amna: good evening. i'm amna nawaz. geoff: and i'm geoff bennett. on the "newshour" tonight, nikki haley hopes to gain ground on former president donald trump in new hampshire, where republicans are deciding which candidate should be their party's presidential nominee. amna: the war in gaza sees one of its deadliest days yet for israeli forces as a brutal ground offensive grinds on with civilians caught in the crossfire. we speak to the united nations' top human rights official. >> the central aspect of the tragedy of gaza, in my view, is

the total uncertainty for civilians about what's going to happen to them next. geoff: and the parents of a mass shooter face a manslaughter trial over whether they can be held accountable for their actions and inactions. >> major funding for the pbs newshour been provided by -- the ongoing support of these individuals and institutions, and friends of the newshour including kathy and paul anderson and camilla and george smith. >> the john s and james l. knight foundation fostering informed and engaged communities. more at kf.org. >> and with the ongoing support

of these individuals and institutions. this program was made possible by the corporation for public broadcasting and by contributions to your pbs station from viewers like you. thank you. geoff: welcome to the newshour. voting in the new hampshire primary is in its final hours. amna: president joe biden and former president donald trump hope the primary results will secure them virtual holds for their respective parties' 2024 nominations, and foreshadow a 2020 rematch this november. lisa desjardins is in concord,

new hampshire's capital city, at the election night party of trump's sole remaining challenger, former u.s. ambassador and south carolina governor nikki haley. tell us about what the turnout is looking like and what that means for the candidates. lisa: the new hampshire secretary of state predicted record turnout for republicans. it has been steady. he adjusted his estimate today to say he thinks it will still be strong. heavy democratic turnout in urban and suburban districts might be good for nikki haley. heavy turnout far away from the cities might be good for someone like dean phillips. we have run into a lot of trump voters. all these campaigns have been scrambling today to get out there votes. in the granite state, a decision day that will shape the presidential race. former south carolina governor nikki haley needs to show she can compete with former president donald trump, and her message both echoes and rejects

him. >> i know you love america too and you want a new generational leader. lisa: an auspicious start, the all the voters in one town cast pallets for nikki haley. she relies on support from independents and democrats who want new leaders. >> it will be the first time in many decades i voted for a republican for president. lisa: why? >> new ideas, fresh face. lisa: trump too was at the polls and haley came up. >> i don't care what she does, let her stay in. there has never been a movement like make america great again in the history of the country. lisa: trump supporters predict this ends tonight. >> i say trump wins by at least double digits and nikki haley drops out and republicans unite behind trump. lisa: that is trump's closing

message, republican unity, showcased by three former competitors appearing at a rally last night. >> now is the time for the republican party to come together. lisa: a jagged knife aimed at haley. >> sadly not everybody is willing to put our country first. nikki haley has made an unholy alliance with rhino's, never trumpers. lisa: nikki haley cast trump as now the establishment. >> you have one who has the entire political elite all around him, all of congress, all these legislative people. he has the media around him. lisa: for the democrats, ballot 101 as grassroots biden supporters held ballots explaining how to write in his name. president biden is not on the ballot because of a dispute over the date of the vote. >> president biden has done an

incredible job. he has gotten no recognition whatsoever. lisa: for some, it is symbolic. >> we are a tiny state, we have four votes in the electoral college. i think for the democracy of the campaign, it would be terrific if we gave him a good sendoff. lisa: some serious competitors want to disrupt the party. and a soda congressman dean phillips, who rallied dozens of supporters last night in manchester, and author marianne williamson, who has campaigned on higher minimum wage, declaring a climate emergency and tackling poverty. >> so many people haven't heard of her because she doesn't have the big money to advertise and flyers and all that. so that's the clincher. but if today people hear, they're going to maybe be curious. so i think her chances are awesome because her message is awesome. lisa: and williamson has been

here, unlike biden, who today was in virginia, campaigning on an issue that will democrats hope will be big for them this year, abortion. pres. biden: i believe roe v. wade got it right and so did the majority of americans. lisa: but the political spotlight remains at least for a few more hours on new hampshire and how voters see the current and former presidents. there are a few ways to look at this unusual primary, but for nikki haley the live free or die state is truly do or die for her campaign. amna: when you talk to the haley campaign, what do they tell you about what they need and expect? lisa: every campaign on election day expresses confidence. they feel like they're voters will come out. the campaign manager did send out a memo that was given to some of us reporters. they were trying to express they are not going to cede the race tonight. they were laying out a path through south carolina, through super tuesday, stressing which

