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tv   [untitled]    August 2, 2024 6:30am-7:01am EEST

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in the short term budapest has no way to put pressure on ukraine, but blocking the european peace fund, blocking 6.5 billion euros is definitely one of the ways, it will continue. you have already started talking about mutual relations between hungary and the european union, let's talk about them as well. therefore, the president of the european council, charles michel, called viktor orban's trip not only to moscow, but also to beijing and washington a political mistake. he also stated that the european union reacted to this with a yellow card. or brussels has the power to finally show viktor orbán a red card. it must be determined. what is a red card? to
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stick to the football metaphor, a red card means that the player must leave the field. that's not going to happen, no one can be kicked out of the european union, so unlike football here he can have a few yellow cards and still stay in the game for now. a trip to moscow, as well as a trip to beijing and how these trips were conducted. a serious violation of both written and unwritten rules of how an eu country should conduct foreign policy. consequently, it caused a great scandal and publicity within the european union. certain political countermeasures have already been applied. for example, some eu member states are boycotting high-level meetings of the hungarian eu presidency. victor were not invited to
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the european parliament to present their presidential program. the head of the european commission, ursula vonlein, is not going to come to budapest, which is a very strong diplomatic signal. however, when it comes to practical countermeasures, kind of punitive measures, the eu cannot do anything. unlike in football, a player who breaks the rules will not be sent off the field of play, but he will have much less opportunity to achieve something in the game, and this is what will happen to hungary, it is already happening to them, it is already clear that the trip to moscow caused hungary suffered serious reputational losses in terms of prestige and the trust of allies. meanwhile, it is not at all clear that it was hungary that benefited from this trip, so the minuses are clear, but the pluses are none. does not note,
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the organization of the trip to moscow, things that discussed by orbán and putin, and the purpose of all this remains a kind of mystery, a kind of mystery, it is simply not clear that hungary gained from it, but it is clear that it lost. can we say that mr. orbán is in some way dependent on putin, based on what we saw during his trip to russia and what he said when the it is very difficult to assess, the last time they met in beijing, already then during the beijing meeting orbán openly said that the previous meeting in beijing was initiated by putin and orbán could not say no. it was it's actually very telling, it's very difficult for an eu or nato prime minister. if putin called. to go, they had to
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go. such was the previous meeting. regarding the current meeting, which took place two days after the trip to kyiv, the hungarian narrative is that it was budapest that initiated it, but again it is not clear what hungary actually gained from it. instead, it is quite clear what russia got. it was very interesting to watch how the russian state media covered this visit, when... and orban started a discussion, literally in the fifth sentence, putin called orbán an envoy of the european union, which is technically certainly not true. but all the russian media covered orban's visit as if the president of the european union had come to moscow, showing how important a player russia is, that it is not isolated at all. over the course of several days, all russian state officials virtually celebrated this meeting, noting how important a player putin is to the president of the european union. so, from the point of view of domestic flight... russia
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won a lot, and it was very beneficial for them. why was it good for hungary? i honestly don't know. mr. orbán also said.
