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tv   [untitled]    July 22, 2024 2:00am-2:31am EEST

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against enemy uavs or missiles, therefore, in principle , it is mostly russia trying to break through possible measures in the future for what it will use for missiles, therefore , in fact, we see that even now the altitudes at which the same drones begin to fly are significantly reduced, and on the contrary, it puts a very heavy strain on our air defense forces, but nevertheless we see that a... we manage to shoot down these air forces, but it should be noted that in any case the key challenge that is now facing the air defense forces of ukraine, this is the creation of a low-altitude radar field that will allow detection of such at low altitudes in order to destroy them in automatic mode, we are already seeing the first training on the use, for example, of solid waste drones for the destruction of drones. wing-type to
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destroy russian reconnaissance bupels, so in principle in the near future, i think we will see a ready-made system that will work in automatic mode, detect and destroy. another question concerns reconnaissance drones the occupier, their number of applications is increasing, we see that it is clear, they are flying in the south and east along the line of combat engagement so. but very often these drones are used in chernihiv oblast, sumy oblast, kyiv oblast, even in the rear oblasts. also, what does the fact that the occupiers have started to use reconnaissance drones so often now, and does that perhaps have something to do with what they're looking for, whether it's f-16s or airfields where f-16s are based, that is there is also such a theory. what are your thoughts on this? but
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the enemy is trying to detect any positions military, for example, air defense systems, fortifications of our defense forces. why are more reconnaissance uavs being used recently, because the defense forces significantly affected the capabilities of the russian federation by hitting a large number of radar devices used by russia for, for example, reconnaissance of the territory of ukraine, this and the container, this and varonish, this and... e-e nebom, which were destroyed in the temporarily occupied crimea. let's go back to the fact that russia lost two planes of the 50s that were helping to reveal to the russians certain movements or, for example, certain positions of the ukrainian defense forces. therefore, right now, the enemy actively began to use the intelligence facilities on arlan, zala in order to find and receive certain information, because without those means that were destroyed, russia is somewhat... blind, so now
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it uses this method, using intelligence fire. if we are talking about the f16, then i already mentioned them, volodymyr zelenskyi in one of the interviews stated that 18 months have passed since at least they started talking about the f-16, to expect them in ukraine, they still haven't reached us, as they say, they are not there now, at least officially on the territory of ukraine. according to official information , there should be six boards by the end of summer and supposedly up to 20 by the end of the year, but in your opinion, when exactly can we expect them, because every month we actually see relocation, rearrangement, movement of this date, receiving the coveted f-16. in fact, in terms of... years, ukraine's transition to
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f-16 aircraft involves a two-year program. of course, this is a two-year program due to the fact that even cadets who have no piloting experience are studying. we are talking about the fact that we also train pilots who have combat experience, that is, they had to retrain for a new type of aircraft, gain access to operation. in principle, if we talk about such training, then it takes from three to four months, sometimes six months is enough. but it should be noted that this is retraining and this is admission to piloting, we are saying that our pilots must prepare and perform combat tasks well, use all weapons that are on the plane, and it takes some time to improve these capabilities, so to speak, so in principle it should be noted that in fact now our pilots are improving their capabilities and practicing various types of combat tasks, probably even planning . them
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even on the territory of the russian federation, here it should be noted that sweden has transferred to us, is transferring to us long-range relocation detection aircraft , and this also needs to be coordinated in order to... learn to work properly with these aircraft, it also takes some time . it is clear that on the part of our diplomacy, on the part of our president and the head of the country, such messages should be heard in relation to our western partners in order to speed up the possibility of obtaining aircraft after all, because in any case, aircraft that would, for example , performed the tasks of protecting the airspace from massive missile strikes, could be used already after a certain short period of time. pilots, because we are talking about involvement in closing actions, well, in principle, we see the first airspace without participating in combat information that it does provide, first there will be a certain number of aircraft that will deal with the protection of the airspace, and then other aircraft will be added, for, for example, striking
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the territory of temporarily occupied ukraine or the territory of the russian federation. certainly, in my, well, in my opinion, the planes could already be in ukraine, basically all of them. they confirmed to me that they could have been as early as may, but it is clear that there are certain elements that our western partners are trying to improve, because we must remember even the words of the danish air force commander, jan dam, who noted that a very powerful aircraft must be prepared very well for ukrainian pilots, so i understand that on the part of our western partners there is also a certain pro... reluctance, because they take care that our pilots are well trained. as for when we will receive, well , definitely by the end of summer we will receive a certain number of aircraft, by the end of the year i predict that there will be a little more than 20 aircraft. but if we are talking about the preparation of airfields,
