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tv   [untitled]    August 14, 2024 5:30am-6:00am EEST

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well, look, we, we are in shock, that is, we are in shock, first of all, from what we constantly hear on tv, that the armed forces are equipped with everything, that shells, drones, soldiers, cars, well, everyone has twice as much stock , three times more, this is not true, still 90, in some cases 50%, but not less, you have to buy either with your own funds, or it is a volunteer, or the help of some business structures. whether benefactors or volunteer foundations, the state provides everything quite modestly, and i would like to address my colleagues from the drone army in the same public way, when you supply drones to the military, please check what quality they are and if they really meet the current needs, because when even well-known drone drones with high performance have to resolder every government drone, well i think that's a poor performance and spent taxpayers' money.
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stories when people steal during war, when other people die for this country, well here in the military there is one answer, but unfortunately it is not suitable for television and it is punishable by law. thank you, mr. volodymyr, thank you for the conversation, this is volodymyryan, a politician, diplomat and former minister of infrastructure, and now a serviceman of the armed forces. friends, we continue to work live on the channel and also on our youtube and facebook platforms, for those who are currently watching us live on these platforms, please do not forget to support by liking this video and also vote in our poll, take part in our survey, today we ask you about the following: will the kurdish operation of the armed forces be a disaster for russia, as volodymyr zelenskyi says, yes , no, if yes, then vote accordingly. yes,
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no, no, if you have your own opinion, a separate opinion, please write it in the comments below this video, if you are watching us on tv, pick up your smartphone or phone and vote on 0800 211 381 if you do you think that the kurdish operation of the armed forces will be a disaster for russia, no - 0.800 211 382. next, we have mykhailo samus, a military expert, deputy director of the army, conversion and disarmament research center. director of new geopolitics research network. mr. mykhailo, i congratulate you, thank you for joining our broadcast. greetings , glad to see you. well, first of all, let's start with the course topic, with the offensive of the armed forces of ukraine on enemy territory. as the head of the armed forces of ukraine oleksandr syrskyi says, over the last day in the kurdish direction, the ukrainian army advanced to a depth of one to 3 km, took control of 40.
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territories, i will emphasize this again in a day, syrskyi reported this to zelenskyi, let's hear what said the head of the armed forces of ukraine. on today 74 points are under our control, fighting is taking place along the entire front line, the situation, despite the height of the hostilities, is under control, the operation will continue. mr. mykhailo, can the military operation in kursk region develop into a full-fledged front in a full-scale war of ukraine against russia or russia against ukraine? well, in principle, this operation has already grown, that is, it is a military operation, it is not a raid or actions of the drg, special operations forces and so on, it is a military operation, but a military an operation, as a rule, has its own goals, strategic or operational goals, which then have an impact on strategic ones. objectives, we do not know
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what these objectives are, but if we assume that this operation is only part of a higher -level operation, that is, a design, and this design may include the actions of the armed forces of ukraine or the defense forces of ukraine not only in the kurdish direction, but also in other directions, then it can be assumed that it can really grow , this operation can grow, or after it, or in parallel... the carrying out of other operations that could really become a military disaster for russia. of course, it is still too early to talk about what kind of operations there might be, in which directions, because now only the initial stage of the actual kurdish operation is underway, and it is very successful, but there will be difficult periods in the future, where it is very important to withstand the pressure that will obviously be build up on the russian side, although they are not building up their reserves effectively yet, because... they are trying not to withdraw the main
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forces from the donbass, especially from the pokrovsky direction, because we heard putin say, that, on the contrary, they increase the tempo, they increased the tempo of the offensive by one and a half times. in the pokrov direction, this means that he has given the task to his generals to continue the offensive in donbas regardless of what is happening in the kurdish direction. in my opinion, this is good news, because it is a wrong decision from a military point of view, from a military point of view, they should have stopped now, in principle, not very, let's say , promising offensive in donbas, because, well, few people believe in that russia to the end in the 24th year, it can occupy the entire donbas. although putin is hysterically demanding this from the generals, the generals seem to be promising him this, but this is unrealistic, that is, if they were to act correctly, they would have to stop the operation in donbas, suspend it, transfer several divisions to the kurtsk region and strike in the flanks of the ukrainian group,