states, including south carolina, have primaries in which voters from other parties can vote in the republican primary. her one-on-one is a critical factor in new hampshire. they want nikki haley to spend more time one-on-one in other states. i talked to one voter who was undecided until she met nikki haley today and today she brought herself and two friends to vote for her. geoff: by 8:00 p.m. eastern, the polls will close. when should we expect results? lisa: this was a conversation our producer had with the secretary of state's office. all polls done by 8:00 eastern, the first time the associated press would give a call, although we don't know exactly when. we do expect results to come relatively quickly and the secretary of state's office said they should have most results by 10:00 eastern time. geoff: lisa desjardins for us

tonight. to break down what to watch for in new hampshire tonight, we're joined now by our panel of political analysts. that's amy walter of the cook political report with amy walter. democratic strategist faz shakir, who was the campaign manager for bernie sanders' presidential campaign, and republican strategist kevin madden, who advised mitt romney's presidential campaign. thank you all for being here. amy, the haley campaign is trying to manage expectations. what would need to happen for an upset tonight? amy: expectations have been shifting over the last couple of weeks. the polls suggest this is going to be a big night for donald trump. he is up by 14 points in the state. polling has been wrong in new hampshire before. in 2008, the polls suggested barack obama was going to win by eight to 10 points and hillary

clinton that primary. what makes the state so unique is independent voters can show up and this is what she is counting on, a surge of voters who are registered as independents but traditionally vote for democrats who normally would never vote for a republican, but they like what nikki haley is doing. what would that tell us about her future going forward? she argues in the campaign memo that lisa outlined that there are independent voters all over the country, but these are a different type. the group of voters i am looking at our voters who describe themselves as somewhat conservative. they are the voters who tend to determine the winner of these elections, and right now we don't know where they are going. but they are probably a better predictor than whether you can open your primary to folks who

identify or register as independent. amna: kevin, if haley doesn't win tonight -- we know there has been expectations that think, chris sununu saying second-place is fine. does she continue with her campaign and for what purpose? does she amass delegates in case the trump campaign doesn't continue? kevin: delegates are hard to come by and she has to show momentum. you can do all the expectation settings with memos, but at the end of the day, this campaign has to demonstrate that the one-on-one race they said they wanted is now crystallizing the debate for republican voters and those voters are starting to trend toward nikki haley into a real race. if she doesn't win tonight, we need to see something at least in the single digits. after a double-digit loss in iowa, you have to show the trend line is working in your direction.

whether she can get to south carolina, after tonight -- you always say, you don't run out of reasons to run for president, you run out of money. if she has the resources to make it to south carolina, i think she will continue. at some point we have to see a narrowing of the polls to provide that actual momentum that is going to bring her onto the bigger delegate contests in march. geoff: meantime democrats are providing counter programming. president biden, vice president harris, and their spouses held their first joint campaign in virginia, focusing on abortion rights, trying to draw attention to a political liability for republicans. what do you make of that strategy? faiz: political dynamite for the democrats. this issue has been on the ballot in elections seven times since the dobbs decision and has won every time. you look at down ballot races in this country and it has been a

propellant for voters turning out for democrats. huge. it also drives enthusiasm. it is not only a super majority issue, winning kansas and kentucky, it is an enthusiasm driver for joe biden. joe biden, one of the weaknesses is enthusiasm. this issue does it for him. at his best he is a coalition manager, a parliamentarian style president. a big part of that coalition wants abortion rights and they bring the enthusiasm to his campaign. i think he recognizes from the jump this is going to be giant. geoff: is that the campaign's goal, to make this a choice election based on policy and less of a referendum on joe biden? faiz: there is multiple things going on. choice is one of them and you have the democracy threat with trump. those are clear on the table already. what do these small sliver of people who have not made up

their mind, or move back and forth -- very small numbers -- what moves them? i'm not sure those two issues are it. you have to move into economic related issues to speak to people who have not already made up their mind about biden and trump. amna: tell us where you are looking. we know some densely populated areas, manchester, concord, nashua, that's where haley has to do particularly well. amy: i want to get a sense how big the pool of independent voters versus voters who are republican are. we have seen polls that habit at 45% to 47%, and obviously how well haley does in those polls is driven by how big the independent voters are there. curious to see how people think about donald trump.

