well, here is the synoptic near-term perspective: on sunday, the weather will level off, the rains will go a little further east, that is, the east, center and south can feel such increased air humidity, and the air temperature will level off and will be somewhere around 25-29°, in the south, in the southeast, it will traditionally be higher , well , as always, updated weather forecasts, the best weather forecasts on the espresso channel, keep a close eye on the development. synoptic situation, thank you very much nataltsidenko for the information about the weather, but i wanted to say that this story is about the tender, well, with the ohmadit tender for the reconstruction of ahmadit, we seem to have already clarified the situation, a new tender will be held, and those who wanted, as they say under... quietly, until no one

noticed, to hold a tender, to find some company that inflates the prices, to say it's good doesn't mean it's bad, if the prices are inflated, maybe it's just that there's space technology out there that we don't know about, maybe there's some third generation civilization out there and they 'll do it now just instantly, well no it happened, it didn't happen, the minister said that we will conduct a new tender, and i hope, of course, that they will find out who conducted the previous one, how did it happen that this company with an authorized capital of uah 500 suddenly won it and offered a price twice as expensive as the company that actually and built this ochmadite, and now there will be people who invested money in the supervisory board, they will control, this is very good, those people who invested money, business, benefactors, this is their money, they will control that this money goes as intended, friend the story is about the memorial, this holy place should be for everyone ukrainians, i will say again, for tens and hundreds of years, the memorial of fallen heroes and heroines in the battle for. ukrainian independence,

a company also appeared there, which was created literally the day before, but there is no betrayal here at the moment, because these are simply three different companies that have been on the market for a long time, to which there were no complaints, which nowhere, as they say, did not shine a light on something bad, they simply assessed the requirements of this tender and decided to create an association to jointly make this memorial, because individually they do not have one or another means, but together they created an association. well, at least that's how it's written, and they will be able to do it, but together, that is, it's not that some individual company appeared, fell from the sky, no, these are already existing companies, just joining together to do it together , we will also follow the development of these events, but for now here we see that there is no such big betrayal, thank you for being with us during this week, i will say goodbye to you until monday, until 18:10, take care of yourself, i wish you have a nice weekend.

good evening, we are from ukraine. if china is not going to the peace summit, then kuleba is going to china. the visit of the ukrainian minister of foreign affairs to guangzhou came as a surprise to many. in june, kenr defiantly ignored an invitation to the peace summit in switzerland. nato openly accuses russia of supporting russian aggression, and the united states threatens it with sanctions. however, they understand in ukraine. china is too big and powerful to be offended or ignored. the visit of a ukrainian official at such a level is the first in many years, and this fine. there is a clear signal that china supports the territorial integrity and sovereignty of ukraine. and what chinese leader xi jinping told me that china would not supply was also confirmed. weapons of russia.

dmytro kuleba was invited to guang-zhou by the minister of foreign affairs there, wang-gi. the second person in the chinese hierarchy after xi jinping. the conversation lasted more than three hours. the people's republic of china continues to call russian aggression, the ukrainian crisis, but once again expressed its readiness to help achieve peace, specifically peace, not a truce, dmytro kuleba emphasized. i spoke about the importance of just peace. and not any kind of peace, and my chinese colleague himself added that it is very important to have a just and lasting peace, because usually it is we who constantly say that the peace must be permanent, that is, lasting and just, but what does a just peace mean for china ? pakin officially names the expansion of nato to the east as the reason for the war, his peace proposals essentially equate the victim and the aggressor, to give up... the strategic partnership

with russia . influence on the kremlin, and therefore ukraine and the west would like to see pakistan. at the second peace summit, preparations for which are already underway. negotiations will not make sense if the russians conduct them as they have done before, putting forward terms of surrender. but without russia and china at the table, there really will be no peace talks. china could play the role of a major global player, which it undoubtedly is in the economy, in finance, but perhaps no longer in the policy of forcing peace. china's position as a potential mediator is even greater. intensifies against the background of dramatic and unpredictable american elections, which weaken the united states and frighten its allies. president joseph biden's refusal to bog down, although it added enthusiasm to the democrats, further confused the prospects of american support for ukraine. on the one