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which is now deepening and spreading, but to be clear, such operations, which the armed forces of ukraine are currently conducting, they depend on the security of protection, defense. they flank i.e., those groups that go deeper must be provided with the same groups that are advancing, on the flanks, to ensure security from enemy breakthroughs, so until russia sends several divisions to the kursk region, they will not be able to stop the ukrainian offensive, because the akhmats, some kind of collective hoardings that they are now scraping on all fronts, because putin has set two tasks that must be fulfilled by generals who are mutually exclusive, continue the offensive in donbas and neutralize the threat in kurt region, it is impossible if we do not stop the offensive in donbas, now let's see how the russians will act, i think that they will make the wrong decisions and drive the situation into a situation close
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to disaster. and why, why, mr. mykhailo, did the russians fall into this trap, that is, it is a misunderstanding of the situation, or... the arrogance of putin, that he and his military commanders, that they did not count on the fact that the ukrainians would go on the offensive in kurtshchyna, the reasons for this, why they missed this moment, and, if this is the situation in kurshchyna, then it can happen again in voronetsk region and in bryansk region, that is, they are not ready for the fact that the war is returning to their home, where it came from, right? well, they absolutely did not count on this development of events, they simply did not mentally allow, or did not allow, probably already allow, mentally did not allow, that the ukrainians could violate this holy, holy border, the holy border of the empire, like
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this ukrainians, moreover, they know that our partners are very much against the escalation of the conflict, they our partners generally forbade a projectile to fly there, here... in reality, a military group crosses the border and carries out an absolutely operation, which the russians could not even think about, and i will emphasize here, i am sure that the russian military intelligence reported to the high command , to the top military and political leadership, that the formation of groups that have the characteristics of offensive groups is noted, i am sure that this was reported, because there is an intelligence agency in russia, there are a lot of drones. constantly spent there intelligence, they carried out airstrikes, they carried out strikes with drones, the drg was active there, the special operations forces were active there, that is, in principle, they had 100% information and they reported this information, but the political leadership on this information simply, i think,
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the superior snorted and said that it was impossible , that is, ukrainians cannot cross the border with russia, because the americans will now ... russia, this simply impossible, and that's why they fell into this trap, again, not underestimating the enemy, they fell into this trap in february of '22, when they suffered a huge defeat, which basically meant a defeat in the principle of this operation, but what is happening now is this effort just putin to come out with a good sign with a bad one. and now the next failure is precisely due to underestimation, mental, even underestimation of the enemy, they believe that the ukrainians will not dare to behave like this, and this has played this evil joke on them, when they now do not know what to do, because they really do not have
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enough forces here to stop this operation, which is calculated and implemented simply at the highest level of professionalism. people's deputy of ukraine. sbu colonel roman kostenko, who is currently in the combat zone in the north east, on the espresso broadcast, highly appreciates the military-political and moral-psychological effect of the kurdish operation of the armed forces. forces of ukraine. let's listen to what colonel kostenko said. this operation, i will tell you, but even talking to the fighters, they are now on the rise. we see how even in in the information field, trust in the defense forces and in our army in general has risen, and the fact that our partners, they are also watching in the majority, maybe someone there, as you say correctly, somehow evaluates in his own way, but this operation has already had a great effect. once again, it is important, of course, to bring it to a logical conclusion. at the end, it is very important to have, let's say this, the effect -
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the end of the operation, which was conceived, to prevent the enemy from entering, because we are in a threatening direction, from the right to the left we must hold the flanks unambiguously, to prevent the enemy from breaking through there, or for him to close the ring there, all this must be done by the military, but from my point of view, this operation already has a strategic effect and helps us in all directions, not only here in kurshchyna. mr. mykhailo, what could be the actions of russia, apart from overturning the troops and going on the flanks to the line where they stand, or where, where the ukrainian troops are wedged in, that is, what can putin and his military leadership do in the current situation, start massive shelling of ukrainian cities . use other sections of the potential front, there, for example, northern, northern