in the iowa polls, even voters who didn't vote for donald trump said i would be satisfied with him. most of them thought the election of joe biden was illegitimate. they didn't think the january 6 and some of the legal challenges against donald trump were going to be a problem for him. i am curious to see the makeup of that electorate. the other thing that's happening , as we have been watching these last couple of days, the walls closing in around nikki haley in the trump campaign getting everybody on board. we saw in lisa's report, the other candidates in the republican primary endorsing him. now leaders in congress, including many from swing districts endorsing donald trump. the message being sent, this thing is all but over, might as well get on the train now. geoff: what are you going to be

watching for as returns come in? kevin: where independent voters tend to fall. this is our first glimpse at what could potentially be trump's biggest liability in a general election, a toxic profile with moderate swing voters. you've been republican leaning independents owning for nikki haley could signal greater resistance for voters like that around the country. this is going to come down to a lot of suburban areas and battleground states around the country. if the president is still struggling with those voters, it says a lot about where the general election battlegrounds could be. amna: if this is wrapped up as some predict it could be, we have a very long general election ahead. does that change the biden campaign reelection strategy? kevin: it has to.

the biden campaign has not been spending a lot, has not been staffing up in a major way. it is going to have to be heavily organized in those states, because the sliver of voters who have not yet made up their mind is so small. going county by county and find your 500 people who have not yet made up their mind on joe biden versus donald trump, which is hard to believe, and those are the people. you have to figure out getting into conversations, what are their beliefs? my sense is these are working-class voters making under $100,000 a year. they are living with the cost-of-living concerns. you hit them with a sense of what has joe biden done, what is he trying to do? is economic messes has not yet trickled down. it can be done but needs to be invested in. geoff: you can make a point that

looking ahead to the general -- while we are doing that -- you could argue nikki haley is a more formidable general election candidate than donald trump. jamie: that has been her message. they do believe that donald trump came so close last night, that he is the strongest candidate that matched up against biden. he looks like the strongest one, stronger than nikki haley does. this idea about needing to win over swing voters is not very sexy to primary voters. we have always talked in politics, one of the hardest cells is to tell primary voters, i am the most electable candidate in the fall. i am the person going to win over people who don't believe exactly what we believe. it worked in 2020 in part because that election was not about joe biden, it was about donald trump. that's not the case here. this is still donald trump's party.

those voters want to see him get one more shot. amna: i know you are all sticking around. we are going to have a lot more to talk about. we'll see you all back here shortly for our additional live coverage right here on pbs or online. that's beginning at 11:00 p.m. eastern. geoff: in the day's other headlines, houthi rebels in yemen again expressed defiance after another round of western air strikes. the iranian-backed militants said they'll go on attacking ships in the red sea in solidarity with palestinians in gaza. the u.s. and britain retaliated with fighter jets and missiles last night, in their second joint strike inside yemen. they hit eight sites, but today, houthi supporters in sanaa

brushed aside the attacks. >> [translated] the u.s. airstrikes are like a spray of water for a thirsty person. i swear it will not scare us or turn a hair on our heads. in response to the destruction of gaza and the killing of innocent people, they will see anger, burning fire and flames. geoff: pentagon officials said the strikes have destroyed more than 25 missile launching sites and 20 missiles. and late today, the u.s. military carried out strikes inside iraq on militia fighters backed by iran. it followed attacks on american troops in iraq and syria. waves of russian missiles killed 18 people in ukraine today, and injured more than 130. it was one of the largest one-day death tolls in weeks. more than 40 missiles pounded kharkiv and kyiv. ukrainian president volodomyr zelenskyy said they hit more than 200 sites, including scores of residential buildings. the united nations reports more than 10,000 civilians have been killed in ukraine in nearly two years of war. negotiators in the u.s. senate said today they are inching

closer to a new deal on military aid for ukraine and changes in u.s. border policy. there was no timetable from reaching an agreement. democrat chris murphy acknowledged reports that ukrainian troops are being forced to conserve ammunition, giving the russians an advantage . sen. murphy: that is a recipe for disaster. that is a recipe for kyiv to be a russian city sometime soon. the whole world is watching and asking a simple question -- does the united states stand up for its friends? geoff: president biden wants $61 billion dollars for ukraine's military. republicans have tied that request to demands for better us southern border security. in california, a one-day strike by professors and staff in the state university system is over. they took to the picket lines monday just as the new semester was getting underway. more than 450,000 students on 23 campuses were affected. late last night, the two sides

