the european union and nato support forcing ukraine to end the war without liberating its territories on its own terms. dear mr. ambassador bryza, what is the right thing for ukraine, our president, our ukrainian government to do in the current situation, right? well, because we understand that donald trump is not donald trump himself. and it's not even the republicans. we understand that there are very different approaches within the republican party of the united states, yes? donald trump is and... johnson, yes, who has recently been with him met, and elon musk, and in general, he represents a certain economic and global environment, so we understand that he will voice certain things, perhaps on his own, perhaps it will be some kind of collective decision, a collective manifestation of a certain political will, yes and i would really like donald trump to say, listen, you are in ukraine, i will give you a month, two or three, come to an agreement with the russians there, otherwise i will not... give you

help, so we understand that not to give aid to ukraine is to drive a wedge into us back, that is, the situation is unpleasant, but taking into account how trump can conduct negotiations, this can happen, and therefore it is necessary to act as soon as possible. first, boris johnson doesn't really have any influence because donald trump has all the power, even elon musk can be the richest person in the world and have the most followers on twitter or. than anyone else, but he doesn't have any real political power, so now he's decided to support donald trump's course. trump is the one who will make the decisions in the united states government, and he really can do exactly what you mention. in my opinion, ukraine can continue to do what it is doing, but perhaps it should be stated more clearly: we are a sovereign country with a democratically elected leadership. therefore, dear mr. trump, if we...the united

states, god forbid, were attacked by mexico, canada, or anyone else, you would insist on the right to fight as long as necessary to restore your territorial integrity. at some point, the ukrainian leadership will need to make a clear statement about this. simultaneously, of course, ukraine must win on the battlefield. yes, we, the usa and europe, must provide the promised weapons systems. but ukraine definitely needs more soldiers on the battlefield, which is a very... complicated internal political issue in ukraine. so, i would advise ukraine to a) speak clearly and clearly, and b) win on the battlefield and continue to put pressure on the usa and europe. pressure europe, in particular, because trump and owens are actually right that europe has for too long underspent on its own defense and relied on the united states to carry a burden that is essentially a huge tax placed on the connection. states as their

allies, president zelensky would be wise to find a way to strengthen this argument. the us has done a lot for us, but europe, maybe trump is right, you need to do more too. if president zelensky had made such an argument, trump might have been more sympathetic to him in the event of his re-election. well, i recently spoke with the former marshal of the polish senate, bohdan borusewicz, and when i said that the european union, well, it fit. let them gave more money, yes, because there is a situation that can become critical after the arrival of trump and after he will conduct his negotiations, to which borusevich said, yes, well, we understand that the united states is still richer and its budgets are bigger, that is, this is a kind of story, yes, and donald trump, i do not think that he will come up with some new scheme, newer than what i will now voice it, that is, he will say to our official kyiv, listen, you have to do this and that and toto, or i won't give it to you, he... says to the russians:

listen, you have to go to the negotiations, otherwise, we will give ukraine additional weapons, lethal and perhaps, allow us to strike deep into russian territory, not 100 km, 500 or 1000 km, so this will raise the stakes in general, but knowing, for example, putin, he will simply, i don’t know, conduct regular ballistics or tactical or non-tactical nuclear weapons training, after that we will be on the verge of a caribbean crisis, after that everything will go downhill. the level of stakes and the level of aggression, but i fear that all this will happen at our expense, i simply do not see that putin is ready for something give way, maybe i'm wrong. returning to the comment of the ex-speaker of the polish senate, it should be noted that it does not completely cover the whole picture. the economy of the united states is not as large as that of the european union. the european union has a stronger economy. the problem is that the member states have made a decision. not

having large defense budgets like the united states has, which is exactly what trump is talking about: you have money, you just choose not to spend it on defense because you rely on us and... our own welfare to cover their defense needs. so, european union, you need to use more money to take care of your own defense needs. that's the whole argument. if the polish politician does not interfere with this, it means that he does not really pay attention to the political realities that will come after the election of trump. how would putin react to such a possible agreement. i agree that most likely this would be trump's approach, although we don't know for sure. we can analyze what is happening now and what happened yesterday, but predict the future very difficult, and yet, let's say this scenario were exactly this: yes, i agree that putin will make more threats with nuclear weapons, but i'm less and less concerned that those

