gb news. >> a very, very good afternoon to you. it's 3 pm. welcome to the martin daubney show on gb news. broadcasting live from the heart of westminster all across the uk . on today's show, the uk. on today's show, a massive political poll will drop dunng massive political poll will drop during the show this afternoon. it's likely to paint an apocalyptic picture for the tories, with only the size of labour's supermajority and the numbers of seats picked up by a resurgent liberal democrats and an emerging reform party up for debate, we'll have full expert analysis the moment this poll lands. analysis the moment this poll lands . next up, the former lands. next up, the former justice secretary, sir robert buckland , has called for an buckland, has called for an amnesty for more than 29,000 people giving criminal convictions for breaking covid rules while they broke the rules. but then so did the government . so is ditching the government. so is ditching the fines the right thing to do .7 fines the right thing to do.7 next up, fines the right thing to do? next up, just stop oil has

sparked fresh outrage this time after activists sprayed stonehenge, a world heritage site . bright orange is this site. bright orange is this cultural desecration a step too far even for these eco warriors ? far even for these eco warriors? gb news will be live from the sacred site and the tartan army have been off kilter since their five one millom by germany. well tonight they take on an in—form switzerland . can they restore switzerland. can they restore some pride, or might scotland be on the first flight home, clutching sore heads and the wooden spoon? that's all coming up between now and 6:00. welcome to the show. so today, in terms of polling , it's judgement day. of polling, it's judgement day. the biggest poll of its form, the most in—depth, the kind of poll that predicted the previous two general elections will land this afternoon. and it's looking

like a scorched earth future for the conservatives. all that's up for grabs are the spoils. how big will the labour party supermajority be? how big will the liberal democrats resurgence from the years of cleggmania wilderness? and can the reform party finally break through? we'll have all of that on the show and the full, in—depth expert analysis you'd expect from us here @gbnews. get in touch all the usual ways , touch all the usual ways, gbnews.com/yoursay. but let's kick off now. it's your headunes kick off now. it's your headlines and it's sam francis . headlines and it's sam francis. >> martin, thank you very much and good afternoon to you. it's just after 3:00 and leading the news this afternoon. the jury in the trial of constance marten and mark gordon has been discharged after they failed to reach verdicts on charges over the death of the couple's newborn child. the 37 year old and 50 year old both deny being involved in the death of their

baby daughter, victoria, who was found in a supermarket bag in brighton last year. found in a supermarket bag in brighton last year . the couple brighton last year. the couple were arrested following a high profile police manhunt, well after over 72 hours of deliberation, jurors were unable to agree on a verdict . martin to agree on a verdict. martin and gordon may face a retrial . and gordon may face a retrial. in other news, for the first time in nearly three years, inflation has fallen to the bank of england's 2% target. it's boosted hopes of an interest rate cut in the coming months. most analysts were forecasting that drop, which is down from 2.3% in april. chancellor jeremy hunt says it's great news but claims that inflation could rise again if labour wins the general election . election. >> a year and a half ago we had higher inflation than nearly any other major economy. today it is lower and that shows the difficult decisions we've taken have paid off. that would not have paid off. that would not have happened under labour. they refused to condemn the public sector pay strikes. that would have meant higher for inflation

longer. instead, we have lower inflation taxes starting to come down and hopefully now mortgages starting to come down. it will be a terrible shame if we turn the clock back and put up taxes for every family with savings, which is what it now emerges keir starmer plans to do. >> jeremy hunt, they're speaking earlier this morning. well, labour's shadow chancellor rachel reeves has warned the cost of living crisis isn't over and says prices are still going up. >> price rises have been very severe in the last few years . severe in the last few years. the cost of the weekly food shop up almost 30% since the last general election. people looking to remortgage this year paying more than £200 a month more on their mortgage because of the conservatives mini—budget. less than two years ago that crushed the economy and sent mortgage rates soaring . so the rates soaring. so the conservatives might want to say everything's okay, but i know for many people right across our country, there's still struggling. >> and elsewhere on the campaign

trail today, the snp is promising another independence referendum to fight for an end to austerity and they say, to rejoin the european union, launching their manifesto earlier, leader john swinney said he also wants to see an end to the two child benefit cap . to the two child benefit cap. scottish labour, though, have criticised the first minister, saying he's woefully out of touch. and elsewhere, george galloway has pitched himself as the antidote to both labour and reform uk as he launched his workers party manifesto . he also workers party manifesto. he also said he wants a referendum on the transition to net zero and promised to scrap ulez. the transition to net zero and promised to scrap ulez . labour promised to scrap ulez. labour leader sir keir starmer has called just stop oil pathetic after activists from the group targeted stonehenge this afternoon . video posted online afternoon. video posted online shows two campaigners, both now arrested, running towards the monument and throwing orange powder paint over it. rishi sunak also called that a disgraceful act of vandalism.

the demonstration comes ahead of the expected arrival of thousands of visitors for the summer solstice tomorrow . the summer solstice tomorrow. the mother of a british teenager who has gone missing in tenerife says having to search for her son is horrendous. jay slater, from lancashire, was last heard from lancashire, was last heard from on monday morning. the 19 year old had called a friend to say he was lost with no water, and that his phone was on just i% and that his phone was on just 1% battery. his last location shows that he was in a mountainous region of the island that's popular with hikers in france. campaigning is now underway after president macron's surprise call for snap elections there. jordan bardella, the president of the national rally, says that if elected, he'd back ukraine. but not supply it with any long—range weapons. mr bardella, who's just 28, shares leadership of the party with marine le pen and is widely expected to become prime minister in france if the national rally wins on the 7th of july. meanwhile, in north

korea, kim jong un has taken to the road in a russian limousine after it was gifted to him by vladimir putin. the russian president is on a state visit to pyongyang, where the north korean leader offered his full support for all of russia's policies . us secretary of state policies. us secretary of state antony blinken, though, says it's a sign of putin's desperation to find allies who will support his war in ukraine. and finally, before we hand back to martin in westminster , a to martin in westminster, a cinema has been forced to cancel the screening of a film which was written by ai. after a pubuc was written by ai. after a public backlash , the prince public backlash, the prince charles cinema in london's soho was due to host the world's premiere of the last screenwriter, which is entirely scripted by chatgpt, but concerns were raised over artificial intelligence possibly replacing human writers, which has been a contentious issue in creative industries . however, creative industries. however, the firm's creators say they just wanted to provoke debate on al's just wanted to provoke debate on ai's impact on the arts. that's the latest from the newsroom for now. for more , you can sign up

now. for more, you can sign up to gb news alerts by scanning the code on your screen, or go to gb news. common alerts . to gb news. common alerts. >> thank you sam. now we start with what promises to be yet another miserable day for the prime minister rishi sunak. later this afternoon, we'll bnng later this afternoon, we'll bring you news of a huge new opinion poll that's widely expected to predict a massive defeat for the conservative party i'm joined now in our studio in westminster by our political editor, chris hope. chris, delightful to have you back, in the patch here. you've been, of course, on the battle bus with the conservatives on the campaign trail. it's judgement day . these are the judgement day. these are the polls today dropping, which are accurate . they predict well, and accurate. they predict well, and it looks pretty bad news. well we think so. >> we've got polling from more in common at 4:00. there could be one on the telegraph website at half past four. and then a big one from sky news, an mrp

poll that's tens of thousands of people polled seat by seat analysis . that's people polled seat by seat analysis. that's a 5 pm. so really it's judgement afternoon or or tea time if you like, on the show today it's yes not looking great for rishi sunak nothing is working. he's talking about tax, tax, tax. but the pubuc about tax, tax, tax. but the public appears to have turned off from his messaging. in fact, nigel farage, who unveiled his contract with you as he called it in merthyr tydfil on monday and i was there for that . that and i was there for that. that appears to have cut through and we're looking at numbers there. will we see more polling saying they might win as many as seven seats? the pm will say, well, look at reform . look how few look at reform. look how few they're going to win. you're literally giving, you know, almost so much power to labour by backing reform . stick with by backing reform. stick with us. but nothing's working. and i've been with him today in sizewell b, the power station in east anglia . and he and he's east anglia. and he and he's a nuclear power station, quite a quite summarised for me the safety first approach of the campaign. he's not out there meeting with ordinary people or

taking any risks with getting a difficult conversation back. he's meeting with apprentices today. he's meeting with apprentices today . yesterday, farmers in a today. yesterday, farmers in a barn with controlled environments. it might work if you're a prime minister, but when you're behind the polls, the party leader meet voters, win them over, and preferably have a gb news film crew on your shoulder. >> and rishi sunak has been canvassing in very safe seats. that's very unusual. it suggests, chris, they're just trying to shore up what vote they have left, and the headunes they have left, and the headlines write themselves . size headlines write themselves. size will be the tories are having a meltdown. titanic. they're having that sinking feeling. nothing has gone right for them on this campaign. trying nothing at all. >> he's trying hard. at all. >> he's trying hard . you know >> he's trying hard. you know i think, you know, i do know him as a journalist. he's a decent man. but so is keir starmer. he knows his brief. he's trying to make his points, but they're not being listened to. and something has got to work. it's not working yet. just yesterday, geoffrey cox's seat 25,000. last election today therese coffey nearly 20,000. these are not seats you fight if you think you're going to win a majority.

and maybe that's why boris johnson is saying you don't need me here. i'm your person for the red wall. you're not even fighting hard in the red wall. i can't help. >> and the pincer movement, of course, has been the unlikely rise of ed davey, the pratfalls, the paddle balls, the fashion shows, the makeover, the obsession with sewage. but it seems the liberal democrats might finally cleanse themselves of cleggmania. they may surge back to be the party of opposition cleggmania being 2010, when suddenly nick clegg surged from nowhere to become, well, big in the polls. >> but not not that many seats . >> but not not that many seats. in the end, i've been backing ed davey quietly as someone to watch because i think he's had a very clever campaign , an he's very clever campaign, an he's talked about care, he's put social care nhs at the heart of it , and he's social care nhs at the heart of it, and he's made fun of himself to get the pictures being shown on gb news and other channels and newspapers. and i think because he's in a sense, they have got rid of in 2015 by the tory party attacking him in the south—west they haven't been seen really in politics for about nearly a year now , nearly

about nearly a year now, nearly ten years now. i think that's working in their favour. there a new voice and he comes across quite as a decent guy. but again he might win. well we'll see in the polls i think 50 seats maybe. and that would be quite an achievement. >> it's been another bad news for the prime minister on small boats. now, yesterday a record number over 800 822. we believe the highest single day figure since 2022. an all time record. one of those five pledges was to stop the boats. now we can see that was never, ever a feasible possibility . possibility. >> that's right. 880 arrived in 15 small boats , that's the total 15 small boats, that's the total now is running at the highest, for this time of the year compared to 2022 and 2023, 12,313 the pm. not surprisingly , 12,313 the pm. not surprisingly, was asked about that in norfolk just now. and here's what he had to say. >> in the last 12 months, the numbers of people crossing the channel has actually down by almost a third. that hasn't happened before, and it shows that we can make a difference. that's what i've been focused on

doing . but there's that's what i've been focused on doing. but there's a that's what i've been focused on doing . but there's a choice at doing. but there's a choice at this election highest number yesterday. there's a there's a choice. there's always going to be days which are worse than others. but the choice of this election is about how do we solve this problem for good. i've got a plan to do that. and that's about getting an incentive up and running or deterrent up and running, removing the incentive for people to come here. it's as simple as that. if people come here illegally , they shouldn't here illegally, they shouldn't be able to stay. we need to remove them somewhere else. and if we can get that up and running, then people will stop coming and multiple other european countries agree with us. that's a choice for people at this election. if you want that deterrent, then you need the flights to go to rwanda . the flights to go to rwanda. that's what i'll deliver. in contrast, keir starmer is going to let everyone out of the detention centres, offer an amnesty, make us a soft touch of europe when it comes to migration. and i don't think that's right. >> well, that was rishi sunak looking every bit like homer simpson there in that nuclear plant has to be said. but chris, there was one good bit of news for rishi sunak today because inflation is back down at the bank of england's target of 2% for the first time since july 2021, and chancellor jeremy hunt

2021, and chancellorjeremy hunt says that would never have happened under the labour party. >> a year and a half ago, we had higher inflation than nearly any other major economy. today it is lower and that shows the difficult decisions we've taken have paid off. that would not have paid off. that would not have happened under labour. they refused to condemn the public sector pay strikes that would have meant higher inflation for longer. instead we have lower inflation, taxes starting to come down and hopefully now mortgages starting to come down. it would be a terrible shame if we turn the clock back and put up taxes for every family with savings , which is what it now savings, which is what it now emerges. keir starmer plans to do , however, shadow chancellor do, however, shadow chancellor rachel reeves says people are still struggling and the tories are to blame . are to blame. >> they're still really struggling because although inflation is back at target and thatis inflation is back at target and that is welcome, of course, it doesn't mean that any of those price rises have been undone. price rises have been very severe in the last few years.