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we see how the occupiers are constantly launching missile strikes on airfields, possible bases in their opinion, again f-16, these are different types of airfields, starting from ky...shchyna and ending in khmelnytskyi, lviv and so on, yes. at the expense of this, do we have, in your opinion, again, this infrastructure is being prepared as much as possible, and is this not a possible, possible element of the delay in the delivery of the f-16, because we here in ukraine need, as they say, to receive them and put in those places for storage and use. so that the occupiers do not get them with their missile strikes. let's start with the fact that our society perceives the preparation of airfields to receive f-16 aircraft as a big construction. in fact, it should be noted here that airplanes require maintenance and
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being at any airfield that can provide protection due to air defense means, can provide radar means for takeoff and landing, for example, bad customs. conditions or some other certain means and secure the plane refueling, maintenance and, for example, under the carriage and fixing of combat equipment, so in principle it should be noted that most of the airfields of ukraine are ready to receive f-16 aircraft, they in principle only provide for the receipt of certain e-e equipment, which would provide these aircraft and, in principle, protection directly by means of air defense, because if we say: about fast targets, then they can be shot down at the expense of, for example, air defense systems that can fight against ballistic missiles, aeroballistic missiles, the rest the threat is destroyed due to the lifting of these planes and or the deployment to other
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airfields, or even the lifting and protection of the airspace, so in principle it should be noted here that but from my own experience there was an opportunity... to be in baghdad when there was military operation of the united states, iraq freedom, the application, that is, it is not like that there, there are no such hangars or any sophisticated equipment to protect airplanes or helicopters, so in principle it is important to have air defense and the ability to lift all the airplanes, which are on the aircraft. thank you very much for your thoughts, your expert assessment of the situation, and specifically with air defense, with the attacks of the russian federation against ukraine. anatoly khrabchinsky, deputy general director of the company dealing with rebo, and an aviation expert was on the live air of the espresso tv channel. we have
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a short break, and in a few minutes we will be back with new guests, new analytics and new information. don't switch. greetings, this is svoboda live on radio svoboda. we have already come to the very point snake the following shots may shock you. news from the scene. live drone attacks. political analysis objectively and meaningfully, there is no political season, exclusive interviews, reports from the hottest points of the front. svoboda live, frankly and impartially. you draw your own conclusions. the premium sponsor of the national team represents. united by football, stronger together! politclub
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is back, live, and we're continuing our analytics with our program guests, so now we're joined by igor semivolos, director of the center for middle eastern studies. mr. igor, we are glad to welcome you, here is the secretary of state of the united states of america, anthony blinken, has stated that israel and hamas are allegedly close to a truce, he also stated this, the american press and the american online publications are saying this in part. at the same time, we see that johnson is publishing a peace plan for ukraine. and allegedly says that this, conditionally speaking, could be trump's peace plan, yes, well, these are
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the parallels, so to speak, we now have, mr. igor, how do you generally assess the proximity of this possible truce, or is it really can be implemented between israel and hamas in the near future, or will it again be disrupted and postponed for... a certain period? well, the problem is that there have already been many such rumors about a truce, yes, that is, for almost several months we have been watching the attempts of the american administration, first of all, and arab countries, first of all egypt, to organize just such a truce , so far it is rather further. than we want, and because there are positions of netanyahu, there is
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a position of the far-right members of the israeli government, there are several political decisions that the israeli government has made recently, which create serious future problems in general for the negotiations between the palestinians and the israelis, and which speaks for the possible... benefit, well, of, more precisely, that such an agreement can be signed, and obviously, these are statements of the military that if such an agreement is signed, then most likely the situation in the north of israel, near the lebanese border, will normalize, this, this reasoning is quite, well, quite appropriate, considering that the fact that hizballah has repeatedly
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emphasized in his speeches, well, the leader of hizbollah, that they are conducting military operations against israel in response to the israeli war in gaza, that is, this aspect is taken into account by the representatives of the israel defense forces, and from their side we hear supporting efforts to make a deal with hamas, but if we're just theorizing what you think that deal might be, or at least some drafts of the deal, maybe what that means, because well, if it's talking about the secretary of state of the united states of america, so he has some kind of minimal idea about it, what, what, how it should look in general, whether it is some kind of temporary or permanent. will there be any postulates that will really take into account at least partially the interests