hand, vice president kamala harris. it is expected that in the event of her victory, the white house will generally continue the current course with regard to ukraine. but herself. a man without experience in international affairs and likely to rely entirely on his advisers. with the key of them, diplomat philip gordon, head andriy yermak has already had a telephone conversation with the president's office. according to the wall street journal , there is unlikely to be a place for president biden's top appointees in the garis administration. in particular, to secretary of state anthony blinken, minister of defense lloyd austin and adviser to national security chief jake sullivan, so whether the level of support will be at least as high as under president biden, who had a special relationship with ukraine, is an unanswered question . on the other hand, donald trump. he promises to end the war in 24 hours, and

claims to have its own peace plan. the publication politico previously reported that his team is apparently seriously considering the option of the agreement with the kremlin, which provides. territorial concessions of ukraine and its refusal to join nato. after meeting with trump on the sidelines of the republican party convention, former british prime minister boris johnson published his version of the peace plan in the tabloid newspaper the daily mail. there is an increase in military support for ukraine, the intention to push russia to the borders on february 24, and measures to protect the rights of russian speakers in ukraine. to help save face finally , the us secretary of state in the trump administration, mike pompeo, and david urban, the head of a lobbying company close to the republicans, presented their version. they claim that the way to peace lies through strength.

this means that it is necessary to strengthen military support for ukraine, remove all prohibitions on strikes deep into russia, lower world oil prices in order to weaken the economy of the russian federation. and finally, to admit ukraine to nato. which of these plans is really trump's plan? it is unlikely that he himself knows this today trump. he is an impulsive and unpredictable person, which means that his victory will create both new opportunities and great risks for ukraine. president zelenskyi called me, we had a good talk, and i said that this war must be ended. are you familiar with russian? military vehicle all they do is wage war. they defeated hitler, they defeated napoleon. the spring offensive never happened. the russians have millions of shells and thousands of tanks. many russians were killed, but many ukrainians were also killed. this should not have happened. or

are the ukrainians themselves ready for possible negotiations? a survey of the razumkov center, conducted in june at the request of the publication dzerkalo tyzhnia , testified. that 44% of ukrainians believe that the time for peace talks has come, while 35% do not agree with this opinion, but this is tylu's opinion, what the front thinks, sociologists do not know, the defense forces continue to make incredible efforts to contain the enemy so that ukraine , if the time for negotiations really comes, was in the strongest possible position. hello, my name is yuriy fizar and this is an espresso interview. as always, we are serious guests and serious topics, today's interlocutor will talk about pain points, about hungarian-ukrainian relations, ultimately about hungary and about the hungarian leader, viktor

orban. and my guest today, a hungarian security analyst, an expert of the german council on international relations, professor. those who have joined, today we will talk about hungary, about the prime minister of hungary , viktor orbán, and about the very sensitive topic of ukrainian-hungarian relations. if you don't mind, i'll start with that. consequently, ukraine blocked the transit of russian oil to slovakia and hungary. the governments of those countries even appealed to the european commission to put pressure on ukraine to cancel this decision. how far do you think

the hungarian government will go to convince ukraine to allow oil through this pipeline. thank you, this is a very sensitive issue. in fact, details matter a lot here. to date , oil transit has not stopped completely. russian look-oil has been sanctioned by ukraine, but other russian companies can still use this pipeline, such as rosneft, tat-neft, bash-neft and others companies so, this story does not mean that the flow of oil has completely stopped for now. also because ukraine needs oil transit. ukraine needs the transit fee that comes from the oil pipeline. if we talk about

hungary's reaction, then we have to start from the events that took place two years earlier. the european union in late may 22, about three months after the full-scale invasion, imposed sanctions on oil imports from russia via pipelines. three eu countries asked. on postponement: czech republic, slovakia and hungary. they claimed that they did not have the funds to immediately diversify their imports of russian oil, and for technological reasons they had to continue using it. the czech republic has since resolved this problem, but hungary and slovakia still use russian oil. the deferment granted by the european union has no deadline. there is a call to bratislava and budapest. to diversify the supply of russian oil as soon as possible, however, the text of the document does not specify any

deadline, since then budapest and bratislava will continue to import russian oil, this is not the only source of imports, but a significant one. so, if the flow of oil were to stop completely, and it hasn't, that would be a major blow to the energy security of both countries, but again, we're not there yet . as for the reaction of hungary, it should be noted that the immediate reaction of budapest was the announcement of the intention to block the european peace fund, this fund, this amount of money of about 6.5 billion euros, which should compensate those eu countries that provide military aid to ukraine. so, budapest initially blocks the payment of these 6.5 billion euros. de facto, it does not harm ukraine directly, it harms european countries that... but this is a kind of indirect