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moreover, let's not forget that in order to achieve peace, a ceasefire must first be achieved. so, the peace plan must be preceded by a ceasefire, this is a technical detail. as for the plan itself, there is no orbán plan, when he met with president zelensky, he called for some strange form of segmented ceasefire, but it was not detailed, and i am not aware of any such document that elaborates on this an idea segmented ceasefire. when he went to moscow, he didn't even get to say a word, because putin said almost immediately that russia was not ready to accept any external peace plan. and that the war should end according to the russian
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position. this is the ultimatum that russia announced just a day before the peace summit regarding ukraine and switzerland. the same ultimatum, which you know very well, ukraine must completely abandon the donetsk, luhansk, zaporizhzhia and kherson regions and crimea. the ukrainian army should completely withdraw its troops from these regions, ukraine should forget about the intention to join nato and so on. so basically, putin didn't even let orbán explain his own ideas. instead, he issued the usual russian ultimatums. when orbán went to beijing, he did the third thing, he praised the chinese peace plan, the same chinese peace plan or settlement plan that china offered on the first anniversary of the war. so, in kyiv, moscow and
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beijing, orbán basically announced three different plans, so i don't see him having own plan is the absence of a plan. as for the lack of a mandate, no one asked hungary to mediate in this war, no one asked hungary to do anything in the war. in order to be successful in mediation efforts, one must have a mandate to do so. this leads to the third point: lack of trust. currently, hungary does not have the confidence within the eu and nato necessary for any mediation efforts. relations between hungary and ukraine have long been strained. so, if ukraine were to ask any country to become a mediator, it would be faster after all,... not hungary, isn't it, to put it mildly, but if we talk about russia, from their point of view, hungary remains primarily a country of the eu and nato, a member of two alliances that moscow perceives as hostile, therefore , it would be highly unusual if russia decided to trust orbán. yes, orbán is a useful
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tool for moscow, and hungarian foreign policy for russian diplomacy, but this does not mean that there is trust between them, so even three basic requirements are necessary for any kind of peace mediation. mandate, trust and plan, all missing. so you're not the only one who hasn't found his position. what exactly is happening, there is no such thing as orbán's plan. thank you very much. mr. ratz, prime minister orbán always says that the hungarian government will continue to provide humanitarian aid to ukraine, but not arms, because that could bring war closer.
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but after ukraine won near kiev, after ukraine managed to push the russians out of mykolaiv oblast, then to liberate part of kherson oblast, then to liberate kharkiv oblast, and after the front basically stabilized. in october november 22, since then no one could have thought that the russian army would ever come much closer to hungary. this is not something that anyone would seriously fear from the hungarian side. i mean, you can think or say a lot of bad things about hungarian diplomacy or foreign policy, but the people who do it are professionals. at a certain level, hungary exchanges information with the eu and
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nato, so budapest has data to correctly assess the situation. therefore, the argument, or a kind of argument, that budapest does not give weapons, because these weapons will bring the front line closer to hungary, there is no point. it's more like an excuse. i thought so too. let's talk a little more about the relationship between hungary and the european union. the biggest question i have is why prime minister orbán is fighting so intensely with the eu leadership. what does he want to achieve with this? in hungary, there are problems related to the rule of law, because of this
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, several billion euros of eu financial support for hungary have been frozen, so budapest does not have access to them. my assessment, the interest of hungary is to normalize relations with the european union, solve problems related to the rule of law and at the same time ensure that the blocked eu funds start flowing in'. this is what the new polish government immediately did, after which the european commission immediately reacted and began to direct previously suspended funds to poland. hungary clearly follows a different approach, the highly confrontational policies pursued by orbán seem to serve almost exclusively domestic political interests. in the area of
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​​the rule of law, the european union requires from hungary to destroy some key institutional components of the orbán regime: control over mass media, suppression of civil society, influence on the judicial system and some other things. without these changes, hungary will not have access to frozen eu assets. viktor orban. one must choose between the security interests of one's regime and the financial interests of the country, as they conflict with each other. as in every authoritarian system, he chooses the security interests of his own regime, because if orbán decides to comply with the eu's demands, it will mean that he himself will need to deconstruct the key elements of the regime that guarantee his own power. it is very unlikely that he will go for that, so instead
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he chooses open confrontation and tries to create a situation where domestically, for a domestic audience, he can try to present the whole story as hungary not getting eu money because of the eu's fault the eu hates hungary because the eu discriminates against hungary, for example, because hungary pursues a certain peace policy that is against the interests of the eu, so... this is mostly an internal political game. there is also an element of opacity here. the hungarian government believes less and less in the possibility of receiving this money from the european union. there is an opinion that this money is essentially lost. and when they no longer expect to get that money back, they can afford to continue.
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country in zakarpattia oblast, especially in the berehiv district, there are quite a lot of ethnic hungarians living there, and prime minister orbán always says that he is going to protect this minority and will do everything for it is it possible that he can do to protect the minority and is he just saying this to push his political agenda?
