good day. i'm chris jansing, live at msnbc headquarters in new york city. today, the big reveal, millions of voters across 16 states with some of the wildest most competitive and expensive races a super tuesday has ever seen. since it is by far the biggest day on the primary calendar, it can tell us the direction both

parties are headed in and how they will stack up this november. consider the scores of down ballot races. microcosms of a country at war with itself over its priorities and its politics. the premiere matchup in california, where leading the volatile u.s. senate race polls moderate adam schiff against the liberal democrat katie porter and republican ex-ballplayer steve garvey, who has surged in the polls, even while barely campaigning. in north carolina, maga voters could elevate a trump endorsed culture warrior in the fight for governor. and one of the country's few true battleground states. texas voters, ground zero for what is increasingly the top campaign issue in the country. what to do about the border. and across the country, 115 congressional primaries are being decided as we speak. with democrats needing to flip just four seats to take control of the house. all of that providing valuable exit polling data, informing

campaign strategies with extraordinary stakes that include the future of reproductive rights, immigration, voting rights, criminal justice, and, of course, the overarching stake, the future of democracy. we have two hours to provide insights into all of that want extraordinary show of force. our correspondents fanned out all across the country and talking to voters in 13 states today. a lot to get to. it brings us to the top of the ticket, the presidential primaries. it is clear that both presidential biden and donald trump are beyond anxious to get to what will be an epic rematch, fully under way. both are so close to clinching their party's nominations, well, get ready, 2024 is likely to be the longest general campaign in u.s. history. >> well, my focus is really at this point is on biden. we should win almost every state today, i think every state. we're going to have a unified party because our real opponent

happens to be named biden. >> there's so much at stake. democracy, freedom, economic opportunity. if you haven't voted yet in the primary season, go to i will vote.com to find out where you can vote. think of the alternative, folks. if we lose this election, you're going to be back with donald trump. >> nbc's ali vitali is following the haley campaign from mount pleasant, south carolina. okay. this is the one name on the ballot that is not trump or biden. and everyone wants an answer to this question, what is haley expecting today, and maybe more so, what is she going to do after today? >> reporter: look, i think i can answer one of those questions for you, chris, which is that haley is expecting to do as well as she can here. i know that's vague, but the campaign has purposefully been vague when i asked them repeatedly what does success look like, where on this map do

they think they can notch a win. they got their first and what could be their only win on sunday night in washington, d.c. primary. now, though, they're looking ahead to super tuesday and it is going to be a question of coalition building. you look at places, for example, like in virginia or in vermont, places that haley spent a little bit of time in this ramp up to super tuesday. that's where they think they can cobble together a coalition like what we saw her do in new hampshire, where it is not just your traditional republican primary voter, but maybe it is folks who want an alternative to trump, maybe it is independents, maybe it is even democrats who can play in this primary before ultimately going home to the biden campaign in november. but when i talk to voters in a state that is more ruby red, a place like texas, this is what those republican voters who showed up to haley's last event last night had to say to me. watch. >> so, what happens in 2024 if it is trump versus biden? >> are we on camera? >> biden probably.

>> for you? >> since i was 18, i'm a strict republican, but i'm not going for trump. >> i would stick with the republican party, definitely. >> even if it is trump? >> yes. >> that's the split that i hear at haley campaign events. i would say two to one they say they're going to stay home and vote -- and/or vote for biden or go home to trump. it is a split bag at this point. but for haley, that's the point. the idea that in her being the nominee, it could take some of the electability guesswork out of the republican party's game in november. of course, as we have said before and we need to say again, you don't get to a general election without getting through a primary and that is the haley campaign difficulty at this juncture. i will also add for you, chris, i just spoke with a haley campaign official in the last few minutes. they're calling themselves today a bunch of happy warriors. they say at least here in the mount pleasant and charleston areas they are listening to music.

