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tv   [untitled]    July 28, 2024 1:00pm-1:31pm EEST

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but lost certain states that she won, if kamal harris manages to take back those states and win one or two of those biden states, so-called, she will beat donald trump, it's arithmetic, but you have to run a flawless campaign in those states. it is necessary to become a real icon, not only for those who believe that the election of ... donald trump as the president of the united states will be a disaster on a national and global scale, and this may be true, but also for those who do not see anything special in donald trump , and sees him as just another republican candidate and thinks first of all about what kind of president he would like to see in the white house from the point of view of his own economic interests, and this is not an easy story, not easy, but if we are talking about choosing...
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vice candidates -presidents, yes, trump is now extremely criticized for choosing divens, and even from the republican point of view, some of them are saying that this choice was a bad one, that divens is actually alienating some voters, and they are not saying that anymore simply democrats or independent voters, the republicans are saying that, that is, this... candidate for vice president, he can essentially chop the election campaign of trump himself. but back to kamala harris. she is now actually choosing from seven candidates. now, i have a list in front of me, and there are various candidates, it's the former united states attorney general, eric golder, it's there and and, the governors, the incumbents, it's, and basically it could be one of the...
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senators or one of the congressmen, that is , there really is, relatively speaking, a large number of people who can potentially be of quality for the democratic party, yes, who can qualitatively represent including kamala harris, but if we are talking about this election, how much... this vice president can play a role that will lead, whether kamala harris or donald trump to win, well look why some republicans don't like j.d. vance because they think he's not broadening donald trump's electoral base, that donald trump needs to work with those undecided voters, because again those voters, who have decided, let him work no need, they will vote for donald trump. under any conditions, and even if he
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chooses a horse as his vice president, like the roman emperor and says that this is the person he will introduce into the senate, the vice president already presides over the senate, then it is absolutely obvious that they will vote for trump and will calmly look at trump's horse, who will preside over the senate, but there are people who are undecided, and the figure of the vice president should say that trump, conditionally speaking, can offer them a certain kind of normality in politics and that, by the way, is why the figure of mike pence was so important for many voters in 2016. mike pence, a typical republican politician, is an ultraconservative, but he is a politician, he is a representative of the political establishment. the very presence of mike pence in the white house told these people that nothing extraordinary would happen, that this person, he is a businessman, he is a tv presenter for trump, he has never been involved in politics, but he is inclined to cooperate with politicians. mike pence expanded objectively.
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trump's electoral base, and jay divance won't expand anything, but trump is the kind of person who does what he likes to do what suits some politico-technological reason, and by the way, no one said it's wrong, because quite often it's when you make some unexpected move that you beat the calculators, on the other hand, i don't think you and i can know who kamela harris will choose as her partner on the... ticket, because by and large, she also needs a person who will expand this electoral base, and they now the democrats will sit and count which person, say, can be important in those states where kamela harris does not enjoy the same, say, obvious popularity as , say, joseph biden enjoyed, conditionally speaking, biden and harris added to the doda.
