the same is not even about khanye history, but about tehran, israel could not do it 10 thousand times in qatar, where khanye lives, but they do not want to spoil relations with qatar, that is, to put qatar in such a situation, but with iran yes, but how can they answer, what can they do after one of their attacks, this last one, failed, that's also the number one question, yeah, and we 'll see, for sure, because from what will be an iranian strike, which, what will be its effectiveness, depends, and the israeli response, and the subsequent development of events, what is the problem here, the previous iranian attack turned out to be absolutely useless, because iranian drones and drones destroyed countries neighboring israel in the airspace. but now, will all

the arab states be ready to participate in this operation, when their palestinian street, the street will tell them, but iran wants to take revenge for hania, such a hero, and you will not give it to them, traitors to our cause, that is, now america will have to again on new, i would say, foundations to create a coalition. against iran, when it comes not only to iran, but also to the palestinians, who have always considered hania their leader there, well, i repeat again, this is the person who won the last, the first last parliamentary elections in the palestinian authority, became the prime minister , the latest sociological polls showed that if there were elections for the president of the palestinian authority, more than 70% of people voted for hanya, by the way, this says a lot about the mood of the civilian population, right? so there

is a question of how it will develop, in principle we are on the verge of a possible major war in the region, it is true. that is, mr. vitaly, if we talk about this previous massive attack by missiles and drones by iran on israel, then, by the way, many analysts said that a similar attack was such that it could be repelled, because at that time ... there was no relevant economic situation where iran would be directly interested in inflicting a crushing defeat on israel. now this situation with the basis for the future answer has completely changed. i correct you did you understand the serpent does not think that then there will be a special blow so that israel can repel it. iran, it seems, simply did not count on the fact that its missiles and drones would not reach israel and would be destroyed in the airspace of other countries. this, by the way, is what

we tell our allies all the time, that if they shot down russian missiles and drones in their airspace or from their airspace, it would be much easier for us from the point of view of our security, that is, this happened with israel. now the question is not in so what the iranian attack would be, because i don't think there was any special planning, how weak, you think of the number of missiles and drones that were directed at israel, it's unprecedented. in terms of numbers, this is generally, i think, the largest drone attack in the history of mankind, now it may be that iran does not have that many arsenals for such a strike, that is true, but it can count on some country or several countries through whose territories all it's flying, they won't shoot it down, that's

the danger, and then the israeli system air defense will be more difficult than it was during the first attack. and if it becomes more difficult for her, if not everything is shot down, if something hits some targets, israel will certainly carry out a massive bombing of iran. that israel has long been looking for an excuse to, say, destroy the iranian nuclear facilities completely. and then a great war will begin, to what extent. putin is interested in this great war in this region and not only here, because you and i discuss from program to program what it is in his interests to inflame and increase the number of local conflicts around the world, well , it may not be a local conflict anymore, to be honest, but he is definitely interested, because such a big war, even on the eve of the presidential... elections in the united

states, it is completely focused on the immediate in the east, completely, this is one time, the second, he really contributes to this, you saw that the minister. the ministry of foreign affairs of the russian federation immediately condemned the murder of ismail khanya. but what is it? khanya is the leader of a terrorist organization. this organization killed civilians only in october 23 residents of israel, took women and children hostage. russia seems to condemn terrorism all the time. where is this from? and this is an effort to prove not even to the palestinians. and to prove to iran that russia will be with him if he embarks on a decisive day. that's the hocus-pocus of this story. they are inciting iran and giving it the impression that they will go along with it no

matter what it does. there is another factor - this is china. china also needs to strengthen its capabilities in the middle east. and by the way, you remember that a few days before the murder hannity until next week. beijing held a completely unexpected meeting of the leaders of fathi hamas, and during this meeting they signed a memorandum on the creation of a government of national unity, i think that they will not create anything, but the very fact of the appearance of such an organization, so to speak, in beijing, one second, and the idea of ​​this speaks volumes that beijing wants to play an important role in the middle east, beijing did not hide this much. the last time united states secretary of state anthony blinken was in beijing was on the same day he met with xi jinping were holding parallel talks with the hamas delegation, that's all, and they too might be interested in seeing something happen that would reduce the influence of the united states, because

