leadership, and the main question here is different: what does the vast majority of the country's population think, they think the same, they also believe that the main threat to moldova is russia. and here is the answer to this question, no, because public opinion polls show that the majority of the country's population adheres to an unrealistic point of view that with russia... it is possible to agree that russia will give us peace, that we need to be with the west and with the east , that is, to be a gray area, a buffer that can milk two cows, there are a number of people who believe that it is possible to remain in the russian sphere of influence, and this is after the war in ukraine, this is after all the sacrifices and sufferings that it brought to russia, and now there is no clear answer to all these questions, and it seems to me that...

the answer to this issue will be of key importance in the parliamentary elections in the middle of next year, and these elections will be very important for moldova and for moldova's european path. mr. vladyslav, now there are questions about transnistria, sociological surveys were conducted, and citizens of moldova of course, they asked what to do with transnistria, how to settle this issue, including. one of the points was regarding the resolution of the issue by force, in fact the return of the unrecognized transnistria under the control of moldova by force, 75% of the respondents stated that they were against the force option, still more than the political-diplomatic option, but in this case after all, we see that the absolute majority of the inhabitants of moldova, they understand that they do not... want a forceful solution to this

issue, after all, this issue is sooner or later has to be decided, we understand it logically , your opinion is expert, to what extent moldova will have to take certain risks or force confrontation, is it possible that some methods will appear to do it politically, and again , in your opinion, when it might happen, because we... understand you well, we understand moldova well, because we have, conditionally speaking, also occupied territories, albeit a little bit in a different, in a different, so to speak, status , yes, but i will remind you that this is happening in moldova with 1992, it's not a matter of today or yesterday, it's... already 20 years, and

well, that's the attitude towards the settlement of the transnistrian conflict, it's always been there, it hasn't changed. i have seen, including many closed polls, that both the government and society in moldova are against the solution of the transnistrian conflict by force, and the only way that the government and society consider to be pleasant, which is supported. society, this is exclusively a peaceful, diplomatic settlement of the conflict. well, almost all of them are in moldova will understand that trying to resolve the conflict by force will mean involving moldova in the war, and no one is ready for that. but you are right that this question, it, it is already practically, practically there is already some kind of...

frozen conflict there is no longer, ah, this, this is 100%. and, well, my prediction is that in the next two years this issue should be resolved, exclusively by peaceful diplomatic means, because now this status quo, which existed there for 24 years, 22 years, it no longer exists, it is no longer there , because the geopolitical situation in the region is already different and... these attempts to maintain the status quo, they have no future, and how it will be, the settlement of the transnistrian conflict, this is a very big question, but i am sure that it will go as a package to the settlement of the regional situation, to the construction of some new security system in the region. it will be

100% on a daily basis. on the other hand, society is also not ready to make any concessions, because any political party that... makes the settlement of the transnistrian conflict its priority will seriously lose its rating, that is, we have a situation where on the one hand the side of the status quo no longer exists, it no longer exists, and on the other hand, society is not ready to settle the conflict through peaceful diplomatic means. by the way, according to the latest information, joe biden announced that he was leaving the presidency. what race this information appeared on his official facebook page 10 minutes ago. well, we will follow. maybe a little later to sort it out. well, that was expected too. and this will have very serious consequences, both for moldova and for

ukraine. because it seems that if donald trump wins these elections, then, well, we will probably go back to... the agreement, and if we look at how it happened, well, let's take the 1814-15 congress of vienna, where four states, five the states agreed to agree on what the political map of europe would look like, whether we will take it there, i don't know, for example, 1917-18 after the first world war, when that means... 27 countries participated in the versailles congress, but there was a large the four, which practically solved all the questions regarding the political map of europe, and one only the country that did not agree to this was turkey, whether it was yalta or potsdam or something else, because

after, because practically all such big, big wars, they ended with agreements, and president biden... for moldova and for ukraine, he was a very important figure, because he said that there should be no agreements without ukraine or without moldova, if this is the position of, well, possible president trump, this is a very big question, which one i will be, could have very big consequences for us. and one more question that concerns the elections in moldovans, in fact, presidential elections are to be held. later it became clear that the parliamentary elections, mayasandu, the president of moldova, is now in fact, according to the rating , in the first position, well, it is clear that russian or pro-russian forces will

try to shape some new candidate or a new old candidate, that's how far it is now in general... during the upcoming election campaign, we see that russia is trying to interfere in it, and is there a possibility that the pro-russian forces will nominate some new, or as i said, old candidate who can catch up with the ratings of the current president of moldova and even defeat her, although again, according to the ratings, as of now, she is number one, and there, if ... i'm not mistaken, she has about 40 percent or even more support among the population country, so now she is the number one candidate, the president has sando and she has the best chance to win the election, but russia will do everything possible so