measure. budapest has effectively blocked this european peace fund for quite some time, citing various reasons. so it will definitely happen. budapest will continue to block the european peace fund, but this blocking has lasted for years. in addition, hungary appealed to the european commission with a request to put pressure on ukraine, but the european commission replied that for the time being , more information, more investigations are needed, so... there will be no direct intervention by the european commission, well, at least for now, for now, because hungary has already chosen essentially the maximum escalation. that is, the blocking of the european peace fund for 6.5 billion euros. i don't expect that budapest can do much more. yes, you hear from hungarian officials that hungary can block the prospects of ukraine joining the eu, but joining the eu is a long way. me a few years before. ukraine will be able to join of the european union. it will definitely happen,

but it won't be a quick process. so, in the short term, budapest has no way to put pressure on ukraine. but the blocking of the european peace fund, the blocking of €6.5 billion, is certainly one way, it will continue. blocking the 6.5 is certainly one of them. this is going to go. you have already started talking about mutual relations between hungary and the european union. let's talk about them too. so, the president of the european councilor charles michel called viktor's trip a political mistake orban not only to moscow, but also to beijing and washington. he also stated that the european union reacted to this with a yellow card. does brussels have the power to finally show viktor orbán a red card. it is necessary

to define what a red card is. to stick to the football metaphor, a red card means that the player must leave the field. it's not going to happen, nobody can be kicked out of the european union, so unlike football here he can have a few yellow cards and still stay in the game for now. a trip to moscow, as well as a trip to beijing, and the way these trips were conducted is a serious violation, both registered and... so it caused a great scandal and publicity within the european union, certain political countermeasures have already been applied. for example, some eu member states are boycotting

high-level meetings of the hungarian eu presidency. viktor orban was not invited to the european parliament. to present his presidential program. the head of the european commission, ursula fondeen, is not going to come to budapest, which is a very strong diplomatic signal. however, when it comes to practical countermeasures of a kind of punitive measures, the eu cannot do anything. unlike in football, a player who breaks the rules will not be sent off the field of play, but he will have much less opportunity to achieve something in the game, and that is what will happen to hungary, it is already happening to them. it is already clear that the trip to moscow caused hungary serious reputational losses from the point of view of the prestige and trust of the allies. meanwhile, it is not at all clear that it was hungary

that benefited from this trip. so, the minuses are clear, but no one notes the pluses. by some mystery, some mystery, it is simply not clear that hungary gained from this, but it is clear that it lost. can you say that mr. orbán is somehow dependent on putin, based on what we saw on his trip to russia, on what he said when he came back. it is very difficult to assess, the last time they met was in beijing, already then during the beijing meeting orbán openly said that the previous meeting in beijing was initiated by putin and orbán could not say no. it was actually very

indicatively, it is very difficult for the prime minister of the eu or nato. if putin called them to go, then they should... go, that was the previous meeting. regarding the current meeting, which took place two days after the trip to kyiv, the hungarian narrative is that it was budapest that initiated it, but again it is not clear what hungary actually gained from it, instead it is quite clear that russia gained. it was very interesting to watch how russian state media covered this visit. when putin and orban started a discussion... literally in the fifth sentence, putin called orbán an envoy of the european union, which is technically certainly not true. but all the russian media covered orban's visit as if the president of the european union had come to moscow, showing how important a player russia is and that it is not isolated at all. over the course of several days , all russian state officials virtually celebrated this meeting, noting how

important a player putin is to the president of the european union. so, from the point of view of domestic politics, russia has won a lot, and it was very... beneficial for her, why it was good for hungary, i honestly don't know, mr. orbán also said that he has some kind of peace plan for ukraine, you know the details of that peace plan, i was trying to find it's on the internet, but i couldn't find anything, it's not your fault, the plan doesn't exist, this one is on... so, it's interesting to imagine why orbán said that he was going to promote peace in ukraine.

