their line or trump's? it is quite obvious that this is possible, even diametrically opposed positions, because uncertainty breeds uncertainty about the settlement plan, what will the parties agree to, i mean the democrats or trump? kamala harris, if she becomes a candidate and wins the election, will of course continue the biden line, this is a moderate line of pushing for negotiations with ukraine, but at the same time with a firm position of supporting ukraine, providing it with military and financial assistance, etc., without making it a condition, assistance in exchange to participate in negotiations, in the trumps it's, i mean what he himself has said, i'll talk about mike pompeo's plan separately, but still what he says and what we hear from him or senator vance and some others, up to his son, it can rather be interpreted that he is ready to negotiate with putin himself, no formats are needed, neither swiss, nor in jeddah, saudi formats, nor chinese, and why, he... says: i will meet with putin and

i will agree, that is, any shuttle missions of orban and others are all the quality of the action, which they serve trump's position, who are trying to involve him in some kind of peace process, some format, istanbul, for example, he doesn't need it, he says: i will personally agree with putin, and why can't they agree? we have heard the parameters of the plan closest to trump, according to which he does not refuse ukraine's aid, but makes it dependent on ukraine's willingness to take it. participation in peace negotiations, that is, we will help militarily, but ukraine must agree to peace negotiations, whether it is a parallel or a substitute process, but enough certain. i want to say that it cannot happen before january 20, because trump will be inaugurated if he wins the election only on january 20 , 2025, and then closer to spring, he will hold meetings with putin and decide something, whether they can agree or not. basically, everyone.

arguments that the ukrainian government is not recognized because after may 20 president zelenskyi is not legitimate, all this is done by moscow through ipso in order to lower and dump the government in ukraine, but no more, realizing that in fact this is not an argument, because they they will talk with the authorities in kyiv, of course, they will conduct negotiations, if they do start. as for all these formats , the swiss one on the peace formula, and the previous one in istanbul, and the initiative of saudi arabia, which took place on september 5, 2023, and the next chinese initiative on a peace conference with the mandatory participation of russia is planned in them, i it seems that this is just a smoke screen, in fact, it is still a game that both sides play, and the usa plays, and kyiv plays, somewhere there it says: "well, we are ready for negotiations, realizing that in such the format in which moscow puts forward preconditions, and putin put forward his three important preconditions before the summit in switzerland , which he believes should be

implemented regardless of the start of negotiations, the lifting of sanctions, the non-aligned status of ukraine and the liberation of the unoccupied territories of the four donetsk, luhansk and kherson regions. these are unacceptable conditions. moscow can somehow not enter into the negotiation process . what does moscow require? it needs a cease-fire, it needs preambles for a truce, because it's different, it's not just a cease-fire. a truce always has a guarantor. the parties can stop the fire, but the guarantors must promote a truce, at least temporarily. then negotiate directly about the details of some arrangements, agreements, etc. currently, i do not see any conditions for solving this problem. kyiv and moscow cannot meet, just somewhere without mediators, and such a mediator is not ready. there is no one in the us, and erdogan has already lost his position as a mediator, whom kyiv trusts. first of all, the usa and the west do not see erdogan as already effective.

middleman, as he would get too close to moscow, we can see that, that is why erdogan's platform can hardly be effective, with regard to china, it is more tempting, because china has an important trump card, not with moscow, the ability to influence it and attract it to negotiations, to force participation, this is a format that china itself will approve, but it faces the problem that the us is not going to give china such trump cards. they don't want china to come forward. in this conflict on the territory europe as a peacemaker, mediator, guarantor, someone else there, having strengthened its international authority, for example, now china decides when to start and stop wars, the usa will never agree to this, never. trump is generally anti-chinese, and even the current biden administration, following obama, continues to call china not a superpower, but a regional power in southwest asia, and nothing more, does not recognize his claims. not

some kind of binary world, bipolar, in which there is washington and beijing, so the usa will not agree to this, in my opinion, very high the probability of starting negotiations right from the meeting, if he wins. usa, china, russia-ukraine. such a quadrilateral may arise if kamala harris comes to power and trump loses the election. then yes, this configuration has better chances, but it cannot happen before spring. well, but in any case, mark, we understand that putin has not for nothing voiced those conditions that are unacceptable by definition, right? no matter how putin is treated, well, he is not a clinical idiot, and he is quite experienced in this, that is, he could not voice certain parameters, in particular, when we talk about the annexation of the not yet captured ukrainian territories, including aviation, the av-16 component. we understand that