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something to each other, now biden is not on the ticket, relatively speaking, kamela harris needs someone like biden, and they will watch it, while kamela harris, she is not such a ... authoritarian personality like trump, and she did not privatize democratic party as a trump republican, she will somehow pay attention to the perspective of the democratic establishment, who she would like to see as the vice president of the united states, who will be a more successful candidate, who will demonstrate that democrats listen to different views, to different walks of life the population where this person is from... must be from a moderate democratic circle or , on the contrary, from a more radical one, in order to, let's say, attract some more part of the voters, that is, they will count it now, i think that in a few weeks we will understand it, if we
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analysis, we analyze the position of kamala harris regarding ukraine, this is also one of the subjects of discussion, many say that... she does not have any position of her own, she did not talk much about ukraine, yes, but it is clear that she was and is a component of joe biden's administration, and understood that her position is most likely the same as the position of the white house as of now, that is , support for ukraine in the form in which it is now, in which it was, and it is likely that it will remain so, but everything well... this, can it change, well, it is clear that it is possible for the better side, perhaps in the direction of increasing aid to our country, the position of kamala harris, and again, whether she will
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focus her attention during the election campaign on ukraine, on the victory over russia, on the victory over putin and all that... of this important international track, ukraine is not part of the american election campaign, of course, kamela harris can talk about it, as well as trump, but briefly, the middle east is part of the american election campaign, the visit to washington, benjamin netanyahu, he of course was perceived as a domestic political event, we will certainly also talk about it, and ukraine, and ukraine does not have such an influence on this situation, regarding the views of kamela harris on ukraine, you understand, in the vice... of the united states a specific role, he is responsible for the directions assigned to him by the president, that is , the vice president of the united states, joseph biden, was responsible for ukraine, so we knew very well what his position was on the ukrainian issue, because he was generally involved in this, and he came to kyiv as
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the vice president of the united states, and he spoke in the verkhovna rada of ukraine as the vice president of the united states, remember, well, of course, when... a person became the president of the united states, he did not entrust ukraine to his vice president, because he believed that this was the direction that he she herself knows, well, in such a situation, as we understand it, kamel harris will have to one way or another, if she becomes the president of the united states, to form her position in relation to ukraine with the help of this team that she will select, and this will also be related with the one who this team will include who will be the assistant to the president for national... security affairs, who will be the secretary of state, you understand that this whole team, they are leaving the white house, more than that, they would leave it anyway, so that the president of the second term, as a rule, also changes the team, well , some would stay, some would leave, but you know, i don't see
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any real room for maneuver in any president of the united states, that kamela harris, that donald trump from the point of view of the russian-ukrainian war. any the president of the united states will proceed from the fact that he should help ukraine in resisting russia, and that this help should exclude the possibility of a direct conflict between the russian federation and the united states of america. can donald trump cross those red lines? to some extent, yes, and then world war iii will begin. can kamela harris cross those three red lines? rather not. than so, so in principle, i think that the question of what the situation will look like will be decided generally in the next condence, four years, taking into account all the sense of this war and this whole style of war, it is very little that we even count on a solution
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after november 2024, november 2028, a more likely date for us to sit here and talk... how the war can end, but now only , i would say, taking into account that this is a long-term war, these are only the first years, but we always say that this is a syrian-type war, there was a syrian one. low intensity conflict, how long it was, eight years eight years, now high intensity conflict, 2.5 years, as long as possible a high-intensity conflict will take place, well, until 6-7 years calmly, taking into account russia’s capabilities, taking into account the west’s capabilities to help us, then a low-intensity conflict will begin, it has already passed, we have already passed the station where it could somehow be stopped, we just have to deal with it realistically, to the extent that... ukraine and russia have enough economic, social, demographic and political
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potential, no united states will be able to influence this, but the united states does not have the tools to influence putin now, therefore that again, we talked about it for a long time, because putin is fed by china and india, and not by the united states and the european union. putin has no way to bring ukraine to his knees because we are being helped, and as long as they are helping us, there is no chance that we will agree to his terms, so what can... the president of the united states do? well, well, trump will try, if he becomes president, to try some kind of negotiation process. to organize, or from the point of view of those advisers who say it is necessary to press on ukraine, or from the point of view of pompeo, who says that it is necessary to put pressure on russia, but also put pressure there, and there are not many opportunities there, well, trump, putin and zelensky gathered in camp 9, like begin and sadat, well, i apologize, begen had to give up egyptian territory for the sake of peace, and we have for the sake of peace, as far as i understand,
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to give up our own, that is, imagine the peace summit between israel and egypt, when anwar sadat says minahim obyegen, mr. prime minister, and you here you are occupying the sinai peninsula, huh, and maybe you will to occupy aswan with luxor, and immediately there will be peace between us, a great idea. mr. president, come on, withdraw your troops, well, that's what it looks like, right? and the meaning of the peace between egypt and israel was that minachen begen said to vanwar sadat, we control your vast territory, but we are not interested in controlling your territory, in peace with egypt, and if you agree to recognize our right to exist, if you guarantee us peace under guarantees of safety for us and for you from the united states, we will withdraw troops from your territory. this is the nobel peace prize. putin comes to the white house, sees zelensky and says: "oh, you know, we
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are worried about the security guarantee." we don't feel safe. as you know, we are withdrawing russian troops from donetsk, luhansk, kherson, zaporizhzhia regions and crimea. we agree to the presence of american peacekeepers or western peacekeepers on your territory. for our part, we demand from spol. states there are such and such guarantees of security, there is an agreement on nuclear disarmament and so on, and there will be an eternal one between russia and ukraine peace, but putin is not proposing that, he is proposing completely opposite things, we occupied part of your territory, you give us the opportunity to occupy more parts, they will leave these four regions where you are, disarm, declare neutrality, no security guarantees for you, and there will be peace, of course, it’s like in the soviets...
