tv [untitled] August 13, 2024 2:30pm-3:01pm EEST
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friday from 20 to 22. we are coming back, and we will continue to talk about what trump said to elon musk in his interview, the rhetoric is traditional, if i were the president, there would be no war, putin was ready to communicate, and biden is to blame for everything, because he said that ukraine can join nato. russia does not want this, but these are actually the main theses of trump in this conversation. with us is oleksandr kraev, an expert of the ukrainian prism foreign policy council. mr. oleksandr, thank you join, welcome to our air. yes, congratulations, good day to you. did you hear anything new or perhaps unexpected from trump in this conversation? in reality, there was nothing new and there was nothing new for many reasons. for example, we saw earlier that his rhetoric directly depends on ukraine.
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what the biden administration is doing, if the biden administration provides assistance to ukraine, is able to take a more or less serious position, is able to support us materially, militarily, and politically, then trump began to say that he said, give me phone, i'll solve it quickly, ukraine in general, well, it's not a fact that will win, we need negotiations and so on. at times when the biden administration was unable to provide normal support to ukraine, at times when the biden administration was weak towards ukraine, trump is the opposite. promised to bomb moscow and beijing, promised to give ukraine 120 billion dollars and so on. now, when we see that the armed forces of ukraine are successfully conducting an operation in kurshchyna, when the pentagon declared that russia will not be able to escalate, because it is simply not capable, when the americans just two days ago provided a new security package of almost 300 million, of course trump again returned to the rhetoric that ukraine will not get anything done, and i know putin, he is a cool dude, you should talk to him on the phone. mr. alexander, on... don't
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you think that trump has started to bury himself, and if at the beginning of this campaign we were very stressed that he could win this election, now it seems that all his subsequent statements, they only lead to that he's losing his favor, uh, let's put it this way, he's not that he's starting to give up, he just chose a slightly different tactic, unlike harris, who is now trying to attract as many new voters as possible, she's... trying to find voters among people independent of political parties, she is trying to win over the doubting states, the so-called swingstates, at the same time trump, he is just cementing his own part of the party, even the fact that he chose jaydy vance as his vice president clearly indicates that he is not interested like everyone he is interested in accumulating around him the most radical part of the republican party, cementing his support among his own trumpists and... then believing and
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hoping that these percentages are enough for him to win. in the same case, if he fails to win, well, unfortunately, he is now spreading quite radical statements that i will definitely win this election. "if i don't win, then these elections were stolen from me, that is, he tentatively hints that political violence may return on january 6 21st year, that is, the storming of the capitol may also happen again, so the fact that he is so inactive now, not as active as before, that he is not trying to find an audience, just indicates his strategy, he relies on his electorate and i am sure that only he can win with him". how can such statements be reacted not by those who are... firmly with trump, but by the second part, who support the republicans, who are ready to maybe vote for trump, but can analyze and also , what can be the reaction in the second camp, whether it is not intimidating democrats, will not intimidate opponents, it should not
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intimidate opponents, if only for the reason that this is unfortunately what was counted on, this is unfortunately what was feared, but clearly perceived as such. the possibility that it may happen that trump will go to a certain escalation, trump will go to raising the degree of discussion, trump will go to possible political violence, that is, unfortunately, this option has always been considered, but what to do other republicans, what to do conditionally for those who would like there are several more adequate, still conservative leadership options: first, we see that many donors to trump's company are currently transferring money to support the company to... congress, that is, they are electing non-trumpian, classically conservative american politicians, who will be swamped in seats to support representatives and to the senate, because, let's remember, that during the presidential elections , the congressional elections are also held in parallel, and therefore many donors who are not very kind
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to trump, they try to bet on the congress in order to bring more conservative moderates there republicans, this is one time, and the second is a more radical option for... who doesn't like trump very much, we saw last week the formation of a so-called group, a political group republican zacharis, that is, there is a part of the republican party, rather such a progressive part of young republicans who are ready in order not to bring trump to power, to organize political, informational campaigns in order to drag a part of progressive republicans to the side of kamala harris. mr. oleksandr, look, we are here in ukraine, of course we evaluate all the events that take place. in the united states through the prism of how they will affect both russia's war against ukraine and our future with you, and do you not have, for example, such fears that kamala harris, she will be such a follower of barack obama, will be very indecisive, will be such, you know, half-steps of some kind, maybe implemented, and it