announced a deal, including salary hikes and longer parental leave with pay. the 2024 academy award nominations are out at oppenheimer leads with 13. christopher nolan's feature about the creation of the atomic bomb's front runner for best picture, also nominated for best director and actin awards. the year's biggest moneymaker, barbie, received eight nominations but greta gerwig was left out of the best director category. on wall street corporate profit reports lifted much of the market but not the blue chips. the dow jones industrial average lost 96 points. the nasdaq rose 65 points. the s&p 500 was up 14. an award-winning cbs news journalist charles osgood died today at his home in new jersey. he anchored the sunday morning show for 22 years and his daily segment, the osgood file, ran on radio for four decades. he became known as the network to a fiasco it, rendering

stories in colorful verse. charles osgood was 91 years old. still to come, the u.n. top humanitarian official on the crisis in gaza. how the rise in artificial intelligence is boosting tech stocks. and a pakistani artist finds success painting his personal experience. >> this is the pbs newshour from w eta studios in washington and in the west from the walter cronkite school of journalism at arizona state university. amna: israel's military announced today that nearly two dozen soldiers were killed yesterday, the deadliest day since the october 7 terrorist attacks. israel's government vowed to continue the war amid fierce fighting, caught between tens of. thousands of palestinian civilians. in a moment, nick schifrin speaks with the u.n. humanitarian chief about conditions in gaza.

first, his report on this deadly day for israel's defense forces. nick: a prayer for the dead. a family grappling with grief. sergeant first class hadar kapeluk was a 23-year-old reservist, killed in gaza yesterday. sergeant major ilay levy was from the same unit. today, his mother said a final goodbye, and his father delivered a message of determination. >> let's show our enemies that we are strong and even in such a difficult situation we do not break. please say with me three times, the people of israel live. >> aam yisrael hai. nick: an israeli officer described how 21 reservists died in the destroyed building behind him. the 261st brigade had been preparing to demolish the building with their own explosives, when a palestinian militant opened fire, said israeli army spokesman rear admiral daniel hagari. >> [translated] the first rocket

hit one of the buildings in which explosives had been laid out. the hit apparently led to the explosion that caused the collapse of the building and the collapse of the building next to it. nick: defining is most intense in southern gaza on hamas's home turf, literally. hamas video shows a fighter firing from a bedroom window. and hamas fighters shooting from inside blown outbuildings, aiming at israeli soldiers in buildings across the way. israeli military video shows soldiers in close combat, exposing what israel says is a hamas tunnel next to khan younis schools. today israeli prime minister benjamin netanyahu vowed victory. our code together we will fight and, god willing, together we will win. nick: in southern gaza, victims of the war arrive by donkey cart. ahed masmah, in green, bears no relation to the victims. he was, instead, the bearer of bodies he found near his home.

he brought them here, to try and give dignity to the dead. >> seeing them gives one chills. no matter how hard it was, we would have brought them, even if there was an aircraft above us wanting to target us. nick: others are caught in an endless cycle of displacement, fleeing farther and farther south, into less and less land. >> [translated] where do we go? this is the 17th time i have left my home. where should i go? nick: the u.n. says 1.7 million of gaza's 2.2 million residents, are currently displaced. to discuss the humanitarian situation in gaza, but also other humanitarian crises across the world, we turn to martin griffiths, the u.n. undersecretary general for humanitarian affairs and emergency relief coordinator. thanks very much, welcome back to the newshour. the w fp said today that very little food aid has traveled into central and northern gaza and there is still a risk of famine.

how serious is that risk? >> very serious, and what is quite striking about move to poe famine is going in gaza, if you compare to across the world. nearly 400,000 people are seriously at risk of famine. moving around in gaza in practical terms is impossible. getting food to these people has been difficult. it is a rapid decline. nick: today the israeli government spokesman eylon levy said there are no lemon -- no limitations on humanitarian aid. >> it is lamentable that you and officials have been covering up for the fact that hamas hijacks aid and wages were out of hospitals, trying to cover up their own systemic failure by demanding the opening of new entry routes when there is already adequate and excess

capacity at the existing ones. nick: what is your response? >> i think it's extremely unfair. it is wrong to suggest we don't need more entry points. most importantly, if operational conditions inside gaza don't exist for the distribution of aid, the result from the conflict. they include safety of movement. they include roads which are not mind. they include assurances that places we deliver to won't be attacked. they include hospitals that are not places of war. they include not taking trucks when they are being screened on the way in. i don't think it's right to blame humanitarian agencies for what is a very difficult operation. nick: you mentioned hospitals.