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well, what kind of donald trump will agree to such conditions, donald trump hasn’t been born yet, because what is our role in this , your role, grandpa, to play golf in maralaga, why did you come here let's make our heads go crazy for my own sake, well, this is what it looks like, so of course there will be no peace, no opportunities to finish the russian one. there is no war, there is no political solution, that is, there is one, i have repeatedly spoken about it so that no one says that i did not speak about it, i make it clear: the war between russia and ukraine can end if the countries that are members of the north atlantic union will invite ukraine to nato, and will provide security guarantees, either for those territories that are currently under the control of the legitimate ukrainian authorities, or in the extreme in the case of those territories that the russian federation does not claim, that is, it claims to... the security guarantee does not extend to all
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other territories, here are two options: either to the controlled territory, or to the territory that does not cause them to fear direct conflict with russia, if they choose one of these two options, the war will end in 48 hours, or it will be localized only in these territories, where there will be no guarantee of security, there will be no shelling, there will be no destruction of infrastructure, nothing will happen. and most likely there is nothing there either it will not happen, because putin will not understand why he needs all this, it is from the bridgehead, and if the bridgehead has nowhere to move, well, then there is no point, then there is no point in getting it, so i think that territorial integrity.. . will be restored in a couple of years, if this decision is not adopted, well, the war will continue for as long as i said, as long as we have enough strength, as much as the russians have, which means another 5-6 years of high-intensity war, then 8-10 years of low intensity years, well, that's it well, unfortunately, well, there are no miracles, you understand, there are no miracles in politics, a miracle could
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happen if the war ended in 3-4 months, and the russians would be so frightened that... they would be ready to the end of the war, for the conclusion of peace without conditions, not like in istanbul: disarm, de-nazify, shoot, give us the condition to occupy you, and in reality we want a real ceasefire, but a miracle did not happen, we did not scare them much then, and putin simply reformatted this war from a blitzkrieg to a multi-year war of extermination, we live in it with her, and we will live in it, we need to survive in this war, i have already said that right now it is important that the state itself does not collapse, such a danger exists, it will increase with each new month and year of the war, and if ukrainian society behaves honestly, we will say in 2027, 2028 that this danger, it was not as serious as it seemed, but this does not mean that we will not talk to you in 2027, 2028 in the break between big air alarms, it will be like this, it will be like this,
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it won't be otherwise, because there are no platforms, well, that's it that's all, well, you have to adjust to it and... build your life in an endless war, well , we can't invent it so that, let's say, our audience will like it, what do you know, everything will fall apart, two or three weeks, and i went to america, so to speak, to grow flowers, like a former adviser to the office of the president of ukraine, i don't have the ability to lie, otherwise i would probably already be in a very high position. well, we have many experts, people with abilities , abilities, who, unfortunately, told us, yes at the same time, i would still like to say that i can allow a cease -fire at any time, if it is desired, the russians can simply believe that they, that they cannot stand it, they will, that they temporarily need to leave and on just to maintain
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an unconditional ceasefire, ugh, ugh, that's it. there may be a transition to, conditionally speaking, a hybrid war, which we had there from the 15th to the 22nd, it can happen, you just have to always remember when it will happen, which does not mean that the war is over, it can flare up at any second, at any time a second, i'll tell you even more, the russians may need a ceasefire, because they themselves will be interested in rebooting the ukrainian government, they will think that if they cease fire, uh, then ... the ukrainian government will not be able to hold elections , and they will have a chance, relatively speaking, to fight for such a ukrainian government, which is already definitely capitulating against the background of public disappointment, if they see great public disappointment, they themselves will seek a ceasefire in order to start a political process and the government will be reformed, and then when the new ukrainian president