the cost of the weekly food shop up almost 30% since the last general election . people looking general election. people looking to remortgage this year paying more than £200 a month more on their mortgage because of the conservatives mini—budget. less than two years ago that crashed the economy and sent mortgage rates soaring. so the conservatives might want to say everything's okay. but i know for many people right across our country, they're still struggling . struggling. >> so, chris, these inflation figures and the economic upturn that was meant to be the silver bullet for the conservatives is it working? >> it feels that way because i think they would have known, wouldn't they. that two weeks out from polling day , just two out from polling day, just two weeks tomorrow, they would have probably some good news on inflation, cpi inflation down to 2% from 2.3. they knew it was coming, but will it work in the polls? the problem is nothing has worked so far. they've dnpped has worked so far. they've dripped out all their policies from their manifestos. big, quite big, quite bold policies on tax and spend and elsewhere. nothing has worked. what will work? i've been saying they need to take off the safety catch of

this campaign and put rishi sunak amongst the people and take the fight to them. >> two weeks ago, chris, i will that happen? excellent show. i'd expect no less from you now. one of the big talking points in this election campaign is where will be the portillo moments ? will be the portillo moments? and in fact, there could be a number of portillo moments next month. that phrase, of course, was coined in 1997, when michael portillo lost a majority of more than 15,500 to the labour candidate, stephen twigg. so which tory big beasts could bite the bullet and the chancellor , the bullet and the chancellor, jeremy hunt, is in real danger of being beaten. the liberal democrats or the favourites with the bookmakers to win godalming and ash in leafy surrey, and penny mordaunt has been widely touted as a future conservative leader . however, touted as a future conservative leader. however, it touted as a future conservative leader . however, it looks like leader. however, it looks like the leader of the house of commons is in trouble in portsmouth north, where labour are the favourites with the bookies to win. so jacob

rees—mogg no less would be a huge scalp for labour to take in nonh huge scalp for labour to take in north east somerset and hannam, a new seat. and the bookies have the labour candidate as the big favourite to win that seat. what a shock that would be. and one man, who the bookmakers have all but written off, is now defence secretary grant shapps. he looks sure to bite the bullet. labour, or 8 to 1 on to take welwyn hatfield . and that means you hatfield. and that means you need to bet £8 on labour. just to get one paltry pound back. thatis to get one paltry pound back. that is a thin margin. now let's speak to john hill from the bookmakers coral. john, welcome to the show. so the polls or the polls but you follow the money. the money usually gets it right. tell us. it looks like there are some big names here. you're a bookies favourite to go through the trap door . the trap door. >> yeah. good afternoon martin. you're absolutely right there. and we need these constituency betting markets because let's be honest, the general election is ovenisnt honest, the general election is over, isn't it? it's a one horse

race. sir keir starmer is going to end up the prime minister. they'll want a 50 labour to pick up the seats, 1 to 20 to get a majority. so, you know , these majority. so, you know, these markets are really interesting. and, some of the big guns are in trouble. grant shapps. he's now 5 to 1 to retain his seat. labour look on course for that one. 1 to 8, as you mentioned, £8 gets you just one back with regards to that one. penny morton, who you know, i've been quite impressed with during some of these, leadership debates, you know, she's really got her teeth cut in at the portsmouth nonh teeth cut in at the portsmouth north mp , but she's 2 to 1 to north mp, but she's 2 to 1 to retain a seat and that's going to have a massive impact on her chances of becoming the next conservative leader, because she was right up there at the top end of the betting alongside kemi , but it looks like her odds kemi, but it looks like her odds will drift out there. obviously if she doesn't retain her seat. now, one of the people that does have a decent chance, is rishi sunak the prime minister. he's odds on at 1 to 3 to pick up his seat. kemi badenoch. she's1 odds on at 1 to 3 to pick up his seat. kemi badenoch. she's 1 to 9, to pick up her seat . and

9, to pick up her seat. and robert jenrick he's 5 to 6. this is one of the tightest betting heats we've got, actually, robert, he's 5 to 6, labour in that one, 11 to 10. so we're very much think it's just just short of a 5050 chance of robert jenrick retaining his seat. and he's been obviously on board a lot of the government's , with lot of the government's, with bofis lot of the government's, with boris johnson and, rishi sunak, liz truss . so he's got a lot of liz truss. so he's got a lot of work to do. but it's going to be fascinating . we've got a few fascinating. we've got a few weeks to go and these markets will fluctuate, won't they? martin >> over the next few weeks they will now john as well as the big blue beasts we might see biting the bullet. what about in the turquoise camp? what about the odds on nigel farage? how's he looking ? because the polls or looking? because the polls or the polls. but the money telling a different picture, is it? >> very much so. it's one way traffic for nigel in clacton. he's now 1 to 5, before he announced his candidacy , the announced his candidacy, the reform candidate was, i think, as big as 3 to 1 reform candidate was, i think, as big as 3to 1 to reform candidate was, i think, as big as 3 to 1 to win the captain's seat. as soon as nigel made that big announcement on gb news, not only announcing that

he'd be, taking over as the leader again of reform , also leader again of reform, also standing at clacton. the money just came coming for in him. we were been absolutely knocked oven were been absolutely knocked over. he's now 1 to 5, which basically suggests he's got an 80% chance of winning this seat. as nigel farage, and that'll be interesting if finally going to get himself in parliament. it looks like nigel in clacton. so, yeah, he's one of the warm favourites now . favourites now. >> well, john hill, it will be a time. lucky for that, the case. no i like a little nibble myself on these kind of things. you're getting my juices flowing. john hill from the bookmakers coral. always a pleasure . thank you always a pleasure. thank you very much. great to have you on the show. now, remember, we'll bnng the show. now, remember, we'll bring you the results. cheers, mate. now, remember, we'll bring you the results of a massive opinion poll a little later in the show. it's judgement day on the show. it's judgement day on the opinion poll front, and there's plenty of coverage of there's plenty of coverage of the election campaign on our website, gbnews.com. and you've helped to make it the fastest growing national news website in the country. so thank you one and all very much. now it's time now for our giveaway and your chance to win over £16,000 worth

of prizes. that's 15 grand tax free cash and a whole host of summer treats on top. now it could all be yours, but you've got to be in it to win it. here's all the details that you need. >> don't miss out on your chance to win our summer spectacular and have we got a prize for you? first, there's a totally tax free £15,000 in cash to make your summer spectacular. spend that extra cash however you like . you'll also win a brand new .you'll also win a brand new iphone, apple airpods and if that wasn't enough, a £500 voucher to spend at your favourite uk attraction. so you can enjoy amazing days out this year for another chance to win the iphone treats and £15,000 cash text win to 63232. text cost £2 plus one standard network rate message. you can also enter online at gbnews.com/win . entries cost £2 gbnews.com/win. entries cost £2 or post your name and number two gb zero six, p.o. or post your name and number two gb zero six, po. box 8690,

derby de19, double t, uk. only entrants must be 18 or over. lines close at 5 pm. on the 28th of june. please check the closing time if listening or watching on demand. good luck how. >> now. >> moments ago we talked about the clacton constituency and we need to read the candidates out for that seat . and they are this for that seat. and they are this jovan owusu, nepal, that's the labour party , giles watling, labour party, giles watling, conservative party, matthew bensalem , liberal democrats, bensalem, liberal democrats, nigel farage, reform uk , natasha nigel farage, reform uk, natasha osborne, green party, greg jamieson , the climate party, jamieson, the climate party, tony mac, independent, tassos papanastasiou, the heritage party and andrew pemberton of ukip , now the minister who ukip, now the minister who oversaw the course during the pandemic , says the 29,000 people pandemic, says the 29,000 people who were convicted of breaking covid rules should be given an amnesty. i'm martin daubney on gb news, britain's news

>> earlier on breakfast, we're heanng >> earlier on breakfast, we're hearing from the office for national statistics that inflation has reached the bank of england's target figure of 2. the prime minister made it a prime objective to get that down. >> that has now been delivered because 2, of course, is bang on the bank of england target and this is its lowest level in almost three years. >> the tax burden is at a 70 year high. wages have been stagnant, economic growth has been on the floor. and i think working people across the country, you know, realise the impact of all these conservative decisions that they've had on scotland. >> one send me some swiss cheese . okay. >> we'll see. you know, the first gone by the way, first class. >> if the uk man were delivered to you by the way, thank you very much indeed . very much indeed. >> thank you. >> thank you. >> fantastic. >> fantastic. >> cheers from six. >> cheers from six. >> it's breakfast on gb news. >> it's breakfast on gb news. >> welcome back. time is 327.

i'm martin daubney. this is gb news. now to a massive talking point. and the minister who oversaw the course during the pandemic, says that all of the people who were convicted of breaking covid rules should be given an amnesty by a total of 29,383 people were fined by the courts and the criminal convictions could stop them becoming teachers or even police officers . well, joining me now officers. well, joining me now to discuss this is the director of transform justice penelope gibbs. penelope, welcome to the show . so this is a pretty broad show. so this is a pretty broad piece of legislation. get rid of the lot of them. but before we go on to whether that's the right thing to do or not, can you give me an indication of how much people were fined? i mean, the fines started at £100 per head, but some of them became massive. >> some people were fined like 10,000, but there was a huge range and it didn't seem quite clear what were the criteria for the different amounts , but the different amounts, but really, really big fines. >> some of them and have serious

consequences. >> as we just said in the intro, their criminal records affecting your ability to do public service jobs such as teaching and policing. so now onto the big point. is this the right thing to do? do you believe penelope gibbs, that we should wipe the slate clean and get rid of all of these fines after all, the government broke the rules to . to. >> i mean, what i'm not saying is that there's two things. >> there's a kind of, harden and a wiping the slate clean. >> i don't think we should pardon people, as in, say that they didn't commit a crime because they did commit a crime. but i think where i'm interested is in the criminal records and whether, given the fact that the law as it was drafted was very vague, quite difficult to understand and so on, whether it's then justified to have people with criminal records which may last 20, 30 years, it has to be said they only come up

in certain circumstances, but, you know, there shouldn't really be a risk that they come up at all. and this is part of a wider issue for us as part of the fair checks campaign to make for a fairer criminal records disclosure system , because in disclosure system, because in this country, we disclose those to employers and organisations who might want to volunteer things, which people did 3040 years previously for which they may not even have been to court. they may have just got a police caution. so i think buckland robert buckland is talking within a context of a belief that we need that our criminal record system is unfair as it stands, and this is an example. >> now, quickly, sir robert buckland is up for re—election. so the timing of this, you could say, is slightly cynical, it's a popularity contest , but say, is slightly cynical, it's a popularity contest, but we're about most likely to have a

change of government . penelope change of government. penelope gibbs, do you think there's an appetite in a future labour government to make this kind of pardon, to make this kind of change? or is this just politicking, electioneering ahead of a general election ? ahead of a general election? >> well, i actually think that robert buckland was was approached and asked the question and answered it. i'm not absolutely convinced it's electioneering because actually, i think, you know, people are very divided on this issue. so i'm not sure if it's a popularity thing. and labour people, in my experience. also have a sympathy about the criminal record system and how it's disproportionate and stops people who haven't committed a crime for many, many years from moving on in their lives. so in my experience, there's support across the parties . the labour across the parties. the labour party, i don't think would support a pardon as such as in saying that person didn't commit an offence they might have

committed. but i do think there's a real problem in that. the law was, you know, brought in incredibly quickly. even the police didn't understand it. so i do think a lot of people who broke the law weren't would, were doing it without really knowing what they were doing , knowing what they were doing, and then were processed through the justice system in quite an unfair way. >> okay. thank you very much. it's a fascinating talking point. and another example, penelope gibbs of the long shadow that covid and the lockdowns cast over society. penelope gibbs, director of transform justice , thank you transform justice, thank you very much for joining transform justice, thank you very much forjoining us on the very much for joining us on the show. there's lots more still to come between now and 4:00. but first, here's your headlines and it's sam francis . it's sam francis. >> martin, thank you very much . >> martin, thank you very much. and good afternoon to you. it's just after 3:30. the top story from the newsroom this afternoon. the jury in the trial

of constance marten and mark gordon has failed to reach a verdict on charges related to the death of the couple's newborn child. they were arrested following a high profile police hunt last year. both denied being involved in the death of their baby daughter victoria, who was found in a supermarket bag in brighton. jurors were unable to agree on a verdict after more than 72 hours of deliberation. the prosecution will now consider whether to seek a retrial . inflation has seek a retrial. inflation has eased to 2, increasing the prospect of an interest rate cut within months. it's the first time in nearly three years that the figure's been at the bank of england's target. chancellor jeremy hunt says it's because of the conservatives plans for the economy. labour, though, says the government has nothing to do with the figure . the snp is with the figure. the snp is promising another independence referendum to fight for an end to austerity to and rejoin the european union, launching the manifesto earlier , leader john

manifesto earlier, leader john swinney said he also wants to see an end to the two child benefit cap. scottish labour, though, have criticised the first minister, saying he's woefully out of touch . labour woefully out of touch. labour leader sir keir starmer has called just stop oil pathetic after activists from the group targeted stonehenge . video targeted stonehenge. video posted online shows two campaigners, both now arrested, running towards the monument and throwing orange powder paint over it. rishi sunak has also called it a disgraceful act of vandalism. the demonstration comes ahead of the expected arrival of thousands of visitors for the summer solstice tomorrow . that's the latest from the newsroom. for now, polly middlehurst will have your next update at 4:00. until then, you can sign up to gb news alerts by scanning the code on your screen, or go to gb news. common alerts . alerts. >> cheers! britannia wine club proudly sponsors the gb news

financial report , and let's take financial report, and let's take a look at the markets this afternoon. >> the pound will buy you $1.2724 and ,1.1842. the price of gold this afternoon . of gold this afternoon. £8,206.45. that's per ounce. and the ftse 100 is at 8206 points. >> cheers. britannia wine club proudly sponsors the gb news financial report . financial report. >> thank you sam. now if you want to get in touch with us, simply go to gbnews.com/yoursay and i'll read out the best of your a little later in show. i'm martin daubney on gb news,

>> this is gb news. and we are britain's election channel. >> this vote may seem to be about the politicians and the media, but it's actually about you. we won't forget that.

