disappeared on the territory of romania, what happened to him there, did he fall, or maybe someone unknown also hit him, and he really did explode there from the fact that there was a hit, but this was indeed confirmed by location, he disappeared exactly on the territory romania, well, actually , i don’t want to comment any further, because the issue of red lines there is clear, and how will they react, but no way, we see that the north atlantic... alliance is again possible to state that it does not see escalation, it does not sees that russia attacks precisely the countries of the alliance. well, really, it's sad. and the last to i have a question for you, and what was the security situation in general in the odesa region that night? these days? well, if we talk about air warning signals, then in odesa they sound constantly, because the threat, i have already talked about it, is missile strikes, it is ballistics from the territories of the temporarily occupied crimea, this is something that really... disturbs and requires

a solution of this problem, in particular by strengthening the air defense systems in the south of our country, in particular in the odesa region, well , in general, the black sea, the enemy is far from us, including with calibers, well, actually, the traditional is such a stable, controlled, difficult situation, because there could potentially be shelling every day. i thank you very much, mr. serhiy, for participating in today's program, it was serhiy bratchuk, the spokesman of the ukrainian volunteer army south , who told the latest about what happened today in the territory of the odesa region, in general, and one of its places, in particular , this is izmailu, and the enemy was really fighting there today, with shaheds, several shaheds flew in, and unfortunately, as mr. serhiy said, some from these shaheds got not only into the infrastructure, but also into residential buildings, and what's even more interesting is that i... i asked if he could confirm this

information, one of the russian shaheds, and these burbuhayks, in some unknown way flew to the territory of neighboring romania and disappeared somewhere, what happened to him there is not known, but he did confirm this information. well, for today, i just have to give the floor to the incomparable natalka didenko to tell you the latest information about... what the weather prepares for you, prepares for us all for tomorrow, and i say goodbye to you until tomorrow . synoptical hello to all, our dear viewers, before we talk about the weather, we will talk about those who make the weather forecast, and since eh, well, already m... many

of our young viewers have decided, as they say, who to learn from , who will start, who is still planning, i would of course advise everyone to master the wonderful profession of a meteorologist, and we will actually talk about it, what meteorologists do, who prepares them, and so on, so a meteorologist is a specialist who forecasts weather conditions and the occurrence of natural and dangerous phenomena, the information used by meteorologists from special devices from a weather station and not only from a weather station, a professional meteorologist actually prepares forecasts for a certain area, well, what is included in responsibilities of a meteorologist, this is the collection of meteorological data, the analysis of the received information, this is probably the most important, weather forecasting, as a matter of fact, and also very important is

the entry of the archive, the archive is extremely an important component in the work of a meteorologist, well , where meteorologists can work is in state and district, regional meteorological centers, in enterprises, the ministry of defense, ecology and emergency situations, well, of course, in educational institutions, i especially want to emphasize that now more than ever the profession is relevant military meteorologist, apart from being incredibly interesting, she is also... extremely necessary for us all and most of all for our glorious armed forces. that 's it, we're meteorologists, and i'm absolutely sincere i believe that this is one of the most interesting and best professions. we go further and talk now about magnetic storms, about the behavior of the earth's magnetic field, and now for your attention is a prognostic diagram, it is clear that there will be fluctuations. there will be some activation, so

please listen to yourself, to your well-being and i hope everyone is healthy, we now move on to the actual weather forecast for the near future. i'll wait a day, and we'll see what will happen in ukraine in general and in each region, in particular. so, we start with the western ones regions traditionally, and tomorrow in the west of ukraine, due to the activity of the atmospheric front, there will be short-term rains, thunderstorms, and attention, sometimes with the appearance of rain, this rain can quickly turn into a heavy downpour, in combination with even a squall. the air temperature is comfortable. more than comfortable in the west tomorrow 20-26 above zero. in the north of ukraine, significant precipitation is unlikely tomorrow, perhaps the zhytomarshchyna will be touched a little by this western rain. the air temperature is also quite comfortable at 25-28. in the east, the air temperature will be 28-31° higher. there without

