right now on "andrea mitchell reports," with ron desantis out of the race, nikki

haley has what she's wanted -- she's head to head with donald trump in new hampshire. >> can you hear that sound? that's the sound of a two-person race. >> we're all set to win, but one favor, no matter how big we're winning, we want to win by big margins. the more we win by, the bigger signal we sent for november. that's why you have to do it. >> with trump ahead by double digits, is it too little, too late? we'll have the latest from our reporters and analysts on the desantis fallout ahead of tomorrow's primary. and on the 51st anniversary of roe v. wade, more than a year after the decision is overturned, the biden/harris campaign is putting it front and center today. democratic senator amy klobucar

discusses the strategy with me. good day, everyone. i'm andrea mitchell in washington. we are just hours away from the new hampshire primary in a contest unlike any other we've seen in the state's history. to start, republican front-runner had planned to spend these crucial final hours in the manhattan courtroom, but due to a sick juror and possible covid exposures among donald trump's legal team, it is delayed until tomorrow, primary day. no word yet if mr. trump will take the stand while voters are voting the polls in new hampshire. the former president has a rally planned tonight in new hampshire, fresh off an endorsement from ron desantis, after the candidate once seen as trump's strongest opponent dropped out of the race and endorsed the former president sunday afternoon. as a result, republican primary is now a two-person race in new hashe for the first time in at least two decades, and the first one-on-one mum with a republican woman.

nikki haley trails by double digits. her only chance for an upset is if republican voters stay home and undeclared voters more likely to support her turn out in droves. the other big difference this year is that no democratic delegates for president will be chosen because the white house pressed for south carolina, a more diverse state, to go first. but biden supporters are running a write-in campaign for the president. we start in new hampshire with garrett haake, shaquille brewster, and mike memoli. garrett, first to you. the party is quickly consolidating around donald trump, but he could be faced with choosing between testifying in a new york courtroom or campaigning in new hampshire on the day of the voting. and now another south carolina endorsement for trump, another slap against haley, the state's former governor comes from a congresswoman. talk to us about all of that. >> reporter: andrea, all the

political dominos keep falling in donald trump's direction this week, even if some of the legal ones continue to frustrate him and his campaign. the campaign is supremely confident of their standing in new hampshire, believing they'll win by a margin like what the public polling shows and like how they defeated another moderate opponent in new hampshire when it was john kasich they beat by nearly 20 points. the campaign is trying to project the idea of republican unity around the president. that's why torw night they'll have three-quarters of his former candidate endorsers th him there, tim ott, j.j. ramberg, doug bergen. this race is functionally over after tuesday, and they believite v it's time to get behind him as the person to take on joe biden. the latest person to join the trump-endorsing bandwagon is nan nancy mace, with whom the former president has a deeply complicated relationship, the two going back and forth after he were reelection campaign when

he said negative things about him after january 6th. but she joins a stampede of south carolina officials to endorse donald trump, not nikki haley, their former governor, who i believe is a constituent of nancy mace's. that's all moving in donald trump's direction. even if he has to be in new york tomorrow to temp, i don't think they view that as a challenge. he didn't campaign in iowa on caucus day. candidates don't do a lot of campaigning on election day even in new hampshire. he might have stopped by a couple polling places. that doesn't seem it will change the way the momentum has been going for him in this state and nationally. >> looks like a beautiful day up there too. shaquille brewster, nikki haley trying to o undeclared voters in a republican pry pair v mare. how does that work? >> reporter: she's largely trying to do it through her messaging. when you listen to her on the stump, in the television ads,

she goes after joe biden, but she uses bide on the drag down donald trump saying they both represent chaos and she represents a new face for conservative leadership. what that results in or leads to is voters hearing different things and seeing different things when they look at her. for anti-trump voters, they see her as the best chance to take down donald trump, to move on from donald trump, if they don't want to see him as their party leader. but for moderates and even some conservatives, they see her strength. you look at polling and head-to-head matchups in a general election hypothetical matchup, they see her as the stronger candidate to beat biden and perhaps win with a mandate. that's a sense you've been seeing and hearing from haley on the trail. listen to a little bit of her tap into that sentiment by spinning her iowa results as a reason why new hampshire voters should support her. listen to her here. >> let me get this straight. donald trump won 56,000 votes