their calculation is that if there is a war, the united states will help israel and iran will act as an avenger for ismail haniya, it will certainly change the configuration in the arab world and give a bigger one. space between china and russia, russia needs free hands in ukraine, china just needs it to strengthen itself in the middle east, that's absolutely clear. ugh, well, i would also like to conclude to talk about such an effect, on the eve, in fact, of these vivid liquidations, the president of the united states, joseph biden, called on benjamin netanyahu, let's say, to be restrained and not escalate when it comes to the operation in the gas sector. operations of the israel defense forces, and will these successful, once again, eliminations of terrorist gangs play into netanyahu's hands in the eyes of virtually all of his other partners, who are already calling for more restraint, and what about his ratings

and his reputation within the country, i i think we can talk in a separate conversation altogether. i think that just the ratings and reputation after these liquidations are in a good state, as you understand. so we see that netanyahu's rating has been increasing recently. israel always pursues such a policy that it usually has allied relations with the united states, but it never allows itself to dictate anything. it is not in the rules of israeli prime ministers that they listen to american presidents there and do as the american president wants. israeli policy, is to convince the american president that... israel's policy is in the interests of the united states. this is the approach. and by the way, this is what benjamin netanyahu was saying when he spoke from the podium of congress when he said, "we are defending ourselves and you" from iran, you first. and this is a very important thesis. did the congressmen hear? and then, listen, what is of

great importance to beliaho now? what does biden say to him when he understands very well that he will be talking to the new president in a certain time. of the united states, or with kamala harris, or with donald trump, and that is why he met not only with biden, but also with trump. and he understands very well that one more thing, that once the power changes in the united states, it will really be much more difficult for him to act without taking into account the position of the new american administration, because it will be a four-year administration. therefore , by and large, if israel wants to achieve... a definite victory over hamas, it needs to act right here, let's say, by february 2025, by march, because then it will be more difficult to advance in the direction that the prime minister considers more pleasant for himself, so this is all such

a simple story, in principle, mr. vitaly, another interesting region and a very interesting country in the context of that... well, first of all, it is also in the orbit of the interests of the russian federation, and regularly, in the person of its leaders, supports everything that concerns... russia does not support resolutions that concern russian aggression against ukraine, well and you can actually continue to speak, speech it is about venezuela, which , as i understand, is still in the electoral process, although we are already talking about the post-elections, and there are people who go out to protest, there is maduro, who is not ready to give in, there is maduro, who is calling for there are some duels with elon musk, and what for you is about... the situation in venezuela and in this region, considering the universe said, you understand, everything is very

, again, not difficult there. maduro lost this election, as lukashenko lost the 2020 election , the opposition won, but now everything will depend on how effective the structure of the forces, and how much the target structures of the army will support mador and how massive they will be. if it turns out that these protests are not massive, if it turns out that there are not enough people to prevent the security forces from acting, then, of course , the situation will simply end with maduro continuing the next term as president of venezuela without any particular problems. if the protests increase, then the regime will collapse. now, what is beneficial to putin? of course, it is important to putin for maduro to stay. but not just stayed, but stayed under sanctions for,

because the last year there, a year and a half after the russian attack on ukraine, many felt it was necessary for venezuela to start being an alternative to russian oil, and it was these agreements between the united states and venezuela that began to be reached, but the condition of these agreements was fair elections in venezuela, these elections were not held fairly. even if there were some fair elections, the votes were not fair and counted, i mean, it means that the united states may have to again to impose sanctions on venezuela, to announce again that they consider the president not the person who controls the power, but the person who actually won the elections, well, in this way, venezuelan oil will remain in venezuela, well, this is what putin needs, so that venezuela depends on russian support, so that it is not a russian competitor in the oil market. so that maduro could connect his future only with him,