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will not lead as a result to some kind of breakthrough, to some kind of successful conclusion of this war, instead, trump, he shows such, you know, participation and maybe his statements absolutely do not match any of his real intentions, and this is just a big lie that he is trying to spread now to score some political points, but still, in your opinion, will trump or kamala harris be better for ukraine , well, your personal feelings? yes, well, unfortunately, it is difficult to rely on feelings here, because trump is an absolute unpredictability, and so far, agaris has simply not given us any strategy that we can rely on. then it is a plus to evaluate them in the categories of what is better for us, what is worse, we will not succeed, because harris can, as you rightly said, show herself to be a follower of obama, a follower, even more so, of the theory of control, escalation that sullivan presented to us and refuse to
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help ukraine, that trump, for example, can really to succumb to the populist's easy desire to quickly end this war through negotiations with putin and simply close any opportunities for the ukrainian. victory, because that option is possible, we just have to analyze this situation in the context of the risks, and if we let's not look at it from the point of view of a good or bad option, but let's look at it from the point of view of risky, low-risk, then trump is potentially a positive option for ukraine, but the most risky, why the most risky, because trump's entire doctrine is political, it revolves around this unpredictability, well, if it can be remembered that during the election campaign of the 16th year, he himself said what he predicted. in politics, from his point of view, is a weakness, although as if the whole world believes that it is, on the contrary, an advantage of a mature , stable politician, and therefore trump is not for us predictable, and therefore risky, he can give us all the necessary weapons to win, and he can throw us at the very first negotiations, so it is relatively speaking, going into
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the pot at the last stage of betting in poker, we can win everything, but we can also lose at absolutely zero, while, like kamala harris, it is rather low-risk, but also low-profit. option, i.e. it is how to constantly bet very small amounts, how you bet little by little, so you win, so overall at the end of the evening you are in the plus, but firstly in a small plus, and secondly, it is unknown, how much do you have to play with such small... stakes in order to achieve at least something, so in fact, if you analyze from this point of view, we can win with this and that candidate, just the risks of cooperation with this and that candidate, when they will already be in the position of president, completely different. to musk's remark about the risk of nuclear war, trump says that one of the priorities and what they're going to do, meaning, of course, when the republicans come to power, is to build an iron dome to protect ... that's actually what about trump says that he is interested in the united states, the security of the nation, well, in fact, these are the
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things that every adequate leader should be interested in, but for them it is now a full stop, at the same time the financial times article appears that in 10 years therefore, even more, russia compiled a bunch of documents, and among them were such maps on which there were targets for the russian fleet, targets in europe, that is, it was not... it was about ukraine, but 32 points on the map of europe, where they could very hit quickly, unexpectedly, and in particular , it is also about nuclear weapons, this is another one, no i know, the leak of information, another material to remind europe that there is a threat, or really, because such information has not appeared in the media for some time, we have already forgotten that some planes regularly fly over the baltic sea and advanced the corridor about how they are constantly... jamming the communication there, what is it, mr. oleksandr? coincidences are not coincidences, especially at this
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level of access at this level of decision-making, coincidences are very rarely coincidences. in this context , it is necessary to mention that in parallel now the russian media and the telegram channels and twitter accounts controlled by them are fanning the hysteria that the response to ukraine's activities in the kurdish region should be, as they call it, setting a military task for the nuclear... forces of the russian federation to redirect the entire nuclear arsenal at the united states of america and the european capital, that is, in general, this is part of this nuclear hysteria, this is part of moscow's attempt to blackmail the west, to prevent it from maximally supporting our offensive and our actions, which are in the kurdish region, which are on the territory ukraine, and an attempt to intimidate it with potential nuclear development, a nuclear scenario for the development of this conflict, because this is what worked for the russians for a very long time, this is what deterred the west from... this is what created an aura of uncertainty and what
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prevented adequate pro-ukrainian decisions either in washington or in european capitals. and now, when we see that most of our partners, on the contrary, are ready to give us even more weapons against the background of our counteroffensive actions. russians again are trying to return to this old topic, are again trying to literally loom over the west the fear of the third world and nuclear. about nato, you and i, by the way, in one of our conversations talked about the fact that these are your words, you said that ukraine in nato is better than ukraine not in nato, but if we look at trump's statements and if we if we look at biden's statements, we understand that neither this president nor this president of ukraine will most likely become a member of nato. kamala harris, we already talked about it, that she will most likely be a follower of this not very radical one. politicians, can we now assume that ukraine will not join nato in the next 5 years,
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because there will be people who do not see it there, who will actually manage the united states, and as a result, decide the fate of ukraine in nato? well, you know, never say never, i keep thinking back to december 21st, when american experts told us right during the conversation that no stinger could ever get into ukraine, because if... at least one american missile will knock down at least one russian plane, well, that's it, this is the third world war, we can't allow it, that is , there was no talk of helicopters, tanks, haimars, or planes at all, although if literally hundreds of thousands of russian soldiers were already in the ukrainian border and were waiting for the order to attack, but you see, only three years have passed, even less than three years, and how much the situation has changed, we are talking about systems that cost like tens of thousands of stingers, so one way or another, but... the situation it's changing very fast now now there is no