>> join us up and down the country as we follow every moment together . moment together. >> more than ever, it's important to hear all sides as you make your decision. >> in the run up to polling day. >> in the run up to polling day. >> this is gb news the people's channel >> this is gb news the people's channel, britain's election . channel. >> welcome back. your time is 338. i'm martin daubney this is gb news. later in the show, we'll cross live to stonehenge , we'll cross live to stonehenge, where, as you can see on your screens, just stop oil. activists have caused uproar, global outrage. in fact, after spraying orange paint on the sacred ancient monument, a unesco world heritage site, desecrate by the protesters will be on the site for full reaction as soon as we can. now here's a question for you do working people have savings ? well, people have savings? well, shadow chancellor rachel reeves has corrected sir keir starmer's

initial claim that they don't have savings after the party promised not to raise taxes for working people. now, this comes as claims persist that a labour government would raise taxes. well our political correspondents olivia utley is on labour's battle bus and she joins us now. olivier, taxation, taxation and taxation. they won't stop asking the labour party about it. are we any nearer to getting the answer about these hidden taxes? people are levelling in labour's direction . direction. >> well, as you say, martin, taxation yet again is the word of the day for labour. it's not what labour wants to be talking about. but after the release of its manifesto last week, it's the only thing labour really can talk about . the manifesto stated talk about. the manifesto stated explicitly that labour wouldn't be raising taxes for working people and define that as not raising national insurance income tax or vat. but of course, those aren't the only taxes on working people. in

fact, working people are often savers as well. two thirds of britain have more than £1,000 in savings , so capital gains tax, savings, so capital gains tax, for example, can affect them. council tax obviously affects them too, and inheritance tax could possibly affect them as well. and keir starmer is remaining silent on those three taxes. when asked repeatedly whether he's planning to raise them in the next parliament, he refused to say this is what he said when i asked him specifically about inheritance tax a little earlier today. >> we have been really clear that we're not raising income tax, national insurance or vat. all of our plans are fully funded and don't require tax rises over and above what we've already set out, and that is because we're focusing on growing our economy. >> and what you've seen with john caldwell , for example, john caldwell, for example, yesterday is entrepreneurs, investors , those who can see investors, those who can see that we're serious about growing the economy, serious about wealth creation, serious about

making everybody and the country better off and want, therefore, to give labour their support. i think that tells you just how much a focus we've got on growth in our economy. so the levers of tax and spend are not the only two levers for government. there is growth. and we are going for growth, and we've got serious backing for that . backing for that. >> so keir starmer clearly not wanting to answer that question directly. and you asked martin whether over the course of the rest of the election campaign , rest of the election campaign, we might get a clearer answer from the man who is surely going to be our next prime minister. the answer, i think, is probably not. keir starmer can see that his route to downing street couldn't be clearer at the moment. the last thing that he wants to do is upset the apple cart by announcing a surprise tax raise, possibly on the sort of middle class people whose votes he is very much trying to take now from the conservatives. so if he can possibly stay quiet on the issue of exactly which

taxes will be raised under a new labour government, i think that he will. it is possible that the pressure gets just too much for him, but he's looking and sounding pretty happy at the moment . he sounds like a sounding pretty happy at the moment. he sounds like a man with confidence, a man who knows what he's doing and where he's going. and personally, i don't think he's going to let that pressure get to him . pressure get to him. >> olivia utley on the battle bus with the labour party , you bus with the labour party, you did your damnedest to try and get mr starmer to speak . and of get mr starmer to speak. and of course he didn't. it's his election to lose . i suspect election to lose. i suspect you're right. he'll stay tight upped you're right. he'll stay tight lipped until july the fifth at least. olivia utley, thank you very much for joining least. olivia utley, thank you very much forjoining us. absolute pleasure. now, now, the snp launched its manifesto today. and of course, independence was front and centre as you'd expect. now, first minister john swinney says independence would help scotland become a fairer country with a more prosperous economy. more prosperous economy. >> more prosperous economy. >> we will always put the interests of people in scotland first, wherever our people were born, wherever our people have come from and at the very heart of our beliefs is the principle

that decisions about scotland should be made by the people who live in scotland. why? for the simple reason that no one else cares as much about this wonderful country, and no one else will do a better job wonderful country, and no one else will do a betterjob of else will do a better job of taking care of it now and in the future than the people who live here. it is through independence, therefore, that we believe we can build a fairer country and the more prosperous economy we know is possible, not independence for its own sake, independence for its own sake, independence for its own sake, independence for the powers to protect our national health service and to help people through tough times. independence for a stronger economy and happier, healthier lives and independence for a better future for scotland . made better future for scotland. made in scotland, for scotland . in scotland, for scotland. >> well, for more on the snp, i'm now joined by lewis mckenzie, who's a political reporter at the scottish sun. welcome to the show , lewis. so welcome to the show, lewis. so north of the border, we're expecting big poll to drop this

afternoon. were not expecting there to be much good news in those polls for the snp . those polls for the snp. nevertheless, john swinney, putting on a brave face, bring us up to speed. >> yeah, well , us up to speed. >> yeah, well, as you us up to speed. >> yeah, well , as you say, the >> yeah, well, as you say, the snp launched their manifesto today. >> independence, very much front and centre of that. it was a on page one, as had been promised by humza yousaf when he was first minister earlier this yean first minister earlier this year, so that sort of forced john swinney to put it there because i think if you hadn't, people would have seen that as the snp pulling back from their independence pledge, which is obviously the core message, and they need to drill that home to their sort of loyal supporters who want independence. and so it had to be in there. but it was a light manifesto, to say the least. that was only 32 pages. and a lot of those things they mentioned in the document are more just calls for what they want. uk government a potential

future uk government to do, rather than things that they can actually implement themselves at holyrood . holyrood. >> do you think lewis now, though, were simply at that time north of the border, the same as we are down in westminster ? and we are down in westminster? and thatis we are down in westminster? and that is people just want change and all eyes seem to be on the indication that the labour party will become the biggest party north of the border in scotland, andifs north of the border in scotland, and it's looking pretty bleak for the snp . for the snp. >> that certainly seems, how it is. martin i mean, i think you can see the change in the sort of attack lines that the snp are taking. it used to be always about the tories targeted towards boris johnson when he was prime minister, liz truss rishi sunak. but during this election all focus has really been on and labour, because people are looking at the polls and they see the massive majority that labour looks like it will get. so the snp are really turning fire on labour. they're trying to say that labour will lead to a lot of cuts and only they can. only the snp can for stand up scotland,

is what they are sort of claiming and trying to really push that narrative. so, yeah, very much what you say . push that narrative. so, yeah, very much what you say. snp are really turning their strategy towards attacking labour and trying to get as much support as they can because it does look like the labour could overtake the snp as the largest country in scotland, which would be, a real upsurge in fortunes for laboun real upsurge in fortunes for labour. after they were reduced to just one mp in scotland in 2015 and also in 2019 as well. >> and that will no doubt put dreams of independence on a back burner. lewis mackenzie looks like it's going to be grim reading this afternoon when these polls drop for john swinney and the snp, but at least they can look forward to the football later on. only joking that looks pretty grim . joking that looks pretty grim. earlier, lewis mckenzie, a political reporter at the scottish sun . thank you very scottish sun. thank you very much for joining scottish sun. thank you very much forjoining us. thanks for much for joining us. thanks for your time . now, the snp, john your time. now, the snp, john swinney, will no doubt be glued to the tally tonight, as i said, because scotland are playing at

switzerland, they're playing switzerland, they're playing switzerland at euro 2024 and they can't afford to lose it, lose this and they're on the plane home. i'm martin daubney on gb news, britain's news channel

now, don't miss a special edition of state of the nafion special edition of state of the nation with michael portillo. tonight at 8 pm. right here. live on gb news. now, looking ahead, it's a it's a huge night for scotland at euro 2024 after they were mullered five one by germany last friday. they could be knocked out tonight if they lose to an on form switzerland. a draw would keep their hopes just about alive, but that wouldn't be enough for scotland manager steve clarke to go into

the game and think you only need a point. >> it's dangerous. we go there , >> it's dangerous. we go there, we go there to win. we go there to be as positive as we can and then we see, we see where that takes us. like i said, it's more about making sure we perform as well as we can play. and if we do that, then i'm pretty confident we'll get something from the game. obviously, they want to go back to the pitch and play want to go back to the pitch and play better. >> so that's i think that's pretty standard when you when you're when you play so poorly and you let yourself down, you want to go out and make amends. so that's, that's where their mentality is now. >> 4g there has been some trouble among fans in germany, but scotland fans have behaved impeccably, and two members of the tartan army did their good deed for the day here, as you can see on screen. look at that. it's a wonderful sight. they use an umbrella to shelter an elderly lady from the rain in cologne. again, they're their kilts soaking wet, but look at them walking along two fine

gentlemen protecting that old lady in cologne. well done to you, lads. and seriously, good luck to scotland tonight. now it also looks like reform uk leader nigel farage has got plenty of fans among the tens of thousands of england supporters who are overin of england supporters who are over in germany. look at this. look closely in there. you can see a photo on social media shows around 20 england fans wearing nigel farage masks while holding a union flag with the message stop the boats . they've message stop the boats. they've taken their political message over there to germany. look at all those nigel farage masks. absolutely wondrous. now then, we've got loads of emails. hundreds of yours actually, in so far. i want to go through a couple before the end of this houn couple before the end of this hour. and there's one topic that's really , really, really that's really, really, really got your goat, and it's the desecration of stonehenge by just stop oil activists , as we just stop oil activists, as we have some footage of them spraying orange paint. of course , it's the summer solstice on

the 21st in two days time. so they have tried to literally mark that moment ahead of it and look at that tourist there, yanking that activist away, whoever that is , i'd like to buy whoever that is, i'd like to buy them a bottle of whatever it is they drink. absolutely magnificent stuff. here's a quick email from phillips stonehenge . this is not a stonehenge. this is not a protest. it's wilful damage. it's trespass. but due to a weak judiciary, this is the result of weak policing. gavin says this now it's time for the police, government, judges and the pubuc government, judges and the public to now just stop oil. this is a step too far. this is cultural vandalism, pauline. it's about time to make arrests and get in there. and with a judge with the gumption to hand out proper sentences , this needs out proper sentences, this needs to be stamped out. and another viewer says it goes to show just how much they really care about the planet when they vandalise stone age monuments of an era when oil wasn't even used. they are totally warped in their heads. are totally warped in their heads . now are totally warped in their heads. now we'll have a full

reaction to that. we're getting a reporter down there for full reaction. he's on his way there as we speak now. it promises to be another miserable day for rishi sunak, and later this afternoon , we'll bring you news afternoon, we'll bring you news of a huge new opinion poll that's widely expected to correctly predict a massive defeat for the conservative party. we'll have full analysis on that. what will be the size of the supermajority? will the reform party break through? will the liberal democrats overcome their clegg problem? i'm martin daubney on gb news, britain's news channel but before all that, it's time for your weather andifs that, it's time for your weather and it's aidan mcgivern. >> a brighter outlook with boxt solar sponsors of weather on . gb news. >> hi there. time for the met office weather forecast for gb news. it's a fine summer's day out there for many of us. warm, sunny spells, although not entirely sunny, there is some cloud around and there'll be some thicker cloud arriving into

the north and northwest of scotland later. because of this weakening weather front, it's running into a large ridge of high pressure, which keeps things settled for the vast majority and much of the cloud actually disappears through the evening, leading to lengthy , evening, leading to lengthy, clear spells for england, wales, southern scotland, northern ireland, central and northern scotland sees the cloud thicken for a time and some outbreaks of mostly light rain arrive into parts of northern ireland and western scotland. the breeze picks up here as well, but elsewhere light winds, clear skies, temperatures in some sheltered spots down to 4 or 5 celsius. first thing thursday. however, that's where the best of the sunshine will be across much of england and wales. hazy sunshine in places because of a veil of high cloud , but blue veil of high cloud, but blue skies for many others and warming up quickly through the morning as well. northern ireland a cloudier picture as we begin things. likewise for the central belt. a few spots of light rain here. northern scotland , meanwhile, sees the scotland, meanwhile, sees the cloud clearing overnight and

sunshine returning here by the middle of the morning . through middle of the morning. through the morning there will be some thicker cloud at times for northern ireland and western scotland, perhaps giving the odd light or drizzly shower, but otherwise for the vast majority it is another fine summer's day. the cloud will build somewhat across parts of wales into the midlands, for example, odd light shower possible where this happens, but for most it's sunny spells and highs of 23 or 24 celsius. now there will be a cluster of showers across the continent that could just affect the far southeast through the evening , but they'll move away. evening, but they'll move away. and then it's a clear night and another fine day on friday, although there will be some showery rain pushing into the west later. and those showers will cross the country on saturday. >> that warm feeling inside from boxt boilers sponsors of weather on

gb news. >> a very, very good afternoon to you. it's 4 pm. and welcome to you. it's 4 pm. and welcome to the martin daubney show on gb news. broadcasting live from the heart of westminster all across the uk. we've got some breaking news for you, because in the last few seconds, a major new opinion poll has come out and it's predicted that rishi sunak is going to lead the conservatives to their worst general election defeat in over a century . but general election defeat in over a century. but it's great general election defeat in over a century . but it's great news a century. but it's great news for sir keir starmer, though the poll says labour are on course for a 162 seats majority, the very best analysis is coming up with our political editor, chris hope, in just a few minutes time and moving on more bad news for the prime minister. as more than 800 immigrants arrived in the uk after crossing the channel yesterday. and that's a new record for 2024. it means well over 40,000 have made the

journey since rishi sunak became prime minister, despite promising to stop the boats and just stop oil are sparked fresh global outrage this time after their activists sprayed stonehenge, a world heritage site. bright orange. is this cultural desecration a step too far even for these eco wallies? well, gb news will be live from the sacred site, and that's all coming up in your next hour. went to the show and as i said, that opinion poll has just landed. it's an apocalyptic vision for the conservative gives. look through your fingers. if you're a conservative supporter , if conservative supporter, if labour party supporters will be dancing with glee. but what about the smaller parties? we'll have full analysis coming up with chris hope will be drilling into the numbers and painting what this means for great britain post july the fourth.

and another one is due later in the show to another opinion poll. it's a day when the nation will decide on these polls. they're pretty darn accurate. get in touch all the usual ways. gbnews.com/yoursay. but before all of that, before we get stuck in your headlines and it's polly middlehurst. >> martin, thanks very much indeed. well, we begin this bulletin with some breaking news. >> a teenager has been jailed for a minimum of 16 years for the murder of 17 year old charlie cosser at a party in west sussex last year. >> the 17 year old, who murdered charlie cosser on a crowded dance floor at a summer party, can be named for the first time as europol bruce. charlie cosser, who was 17, was stabbed three times in the chest in a marquee in the grounds of a farmhouse at the party in july 2023. barry bruce, who was 16 at the time, was found guilty of murder at brighton crown court.