threats will work. as my former atlantic council colleague peter dickinson wrote in a recent article for the atlantic council, look at putin's behavior in the black sea. ukraine, in fact, having no fleet, destroyed or disabled a third of the black sea fleet and forced russia to withdraw such a large part of it from crimea back to russia that now naval experts in great britain is told that the black sea fleet is essentially no longer operational. putin threatened nuclear retaliation if force was used and attacks took place in crimea, but in the end he did what any bully does, gave up and backed down. i think there's no... no chance that he 'll ever use a tactical nuclear weapon, he 'll never use a serious nuclear weapon, but if he did use a tactical nuclear weapon, that would change everything. let's recall how bill burns, director of the cia, went to warn him about a year and a half ago that if

russia will use tactical nuclear weapons, the united states will not stand aside. of course, there will be some nato member countries that will step in and destroy the russian armed forces that are... occupying ukraine, but that's not the scenario anyone wants to see, and i don't think we'll ever get there. well, we just see how hysterically putin is in a hurry. that is, if putin is in such a hurry, we can see it based on the situation on the front line, he does not spare the people now and constantly drives them to attacks in the donetsk direction. this means that putin wants to meet his certain deadline, yes, literally and figuratively, but actually, what kind of deadline does putin have? i think that the presidential elections in the usa are definitely an important milestone or marker for putin. i don't know if they represent a specific deadline for him, but he really hopes that everything we just talked about will happen if donald trump is elected president, and then, from his point of view, support for ukraine

will be much less, and it will give russia a better chance to avoid defeat, but there are internal ones as well uncertain terms, no one knows what is really happening, putin certainly does not know. but now, as vice-presidential candidate jaydy vance noted in an op-ed he wrote last february, russia produces more artillery shells and basic weapons than the united states and the eu combined. i mean it's about three or four times that. so, the us and the eu have allowed their defense industries to reduce capacity by investing in non-military defense, but we see that the situation is beginning to change. the first german companies say: oh, yes, we are must produce military products, weapons and artillery shells. then, as in the past, for german companies, it was always a kind of political taboo, meaning they stayed away from the military context because of germany's nazi past. so gradually american and european factories

begin to produce more and more weapons. it will take some time, but russia is able to produce so much ammunition and weapons because putin directed 6% of all gross domestic. product of russia into the defense sector, he reorganized the russian economy so that it is completely military-oriented, and this can last a very long time. for how long, who knows, but the russian people also suffer from the fact that they have much less money for health care, much less money for elderly care , much less money for education, and even a dictator like putin must not forget about the possibility of revolution. there were many in russia. before the revolution, no, now russia is not on the verge of a revolution, but he knows that he cannot continue intensive militarization of the russian economy. every day that russia's entire economy is focused on the military is another day that moves russia away from being able to modernize its economy and

acquire the technologies it needs to compete on the world stage. after this terrible invasion of ukraine is over. i don't know when this deadline will come in putin's head, but... because when this deadline will come in russian society, i don't know, but it definitely exists somewhere there. god bless america. thank you very much, dear mr. ambassador bryza. for this brilliant conversation and for this extremely important analysis on the air of the tv channel, i want to remind our tv viewers that matthew bryza, ex-adviser of the secretary of state of the united states, former director of european and eurasian affairs at the us national security council, worked for you now. glory to ukraine! glory to the heroes. a new week on espresso, a weekly summary information and analytical program. a clear understanding of the key events of the past week. analysis of the causes and consequences of these events from experts, forecasts of the development of the situation on

the current week, the opportunity to ask your own questions and join the discussion, spend a final monday evening with us and confidently step into the new week. the new week project with khrystyna yatskiv and andrii smoly every monday at 8:00 p.m. on espresso. an iconic political scientist who is in your country will be working on the tv channel now. congratulations to andriy andriyovych, i am glad to see you. glory. well, an assassination attempt on trump is much more serious than just some prank by the killer or the madman. that's how we understand what it is in general, raises the problem of the internal reorganization of america to an unprecedented level and trump's victory is already becoming a reality, although the current incumbent president, joseph biden, is holding his own. but in the united states , another rather significant event took place. symbolic casting. trump already nominated jaydy vance as potential vice president,