putin's plan is unrealistic, even for his generals, but he went for it. and here we can assume that certain environments are possible, i don't know what mandate abramovich had. to istanbul, yes, but he represented someone, well, accordingly, putin wants to cut off certain alternative to his position, ideas, respectively, pompeo’s plan, we understand, this is good, but there is also no stamp on it plan for the name of president donald trump, because it is not a fact that he will become the president, but always in any case trump can say, well, these are pompeo's fantasies, he is a cool dude, i respect him, we had a drink. 4 liters of whiskey, but this is not my idea, and accordingly, here we can also have unpleasant surprises, yes, because trump, the guy is also experienced, but his experience, well, it is not a fact that he will be good for us. well, as far as pompeo is concerned, we promised to talk about it. yes, this is

a pretty effective plan, there is one caveat that can be very painful for ukrainian public opinion, that ukraine may lose part of the territory, i mean the plan that... the wall street journal printed, for the rest, it's the perfect plan from the point of view of ukraine's sovereignty, it's nato membership and the rest of the things that are repeated , like boris johnson, in his plan, which we also saw in the daily mail the day before, yes, to give up some part of the territory, but which exactly, four regions plus crimea, or only part of these four regions, it is a question of the negotiating position, which, pompeo hints will be trump's position on negotiations, namely in these parts, the trouble is... that precisely the first part of the plan, the absolute sovereignty of ukraine, is unacceptable to moscow, these plans of both johnson and pompeo are unacceptable to moscow, they may be acceptable to trump, but moscow will never agree to change the out-of-block status. yes, presumably, in these three preliminary conditions that

putin mentioned before the summit in switzerland, provoking the summit in switzerland to some sharp reactions, there are conditions for the withdrawal of units of the armed forces from the unoccupied parts of the territories of the four regions, but perhaps this he... can give way, here they can push the administrative border, maybe. the condition of lifting the sanctions is important for moscow, because the sanctions are painful, painful, but still , they are sanctions imposed by third countries. ukrainian sanctions are not the most principled for moscow, but american, european, australian, canadian, japanese, and other countries, it is necessary for them to make this request. why should kyiv, if it declares an agreement based on the previous conditions, be concerned with the cancellation of these sanctions. these are sanctions of third countries, but in relation to non-bloc sanctions status, i.e. preventing ukraine from joining nato, moscow will never back down. and on the ground, on the ground, how are they going, so to speak, to return the territory, so we also understand that this is a symbolic

story, well, because putin, with him, they did not voice it for nothing, so to speak , made changes to the russian constitution, and with non-aligned status or nato membership, well... we understand moscow's position, so here is the whole fable about the indivisibility of security and so on on the continent, but the story is about the territories that must be returned, no matter how they they could sell them, or they could not, and they will simply stand on that. well, indeed, the constitution of the russian federation, which included these new subjects in its composition, provides, including the laws that will follow from it, that it is impossible to change the territorial integrity of russia, as a criminal article on... even for the call of ulmi defended umerov in crimea under this article. in general, in no way can we talk about the rejection of the territory of the russian federation, if they included them in their constitution. captured and turned on, yes. yes, they have already occupied it

included on the other hand, the russian constitution is chewed paper in the toilet. no one will pay attention to the constitution. it's just that, apart from the constitution, putin's plans are even more ambitious. he wants all of ukraine, not just four. region, and here he leaves a maneuver for himself, i assume that he can move somewhere, say that we keep the occupied territories for ourselves, this is a negotiating position, but for the unoccupied part we will... bargain, what will they offer us? what does he offer? i wonder what he offers in exchange for all this, but in fact only what is offered they will not advance on kyiv, try to advance on kyiv, especially after receiving these planes by ukraine, according to bloomberg, yesterday maybe 20 planes of the first batch, no one knows how many, not to mention the rest, you first capture that kyiv, of course, if the troops were standing near kiev, there would have been other negotiations, but there is no way to admit this... this military balance, which gives preference to one side or the other, is such that when

