there are 200 fountains in the city, 48 are public operated, the city host found a early year in early april. it was quite spectacular. first thing this morning hunter biden arrived in dc, he did not go before closed-door meeting how he jumped into his suv and went away. he could face potential contempt of congress charges. in a couple hours there will be a vote on impeachment inquiry in the house of representatives. if they vote yes, there's going to be an inquiry that puts president biden and hunter biden together in a new scandal which will run through the election process. as we leave you there' s not much price movement in the stock market, we are waiting for jay powell to testify on rates this afternoon.

"varney and company" is done. coast to coast starts now. neil: dc is front and center, so many fast-moving dramas, the big final fed meeting and the first ever hunter biden deposition with republicans not happening because it was republicans and it isn't open at all and the big impeachment inquiry vote targeting his father in the house, we are all in. team coverage with hillary vaughn and chad program. the money stuff and the final fed powwow, good to have you. where are we on what we can expect in two hours? >> this is going to be a typical boring speech. we will stay the course, be data dependent. the market is flat.

we are going into this and the market was sad wise going into it as well. price action goes higher. if we get a little bit of a selloff, fine. those expecting to hear rate cuts are imminent or even mentioned, they will be disappointed about the market is prepared for more of the same from powell. if he gets dovish we rally more. we had a nice run. to break away on any comments. adam: you were richly rewarded if you put out a put on jay leno, i should say jay powell right before, had the same effect where they laughed it off but would say suddenly the kind of stuff that would crash a party.

the fed will do a 180 and start cutting rates as soon as the first quarter. we don't see that. >> the consensus and we will touch in march. it would be better if jay leno talked to less than jay powell. he doesn't want to do anything too drastic to move markets. when we raised rates he was late to the party. that is true to form. he likes to be calculated. no cut here, that puts us to march. he will not give us the pathway to say yes. watch the dots. we will see what the rest of the projected fed rates will be going forward. adam: there are no more rate hikes coming but inflation is

still running one point over what the fed wants it to be. how is that going to come down? >> it is slow and steady and i think that is what leads to the soft landing narrative. it gets me a little concerned. one hundred% certainty of recession. everyone us that we will get the soft landing. a little skittish on that. the narrative is still there for a soft landing as the cpi is lower. 2% to me seems like a lofty goal. they will not take a look victory lap at 3%. he will say the same thing. we will watch every dated point heading in the right direction and that may be enough to keep where we are almost at all time highs. the nasdaq one hundred is one% all-time high, s&p is 3%, that all-time high, january 4, 2022.

that's the theme i am seeing. we are making back 22 losses. you get the big stocks blasted through those levels of microsoft and nvidia. amazon google still trying to get to those 22 highs and the indexes are just getting that in reach. it will be interesting if we can avoid any selloff and see what we do when santa comes to town. the santa claus rally starts on the 22nd, the last 5 trading days of the year, first two of the new year and usually that bodes well for january and could bode well, a positive step to kick off and keep the bull market going. neil: if the weeks were up, that is up as well. >> december historically, the third strongest month, as geeky technicians, the last five

days, this is the other part, notice the broadening out of this rally. the russell 2000, that broke out above its 200 day moving average. the russell is 30% under a high, under its 2022 hi, we've got room to rally. it's good for small caps that start to catch a bit. they have been beaten down. what could lead it? regional banks are on the verge of coming back. haven't recovered for what happened in march when we saw signature and silicon valley go out. if that catches a bid, the next six weeks, mode -- their worldview, headwinds, and we

continue above 4600 level of the s&p and the first high of the year. stuart: great talking to you. we have market implications, he's playing a good offense here. constant republicans off guard. >> he did show up but didn't do the closed-door interview lawmakers one third? he would only testify, hundred did get a chance to talk to the cameras today, he declared his innocence and insisted his dad, president joe biden was not financially involved in his business. the reason he defied the subpoena is he didn't want to take questions behind closed doors in secret, he would not

take questions in the open on camera either. mister biden, was it worth it trying to sell the family name? do you want president biden to pardon you? selling the family name? how did you get into so much trouble? so now it is checkmate, committee chairs james comber and jim jordan promise to hold hunter biden in contempt for being a no show if they holderman content and prosecuted, he could face up to a year in jail time behind bars. neil: how does this affect the planned impeachment inquiry vote scheduled for later today?