right? and this figure, it can testify to certain parallel lines voiced by the same viktor orban, that is, everything is extremely serious, and we see how actively putin is in a hurry. yes, you are right, it is very an important political event, a very important election indicator, trump's choice, vice president. for the last five months, he has not left the television screens, from the meetings of the congress commissions, spreading all kinds of lies and hatred towards ukraine. about the fact that aid is stolen, that 20 parties are banned in the totalitarian state of ukraine, that prominent christian preachers are imprisoned by the ukrainian authorities. it was he who influenced the republican fundamentalists, of whom there are quite a few in congress, and in fact, he did not add

any electoral advantages to trump, because in the party itself, we know very well about the report of the heads of the three commissions, mccall rogers and turner, about how to win over ukraine. they sharply criticize biden for insufficient support for ukraine, from the point of view of average voters, they never put pressure on trump to be against ukraine. for the overwhelming majority of trump supporters, ukraine doesn't exist at all, they hardly know where it is. and the republican establishment, in the person of the leaders i named, very strongly advocates support for ukraine. therefore, the appointment of this person shows how much trump is dependent in this position. it's no coincidence that orbán, trump and now his new vice president, vance, are a team hard at work on the plan. capitulation of ukraine. trump's so-called 24-

hour plan is essentially putin's plan to force ukraine to give up territory and agree to a ceasefire without any guarantees for ukrainian security. we understand that the plan of presidential candidate trump is quite simple, that is, he would issue a certain ultimatum to our leadership and would issue certain proposals to the kremlin. yes, and the key history is in our ukrainian. ke casey , this is a question of resources and support with ammunition and weapons and so on, as for russia, i don't know, trump would threaten something , yes, but it would mean that putin would de facto, just raise the degree a little higher and could simply disagree, this is the plan that trump, if you believe, voiced to american journalists, yes, well, this plan was doomed, well, at least everything would be done at our expense, everything is right, wrong, no, wrong. because all this talk about how he will put pressure on putin this is empty seasoning for the essence

of the trump-putin plan, and the essence is one - to fix real assets as much as possible. putin is pushing for it. he realized that the war he declared on february 24, 2022, kyiv in three days and nato take the money, and get out of here, he lost this war, he needs to record some honorable one. a draw that he will sell to his deep people, and this honorable draw is the capitulation of ukraine and its territorial division. to andrii andriyevich, the parameters, however putin would see it all, we understand that it is possible, nobody cares about him will not allow such a thing to be implemented, but the key story is putin's desire, but he himself, we see that he lied even in his false signals about his readiness to talk about something there, that is, putin refers very often to the so-called istanbul talks, although he is completely reshaped them

to fit his ambitions, i.e. now, when putin is talking about the so-called... istanbul, some unsigned istanbul agreements, well, we understand that in the first version it was about something completely different, now he is trying to annex the territories that he did not capture and will not capture. this is an unprecedented peace proposal in world history. fix for me the territories that i did not capture. there is no way i can capture kherson and zaporizhzhia, so give me kherson and zaporizhia, please. it's all talk. she has a chance to win the election from trump, for this she needs a non-standard solution and a complete change of personnel and policy. obviously, with each hour, i watched

american television in front of our air. in politics, biden is already becoming a laughingstock. that it is not just necessary to remove biden from the negotiations, he should resign as president, why? because then harris automatically becomes the non-acting president, she becomes president before that term expires, and if she becomes the democratic nominee, then as president she will have more options and...powers, don't forget that within the republican party , there is a very deep rift beneath the surface of the convention that is happening now. on the one hand, the gang of trump, vance, carrying out putin's orders, on the other hand, three great leaders of the committees we have already mentioned, makol, rogers and turner, the authors of the plan for the victory