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east, up there in the sumy region, from the voronetsk, bran region, to open another front, what can the russian army do now, what can it do? putin's toolkit is small, that is, everyone saw what state he is in, he is really in a state of shock, he does not know what commands. to give, because gerasimov, the chief of the general staff, simply failed this situation, he just once again, simply demonstrated that he cannot really adequately assess the situation and reported to putin that everything is fine, everything is under control, and even the last, his last report in the first days of the start of the kurdish operation, he reported that only a thousand ukrainian servicemen had crossed over. 700 were killed, there are remnants running through the forests and so on, so the reports are very similar to what was reported
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to putin in february-march of 2022, before the disaster, when they began to flee from the kyiv, chernihiv, sumy regions, that is, the toolkit is small , here you are now showing, there is dyumin and zolotov, these are the closest people to putin, and there was information that it seems that putin has entrusted dyumin and zolotov. to coordinate the counterintelligence operation, it’s me, i’ll say that, mr. mykhailo, to our viewers, two former bodyguards of putin, yes, gold was still guarded in general, the mayor of leningrad, i forgot who putin had suitcases in, sobchak, yes, that is, sobchak was still hiring a young zolotov as personal bodyguards, then they met, and when putin became president in 1999, he summoned zolotov and he became his... personal, rather, the head of his security, and young dyumin is such a boy major, the son
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of a lieutenant general of the soviet military medical service, then he graduated from a military school and also got into putin's security, and since 1999, they have been continued their journey, let's say, in a close circle, that is , he, well, different information is coming, now it seems that they... already deny that dyumin and zolotov were assigned to coordinate this contrarian operation, but in fact now putin does not know what to do, that is, gerasimov this command continues the offensive in donbas, perhaps dyumin zolotov will be tasked with coordinating the counter-terrorism operation in the kurt region, but what to do next, if there are not enough reserves, he cannot withdraw even one division from donbas in order to somehow neutralize the threat of the advance of ukrainian forces in the kurt region. to start operations in bryansk oblast, i think that first ukrainian troops can start their
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operations there in order to protect the flanks of our troops advancing in kurtsk oblast, that is, bilhorod and bryansk oblasts are such flank areas where the ukrainian army can carry out its actions, i think that they will not give this initiative to the russians. as for massive missile strikes, well, some new resources besides the possibility of iran transferring ballistic missiles there. not found in russia, that is, the sanctions are still in effect, so russia has not stopped the production of its missiles, but it has not increased it radically, that is, they can accumulate a certain number of missiles, they can strike even at... kiev, they do this all the time, but i don't think it will be any news to air defense of ukraine, because we also have f-16s that can effectively fight cruise missiles, so even for er to use patriots and anti-ballistic missiles in a more concentrated manner, there are now more opportunities, so even if they will hit kyiv, even if they
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will hit the civilian infrastructure, in principle they cannot surprise the weapons somehow. forces of ukraine to surprise ukrainians with something, we are already used to the fact that there are inadequate bloodthirsty terrorists in the kremlin, so we can expect them every day when they hit ahmadite, there were no kurdish operations there, they just took and hit the children's hospital, so some super surprises, i don't think they can do it, that's why putin has this look, he understands, what is actually happening right now is checking the stability of this vertical regime, the stability of the regime's demonstration of strength in general, because if the russian elites feel the weakness, feel that these old men who are sitting there, they lose control over the situation in general, they can rebel, because not everyone in the russian elite is ready to die together with putin, because in this elite everyone owns 10 billion
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dollars on a conditional basis, he somehow would like to live some more, maybe come to an agreement with the west. and somehow about the lifting of sanctions and so on, so the situation is very, very dangerous for putin. mr. mykhailo, on the background of this, the ministry of defense of belarus and the head of the ministry khrenin announced that they are transferring troops to the border with ukraine, formally they accuse ukraine of the fact that ukrainian drones crossed the air, well, the border and have entered the airspace of the republic of belarus, although we... the monitoring group of the belorussian gayun says that on august 9, which is referred to in the message of the ministry of defense of belarus, that in fact there were no shots or missiles fired at drones on the territory of the republic of belarus, planes didn't take off, the helicopters didn't take off either, and andriy