the war continues, ukraine will definitely lose it, or on the contrary, ukraine will resist, in moscow for sure will lack the strength to hold the occupied territories, is it able to accumulate resources to reach the regional centers, kharkiv, odesa and others, no one knows the answer, there is a military balance, and in conditions of military balance the conditions must be mutually acceptable, not such that imposed by one side, what moscow is trying to do. and also uses other methods to press their position, because they cannot achieve this by military means, if they could achieve this, they would have already reached and stood in kyiv, but this is impossible to achieve, so there is a big game going on here: who is in the majority, the number of allies of their position, who will exhaust their possibilities faster, etc., in particular the information game, all these ipso that are being tested, they are also in order to undermine unity, monolithicity, confidence in your. the forces of not only ukraine, but also the west, voices are already being heard: now is a favorable position, it is time to arrange

negotiations, the finnish president declares this, others also, because of course, the war is depleting the resources of europe, in particular, especially since everyone is in exhausting waiting the result of the elections in america, europe is afraid of the arrival of trump, the main powers, france, germany and others are afraid of this, because they have a negative experience of interacting with trump during his presidency since 2016. for the 20th year, in this situation there is no other recipe, no other way, except to do what you are doing, to keep fighting, not to bother with unacceptable conditions, to hold on until the moment when the situation does not improve in the right direction. if ukraine now retreats and agrees to some of putin's conditions, then it will be very difficult to play back, he will seize on it and say: you yourself agreed, you yourself are ready to sacrifice something, accordingly, this is a trap, and the kremlin wants to drive ukraine into this... trap, the territorial issue is not as important for the kremlin as the issue of sovereignty of ukraine, which

provides for the possibility of non-aligned status in nato and other unions, such as the european and others. the main question is what ukraine will be like, how the 80% of the territory controlled by official kyiv will emerge from this war, whether they will emerge with a neutral status that can be undermined by another new war, because not in nato, no one covers you. a network of deals. about the guarantees that kyiv is currently signing for the post-war period may not work, but membership in nato will work, we have already seen this, the baltic countries are an example of the fact that this status works, and this is the most principled issue, and it has not been resolved. thank you very much, mark, for this extremely important conversation on espresso tv. take care, god help you, i want to remind our viewers that mark fagin, an activist, was working for them now russian opposition is not emigration. a former deputy of the state duma, who received, according to the decision of the pseudo court of first instance, 13

years of imprisonment for anti-kremlin agitation. thanks mark. thank you. well, the time of our program is over, stay with the espresso tv channel. my colleagues will inform you about all the most important events of this day. take care of yourself and your loved ones. see you on air. a journalist who joined the armed forces, a political expert who became a special agent, taras berezovyts in a new project on espresso. the real front is this thorough analysis of major events. reports, comments of leading specialists and experts. analytics from the major of the armed forces. how to understand alarming news and distinguish the truth from the hostile and false. the real front program with taras berezovits every saturday at 9 p.m.

congratulations, the real front program is on the air and i am taras berezovits with you. today in our program. chief sirsky named the main priorities for the armed forces of ukraine. mercenaries of the russian pmc wagner group were destroyed in the north of mali. the israel defense forces carried out an airstrike on beirut, sabotage in france, who is disrupting the olympics and why, as well as protests in venezuela and russia's military anti-western coalition. on july 30

, the commander-in-chief of the armed forces, colonel-general oleksandr syrskyi. during a conversation with the chairman of the joint chiefs of staff of the usa, general charles brown, said that the priorities for ukraine remain the achievement of air superiority and the expansion of opportunities to strike enemy targets, regardless of their location. the american edition of the wall street journal , citing its own sources, writes that the united states agreed to arm with american-made missiles. f-16 fighters. more details about the situation at the front, further in the story. the situation at the front remains difficult and tense. the russian federation is trying to advance as far as possible and seize new territories of ukraine. as of august 1, the enemy occupied timofiivka and advanced near krasnohorivka