precipitation, anticyclonic nature of the weather. a dry air mass will prevail in the central part of ukraine, possibly in vinnytsia region, some local rains will appear. the air temperature is 27-31 above zero, the highest air temperature will be 28-32° maximum in the south of ukraine, no precipitation is expected, only in odesa, tomorrow there is a chance of short-term rain with a thunderstorm, and in kyiv , the maximum air temperature is expected to be +26° in the coming days , july 25 in the capital without precipitation. in the future, of course, as always, follow our updated weather forecasts on the espresso channel. good evening, we are from ukraine. glory to ukraine, dear tv viewers,

on espresso tv channel, studio program . american, and therefore global politics as a result of the no longer ephemeral coming to power of donald trump in the united states. our guests today are matthew bryza and andrii pionkovskyi. bryza, former adviser to the secretary of state of the united states, will be working on the tv channel now director of european and eurasian affairs at the us national security council. glory to ukraine, dear mr. ambassador, glad to see you. glory to the hero, thank you. well, assassinations, attempts. on candidate donald trump, we understand that there are much more questions in this story than it seems at first glance, but the key story is how it can affect not just domestic american stability, how it can affect global world politics and

in particular the russian-ukrainian the war we understand that now donald trump, thanks to his wounded ear, is now almost feels like a race winner. this also worries us, because the current president of the united states can act as a so -called lame duck, this is a dangerous situation, first of all, for ukraine. i think the impact of the assassination will not be long-lasting in terms of the sympathy it will generate among the american electorate. so the immediate effect, of course, is to galvanize trump supporters, and i think he's probably gotten a lot of undecided voters. looking so strong and determined, but the real problem is the weakness of president biden, physical and mental weakness, who is now, unfortunately, sick with the coronavirus. i think that after the debate with donald trump, biden looks to the american people too physically weak to

do his job, or even win the election. i think that's how it is. as long as biden remains the democratic nominee , i think it's almost 100% possible. certain that donald trump will be the next president, and the democrats still have some time, to either nominate another candidate, such as camillus, she is the most obvious, or to hold a short, something like mini primaries, where several democratic candidates could compete against each other and try to become the nominee, but that would require president biden to agree to leave retired so, once again, to sum it all up, an attempt on tram'. gave him short-term support, but i think in a few weeks people will forget about the assassination and all they will remember is that trump seems much stronger physically and mentally than biden. yes, i agree, both candidates are, so to speak, not of the first

political freshness, but the situation can be, well, jokes aside, critical for ukraine, so we already have a new vice president of the united states, and we understand that he did not belong to. .. sympathizers of ukraine. donald trump promises to offer his plan. donald trump's plan will always rest on what and who rules in the kremlin. yes, it is. this is a very, very difficult situation, but as you see the unfolding of the current situation, when we talk about ukrainian issues and the russian-ukrainian war in the united states, that is, now these few months are extremely hot, extremely hot, they can be decisive, and putin will never miss this window of opportunity. yes, sorry, forgot to answer this question? first, from the cautiously optimistic side, it is important, very carefully. look at what vice-presidential candidate jd vance had to say about

russia's war against ukraine and the nato alliance. the good news is that jd vance, unlike president trump, never has cast doubt on the importance or value of the nato alliance, nor did he ever say that he did not want ukraine to win the war, or that he wanted russia not to lose. he didn't say such things. his main argument was that the united states ... should give ukraine such a disproportionate amount of aid, much more than the us's european allies, because the european allies live next door to ukraine. he argues that if european allies had continued to spend on post -cold war defense over the past 30 years in at the same rate they were spending, they spent, he said, about $8.6 billion more on defense than they were spending. and so he argues that if the us spends about 1 trillion dollars a year on

defense, and the europeans in general lag behind by 8.6 trillion, then they should catch up , in other words, they should catch up with the us, but in any case it is clear that that jd vance will support president trump's position on ukraine. yes, trump has said more than once that even before he takes office, he is essentially will press on both sides, pushing for a cease-fire, regardless of whether it would mean that ukraine would have to give up its territory that was occupied by russia, and you know that trump has obviously always had sympathy for vladimir putin, as well as other world powers like viktor orban. it is currently unknown what exactly is included in trump's plan, but orbán, as we know, visited trump right after the nato summit, saying afterward that he was aware of trump's plan. and so orban went to meet putin. orbán seems to be trying to play some mediating role in the implementation