that is, he was such a venezuelan lukashenka, so the situation here is simple, but everything will really depend on the venezuelan people, from their ability to respond to this challenge. it is very interesting, in fact , the president of ukraine volodymyr zelenskyi touched on this topic in his address on the x social network, the reports about the presence of wagner's russian mercenaries in venezuela together with the government troops cause concern. no matter where these thugs go, they bring death and destabilization, and i can't help but also note a number of events this week, this is the elimination of the wagnerites in malia, and actually there is a report that the main intelligence agency and our military specialists could somewhat spoil the russian plans on the territory of syria, and can we say that the hunt for russia continues. influence in such interesting locations for russia, and to what extent is wagner's group, or what

is left of it, about this influence? you see, this is definitely about the russian influence. however, the fact remains that after the defeat of the wagnerites in russia, they cannot recover as an effective military force in africa and the middle east. and this is what happened in mali, the death of a large number of people, after such... i would say ambitious messages that now they will come to mali and restore order there, this is once again saying that there is no real opportunity to be competitors for that wagner, who was beautiful in those days, these people no longer have that this structure fell apart, the russians wanted to create an african corps on its basis in the structure of the ministry of defense of russia, of course, and that is why the deputy minister of defense of russia, general. yunus vifkurov toured african women in the capital and said that

now instead of wagner, there will be an african woman corps with the same people, and don't worry, it will simply mean that our interaction is not within the framework of a private company, within the framework of a state structure, because it turned out that it doesn't work like that, so that after all, that wagner who was created, which in one way or another was an independent structure in terms of the autonomy of its actions in african countries. of his own interaction with the local leadership, had more capabilities, including logistical and intelligence, than what was left of him, as you say, so that of course, you have to pay for everything and for... the fact that prigozhin began to scare putin with his really enhanced opportunity within the framework of this private military company, formally private, it is clear that there was budget money, this leadership was autonomous, so it no longer works, when it becomes part of the state bureaucracy, it does not work as a mercenary mechanism. events, events

that are happening right now and affect our lives, of course, the news feed reports about them, but... it is not enough to know what is happening, you need to understand it. antin borkovskyi and invited experts are sober evaluate events, analyze them, modeling our future. every saturday at 1:10 p.m., with a repeat on sunday at 10:10 a.m. studio zahid with anton borkovsky at espresso. saturday political club, on spresso, my name is khrystyna yatskiv, and this is our conversation with portnikov , we have the opportunity to analyze important events and important topics for another 10 minutes. one of the most important is the topic of negotiations, negotiations, the variety of peace plans, which are actually presented from many sides. but when we talk about negotiations between the russian federation and ukraine, we have

to understand that the russian federation is unlikely to be interested in them right now. mr. vitaliy now contradicts me in this statement, but when i look at the map and realize that every day they have confident advances at the front and the occupation of new ukrainian territories, this hardly indicates their desire to take some kind of break to recover, we have everything is okay with them, but we understand less that at the political level our leadership must declare its readiness for the negotiation process, otherwise how can there be communication with our partners, and this is exactly what the representatives of the president's office were talking about this week. mr. vitaly, how do you see it? well, you know, i don't think that russia's readiness or unreadiness for peace talks is connected with the fact that it is advancing there, or not yet advancing somewhere. i have repeatedly said that i am not at all sure that they would have negotiated peace even if we had reached the borders of '91