, panteleimonivka, ivanivka, zhelany, vesely , and new york. analytical channel deep writes about it. military expert oleksandr kovalenko says that currently the most acute and extreme is the turkish-pokrovsky direction, which is a common plan for the offensive campaign of 2024 for the kupanians. and the pokrovsky direction, separately, if we single it out, then this is the most dangerous section, route 0511, along which the russians continue to move, they are trying not only to advance, but also to expand flanks, that is , the northern and southern flanks from 0.511, in addition to everything else, they are still trying to move along the southern part from luzovatsky along the kozenyi torets river, and this is due to the fact that

that in this way they carry out the formation format. the northern face, the northern flank from 05:11, precisely in order to realize these goals, they were forced to suspend their movement and their assault actions in the area of ​​the uzdvyzhanka, i.e. in the direction of 05:04, therefore cutting the main logistical artery from pokrovsk to konstantinivka and times yar can still say that they have suspended. at the same time, the russian army is trying to implement several tasks at the same time in the turetsky-pokurovsky direction, - says the expert. the first task is this to go to the left bank of the vovchya river and the karlivsky reservoir to the south from 05:11, in them it was not possible to push to the left bank of the vovchya and in the area

of ​​the first novoselivka, umenskyi and yasnobrodivka, especially no phenomenal movement is taking place. in their turn, they are trying to fulfill the second task, which is the advance at 05:11 in the direction of pokrovsk, and this also requires them to use the appropriate resource, they did not leave the exit goal at 05 04, so they keep the appropriate resource near the elevation in order to start assault operations when it will be beneficial for them, and at the same time they try to press in the area of ​​the turkish agglomeration, not the one itself... some assault units can only break through there, which are immediately neutralized, but this also requires an appropriate resource, i.e. the russian command at the same time in the turkish-pokrov region is trying to implement four combat tasks at once, and they are unlikely to be able to

implement four combat tasks with the resources concentrated there in the near future, by the end of the summer or there in september and so on and so on. according to oleksandr kovalenko, the russians do not have sufficient forces and means to close the issue with pokrovsky, vozdvizhenka, the turkish agglomeration, and turkestki itself by the end of the summer. especially since now in the turkish agglomeration a rather difficult period of assault operations is coming for them, they are starting to rest on local, natural, as well as artificial obstacles, this is primarily, if we are talking about the southern part of the agglomeration, this is the new york area. this is the kryvyi torets river, a in addition to the crooked end, these are also, uh, precisely the areas where the industrial zone is located. the industrial zone is quite difficult such difficult locations for the russians to carry out assault actions, the same applies to the eastern part of the turkish agglomeration. in

view of this, the expert believes that it is unlikely that the occupiers will be able to open the sumy and kharkiv directions as well. as before, they will use sabotage and intelligence groups, they lack neither human nor mechanized resources. yes, we are currently on a defensive strategy. now answered our actions, they correspond to the defensive strategy, but at the same time we exhaust the enemy gradually from the defensive type strategy, we will move to the strategy of offensive counter-offensive actions, carefully, step by step, but all this will depend on how the exhaustion of the enemy will occur and accordingly at what exact moments, on which bridgeheads , a system of counterattacks can begin, which will gradually... turn into a full-fledged counteroffensive. on july 28, the insurgent movement called

permanent strategic framework for peace, security and development, operating in the north of mali, announced the destruction of dozens of government soldiers and mercenaries of the russian wagner group. later it became known about the destruction of almost 80 russian mercenaries, including several commanders. the gurmin ministry of defense of ukraine noted that after the events in mali, russia's authority on the african continent will significantly decline. more details about this incident in our story. tuareg rebels defeated a group of wagnerites in the african republic of mali. this was reported by reuters on july 27. it is noted that in two days of fighting near the algerian border with the rebels. lost two of their soldiers, another 10 were wounded, but dozens of wagner's soldiers and mercenaries were killed and wounded. as reported by unian, with reference to the russian

media, the private military company wagner confirmed the death of its commander during the defeat of the convoy in mali. from july 22 to 27, the fighters of the 13th assault detachment of the group fought fierce battles with militants on the outskirts of tin zautin settlement. serhiy shevchenko was in charge of the command of the call pond, on the first day his group destroyed most of the islamists and forced others to flee, but the radicals were able to regroup and increase their numbers to a thousand people thanks to the sandstorm. the death of nikita fidyanin, a well-known propagandist of the russian channel gray zone, who went to mali to make a series of reports on the activities of the mali army, was also confirmed. the russian media about... predict that as a result of a military clash on the malian-algerian border , 20 to 50 russian servicemen may have died, however, as the bbc writes, this figure may be