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of the parties, as you see it? well, there is no other agreement than trump's proposal, yes, that is, we must understand that this is a three-stage period, the exchange of hostages, the cessation of hostilities in gaza, the gradual withdrawal of israeli troops from gaza, and the complete cessation of war and the day after, it means a problem... actually lies in the fact that there is no such day after, that is, in all these discussions, mostly most of the parties focus on the first and... partly on the second stage, but it is not clear what to do next. hamas, by the way, is more likely to agree to a technocratic government that it will lose power in the sector, but the israelis in this case would like to control, continue to control the gas sector, if not directly, then at least indirectly, and this clearly
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contradicts that the very plan of the americans. i think this issue will definitely be raised during netanyahu's visit, if it happens, and if biden, of course, recovers the answer, that is, all these issues will be discussed. the key question is what will happen after that, that is, what will be the post-war plan for the restoration of gas and the settlement plan, the israelis are now taking certain steps that nullify, so to speak, the biden plan, and here is the scandalous decision of the israeli government that they are abandoning the two stage solution . netanyahu's statements that the west bank is originally israeli territory and the like, but i think that raising the stakes for the start of negotiations with the americans, that is, we somehow see that a more real truce, a more
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real agreement can be either closer to the presidential elections in the usa, or, most likely, even after. i think, you know, i, i, i will not risk making predictions at all, because the strategy of nathaniag is to delay the negotiations and delay the decision, and this is understandable in view of the fact that trump will come, and he expects that it will be easier to negotiate with trump, and he will be able to get better conditions, but since they are not sure to the end that trump will win, then of course they will put their eggs in ... baskets and continue to negotiate with biden in the expectation that they will still not be able to reach a full agreement before the election, especially when it comes to the day after , and as far as i understand, there is also a certain political component, and it consists in the fact that benjamin netanyahu, in
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principle, would like to stay longer in his chair, and the actual solution to this issue... or rather, no solution this issue prolongs his stay in the chair so to what extent, without a doubt, he is a well-known political animal, that is, he is absolutely fixated on his power and his stay in the chair, and therefore it is clear that this is the primary task that he sees before himself. another topic i would like to talk about with you is the exchange of attacks, the houthis actually attacked israel, telyaviv, israel. responded with a pretty heavy blow yesterday on houthi positions in yemen, how do you assess this situation, this could lead to further escalation between the yemeni houthis and israel, or is that how to say it more correctly
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a one-time promotion, so to speak, and can it be included here, well, in principle, they have already been included? israel's allies, there at least the united states of america, great britain, someone else maybe? well, i want to point out that the international coalition, which is designed to ensure the freedom of shipping in the red sea, refused at one time to attack the port of al hudeida, precisely because it is the only port in yemen that accepts humanitarian cargo, the fact that did israel, of course, it endangers... the existence in general, well, or the provision of humanitarian aid aid to yemen, and obviously there will be quite a lot of criticism of this decision. as for the strike itself, this is without a doubt, israel is demonstrating new capabilities in the near east, this is of course a strike on yemen, which
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does not have such an air defense, serious, it was a thing that was obviously safe from the point of view of israel for its planes, and this of course, a kind of hint from iran that the israelis can carry out operations 1500 km deep, and whether yemen will respond, it will be so, and obviously the answers will be both strikes from yemen and strikes from... from other friendly groups, it should be noted that the vast majority of the locators that tracked the drones are concentrated in... well, in the direction of, let's say, the east, yes, that is, not without a direction in the direction of the south, here it turns out that the drone flew as if from the territory of egypt, we do not know how he flew,
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israelis, israeli sources claim that he was spotted, but not identified as enemy, well, here is the question, in any case, it is obvious that there will be a continuation of this story, and this is a systemic escalation. you can say so. but is this one being considered? the possibility that, for example, russia will arm the yemeni houthis, well, at least there were such rumors, of course, i don’t quite believe in them, but you, more professionally, may be able to assess such a possibility of providing, for example, missiles, to the yemeni houthis, from the side, well, that’s it you have to start from something anyway, yes, well, that is, i don't think so. that basically, well, russia used this thesis to put pressure on saudi arabia, huh, but it was more of a pressure, and it was more of a blackmail, huh, and