>> reporter: the house debates whether to hold an inquiry, it comes later this afternoon. republican say a vote to formalize the impeachment investigation would have given the house more power to compel the testimony of hunter biden today. >> i think the house of representatives passing the impeachment inquiry, that is an important step. the impeachment power resides with the house of representatives. the majority of the house, official impeachment inquiry as a constitutional duty to do oversight, that carries way to help us get these witnesses in. >> reporter: this is not a vote to impeach the president. it only formalizes the inquiry. that is why moderates are willing to vote yes. some republicans say they have the green light for impeachment because of how democrats impeached donald trump twice. >> the bar has been lowered to. when i say the democrats reduce the standard of impeachment, the point where it is absolutely absurd, you have. now we are just playing by the

same rules that you set for us in the last two. >> reporter: democrats blasted the impeachment move. they say the gop struggles to pass legislation on substance that long focused on impeachment. >> the year will end. no permanent farm bill reauthorization. no permanent faa reauthorization. no action on critical national security considerations. no action on funding government. recount >> republican leaders only expecting one or 2 gop nos on the vote today. mike johnson would not answer a question about the response of conservatives if the house fails to impeach the president. he believes they have the votes today. neil: thank you for that. it looks like the more moderate republicans might go along with

this inquiry vote and say yes. even though five in new york that are democratic districts are redistricting in new york after a court appeal and back and forth but it is a risky vote for them. it is only an inquiry. would it be that risky for them whether they did or didn't? >> not terribly. under the nancy pelosi standard that she established with the first impeachment of donald trump the house doesn't actually have to formalize this inquiry. they are choosing to revert to those historical norms of having the house -- according to polling that came out two days ago americans are broadly in favor of opening up the inquiry, not the actual impeachment but the inquiry has net positive four points, in terms of independence only margin of 6 points, 43% of independents, 37% of

independence in support of it. under all this is president biden is historically unpopular. there may not be able address or the watergate break-in in terms of the emotional item to get people to care about this impeachment, the last president to be unpopular as president biden at this point in his presidency isn't even jimmy carter. it is gerald go forward. edward: the neil: something i hear from democrats and white house officials, i raised on this network a lot, the confluence of economic data and study job growth, strong retail sales not across the board, walloping the stock, laying off 11% of the workforce, stock is getting counted but those are the exceptions more than the rule and their belief is that is going to catch up. the reality of what's happening with these numbers will eventually catch up to the perception of americans who

don't share that. what do you make of that? >> they are living in the delusion of the post 2,008 recession. going forward the main crisis will not be unemployment. it will be underemployment as boomers age out of the workforce, job vacancies are going to become -- don't forget inflation is cumulative since president biden took office, prices are up 7%, even more so with food and energy costs. unless you can undo those effects americans are still feeling the pain. have people gotten 20% raises since president biden took office? most people haven't. the idea that unemployment is low, that is structural case from here on out. the federal reserve doing everything they can to keep inflation down working in opposition to not just the white house but republicans and democrats in congress that would be happy to spend more and spend more. if we hit another recession and

jay powell cuts rates or expands the fed balance sheet we could be back into a stagflation environment like the 70s and that is the worst case scenario. neil: i do remember that period. don't scare me here. always good having you on. some news across the pond. chief executive officer will now have to forfeit essentially the money and bonuses he had coming his way after he resigned in september. this followed the revelation he had, and he said knowingly misled, the board determined this amounts to serious misconduct so 32.4 million pounds worth of pay he cannot have north of 40 million.

