tv [untitled] January 25, 2024 9:00am-9:30am IRST
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let's face it, this issue is not the right issue , that is, this sentence is not the right sentence, the same monetary policy is not correct, the reason is that the monetary policy is the demand side policy, when you give a shock to the supply side , you say that you cannot cover it with the full demand side policy, this is a flawed issue regarding the model that mr. olivier blanchard has written in 2017 is economic models.
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which model did you work with, which presupposition did you work with? i don't want to have a dispute about their results, i want to complain about the modeling literature in iran's economy. i am at your service. in your opinion, we should stabilize the land price and order or not. in the country where you were invited as a supporter of stabilization in the program , i am not in favor of the stabilization policy. i am not in favor of the policy of implementing the stabilization policy. as a matter of urgency, it wants to be created and made a policy . the policy of blackmail is like a time bomb, like a time bomb , it has time. no, i will explain now that since 1957, as if we, for example, before 1957, here in iran, gol and bel. golu
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, there was a very good story after 57 , everything was completely messed up, no, it was not like this . in iran, there was no such thing as stabilization policy based on the definition in the economic literature . what does stabilization mean? that is, sir, put one rate in the middle , declare the other rates unofficial , and explain the same and the same. what we are seeing now is the anchor policy. that means, sir , they consider a rate for a series of specific goods for a specific time for a limited period of time because i should support the people and the people's livelihood so that this shock is absorbed by the economy , it can be controlled with whatever effects and consequences it has, and its effects can be reduced . later , i will think of a solution. i want to give all the goods at once.
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two months later, he came and corrected his mistake, of course, not because i want to confirm it. i believe that the 420 policy was wrongly introduced , wrongly continued, and wrongly deleted. i would like to say that our policy is 28 and 500 we say stabilization, we should not be subject to verbal sharing and in fact mental distortion. mr. farzin came and said: the name of this policy is not stabilization policy at all , it is the anchor policy of the offer. they say that if this policy is called stability, it is a completely wrong policy . basically, we don't have anything called stabilization in this way. stability has a specific definition. if this policy is called whatever it is , it is any friend. there is a rule for every noun
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, the rule is that when you say, sir, i want it i will give preferential price to some products . you have to specify those products. which products and which list of hss do you want to show to him? it was announced on july 140 and 9, 1400. on july 1401 , the list of hss came out, sir, and we want to let's say that this is wrong because the stabilization policy, now that i know what it is, is not applicable at all in iran's economy, the stabilization policy can be enforced, which is what mr. hassan khani himself said, that the economy is not a game, that it is not for you to sit there in the room. think that i'm going to say
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, sir, how should we determine the rate, everyone is fixed in this policy, according to my opinion, we are the uae, like the uae. let's put a thousand tomans currency at all. why do we put a thousand tomans for one toman? if one toman equals one dollar, the economy doesn't work like this , which is why iran's policy makers, by the way, mr. farzin is right, the policy that mr. farzin is going for is the stabilization policy and it is wrong. why is it wrong? why do they call that policy by another name ? dharae says, langar says that because the policy of stabilization of the executive branch is the implementation model, this is what mr. raisi's government has now, mr. rouhani's government , mr. ahmadinejad's government, mr. hashemi's government, mr. khatami's government. mr. mirhossein mousavi everyone they are all implementing the same policy because they came to them and said, sir, we will stabilize
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, we will move forward, it has not been exhausted, where is the point of this? mr. hemti, we could not do this and this was not necessarily our policy. we are politics, we don't have politics , we are not policymakers, we don't have politics , which means we don't have politics, in the sense that whenever oil goes up , iran's exchange rate is strengthened , we actually strengthen the real price of land whenever that means we keep the nominal supply rate constant whenever we don't have supply income for any reason now. the reason is either the embargo or the drop in the price of oil . for any reason, our supply income is going down. we have no complaints anymore. we are not policy makers . oil is making policy for us. oil is making policy for us . this policy is the end of this work. now i want to say that in order
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to move mr. hassan khani forward , i would like to say, sir, that iran is under sanctions, but you are saying that it is the supply side . i want to talk about your words for 10 pounds. russia is not sanctioned, russia, russia, what happened in russia, there was no problem with russia. what happened in russia was that russia was sanctioned. before the sanctions in 2015, they received a supply shock . in 2022, there were severe sanctions, which were severe in terms of severity. the number of sanctions