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says no way, i won't do it, then they will resume hostilities, then they will resume hostilities , absolutely right. so what is this formula, many different options, well, we live with you in such an interesting time, unfortunately, and for journalists, maybe not unfortunately, but for us, those who watch us, unfortunately, i would not would not wish to live in such times, if he is not a journalist, let's say so, another topic, netanyahu in the united states of america, finally, yes, we see. that the prime minister of israel addressed the united states congress america, there he stated that iran is the main threat to the world and we need to join forces to stop it, yes, also, in general, basically, we saw that kamala harris missed this
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speech, well it's clear that she has an election campaign going on, and basically she... and she shouldn't have been there, speaking of that, yes, but then she met, so the next thing is what i wanted to say, and she stated that , which will not be silent, and about the gas situation, but understood that the united states of america also will support israel, these statements were also made, and of course, the prime minister of israel met with donald trump. they held, so to speak, a conversation, held a meeting, and what they agreed on, we will also talk about now, actually. is this visit taking place against the backdrop of an election campaign? republicans are trying to use it to remind that they are true friends of israel. in fact, why
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did benjamin netanyahu come now, why didn't he, why didn't he come for two months, three months, his invited house speaker mike johnson. that is, before that we saw a situation that, after all, we didn't really want to see. republicans wanted to see him too, but i think they wanted him. invite just such a moment of the beginning of the election campaign, for mike johnson it is important, not for donald trump it is important. for benjaminaho, this is also important because he was not invited to the white house. he actually has a complicated relationship with joseph biden. and, of course, he was always interested in such trips. in addition, one more thing should be understood thing: binyamin netanyahu is the prime minister of a warring country. going for a few days from a warring country is also not so easy in the midst of events, this is a question for the prime minister, where did you go? this is the prime minister of israel, i don't
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know how to explain it to you, he doesn't fly on saturdays, so he wanted to come back on thursday, uh, he went on tuesday, uh, so then, so he had a meeting with biden, a meeting with kameloyus, separately, he needed. to meet trump, but if you meet trump on thursday, you're not you can fly on friday, so he met with trump on friday, i think in the morning, and then shabbat begins and you can fly out only on saturday evening, so how many days are you leaving israel, five, well in total, if you also need a road here, that's fine, how many days do you need to fly, well, not a day, but 15 hours or 16 hours there, so there is another problem, you understand, that is, the prime minister of israel is interested in flying to monday and fly out on thursday, it's hard to arrange it all when you have
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so many interlocutors, and if you're there you sit, then they start telling you, i went to the united states, this is happening here, that is, it means that there needs to be a moment of at least some respite on the front line, so that he does not listen to it, i have important business in the united states, it is important, too, it is part of our war. and this is also time, then it is very important from the domestic political point of view, the rating has increased in israel, before all other competitors for the position of the country's prime minister, although there was a moment, before this drop, although it was falling before this, but again, i don't know , you have seen netanyahu's speech in the congress, well, netanyahu is a close speaker, i cannot call myself his political supporter, but if you watch this speech. simply and let's say it like this, as a political observer, or as a jew, if you want, i watched as a jew with a great sense
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of pride, the way i watched about zelensky's speech, which i watched, of course, as a ukrainian citizen, that is, it is simply brilliant, brilliant understanding of the audience, both american and israeli, and people who ... before that, congressmen wrote that benjamin netanyahu is the worst leader of israel in the story, they stood up and gave him a standing ovation because he was addressing the military in the gallery, because he was talking about hostages, because he was saying: we are protecting you, and all of this is clearly understandable content and in near american-accented english, with an accurate understanding of how it all is... it is pronounced with an american accent, this is what many world politicians who come to america lack, but they have never lived in america