of ukraine. i propose to make public the plan published in washington in russian and english. biden resigns due to his health, garis takes the oath of the president, and his first step is to approve the document, the report of the republicans on the victory of ukraine. by the way, it was the republicans who passed the law on military aid with a requirement for the administration to report to congress on its war plan in ukraine within 45 days. 45 days have passed. in the first harry's day. should present the republican plan as the administration's plan. this is a wide step. imagine a democratic president presenting a republican plan for the us's war in ukraine. this is a step towards the unification of the political elite, and during her term as president, she positions herself with her political statements and military-political decisions as the leader of the free world,

leading the fight against the regimes of terrorists and autocrats. who declared war. in particular, together with french president macron , he is coordinating the provision of a large number of aircraft, including those operated by western crews. what does sociology tell andrii andriyovych, or kharis, has sociological chances, yes, because, strangely enough, after the assassination of trump, sociology still showed that he is starting to be ahead of the current president biden by 1.5%, 1.5%. it is not a matter of changing surnames, but of changing logic and politics. by adopting this republican program, it seems to be abandoning biden's policy of cowards. democrats must become the party of victory in ukraine to win trump's election. because it is the weakest point of the republican party. as i

have already said, it is divided between supporters of victory and supporters of putin. will completely change the program on ukraine, taking the republican program of mccall, rogers and turner, then what trump and vance will do, they are completely bound by their plan to capitulate ukraine, and they will be strongly against it, and thus they will finally discredit themselves as putin's agents, well, you know, there are two more indicators or manifestations of certain... processes, they concern not only domestic american agenda, certain global players are already saying so, extremely serious player elon musk did so. a multi-million dollar donation to donald trump's campaign headquarters, and we saw an extremely eloquent photo with

johnson, the british prime minister, the favorite of all ukrainians until recently, so this means that a much bigger and broader game is being played. mask's position was well known, he was never a friend of ukraine. i will repeat once again that it is possible to win against trump only by completely changing the concept of the democratic party regarding of ukraine. even after his press conference, after the nato summit, biden continued his stupid statements about avoiding escalation. in my opinion, he is the only person in the administration who continues to hold on to the ban on ukrainians striking deep into russian territory. he began to think that moscow could be hit in the same way. how is it so, and this is what he said the day after the terrible terrorist attack on kyiv and... attacks on ukrainian cities occur every day. democrats have the only way to avoid defeat - force biden to resign and nominate

garis as president, who will choose an offensive position regarding the war in ukraine. moreover, this is not only a matter of the election campaign. in the few months that harris is president, he and macron can make a big difference on the battlefield if they take this decisive step. for the first time, zelenskyy named the exact number of planes needed, by the way, i kept saying that 200 planes were needed, and zelenskyy called a strange number, many were surprised by it, 128, for some reason such a non-round number. specialists explained that counted the number of squadrons he negotiated with france, great britain and sweden, and 128 is the number of aircraft in that scenario. that is why such a non-round figure came out, but the most important thing is to overcome

the last stupid red line, which macron called for. this is a red line imposed on ourselves, that only ukrainian pilots should be at the helm of planes. this requirement delays the f-16 transfer operation by two years. yes, there will be a maximum of 40 ukrainian pilots who can participate in this promotion, and in order to to change the course of the war, to throw the russian army out of crimea and thus cause a deep political crisis in russia, 128 planes are necessary, i agree with zelensky. garis is the democrats' only chance to defeat trump and take a firm position to win the war in ukraine. andriy andrichu. simple question, i.e. i understand your concept and your assessment of the current situation, but putin is in a huge hurry already, i.e.