meanwhile, the jury in the trial of constance marten and mark gordon has been discharged after they failed to reach verdicts on charges over the death of the couple's newborn child . the 50 couple's newborn child. the 50 year old and 37 year old parents both deny being involved in the death of their baby daughter, victoria , who was found dead on victoria, who was found dead on an allotment near brighton last yeah an allotment near brighton last year. the couple were arrested following a high profile police manhunt after over 72 hours of deliberation. seven jurors were unable to agree on a verdict, which means they may face a retrial . now. a former fujitsu retrial. now. a former fujitsu boss has denied any responsibility for the horizon scandal because he says he was never made aware of problems with the software. richard christou told the inquiry he felt aggrieved after initially believing the horizon system was one of the company's major successes. he was chief executive of the company between 2000 and 2004, and says he

always regarded the post office as a satisfied customer more than 700 subpostmasters were prosecuted by the post office and handed criminal convictions between 1999 and 2015. after fujitsu's faulty system made it appear as if money was missing from their branches . now the from their branches. now the economy and for the first time in nearly three years, inflation has fallen to the bank of england's 2% target. that's boosted hopes of an interest rate cut in the coming months. most analysts were forecasting the drop, which is down from 2.3% in april. the chancellor , 2.3% in april. the chancellor, jeremy hunt, said it's great news but claims inflation could rise again if labour wins the general election. a year and a half ago we had higher inflation than nearly any other major economy. >> today it is lower and that shows the difficult decisions we've taken have paid off. that would not have happened under laboun would not have happened under labour. they refused to condemn the public sector pay strikes

that would have meant higher inflation for longer. instead we have lower inflation, taxes starting to come down and hopefully now mortgages starting to come down. it would be a terrible shame if we turn the clock back and put up taxes for every family with savings , which every family with savings, which is what it now emerges. keir starmer plans to do jeremy hunt speaking there well, labour's shadow chancellor rachel reeves is warning the cost of living crisis isn't over and prices are still going up. >> price rises have been very severe in the last few years. the cost of the weekly food shop up almost 30% since the last general election . people looking general election. people looking to remortgage this year paying more than £200 a month more on their mortgage because of the conservatives mini—budget. less than two years ago that crashed the economy and sent mortgage rates soaring . so the rates soaring. so the conservatives might want to say everything's okay, but i know for many people right across our

country, there's still struggling. >> i've got another little bit of breaking news for you. a very distressing stories just come into us from the west midlands. we understand a baby girl has been killed by a pet dog in coventry . that's according to coventry. that's according to west midlands police. she was seven months old. she was rushed to hospital. we understand, after being bitten on the head dunng after being bitten on the head during the attack, which happened on sunday. but we understand she died shortly afterwards from her injuries, according to police, the dog was not classed as a dangerous breed but has since been put down, so a seven month old rushed to hospital after being bitten on the head during an attack by a dog on sunday and has died after . as the dog has been put down. now the scottish national party is promising another independence referendum to fight for an end to austerity and, they say, to rejoin the european union. launching their manifesto, the leader , john

manifesto, the leader, john swinney, says he also wants to see an end to the two child benefit cap. scottish labour criticised the first minister, saying he's woefully out of touch. saying he's woefully out of touch . well elsewhere. let me touch. well elsewhere. let me tell you about george galloway, who's pitched himself as the antidote to both labour and reform uk in the general election as he launched his workers party manifesto. he says he wants a referendum on the transition to net zero and he's promised to scrap the ulez . promised to scrap the ulez. well, the labour leader, sir keir starmer, has called just stop oil pathetic after activists from the group targeted the ancient site at stonehenge. video posted online shows two campaigners, both now arrested, running towards the monument and throwing orange powder paint all over it. rishi sunak also called it a disgraceful act of vandalism . disgraceful act of vandalism. the demonstration comes ahead of the expected arrival of thousands of visitors to the scene in wiltshire for the summer solstice. tomorrow we

will let you know of course, what happens in terms of police follow up to that. if you're watching on television, we can show you those pictures once again of those protesters being valiantly pulled back by what appears to be members of the pubuc appears to be members of the public trying to stop them vandalising those ancient , vandalising those ancient, pieces of stone that are placed in a circle in wiltshire that are going to be the scene of some of the solstice celebrations tomorrow. we do know that those two people in the centre of the screen, now that are holding those canisters full of paint, have been arrested. let's bring you up to date with events in france where campaigning is underway . after campaigning is underway. after president macron's surprise call for snap elections. jordan bardella, who's president of the national rally party, says if elected, he'd back ukraine, but he wouldn't supply it with any long—range weapons. mr bardella, who's 28, shares leadership of the party with marine le pen and is widely expected to become

prime minister if the national rally party wins on the 7th of july. that's the news for the latest stories , do sign up to gb latest stories, do sign up to gb news alerts. scan the qr code on your screen or go to gb news. common gert's royals . common gert's royals. >> thank you polly. now in a moment , i'll >> thank you polly. now in a moment, i'll talk about the brand new opinion poll that's predicted the tories will suffer their worst general election defeat in over a century. but first, let's go now to belfast, where sinn fein are launching their manifesto . their manifesto. >> thank you very much. that's a flavour of some of our manifesto and also would like to welcome our other candidates from across the constituencies who are with us here today. >> i'd like to welcome members of the media who have joined us and myself and mary lou are now happy to answer a few questions. if you have them. and can i ask

you? >> you're obviously a lot of come in here from across the chim chim cher—ee son heung—min 14 of these teams. ipsis is this a lack of ambition, a strategy ? a lack of ambition, a strategy? why do you got in this election ? why do you got in this election? >> if you take the hard ones, i'll take the easy ones . i'll take the easy ones. >> i'm the brains of the operation here, tracy, in case you hadn't noticed , is far from you hadn't noticed, is far from us. we have. we currently hold seven seats. we are aiming to consolidate our position across all of those constituencies. and let me say, we say that with humility. we take no nobody's for vote granted, we also are looking to build our vote elsewhere. and then, crucially, tracy , we want this election to tracy, we want this election to be a good news story for the sinn fein mandate, but also for a mandate for progressive , a mandate for progressive, progressive mps across the board . you see, i think if you were to ask yourself what's been the theme or the great step forward

for politics in ireland, but here in the north of ireland in particular, in recent years, it has been that idea of working together and working for all and sinn fein has committed ourselves to representing communities right across the country to do it in a in an inclusive and a progressive way . inclusive and a progressive way. so we want strong mandates for each of our candidates , strong each of our candidates, strong republican mandate from this part of ireland . republican mandate from this part of ireland. but republican mandate from this part of ireland . but but we are part of ireland. but but we are also hopeful that northern society will send a strong message for strong leadership, for positive change and for progress . freedom from this progress. freedom from this manifest of all the positive changes, everything in opposition nora forster as before, direction from this part of the world, the republic 17 years ago and my humble beau biden pardon me, white house for

that change. well, i beg to differ. i think the change that's happened in northern society has been absolutely immense, and i am very proud that sinn fein and republicans have been not alone at the heart of that , but in so many cases of that, but in so many cases have driven that with great courage and with great ambition. i think if you look no further than the re—establishment of the executive in february last, and our colleague michelle o'neill coming to the office as a first minister for all, if you observe how she and colleagues in the executive, including conor and our finance minister , kev our finance minister, kev archibald, how they have worked so diligently , for everybody, so diligently, for everybody, i think that is a story of change andifs think that is a story of change and it's a story of delivery. i will not pretend for a moment that it will not pretend for a moment thatitis will not pretend for a moment that it is not problematic, that we do not have the full range of fiscal powers vested in belfast . fiscal powers vested in belfast. that's a problem. i don't pretend for a moment that it's not hugely problematic, that tory austerity has hit this

place so badly, and that to this day the british government underfund and they are aware that they are underfunding the north of ireland, of course, those are challenges and we need to united front to confront that, part mission, you know, is bad for your health. partition has been bad for the economic prospects of this part of ireland . nobody knows that ireland. nobody knows that better than us. but have my colleagues worked hard? have they delivered? they absolutely have. and i'll tell you another thing. very often they've delivered against the odds. they've delivered in very, very trying circumstances . so i look trying circumstances. so i look forward after this election to having a strong team of sinn fein mps working with the rest of us right across the island of ireland , working internationally ireland, working internationally as well to do the right things and to continue bringing about the right change for ireland and for the north of ireland. and i am very sure that we can, that we can do it. our big task, in

our opinion and this is a collective responsibility right across the political system here, is to confront tory austerity and any potential for an ongoing austerity agenda coming from london. there will be a change of government, across the water. and with that change of government has to come a step change in how the north is funded. and we will work with everybody and we will stand absolutely, resolutely to make sure that health, that education are funded properly, that our young people have the chance that they deserve. here the child care is available to people that are infrastructure is built out and that we hold the british government and indeed the government in dublin to account in terms of delivery of key infrastructure. i'm thinking in particular of casement park, but also of the a5 .

a5. >> and that was sinn fein leader mary lou mcdonald launching the manifesto in belfast. the party, under a huge amount of pressure after some very disappointing results at the local and european elections in june. favour thought to be widely out of step with the population on the topic, particularly of immigration. so all eyes on on northern ireland. but now let's move on to the story that i broke at the top of the hour. and it's more terrible for news prime minister rishi sunak, because a new comprehensive opinion poll has predicted that the tories will suffer their worst general election defeat in over a century. it also says that labour is on course to win a 162 seat majority in 16 days time . well, let's take a look at time. well, let's take a look at the big mlp poll that was done by more in common and the newsagents. it has labour winning one 406 seats. it also puts the conservatives on just 155 seats. and it says jeremy hunt and grant shapps will be among the senior ministers who

will lose their seats. now the poll also predicts a major comeback for the liberal democrats , who it says will pick democrats, who it says will pick up 49 seats. and by contrast, the scottish national party is forecast to have a very bad night indeed , winning just 18 night indeed, winning just 18 seats. it also gives plaid cymru two seats and the green party one seat. now interestingly, it says that reform uk will not win a single seat. now let's get some instant reaction with our political editor, chris hope, who joins me in the studio. let's start, chris, with the top line. the conservative, wipe out. absolutely terrible news for prime minister rishi sunak. >> the worst result for them in modern times since 1906, a complete wipe—out in wales. lib democrats back to pre coalition levels of popularity, i just wonder though, look at these numbers. a majority of 162. so not as not as good for labour as the landslide that tony blair

got in 1997. they might even take that right now because there are some polls which are much worse . this actually, much worse. this actually, bizarrely, bizarrely, is better than expected for the tory party, despite the fact that they are , you know, labour have they are, you know, labour have 162 seat majority, zero seats for reform. not even the seven seats which we had a bookie 1 to 5 giving , seats which we had a bookie 1 to 5 giving, nigel farage a chance to win his seat. that's not going to happen. according to this, this poll, i should say caveats. of course , all caveats caveats. of course, all caveats with these big polls. this is an mrp poll, a very big poll covering going down, down to seat, seat level , there are 96 seat, seat level, there are 96 marginal seats here where they are, where the tories are within five points of winning the seat . five points of winning the seat. so it could be, that the, that the tories get 203 mps rather than 155. equally, they could get as few as 107 seats if reforms carries on its surge in the polls. we've seen elsewhere other big names to go . you

other big names to go. you mentioned jeremy hunt grant shapps, alex chalk, chalk , the shapps, alex chalk, chalk, the justice secretary, mark harper, the transport secretary david tc davies, who's the welsh secretary, lib dems also, i should say, gain heavily in the home counties, oxford, surrey in west south west somerset, snp a bad night for them, according to the poll, as they're down to 18 mps, labour on 33 and just finally the vote share quite important to talk about this 44% for the labour party, 28 for the tories. so actually better than they are doing at the polls at they are doing at the polls at the moment, 28, 11% for lib dems and reform shrunk back to 8. greens, 5% snp of course, a scottish party 3. so very, very bad . but this is scottish party 3. so very, very bad. but this is better scottish party 3. so very, very bad . but this is better than we bad. but this is better than we thought, given other mrp polls. and no, i mean again, yes, again. let's go back to this poll. this election wasn't forced , at gunpoint on the prime forced, at gunpoint on the prime minister. he called the election voluntarily. he it happened, he called it. and it's going to be

one of the one of the worst gambles with his his own, reputation and his party's future, i think, for his sunak for ever taken by a party leader in modern history. if this happens. >> and yet, as you rightly point out, 155 seats, actually a lot of conservatives would brace themselves for far worse. talking about the bookies , i'll talking about the bookies, i'll speak to the bookie earlier. the best price at the moment is less than 100 seats, and the second best price is less than is 72 or lower. so an actual fact this wipe—out might be seen as a good news. wipe—out and interestingly, chris has one more point the number of swing seats there, which can hugely vary. the number of conservative seats , it could go to 203 as seats, it could go to 203 as opposed to 155, a swing of some 70 odd. those are the seats where the reform party could be kingmakers . so this zero seats kingmakers. so this zero seats reform still could be up in the air if the swingometer is so big in so quite easy and there are loads of undecideds. >> i was talking to a senior adviser for the liberal

democrats this week. they said that they think 25% of the votes in the blue wall are undecided . in the blue wall are undecided. and i think people have been a bit sick of politics for a bit, and they don't want to make the decision on this one, and they're holding back. so it is all to play for in the final two weeks, and we're yet to see the impact. i think of the reform uk manifesto out on monday , but manifesto out on monday, but this this zero seat number here for reform goes back to the their problem which is lack of data. you know this martin with the brexit party. if you don't know where voters have been living how do you get them out. the big established parties, the tories , lib dems and labour, tories, lib dems and labour, they know where voters are and that data always works for them. nigel farage is aware of that. he's hoping that he's just his volume, his noise on social media and profile can get him at least one seat. >> and the interesting thing here, this could well spell the death of the scottish independence dream. if this comes through the snp withering away, labour being the biggest party north of the border, surely independence will now just be put on the back burner for at least ten years. well at

least you'd have thought so, given the scale of this in scotland. >> i do know people do vote tactically for the union. so you vote for the strongest union party against the nationalists. so that might be the case. i should say this is a downer. on a day started quite well for the prime minister, inflation dead down at 2. quite pleased with that. and he had hoped, i'm sure , when he's planning his election campaign before he told us about it, that today would have been the start of the final push towards election day. buoyed by that, that really good news that we are down to 2% inflation price is still going up inflation price is still going ”p by inflation price is still going up by a by a lot less than previously thought. >> previously they were on those storm clouds that opened on general election announcement. they still hanging over the prime minister and the conservative party chris there's another big poll dropping at 5:00 is there. >> yes. and at 430 elsewhere, i'll bring it to bring you straight to this chat as soon as i get it, i think. 4:30 pm. a telegraph poll, we think, and 5 pm. a big one, over on sky news. we'll bring that as soon as we get it. >> chris. hope it's judgement day on poland. thank you very much. excellent stuff as ever.