of trump's plan. but the bottom line is that if trump wins, we definitely won't see the same level of support as the $60 billion that was ultimately acceptable to ukraine. actually, we in ukraine would not like to be cheated by big and powerful world players. we understand that the issue of the russian -ukrainian war is not only a bilateral russian-ukrainian... issue, it is an issue around which the whole world is currently working, only a large part of that world, to a great extent unfortunately, he can support putin, and accordingly, what should we do right now, so that we are not replaced by those people who will support this plan of viktor orban, in fact, this plan is most likely agreed both in moscow and beijing, for us in ukraine it is not easier, and we just have to survive and we have to win, and actually i would like to ask you... what is the danger of the so-called plan of viktor orbán and whether there are prospects in general

for this plan to be pushed through, promoted, imposed on ukraine those environments that may be associated with trump may not are related, but if orbán's plan is being talked about so much in different cabinets, the european union completely rejects it, it means that this could be a certain trade offer from the kremlin. orbán did not announce publicly. what exactly is his plan, but we can assume that it will be a kind of ceasefire, under which ukraine will definitely have to give up some territory, maybe, i don't know, it could be something similar to the so-called istanbul proposal of march 22 , according to which ukraine agrees to remain neutral, never join nato, russian troops will have to withdraw their units from the territory they have occupied since the full-scale invasion, and the future status of crimea and... donbass will be determined in the future. this was a preliminary offer. i don't know what is in orbán's proposal, but

it is essentially no surrender. i don't want to sound impolite, but i will say that viktor orban is nobody in this matter, just the leader of a small central european country. he has no authority. charles michel, the president of the european council, came out and said the same thing. he said that orbán has no authority. ye's legal department stated that... orbán is violating eu policies, eu rules and eu legislation, so he has no authority to negotiate on behalf of anyone, and as charles michel also said, nothing can happen. decided on ukraine without ukraine, therefore orban's plan is irrelevant, it will become relevant only if trump is elected, who will accept it and try to impose it on ukraine, but i don't think the european allies of the us would agree to that, and how would this difference of opinion between, say, donald trump's washington on the one hand and brussels, paris and rome,

for example, and then london on the other hand, be played out. i can't... predict right now, but i personally think that orbán's plan means nothing if trump doesn't support it, and orbán just makes it clear that he is not a friend of the transatlantic family. yes, i agree with you, but on the other hand, everyone is aware that orbán will not win, orbán, as orban, he does not play any important role, so here i completely agree with you, but he is an emissary, he brought what was agreed in moscow and possibly in beijing, i don't even fully understand, yes, because the istanbul ones the so-called agreements or negotiations, more precisely, yes , they were based on the fact that russia withdraws its troops from our newly occupied ukrainian territories, yes, the crimea issue is being pushed aside somewhere, well, and accordingly, the complete disarmament of ukraine, but putin is now returning to the so-called of istanbul negotiations, but completely changes them, actually

changes them and brings them to an absolutely absurd kind of you. which consists in the fact that they are going to annex those territories that they have not even captured, that is , putin's current talks about a new istanbul, so they are completely irrelevant to what was said then and so on, we understand that putin is playing his game, and the current situation for him, this is just a new pad he wants to land on, after maybe donald trump becomes president, so here i am i see exactly such a deployment. the current situation. i completely agree with you. if we recall march 2022, the istanbul statement, the main representative from ukraine at the negotiations said that he was ready to accept a compromise on the spot, but his russian colleague had to return to moscow to get approval, which he never received. so now putin, as usual, lies and

pretends that russia was ready to accept the previous wording. now, as you just said, bye. neburkovsky putin doesn't even say no about the original istanbul formulation, and about its method of action. in an interview with tucker carson, putin said something incredibly outrageous, especially for an american with polish roots like me. he said that poland attacked russia, or the soviet union in september 1939, that is , completely twisting history again, as in the case of katyn, so he is doing it again. putin acts as if ukraine should. was to agree to the annexation of these territories, which russia did not even occupy, and is trying to appear peaceful, hoping to create the necessary momentum with the help of orban's emissary, and yet, i think he will fail, right on the side of ukraine? one more thing about orban: for many years, his foreign policy was based on special relations, including