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than you can imagine now, direct deliveries, if there will be anything, it will be everything one thing supplies from iran, and accordingly, russia can work here directly, rather with tehran, yes, iran can be in the middle. in the transfer of some weapons, and it is doubtful that it will be russian, because, as you understand, in the event that such a missile flies over israel and it is identified as russian, then the entire strategy of moscow, and the strategy of tel aviv, including , an attempt to run between the drops in relations with israel, and accordingly, on the contrary with moscow, it will be destroyed, so they will not risk doing it, but it is obvious that... that iran will supply weapons, and here it can be assumed that we houthis can get really new models of weapons from iran. and you know,
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the last question, if i may briefly, is about iran, here you are, we have already started talking about iran. anthony blinken, the secretary of state of the united states of america stated that iran is close to creating a nuclear weapon and even mentioned the time frame of 1-2 weeks, that is, that they can technologically do it within this period, how realistic it is, and why it works entire secretary of state of the united states of america and voices now this information, well obviously, i don't think antony blinken is misinforming the public here, obviously technologically the iranians have the ability, well... the question is whether they will do it or not, so basically this option has been around for a long time time, i.e. one, one or two weeks, well
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, a month or a half, uh, that is, nothing has changed here, why is he saying this, well , maybe he is saying this in order to use this fact in negotiations with the israelis, because the israelis, since they emphasize constantly on iran as key threat, then accordingly... the united states of america is ready to stand in solidarity with israel on this issue, but in return they expect the israelis to make concessions on the palestinian issue, and at least not the tough position that my government has taken now. well, that is, i see it more as an argument in future negotiations with the israelis. mr. igor, thank you very much for your thoughts. thank you, ihor simovolos, director of the center. middle eastern studies live on the air of the political club on the espresso tv channel. we are moving on with you and we are in touch
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the next guest: ihor lytvyn, ambassador of ukraine to the people's republic of china, co-chairman of the ukrainian-chinese business council from 1999 to 2001. mr. igor, we are glad to welcome you. good evening. good evening. greetings to all our viewers. and here is great britain, the head of great britain stated that china is a mortal threat to great britain itself, so we saw a certain radicalization of opinions, statements on the part of great britain, regarding the prc, how do you evaluate such, such things, such statements, and are they... perhaps related to what happened in great britain the other day volodymyr zelenskyy was the president of ukraine. i believe that of course president
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zelensky's visit to britain, his talks with the leaders of this country, they certainly added, let's say, to the mood of british officials, including the minister of defense, but i want to note at the same time, that here it is necessary to understand whether britain actually considers china. mortal threat, because we can rely, let's say, on the declaration of the recent nato summit, where, as i write in these newspapers, it was stated that china is a decisive factor, a threat, there is no it says he's a threat, in fact, it says what he creates is a challenge. and these are
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different things, well, let's assume that the minister of defense called china a mortal threat, i think that this is about whether it will form, that means the axis of evil, moscow, tehran, pyongyang and beijing will be added to them, that's of course . will be a mortal threat to all mankind, and this goes to the fact that there is a mutual understanding there, and certain people may view it that way, i don't think that china is a mortal threat, because china is very much connected to the west, more than with moscow, more than with iran, more than with north korea, in relation to korea. by the way,
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recently china expressed its uh, let's say, dissatisfaction with the current policy of north korea, uh, in such a way that it was clear in north korea, we are talking about a corresponding correction, that means there is a correction of uh , the supply of the corresponding goods that north korea needs, so to think that china is a... a mortal threat, i wouldn't, uh, let's count how many uh billions of dollars is china's foreign trade in a year, it's about 6 trills, how many of them accounts for russia, it's 240 billion, it's literally uh-uh 2%. and how much is trade with...
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the countries of the european union and the united states, it is approximately 1.300 billion. last year it was more than 1.6. therefore, pragmatic china is unlikely to, let's say, play with its fate like this, losing such huge prospects that it currently has, especially since now the european... union has launched a whole series of different investigations, the first of which concerns imports from china electric cars, uh, expert evaluations say that next year, china can supply all the countries of the world with about 70 million cars,
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the need for the whole world is about 40 million this year, and here it is also said that china heavily subsidizes all this, that is, production and supplies, experts estimated that china spends, mind you, 5% of gdp annually on government subsidies, which is 10 times more than the united states does the same. states, great britain, france, germany and so on, that is, there is a specific threat, and it is the essence of this, that is, the investigation, which the european union is leading, whether china will want to argue with the european union and lose such a huge market, i have a lot of sadness, so it's more, i think, an emotional one.

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