out of 3 million in iowa. he got 1.5% of the vote in iowa. america doesn't do coronations. we believe in choices. >> reporter: you hear her trying to argue that she'll broaden the tent, bring more people into the fold if she is the nominee. then there's the question of what is the impact to her campaign from ron desantis dropping out yesterday. i want you to look at this polling. when you dig into the numbers there and you ask -- >> okay. we just lost shaq's audio. we'll bring in mike memoli. mike, pick it up there. president biden is not on tomorrow's ballot after the dnc made south carolina their first primary, obviously new hampshire very angry about that against the democrats. but explain this write-in campaign and also the fake robocall.

i just also want to point out to everybody that the union leepder has just come out in favor of congressman dean phillips, who hasn't registered a whole lot with most people in the republican race -- rather the democratic race, but dean phillips, a democratic congressman, challenging joe biden. >> reporter: yeah, andrea. we're standing outside an event where dean phillips is speaking right now. we know how powerful his endorsement has been in past primaries. we'll find out if it packs a punch here. but this unusual write-in campaign has posed a real challenge for supporters of the president to turn out the vote, to educate the public about what they're up to, and also for elections officials as it relates to counting the vote. we spent most of the weekend out with the write-in organizers as they were holding visibilities, training organizers trying to rally support. then you have this new last-minute wrinkle that democrats were receiving a phone call with a voice that sounded

familiar, even sounded presidential, something that sounded like president biden saying that voters should wait until november to cast their vote, not cast their vote on tuesday. this was deeply concerning to supporters of the write-in effort who believed this was an effort to suppress the vote. now we're hearing from the new hampshire attorney general, who is calling this a potential illegal voter suppression effort saying that voice does appear to be manipulated of the president's, andrea. >> d, mike, just very briefly, you and i were both with joe biden when he made that last-minute decision to leave new hampshire the morning of the primary because he saw he was going to lose. he's never going to win new hampshire, and he went on to south carolina. that's the back story here. we've also seen in the past how democratic incumbent presidents from, you know, lbj, the challenge to him, of course, with a war to -- what happened -- and pat buchanan,

we've seen whack happen to incumbent president who is get surprised. >> reporter: that's right. that 1968 election that really does concern supporters of the president here. it's about that expectations game, can the president show enough support here, because even though lyndon johnson did win as a write-in candidate in 1968 here, the margin was very close, and three weeks later he was out of the race. that's one of the reasons why democrats are going to be very nervous here tomorrow night. >> new hampshire surprises, we should all be watching. thanks, mike memoli, garrett haake, and shaquille brewster. the strategy session, we'll look at the campaigns and the candidates and former president trump and nikki haley planning for new hampshire and beyond. >> i voted for trump twice, in '16 and '20. i may vote for him again. >> why? >> i think nikki haley is a wonderful candidate. i've been to some of her vents

as well. if i had to say right now, i would probably vote for trump. et for adults with mild-to-moderate covid-19 and a high-risk factor for it becoming severe. it does not prevent covid-19. my symptoms are mild now, but i'm not risking it. if it's covid, paxlovid. paxlovid must be taken within the first five days of symptoms, and helps stop the virus from multiplying in your body. taking paxlovid with certain medicines can lead to serious or life-threatening side effects or affect how it or other medicines work, including hormonal birth control. it's critical to tell your doctor about all the medicines you take because certain tests or changes in their dosage may be needed. tell your doctor if you have kidney or liver problems, hiv-1, are or plan to become pregnant, or breastfeed. don't take paxlovid if you're allergic to nirmatrelvir, ritonavir, or any of its ingredients. serious side effects can include allergic reactions, some severe like anaphylaxis, and liver problems. these are not all the possible side effects so talk to your doctor. if it's covid, paxlovid. ask your doctor today.