economic and currency, both with moscow and beijing. former hungarian high official. responsible for this policy told me that they didn't want to talk about it publicly, but it was something they did with their hands, to a large extent it was just money flowing to orbán, not a principled policy. dear ambassador bryza, and what are the prospects for holding the so-called second peace summit, we understand that the kremlin says one thing publicly, behind the scenes they send other signals, so there is a feeling that one or another indirect victory is ongoing. between the main capitals of the world, yes, well, i didn’t want it to be at the expense of ukraine, but in any case there were prospects for a successful second peace summit, something like what happened in switzerland, but with a very specific fixation of certain parameters. i don't think she has any perspective at all if

success means an agreement that ukraine will accept. i remember how worried i was during trump's first presidency. when it was obvious that he was trying to reach a deal with putin behind ukraine's back, which was some kind of compromise, maybe like the istanbul declaration, in exchange for some cooperation from putin in syria. there is always the danger that if trump is elected, he will try to make such a deal with putin without consulting ukraine, but this will certainly not happen at the peace summit. this is an agreement that does not correspond to the interests of ukraine. and it is obvious to me that how organization... the union and the vast majority of its member states do not want ukraine to be forced to end the war as a result of the peace summit, if it is not yet ready for it. there will be some pressure in this. direction if there is another such peace agreement from some participants, but i do not think that the european union and nato support forcing ukraine to end the war without liberating its

territories on its own terms. dear mr. ambassador bryza, how about ukraine, our president, our ukrainian authorities right to do in the current situation? yes, well, because we understand that donald trump is not donald trump per se, and it's not even the republicans, we understand that... the parties of the united states have very different approaches, right? donald trump is also boris johnson, yes, elon musk recently met with him, and in general, he represents a certain economic and global environment, so we understand that he will voice certain things, perhaps by himself, perhaps it will be a collective decision, a collective manifestation of a certain political will, i really would not like donald trump to say, listen, you are there in ukraine. i'll give you two or three months to agree on something with the russians, otherwise i won't give you help, so we understand that not giving ukraine help is

a stab in the back, that is, the situation is unpleasant, but taking into account how trump can to conduct negotiations, this can happen, and therefore it is necessary to act as soon as possible. first, boris johnson doesn't really have any influence, since donald trump has all the power, even elon musk. may be the richest man in the world and have more followers on twitter or x than anyone else, but he doesn't have any real political power, so now he chooses to support donald trump's course. trump is the one who will make the decisions in the united states government and he can really do exactly what you mention. in my opinion, ukraine can continue to do what it is doing, but perhaps it should be stated more clearly. we are a sovereign country with a democratically elected leadership, so dear mr. trump, if the united states, god forbid, were attacked by mexico, canada, or anyone else, you would

insist on the right to fight as long as necessary to restore your territorial integrity. at some point , the ukrainian leadership will need to make a clear statement about this. at the same time, of course, ukraine must win on the battlefield. yes, we, the united states and europe, must make promises. weapons systems, but ukraine definitely needs more soldiers on the battlefield, which is a very difficult domestic political issue in ukraine. so, i would advise ukraine, a- speak clearly and clearly, and b) win on the battlefield and continue to pressure the us and europe. to put pressure on europe, in particular, because trump and owens are actually right that europe has for too long not spent enough on its own defense and relied on connectivity. states to bear a burden which is essentially a huge tax imposed on the united states by its allies. president zelensky would be wise to find a way

to strengthen this argument. the us has done a lot for us, but europe, maybe trump is right, you more needs to be done too. if president zelensky had made such an argument, trump might have been more sympathetic to him in the event of his re-election. well, i recently spoke with the former marshal in polish. of the senate by bohdan borusevych, yes, and when i said that the european union, well, it was fitting that they give more money, yes, because there is a situation that could become critical after the arrival of trump and after he will conduct his negotiations, well, why not borusevych said yes, well , we understand that the united states still exists richer and their budgets are bigger, that is, this is a kind of story, and donald trump, i do not think that he has come up with some new scheme, newer than what i will announce now, that is , he will say in our official kyiv: listen, you have to do this and that, or i won’t give it to you, he will say to the russians: listen, you have to enter into negotiations, otherwise we will give ukraine additional weapons, lethal and