hamas operates near hospitals and has fired rockets near hospitals. the u.s. and israel accuses hamas of using hospitals as command and control. in southern gaza we have seen israeli forces surrounding at least two hospitals. what are your concerns for the patient in those hospitals and displaced gazans who use those hospitals as a refuge? >> the hospitals are protected under international humanitarian law and should not ever be used by military forces from wherever they come, whichever party, hamas included, as operational bases. toave a situation where the few hospitals that continue to exist where the patients find themlves in the middle of a war zone, where entry into and exit out of his through fighting is, of course, a terrible thing

to see and a terrible stain on our humanity. if that is because of hamas sheltering there, they should not do so. the central aspect of the tragedy of gaza, in my view, is the total uncertainty for civilians about what is going to happen to the next. where will they be, where can they find food, will there be safety, where? the hospital example of that encapsulates that sense of absolute danger and uncertainty about the future. nick: i want to ship to yemen, where nine years of war has caused what you and i used to talk about as the world'sorst military and crisis. who the rebels have launched or than 30 attacks at international ships, both commercial and warships, and in the last 10 days, the u.s., u.k. and an international consortium have launched eight strikes on

houthis in yemen. do you fear the violence could derail the progress that has been made in a political settlement between the houthis and the saudi backed international coalition? >> i am totally concerned about that, yes. the people of yemen have waited long enough and have glimpsed in recent weeks the possibility of a cease-fire. then, this tragic, unnecessary, and brutal war. suddenly to find it at huge risk, possibly taken away, is just too depressing. i think it would be difficult for the saudi's and allies to continue to it nor a houthi -- continue to ignore houthi aggression into the red sea. at the moment it is still not being allowed to end, if i can

put it that way. but i don't see that lasting. the saudi's got to the point with the houthis of elaborating a plan for a cease-fire in detail with some associated advantages for the people of yemen, who was close to moving on to the next phase. suddenly to see that snatched away, that is so unjust. amna: you recently released a humanitarian appeal for ukraine where 40% of the population needs aid, 14.6 million people. you are asking for $3.1 billion. are you getting what you need for the people of ukraine? >> we are not getting what we need for people anywhere. what was depressing about launching that plan the other day was simply to think that now we are so close to entering the third year of that war, what the secretary-general of the united

nations clearly decided to label a war -- and it is a war -- against the people of ukraine. i think ukraine is going to be another sad story. the fact is that gaza had moved ukraine out of the center of the story. ukraine and gaza have moved sudan out of the center of the story. there was a place called afghanistan we used the talk about. nick: you went further when we were talking earlier. you used the phrase a year as depressing as this one. how depressing, from your perspective? >> i cannot remember a year which is so full of -- we were dp

of the piece, civilians who have had nothing to do with those decisions. nick: morgan griffith's, under secretary-general for humanitarian affairs and emergency relief coordinator. >> thanks for having me on. amna: new trial -- a trial

started in michigan today seeking to answer a difficult question, can parents be held responsible when their child commits a mass shooting? in this particular case, the teenage shooter has already been convicted. but as william brangham reports, officials are also seeking to prosecute his parents, in a case that could break new legal ground. william: on november 30, 2021, tragedy came to snowy oxford high school in michigan. a student opened fire, killing four students, injuring seven others. the gunman, then 15-year-old ethan crumbley, received a life sentence last year. but now, his parents, james and jennifer crumbley, face their own charges of involuntary manslaughter. it is a first-of-its-kind effort to hold parents criminally responsible for a school shooting done by their child. >> this case is unprecedented in oakland county and perhaps the state.

william: prosecutors say the crumbley's knew ethan was troubled, but acted negligently james crumbley bought for his son the gun he used to kill his classmates. concerns flagged by the school went unheeded. the day before the shooting on november 29, oxford high informed jennifer crumbley that her son was looking up ammunition on his phone. she texted him, "lol i'm not mad, you have to learn not to get caught." hours before the shooting began teachers discovered this worksheet on ethan's desk, covered with violent warning signs. below a drawing of a gun, he wrote "the thoughts won't stop, , help me" and "blood everywhere," and a drawing of a bullet. when a teacher saw the sheet, he scratched much of it out, including what appears to be a shooting victim, dripping with blood. ethan's parents were called into school that morning, but officials say they resisted taking him home, and made no mention of any gun.