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the way benjamin netanyahu lived, he just has there is experience of american life, conditionally speaking, he is almost american, well, it is also felt when he talks to them, well, and such, i would say, willingness to accept a challenge, yes, when he calls the protesters useful idiots. who do not even think that they can be spoken to in such a language, that is, of course, this is all a very strong speech, but we understand that this is a certain problem for the democrats, because they are trying to retain an audience that is, let's say, anti-israel, well, not by chance on ensipelos was not at this speech, she simply did not come, the former speaker of the chamber representatives, isn't kamala khairy a coincidence? was not presiding over this speech, this is also an absolutely obvious thing, well, by the way, this is a problem for the democrats, because... i wouldn't
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say that 100% of their voters are against israel, we have to understand that there is a combination there, of course , but they should be composed for that, they, well, they compose, kamela harris did not preside over the senate, but she met with netanyahu, uh, joseph biden there condemns certain actions of the israeli government, but supports israel, they compose it, they do not have so clear position taken by trump. but by the way about trump, if we go back, netanyahu met with trump, it is clear that trump also needed this meeting, what they talked about and what could be the pros and cons for both of them, they first reconciled , i don't know how much trump needed it, it seems to me that somehow it was needed more, well, it's logical, but trump
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was very offended by... netnyaho and this is also a very strange offense. he took offense at netanyahu because netanyahu congratulated biden on his election the president of the united states. ugh. although i remember that on the same day netanyahu wrote a big tweet in which he thanked donald trump, and there was a lot to be thankful for. listen, donald trump is the heart of israel. i have no doubts here. but how can you imagine the prime minister of israel not welcoming the president-elect of the united states. well, no way. well, there are such politicians. viktor orban did not welcome. i think andrzej dude somehow just congratulated. joseph biden with taking office, but not with winning the election, but they are not at war with anyone, they can afford such luxury, and this is a warring country anyway, well, but he still offended like a child, ugh, and he was four years old, had nothing to do with him, all the time criticized him publicly, here he met even with sarah netanyahu, there he kissed, you saw, the wife of the prime minister of israel, well, that is
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, they somehow reconciled, but here another question arises: what can trump really do for netanyahu? but trump did a lot for israel at a time when israel was following a policy that many at the time appeasement with the arab countries for the sake of israel's security seemed logical. and that was netanyahu's course, he thought it was a justified course, and by and large jose biden was also following this course when he was trying to negotiate diplomatic relations. saudi arabia and israel, but here the question arises, what can trump do when it comes to a political solution, which does not exist. well, there isn't. donald trump showed that mahmoud abbas wrote him a letter. the head of the palestinian authority, too, means a call to promote peace. but mahmud abbas does not have the sentiments of the palestinian street. and benjamin netanyahu doesn't own it, and
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donald trump doesn't. and this palestinian street, i beg your pardon, supports whom? hamas, islamic jihad, radical organizations, and i don't think, to be honest, that what is happening now in the gas sector is somehow contributing to a change in its mood, rather the opposite, and by the way, that's exactly what hamas was trying to achieve when it did all this, extreme radicalization of sentiments, and whether donald trump knows how to solve this problem, he knows one thing that it needs to be solved as soon as possible. because it helps on the image of israel in the world, and how what is happening with this perception in recent months is an unprecedented tragedy for israel, because this has never happened in the civilized world, i understand, that is , there would not be, there never was, such a serious opposition, there has never been such a willingness to forget about october 7 last year in connection with the gas events, and netanyahu heard it... trump, who
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said that you need to work on your services, public relations, but this hit is not public relations services. this question is that every israeli the operation allows hamas to publish tragic footage of the deaths of the local population, which hamas uses as human shields for its fighters. and no one is saying, listen, hamas is using civilians as human shields, everyone is saying israel. kills civilians, israel has more power, it must yield. and if israel has to give in, what to do with hamas? if the israeli government has declared its goal to destroy hamas, how can the war ever end? well, the war has been going on for almost 300 days. but today i saw that for the first time in a month, ashkelon was shelled with gas.

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