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>> the war with hamas continues and they are pumping seawater

into those famous tunnels in gaza. >> 9 israeli soldiers in a single incident, we are learning more what took place in northern gaza. troops were searching the building in the neighborhood when ambushed by hamas fighters. backup forces arrived and they engaged in a firefight. there was concerned some of the initial troops had been kidnapped but after they last communication with of their team alternately they were found, many bodies were recovered. israel shows no sign of slowing down the hunt for hamas leadership and their search for hostages. palestinian civilians in the conflict are facing difficult circumstances. they are scared about what comes next. >> she was survived -- she was

-- has been piercing the window. >> reporter: the 12-year-old palestinian girl waves to the camera as her father looks through their home. the family must cook their meals with coal. they have no electricity. the water they drink is partially contaminated but it is all they have after fleeing gaza city. >> you can pick up everything. the predicament. the most important. >> reporter: the family of 6 shelters with dozens of others, they are among the 2 million palestinians facing humanitarian disaster. with airstrikes nearby, he fears his family could be the next victims in the ongoing war. >> it was close to us.

15 has been killed in an airstrike. >> the rocket fire from gaza continues tonight. we were at the site of a near direct impact with shrapnel raining down on a grocery store. neil: be safe. the foreign policy advisor to benjamin netanyahu, good to have you back. no less than the president morning benjamin netanyahu to change attack and don't overdo it. i am paraphrasing the latter part of that. what did you make of that? >> what i take from it, the united states of america, the president supported israel from the get go. we appreciate that support and we are on the same page in terms of the need to destroy hamas, netanyahu's war cabinet defined that is the goal of the

war, to destroy hamas and free the hostages. that is what we are doing right now. that's what the idf is doing, unprecedented success and things on the battleground are unprecedented in modern military history. neil: i didn't mean to be rude but the administration is saying things a little more in your face than the way you stated it. even saying israel could be losing support, is losing support, the way you are proceeding here. how do you answer that? >> there is a lot of -- the un is setting a double standard. they always do set a double standard at the un and israel is doing its best, we are doing our best to set a gold standard. no country on earth pursues, prosecutes the war like israel does. for 75 years, we seek to

minimize civilian casualties not only because it is the right thing to do and it is the right thing to do but is the effective thing to do. at the same time, hamas seeks to maximize civilian casualties. israeli civilians and palestinian civilians hide behind these civilians and below these civilians. they do that not only because they are sick, genocidal organization that behead the children and burns babies alive but because they think it is an effective propaganda tool. we cannot let the murder of civilians, hiding behind civilians be used as a propaganda tool which hamas is doing. neil: not only the war going on but what you do after the war, how you administer gaza which plays a role in that. some are concerned by prime minister him netanyahu's remark that they might be in that

position for some time and obviously that got to the white house saying not so fast. are you still of the view that israel has to have a key role, and maybe for years gaza after the war ends. >> the prime minister has been clear from the outset that we have to destroy hamas which the idf is doing now, we've got to verify gaza is demilitarized so there is no threat from gaza onto israel or anybody else ever again. and 3, that gaza needs to be de-radicalized so schoolchildren will no longer be taught to cherish death but rather love life, will not be taught to murder jews, that is possible. that is not science fiction, that will happen and i am sure once that happens we can have peace not only in gaza but well beyond.

quicker than you think. neil: sorry to jump on you. under these trying circumstances, thank you, sir. in the meantime you know about the sudden migrant surge and the nfl great jack brewer doing amazing things for a lot of distressed communities and having the devil of a time dealing with that surge coming up. ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ be ready for any market with a liquid etf. get in and out with dia.

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adam: to hear republican stella there's no way of going to ukraine or possibly israel if they don't get border security addressed. they were a long way from such an agreement. eiji -- aishah hasnie following

that. >> reporter: we are getting closer, senator tillis told reporters the white house sent a proposal and republicans looking at over and they could have a deal in principle by today. or some sort of framework. that leaves the question, who is going to stay, who is going to go home for the holidays. we have no clarity on the senate whether it will stand leader schumer what's them to stay. alejandra mayorkas, the homeland security secretary on capitol hill, meeting with different people including the chief negotiators, and that's the visible sign the talks are on track. republicans would rather the president get involved because he's a dealmaker.

the president does have his people, by expelling migrants seeking asylum without screening and expanding detention and deportations to curb the numbers. the number 2 democrat in the senate, dick durbin, something has to be done. >> this indication the delicate position we are in, the white house reached out and we talked about it. it was clear they were considering things. >> reporter: what the white house is concerned, some democrats feel could be controversial especially those hispanic lawmakers holding a news conference, they are very upset about what they are hearing about, what the white house is proposing. they want to put pressure on president biden to not take a deal.