shortly after they left, their son began his rampage. when news of the shooting got out in the community, jennifer crumbley texted her son, writing, "ethan, don't do it." but it was too late. william: karen mcdonald is the oakland county prosecutor. >> the notion that a parent could read those words and also know that their son had access to a deadly weapon that they gave him is unconscionable and i think it's criminal. william: the defense claims the crumbleys had no way of knowing how troubled their son really was. both have pleaded not guilty. for more on the case and its broader implications, i'm joined by echo yanka. he is the thomas m. cooley professor of law at the university of michigan. what do you make of this case?

it is not uncommon that we hold other people responsible for the actions of another. >> that's right. one of the first things you learn as a one al lawson student is that even -- a 1l law student is that when other people take action, it severs the causal chain and makes it not your responsibility. it is a classic example in first year law school that if you give someone a gun and they threatened to kill themselves and you encourage them and they do, you are not responsible. that being said, one of the things we do to our law students is push them on how far these examples can go. how terrible do i have to make the facts, how odious do i have to make it, how close to the edge before you finally say the law has to give? and the truth is, if i was coming up with an exam question, i couldn't come up with facts that were more upsetting, more cutting, and seemingly more

disturbing than the ones we have in this case. william: given all of that about the law, what do you think are the biggest challenges facing the prosecution trying to prosecute this case? >> so i think there are two challenges. the one we already spoke about is just the kind of bedrock legal principle and that's something that is deep in our legal culture. that is human beings are responsible for their own actions. and so the prosecution is going to be going up against what every judge, what every other lawyer has learned, what every defense lawyer has learned, and what they're going to be conveying to the jury as our bedrock principle. but setting aside the legal machinations, there's also just what the log reflects, the kind of moral intuition that we aren't responsible when other people do bad things. and that's going to be true even when these facts are heartbreaking, because you're going to have people thinking about, you know, of course, i'm doing my best to be a great parent.

of course, i'm trying to bring my child up to be successful and flourishing. but what if you have a child who is difficult, problematic, has shoplifted, gets in fights at school? i think quite outside of the dry technical legal language, there wouldn't be a lot of people out there who just think, when, 13, 16, 17, 18, when will it be the case that i can't be held responsible, no matter the best i do for my child, for their abhorrent behavior? william: does the fact that michigan passed a law that in essence makes it a crime for you not to secure a gun and a minor gets access to that? doesn't that imply sort of de facto that what these parents did at the time wasn't against the law? >> well, you're certainly right that in the wake of highly visible events, we often pass laws, and that is by some people going to be taken as a defense. but of course, sometimes we pass

laws to make our legal responsibilities more clear, or to help fill a lacuna. and to be perfectly honest, criminal law scholars know that we often pass laws just to add penalties to things that are already illegal. so for example, i remember when philadelphia passing the anti carjacking statute. it was frankly an opportunity for public officials to say we are doing something about it. but nobody really thinks that before that law was passed, carjacking was legal. so of course, they'll make the argument that this wasn't illegal when it happened. but the prosecutor is going to argue that this was criminally negligent, even under the slew of statutes they had before this specific law was passed. william: i mean, this prosecutor has made it very clear that she hopes that this will spur other gun owners basically to do a better job of securing their firearms. and i'm just curious if you think that if this prosecution is successful, this will spur other prosecutors in other states, maybe elsewhere in the country, to take on similar cases.

>> the law lives on precedent. and i certainly think it's the case, as we said that, given that we have this kind of deep legal intuition that you're never going to be responsible for somebody else's acts, a successful prosecution in a highly visible and painful case of a school shooting is going to rocket across the country. it's not an accident that it'll be on pbs, on all the major news channels. and that will give prosecutors one more tool in their arsenal. because of the nature of precedent, because anytime you do something unprecedented, legal actors are going to take notice, there's no question that prosecutors are going to use this as a tool. sadly, we should also admit these cases are incredibly painful and incredibly visible and all too repetitive. and so the fact that there's a successful prosecution in this case -- if there is a successful prosecution in this case -- there will almost certainly be another.