some of it a little bit on the nose including the drake song started from the bottom. now they are here and we'll see where they go next at this point. >> all right. ali vitali, out on the campaign trail, thank you so much. as she always is. let's go to the big board, nbc national political correspondent steve kornacki is with us. steve, we know nikki haley would like to stay in this race. that said, what is she up against tonight? >> she is up against some pretty harsh realities of delegate math, of state rules about who can vote, and how those delegates are distributed. let's start with if nikki haley makes noise tonight, where would it be? where would we look? first polls to close actually, two states here that could be quite friendly to her. one is vermont, winner take all state. if you get the majority of the vote in vermont, you get all 17 delegates. vermont was not a good state for donald trump in the 2016 republican primaries. you look at the results here. trump got 32.5% in vermont, barely beat john kasich.

this was one of trump's worst showings in 2016. no party registration in vermont, independents, democrats, if you think of yourself as one of those, you can vote in this republican primary. right away, that could be a target for nikki haley. also closing at 7:00 tonight, take a look in virginia, again, look at the 2016 results in virginia, trump won this state, but that was an underwhelming performance for donald trump relative to what we saw in other states. you'll see this population dense washington, d.c. suburbs of northern virginia, they do give out some delegates in virginia that are based on the congressional district result. there is three delegates right in that northern virginia, d.c. area, three districts where haley could certainly win. and could collect some delegates tonight. we'll see if she's able to make the state wide race in virginia a competitive one. other places you might look tonight for nikki haley, minnesota, colorado, the delegates, though, are given out on a proportional basis, so

whether she actually technically wins the state or loses the state, it is not going to alter the delegate math too much. if she could win either one of those, that would be a big coup for her campaign. the problem for her is even if she has success, some kind of success in the states i outlined, she's looking at california, this is a closed primary. no independents. no democrats. it is a winner take all primary. 50% plus 1 take all the delegates. 169. can donald trump get a simple majority in a closed primary? all the evidence suggests he can. texas, 161 delegates. very conservative electorate, very trump-friendly demographics. the rules that make this not quite but close to a winner take all state, that's more than 300 delegates between those states and unless haley is pulling the rabbit out of the hat, trump is getting the overwhelming share of those 300 plus delegates. arkansas, alabama, oklahoma, tennessee, very favorable demographics to donald trump. rules in terms of how the

delegates are allocated, they make a lot of those states winner take all or close to winner take all states. just by winning in the states i've outland here for donald trump, he stands to get a massive delegate haul and by getting some of the delegates in colorado, some in minnesota, some in virginia, some in vermont, that's not going to get haley very far, just in terms of the math. and, again, unless she's winning, multiple states, outright winning multiple states where nothing we have seen in the primary results and nothing we have seen in the polling so far suggests she has much of a chance unless she does that, this trump number is going to get very high, close to a thousand. and this haley number will go up, but not by a ton. >> that would be one of the greatest political upsets if she wins any of those states. steve kornacki, who almost certainly will still be at the big board this time tomorrow, we thank you for all of that. much appreciated. okay, so let's talk about the two prohibitive favorites. garrett haake is with the former

president outside mar-a-lago. and nbc's aaron gilchrist is covering president biden. listening to the former president, it seems like he can barely wait to dispatch of nikki haley. what is the rush and what does the campaign hope to get out of tonight, maybe some voters he struggled with in other states? what is their goal, just to end it? >> reporter: yeah, i think that's exactly right. even though she's not winning states, every time nikki haley is on the ballot and gets 20, 30, 40% of the vote, she exposes a vulnerability that donald trump has within the republican electorate and the general election electorate at large. the trump campaign would like to shut that down as much as possible so they can to the degree it is possible with the candidate that they have pivot toward the general election and try to focus more on joe biden and less on this, you know, intermural republican fight. so they would like to try to put this away. they understand they cannot win the nomination outright mathematically tonight, but with