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demchenko, the spokesman of the state border service of ukraine, said on the espresso channel that ukrainian border guards have not yet... of the belarusian army near the border of ukraine. let's listen to what demchenko said. of course, i cannot rule out that in order to create even such a picture as is being spread, spread by the ministry of defense of belarus, they are still moving some of their units, perhaps in small numbers, but all this is happening deep into the territory of belarus, because next to our the border there is as close as possible, we do not record the movement of equipment or personnel from any units of the army of belarus. sir mykhailo, why does lukashenko create this picture that it is ukraine that threatens the security of belarus, although on the contrary it is now and
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has been recorded since february 24 , 2020, why is lukashenko rattling weapons, he wants to support putin in this way, who, er, well, he actually fell into the trap of the armed forces of ukraine in kurshchy, kursk oblast. well, it's very interesting, in fact, you remember, a few weeks ago , lukashenko, on the contrary, withdrew troops from the border of ukraine, he solemnly announced this. and when the kurdish operation began, many russian... military personnel, yes so-called bloggers, in principle, there seem to be members of the state duma as well, they accused lukashenko of betraying russia, demonstratively withdrawing him into a collusion, they said that it was an agreement between lukashenko and zelensky, and lukashenko was withdrawing his troops from the border with ukraine , ukraine takes advantage of this, gathers precisely those troops that
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were near the border of belarus, gathers a shock fist and hits the kursk region, of course it is mayachnya. absolutely, but the accusation against lukashenko was made, and lukashenko in this way can just turn to the information space of russia, demonstrating that look, there is nothing like that, i am returning my troops to the border with ukraine and i am ready for battle, of course, he is not ready for any battle, i would sit quietly in his place, because of his maneuvers, it is simply necessary to understand that he has, well, 10-15 thousand... military personnel there, which he can send to a real combat contingent, which has never in its history, the armed forces of belarus , participated in any peacekeeping operation , not even in any combat clash, that is , it can be a very difficult situation for lukashenko, when he can provoke ukraine, and there you know, and minsk is 700
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km away, that is, it is actually clear here, that is , the city is still more calm now somewhere there, the potato season is coming and so on, somewhere he would be engaged in gardening, i think that is what he is doing, that is, this plot has passed and now they will sit quietly, because... god forbid, somewhere they will touch ukraine, it may end really a crash lukashenka, he knows this, that's why he knows how much it is possible to press, how much it is not necessary to press, because the provocation is a real military one, it can end very, very badly for lukashenka's regime. thank you, mr. mykhailo, for the conversation, it was military expert mykhailo samus. friends, we continue to work in a straight line. tv channel, as well as on our youtube and facebook platforms, and you can like this video, subscribe to our pages, and also take part in our survey. today it sounds like this:
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will the kursk operation of the armed forces of ukraine be a disaster for russia? yes, no, everything is quite simple on youtube, if you have a personal opinion, please write it in the comments below this video. if you're watching us on tv, pick up your smartphone or phone and vote. if you think that ... the kurdish operation of the ukrainian army will end in a disaster for russia, as president zelensky believes, then 0800 211 381, no 0800-211-382, all calls to these numbers are free, vote, at the end of the program we will here are the results of this vote. further we are in touch with maksym rozumny, political expert, doctor of political sciences. mr. maksym, i congratulate you, thank you for joining the broadcast. good evening. come on, mr. maksym, and you will try to answer the question that we ask our tv viewers, will the kursk operation of the ukrainian army be
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a disaster for russia, and i would continue, and a disaster for putin? this operation, of course, which has changed something in the course of the russian-ukrainian war, i don't think that... it will immediately be a disaster for the putin regime, but at least these changes are very significant, well let's start with the fact that, in general, this operation, first of all, it was obviously prepared for more than one day and quite carefully, and we still do not know its strategic plan, but the truth is also that it, well, what is it called, is not from a good life on the ukrainian side was with the project. and the real thing is that the russians are pressing, they have been pressing for quite a long time, stubbornly, persistently, regardless of losses, and
