force biden to resign and nominate harris, who will take an offensive stance on the war in ukraine, as president. moreover, this is not only a matter of the election campaign. in the few months that harris is president, he and macron can make a big difference on the battlefield if they take this decisive step. zelensky first named the exact number of aircraft needed. by the way, i kept saying that 200 planes were needed, but zelensky called a strange number, many were surprised by it, 128, why is it such a non-round number? specialists explained that they had calculated the number of squadrons, the provision of which he was negotiating with france, great britain and sweden. and 128 is the number of aircraft in the scenario where the french, british and swedes transfer ready
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squadrons. 10-12 planes in each, that's why such a non-round number came out, but the most important thing is to overcome the last stupid red line, why urged macron. this is a red line imposed on ourselves, that only ukrainian pilots should be at the helm of the planes. this requirement delays the f-16 transfer operation by two years. yes, there will be a maximum of 40 ukrainian pilots who can take. deep political crisis in russia, it is necessary, i agree with zelenskyi, 128 planes. garis is the democrats' only chance to defeat trump and take a firm position to win the war in ukraine. andrii anriyovych, a simple question, that is, i understand your concept and your assessment
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current but putin is in a great hurry even now, that is, the active donetsk operation is in full swing, 40° in the shade, the towering armored vehicles of the russian interventionists are now a little on the verge of exhaustion, that is, they are running out, they regularly throw live force, so-called, which turns into dead force, this is just an indicator of that haste, putin is usually in a hurry, that is, even if the only difference was whether or not trump would come, he would... drag this campaign, yes, but no, he is literally gasping hysterically right now, this is putin's last chance to the arrival of trump: nuclear blackmail was defeated after macron's excellent response when putin threatened him with nuclear weapons, he replied: don't forget, france also has nuclear weapons, and look...

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