. because they are peaceful, the need for peace talks with ukraine arises when it is really exhausted, but they are afraid. own territory, and when the whole war takes place on the territory of another country, well, practically all of it, then with some exceptions that only confirm this rule, well, the entire war is taking place on the sovereign territory of ukraine, all these cities whose warehouses are exploding there, where russian missiles, ukrainian missiles are flying, these are all cities on ukrainian territory territories, they are simply occupied, there are of course now fortunately cases. when they hit russia's arsenals right in russia, but it is difficult to call it a mass phenomenon that destroys russia there and changes the lives of its citizens and its military potential, well, it seems to me it is clear to everyone, therefore, the question of russia's interest in peace, for me, it primarily depends on the level of russia's understanding that

it will not capture all of ukraine, but only exhaust itself in this capture. because all this struggle for territories is a struggle for a bridgehead, you understand, if ukraine included any territories that russia would really consider its own, crimea is russian land, we must seize it, and this is our demand, and in it is our claim, but ukraine, if it stops and stops claiming crimea, let it even recognize this territory international, we immediately, we have nothing to fight with it, we will fight for crimea, but russia is fighting for ukraine, not for crimea, it is not needed, neither crimea, nor donetsk, but luhansk, nor neither kherson nor zaporizhzhia regions are simply convenient territories, because it is easier to attack other ukrainian territories from there, there you can mobilize people who are of no interest to anyone in russia, and the

more such regions russia captures, the easier it will be from putin's point of view to occupy all other territory of ukraine, so that arises. the question is what are the talks about? i have such and such a statement all the time, i can repeat it, that ukrainians believe that there are putin's conditions regarding the territory of neutrality, that we should recognize the russian status of donetsk, luhansk, kherson, zaporizhzhia regions and crimea, declare neutrality and carry out de-nezification, although no one knows what it is, but i think i know what it is, that it is simply destruction. of all political parties, organizations that support the idea of ​​an independent ukraine and people who advocate for it, if not destruction then exile, here we are these conditions we don't want to do it. and that is why the war continues, but as soon as we say, you know, we are ready, take these territories, as many are already starting to say, let's give

them these territories, let them suffocate with them and we will live peacefully, well, okay, are you sure that this is what putin needs, this is an exclusive demand, for what, because if some ukrainian president says, okay, i will sign such an agreement, recognize crimea, donetsk-luhansk... as part of russia, that peace - this is destabilization, some part of people say: hooray, the war is over, some part people says: traitor, sold ukraine, sold ukrainian land, if this part of people is still in the army, and if two parts of these people are in the army, well, fine, civil war, very good, what russia needs, that is, all the proposals of russia , they are towards not for the end of the war, for the destabilization of ukraine. if you look at this story through russian eyes, you will understand that this is correct. right. you have

a territory that you consider your own. these are not donetsk, luhansk, kherson, zaporizhia regions and crimea. this is all of ukraine. the population is there disloyal and simply dangerous. so, you need to clear this territory of this population so that, firstly, it escapes, and secondly, if it does not escape, let it fight itself. let them do the dirty work with their own hands, kill each other, but for this they must make such decisions that would create among themselves two armies of people who are ready to fight with each other, not with russia to the end, that is, patriots, who are for a whole ukraine with traitors who just want to end the war, let's destroy the traitors first and then traitors to the patriots, great, and then we enter... an empty territory from which everyone has already fled, there is no state, and the west is telling us, listen, well, if this is the situation, well, it’s bad, of course, but what can you do, well,

ukrainians don’t did not maintain stability, well , we need to somehow stabilize this region, let's have a peacekeeping force, well, something like that, well, the russians say, such a peacekeeping force, our troops are already near lviv, well, okay, kick ass. here's the whole story, so they're not counting on peace, they're counting on, first of all long-term war on the exhausted, secondly, on the fact that they will be able to draw ukraine into some kind of trap that will simply facilitate destabilization, destabilization is many different things, you can blow up power stations, you can create disasters, ecological and technological, you can create political disaster, and if we understand all that, it 's just a matter of... understanding that there's not going to be any real negotiations, not because we don't want them or want them, because there's no platforms for them, uh, i'm just talking about all time i ask ukrainians to calm down, not to look