ahead of tomorrow's new hampshire primary, nikki haley is sharpening her attacks against donald trump by further questioning his mental fitness for office, pointing to trump's apparent confusion friday at a campaign stop when he mixed up haley with nancy pelosi. >> nikki haley is in charge of security. we offered her 10,000 people, soldiers, national guard -- whatever they want. >> they're saying he got confused, that he was talking about something else, he was talking about nancy pelosi. he mentioned me multiple times in that scenario. we can't have someone else that we question whether they're mentally fit to do this. we can't. >> and, by the way, trump claimed incorrectly that the former speaker was in charge of the national guard or any security on january 6th. she did not have that authority. joining me now from new

hampshire, jen psaki, a former biden white house press secretary, of course, and the marathon woman yesterday all day, all night on the air. and also with us, michael steele, co-host of "the weekend" here on msnbc and former republican national chairman. and robert gibbs, former obama white house press secretary. all new hampshire veterans. michael steele, this is now a two-person race, trump versus haley. what are her chances in new hampshire of winning over nearly 40% of undeclared voters or more there, and then, you know, the maga base staying home? how does the math add up? >> i don't think the maga base stays home. i think they understand the urgency of proving the point, as donald trump noted in the clip that you played earlier, that he wants them to turn out, he wants his numbers to grow to prove the resiliency of his campaign in

the face of this late movement by nikki haley. here's nikki's problem. both her senators from her state have endorsed donald trump. you mentioned before the congresswoman, congresswoman mace endorsing donald trump. the reality is, even in her home state, where she's drastically behind, dramatically behind, donald trump in south carolina, there's not the momentum for her. her candidacy is based on those who don't want trump. that's not the republican base. the republican base is very clear. they want trump. so, i think donald trump takes 50%-plus in tomorrow's voting. i think this race effectively comes to a close and, you know, nikki may want to limp into south carolina. you know, even if she does a strong second, i don't think that evangelical base that makes

up the vast majority of the voters in south carolina will suddenly switch from donald trump to her. the momentum and the energy isn't there, and the hot rhetoric now, andrea, that she's demonstrating is six months too late. you can't start running a campaign 24 hours out from new hampshire against donald trump. this should have been happening months ago. >> jen, new hampshire governor chris sununu was backing nikki haley. he's criticized donald trump. he's been a strong critic of trump for quite a while, but particularly now the claim of immunity for any president. on "meet the press" yesterday, he also made it clear under, you know, tough questioning from kristen that he'll still vote for mr. trump if he's the republican nominee. >> mm-hmm. how can you say you'll support him? >> at the end of the day, most republicans will get behind the republican nominee.

i'm hoping it's nikki haley. >> despite his comments on immunity, despite what you said about the insurrection, you would still vote for donald trump in a general election? >> according to the polls, most of america would. >> it's all coming together for donald trump, isn't it? >> exactly right. that's a perfect example of it. i've interviewed him a couple times. he's on our show tonight. every time he's said, particularly in the last several months, donald trump will not be the nominee. he was predicting nikki haley would win new hampshire, of course, because he endorsed her. his tune has changed on that. his tune has been now more about a strong second, and it's been obviously that endorsement of trump from just last week. and that does tell you that there's an alignment here, a move towards inevitability of where this is headed. i would also note, to add to what michael said, i've been here since saturday. trump had a rally here saturday night. he didn't surround himself with new hampshire electeds.

he surrounded him with those from south carolina to line up this feeling there's an inevitability towards his nomination. it's sure feeling like that at this point in time. >> desantis was supposed to be the shining knight who would support the anti-trump movement, couldn't figure out how to be both critical of trump and avoid his ire because trump had helped him become governor and felt he had been, you know, spurned and was really angry at him. so, here's what he had to say about trump in november last year versus what he said when he dropped out of the race. >> you could be the best governor ever and he'll trash you. you could be a terrible, corrupt politician, but if you kiss his ring, then all of a sudden he'll praise you. trump is superior to the current incumbent, joe biden. he has my endorsement because we can't go back to the old republican guard of yesteryear. >> so, how does this all work? how authentic can that be to