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i'm afraid it's more likely the second. there were several cases when hungary's foreign policy actually harmed the interests of the hungarian minority living in ukraine. for example, military support is one such case. hundreds of ukrainian citizens of hungarian origin live in ukraine. hundreds of them fight in the ukrainian army for the freedom and sovereignty of ukraine. dozens of them have already died. the exact number is classified, but it is quite large. so, there are ethnic hungarians who are actively fighting for ukraine. if hungary really cared about the fate of the hungarian minority in zakarpattia oblast, it would be interested in
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helping ukraine as much as possible, in order to help the hungarian minority in order to help ukraine win. moreover, imagine the situation that could develop in the first weeks of a full-scale invasion, imagine that ukraine would then suffer a serious defeat. does anyone seriously believe that if russia dominated ukraine, if there was a russian puppet government in ukraine, something like yanukovych's number two, it would be good for the hungarian ethnic minority. does anyone seriously think that russia would not suppress all ethnic minorities belonging to eu and nato countries. no one will say so, and yet budapest refrained from providing military aid.
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more so in conditional issues, educational rights, in what was a key source. differences between ukraine and hungary, tensions have existed for 7-8 years, the question of what if is difficult to answer. nevertheless, for several years, the hungarian and ukrainian sides did not a constructive approach was noticeable. the budapest government has shown no willingness to solve problems. thus, for several years in bilateral relations with... we hope that the recent meeting between president zelenskyi and prime minister viktor orban in kyiv will change something. this meeting has been planned for years. orbán has been constantly invited by president zelenskyi for
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many years, and now the two leaders have met in person. we hope that this will become a catalyst for the normalization of bilateral relations. lately there have been certain gestures like from the hungarian side, as well as from the ukrainian side, when it comes to technical details about languages, educational systems, educational rights, cultural rights and all these things. in the long term, i am optimistic, also because after this meeting, the head of the zakarpattia region viktor mykyta announced that there is a plan to organize a ukrainian-hungarian business forum to... talk about hungary's contribution to the recovery of ukraine and hungarian investments. and when money is on the table, it usually has a dampening effect on the discussion. when we talk about the economy, when we talk about money is always a more rational thing than when it comes to more symbolic political issues. despite the fact that oruban's visit
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to moscow was obviously a surprise for kyiv. the ukrainian reaction was very restrained, moderate, and wise. not at all escalating, it is again some indication that there is a chance for better relations, despite the fact that several years have been lost. i hope the future will look a little better, and one more thing: the meeting between zelenskyi and orban was organized literally in 5 days. organization of such a meeting at a high level, in such a short time, is possible only when both sides really want it from... in this case, both sides really wanted the meeting to take place, and this is again a good sign that ukraine and hungary now ready to overcome some difficult issues and move forward.
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hungary's viktor orbán constantly praises the potential future president of the united states , donald trump, and donald trump speaks well of orbán. two weeks ago during his visit to the nato summit in washington orbán even visited florida and met with donald trump in maralago. how dangerous can this tandem be if donald trump wins the election in november. this tandem expression is actually interesting. by calling them a tandem, we're indicating that they're of equal strength, but that's not quite the case, but okay, let's call them a tandem. what would you call them? it's kind of
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a one-sided love thing or something, i'm not very good on soap bars, but i'm sure we can find on... interesting that hungarian diplomacy is 100% supported donald trump. hungary's ambassador to washington, sabulc takacs, said that budapest has no plans to. he pledged to support trump. if trump does not win, that country does not count on any good relations. states for smaller countries, the usual strategy is to have good relations with both parties. even
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for a medium-sized, medium-sized country like ukraine, ukrainian diplomacy in washington, led by ambassador oksana markarova, has excellent connections with the democratic camp and with several republican politicians. this is a classic strategy for how countries approach the current presidential race. you have good relations with both sides, and you delegate very trained professional diplomats as ambassadors, such as ambassador markarov from the ukrainian side or ambassador takacs from the hungarian side. however, hungary fully supports the republicans this time. this is very unusual. if trump wins, budapest will not gain much, the importance should not be overstated. hungary for trump. in addition, hungary's close relations with china will be a problem for the incoming
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trump administration. i consider it a serious problem. even hungary's close relations with russia will not necessarily be beneficial. so, even if trump wins, even if the hungarian bid wins, i'm not sure that it can bring any strategic benefits to hungary. in the meantime, if a democratic president emerges from the race, the hungarian... of course, i said this would be the last question, but if you don't mind, i'll ask one more: how strong is viktor orbán's position in hungary, and how long is he going to remain the prime minister of this country? at least until 2026'. parliamentary elections are scheduled for 2026, if mr. orbán is healthy and continues to serve as prime minister, there is no scenario in which he could lose his
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power before 2026. what will happen in 2026, well, the parliamentary elections are still a long way off. thank you very much mr. ratz for joining us today and thank you very much for your answers, i really appreciate it. it was andra shratz, hungarian a security analyst, an expert of the german council on international relations, as well as a lecturer at corvin university talked with him about serious issues, in particular about hungary, about its leader viktor orbán, as well as about such sensitive hungarian-ukrainian relations, and what's next, the conversation was interesting, the answers were interesting, i think you will like it, well, that's it, i'll say goodbye to... you, my name is yuriy fizar, see you soon.