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systemic restraining factor, well, that is, translating from scientific language to human language, there is no guarantee that those events, which usually take three to five years, cannot take place right here and right now, yes we really see that trump's position is that most likely ukraine, well, he does not support ukraine's membership in nato, so we see that kamala harris is rather moving away from this issue for now, she is ready to continue supporting us. but we are not ready to take radical actions, but let's not to forget that ukraine's membership in nato is, if we approach this question correctly, it is , on the contrary, the least radical idea of all that we have in principle. agenda, because ukraine's membership in nato ends the war as quickly as possible and, in fact, to be very cynical, does not give ukraine the opportunity to restore control over all territories, according to the borders of 1991, because nato simply will not vote for such military operation, so i repeat, never say never, this is the state we live in now of the international system and the international
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security system, that in principle everything is still possible and to say that we definitely have to turn a blind eye to something. and not to work with it for the next 5 years, it is impossible to say so yet, mr. oleksandr, thank you for the analysis, as always expert oleksandr kraev was with us, an expert of the council of foreign policy ukrainian prism, and with that we go to a short break and about agrarian affairs, we will ask our next guest in a few minutes about whether there will be enough harvest to survive this winter for ukrainians and if it is still possible to make money. when you sleep on an uneven surface, the spine takes the wrong position, because you cannot feel energetic in the morning and productive in the afternoon, and with a matrix stopper you will forget that you are sleeping on an imperfect surface. order toper matryk for comfortable sleep at an affordable price. more and more ukrainian families choose topper matryk, which comes
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did the former actress become a russian pseudo-mermaid? i am sure that together with my brother'. our people will be able to establish a peaceful life. watch the collaborators program with olena kononenko on the espresso tv channel on tuesday, august 13 at 5:45 p.m. well, we are coming back to you, our viewers, and we will continue our broadcast, and oksana, i know that you have prepared something. we have a traditional column of news from abroad, from the russian border, and we remember that everything started in belgorod oblast. evacuation, because they don't even know what could happen, and they're playing it safe, and it looks like it's not for nothing, because there's an arrival in the beautiful yeruza, in the belgorod region, look how beautiful it is. on the accumulation of the enemy, not for nothing, not for the sake of terror, but purposefully for a large number of manpower, this is spread, in particular
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, by the russians themselves, their military publics themselves, they say that it seems that the hymers worked, well, they say that from the territory of the sumy region, this we will check, these are actually our experts, we will already ask our military, as it was, and now let's return to... er, what we promised you to talk about, the deputy head of the all-ukrainian agrarian council, denis marchuk , is in touch with us, mr. denis, good day, i congratulate you, good day , what worries every ukrainian, and ultimately every person, on the eve of winter, will this year's harvest be enough to last until the next, until the next summer, until the next harvest, we understand that due to the abnormal heat of this summer, late... varieties can be at risk, or already have data, or already have information from farmers about how it will be? well
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, it is definitely necessary to reassure the ukrainians, we will definitely be provided with food products, including the grain group, because despite the abnormal heat, nevertheless , the early grain managed to collect quite a good result, more than 30 million tons of grain, of which about 21 million tons is wheat even if it is only 50% of food wheat there, then it is within the limits of 10-11 million in the conditions of today's level of consumption, this will be enough for us for three years, at least, so we are not stopping, the work is ongoing, the situation will be more difficult with late grain groups, there are aricultures such as corn, sunflower, soybean, because at the peak of this abnormal heat, they actually ripened, and we felt really big losses. due to when the temperature on the ground reached more than 60°, the south-eastern and central regions of ukraine were especially affected, in some directions even
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there losses in corn can reach 30-35%, sunflower is a little less, but also in general , considerable volumes will be lost , if you look for the total figure that we had last year, when we collected more than 82 million tons of grain, this season due to the heat and... a significant decrease is predicted, in particular, corn may decrease to the level, well, the losses may be on the order of 8.5 million tons, 1.5 million tons may be a loss of sunflowers, so somewhere up to 70 million, we expect that a new full-fledged crop of oilseed crops will be collected, this will not affect in any way, i repeat, food security, because in all directions culture per year ukraine consumes there in the range of 15 million, that is, there remains a very large display'. in order to realize its export potential, which is what we actually hope for, because not only economic activity and the work of product manufacturers depend on it,