stay tuned for all of that coming in the rest of the show. but before all of that, it's now time for the great british giveaway and your chance to make this summer really special. with over £16,000 worth of prizes up for grabs. and that's 15 grand tax free cash and a whole host of treats on top. now you've got to be in it to win it and here's all the details that you need to enter. >> there's still time to win our summer spectacular with an incredible trio of treats, and you could win them first. there's a fabulous £15,000 in tax free cash to ensure this summer is special. what would you spend that on next? you'll also receive the latest iphone 15 and a set of apple airpods. and finally, £500 to spend at your favourite uk attraction for another chance to win the iphone treats and £15,000 cash text win to 63232. text cost £2 plus one standard network rate message . standard network rate message. you can also enter online at gbnews.com/win . an entries cost

gbnews.com/win. an entries cost £2 or post your name and number two gb zero six p.o £2 or post your name and number two gb zero six po box 8690 derby de19 double t uk. only entrants must be 18 or over. lines close at 5 pm. on the 28th of june. please check the closing time if listening or watching on demand. good luck . watching on demand. good luck. >> chris hope just joking. there was that ed davey on the roller coaster, but on a more serious note, a record 882 migrants crossed the channel illegally yesterday . they. can anything be yesterday. they. can anything be done to stop this outrage? will he ever stop the boats? i'm martin daubney on gb news, britain's

welcome back to poaching for 27. i'm martin daubney, and this is gb news. now to another massive blow to rishi sunak's pledge to

stop the boats. because a record 882 people crossed the channel illegally yesterday. and that's the biggest daily total so far this year, as revealed exclusively by gb news. now, the total number of illegal migrants who have crossed so far this year now stands at a staggering 12,287, and that's a 17% increase from the same period. this time last year. now, to discuss this, i'm joined by the immigration lawyer , paul turner. immigration lawyer, paul turner. paul immigration lawyer, paul turner. paul, welcome to the show . so it paul, welcome to the show. so it never rains but it pours. rishi sunak two weeks from election day. this is the last thing he would have wanted. an extraordinary glut of illegal immigrants coming over the channel can we ever hope to stop the boat ? the boat? >> well, i was thinking about that. >> martin and i did think that if the home office implemented a proper system, they had received proper system, they had received proper investment, they would be able to process the claims and

then return people to where they'd come from. >> but i was looking at the figures in a bit more detail today, and it's quite disturbing. >> the majority of the people, about 75, come from countries such as afghanistan, syria, sudan , iran and libya. sudan, iran and libya. >> now the fact is, we do not return anybody to those countries for good reasons given the state of them. so if they get here, they are not going anywhere. and so i think looking at it, the only way this is going to stop is if there's some agreement reached with the french and an effective policing of the channel. it's simply not enough to say, well, as i would have said, we can just invest in the home office. they'll process the home office. they'll process the claims, because if they do, it's likely that these people will be granted refugee status . will be granted refugee status. >> well, there's a couple of points to pick up on there. paul the first one being, of course, a lot of those coming over the channel a lot of those coming over the channel, we know through their documents in the channel. so we have to take their word of which

country they're coming from. that's the first point. how do we prove that the burden of proof is massively in favour of those claiming to be from a war torn country? let's not forget they've left france , which isn't they've left france, which isn't a war torn country. they're in a safe country. but on the topic of returns , do you think that of returns, do you think that what we're looking at from the labour party, this promise to go downstream, to smash the gangs, to work with the french , to work to work with the french, to work with the european union? paul turner, we've heard all of this before and we do all of that now . in your opinion, paul turner, are things going to get any better if we have a change of government under keir starmer ? government under keir starmer? or will things, as many people suspect they could get worse , i suspect they could get worse, i think if the good weather continues, it's going to get worse, and that's obviously beyond anyone's control as to a change of government, i think my concern is that, everybody has been making noises. i've been doing this for 25 years, and everybody talks tough on

migration , but doesn't act. migration, but doesn't act. people in the profession would give their opinions as to what can be done and what would be effective. but everybody but it's never really implemented. and then what's happened is that as things have ebbed and flowed , as things have ebbed and flowed, migrants come and migrants go and whoever's in government just seems to be there handing out the documents. it really is a lamentable state of affairs. in 2000 and 2002, touching upon the point you touched on earlier, martin, which is we had a vast number of kosovans turning up, and there was indeed a war or trouble in kosovo. it turns out, 15, 20 years later, that a huge number of them were actually albanian, and they speak the same language , the agents would same language, the agents would tell them to say that they're from kosovo . and then this is from kosovo. and then this is where the home office are culpable. they never bothered to investigate. they didn't ask where they were from, who their families were. 20 years later, the home office is working hand in glove with the albanian government and their identifying

the people. sadly, these people are now settled and probably british citizens and haven't committed any crime and therefore they face an upset. but the real issue is, is that the government had the opportunity in 99, 2000, 2001 and two. to actually stop them actually getting status and return them. so it's going to be very tricky. and i think that, i don't think i think it will get worse over the summer. and it's certainly going to be a headache for the new government when they arrive . arrive. >> okay. well, we might see a new government with the same old problems. thanks for your insight. fascinating, if slightly depressing , immigration slightly depressing, immigration lawyer paul turner, thank you very much for joining lawyer paul turner, thank you very much forjoining us on the very much for joining us on the show. now, there's loads more still to come between now and 5:00. but first, it's time for your latest news headlines with polly middlehurst. >> the headlines this hour a teenager has been jailed for a minimum of 16 years for the murder of a 17 year old at a party in west sussex last year.

europe. very bruce hughes, 17, stabbed charlie cossa in the chest on a crowded dance floor. more than 100 people were at the party in the grounds of a farmhouse when the attack took place. also in the news today , place. also in the news today, the jury and the trial of constance marten and mark gordon has failed to reach a verdict on charges related to the death of the couple's newborn child. the baby was found on an allotment near brighton last year following a high profile police search and a former fujitsu boss has denied any responsibility for the horizon scandal because, he said he was never made aware of problems with the software. richard christwho, who was chief executive between 2000 and 2004, told the inquiry technical faults were never raised with him and he regarded the post office as a satisfied customer and two just stop oil protesters have been arrested after spraying orange powder paint on stonehenge. video posted online

shows members of the public trying to prevent the vandalism. the prime minister called it disgraceful and the labour leader branded the group pathetic . and prince william has pathetic. and prince william has joined the queen in the royal procession on day two of royal ascot today . her majesty led the ascot today. her majesty led the way in berkshire with the duke and duchess of edinburgh, who are celebrating their 25th wedding anniversary. among those waiting to greet them. that's the latest headlines for the latest stories, do sign up to gb news alerts. scan the qr code on your screen or go to gb news. common alerts . common alerts. >> thank you very much, polly. now, in a few minutes time, we'll cross over to our reporter at stonehenge. after just stop oil shocking antics and also that big opinion poll on the election landing from the telegraph. full details on that . telegraph. full details on that. but first, there's a new way to get in touch with us here @gbnews. and here's bev turner

with all the details. >> we are proud to be gb news the people's channel. and as you know, we always love to hear your views. now there's a new way of getting in touch with us at gbnews.com/yoursay by commenting, you can be part of a live conversation and join our gb news community. you can even talk to me bev turner, or any of the members of the news family. simply go to gbnews.com/yoursay

>> this is gb news. and we are britain's election channel. >> this vote may seem to be about the politicians in the media, but it's actually about you. >> and we won't ever forget that. >> join us up and down the country as we follow every moment together. now more than even moment together. now more than ever, it's important to hear all sides as you make your decision ahead of polling day. >> we're here for you. >> we're here for you. >> this is gb news, the people's channel >> this is gb news, the people's channel, britain's election .

channel. >> welcome back. your time is 438. i'm martin daubney. this is gb news. now at the top of the show, we broke the news that a major new opinion poll says the conservatives will suffer their worst general election defeat for over a century. but there was one bit of good news for rishi sunak today. inflation is back down at the bank of england's target of 2% for the first time since july 2021, and chancellor jeremy first time since july 2021, and chancellorjeremy hunt says that chancellor jeremy hunt says that would never have happened and the labour party a year and a half ago, we had higher inflation than nearly any other major economy. >> today it is lower and that shows the difficult decisions we've taken have paid off. that would not have happened under laboun would not have happened under labour. they refused to condemn the public sector pay strikes. that would have meant higher inflation for longer. instead, we have lower inflation taxes starting to come down and hopefully now mortgages starting

to come down. it would be a terrible shame if we turn the clock back and put up taxes for every family with savings, which is what it now emerges. keir starmer plans to do . starmer plans to do. >> but shadow chancellor rachel reeves says people are still struggling and the tories are the ones who are to blame. >> well, i'm still really struggling because although inflation is back at target and thatis inflation is back at target and that is welcome, of course, it doesn't mean that any of those price rises have been undone. price rises have been very severe in the last few years . severe in the last few years. the cost of the weekly food shop up almost 30% since the last general election. people looking to remortgage this year paying more than £200 a month more on their mortgage because of the conservatives mini—budget. less than two years ago that crashed the economy and sent mortgage rates soaring . so the rates soaring. so the conservatives might want to say everything's okay, but i know for many people right across our country, there's still struggling .

struggling. >> and the liberal democrats responded to today's inflation figures by saying that despite the drop to 2, voters will not be feeling any better off. and the party's spokesperson for health, wellbeing and social care, daisy cooper blast, did the conservatives economic record and described her party's vision for health care. >> well, the hard truth is that for millions of people, they're not going to be feeling better off today. and food prices are 25% higher than they were just two years ago. and of course, the average mortgage holder is seeing their mortgage go up by £3,000. >> so of course we welcome any improvements in the economy. >> but millions of people will not be feeling any benefit from that as a result of years of conservative economic mismanagement. >> well, liberal democrats have pledged £9 billion additional investment every single year in our health and social care and with that particular amount of money, we said that we'll invest in fixing problems in the nhs and social care system upstream. so we'll make sure that people can see a gp within seven days, that we boost gp numbers by

8000. >> we'll fix the crisis in dentistry, we'll offer free personal care to every older personal care to every older person and disabled adult who needs it. >> with our plans and our additional investment, we could transform our health and social care services . care services. >> now we've got a huge amount of emails your say has been sent into the show so far. let's go through a few of those now on the topic of this conservative opinion poll shows them being wiped out for the first. the worst performance in a century . worst performance in a century. beverly says this for the life of me, martin, i cannot fathom rishi sunak's election timing by now, he could have seen a drop in inflation. in fact, we've seen that today. beverly. a possible interest rate drop and also get the first flights to rwanda . for the life of me, rwanda. for the life of me, i cannot understand what rishi sunak was thinking by announcing this snap election. it seems the conservatives have simply shot themselves in the foot. great point there. beverly lass adds

this i had a tory leaflet through my door. we will stop the boats, it said. well they haven't. we'll protect your local green spaces . it said, local green spaces. it said, well they didn't. 50 football pitches of warehouses. they said they will guarantee the hospital. what does that even mean? they stood around while departments have closed. it's been utter waffle and spin covering up for every for conservative a year. so les, they're not at all happy with what's been happening locally. and beverly not at all happy about what's been happening nationally or indeed the timing . nationally or indeed the timing. now, on the topic of small boat arrivals, we announced exclusively on gb news 882 yesterday the single biggest tally of the year, a record amount 17% year on year. despite that key pledge from rishi sunak, one of his five pledges to stop the boats, steve says this more illegals arriving each and every day than there are mps in parliament, and both of them

cost us millions of pounds and both of them henri paul use to us. steve saying it as he sees it there and also we've got jeff moody, our reporter, on his way to stonehenge , as you recall. we to stonehenge, as you recall. we can show some footage now. i think of stonehenge being desecrated by just stop oil protesters. we've had hundreds and hundreds of comments on this. read out quick for you. now, neil says this. they've got to slap on the wrist and they'll go straight back to doing what they do. this is lawless britain under this conservative mob. we never stood up to them. and this is the consequence . and david is the consequence. and david says this, this is utterly shocking . this needs to be shocking. this needs to be stopped right now. paul scott, as this this is one of the most sacred sites in the country, if not the world. these people need five years in chokey immediately . now it's been a it's a huge night for scotland's football team. of course, they're playing switzerland at euro 2024 and

they cannot afford to lose it. or they'll be on the flight home nursing a wooden spoon . i'm nursing a wooden spoon. i'm martin daubney on gb news, britain's news channel

>> gb news is britain's election channel. >> and when the big stories break, we're tackling them on britain's newsroom. when we disagree and we disagree a lot. even live here. the normal. >> we don't disagree that much. >> we don't disagree that much. >> we do his comedy, though , is >> we do his comedy, though, is revolting. i knew her and like you, that explains beverley turner's temperament. >> it's a bit frosty in here, isn't it? we'll have one of me one day, for dartboard practice. britain's newsroom on gb news, weekdays, 9:30 am. gb news. >> the people's channel, britain's news channel . britain's news channel. >> now, don't miss a special edition of state of the nation with michael portillo tonight at

8 pm. right here. exclusively live on gb news. now it's a massive night for scotland at euro 2024 before they play switzerland in cologne . fans switzerland in cologne. fans have been enjoying the sun. as you can see they win a world cup for boozing, wouldn't they? but after they were thrashed five one by germany last friday, the party could soon be over as they could be knocked out if they lose against the swiss tonight. now a draw would keep their hopes just about alive, but that wouldn't be good enough for scotland manager steve clarke to go into the game and think you only need a point. >> it's dangerous. we go there, we go there to win. we go there to be as positive as we can and then we see, we see where that takes us. like i said, it's more about making sure we perform as well as we can play. and if we do that, then i'm pretty confident we'll get something from the game. obviously they want to go back to the pitch and play want to go back to the pitch and play better. >> so that's i think that's pretty standard when you when you're when you play so poorly

and you let yourself down, you want to go out and make amends. so that's that's where their mentality is . mentality is. >> well let's head north of the border now. and cuts to our scotland reporter tony maguire. tony welcome to the show. you lied there in glasgow . lied there in glasgow. everything to play for. tonight's the night. the tartan army scotland must deliver or they'll be on that flight home. >> yes. good afternoon martin. i am here outside hampden stadium, the home of the scottish international side and i must say i was expecting something a little bit louder, a little more of a party atmosphere. but it's quite here. but all that tells me is that it's all hands on deck for the part , for the deck for the part, for the tartan army over in germany. as you see, it's make or break scotland really face being first in first out tonight when they face off against switzerland. and that is match of the group a is on at 8:00. now we heard them as well from steve clarke. you

know he told the reporters this week that after that five one drubbing at the hands of germany and, you know, we had to kick some backsides and give some cuddles and we're only a few hours away now from finding out whether that , love and affection whether that, love and affection has actually made any of the difference, but of course, you know, there's so much going on in scotland just now. but i took to the streets of glasgow yesterday, and i asked people pretty much what their feelings were about tonight's match. but there was a twist, you know , we there was a twist, you know, we got them to choose between scotch tablet and swiss chocolate and to see whether their inner demon , their inner their inner demon, their inner hungen their inner demon, their inner hunger, somehow betrayed her. they thought that they would win a lot of unscientific pop psychology, but the results speak for themselves. does that mean that you're both hopeful of a scotland win tomorrow night ? a scotland win tomorrow night? >> hey, it'd be good, but switzerland played well . maybe switzerland played well. maybe scotland always. >> we'll see.