a big enough sweep, they hope that perhaps they can push nikki haley closer to the exits. all of that said, the former president continues to kind of not be able to quit nikki haley, cannot quite keep his focus on joe biden even when he wants to. he spends at least some portion of every media appearance or campaign appearance making sure to attack her and even when he suggests she's not winning, not doing that well, he's giving her more oxygen to stay in this fight. >> all right, so, aaron, joe biden doesn't have a nikki haley. he isn't facing any real competition in these states. but can today's results or tonight's, i guess, is more accurate, tell the campaign some things heading into the general? >> yeah, i think so. you have the super tuesday voting that is happening today, combined with the state of the union speech the president will give on thursday and this is really a point in time where i think the campaign is looking to really ramp up its efforts to get the general election process under way. we are going to hear president biden in his state of the union

address on thursday talk about what he believes his successes have been so far in his administration. and then also talk about what he wants to do in the future, and you combine that with the reality around what the president has been saying about the former president donald trump in the last few weeks and what he believes is the threat that he poses to democracy, those are messages that you're going to hear continuously as the general election campaign gets closer, the biden campaign is by all indications looking at today as one more big round of voting that will further solidify who the competitor for president biden is going to be going forward. i also think, chris, we're going to see in the next several days more talk about where president biden is going to be going and what he'll be talking about in terms of his outreach to voters. we know that this weekend he'll be heading to philadelphia on friday, after the state of the union, and then to georgia to the atlanta area on saturday. we also just learned that former president trump is going to be in georgia on saturday as well, and so we'll again we'll have

the split screen moment as we did last week, but this times squarely campaign focused for both candidates and the reality around what the general election is going to look like i think will come into sharper focus, chris. >> as he heads to two of the handful of battleground states. garrett, as i've been listening to donald trump and even just yesterday he's been pretty dismissive of nikki haley, even saying he lost d.c. on purpose. do you get any sense that the political realities and don't mistake anything about donald trump, he's done pretty well using his own political gut, could those realities make him inclined to pursue what a fox news host called a peace deal with nikki haley? would he find her support useful, do you think? >> i think ultimately that is something that the trump campaign is going to want, whether donald trump wants it or not is another story, chris. because he takes politics quite

personally a lot of the time here, and if nikki haley doesn't come back to him with an apology and coming back on his terms, he may not personally want her support. but his campaign is sophisticated enough to understand that they do have a significant problem with women, with suburban voters, with independent voters, like those that nikki haley appeals to. whether it comes in the form of and endorsement or some other effort to shore up his support with those demographics, if donald trump wants to be president again, they're going to have to address that issue more completely because right now what he's been saying on the stump is basically if you're not with me now, i don't want you back later. and that is not a recipe for winning in a general election that is going to be decided by maybe 100,000, 200,000 votes in six states. >> that is wild. garrett haake, even though i know it, you say it, and it is crazy. thank you, garrett, aaron gilchrist, thank you as well. we got a lot more to cover here.

can haley's campaign give some clues for how to beat trump and what does it mean that she is the last republican standing? we're back in 60 seconds. n stang we're back in 60 seconds everywhere but the seat. the seat is leather. alan, we get it. you love your bike. we do, too. that's why we're america's number-one motorcycle insurer. but do you have to wedge it into everything? what? i don't do that. this reminds me of my bike. the wolf was about the size of my new motorcycle. have you seen it, by the way? happy birthday, grandma! really? look how the brushstrokes follow the line of the gas tank. -hey! -hey! brought my plus-one. jamie? i know what it's like to perform through pain. if you're like me, one of the millions suffering from pain caused by migraine, nurtec odt may help. it's the only medication that can treat a migraine when it strikes and prevent migraine attacks.

treat and prevent, all in one. don't take if allergic to nurtec. allergic reactions can occur, even days after using. most common side effects were nausea, indigestion, and stomach pain. relief is possible. talk to a doctor about nurtec odt. does today's potential last stand for nikki haley tell us about the enduring power of donald trump. haley and her supporters far outspent the competition, about $100 million of the $300 million spent overall by eight candidates. but with the exception of d.c., where only about 2,000 votes were cast total, haley lost every primary by double digits. still, she's clearly frustrated by detractors. >> i don't know why everybody is so adamant that they have to follow trump's lead to get me out of this race.