voters? how persuasive? >> well, i don't think it strikes anybody as overly authentic. i mean, i think, look, it's politicians doing what politicians do. i don't think anybody is surprised. i think you'll see a stampede of not just congresswoman mace but my sense is tomorrow when nikki haley loses by 15 or so points, you'll have a huge amount of that republican apparatus that hasn't endorsed donald trump rush to endorse him. you know, i think, andrea, you touched on it. ron desantis never really figured out, other than hoping the republican base would walk away from trump, never figured out how to pry them away from donald trump, always just became sort of an imitation of trump, and, quite frankly, as we've said before, in a race like this, why would you go for the imitation if you could have the real thing? i chuckled with what michael said. he didn't mean it like this, but when he said nikki haley could

finish a strong second, i think it's important to understand second in this place is last, right? so there is no avenue for nikki haley to go. this is her best chance to win a race. this is the electorate that's most likely with those undeclared voters to give her a shot at that momentum, and there's no evidence that that's at all happening on the ground in new hampshire. >> just to point out, as you and jen know from firsthand experience with barack obama, new hampshire surprises. >> we do know that well. >> i'm still surprised at what could in 2008, and we're going on 16 years. absolutely anything can happen. but, boy, in that instance -- and i think you were with then senator clinton at that event -- you could feel something shift. and i don't think the challenge for nikki haley is that she's done anything in the last really 72 hours to drive that dynamic shift, something she needed to try to do. with these endorsements, the

only person that's kind of driven that is donald trump. >> let's just say if donald trump said you're likable enough, nikki, it would haven't the same reaction because it's coming from donald trump, not barack obama. jen psaki, michael steele, robert gibbs, what a pleasure talking to all of you. jen, get some rest. >> i'll see you tonight. >> see you later. abortion politics, the biden white house pressing reproductive rights as a top campaign issue for democrats across the country. i'll speak to amy klobuc. sometimes your work shirt needs to be for more than just work. like when it needs to be a big soft shoulder to cry on. which is why downy does more to make clothes softer, fresher, and better. downy. breathe life into your laundry.

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join the millions of people taking back their privacy by downloading duckduckgo on all your devices today. on the 51st anniversary of roe v. wade today, the biden administration is doing its part to try to ensure that women's access to contraception, abortion, medication, emergency abortions, all of that, despite the supreme court overturning roe and restrictions that have en enacted in a number of states. this as vice president kamala harris iff her nationwide fight for reproductive freedoms tour today in wiscoin tomorrow the president and the vice president will appear together at a campaign rally in northern virginia for the first time in the 2024 campaign. joining me now is nbc news washington correspondent yamiche alcindor from the battleground state of wisconsin. great to see you, yamiche.

tell us what the vice president is hoping to focus on there. >> reporter: good afternoon, andrea. i'm here in waukesha county, wisconsin, have vice president kamala harris is going to be kicking off that tour to fight for reproductive rights and abortion access 51 years to the day that the supreme court decided roe v. wade, which, of course, had enshrined federal abortion rights for across the country. that, of course, was overturned by the dobbs decision, but the vice president will be here trying to galvanize voters in this county that former president trump won twice. it's a deeply red county. she's expted to say, "these extremists want to rollack the clock to a time women were treated as full sit tenths to the 1800. former president trump handpicked threeupreme court justices because he intended for them to overturn roe. he made a decision to take away your freedoms, and it is a decision he does not regret."

i spoke to a democratic woman voter a few miles from here. she had an abortion because she was pregnant with a baby that had a defect that was not going to allow him to live. she talked about what the vice president's visit to the state meant to her. take a listen. >> i think historically the left has not done a good job with bringing to light all the variation with people's experience, so i'm encouraged by today's visit by you and vp harris. >> reporter: she says she's hoping democrats will continue to make this message clear and that republicans in the state will be stopped from doing things like what they're trying to do right now, which is institute a 14-week ban on abortion right now. women can have abortions in this state up to 20 to 22 beaks of pregnancy. we're here of course as the vice president is expected to take the stage in the next hour. andrea?