>> we'll see. >> we'll see somebody sitting on the stand. sensor that. no, no, no . all right. okay. no. all right. okay. >> scotland are gonna win. they're gonna bring the euros home. get it back to scotland in you. >> well, if they keep it going, maybe they should. >> okay, maybe there's a few parallels between germany. >> optimistically . one each. go >> optimistically. one each. go for a draw , but i feel like you for a draw, but i feel like you should get a better tablet as well as that tablet. further if scotland go out early, well, you support england . support england. >> no. absolutely not. >> no. absolutely not. >> no. absolutely not. >> no chance . >> no chance. >> no chance. >> no, no they're fine though. no chance. >> well what? no no no no . >> well what? no no no no. >> well what? no no no no. >> perfect . >> perfect. >> perfect. >> so we are a family of nations . but as you can tell from those last few clips there, you know, when football comes to football, all bets are off. but as one of those citizens of glasgow said, there are no scotland, no party, and that is going to be on the

mind of every member of the tartan army over in germany tonight. >> well, tony mcguire, there's optimism and there's delusion. there's glass half full and there's what have you been drinking that young lad there who said scotland can bring the european championship home? tony mcguire, you've got to admire his optimism. but i mean, come on, mate, that guy must still believe in santa claus. tony mcguire, live there from hampden park. superb. the sun is shining on you . at least for now. thank on you. at least for now. thank you for joining on you. at least for now. thank you forjoining us. always you for joining us. always a delight to have you on the show. now that's all for this hour. but stay with me. take a deep dive into this major new poll , dive into this major new poll, which spells disaster for rishi sunak. and i'm just going through some of the top lines now. absolutely astonishing. this is the daily telegraph poll literally just being published . literally just being published. get ready for this. it predicts rishi sunak is set to lose his seat. the prime minister set to lose his seat in this telegraph poll. it gives the conservatives just 58 seats that is a popular

apocalyptic vision, a wipe out of the conservatives puts the labour party on 516 seats. that's the majority . wait for it that's the majority. wait for it of 382. now you remember the conservative majority of 80 was called a whopping majority. this is indeed, if this poll is true andifs is indeed, if this poll is true and it's quite different to the poll we covered at 4 pm. this is a super, super majority . also is a super, super majority. also has the liberal democrats on 50 seats, a resurging lib dems, and interestingly it has reform the reform party. also on zero seats. now it also says that three quarters of the conservative cabinet will be booted out at the next election . booted out at the next election. this is an astonishing poll from the telegraph. another one is expected to land at just after 5:00, so we've got two to discuss. an astonishing set of apocalyptic results here for the conservative party. we'll have

full analysis on this throughout the rest of this hour. just to repeat some of this sunak to lose his seat. 58 seats left for the conservatives 516 for the labour party, a majority of 382 seats, 50 seats predicted for ed davis, liberal democrat party surging back. no seats for the reform party. a huge amount of disgust with our political editor chris hope after this. but before all of that, here's your weather with aidan mcgivern. >> a brighter outlook with boxt solar sponsors of weather on . gb news. >> hi there, time for the met office weather forecast for gb news. it's a fine summer's day out there for many of us. warm, sunny spells. although not entirely sunny, there is some cloud around and there will be some thicker cloud arriving into the north and northwest of scotland later. because of this

weakening weather front, it's running into a large ridge of high pressure, which keeps things settled for the vast majority and much of the cloud actually disappears through the evening, leading to lengthy, clear spells for england, wales, southern scotland, northern ireland, central and northern scotland sees the cloud thicken for a time and some outbreaks of mostly light rain arrive into parts of northern ireland and western scotland. the breeze picks up here as well, but elsewhere light winds, clear skies, temperatures in some sheltered spots down to 4 or 5 celsius. first thing thursday. however, that's where the best of the sunshine will be across much of england and wales. hazy sunshine in places because of a veil of high cloud , but blue veil of high cloud, but blue skies for many others and warming up quickly through the morning as well. northern ireland a cloudier picture as we begin things. likewise for the central belt. a few spots of light rain here. northern scotland, meanwhile, sees the cloud clearing overnight and sunshine returning here by the

middle of the morning . through middle of the morning. through the morning there will be some thicker cloud at times for northern ireland and western scotland, perhaps giving the odd light or drizzly shower, but otherwise for the vast majority it is another fine summer's day. the cloud will build somewhat across parts of wales into the midlands, for example, odd light shower possible where this happens. but for most it's sunny spells and highs of 23 or 24 celsius. now there will be a cluster of showers across the continent that could just affect the far southeast through the evening, but they'll move away and then it's a clear night and another fine day on friday. although there will be some showery rain pushing into the west later. and those showers will cross the country on saturday. >> looks like things are heating up . boxt boilers sponsors of up. boxt boilers sponsors of weather

gb news. >> a very good afternoon to you. it's 5 pm. and welcome to the martin daubney show on gb news broadcasting live from the heart of westminster all across the uk . some absolutely huge breaking news just landed . a brand new news just landed. a brand new opinion poll has predicted that rishi sunak will lose his seat in the general election . and the in the general election. and the poll also predicts that labour will win 516 seats, giving them a majority of 382. and that's more. that's more than double tony blair's majority from 1997. an astonishing poll. and the very best analysis is coming up with our political editor, chris hope, in just a few minutes time . welcome to the show. and conservative voters may wish to look away now because this poll

for the daily telegraph, conducted by savanta and electoral calculus has just landed. and it's the most apocalyptic report we've seen for the conservatives since this electoral cycle began . it's an electoral cycle began. it's an absolute it's an absolute carnage for the conservative party. the electoral map is a sea of red with pockets of yellow and pockets of blue. it's an astonishing reset of the british electoral landscape. if this poll comes true, three quarters of the conservative cabinet will be wiped out. rishi sunak will lose his seat, an increase public poll. we'll have full analysis shortly. i'll be joined by chris obe in the studio for full reaction. get in touch. have your say. are you surprised by this? gb news. com forward slash your say. but before all of that is your headunes before all of that is your headlines and it's polly middlehurst.

>> everyone good afternoon. the latest news from the gb newsroom . and a new poll is forecasting the worst defeat for the conservative party at the general election in more than a century . the survey by the group century. the survey by the group more in common and the newsagents suggests labour will pick up 406 seats, giving them a majority of 162. the conservatives would hold just 155 seats. that's the worst result in modern history. the liberal democrats would take 49 seats, with 18 going to the snp . seats, with 18 going to the snp. the poll doesn't predict any victories for reform uk. in other news today, the jury and the trial of constance marten and mark gordon has failed to reach verdicts on charges related to the death of their newborn child. their little girl, victoria, was found dead on an allotment near brighton last year. they were later arrested following a high profile police manhunt . profile police manhunt. prosecutors will now determine whether to seek a retrial. a

former fujitsu boss has denied any responsibility for the honzon any responsibility for the horizon scandal because he says he was never a made, made aware of any problems with the software . richard christwho told software. richard christwho told the inquiry he felt aggrieved after initially believing the honzon after initially believing the horizon system was one of the company's major successes. he was chief executive of the company between 2000 and 2004, and says he always regarded the post office as a satisfied customer, but more than 700 subpostmasters and mistresses were prosecuted by the post office and handed criminal convictions between 1999 and 2015. after fujitsu's faulty system made it appear as if money was missing from the branch iis money was missing from the branch us for the first time in nearly three years, inflation has fallen to the bank of england's 2% target. it's boosted hopes of an interest rate cut in the coming months.

most analysts were forecasting the drop, which is down from 2.3% in april. the chancellor, jeremy hunt, says it's great news but claims that inflation could rise again if labour wins the general election. >> a year and a half ago we had higher inflation than nearly any other major economy. today it is lower and that shows the difficult decisions we've taken. have paid off. that would not have happened under labour. they refused to condemn the public sector pay strikes. that would have meant higher inflation for longer. instead, we have lower inflation, taxes starting to come down and hopefully now mortgages starting to come down. it will be a terrible shame if we turn the clock back and put up taxes for every family with savings , which is what it now savings, which is what it now emerges. keir starmer plans to do me hunt. >> however, labour's shadow chancellor rachel reeves, is warning the cost of living crisis isn't over and prices are still going up . still going up. >> price rises have been very

severe in the last few years. the cost of the weekly food shop up almost 30% since the last general election. people looking to remortgage this year paying more than £200 a month more on their mortgage because of the conservatives mini—budget. less than two years ago that crashed the economy and sent mortgage rates soaring. so the conservatives might want to say everything's okay. but i know for many people right across our country, they're still struggling . struggling. >> now, in other news today, baby girl has been killed by a pet dog in coventry. that's according to west midlands police. the seven month old little girl was rushed to hospital after being bitten on her head during the attack, which happened on sunday. but we understand she died shortly afterwards. according to police, the dog was not classed as a dangerous breed but has been humanely destroyed and the scottish national party is promising another independence referendum to fight for an end to austerity and to rejoin the

european union . launching their european union. launching their manifesto, the leader, john swinney, says he also wants to see an end to the two child benefit cap . scottish labour benefit cap. scottish labour criticised the first minister, saying he's woefully out of touch and elsewhere george galloway pitched himself as the antidote to both labour and reform uk as he launched his workers party manifesto. he says he wants a referendum on the transition to net zero and promised to scrap ulez in france. campaigning is underway after president macron's surprise call for a snap election. jordan bardella, president of the right wing national rally party, says that if he's elected, he'd back ukraine, but he wouldn't supply it with any long—range weapons. mr bardella , who's just 28 years mr bardella, who's just 28 years old, shares leadership of the party with marine le pen and is widely expected to become prime minister if the national rally party wins on the 7th of july. meanwhile, in north korea, kim

jong un has taken to the road in a russian limousine after it was gifted to him by vladimir putin. the us secretary of state, antony blinken, says the state visit is a sign of putin's desperation to find allies who will support his war in ukraine. and here at home, prince william has joined the queen in the royal procession on day two of royal ascot. her majesty led the way with the duke and duchess of edinburgh, who are also celebrating their 25th wedding anniversary today . that's the anniversary today. that's the news. for the latest stories, do sign up to gb news alerts, scan the qr code on your screen or go to gb news. carmelites . to gb news. carmelites. >> wow, these polls are just happening as we speak. it's astonishing stuff. and there's really only one place to start because an incredible opinion poll that came out in the last few minutes is predicting that rishi sunak, the prime minister, will lose his seat at the general election. it says that

labouris general election. it says that labour is on course to win a remarkable 382 seats majority in 16 days time. let's take a look at the big mrp poll that was done by savanta for the telegraph. it has, as you can see, as labour winning 516 seats. it puts the conservatives on a meagre 53 seats. as i just said, prime minister rishi sunak will be turfed out. he will lose his seat. now. the poll predicts a major comeback for the liberal democrats, who it says will pick up 50 seats. and by contrast, the scottish national party is forecast to have a very , very forecast to have a very, very bad night indeed. winning just eight seats, just eight seats for the snp north of the border. let's get some instant reaction now with our political editor, chris hope. chris, this is armageddon for conservatives. we've seen three polls out today. this is the second of

them. it's an absolutely astonishing set of results. >> yeah , you've got to it's >> yeah, you've got to it's worth just repeating these numbers again because the viewers are hearing them for the first time, and they are just extraordinary . in 2019, labour extraordinary. in 2019, labour won 202 seats then. now they're up to 516. in 2019, the tories won 365 seats. they're down to 53 d, lib dems“, up to 50 snp, 48 down to eight. it's a complete filleting , a d complete filleting, a d barrelling of the political class in scotland and also more widely in the uk. the tories, are destroyed by this. we are seeing. according to this, it breaks down seat by seat. it's an 18,000 strong poll by savanta and the daily telegraph, hitting 7th of june to the 18th of june using something called a multi—level regression and post—stratification poll, which means they can estimate who wins which polls. fifth, the see here

53 seats for the tories is a third fewer than the disaster in 1997, no sitting pm has ever lost their seat. arthur balfour nearly lost his seat , lost their seat. arthur balfour nearly lost his seat, but lost their seat. arthur balfour nearly lost his seat , but back nearly lost his seat, but back in 1906. but he resigned as prime minister and lost it when his leader of the opposition, caveats here, because reform uk is only recently been set out separately as reform uk rather than others, so reform uk could be even be underestimated in this poll. but we are seeing three quarters of a tory cabinet wiped out, and but they do say here that a small improvement in the tory vote share could improve that seats. but that is extraordinary. i've got to remind viewers, by the way , of remind viewers, by the way, of the first mrp poll that we did for gb news. in fact, we the first across the board, and many discounted it then that was in the 31st of may. we said then that the tories would be left with maybe as few as 66 seats or 72 seats without tactical

voting. this is 53 seats. the tories are going backwards in a general election that they called voluntarily themselves . called voluntarily themselves. >> yeah, and it's worth pointing out, just to put in context, that majority of 382 we were talking about, will it be a blair style landslide? this is more than double tony blair's majority of 179 in 1990, more than the actual number of tory mps at the moment. >> the majority of labour is bigger than the entire number of tory mps, just finished in parliament, went before parliament, went before parliament was dissolved. this is extraordinary. again, lots of polls out there and they are on the on the detail. the trend is for a massive majority for labour across all of the mrp polls, and the tories having a complete nightmare on july the 4th. but the detail is different and we are seeing it in other polls dropping elsewhere. a ukip polls dropping elsewhere. a ukip poll just dropped, giving reform five mps, for example, rather than zero. we heard earlier from a pollster offering 1 to 5 odds that farage nigel farage will

win his seat. so i think around on the on the detail. this could fluctuate quite a lot . fluctuate quite a lot. >> and we're going to be speaking to someone from yougov around about 530, i believe, to go over that that's quite a different set of results, but an astonishing turnaround. 311 different set of results, but an astonishing turnaround. 31! lost seats by the conservatives 314 gained by the labour party, the liberal democrats gaining 39. the snp losing 40. this is a huge, huge reset. it is. >> but were rishi sunak sitting where i am, he'd be telling you the only poll that matters is july the 4th. of course you would. and polls are wrong. in the past. the problem they've got is there's a trend that goes back to the first gb news electoral calculus poll on may the 31st until now, and they've been, i reckon, six or 7 or 8 polls of this scale since then. they are all forecasting a triple, at least a triple digit labour majority, landslide majority. and the landslide, by the way, in old money is over 100. this is triple landslide, a triple landslide, a supermajority for the labour