much higher. the bbc contacted the former a serviceman of the wagner pkk. this source says at least 82 mercenaries were killed. another person who... was in malia, with whom the bbc used to communicate, stopped contacting him, a memorial candle appeared on his mother's page in the vkontakte social network. in chat rooms of relatives of former mercenaries, the losses in this african country will be actively discussed for the second day. it is known that the malian rebels managed to damage at least one mi-24 helicopter. the main directorate of intelligence of the ministry of defense also confirmed their involvement in the defeat of the wagnerites of ukraine. thus, his representative andriy yusuf said that the rebels in mali received the necessary information that helped them conduct an operation against the wagner pmc mercenaries. he told about this on the air of the telethon,

notes the public. the insurgents received the necessary information and not only the information that made it possible to conduct a successful military operation against russian war criminals. we will definitely not talk about the details at the moment, there will be a continuation. representative gur noted that now the world has seen the true potential of the russian army and the wagnerites. on a certain stage, they launched very active activities in the african direction, not only with their mercenaries. they tried to solve geopolitical and economic issues, change or support certain governments. and today the whole world sees that this is no longer the same potential and russia's capabilities are far from the same. and this means that there will be fewer new orders and reliance on them as a tool for solving problems in the region. yusov also commented on the position of the malian

rebels to hand over prisoners. of them wagnerites in the country. he noted that it is sensitive information, but everything that ukraine does takes place within the limits of international law and necessary procedures. the defeat of kochelina by the tribes of berbers, tuaregs, and wagner's russian column was a powerful blow to the reputation of the russian private military company, and not only it, but also the russian war machine in general. that tuaregesh. most likely, they used the help of foreign special services, which guided them and prepared this lightning ambush, it became clear from the very beginning. in the end, all doubts were dispelled after the official statement representative of the ukrainian military intelligence yusov that the tureys received the necessary help from the guru. the fact that it was possible to organize such a lightning ambush and destroy more than 80 wagner militants, among

whom... many leaders of this criminal group, who participated, including in operations in the ukrainian donbass, is a great victory for the tooregs, who, as you know, are competing for creation of own state with a pro-russian regime in mali. also , the influence of france, which had its representation here, starting from 18th century, and in the end, under pressure from russia. was forced to withdraw its troops from all african countries. after 2021 , russia firmly took the place of the french. under the leadership of vatashko chovik wagner yevgeny prigozhin, he managed to build a huge empire that sucked gold, money, drugs, and diamonds from the african continent, on which his entire criminal empire was actually built. which

later, after the death of prigozhin, began to be torn to pieces by russian generals, in particular, the minister of defense who had already been removed from his post sergey shoyku. a powerful blow to the positions of the wagnerites may also lead to the fact that the management of this private military company will be forced to withdraw part of its mercenaries from the territory of ukraine in order to strengthen its representation on the african continent. in any in this case, ukrainian military intelligence won another important victory, and not only a military one, but also an image one, because, as we understand, war is not only a war on the battlefield, but also a war in the information space. in the evening of july 29 , the israel defense forces tzahal struck air strike on the capital of lebanon, beirut.

the target of the strike was commander ha fuad shukra, who is believed to be responsible for the deadly rocket attack on the town of majal hams in the dutch heights. also , on the morning of july 31, it became known that one of the leaders of the palestinian group hamas, ismail hannia, was eliminated in tehran, the capital of iran. this further increased fears of an impending war between israel and hezbollah and iran, in addition to the already existing armed protests. more about the situation in the middle east, further in ours plots the israel defense forces, during an attack on the capital of lebanon, beirut, eliminated the most senior military commander of the lebanese pro-iranian group hezbollah, fuad shukra. the israel defense forces announced this on the x social network on july 31. according to tzahal, shuker is involved in

attacks on israel. killing children and was responsible for hezbollah's modern weaponry. shuker directed hezbollah's attacks on the state of israel since october 8. he was the commander responsible for killing 12 children in majdal shams in northern israel on saturday in the evening, and for the killing of many israelis and foreign citizens. he was also responsible for most of the most advanced weapons. hezbollah, including precision -guided missiles, cruise missiles, anti-ship missiles, long-range missiles, and uavs. israel's defense minister yoav galland announced the elimination of the top militant. the blood of many israelis is on the hands of fuad shukr and said muhsin. tonight we showed that the blood of our people has a price and that there is no revenge.