william: thank you so much for being here. geoff: rallies have driven both the dow jones industrial average and the much larger s&p 500 to record highs this week. there are several reasons for that, including investors' assessments of the economy right now and where it will be in the months ahead. we're going to break this down with david gura, busins correspondent for npr, who has been watching this carefully. how much is the market rally connected to investors expectations that the fed is going to cut rates pretty soon? >> it is hugely tied to that. we got indication last year from the federal reserve they were looking to make cuts in 2023. there have been calibrations

about how soon the markets think the fed is going to do that. investors are looking around and seeing economic indicators that are looking strong. they have this belief that the federal reserve, despite what seemed like small odds last year, are going to engineer this soft landing, that they are going to get inflation under control without a recession. that is buoying the stock market. the gains have not been widely shared. they were not last year, which ended up a much stronger year for stocks than people expected. we have not had broad-based gains, but stocks have performed much better than wall street expected at the beginning of last year. geoff: there is a lot of investor enthusiasm about artificial intelligence. how has the promise of ai reordered the markets and fueled the return of the magnificent seven? the high-performing tech companies whose stocks typically do well.

>> the magnificent seven was a name coined by michael hartnett at bank of america. he allowed that he is a fan of this movie from 1960. the seven stocks are alphabet, amazon, metta, tesla. these are companies that are tied to ai or doing work on ai. tesla is the exception. nvidia is a company designing most of the microchips used in supercomputers powering the technology that allows companies to use ai. last year the s&p 500 was up 24%. those seven stocks rose by 24% last year. there are a number of reasons. ai is part of it. these are companies that are ingrained in our lives, that we use every day. they have staying power if there is economic downturn.

they have a lot of cash on hand. we are at a point where interest rates are higher than they were for a long time. a lot of companies have to borrow money at a higher interest rate. these companies would not have to do that because they have so much money on hand. geoff: there are influential voices injecting notes of caution, namely jamie dimon, saying there are all sorts of financial and geopolitical risks on the horizon. >> i think it's a mistake to assume everything is hunky-dory. and, you know, when stock markets were up, it's like this little drug we all feel, like it's just great, you know? but remember, we had so much fiscal monetary stimulation. so i'm a little more on the cautious side, that we are facing a lot of things in '24 or '25 and we mentioned ukraine, the terrorist activity in israel, the red sea, quantitative tightening -- which i still question if we understand exactly how it works, i don't think we do. william: he has got a point. why isn't the market taking into

account a host of geopolitical crises and the shipping challenges that result from it and the knock on effects to the stock market and the economy? >> it's a good question. i think investors are inured by the fact we have been able to get through crises in recent months. jamie dimon stands out as the head of the largest bank in the country and someone who is more frank about these risks than a lot of executives. you heard him mentioning ukraine, the war in israel. these are topics he returns to time and time again because he is looking at history with a broad breath and fearing this could have an effect on the geopolitical system in the world as well. a lot people listen to jamie dimon because he is running such a large institution. we have seen markets shrug that off. we have seen shipping companies pull their ships out of the red

sea, send them on a 10 day journey around africa to avoid that conflict. we are beginning to see effects of this tumult and it is something wall street is going to continue to watch. geoff: the stock market is not the economy, but you could argue that because of a number of factors, what happens on wall street is intertwined with main street. do you see it that way? >> it is important to look at these as discrete things, but you are right. we are seeing confirmation of the fact the economy is doing pretty well, better than a lot of people expected. retail sales came in stronger than expected. we are going to get figures on gdp later this week. we have seen the labor market remain resolute. we are seeing the market embrace each of those economic data points. it is confirming the sense that the economy is doing well. we saw last week that a lot of

people, investors, consumers, the rest of us as well, are feeling confident in the direction of the u.s. economy. geoff: thanks for speaking with us. amna: pakistani born artist salman toor saw his career take off, ever since he made a sudden shift to painting what he's lived, felt, and sometimes even feared. he gave special correspondent jared bowen of gbh boston a tour of his ongoing exhbit for our arts and culture series, canvas. jared: the paintings of salman toor are about worlds. worlds of lovers. of friends out on the town, and of family. but in these works, often envelopes in emerald haze, there is even more at play.