>> and then there is the unanimous supreme court ruling that allows trump to stay on the ballot, as "the washington post" succinctly puts it, to anyone hoping that trump's efforts to overturn the last election would lead to judicial system to meaningfully penalize him before the next one, recent developments have proved sobering. joining me now, former white house communications director, former communications director for hillary for america, msnbc political analyst and co-host of msnbc's "how to win 2024" podcast jennifer palmieri, senior msnbc political analyst matthew dowd. jennifer, nothing nikki haley's campaign has done so far has put her in the winner's column. d.c. excepted. she just keeps losing. i wonder is patience a virtue here?

is she wasting her time? do you have a different thought, particularly based on your experience as someone who knows what it is to be on a campaign up against donald trump? >> yeah, she is never going to be the republican nominee, but as long as she stays in, she's helping joe biden. if you look at what happened to the republican primary, i think biden comes out in pretty good shape, we learned, i think new hampshire, there was going to be some kind of energy behind an effort to have an antibiden movement, it revealed itself in new hampshire where biden wasn't on the ballot. there was no energy, no traction for that. so, biden comes out and out of the primary in a good position. and then for trump, it just -- this fundamental problem for him that somewhere between 20 to 40% of republican voters are voting for somebody else. now, i don't know what is in

nikki haley's head, but she's making an argument, i think it is helpful to biden and to the anti-trump effort overall. for republican voters to hear criticisms of trump from a fellow republican, and i think that that helps biden a lot with independent voters going into the general election. >> so, let me challenge you a tiny bit, because you mentioned new hampshire. but what about michigan and 100,000 people who decided they were not going to vote for donald trump in a race that as garrett pointed out could be decided in very low six figures. >> yeah, but they voted uncommitted, right? they didn't vote for dean phillips. >> is it not voting for joe biden, if they're generally in the democratic camp, the same as a vote in the general for donald trump? >> they made a decision not to do that, right? why did they do that? they made a decision to call their group, listen to michigan, i know matt is from michigan, so i will, you know, want to hear

from him about that. but, i think, you know, listen to michigan. and then you saw they got 100,000 votes. percentage-wise. it is the same uncommitted vote that donald trump got. excuse me, oh, my gosh, that when barack obama ran in 2012. anyway, it is a bigger number because it is a higher -- it is 100,000 voters. some of those voters, i know that people in michigan think some of the voters will not come back for biden. and that the democrats will have to find different path to victory. some of them will. and i think the vice president -- the vice president remarks on sunday in selma helped a bit. partly because people who lost actual family members in the gaza conflict, that really want to hear concern, anger, emotion, from the president and the vice president.

and they heard that. obviously eight months to figure -- for development to happen in michigan. but they're having to prepare for other alternatives for how you win that state. but i think overall, chris, like the polls show so much -- so much discussion about people don't want biden to run, that even democrats didn't want him to run, if biden was really weak and i'm thinking about, you know, can you turn off the vote in november, a challenger would have emerged in this process, and it just didn't happen. people are -- they are having his back, in a way that suggests that's not going anywhere. there is that -- there is the gaza -- that is an issue, that is a real issue. i'm not dismiss of that. but overall, he comes out of this with the party united behind him. i think it was helpful to go through that february 8th special counsel report where

everybody freaked out coming to terms with the fact that he is 81. a lot of democrats have come to terms and just in it to fight for him. and he comes out of this process unscathed, which is not easy. >> okay. all right. we shall see. it is early. we have a long time until the election. matthew, nikki haley did pull a good percentage of votes in several states including nearly 27% in michigan, which is a battleground state. our reporters are out talking to voters today and this is what republican voters in massachusetts and north carolina said about her. >> i think she's the best chance we have right now to lead the country. and i wanted to make sure that i put out a vote against donald trump. >> i like the fact she's younger. i like the fact that she has executive experience as a governor. she also has some foreign policy