that, well, practically the government of moldova and the presidential election, so that my sando does not win the presidential election and that her party the political party did not win the parliamentary elections. why? because president sandu, she practically emphasized moldova's position that we will no longer negotiate with russia, we will no longer be in the gray zone, we will no longer be a buffer, and our only path is the path to the european union, which means that russia is practically losing its influence on moldova, and these levers of influence are becoming less and less, and therefore they will do everything possible to ensure that... president sandu did not win these elections, but in the history of moldova, by the way, not a single person never won the presidential election twice, but the president has sanda, she has the best chances, because her opponents are on

the left wing, and the left wing is the pro-russian wing, they, they are divided, they agreed for a very long time on a single candidate, they did not agree no to what and in the end they all went to the polls, and that would split their electorate and practically guarantee victory, victory for president masand, but it would only be in one case, if there was no destabilization. and this is very important, because there are so many candidates, this is in favor of president san, but if there is destabilization, it will change the picture, the political picture in moldova, because maysand has two main achievements: what managed to preserve peace in moldova, to prevent war from entering the country, and moldova has " geopolitical certainty has appeared, a real prospect of joining... the european union has appeared, the country's development path is clear, but if there is destabilization in moldova, it

can very quickly destroy its political rating, and this is a very dangerous thing, for example, through gagauzia, not through transnistria, but through gagauzia, this time is now for moldova, there is such a threat of destabilization due to the autonomous region of gagauzia. mr. vladyslav. thank you for joining us and for sharing your thoughts. vladyslav kulmynskyi, former vice, vice prime minister for reintegration of moldova, executive director of the institute of strategic initiatives, was on the live air of the espresso tv channel. we are going to take a short break, after which we will talk about the exit itself. president of the united states states of america joe biden from the presidential

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we are working further and will discuss now the hottest the event, of course, this evening for ukraine and this day for the united states of america, for the whole world, the fact that joe biden withdrew from the presidential race, we already have a ride with which we will discuss this, but not yet, my guest prompting, let's then, let's see then, what happened, joe biden actually... on his social networks released a letter with his signature, where he announced that he is withdrawing from the presidential election, but he remains the current president until the end of its term, that is, until january 20 of next year, by

the way, you can see this letter on your screens, it is published both on facebook and on... social network x, in it, biden is clearly expressing his thoughts, thanking, thanking people, thanks the americans, says that america should continue to be a democracy, and that he makes, in fact, such a decision, you can go to his social networks, re-read, re-watch, because it is well... of course, it is very important for the whole world, and it is clear that it is important for ukraine, today's adoption such a decision, and we also now absolutely do not know who will be the candidate from the democratic party, who will actually become, well , if not biden's successor, then the

person who will be nominated by biden's political force, and it could also be the same. .. kamala harris, the current vice president of the united states of america, it could be one of the current governors, well, let's see, then the decision will be made by the democratic party, actually by the leadership, by people who are members of the democratic party, it will also be very interesting to see, in the same way it will happen this choice, because joe biden was de facto chosen in the primaries, and by the way, in these primaries. almost 100% voted for him, that is, all the delegates voted for him, he was elected, now how to do it during these primaries, for example, it is difficult for me to imagine, because it is a very long process, on the other hand, we understand that in democrats still have some time left, maybe

two or three weeks, well, up to a month, i am in order to choose... a candidate, if we start from the priority date, then it is most likely it will be somewhere in the first decade of august, that is, we are really talking about three weeks, most likely, and who it will be, it is also important, because now the democrats will look at the ratings, they will look at possible sympathies, regarding this person, they will look... how much this candidate is perceived in the democratic party and how clearly he can defeat trump, because, after all, until today, if we talk about sociological polls, they were still somewhere around the margin of statistical error, and here it is very much the decision of biden ,

given all that pressure, given the... that he made this decision is also controversial. well, we finally have our guest on the line. oleg shamshur, diplomat, ambassador extraordinary and plenipotentiary of ukraine to the united states of america in 2005-2010, ambassador extraordinary and plenipotentiary of ukraine to france in 2014-2020. mr. oleg, we are very glad to see you. good evening, congratulations, congratulations, mr. oleg, well, you already know, you see, so to speak, what happened, president? united states of america joe biden withdrew from the presidential race, he announced his a letter in social networks, an appeal to