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we are losing populated areas, we are exhausting ourselves in this struggle, so it is obvious that some asymmetric actions were needed, transfers, yes so to speak, the emphasis of combat operations on new territories, and this ... finding of the general staff of the armed forces is obviously, as it stands at the moment, quite successful, because it changes, so to speak, the dynamics, makes adjustments to the plans of the enemy, and in this sense , it can become a reference point in which ukraine can take the initiative on the battlefield. i am not a military expert, so i will limit myself, actually. his commenting on the military side, but with this wording, he can take the initiative, but
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this means for the political situation in russia and uh, as you rightly pointed out, for the fate of putin's regime, uh, such a seemingly small change, it is very significant and maybe even fateful, because once putin... starts to lose, once putin shows weakness, that he is not in control, and that he is, so to speak, forced to defend himself, to react, he does not know what to do, we have seen this footage, he looks quite confused, he immediately loses his authority, and he loses the legitimacy, so to speak, which today formed in russian as well. society and in the russian ruling class, this operation, a military operation, mr. maksym, is taking place against the background of talks about
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the upcoming peace summit, about... the second peace summit, the global peace summit, and in fact, most of the commentators in the western press are talking about what zelensky said in this way is trying to prepare the basis for future negotiations with russia, because russia speaks to ukraine in the language of ultimatums, and putin literally a month and a half ago expressed his... his vision of the conditions under which we can talk about peace or the peri-peace, you give us four oblasts and the republic the autonomous republic of crimea, and then we already sit down at the transition table, we talk about something, the armed forces of ukraine are withdrawn from there, then we talk about peace, against the background of what is happening in kurtshchyna, the heads of foreign affairs of italy and switzerland, antonio taiyani and inya.. tsio
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kasis signed a joint declaration calling for a second global peace summit with the involvement of all parties, including russia. we call for nuclear security, the release of prisoners of war and the establishment of lasting peace. we support holding a second peace summit with participation of all parties, including russia, the declaration states. what can the events in kurshchyna push russia to participate in... a global peace summit, or to start negotiations with ukraine, at least in the format, as it was during the conclusion of the agreement on the grain corridor on the black sea, that is, when the ukrainians and the russians do not communicate directly with each other, but there are intermediaries, and they talk with ukraine, one side, then this side talks with russia, then they come to
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some or... do they come to some kind of consensus? well, to answer the question briefly, i would said that no, this situation does not bring putin, well, actually, as the main political subject in russia, to actually participate in any negotiation format, er, moreover, i think that, er,... putin will try to change the situation, and until he changes it, he will not be ready to negotiate. the fact is that putin is used to speaking from a position of strength, and to be honest, those actions of the russian army, on the front, on the eastern front, on the southern front, this continuous pressure, uh, not counting the losses, which i already talked about spoke, and without any visible strategic
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goal, the military... actually this can be explained precisely by putin's preparation for negotiations and the formation of this strong position. when his position is weakened, he usually loses motivation for negotiations, that is, in fact , those negotiations on putin's terms, they are not very attractive to us, they are dangerous for us, because they threaten. us with great concessions in our national interests, and therefore we must create a situation in which putin will be forced to negotiations in the face of, so to speak, an inevitable catastrophe. so far, the situation in kurshchyna does not look like such a disaster for him, if we do not know how this operation will develop, if we remember...
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the previous years, the 22nd, 23rd, when options were considered to enter the main, so to speak , the enemy forces, which are concentrated in the donetsk direction, in the luhansk, donetsk regions from the north through the territory of russia, this could threaten the defeat of this group of enemy troops, in the face of such a threat, it is obvious that putin should think, and perhaps rely on some uncomfortable conditions for himself, in the current situation, i think that the peace summit, the second peace summit with the participation of russia, by these events, he is on the contrary put under a big question mark , because until the situation is resolved, until it becomes clear what it leads to...

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