experience. >> i think she's a great candidate. she's smart and energetic. i think her speaking is upbeat. >> november is a long time away. but what is your sense and your experience tell you, matthew, about how many of those voters might be available to joe biden? and is it potentially enough to be decisive? >> i'll answer the second question first. no. it is not enough to make it decisive in this election. i think very few. one of the things i keep saying is there is no data right now that says republicans who don't like donald trump are going to vote for joe biden in a general election. you take a look at every single poll. every single poll. 90% of republicans in the general election say right now they're going to vote for donald trump and 90% of democrats to answer a previous question to jennifer are saying they're

going to vote for joe biden. so, all of these sort of ideas that there is these misgivings among partisans and that somehow they're going to move over and vote for the other guy, there is just no evidence in a general election that is going to happen. i would add in 2016 there was the same conversation, a bunch of republicans are dissatisfied, they're going to vote against donald trump and in 2020, they're even more dissatisfied, they're going to vote against donald trump. donald trump got 94% of republicans in 2020 in the general election against joe biden. that's more than ronald reagan. that's more than george w. bush. that's more than john mccain. that's more than mitt romney. that's more than any other republican in the last 30 years has gotten the percentage of the base. i think it is a fun thing to look at as we look in the primaries. but if i were the joe biden campaign, i would pretty much say 90% to 95% of any republican no matter what they say during the primaries is going to vote for donald trump. >> jennifer and matthew, you're both going to stick around.

we have a lot more to talk about. coming up next, we're going to head to texas where the battle over the border is a big motivator for super tuesday voed voters today. and later, new details about theexplosive warehouse fire in michigan that left one person dead. you're watching "chris jansing reports" only on msnbc. son dead you're watching "chris jansing reports" only on msnbc pictures] introducing, ned's plaque psoriasis. ned, ned, who are you wearing? he thinks his flaky red patches are all people see otezla is the #1 prescribed pill to treat plaque psoriasis. ned? otezla can help you get clearer skin, and reduce itching and flaking. with no routine blood tests required. doctors have been prescribing otezla for nearly a decade. otezla is also approved to treat psoriatic arthritis. don't use otezla if you're allergic to it. serious allergic reactions can happen. otezla may cause severe diarrhea, nausea, or vomiting. some people taking otezla had depression,

suicidal thoughts or weight loss. upper respiratory tract infection and headache may occur. with clearer skin movie night, is a groovy night (♪♪) live in the moment. ask your doctor about otezla. right now you can get a free footlong at subway. just buy any footlong in the app and get one free. just scan the qr code and enter promo code flbogo. it only works from the other side of the screen, buddy. you still got a land line in your house. order now in the subway app.

if you have chronic kidney disease you can reduce the risk of kidney failure with farxiga. because there are places you'd rather be. farxiga can cause serious side effects, including ketoacidosis that may be fatal, dehydration, urinary tract, or genital yeast infections, and low blood sugar. a rare, life-threatening bacterial infection in the skin of the perineum could occur. stop taking farxiga and call your doctor right away if you have symptoms of this infection, an allergic reaction, or ketoacidosis. ♪ far-xi-ga ♪ whoa, how did you defeat them? with a little kung fu strength and by connecting my devices to the most powerful force of all. skadoosh. hah, huh? cool right?

amazing. harness the power of xfinity internet and stay connected to the things you love. ah, they'll be like this for hours. hello dad, hello dad, hello da. uh-oh. good bunnies. ahh! the border battle makes its way into the voting booth today,

because while polls show it is a top issue across the country, it looms particularly large in texas. the border state that politicians love to visit. and a state that is picking a democrat to take on senator ted cruz. no democrat has won a senate race there since 1988. it is also where a long time well known incumbent is facing a rare democratic opponent. nbc's priscilla thompson is reporting in dallas. back with us is matthew dowd. a lot of interesting stuff going on where you are. how contentious could the down ballot races be in the state today? >> reporter: yeah, chris, it is going to be interesting. as it relates to this senate race, you have got nine democrats vying for an opportunity to take on senator ted cruz. and important to note, if none of them get a majority today, that race is going to advance to a runoff. so, while ted cruz will focus his attention on a general election, the democrats may have two more months of duking it out for who is going to be up