party. if it comes to pass. >> and yet chris hope three polls in one day giving very, very different results. >> does that say to us the trends that i mean , does that trends that i mean, does that say to us, though, chris, that we have such volatility in the electorate? >> we have so many people who are undecided. we have such apathy. even these could be wrong. >> i would challenge that and say not very different. the trend is there for keir starmer being in 10 downing street with a massive majority. those are those are the trend of across all three polls. what is different i think is the around the scale of labour's victory . the scale of labour's victory. and what is different there, i think, is that i think the undecideds are key. now, i've been told that just in the yellow blue wall in the south—west of england, maybe 25% of people haven't decided how they've how they're going to vote yet. and i think that is what we're seeing here because of the undecideds, people just just cheesed off with politics. they don't want to commit to anything , none of the above. and anything, none of the above. and that, of course, is helping reform uk in the polls. i think thatis reform uk in the polls. i think that is what is driving the variation in how big is labour's

landslide. but make no be. in no doubt, these three polls give sir keir starmer a huge supermajority on july the 4th, chris hope don't go anywhere, but let's get some conservative reaction to this astonishing set of polls right now, because i'm joined by former conservative member of the european parliament david campbell bannerman , who joins me now. bannerman, who joins me now. >> there's no glossing this. there's no sugarcoating this. this is starmageddon this is a total wipe—out for the conservatives. it's just the margin of destruction in david campbell bannerman. this must bring, you know , comfort bring, you know, comfort whatsoever. a dark day for the conservatives if these numbers come to pass . well, that's come to pass. well, that's right, martin, i'm afraid i mean, you know, it's astonishing these figures and i think i mean, this is a poll. let's remember that it's not the final result . result. >> and it may well shock conservatives who are thinking of not voting or swinging to reform, to think, do we want a hand labour, this massive

supermajority vie, and, you know, and things can change in the last week. but i think chris is right. you know, obviously the prevailing trend of all these polls is towards a big labour majority. and that frightens me . you know, super frightens me. you know, super wokeism returned to the eu. they want to get closer to the eu again. they're not to be trusted on the eu or brexit. so i am worried and i would say the one thing i can take out of it was this the conservatives this badly in 1906, when a certain sir henry campbell—bannerman won for the liberal party then. so there is some historical, analogy here, but i you know, it's the wrong way around, of course. and i'm very concerned about it. yeah >> david, it's chris here in the studio. you were a big fan of bons studio. you were a big fan of boris johnson. you've been an ally of his going back since he was defenestrated by his own mps back in 2022. what does this say to you ? was it a huge mistake to

to you? was it a huge mistake to get rid of boris johnson ? and get rid of boris johnson? and should he come back, frankly, to save his party? >> well, yes, chris, it's utter disaster . disaster. >> you know, in his resignation speech, boris said, we're a couple of points behind. it was actually 2 to 4% then. >> then it went down to about 24% under rishi and there's no excuse from rishi to be honest. >> you know, he said everything would be better and it isn't better, but we're stuck with it now. we've got to get, the best conserved lives in. we've got to back those, and, make the best of it. but, i mean, this is extraordinary. >> it's historical. and my worry is it could be over ten years of labour and the damage they can do to our country in that time is very, very concerning . is very, very concerning. >> david, do you think it's fair and proper at this stage to be saying, oh, if you vote for the reform party, you'll get the labour party? surely this is on the conservatives and who is the captain of the titanic? be it rishi sunak , be it boris

rishi sunak, be it boris johnson. you've been in power for 14 years. migration has gone through the roof , net zero through the roof, net zero targets of punished voters . targets of punished voters. wokeism that's happened on the conservative party's watch. it's not enough to blame reform. it's not enough to blame reform. it's not enough to blame reform. it's not enough to blame an incoming government. this is on the conservatives >> well, obviously the conservatives have been in power for 14 years. well, let's let's not forget five years as coalition. >> and we've had covid in between. but no, this isn't an excuse. there hasn't been enough delivery, and getting rid of boris, an election winner who delivered this the biggest win since 1987 was an act of pure folly. and there must be a lot of mps that thought it was a good idea. sitting there now, wondering whether their future, whether they have a future as an mp. >> as a result . >> as a result. >> as a result. >> right. well, but we're stuck with it now and we've got to make the best of it and we've got to think ahead for the future of the country. >> and i'm afraid, you know, a

supermajority for labour is very, very dangerous. you know, it will encourage them to go much, much further than they would actually have put in their manifesto as now. >> so, i am deeply concerned of where this is all going. >> but, you know, there can be some late change and a greater swing back, just to stop a supermajority . supermajority. >> okay. well, david campbell—bannerman, thank you so much for joining campbell—bannerman, thank you so much forjoining us and facing much for joining us and facing the music on this dark day. an optimistic note to end on from you there. but i wouldn't blame you there. but i wouldn't blame you if you drew the curtains and poured yourself a glass of something strong . david something strong. david campbell—bannerman, thank you very much for joining campbell—bannerman, thank you very much forjoining us on the very much for joining us on the show . always a delight to have show. always a delight to have your company. and as we mentioned, there , rishi sunak is mentioned, there, rishi sunak is standing in richmond and northallerton , and here's a list northallerton, and here's a list of the candidates who are also standing in that constituency. jason bowen at independent count binface of the count binface party, daniel george callaghan of the liberal democrats, angie

campion , independent, louise campion, independent, louise anne dickens of the workers party of britain, kevin foster of the green party, rio goldhammer yorkshire party nico giorgia meloni, independent bnan giorgia meloni, independent brian neil ritchie and independent sir archibald stanton. the official monster raving loony party and rishi sunak of the conservative party. tim sorry, lee martin taylor, reform uk and tom wilson of the labour party. that's a lot of candidates . labour party. that's a lot of candidates. now to an labour party. that's a lot of candidates . now to an absolutely candidates. now to an absolutely shocking and staggering story that's certainly got you going out of there. just stop oil activists have sprayed orange paint on the ancient sacred monument of stonehenge , and the monument of stonehenge, and the incident happened this morning. two people have been arrested on suspicion of damaging stonehenge and rishi sunak has condemned the just stop oil attack as a disgraceful act of vandalism. while our south west of england

reporter jeff moody is at stonehenge, jeff , well done for stonehenge, jeff, well done for hotfooting it down there. it's fair to say this has absolutely staggered the nation . it's staggered the nation. it's astonished our viewers. they are fuming. tell us the latest. what on earth were they thinking ? on earth were they thinking? >> well, they are people certainly are fuming. unfortunately, this is the closest i can get to stonehenge at the moment. you can just about see it over my shoulder there. i'm on the edge of the a303 and it's always a lot of traffic around here, but particularly at this point, because this is where people slow down so that they can get a really good view of the stones . really good view of the stones. well, it was around lunchtime, 12:00 today that protesters sprayed this orange powder paint over stonehenge . people did try over stonehenge. people did try and stop them. they tried to stop them spraying most of the paint, but unfortunately they didn't succeed and two people were arrested. wiltshire police have said that neve lynch is a 21 year old student from oxford ,

21 year old student from oxford, and rajan naidu is 73 and from birmingham. what has he said? the prime minister, rishi sunak, earlier on today described this as a disgraceful act of vandalism and the labour leader, sir keir starmer, said the damage is outrageous and described just stop oil as pathetic. well, you asked why they have done this and that's a very difficult question to answer because they have always said that what they're calling for is no new oil and gas licenses. well, the labour government has said that they don't intend to if they get into parliament, they don't intend to issue any more licences. so it then begs the question, why would they continue today? and they're now saying that they've moved the goalposts a little. they're now saying that it's not enough for there not to be any new licences . they actually want new licences. they actually want us to phase out the use of gas and coal completely by the year 2030. so they've changed their mission slightly , and hence

mission slightly, and hence they're going to carry on these campaigns . what at the moment, campaigns. what at the moment, we're not quite sure how much damage has been done. of course, tomorrow is the summer solstice. thousands of people descend on stonehenge tomorrow evening from around 7:00 to watch the sun set on the longest day of the year, and then to camp out overnight right by the stones in order to see the sunset on friday morning. english heritage are now looking to see how much damage has been done. well, just stop oil has said. look, there isn't much damage. it's only powder paint, a little bit of rain and it'll wash away. but engush rain and it'll wash away. but english heritage are not quite so sure that that's the case. they're getting experts who are looking at the site at the moment to see if there is any permanent damage . but this will permanent damage. but this will of course, raise lots of questions as to how close we can get to the stones. if you go to engush get to the stones. if you go to english heritage and you pay to get in, it's £33, by the way, to get in, it's £33, by the way, to get in, it's £33, by the way, to get in, you can get quite close to the stones, although they do make you stick to a path. but as we've seen today, it's very to

easy hop over that fence and get a very close to the stone . so a very close to the stone. so this will certainly raise many, many questions. now as to whether we can continue to go so close to the stones . close to the stones. >> thank you. jeff moody lied there at stonehenge. worth pointing out that sir keir starmer has said just stop oil are pathetic, and rishi sunak has said just stop oil are a disgrace. and in fact, the official twitter account of stonehenge itself has said expect a prison sentence, probably in their finest. brian blessed style voice. the stones themselves there seem to be condemning the actions of just stop oil, an outrageous thought. we'll have more on that throughout the rest of the show and the evening. now still to come, the shocking new figures, which reveal that uk cancer survival rates of 20 years behind european countries. i'll speak to an oncologist as to why this is the case and why we need root and branch reform the nhs. i'm daubney on gb news, britain's news

welcome back. time is 527. that was me as a ghost. i martin daubney on gb news. now to some truly shocking figures. cancer survival rates in the uk are 20 years behind those in some of the european countries. and the analysis by macmillan cancer support covers prostate, bowel, breast and cervical cancer. i'm now joined by the oncologist, doctor karol sikora, who's the former director of the world health organisation's cancer program. welcome to the show, carol. always a delight to have your company some grim, grim statistics here. can we start off by saying, how on earth has this been able to be allowed to happen? >> you know, it's a mystery, martin. we've banged on about it. it's not the treatment . the it. it's not the treatment. the treatment you get for cancer on the nhs is perfect, but you've got to get to the front of the

queue to get it. and the time cancer patients taking by the time they get a gp appointment by the time they get the scans, the biopsies, all the work up to actually start treatment, it's often exceeds even the most generous nhs targets . the target generous nhs targets. the target is 62 days from the diagnosis of cancer to start treatment in america. if you had to wait 62 days, you'd sue whoever was providing you the care. it should be two weeks at the most in france. even in poland, which is where my father comes from. >> and you know, i was over there a month ago. they aimed to treat the next week you get treated next tuesday, you'd never get that here. >> and it's just a terrible indictment of the system that's just creaking along . just creaking along. >> and doctor sikora says, here we are stuck in the noughties sweden, denmark, norway , host of sweden, denmark, norway, host of other countries simply decades ahead of our situation. what's the answer to this ? the

the answer to this? the political parties at the moment seem to deify the nhs. any talk of even tinkering with its operation is met with outright scorn. doctor sikora, you've mentioned many times there is a great need for reform. do you think we simply need to address the elephant in the room ? the the elephant in the room? the nhs that produces these kind of outcomes isn't fit for purpose . outcomes isn't fit for purpose. >> we've got to do something different. i see nothing different. i see nothing different in the manifestos other than the reforms manifesto . they're all the same. shrine of the nhs. let's worship the holy shrine. say nothing wrong with it. it's fine . wes with it. it's fine. wes streeting for labour. a bit more critical, a bit more cynical about it, but he's going to be held back from any major innovation. what we need to do is to get people to be seen quickly with symptoms, and then to have the diagnosis done quickly, whether it means using the private sector, whether it means going to another place with a taxi, going 20 miles away

to get a scan quickly, that's what we've got to do. you know the system can do it, martin. we saw it with a covid vaccine programme. now you could say , programme. now you could say, was it worth it? that's another question. but the logistics behind that, the software on my mobile phone, i've still got the batch numbers of my pfizer, vaccine . asian. it shows it can vaccine. asian. it shows it can be done okay. costs and it needs a bit of willpower. but if it can be done for vaccine vaccinating a population, it can surely be done for the early diagnosis of cancer. and its prompt treatment and quickly , if prompt treatment and quickly, if we could, carol, do you think there's the appetite to address this issue? wes streeting, as you say, he's he's dallied with the idea of a part private system. but then sir keir starmer said he would never do that, even to a sick relative of the reform party are saying that they would if do we need to severely change the way we look at cancer treatment across the nhs, and if so, do you have any faith that will happen? >> i think it's very difficult

to read what will happen. wes streeting saying he's going to do that . he's going to use every do that. he's going to use every available opportunity to increase the capacity in the nhs to diagnose and treat cancer. but there's ideological problems because the only way is one to pay because the only way is one to pay people overtime in the system. hospital car parks is, you know, are empty at weekends. all that equipment at diagnostic and treatment equipment just lying idle. this is crazy. we've got a backlog. second thing is , got a backlog. second thing is, can you actually use the private sector to use that to clear the backlog? that's the only way. there's no time to train more doctors, to train more chemotherapy , nurses and all the chemotherapy, nurses and all the rest of it. there's nowhere we can import them from . we've done can import them from. we've done all that, we're stuck with paying all that, we're stuck with paying overtime . then as we get paying overtime. then as we get going, we're going to have a long term strategy . increase long term strategy. increase medical school intake, increase specialisation of nurses to use chemotherapy , increase the chemotherapy, increase the number of radiographers, the people, the skilled

professionals that treat with radiotherapy. these are all things we need to do. but there's no time. if we're going to save lives over the next two years. >> okay. we have to leave it. there was simply run out. so i'm fascinating as ever stalks you. thank you very much for joining us, doctor karol sikora. thank you. we're going to move on now . you. we're going to move on now. there's lots more still to come between now and 6:00, and we'll hear from a former conservative chancellor on a set of shocking opinion polls for the conservatives today. but first, it's your headlines with polly middlehurst . middlehurst. >> the headlines this hour, a new poll is forecasting the worst defeat for the conservative party at the general election in more than a century. the survey, by more in common and the newsagents suggests labour will pick up 406 seats, giving them a majority of 162. the conservatives would hold just 155 seats. that's the worst result for them in modern political history. the lib dems would take 49 seats, with 18

going to the snp. the poll doesn't predict any victories for reform uk . also in the news for reform uk. also in the news today, a teenager has been jailed for a minimum of 16 years for the murder of a 17 year old at a party in west sussex last year. europol at a party in west sussex last year . europol varne bruce, who's year. europol varne bruce, who's 17, stabbed charlie cosser in the chest on a crowded dance floor. more than 100 people were at the party in the grounds of the farmhouse when the attack took place, and the jury in the trial of constance marten and mark gordon has failed to reach a verdict on charges related to the death of their newborn baby. the baby was found on an allotment near brighton last yean allotment near brighton last year, following a high profile police search, and a former fujitsu boss has denied any responsibility for the horizon scandal because, he said he was never made aware of any problems with the software. richard christwho , who was the chief christwho, who was the chief executive between 2000 and 2004, told an inquiry that technical

faults were never raised with him and he regarded the post office as a satisfied customer here at home. prince william has joined the queen in the royal procession on day two of royal ascot. her majesty led the way, with the duke and duchess of edinburgh accompanying her. they're celebrating their 25th wedding anniversary today. that's the news for the latest stories do sign up to gb news alerts. scan the qr code on your screen or go to gbnews.com/alerts . gbnews.com/alerts. >> cheers! britannia wine club proudly sponsors the gb news financial report. >> let's take a look at those numbers for you then. the pound buying new $1.2725 and ,1.1838 is the price of gold is £1,831.78 an ounce, and the ftse 100 has closed for the day today

at 8205 points. >> cheers britannia wine club proudly sponsors the gb news financial report that . financial report that. >> thank you polly. now, if you want to get in touch with us here @gbnews, here's bev turner with all of the details. >> we are proud to be gb news the people's channel and as you know, we always love to hear your views. now there's a new way of getting in touch with us at gbnews.com/yoursay by commenting , at gbnews.com/yoursay by commenting, you can be part of a live conversation and join our gb news community. you can even talk to me, bev turner or any of the members of the gb news family. simply go gb news. com forward slash your say