>> yamiche, thanks so very much for setting that up. joining us now is minnesota's democratic senator, amy klobucar, who serves on the judiciary committee. thank you very much, senator. good to see you. >> thanks, andrea. >> the biden campaign released a memo friday warning the election will determine, quote, the facility of women's reproductive rights. of course tying donald trump and republicans to these abortion bans. do you think it still resonates as the kitchen-table issues of the economy where he's not getting as much credit as people think he should be getting for a strong economy? but the other things people are seeing every day. >> of course this resonates. you just heard from that wisconsin citizen talking about her own personal story. this is the anniversary, 51st, of that day when the supreme court said that women had a right to control their own destiny. and now, because of this

republican-appointed supreme court, the dobbs decision, that right is no longer there on a federal basis. and the results have been disastrous. you look at what just happened recently where a north carolina woman seeking reproductive care had to come to washington, d.c., to get an abortion and stay in a homeless shelter. you see 14 states having all-out bans, a number of them limitations, women having to go from state to state looking for care, surges in care in certain states, 56% increase in washington state alone. and then, as if it's not enough, the republicans in texas pushed through that mifepristone case, which is now headed to the supreme court, which would affect women not just in the states that have banned abortion but, in fact, all over the country. that's one important point i know the vice president will

make today, that this can affect everyone in the country regardless of what state you are, the national abortion ban, the mifepristone ban. they are doubling down on their position instead of backing down. >> nikki haley said on sunday on "face the nation" that the threat of a national abortion ban is a lie put forth by democrats. let's watch. >> 60 senators would never approve a ban on abortion. that's a fact. that's a fact. so, why put out something that's implying something's going to happen to the american people that is a lie? that's never going to happen. >> is a national abortion ban not a threat? >> it is a threat. you know why? number one, people said it wasn't a threat to get rid of roe v. wade, and it happened. number two, president trump leading in every poll has, in the past, said women should be punished, and now i guess we say to the voters of this country, who would they rather have in,

someone who has said he's supported bans in the past or someone like joe biden, who has made it very clear he wants to codify roe v. wade into law and guarantee that women have the right to make their own decision about health care and not politicians? >> was it a mistake for the biden campaign to skip new hampshire where they could have tried to elevate this issue to voters that -- >> you know what, that was a decision -- okay -- decision by the dnc, and from what i know there's a major write-in effort for joe biden going on. i did hear the alarming news just an hour ago where the a.g., the attorney general, republican attorney general, has put out an alert and warned voters that there are fake ai-created robocalls going out with joe biden's voice that are not true, telling people not to vote. i'm looking at what's happening right now in that state, as someone who ran in that state, loved that state.

i think that all voters should be very aware of what's going on there and should continue to vote as they planned to, because that is a major interruption, a crime, actually, if that is occurring, and it appears that it is. >> nbc was the first, mike memoli, to report on, this and it's very alarming. you did very well in new hampshire, by the way, not incidentally. is it something that you as a senator on the judiciary think should be brought up as part of election security? >> yes. actually, i'm leading a bipartisan bill to ban these deep-fake ai-created ads, and i have a number of republicans on the bill. we cannot wait until the fall to do this. this is already hatching. and i don't care if you're a democrat or republican, no one, no one wants to see these fake ads where you cannot even tell, or robe calm where is you cannot even tell if it's your candidate or not. it has the potential to destroy

democracy if we allow that to continue. there is a way to do it constitutionally. you obviously have to allow for satire and that kind of thing, to ban these kinds of ads. other countries are doing it. states are doing it. we need to do the same because the federal elections are at stake, not just for the presidential race but also the senate and the house. >> important points. senator amy klobucar, thank you very much. >> thank you, andrea. and the pressure is building. hostage families storming a parliamentary committee meeting and demonstrating at prime minister netanyahu's home, demanding that he focus more on the hostages and getting them out than on the war. reaction from a top netanyahu adviser next. you're watching "andrea mitchell reports." this is msnbc. nbc. marriage. kids. college. kids moving back in after college. (applause) finally, we can eat. ♪ you know you make me wanna... ♪ and then we looked around and said, "wait a minute, this isn't even our stroller!" (laughter)