the active donetsk operation is in full swing, 40° in the shade, heavy armored vehicles are with the russian interventionists now a little on the verge of exhaustion, i.e. running out, they regularly throw in live power, so-called , which turns into dead power, this is just an indicator of that haste: putin is in an extreme hurry, that is... and if the only difference here was whether or not trump would come, he could drag this campaign, yes, but no, he is literally gassing hysterically right now, after all, this is putin's last chance before trump comes, the nuclear blackmail has been defeated after macron's excellent response. when putin threatened him with nuclear weapons, he replied: don't forget, france also has nuclear weapons, and look how the tone of russian propaganda has changed. we will shoot at the airfields, of course, this plan to support

ukraine by air means that the french , british and swedish planes will be based on the airfields of romania and poland, and all this time moscow is threatening to strike at these airfields, great, let them strike, then immediately. they will be opposed not by 128, but by 600 aircraft that nato has. putin is desperately trying to push through what he hopes will be trump's victory when he will join the program of forcing ukraine to surrender. and then what, they were going to fix this putin's dream, fixation on the ground? well, fixation, fixation. well, we already talked about how putin wants to fix the division of ukraine. well, the european union is not going to do that, ukraine is not going to do that, now ursha funderlein has been re-elected as the head of the european commission, the european commission and all the europeans. the powers that

represent, at least the european union, condemned viktor orbán's voyage and said that no one gave him a mandate. no current western politician will stick to the plans now putin on the division of ukraine. pay attention, let me remind you, two years ago, you remember, the same macron was the president then, macron, scholz and draghi came to kyiv. they came then with such a plan of truce, but they were met very properly. first, they were taken to bucha so that they could see the crimes of the russian military, and then they did not even dare to propose this plan. imagine what progress the consciousness of western politicians has made in these two years. no one will discuss this plan except for one person - trump. therefore, every chance all putin's hopes for trump's coming to power. democrats can undermine this situation

within the republican party. orbán and the parameters that orbán carried, that is, we understand that orbán was in kyiv, orbán was in moscow, orbán was in beijing, and orbán set foot on euro-atlantic soil, so orbán's plan, what do you think was its main functionality, and which was still functional, orban was taken in by a well-known person in ukraine. swindler mogilevich, back in the late 1990s, and moscow knows this well, he is completely in the hands of moscow and carries out all putin's orders. the question arises, and why is trump all the time with such respect for putin and why is he going to meet him now, carrying out his dirtiest assignment, the organization of forcing ukraine to surrender. the same simple reason: it is clear that he

depends on putin. what exactly... one can only guess. do you remember the famous scene: the first summit between putin and trump in helsinki? they were together in one room for an hour and a half. then putin came out, triumphant with a smile, and the huge carcass of trump in a crushed state. he muttered something, repeated that he believed putin and he did not their special services. putin showed him documents proving trump's complete dependence. so this whole company that works for putin, trump, orbán, vance, works because of the fear of exposing trump and orbán. we understand what was in trump's pockets, well, if he burned so much aviation kerosene, then there were certain reasons for this, what he drove and what he tried to synchronize in beijing, moscow, and well, in washington, you are already plus or minus hinted orban

is an intermediary between putin and trump. in the sense of not just an intermediary who discusses something, brings messages, first of all, this is the second intermediary, trump communicates with putin all the time. first, he sent carlson to moscow as a mediator, and then putin sent him orban. so they agreed on the parameters of this plan, and orbán already went to china on behalf of putin, to inform in beijing and ask for his support. but it's empty in... everything will be decided on the battlefield. the democratic party can save itself. the united states and the world, not just by changing candidate biden to candidate harris, but in a cardinal way changing the agenda, primarily in the ukrainian issue, using a very strong move, taking the program of the republicans. but not the trump-vance program, but the macau rogers turner program. the coming days will be

decisive. and finally, andriy andriyevich, i would like to ask you, and how should we be, as if this were a marginal letter, but from medvedchuk to trump’s headquarters, where medvedchuk says that behind the assassination attempt on trump, attention, laughter behind the scenes, laughter through tears, of course, but there is a ukrainian trace, that's how medvedchuk formulated it, by the way, before thing, medvedchuk was activated by russian propaganda, in this whole program of pressure on ukraine, the new hetman of moscow. there were two applicants for this role in moscow. yanukovych and medvedchuk. it seems that in this phantom game of his, putin chose medvedchuk, who fits very organically into this project. but this project, no matter what it is, no matter how washington behaves, ukraine will never accept it. this is not understood in moscow. thank you very much andrii andriyovych for this one.