some ecstasy here. some danger there. and in pieces like back lawn, there's a labyrinth of layers. >> there are many novels and movies about houses like this. and i wanted to kind of take the story of theamily as the background of another story which was going to be in the foreground of another story which doesn't usually get told. jared: front and center here, steps away from what could be a pakistani family like his own men are entwined under a , two tent. >> instead of being like a moment of fear and hiding, it's more like everything else is in the background, really, and this is actually the real story. jared: call it no ordinary love, the title of this show exhibiting toor's most recent work at brandeis university's rose art museum outside boston. >> may be about three or four years ago, i decided to make semi-autobiographical paintings that were about being more out as a gay man through my paintings than i was before. jared: they're a far cry from

growing up in his native pakistan, and from his early work, when toor labored over paintings inspired by 17th & 18th century masters. coming out artistically meant coming into his own and launching into these largely nocturnal notions of queer life. >> there is something very bold and edgy about the works. dropdead beautiful, also painful, but very tender. jared: gannit ankori is the museum's director and has been watching toor's rise in the art world. especially since his first solo exhibition at new york's whitney museum in 2020. >> he found a visual vocabulary that articulates the life of a queer brown man living between his homeland and diaspora and creating a community and visualizing that community on his own terms. jared: one that mostly unfolds a

world away from pakistan where homosexuality is punished by law. but where toor found safety and camaraderie among queer friends in his high school art room. >> we were all queer, we were all out to each other and in an environment that was pretty harsh otherwise. i think that we were able to create a very magical space. jared: that magic dances through his paintings featuring close-knit friends at bars, in cars, and hanging at home. their joy swelling in a series he has titled fag puddles, reappropriating a hate-filled word into something -- >> like a fabulous heap of exhaustion. to me it's fun to kind of fill that hate with objects that are fun to paint for me that i am thinking about, like a feather boa, or laundry or anything that's really fun like a disco ball or something. jared: hate and danger creep into toor's work. it's a residue of the fear he felt as a queer man in pakistan. and a reflection of the anti-lgbtq+ violence escalating

here in the u.s. but rendering it on the canvas, toor says, is therapeutic. >> it's a way to seize control back and to be able to be the master of that narrative. jared: which is why we also find a lot of comedic relief in his paintings, figures with pinocchio-like noses, cartoonish hair and rubbery limbs. >> i do have a sense of humor as a person. i don't take myself that seriously and i do take my work seriously. and so it's important to me that the works about any kind of pain or suffering doesn't get bogged down in any kind of one-dimensional pity or sanctimoniousness of any kind. jared: pain is often drowned out in this show by love. if toor's paintings are a novel, there is a meaningful chapter on family. in this work titled the women, we see a boy lingering around the warm, gossipy exchanges of his mother and

aunts. toor still owns it and won't let it go, he says, because it's too rooted in memory. >> it's someone kind of looking at themselves maybe in a deeper way in the mirror at that moment than they do usually. and it's a moment, i feel like in which someone finds themselves beautiful in a mirror. jared: it's also a portrait of the artist as a young man, on the verge of launching into a world all his own. for the pbs newshour, i'm jared bowen in waltham, massachusetts. amna: join us later tonight for more live coverage of the new hampshire primary results. that's beginning at 11:00 p.m. eastern right here on pbs. that is the newshour for tonight. i'm amna nawaz. geoff: and i am geoff bennett. we will see you here later tonight. >> major funding for the pbs newshour has been provided by --

>> pediatric surgeon, volunteer, topiary artist. a raymondjames financial advisor taylor's advice to help you live your life. life well planned. >> consumer cellular, this is sam, how may i help you? >> this is a pocket dial. well, somebody's pocket, with consumer cellular you get nationwide coverage with no contract. that's kind of our thing. have a nice day. >> cunard is a proud supporter of public television. on a voyage with cunard, the world awaits, a world of flavor, diverse destinations, and immersive experiences. a world of leisure and british style. more with cunard's white star service.

>> carnegie corporation of new york, supporting innovations in education, democratic engagement , and the advancement of international peace and security, at carnegie.org. and with the ongoing support of these institutions. this program was made possible by the corporation for public broadcasting and by contributions to your pbs station from viewers like you. thank you. [captioning performed by the national captioning institute, which is responsible for its caption content and accuracy.]

wow, you get to watch all your favorite stuff. it's to die for. now you won't miss a thing. this is the way. the xfinity 10g network. made for streaming. hello, everyone, and welcome to "amanpour and company." here's what's coming up. hostage families storm israel's parliament, demanding a change of course, to save their loved ones. as benjamin netanyahu's poll numbers plummet, eye discuss what comes next with former israeli foreign minister tzipi vni. then, to gaza, where the death toll continues to rise. i'll talk to the former prime minister of the palestinian authority sal am fayyad. also ahead, four years since covid-19 first emerged, have we conquered