>> welcome back. it's 538. i'm martin daubney. this is gb news now. it's a huge night for

scotland at euro 2024 before they play switzerland in cologne. as you can see, fans have been seen enjoying the sun and the booze , by the looks of and the booze, by the looks of it. but after they were thrashed five one by germany last friday, the party could soon be over for the party could soon be over for the tartan army as they could be knocked out if they lose against the swiss tonight. now a draw would just about keep the hopes alive, but that wouldn't be enough for scotland gaffer steve clarke to go into the game and think you only need a point. >> it's dangerous. we go there, we go there to win, we go there to be as positive as we can and then we see, we see where that takes us. like i said, it's more about making sure we perform as well as we can play . and if we well as we can play. and if we do that, then i'm pretty confident we'll get something from the game . obviously they from the game. obviously they want to go back to the pitch and play want to go back to the pitch and play better . play better. >> so that's i think that's pretty standard when you when you're when you play so poorly and you let yourself down, you want to go out and make amends. >> so that's that's where their mentality is .

mentality is. >> and good luck to scotland. i sincerely mean that. now you've been getting in touch in your hundreds today about a lot of topics, but the one that's really got you going are these astonishing polls that have been landing throughout today's show. three polls so far got to be said quite different, but the last one was total starmageddon. it's 53 seats left for the conservative party, 516 for laboun conservative party, 516 for labour. that's a majority of 382. that's more than double the majority that we got in 1997 with the tony blair government. now why don't we cross now to conservative peer and former chancellor lord lamont who joins me on the show. lord lamont, welcome to the show. and lord lamont, of course , you were lamont, of course, you were a goliath. hello there. you're a goliath. hello there. you're a goliath of the margaret thatcher and john major governments. these polls okay, they're only polls, but they have to be very, very difficult reading for you today, lord lamont, in case you haven't seen them , the poll for haven't seen them, the poll for savanta and electoral calculus

in the telegraph, putting the conservatives down to just 53 seats. the prime minister, rishi sunak, set to lose his seat, double the majority of the conservative party suffered under tony blair that landslide in 1997. lord lamont, what's your thoughts on these shocking polls ? polls? >> well, they are shocking, that's true. but my own view is you wouldn't expect me really to comment in great depth on them if you're involved in the election, you want your side to win. you carry on fighting right to the end regardless of how the other side are doing. there's everything to fight for. the unexpected in politics always happen. often happens , i think happen. often happens, i think the important thing is just to keep on fighting. i don't believe all polls. sometimes dramatic changes do happen. there's no alternative but to fight on anyway . fight on anyway. >> that is true to say though, just polls. and to be fair, three polls in one day have had quite different results, but

they all point in one direction. lord lamont, they all point to a massive defeat for the conservative party. if and when that happens. lord lamont, what lessons do you think will need to be learned from this campaign from this government? missed targets on immigration net zero. we've seen a huge expanse of wokery 14 years of conservative rule. it won't be enough, will it, to blame the labour party. >> yeah, but look, look, i'm terribly sorry, but you can't expect me to discuss what's going to happen to the conservative party and what lessons have to be drawn if we lose the election. i'm not prepared to go there. we'll think of that if and when it happens. >> okay. but all the polls, all the writing on the wall seems to suggest that i'm not saying to get your crystal ball out, but what's the point of having a television interview to read out the polls to me, it's not a lot of point in it. >> i mean, if we're having an election, the point of television programs is to crystallise the issues and inform the viewers. just telling

us we are losing doesn't really help the public. >> well, it's just discussing a breaking news story which is of significance to this election campaign . okay, let's talk about campaign. okay, let's talk about the election campaign then. so what do you think may have been done differently to have tried to change these sorts of results ? >> well, 7— >> well, look, 7_ >> well, look, i ? >> well, look, i think the conservative highlighted the important messages about about the economy. i think contrary to what a lot of commentators are saying, i think the government have a credible record on the economy. we've been through a very , very tough time. i think very, very tough time. i think you in the media sometimes underplay that, you know, the effect of covid, how are we meant to deal with covid, spend £400 billion on it without some effect on taxes? britain has done well compared with other countries, and i think what we needis countries, and i think what we need is a bit more realism in this election, and i think we need more focus on the tax plans of the labour party , which i of the labour party, which i don't think do add up. and i

think it's interesting that keir starmer is now talking about it'll all come from growth. it's all very well to say you will have growth, but how is that growth to be achieved? i don't believe that the measures that the labour party are putting forward, well, there are no measures. they're just setting up quangos and bureaucratic bodies. i don't believe that will make the slightest difference to growth . difference to growth. >> now, as a former treasurer yourself , >> now, as a former treasurer yourself, one thing that keeps coming up is why on earth was the election called early when it was? the inflation figures are down to bank of england targets today. that was a conservative pledge by rishi sunak. tick the box. all the signs are that the economy can only improve. and we all felt in the media no doubt in the conservative party too, that a later election would have benefited the conservatives, as we saw this economic growth. does that shed a light on the factit does that shed a light on the fact it was a mistake to call an early election? do you think? >> well, i think the reason the prime minister called an early

election was he just saw that we would have if he didn't call it a frenetic atmosphere in which every day he would be asked the question, when is the election going to be? people like yourself would be at him night and day saying, why don't you decide? get on with it. why what? what's stopping you? why won't you do it? are you for it? and he just felt that this would dominate the discussion wasn't very good for the economy and it was better actually to have it now in the summer. rather, you don't really want an autumn election. i think . election. i think. >> okay. >> okay. >> lord lamont, thank you very much for joining >> lord lamont, thank you very much forjoining us. and i thank you very much for joining us. >> and thank you very much for saying you will fight on until the end. that's the spirit. thank you very much for joining us, lord lamont. thank you. thank you . now, still to come, thank you. now, still to come, two major polls predict general election disaster for the conservatives, with one saying rishi sunak might even lose his seat. i'll be speaking to a polling expert about these predictions next. i'm martin daubney on gb news, britain's news channel

now, don't miss a special edition of state of the nafion special edition of state of the nation with michael portillo. tonight at 8 pm. live here. right on gb news. now, we've been discussing a major poll for the daily telegraph, which says rishi sunak is in danger of losing his seat. it comes as a separate yougov poll predicts that the tories could be left with their lowest number of seats since their formation in 1834. well, patrick english is director of political analytics at yougov and he joins me now. hello. welcome to the show, patrick. so let's look at the yougov poll quite different. it has to be said to some of the earlier polls we've had in the day. nevertheless, the trend seems to be one of a significant majority for the labour party.

talk us through your results, patrick. >> yes, that's right. >> yes, that's right. >> so we've released our second mrp projection today. >> catching up. >> catching up. >> really checking in with the british public after the first. >> and what we found is that we predicted a or projected rather a 194 seat majority at the start of the campaign. >> that has now increased to 200. but really, that's not much change on the labour side . the change on the labour side. the main story of this mrp is what's happened to the conservative vote and the conservative seat number. we've seen a further decline in conservative support and the two main beneficiaries over the past three weeks have been the liberal democrats and reform uk . we now project that reform uk. we now project that they are ahead in five constituencies, so some some big and important news there for nigel farage and reform uk encouraging news for liberal democrats and further woe, it must be said for the conservative and rishi sunak. >> so patrick, can you talk us through the methodology, the veracity of your poll ? it's veracity of your poll? it's a pretty big sample size, as i understand it, 40,000 adults and you've drilled into the detail,

are you confident this is a suitable bellwether of where the electorate are going because of course, a poll earlier on today had a very, very different outcome . had the tories on 53 outcome. had the tories on 53 seats with a majority of 382, almost double what you're predicting . predicting. >> yes, indeed. this is a change election and there is a lot. moving on. we're expecting some big swings . we're expecting many big swings. we're expecting many constituencies to change hands. and so it's going to be tricky, i think, for pollsters to get exactly which ones exactly the size and extent of the majority, given those conditions . but given those conditions. but look, we're confident in what we're projecting. we've used this model , we're projecting. we've used this model, very we're projecting. we've used this model , very successfully in this model, very successfully in spain recently , in 2023, yougov spain recently, in 2023, yougov pioneered the use of mrp , the pioneered the use of mrp, the statistical model that, as you say, uses 40,000 people to drill down into the constituency level in 2017 to correctly anticipated theresa may would lose her majority. so we're feeling confident in our numbers, but of course, it's a big change. election. there are 109 seats

we're currently calling as basically too close to call, so things can change even between now and polling day itself . now and polling day itself. >> and as well as those key marginals, 109 of them, >> and as well as those key marginals,109 of them, as you say, patrick english, there's also a lot of volatility and your your poll though does have the reform party making that breakthrough that nigel farage has promised five seats. that's a significant breakthrough if that comes is it is significant indeed. >> another parties are entering parliament for the first time. we know it's very difficult for third, fourth, fifth parties to break into the house of commons and the britain's electoral system . but because of that system. but because of that fragmentation of the conservative party vote, it's going in all kinds of different directions. reform uk are looking like in some areas where their support is particularly high, that they might be able to break through and get into the house of commons on vote shares around sort of 35, 40, nigel farage being one of them. we're also looking at areas of great interest, such as great yarmouth, boston and skegness, louth and horncastle, even some areas around south yorkshire. so there's good news in this for

reform uk. however, four of those five seats are toss ups right now, so really they could go either way. >> and in terms of volatility, in terms of apathy, very quickly if we could. patrick english, do you think people's motivation is high or low to vote in this election? will apathy be a big factor? low voter turnout ? factor? low voter turnout? >> certainly what we're expecting right now is perhaps turnout to drop . neither of the turnout to drop. neither of the two main parties are very popular. it'sjust two main parties are very popular. it's just that labour are far less unpopular than the conservatives, so we're expecting perhaps a lot of conservative voters in particular to sit this one out. but of course, we're going to have to wait and see who does turn out to the ballot box on election day. >> absolutely fascinating, sir. thank you very , very much for thank you very, very much for joining us. patrick english, who's the director of political analytics at yougov. thank you very much for joining analytics at yougov. thank you very much forjoining us. what a day it's been three massive opinion polls have dropped dunng opinion polls have dropped during this day, three quite different outcomes . but the key different outcomes. but the key factor is it looks very, very calamitous for the conservatives. what an afternoon

it's been. and that's now it from me. but of course dewbs& co is up next. and don't forget to join us from 6 am. tomorrow. it's breakfast with stephen and ellie. and then of course, that's followed by britain's newsroom at 930 with andrew and bev and then tom and emily with good afternoon britain from my from midday . and then it's my from midday. and then it's my ugly mish back at tomorrow at three till 6 pm. i hope you enjoyed the show . what a roller enjoyed the show. what a roller coaster ride of politics. i'll be back tomorrow at 3 pm. i'm martin daubney and this is gb news. now here's your weather aidan mcgivern. >> a brighter outlook with boxt solar , the sponsors of weather solar, the sponsors of weather on gb news. >> hi there. time for the met office. weather forecast for gb news. it's a fine summer's day out there for many of us. warm, sunny spells, although not entirely sunny. there is some cloud around and there'll be

some thicker cloud arriving into the north and northwest of scotland later, because of this weakening weather front, it's running into a large ridge of high pressure which keeps things settled for the vast majority and much of the cloud actually disappears through the evening, leading to lengthy, clear spells for england and wales. southern scotland, northern ireland, central and northern scotland sees the cloud thicken for a time, and some outbreaks of mostly light rain arrive into parts of northern ireland and western scotland. the breeze picks up here as well, but elsewhere light winds, clear skies, temperatures in some sheltered spots to down 4 or 5 celsius. first thing thursday, however , that's where the best however, that's where the best of the sunshine will be across much of england and wales. hazy sunshine in places because of a veil of high cloud, but blue skies for many others and warming up quickly through the morning as well. northern ireland a cloudier picture as we begin things. likewise for the central belt. a few spots of light rain here. northern scotland, meanwhile, sees the cloud clearing overnight and

sunshine returning here by the middle of the morning. through the morning there will be some thicker cloud at times for northern ireland and western scotland , perhaps giving the odd scotland, perhaps giving the odd light or drizzly shower. but otherwise for the vast majority it is another fine summer's day. the cloud will build somewhat across parts of wales into the midlands , for example. odd light midlands, for example. odd light shower possible where this happens , but for most it's sunny happens, but for most it's sunny spells and highs of 23 or 24 celsius. now there will be a cluster of showers across the continent that could just affect the far southeast through the evening, but they'll move away and then it's a clear night and another fine day on friday, although there will be some showery rain pushing into the west later. and those showers will cross the country on saturday. >> that warm feeling inside from boxt boilers sponsors of weather on

these days. we're still hanging on. i can tell you what. never a dull moment. you've got a close protection officer now, that's been working as part of the prime minister's team. arrested allegations there about placing bets on the date of the general election. goodness gracious me. also, george galloway , he has also, george galloway, he has unveiled his manifesto today. he reckons that if keir starmer becomes prime minister, we will becomes prime minister, we will be at war within six months. do you believe that or not? also the snp manifesto launched today. within it they call for the two child cap that affects some benefits to be scrapped should it be or not. and speaking of children, do you think it's right that primary schools are involved in pride month? strong feelings on that one. i can tell you also if you

have caught a train recently, there's a very good