against him in november. and we caught up with the man who was leading the pack in terms of the democrats right now, congressman colin allred. and we asked him about the big issue that is animating this race and that, of course, is immigration. and he said he has not shied away from criticizing his party and the biden administration on that issue, pushing them that the status quo is not going to be enough, there needs to be more urgency around it, and he feels like the administration is moving in that direction. though notably when i asked him if he would campaign with president biden, if he came to the state, listen to that exchange. do you plan to campaign with biden here? >> listen, anybody is welcome to come. but my message will stay the same. which is that i'm focused on texas. >> reporter: so if biden plans to come, will you join him? >> i don't know if he is. but like i said, whoever comes, trump, biden, anybody else, you will not hear anything different from me, which is i'm focused on texas and i'm focused on how i know ted cruz is not

representing us. >> reporter: not a no, but not a yes? and you see him sort of smiling, he did not answer that last question that i posed to him. but that is really telling of where this race is right now and where it is going because as the end of the day, the people at the top of the ballot in november are going to matter and that is likely going to be president biden facing off against former president donald trump. and we know from polling that there are a lot of voters out there who feel like republicans handle the issue of immigration better and so you see there allred trying to carve out his own path on this issue saying i am from texas, i know these issues very intimately, and sort of the message that he is trying to put forward on the issue of immigration and the idea that more needs to be done. chris? >> priscilla, thank you. matthew, i'll say this about colin allred, he knows the state he's running in. he knows it is a state that hasn't elected a democrat to state wide office in 30 years. this is a senate seat that democrats think they can flip.

can they? >> well, i'll get a little caveat, i worked on that campaign, in 1988, that the democrat won, lloyd benson won, and i was the campaign manager for the last democrat to win state wide in 1994 in this race. i have some familiarity with it. i think colin allred is going to lead coming out of tonight. the question is does he lead by enough -- does he get 50%? i think he'll get close in that. but i think in the end he'll be the democratic nominee. beto o'rourke showed that ted cruz is vulnerable in this race. and when he ran against him in 2018. i think colin allred is right to run in this race on the bord and not run away from it. and one thing, if i were advising him to do is basically run straight at ted cruz on this border, on the border and say you've been a senator for 12 years, texas had a border for

150 years, and a problem for the last few years. why haven't you done anything? why have you done absolutely nothing on this? >> i think they have a shot, but i think at this point in time it is an outside shot. i think it is a much better shot at a midterm than a presidential year because joe biden will be on the top of the ticket and likely lose texas. but i think he's got a shot. >> i'm being told to wrap it. i have to ask you this question. if it ends up he has to run against roland gutierrez, does he skip that and does he just go after cruz starting tomorrow? >> yes. that's what i would advise him to do, go after cruz, ignore the primary, democrats will get motivated by who can take on cruz the most. i would just start my general election campaign tomorrow. >> matthew dowd, who isn't even being paid for this advice, giving it for free, thank you, my friend. appreciate it. and all of your experience in

texas. coming up, donald trump's new legal strategy to fight the gag order in the new york hush money case. plus, how the former president's constellation of legal dramas are motivating some voters at the polls today. >> former president donald trump is obviously facing some legal issues right now. what do you make -- why are you laughing, sir? >> 91 felony counts. okay, keep going. counts. okay, keep going always dry scoop before you run. listen to me, the hot dog diet got me shredded. it's time we listen to science. one a day is formulated with key nutrients to support whole body health. one a day. science that matters. ( ♪♪ ) we're still going for that nice catch. we're still going for that sweet shot. and with higher stroke risk from afib not caused by a heart valve problem, we're going for a better treatment than warfarin. eliquis. eliquis reduces stroke risk.

and has less major bleeding. over 97% of eliquis patients did not experience a stroke. don't stop taking eliquis without talking to your doctor as this may increase your risk of stroke. eliquis can cause serious and in rare cases fatal bleeding. don't take eliquis if you have an artificial heart valve or abnormal bleeding. while taking, you may bruise more easily or take longer for bleeding to stop. get help right away for unexpected bleeding, or unusual bruising. it may increase your bleeding risk if you take certain medicines. tell your doctor about all planned medical or dental procedures. the number one cardiologist-prescribed blood thinner. we're going for it. ask your doctor about eliquis. [dog whimpers] [thinking] why always the couch? does he need to go to puppy school? get his little puppy diploma? how much have i been spending on this little guy? when your questions about life turn into questions about money...