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imposed on russia in many areas is much higher than on iran , for example, if russia had 1,000 companies sanctioned , iran had 50, we are not talking about the number of companies , we are talking about the number of sanctions in different areas. we will do it now. it adopted an active monetary policy. what did we do? what did we do? what did we do? we did the opposite. we came. let me tell you. we came. we stabilized the rate . we kept the interest rate constant. your budget is deficit, and then we expect that in this economy
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, what did we do next? we said we will fix the exchange rate , russia, i mentioned those two, the product market, the capital market , the money market, russia came . don't give more time to mr. hassan khani i don't have a problem. then russia allowed the exchange rate to fluctuate. the exchange rate went up to 70. then it went down again after 6 months in 2015. after a few months in 2022, what happened is amazing. they don't use their valuable resources like us
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, etc. we are not policy makers and we don't have the right tools for policy making. this is the case and they are right. the leadership's orders that say to stay away from oil is a forgiveness and it is true, just one point in the previous section. in your statement, you had a ratio of 42 , which you said, and you said that it was not fixed. yes, 420 was not fixed either. see, 420 was said that we give 420 to all goods to all people for everything, which is certainly wrong for a country whose treasury is empty. we were not unseen when you said such a thing. it has changed. it was three months from july, from the beginning of july, this story is actually an imitation. it was found to be 25 items of goods in the fall , it became again to 7 items of goods, about 18 billion
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dollars in may of the following year. was it correct or not ? do you know why it is wrong? i will explain now. if you want to announce a policy, first of all, the policy should have a time horizon, until when you want to do this, and it should be stable , so that every day, sir, i will do four today, tomorrow, i will do three, this should be a yes . the point is not right now. the attack and embargo occurred again, the exchange rate of the ruble against the dollar returned to the same 80. at the time of the embargo, russia had 4.645 billion dollars in official reserves of land and gold, nearly 1/3 of russia's, and we
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did not have it. its embargo is different from ours, russia has never embargoed it was not secondary, but you see in iran that sanctions are secondary, not russia. this is different . it doesn't matter what he should do . i will tell you that farad does not want to take the 14 actions. the most important action is, of course, the problem is in the field. before we discuss russia at all, i invite you to carefully review the literature on currency intervention in countries. we have a country called hong kong, we have a country called china, we have a country called indonesia, countries like malaysia. there is a scientific literature on arizi, but transverse interventions cannot be denied we say, sir, that intervention in the field of currency manipulation is doomed to fail. yes, i agree with you. it is pointless, in fact , it leads to a decrease in the central bank's reserves. we
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do not accept it . we will have to make mandated interventions. this is a weakness. i accept it, but to say, sir, that we should leave everything to the market is wrong. there is no problem. what is right ? you must design a mechanism that can absorb shocks on the supply side as much as possible. well, what does that mean, what is this mechanism or not? what is the policy, what should he do? yes, the policy of the anchor policy, see the policy that occurs in the conditions of the supply shock caused by the embargo, the transverse anchor policy , this policy is the right policy . you, who have the experience of removing the land of 420 , know that when the price of land
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is left at 420, food inflation in the month of inflation of the whole economy in the month of nearly 11, food inflation is something like 88. you are right, that same month of may 1400, one year before. how much is food inflation? and how much has the total inflation increased month by month ? what you are hiding is that there is a jump in the inflation rate after the removal of tarjir. statistics say that it has gone up so much. yes, how much has it gone up in the same month in 1401?
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but in an economy where you did something that made your central bank invalid, not you, i mean the policy makers did something that made the central bank invalid , you have high inflation, the central bank cannot anchor the interest rate in the economy, the nominal anchor of your economy is the exchange rate , this is exactly the same and the entire dollarization of the economy. mirror that you are the nominal anchor of your economy instead of like
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we have a sentence, now we have a sentence, a word that is understandable, arguable , actually acceptable, it is better than this, how much is the rate now, i am correct , i will explain the position of the same policy, your position, my position is the price , let it be, no, finally, i would like to ask you to see what you say. that the exchange rate should not be anchored, no one in iran has anchored the exchange rate, the land price is anchored, naturally , it is in iran's economy for two reasons, one dependence, i said no. let me tell you what is iran's strong dependence on goods imported from argentina what is the percentage of argentina's imports of aid goods in argentina? this is argentina , which you are an example of. i had made a note to give a detailed explanation . last year, argentina experienced anchoring the interest rate. this is the same recommendation as you say. the inflation rate was 70.