also, let's not forget that in order to achieve peace, a ceasefire must first be achieved, so a peace plan must be preceded by a ceasefire fire, this is a technical detail. as for the plan itself, there is no orbán plan, when he met with president zelensky, he called for some strange form of segmented ceasefire, but it was not detailed, and i am not aware of any such document that elaborates on this the idea of ​​a segmented ceasefire. when he went to moscow, he didn't even get to say a word, because putin almost immediately declared that russia was not ready to accept any foreign peace plan. and that the war should end

according to the russian position. this is the ultimatum that russia announced just a day before the peace summit regarding ukraine and switzerland. the same ultimatum. you know very well, ukraine must completely renounce donetsk, luhansk, zaporizhzhia and kherson regions and crimea. the ukrainian army should completely withdraw its troops from these regions, ukraine should forget about the intention to join nato and so on. so basically putin didn't even let orbán explain his own ideas, instead he did issued the usual russian ultimatums. when orbán went to beijing, he did the third thing, he praised the chinese peace plan, the same chinese peace plan or settlement plan that china offered on the first anniversary of the war. so, in kyiv, moscow and

beijing, orbán basically voiced three different plans, so i don't see him having his own plan, it's the lack of a plan. concerning. mandate, no one asked hungary to mediate in this war, no one asked hungary to do anything in the war in order to succeed in mediation effort, you need to have some mandate for it. this leads to the third point: lack of trust. currently, hungary does not have the confidence within the eu and nato necessary for any mediation efforts. relations between hungary and ukraine have long been strained. so, if ukraine were to ask any country to become a mediator, it would most likely not be hungary, right? this is to say the least, but if we talk about russia, from their point of view, hungary still remains primarily an eu and nato country, a member of the two alliances that moscow

perceived as hostile. therefore , it would be very unusual if russia decided to trust orbán. yes, orbán is a useful tool for moscow, and hungarian foreign policy is a useful tool for russian diplomacy, but this does not at all mean that trust is emerging between them. so, even three basic requirements are necessary for any kind of peace mediation - mandate, trust and plan, all of them. orbán always says that the hungarian government will continue to provide humanitarian aid to ukraine, but not weapons, because that could bring the war closer to hungary's borders. he really is are you afraid of this? as far as i know, not already,

in the first days or in the first weeks of a full-scale war, when it was not yet clear whether ukraine would be able to withstand and how many territories the russians actually occupy, maybe so. ukraine. could near kyiv after ukraine managed to push the russians out of the mykolaiv oblast, then to liberate part of the kherson oblast, then to liberate the kharkiv oblast, and after the front was largely stabilized in october-november 22, since then no one could have thought that the russian army will ever fit much closer to hungary. this is not something that anyone would seriously fear from the hungarian side. and

on a certain level, hungary exchanges information with the eu and nato, so budapest has the data to properly assess the situation, so the argument, or a kind of argument, that budapest does not give weapons because these weapons will bring the front line closer to hungary, does not make sense, it's more like an excuse. i thought so too. let's talk a little more about the relationship between hungary and the european union. the biggest question i have is why prime minister orbán is like this quarrels intensively with the leadership of the eu, what he wants to achieve by this. there are

problems related to the rule of law in hungary, because of this, several billion euros of eu financial support for hungary have been frozen, so budapest does not have access to them. my assessment is that hungary's interests lie in normalizing relations with the european union, solving problems related to the rule of law, and at the same time ensuring that the blocked eu funds begin to flow to hungary. this is what the new polish government immediately did, after which the european commission immediately reacted and began to direct previously suspended funds to poland. hungary clearly follows a different approach, the highly confrontational policies pursued by orbán seem to serve almost exclusively domestic political interests. in

the area of ​​rule of law, the european union requires hungary to dismantle some key institutional components of the orbán regime: control over the mass media, suppression of civil society, influence on the judicial system, and some other things. without these changes, hungary will not have access to frozen eu assets. viktor orbán needs to choose between interests. the security interests of his regime and the financial interests of the country, since they conflict with each other, as in every authoritarian system, he chooses the security interests of his own regime, because if orbán decides to comply with the eu demand, it will mean that he himself will have to deconstruct the key elements of the regime, which guarantee his own power. it is highly

unlikely that he will go for it so instead he chooses open confrontation and is trying to create a situation where in domestic politics, for the domestic audience, he can try to present the whole story so that hungary does not receive eu money because of the fault of the eu, because the eu hates hungary, because the eu discriminates against hungary, for example, because hungary pursues a certain peace policy that is against the interests of the eu, so it is mostly an internal political game. there is also an element of opacity here, the hungarian government has less and less faith in the possibility of receiving this money from the european union. there is an opinion that this money is essentially lost. and when they no longer hope to get this money back, they can afford to continue

the confrontation, because they have nothing left. let's talk about the hungarian minority in ukraine, in the zakarpattia region, especially in the berehiv district, there are quite a lot of ethnic hungarians living there, and prime minister orbán always says that he is going to protect this minority and will do everything he can to do it for the protection of minorities.