there's erica. the virtual financial assistant to help you spend, save, and plan smarter. only from bank of america. wealth-changing question -- are you keeping as much of your investment gains as possible? high taxes can erode returns quickly, so you need a tax-optimized portfolio. at creative planning, our money managers and specialists work together to make sure your portfolio and wealth are managed in a tax-efficient manner. it's what you keep that really matters. why not give your wealth a second look? book your free meeting today at creativeplanning.com. creative planning -- a richer way to wealth.

ah, these bills are crazy. she has no idea she's sitting on a goldmine. well she doesn't know that if she owns a life insurance policy of $100,000 or more she can sell all or part of it to coventry for cash. even a term policy. even a term policy? even a term policy! find out if you're sitting on a goldmine. call coventry direct today at the number on your screen, or visit coventrydirect.com. (man) excuse me, would you mind taking a picture of us? (tony) oh, no problem. (man) thanks. (tony) yes, problem. you need verizon. get the new iphone 15 pro with tons of storage. so you can take all the pics! (vo) trade-in any iphone in any condition and get a new iphone 15 pro and an ipad and apple watch se all on us. only on verizon.

"overflowing with ideas and energy." that's the san francisco chronicle endorsing democrat katie porter for senate over all other options. porter is "easily the most impressive candidate." "known for her grilling of corporate executives." with "deep policy knowledge." katie porter's housing plan has "bipartisan-friendly ideas to bring homebuilding costs down." and the chronicle praises "her ideas to end soft corruption in politics." let's shake up the senate. with democrat katie porter. i'm katie porter and i approve this message.

in the hours leading up to super tuesday, donald trump filed a new motion opposing the gag order in the new york hush money case. his lawyers argue president trump's political opponents have and will continue to attack him based on this case. the voters have the right to listen to president trump's unfettered responses to those attacks. not just one side of that debate. so, how big an impact could this ruling and future potential gag orders have on the presidential race? i want to bring in nbc's vaughn hillyard from mar-a-lago. so, it is hard to restrain, vaughn, let's just put it simply, what donald trump has to say on and off the campaign trail. do voters you're talking to feel like he's been unable to share his side, that he's being shut down? what are you hearing? >> reporter: right, there is animosity towards every one of the prosecutors who have taken on these independent cases

against donald trump. animosity from those who have been most loyal to him. among his millions of supporters around the country. feeling like this is a direct effort to undercut the republican party as a whole and the ability for the republican party to effectually change in washington, d.c. as the voters would like to see. when it comes to whether donald trump though is actually being silenced, look, there is nobody that is keeping him off the campaign stage, this is a matter of campaign resources at this point, but to an extent of that, there is also ire that so much money from the affiliated super pacs had to be spent on legal bills stemming from this. listen to two individuals who talked to alex tabot outside of a polling location in utah today on the impact of these criminal trials on their votes today. take a listen. >> why would michael cohen go to jail in the stormy daniels case and then donald trump would have no accountability?

and yet he's the guy that footed the bill? like, of course, he brought that on himself, right? >> i think it is unfair. i feel like if i didn't vote for trump, i feel like i would be saying that's okay. i guess that's what i would say. >> what do you mean by that, that's okay? >> using the justice system to attack your political opponent. >> reporter: and, chris, as we move past this gop primary, with donald trump expected to secure this nomination within the next week or two, for him these criminal trials are only going to be more at the forefront of his political campaign because for the last year, it is not like republicans used it as a bludgeon against him politically, any of the indictments against him, and that is where you see the exact opposite from democrats in the biden campaign who have every intention over the next nine months to remind voters about what is at stake and what is inside of those indictments that have led to these trials. >> vaughn hillyard, good to see