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president biden's middle east coordinator is heading to the region again this week to meet we jipgs and qatari leaders, continuing to push all sides for an agreement to release the hostages. my reporting is that the latest proposals include phased pauses in hostage releases but not the full cease-fire hamas is demanding. the hostage issue is galvanizing israel with families increasingly frustrated and angry by the prolonged imprisonment of their children, some members shouting a parliamentary session shouting "shame on you." last night, relatives of

hostages protesting outside israeli prime minister benjamin netanyahu's home. >> i'm here tonight because my son is one of 136 hostages still being held somewhere in gaza, and it's been 107 days, and i'm here to make noise to say we need to bring these hostages home. >> joining me now is ambassador mark regregev, senior adviser t prime minister benjamin netanyahu. thanks for being with us. >> thanks for having me. >> thanks for being here. there are really two conflicting demands on the prime minister right now, and feelings among the israeli citizens. those citizens are overwhelmingly in favor of continuing the war, defeating hamas, the original goals. but the generals are warning that is not compatible, according to a very credible "new york times" report, not compatible with getting the hostages out, because defeating hamas means going into the tunnels and that could be a

death sentence for the hostages who are buried there against all humanity and international law, admittedly. so, what can you do? those families that were here last week, i met with them, we've interviewed them. they want their children home. >> and they're right. and of course we understand what they're going through. we can try to understand the pain, the suffering. as you just reported, they're being held hostage for 107 days, and it's going on, and they know full well the sort of violence hamas is capable of. first, we saw that violence of course on october 7th, the sort of horrific brutality that hamas committed, the beheadings, the rapes, the burning of people alive. also, in that first grouping of hostages that were released in november, they talked about systemic psychological and physical abuse.

so, of course one has to feel for the families. but to answer the policy part of your question, we don't think there's a contradiction at a strategic level between pursuing the campaign against hamas and getting the hostages out, because in november, when we got over 100 people out, it was precisely the military pressure that got us over the top and got hamas to agree to release hostages in the framework of a temporary pause in the fighting, because they were desperate for that pause. if we were to unilaterally cease our operations against hamas, they'd have no motivation whatsoever to release anyone. so let's keep the pressure on, left's -- it worked in november. it can work in january. it can work in february. let's just keep the pressure on hamas, make them interested in a cease-fire that involves a pause that brings the hostages home. that's the way it worked in the past. it can work in the future. >> there's a growing number of

military within israel that disagree with that conclusion. but let me move on to the so-called day after. i was on the trip, as you know, with secretary of state blinken. there was a conversation friday between the president and the prime minister. the prime minister repeated on twitter and in a very unusual statement on the sabbath, on saturday, that any palestinian state has to be a nonmilitarized palestinian state, that israel has to provide the security, which is a deal breaker according to many palestinians and arab leaders. so, what about this disconnect between the u.s. position, which is aligned with the arab leaders now, and what netanyahu is willing to go along with? how do you -- how do you come up a palestinian state that does not have a militarized security component? >> i'm not sure that the gap is

so large. ultimately, the americans are not talking about palestinian state for tomorrow. they're talking about something that maybe will happen in the future. and at the same time, israel says, and the prime minister has repeatedly said we are willing to have a situation where the palestinians have all the powers to rule themselves and none of the powers that could threaten israel. now, that's from him. the second parent of that is particularly understandable, i hope, for international audiences after the terrible october 7th massacre. and it's clear that if there's going to be progress in negotiations with the palestinians sometime in the future, it will be based on overall israeli security control, because when we gave up that security control, we saw what happened on october 7th. >> and just quickly, mark, would

israel agree to a 90-day pause in order to get hostages out? that is certainly on the table. >> so, i can't negotiate publicly with you. there are professionals doing that in closed rooms with the united states, with the egyptians, with the government of qatar. it worked, as i said, before, it worked in november, it could work again now or in the near future. but it has to be understood, hamas is not going to release anyone because they've decided to be nice people. hamas are brutal killers. we saw what they are capable of. we saw the gruesome brutality they're capable of. as president biden said, they will only respond to pressure, and we are applying that pressure now. and that's the best way, we believe, we'll get those hostages out. >> mark regev, thank you very much. >> thank you for having me here. we'll go live to georgia as