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the interest rate took the bank interest rate. what happened to the swelling, john? the real interest rate in argentina, despite all the reductions that have been given, despite all the increases that the land price has had, again, no, look at the real interest rate , the real interest rate is much higher than brazil and turkey , while we show what this shows. this means that the peso should become more devalued right now
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it means that the rate that was set incorrectly is known as the unofficial rate will jump again. argentina should have done what china did. this is what china did. if they show it, this is what china did. look at what china did in 1994. what it did was the land price . it happened, but china practiced its policy and brought the rate with the theories that i presented, that is, with the theory with pp rate. let me tell you and look at the monetary theory. just now, as i said, mr. hassan khani should tell you how much the rate is. if you accept, it is only monetary policy. i'm sorry for the rate, no, you're right, but the rate, if i haven't said the first result before, it's an hourly plan, a year is not a plan, see , let's say a good sentence, i'd better give the same rate, if we
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are with the fundamental variables of the economy, why do we keep going, what do we do with what rate? with money model. both of you, if you have another model, please introduce it, there is no problem , look for iran, this model shows that the real price for iran now is the correct nominal price, that is, the dollar rate is 50,000 tomans. i can see that there are 27 oil countries, only iran no, i am telling you now, this is not only iran, there are 27 oil countries, see the monetary model and the pp model also work for 27 oil countries , it is not only for iran, we cannot say, sir , we are different in everything that we are not .
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i'm really sorry, mr. al-hussaini, with your advice, we should do as you said, now i'm foreign, you said, we should devalue the rial, my people, here's the advice to raise the land rate again, sir, raise it three times , raise it, let it go, and see. this is the result of your policies, your result you say it's very simple. allow me to make a point. you say, sir, take this official exchange rate and stick to the unofficial exchange rate. whatever you want, you say, do this. i say, ok, i did this. where will this rate go, how high will it go? if it goes up , it's good for you. how long would you be satisfied, how long would you be convinced that this rate should not go up? this is the point, mr. hassan. the point
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is that the rate should not go up. if you act like china , it will not go, but if inflation continues like in argentina , the monetary policy if it is wrong, if the fiscal policy is wrong, if the rate is wrong, make sure to schedule a meeting, we will come thank you very much for reviewing china's experience with them , both china and turkey. you have accompanied us until this moment, may god protect you, be higher than the win or higher today, wherever we are, we will be higher tomorrow. even now in israel, we have people like
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mrs. brenda shofer who want to destroy the entity called iran and believe that iran should be destroyed, what does it have to do with the behavior of the israeli government, what happens in the field of action means going and assassinating the armed forces of the country in the country. discuss logically. i am asking you about an official employee of the israeli government, the government ambassador ambassador of the country and the government of israel
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, what am i doing wrong? i am wrong that he is an employee of the israeli government. you say that you should allow the iranian forces to go there at the invitation of the syrian government. i am the presence of forces that are invited. you condemn being the legitimate and established government of that country, but when i ask you, the presence and military attack of israel against the same country, which does not even have the invitation of the syrian government to the iranian forces, means aggression in terms of what is defined in international law. may we know international law and the united nations charter , we know that it is a violation of the territory of syria . when we arrive, you remain silent on this matter. the government has the right , mr. arif, israel has the right to defend its own security
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. with the same logic, ask me a question with the same logic. the islamic republic also says that i have the right to defend my own security , wherever necessary, you are making politics, because judaism never considers its own israel to be a jewish state. judea, but within the framework of its historical borders and not more, by the way, israel is the only country that does not have any official borders, mr. masher. this fact of yours is completely wrong. where is israel's border ? israel knows where its border is, where it knows its border. i don't allow you to divert the discussion . i don't allow you to divert the discussion. it has the right to defend its own security. give money to the people of iran to terror, but the israeli regime does not give money to
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the people of israel. it does not give money to the lebanese people who fight in lebanon on behalf of israel with the money of the people of israel. he didn't pay in africa they should fight against the interests of the arabs there. iran has not attacked israel. israel has never attacked israel. why is israel attacking israel
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in the name of allah, the most merciful, the most merciful, may god bless muhammad and his family. wajal farjam, greetings to you, dear viewers , good morning i wish you a happy and happy father's day and i invite you to join us with this hour's sports news. saad nashein won his 15th victory against haran nashein in the premier volleyball league. in the framework of the 17th week of this competition, sirjan steel team with the result yesterday.
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