neil: jack brewer, to get something done on security at the border, the very community, often small communities he deals with on an everyday basis heard by all of this. >> great to be back. adam: is is a real problem. >> you hear about politicians on capitol hill, running from controversy. at the same time running from common sense. got back from a trip with the jack brewer foundation. to see the amount of men who left the country, left their families is mind blowing. talk about 4 million men who left the country and migrated to the us. that the same country that handled 50% of their children,

age 1 to 5, suffering from malnutrition, leaving these women here to feed their families, we don't even talk about it. and and to take on those issues, you see the cdp last week came out and said we are seeing 5000 people cross the border a day. neil: the minority community, it is even worse. >> no doubt. it is unfortunate. this crisis is plaguing us. you see reading and math proficiency levels in many communities compared to third world countries. what is happening, you have this generation that keeps going on and on, not going to

prisons and jails and we have free will tatian programs across the board in our prisons and we also do immigration programs for ice facilities. i'm in the thick of things on both sides of these issues. you have programs that are needed. hard to take in these people as well as take care of our own people when we don't have the resources to put together great programs. last thing i will say, when you look at the way we are leasing individuals, instead of us monitoring them. what is wrong with monitoring people who come over the border illegally. when you have a government standing strong and firm on this catch and release, it shows the american people we don't value tungsten. neil: we don't value simple things beyond what is happening on the border. i caught you talking about being a dad and being present,

people forget the rates, sometimes we forget that. >> we have 18 million fatherless kids in america. working the desantis campaign and the desantis office passing a comprehensive bill across the state of florida, look across and see our immigration system is causing an issue across the world, when do we have common sense get together. value being a dad, policies in place. julie: have such great success in your life. are more fit now than you were, i shook your hand and now it is broken. one thing i notice about you, you send a message that nothing is a given.

parent success doesn't mean you give it all to the kids, i am oversimplifying it but what do you tell kids? how do you nurture them, give them lessons and all that. >> today's decisions are tomorrow's realities. i tell my kids that over and over again. the choices they make now will determine the rest of their lives. think through these major decisions and as a dad i have to humble myself enough to be able to say i'm here to serve you and to be your father but i want to be an example to you. i want my kids to work as hard as i do and be greater than i am. as a parent you want to make yourself great, you can't do everything around your kids, watch what you say and those little things make a big impact especially in society where kids have so much access to

information. neil: i don't like that you are keeping everything. you are getting nothing. so good to see you. have a merry christmas. get back to society and then some. skewing the napoleon diet i recommended to. in the meantime one of my favorite guests coming up, ken fisher, millionaire investor was keen on the market coming back. last spring the midsized banks looked like they were going belly up and there was a contagion coming on. i wonder if he still does, he was ahead of that curve next. ♪ my name is caron and i'm from brooklyn.

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neil: we are waiting to hear from the federal reserve, a meeting that has been decided by interest rates capping out, i don't know whether ken fisher -- he was bullish when bullish wasn't cool. always great seeing you. >> thank you for having me back. neil: i know you don't obsess over individuals like the fed or jerome powell. most are looking for him to confirm what we already see that interest rates won't go higher or immediately go lower but you hang your hat on any of that?

>> based on what crazy people do, you don't do that. neil: you are calling them crazy. >> i've been saying this to you for a long time. the reality is once upon a time, milton friedman new why central bankers go crazy. neil: what is cool, we were talking many times in the past year, around the spring or march where a lot of midsized banks were threatening to go belly up and a contagion fear, you shared that, you stepped back and looked at activity and all that, wasn't nearly so dire. much of the investment world has come to your side. where you stood out you are

part of an increasing crowd. that alone. >> sort of and sort of not. let me put it into perspective for you. as john templeton said, bull markets are born on pessimism, mature on optimism and die in euphoria. last year we had a lot of pessimism. this year we have been moving through the skepticism phase with diminishing skepticism and we are on the cusp between skepticism and the beginning of optimism. it takes a good time to get through those. it is really hard on the market that made it to a 1-year anniversary. it gets to be where you see them taper off. another point. where we get a bear market, it scares us and takes a long time

for us to get out of it. neil: we had at least another year to go if we had just conformed to history. >> that point, the reality is the history of american presidential election years since the beginning of the s&p in 1925, positive 83% of history. history of presidential election year, when the second year of a president's term was negative is one hundred% since 1932. the reality is is it possible things come along? the odds for so many reasons overwhelmingly favor the bull market continuing in a relatively difficult psychological display of pessimism, optimism and finally euphoria which we clearly don't have.