the people of the united states of america. how do you assess why biden took such a step, because even today, even a few hours before the broadcast, there was information that he was not going to withdraw from the presidential race. now we see a completely opposite situation, what do you think, why did he come to such a decision? i was watching cnn this morning and the general consensus was that the pressure is on him, but he is still determined to continue participating in presidential race presidential race, well, in principle, from the other side. almost everyone who commented on the situation said that this weekend could be decisive, it really became decisive, the reason, well, first

of all, is that the members of the house of representatives and the senate of the united the states, which saw how their... chances for re-election became significantly more complicated , the heavyweights of the democratic establishment and, above all, nancy pelosi joined the pressure, apparently finally showed biden the results of public opinion polls, and he made this decision, and it's very important that obviously... he relied on the opinion of his closest circle, this is his family, his closest advisers, who probably also said

that there was a need to withdraw from the presidential race , well, plus i do not rule out that the physical condition, although they said that he is recovering from covid, is not the best, and he made such an absolutely, in my... opinion, well-founded conclusion, and one must give him credit that it was obviously very difficult solution, but he found the courage to accept it. mr. oleg, after all, i already mentioned about this that even despite the situation when there was a huge pressure on biden, still ... even as of yesterday, every day we watched the ratings, we watched dynamics, all the same, biden actually

had a 50-50 chance and trump, well, we won't take those betting offices there and so on, you know, it's not very serious, but as far as the ratings are concerned, he still had the potential to, to get at least victory, at least... well, we understand that he should not have failed completely, not according to the ratings, why did the democrats pressure him all this time to withdraw from the presidential race, eh, well, you correctly noticed that there is a question of scale defeat, and when it became clear that there could be a defeat not only in the presidential race, races, but also in the senate, in the house of representatives. then the democrats sounded the alarm, firstly, secondly, in principle, indeed, if we take

the national results as a whole, then the situation remains tight, but i 'm sure the biggest concern, i'd say panic, in the democratic establishment is the fact that the gap is tight, even widening. trump in favor of trump in the so-called swing states, swingles, if they are sometimes also called battleground states, and it is the voters in these states who will determine the fate of the presidential election, and this margin has not just increased, and it has remained, but the number of those states in which , which turned from... democratic in the state, in states are variable, where there is no advantage of any party, this number of states has obviously

increased. and especially as i understood , the statistics for 14 states caused concern, from there the margin really increased, biden's position worsened, and this, i think, was the last straw that forced the democrats, their leadership to act decisively enough. if we talk about successors. e biden in the presidential race the vice president of the united states of america was called the most potentially possible candidate kamalu harris, although there were also questions about her ratings, some polls showed that she is not exactly popular, in general, in the united states of america, she is not supposed to be

charismatic there, yes. and so on and so on, mr. oleg, who do you think, uh, the democrats can choose as a presidential candidate from their political force, it will be kamala harris, or it could be one of the governors, or it could be a completely different one candidacy, which we don't even know about now, well, i'll start with the last one, for now what are not called, what are these unexpected candidates, now it looks like, according to inertia, the main precedent is considered to be harris, but, the closer, i noticed, the closer the situation developed to biden withdrawing from the presidential race, the more frequent the statement , regarding

doubts about... whether hares can beat trump. her lag behind trump, well, formally, it is small, the last time i saw it was 3%, that is, it is about the same as biden's. on the other hand, this is my subjective opinion. i believe that haris is not himself proved herself as a vice president, she is a rather weak and uncharismatic politician. in her favor is also the fact that she is, as they say, a women of color absolutely did not manifest itself during the selection

of a presidential candidate is quite large ... the range of politicians who can be nominated instead of biden, and it is primarily about governors, and in particular, it can be the governor of california newson, it can be governor of pennsylvania shapira, some two or three other governors, as they are called, maybe one of the senators, but i think. that in the near future we will find out who is among the favorites, and now there is a very serious technical question, the primaries have passed, 14 million votes were cast in favor of biden, that is, how to conduct the selection of candidates, and this is what i heard today, in principle there is no consensus, even...

the leadership of the democratic party, this is a rather complicated process and there is not much time left before the convention, it is 19 august, that is, now the democrats will have to decide very quickly on its candidate, on the vice-presidential candidate and, in fact, now reformat the election campaign, but if in... after all, we are talking about this technological process, you already talked about it they mentioned that in fact biden was actually elected at the primaries and almost 100% voted for him there, this is a huge number of people, how can it be done technologically so that it has legitimacy, well, in the eyes of both the democrats and the eyes.