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we are looking for a brother and sister who disappeared during the occupation in the luhansk region in the village of baranivikka, the girl eva - four years old, and her brother artem is eight. contact with the children was lost at the beginning of the full-scale invasion of russia, and nothing is known about them since then. so, if you have any information about eva and artem, please immediately call... magnolia's child tracing service hotline at 11630. calls from all mobile operators in ukraine are free. the search for six-year-old mysh melnyk, who also disappeared in the luhansk region, namely in the village of grechyshkine, continues. and we have very encouraging news about this boy. we have been looking for him since march 2022, and for a long time there was no
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news about him. we didn't know. where and with whom was mishko and under what circumstances he disappeared. we have made many programs about the search for mishko, telling you his story and asking you to give us any information about the boy. and when it seemed that there were almost no chances left, a witness wrote in a telegram to the chatbot of the children's search service, saying that he knew the whereabouts of mysh melnyk. this is the message we received. mishko in kindergarten, in the village of grechy. brings him there grandma, we have photos. we asked the witness for details and he confirmed that the boy is allegedly in the occupied village of grechyshkane and goes to his grandfather's kindergarten. we were also sent a photo and even a video with the boy. kindergarten in the village of hrychyshkino. it is located right at the school. he is alone there, his name is teremok. we welcome you. happy holiday,
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and this is a photo that we have had for almost two years of searching, if we compare it with the ones sent to us by the witness, the boy is indeed very similar in both photos. we were also helped in the search by specialists who are looking for autumn information in open sources, and they managed to find a page on a russian social network of classmates of mysh melnyk's probable mother. here she is, and here she is. together with little mouse, and this photo of the boy is already at a slightly older age, by the way, his mother posted the last photo of the mouse on her page in february 2023. so, judging by the message of the witness, the photo and video he provided, as well as the social network of the boy's mother, everything points to the fact that, fortunately, myshko melnyk is all right and is probably in the village grechyshkine, luhansk region. however, at the moment this
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information has not been confirmed, and we cannot be 100% sure that the boy has been found, so i am asking everyone, and especially residents of the occupied village of grechyshkine in the luhansk region, if you see this program, please check whether it is really in the grinder mouse is studying in the teremok kindergarten, if possible, take a photo or video with him and his mother and send it to us in the chatbot. child tracing services in telegram. you can also contact us by short number 11630. calls from all mobile operators in ukraine are free. we have created a resource through which you can report any crime against a child. in any city, at any time. just go to the site and report. and we will launch all possible mechanisms to punish the criminal.
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greetings to all viewers of the tv channel, we start the information day with news, khrystyna porubiy works in the studio. two people were killed and the same number were injured due to an enemy attack on dnipropetrovsk region. the russians shelled nikopol with artillery and drones. damaged four high-rise buildings, 10 private buildings, educational institutions, a fire station, a post office, farm buildings and a power line, - announced the head of
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the regional military administration. also an occupier.

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