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special prosecutor appointed to oversee the election interference case against former president trump. despite wade's lack of career experience on a high-level criminal case. now accusations of an improper relationship have been made by one of trump's co-defendants and wide's wife in divorce proceedings. joining us from marietta, georgia, blayne alexander. this is a mess. >> reporter: this is what i've been kind of calling this unexpected sideshow to the trump election interference case we'd all been watching in fulton county. now we're in cob county. what you talked about, the fact that fani willis election interference case. now we're in a neighboring county, cobb county. fani willis was deposed, requested to testify tomorrow. she will not be doing that. instead, a judge says she she's going to wait for about ten days after he hears from nathan wade

in a separate hearing. the other thing that's happened is the divorce records have now been unsealed. that means all those records can become public, readily accessed by the media and also by attorneys for michael roman. that's notable, andrea. you'll note that michael tomorrow man is one of the trump co-defendants, alleging fani willis and nathan wade are having a romantic relationship, but more importantly that she was financially benefiting from that. now those records are unsealed, we're working to get our hands on them right now and go through them, roman's attorney has said all along that that has evidence to point to the fact that point to the fact the claims they're making are true. >> blayne alexandra, thank you very much. chuck todd joining us from the granite state to tell us what to watch for ahead of the new hampshire primary.

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we have been campaigning everywhere. it is go time. tomorrow is the day. people are excited -- >> nikki haley campaigning in concord, new hampshire, moments ago and posing with a baby. a classic campaign moment. let's bring in some expert analysis on the now two-person republican primary race. joining us from manchester is the expert, nbc news chief political analyst chuck todd. you're there in the armory, you're in your place. it doesn't feel like a new hampshire primary before you go from candidate to candidate and there's a lot of surprise because you don't know who's up, who's down. a two-person race. >> it really is. look. the history of the new hampshire primary says be careful assuming what's going to happen tomorrow. we've seen it far too often, and the new hampshire primary of

yesteryear would take all of these predictions, is it over, this primary is ending tomorrow, somehow these independent voters would show up in droves and drag nikki haley across the finish line like what happened with hillary clinton in 2008. but i can't -- you don't feel it on the ground. if you told me that happens tomorrow, i'd be like, okay, how did it happen because you don't see it, you don't feel it. nikki haley's organization feels like an organization that was just pasted together, right? she went for months being the campaign herself. and then as she caught flight, they sort of built the airplane as it took off. you can -- that was a missing ingredient in iowa and it feels like a missing ingredient for her here, andrea, as well. >> on the democratic party side, is there an embarrassment factor, potentially for the write-in campaign that is not white house supported really.

but for the write-in campaign for joe biden who skipped it, disked it, they don't like that at all. is dean phillips a factor? i keep thinking of eugene mccarthy and what happened with lbj. >> i'll say this, andrea. it isn't zero. over the last few days, his events at least have had a few more voters at it, not just a heaping lump of reporters kind of bored. just to give you a taste, the big events today. there's a trump rally tonight. you have nikki haley and sununu campaigning. donald trump jr. at a winery. dean phillips doing a meet-and-greet as close to reporters as he possibly can. i've seen more evidence of the joe biden write-in campaign as i've expected. they vacillate between complaining it's just a couple of people -- yet, you see some yard signs that are pretty

sophisticated, write in joe biden and it's done, as if it's in -- it's in handwriting, the words joe biden. it's an effort here to do it. i find it interesting the phillips people assume they're going to lose the primary, that the write-in is going to win. anything -- look, if the write-in wins, you've got to give biden's team some credit for pulling that off. i think it's a very risky strategy. you do give phillips something to run against. he didn't have anything to run against before this write-in campaign showed up. >> i guess the political obituary for desantis, other than what he might want to try to put together in '28, 99 counties, moving his family to iowa from florida. >> andrea, you tell me. i'm trying to think of the last -- joe biden is the only successful presidential candidate to do as poorly in previous campaigns as be able to

come back and be a front-runner. i don't see it. john mccain lost but he had some success in 2000 which made him more viable in '08. the problem for desantis is what has he done that proves to you he's viable in '28 as a candidate or as an operative? i don't see it. >> chu todd, great to see you up there. thank you, my friend. >> thank you, andrea. >> that does it for this "andrea mitchell reports." follow the show on social media @mitchellreports. come to msnbc.com/andrea. "chris jansing reports" starts right now. good day. i'm chris jansing live at msnbc headquarters in new york city. is it new hampshire or bust for nikki haley? the former governor just hours away from what may be the most critical contest of her political life. can she do well enough to prove she b