neil: if a republican wins next year for the white house, let's say it's donald trump, does that void the markets even more? does it matter who the ultimate winner is? >> obviously nominees matter. that contributes to winning or losing. the cycle of republican versus democrat works like this. normally when we elect a republican, the market likes it in the election year better than when we elect a democrat. in the inaugural year it flip-flops. why? because as this gets optimistic about the republican and in the inaugural year we find out he can't do as much as they hoped. with the democrat, they fear but they find out in the inaugural year he can't do as much that they feared so markets do well. the history of that is clear. another point is there is different display throughout the course of presidential

election years in history, whether the president was a democrat running for reelection or a republican. when the republicans, there is negativity in the year or fear that he's going to get taken out. when there's a democrat there has more steady rise. neil: as a millionaire your self, you've given a lot back to society and schools, a lot of schools are rethinking donations to schools like harvard. it has reared its ugly head and bolting with their money. >> i am not overly prone to putting money around anywhere. specifically used for specific

purpose is actually functional. when you give money to a university they do what they do and put your name on it. anything can happen then. neil: some of them drew a line, and the anti-semitic behavior or protests going on. would you draw a line on something like that? >> the reality, we have in my opinion which is my opinion, nobody comes to me or run social conditions. a lot of what goes on on campuses today is largely deplorable. neil: you would not endorse of that financially or otherwise? >> the reality is some of this

stuff from my younger years, if you said this would happen you would say that can't happen. it is a miracle. neil: the reason, this idea some are saying i would never hire someone by the result of this. does that go too far? >> i was a public-school person all the way through. i had policy in my firm when i was young, at stanford university, stanford grads, i've never been in favor of fancy school. continuing with tough knocks. people who work through school, i always shied away from fancy schools. stuart: but you would not hire someone because they come

through the kansas school? >> let me go back to my point. hiring people from stanford. a formal policy against hiring them. we hired some of those people but in my opinion, going to a fancy name and school is an impediment to future success in terms of the bigger feature which is getting ahead in life, more about work ethic, common sense, drive and all that stuff than it is where you go to school. it hits on a resume. what you do when the resume is done is hold a different thing. what you will do and can do. what you will do is what you get done. neil: what do you know? you're only a multibillionaire. hope you have a wonderful christmas. thanks for the chats. hope there will be many more to

come. in the meantime, bring you up to date on these markets and how strong, no stranger to technology, it is north of 56% year to date. becomes one of the top-performing atfs. that's hard to repeat. a lot of these got bludgeoned last year but so far this year making that up and then some. jackie deangelis with what's coming up right now. jackie: we are counting down to the big fed decision. it is not what powell does this time but what he says. we are reading between the lines. the stock scorecard is out. was not he and who was nice. hunter biden didn't want to testify today. larry kudlow will weigh in but more coast-to-coast after this.

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let's acknowledge that it took 80,000 people over three weeks to come to this conclusion. copp 28 must have been a great time, if we knew this was going to be the result of the conference and took this long to get there, on the simplest of terms they talked about illuminating fossil fuels but fossil fuels do a lot more than produce electricity. wind and solar produce electricity. what about plastic, rubber, summit, concrete, steel, the renewables themselves. wind and solar are made from fossil fuels. if you are limiting fossil fuels, what are you doing to these products? there's the circle of stupidity that comes out of cop 28. it is virtue signaling, it is leftist agenda. there is no truth in science and markets. it is pure nonsense. neil: let's say they are serious about it, committing funds to do it, china and india, what do you think of that? >> china didn't participate. chairman xi stayed home.

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