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but also the currency revenue of the state depends on it in order to ensure such powerful blows that ukraine is making today for to repel the enemy from the territory. mr. denys, please tell me whether the situation is difficult enough, the situation with the electricity supply, that is number, it will affect the final prices for products, and how much this price can be significantly higher, well, actually, we felt the first problem, the first wave in the 22nd year in the fall, when there would be blackouts, when it was necessary to purchase generation in order to connect it to production, to processing, to sale, and then the prices began to become more expensive, the second such wave, let's say, we felt in june-july, and this has already led to an increase in the prices of a number of products. in particular, the dairy industry, livestock, animal husbandry, and meat processing, and actually all this will be reflected in the price of bread, too, because if you take the entire
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24th year, the price of bread has already increased by more than 10%. if we are talking about outages , which are predicted to be possible at the end of october, since the temperature will drop and, accordingly , the power we have will not be able to cope with lighting, then we will have to calculate these alternative types of electricity again, and these are quite such expensive parts, in some places they increase production by three to four times, and accordingly, it will be imposed in the same way on the food group of goods, so internally, so on average, if we are talking about the use of generation, generators, well, prices may rise within the range of 10-15%, this is quite noticeable, but it will not happen there suddenly in one month, that is, the price increase will take place... conditionally there is 3-4% every month. but regarding the increase in excise taxes on fuel, we know that this will happen already on september 1, will
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this also affect the price? well, of course, the generation of light, gas and logistics are one of them key elements in the formation of prices for products that are sold on store shelves, and indeed, from september 1 , excise taxes on the purchase of gasoline, diesel fuel, and lpg will increase in price. if you look at the work of product manufacturers, diesel fuel will conventionally become more expensive by 5%, plus uah 2, but we ourselves understand that any changes in the price of fuel, it immediately... immediately passes the price increase in general to logistics, so this is also the basis that will lay the pricing of food products, but for today we hope that it will still be still agreed a working group that was created in the tax and customs policy committee, which undertakes to prepare a draft law there by october, which after the war will reduce excise duties for manufacturers at the level of 50% of the value of the excise duty, that is, if the excise duty today would cost €330. then after
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the war, so that this amount was about 165 €. these are not european indicators, because in europe such excise taxes for goods manufacturers are much less, but these are at least certain understandings, a dialogue in order that in the conditions of our european integration and in the conditions of ensuring accessibility of ukrainians to food products, this mechanism had a positive effect on prices. mr. denys, if we talk again , i will return to the issue of export, whether the issue with the poles and... our closest neighbors, with whom it was always difficult to negotiate the transportation of our rural goods through their territory or to their countries, is this issue resolved or not , that now the vessels in the black sea feel a little freer , solves the whole problem and we can not worry about new border blockages? no, it is necessary to worry, because one way or another from the point of view logistics, for example, for representatives who
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work near the borders with... poland there or romania or hungary or slovakia, they use e-e road transportation by road and from the point of view of their earning potential, it is better than taking products there to ports of great odesa, but these volumes are actually not so significant today, in total they amount to no more than three at peak times up to 5%. most of all today, we are implementing the export potential, in particular, of the grain oil group through against great odesa, they are today make orders. 90% of ukraine's total exports, including to the european union, because i will remind you that in the last marketing year, about 15 million tons of corn, which ukraine sold to the european union, were sold through the ports of great odesa, and accordingly , the issue of safety, the passage of ships to the black sea ports in the odesa region and, accordingly, the possibility of providing, let's say
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, a free shipping lane, remains very important for us. this is a key moment for us, it will be fulfilled soon a year since, thanks to the armed forces of ukraine , this humanitarian corridor through the black sea has been launched, let us hope that the armed forces will continue to be able to maintain control over the sea, and thanks to our partnership relations with romania, bulgaria and turkey, which help demining the black sea, the movement of ships will become everything safer and more affordable for the export of ukrainian products. marchuk, deputy chairman of the all-ukrainian agrarian council on buv tv channel, we thank you for watching and thank you for donating, because we see that there are more and more funds in our account, which means that faster and faster we will be able to purchase drones and rep equipment and transfer them there, in particular to the pokrovsky direction for the 47th 110th and the third separate assault brigade, well on it's 15 on the clock and that
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means i arrived on time. so we pass the floor to our wonderful colleague anna eva melnyk and ask you to share with us what you and the novyn editors managed to find out. greetings colleagues, the news editors will tell each other about the main thing for this hour, in particular, how responded to the fighting in the kursk region in the ministry of foreign affairs of ukraine and to whom they are asking to exchange their russian prisoners. the operation in kurshchyna helps the ukrainian military at the front in ukraine - said the spokesman of the ministry of foreign affairs, heorhiy tykhiy. he noted that the battles are necessary to distract russian forces from attacking...
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