for a way out of the hopeless situation, because as soon as we stop looking for a way out, we will immediately start living a normal life, in a war, in a crisis, as normal, not to wait for the war to end in two or three weeks, in two or three months, in two or three years, but just to understand... that this is such a natural state of affairs for this territory for the future, well, many countries live like this, ukraine is not the first and not the last, if we understand this, we will exclude the possibility of destabilization of ukraine, we will take away from russia this hope that ukraine itself will simply collapse under the pressure of all these circumstances, and in principle we will create the conditions for the war to end earlier, because if putin knows that he will not capitulate. are not destabilized, will not go to any decisions that he expects and will be able to get the front line, then this means that it is necessary to start

negotiations on a cease-fire, and if we are all the time in hysterics and waiting for an event that will still won't happen, well, they just won't happen, because they can't, then we give it to our enemy hope that if not in the 25th year, then in the 35th he will decorate. that is, in fact, ukrainian hysteria and ukrainian expectations of things that will not come true, this is the key to the continuation of the war, because the key to its end is in the russian pocket, the key to its continuation is in the ukrainian pocket, so the first thing you want to do is to ukra, ukrainians carried out this key from their pocket and lived with an empty pocket, knowing that we have nothing to offer our enemy except peace and acceptance... for this situation of war as the norm of ukrainian existence on future years, and this creates the possibility that the war has a chance to end and...

there are no other chances in nature, this war will not end at the negotiating table. thank you, mr. vitaly, a sobering analysis from vitaly portnikov in the saturday political club, my name is khrystyna yatskiv, we will say goodbye to you until next saturday. glory to ukraine, dear tv viewers, on espresso tv channel, west studio program. we will analyze the most important events of this week, in particular, we will talk about use drones as tools for organizing political assassinations. but the key topic of our conversation is different interpretations of the so-called peace plans, and of course, we will analyze what our enemy is preparing. today's

guests of the west studio are mark fagin and daniel frith. now the legendary american diplomat, former coordinator of the united states state department on sanctions policy, a person who can be called flesh and blood of american diplomacy, will be on the air of the espresso tv channel. glory to ukraine, mr. ambassador, frith, good to see you. glory to ukraine. glory to heroes. well, the key story is the huge election drama in the united states. states, we understand that there has been an extremely important replacement of the main candidate from the democrats, we in ukraine have sympathy for the democratic camp, of course, not all of them and we cannot express this matter publicly, but president joseph biden allowed us to withstand the russian onslaught, the russian aggression, we appreciate it, yes, but we just don't know what to expect from donald trump, and even if

we know, then... we don't like this story to the end, but in any case, in the united states, the race is on the front line, the activation of the enemy. so, in your opinion, what do the ratings show and what will ukrainian politics be like, kemela geris. i don't know vice president harris very well, but i do know her national security adviser, phil gordon. have known each other for several years, judging by her speeches and what i know about phil gordon, kamal garis in the position of president will continue the support of ukraine from the us. there is no doubt about it, how vice president kamala garis met with president zelensky a few days before the full-scale invasion. she attended the munich security conference in 2022 and met him there as well. they

also had singing. meetings and later. i will say that this year's speech by garis at the munich security conference is worth re-reading. to me, it fits into the american tradition of supporting the free world, which, as president biden said, goes back to harry truman and ronald reagan. all presidents with the possible exception of president trump, followed this strategy. and i'm sure that she will take it over as well. dear mr. ambassador frith, ah... there is a feeling that everything in the world is so serious that one can seriously wait for the outbreak of the third world war. as much as iran is interested in what is called the next stage of the third world war, we understand that some dictatorships, such as the russian one, do not have the opportunity to change the rules of the game in an economic way. they tried to change the rules of the world chessboard with help weapons and aggression against ukraine. they are bogged down

in war, and accordingly the appearance of fundamentally new additional format sites of death, when we talk about the middle east, it can be in the interest of those players who want to change the global decision-making system in general, and this is not about some possible new yalta , this is generally about changing the so-called post-yalta world, whether it is good or bad, but we live in it, so... when global disturbances begin in general, it can lead to consequences similar to those which european and world humanity experienced in 1914-1918 during the first world war. i do not think that iran is capable of acquiring the status of a global player, because so far iran is within the framework of its current political system.