perhaps allow us to strike deep into russian territory, not 100 km, on 500 or 1000 km, it will generally raise the stakes, but knowing, for example, putin, he simply does not i know whether i will conduct regular ballistic or tactical or non-tactical training. nuclear weapons, after that we will be on the threshold of the caribbean crisis, after that everything will go down, the level of stakes and the level of aggression, but i fear that all this will happen at our expense, i simply do not see that putin is ready to concede anything, maybe i'm wrong returning to the comment of the ex-speaker of the polish senate, it should be noted that it does not completely cover the whole picture. the economy of the united states is not as large as that of the european union. the european union has a stronger economy. the problem is that member states have decided not to have large defense budgets like the united states.

this is exactly what trump is talking about. you have there is money, you just choose not to spend it on defense because you rely on us and our own welfare to cover your defense needs. so, european union, you need to use more money to take care of your own defense needs. that's the whole argument. if a polish politician does not interfere with this, it means that he is not at all draws attention to the political realities that will come after the election of trump. how would putin react to such a possible deal? i agree that most likely this would be trump's approach, although we don't know for sure. we can analyze what is happening now and what happened yesterday, but predicting the future is very difficult. and yet, let's assume that this scenario were exactly that. yes, i agree that putin will make more threats with nuclear weapons, but i am less and less worried that these threats will work. as my former colleague wrote

atlantic council peter. dickinson in a recent article for the atlantic council: look at how putin is doing in the black sea. ukraine, effectively having no navy, destroyed or disabled a third of the black sea fleet and forced russia to withdraw so much of it from crimea back to russia that now naval experts in great britain say that the black sea fleet is essentially no longer operational. putin threatened nuclear retaliation if force was used and there were attacks in crimea, but... in the end he did what every bully does, he surrendered and retreated. i don't think there's any chance he'll ever use tactical nukes. he will never use serious nuclear weapons, but if he used tactical nuclear weapons, it would change everything dramatically. let's recall how bill burns, director of the cia, went to warn him about a year and a half ago that if russia uses tactical nuclear weapons, the united states will not stand

aside. there will be some nato member countries that will intervene and destroy the russian armed forces occupying ukraine, but such a scenario nobody wants to see, and i don't think we 'll ever get there. well, we simply see how hysterically putin is in a hurry, that is, if putin is in such a hurry, we can see that, based on the situation on the front line, he does not spare people now and constantly drives them to attack in the donetsk direction. this means that putin wants to meet his certain deadline, yes. literally and figuratively, what exactly is putin's deadline? i think that the presidential elections in the usa are definitely an important milestone or marker for putin. i don't know if they are for him constitute a certain deadline, but he very much hopes that everything we just talked about will happen if donald trump is elected president, and then, from his point of view, the support for ukraine will be much less, and this will give russia a better chance to avoid

defeat, but... there are also internal undefined terms. no one knows what is really going on. putin probably doesn't know, but right now, as vice-presidential candidate jaydy vance pointed out in an article he wrote last february: russia is producing more artillery shells and basic weapons, than the united states and the eu combined. i mean it's about three or four times that. consequently, the us and the eu have allowed their defense industries to reduce capacity by investing. in non-military defense, but we see that the situation is beginning to change: first, german companies say: "oh, yes, we should produce military products, weapons and artillery shells." then, as in the past, it was always a kind of political taboo for german companies, meaning they stayed away from the military context because of germany's nazi past. so gradually american and european factories begin to produce more and more weapons. it will take some time, but russia is capable

of producing. only ammunition and weapons, because putin directed 6% of the entire gross domestic product of russia to the defense sector. he has reorganized the russian economy so that it is completely military-oriented, and this can last for a very long time. for how long, who knows, but the russian people also suffer from the fact that they have much less money for health care, much less money for elderly care people, much less money for education. and even. a dictator like putin must not forget the possibility of revolution. there were many revolutions in russia. no, russia is not on the verge of a revolution, but he knows that he cannot continue the intensive militarization of the russian economy. every day that the entire russian economy is focused on the military is another day that moves russia away from.