you. thank you. one month after his wife's conviction, jury selection is under way right now for james crumbly. the michigan father facing involuntary manslaughter charges tied to his son's mass shooting at oxford high school in michigan, murdering four of his classmates two years ago. jennifer crumbly was the first parent ever convicted, and her testimony then will be felt here. she repeatedly claimed her husband was responsible for the safety and storage of the gun used in the shooting. explosions lit up michigan skies overnight when a warehouse storing combustible materials caught fire in clinton township. the officials say a 19-year-old, about a quarter mile away, was struck and killed by debris. nbc's adrienne broaddus joins us from clinton township. what is the latest we know there? >> reporter: well, chris, through much of the morning and now entering into the afternoon, firefighters have been working behind us trying to cool those

hot spots after this massive fire which could be seen at least five miles away. i want to take you through the timeline of what happened. first of all, the fire chief telling us this was a vape shop and inside they had at least 100,000 vape pens with lithium batteries. just before 9:00 last night, the first call came in, reporting explosions. soon after, that big fire. now, this fire lasted for hours, and so did the explosions. what caused it is unclear. but the fire chief says the people who were inside were able to escape. a 19-year-old, according to investigators, who was about a quarter of a mile away was hit in the head by some of the flying debris. much of the debris, canisters containing butane and nitrous gas went flying into the air, landing up to a mile away. meanwhile, investigators are trying to determine what caused

this. and who, if anyone, is responsible. chris? >> adrienne, thank you for that update. voters casting their ballots right now in denver. up next, the key data expected from exit polls with two of our campaign experts. more of our super tuesday coverage to come with "chris jansing reports" on msnbc. y coverage to come with "chris jansing reports" on msnbc. my frequent heartburn had me taking antacid after antacid all day long but with prilosec otc just one pill a day blocks heartburn for a full 24 hours. for one and done heartburn relief, prilosec otc. one pill a day, 24 hours, zero heartburn. right now you can get a free footlong at subway. just buy any footlong in the app and get one free. just scan the qr code and enter promo code flbogo. it only works from the other side of the screen, buddy. you still got a land line in your house. order now in the subway app.

- i got the cabin for three days. it's gonna be sweet! you still got a what? i'm 12 hours short. - have a fun weekend. - ♪ unnecessary action hero! unnecessary. ♪ - was that necessary? - no. neither is a blown weekend. with paycom, employees do their own payroll so you can fix problems before they become problems. - hmm! get paycom and make the unnecessary, unnecessary. - see you down the line. some migraine attacks catch you off guard, but for me a stressful day can trigger migraine attacks too. that's why my go to is nurtec odt. it's the only migraine medication that can treat and prevent my attacks all in one. don't take if allergic to nurtec.

allergic reactions can occur even days after using. most common side effects were nausea, indigestion and stomach pain. now i'm in control. with nurtec odt i can treat a migraine attack and prevent one. talk to your doctor about nurtec today. hi, i'm greg. i live in bloomington, illinois. i'm not an actor. i'm just a regular person. some people say, "why should i take prevagen? i don't have a problem with my memory." memory loss is, is not something that occurs overnight. i started noticing subtle lapses in memory. i want people to know that prevagen has worked for me. it's helped my memory. it's helped my cognitive qualities. give it a try. i want it to help you just like it has helped me. prevagen. at stores everywhere without a prescription. (man) excuse me, would you mind taking a picture of us? (tony) oh, no problem. (man) thanks. (tony) yes, problem. you need verizon. get the new iphone 15 pro with tons of storage. so you can take all the pics! (vo) trade-in any iphone in any condition and get a new iphone 15 pro and an ipad and apple watch se all on us. only on verizon.

today's races are about more than just delegate totals. exit polling will give democrats and republicans a chance to look under the hood so to speak. and get real time data on how the voters see the front-runners and what they want from them come fall. for example, in 2016, a vast majority of super tuesday republican voters said they were angry with the government. trump dominated those who wanted a change and rode that wave to victory in november. in 2020, joe biden won joe bider tuesday states with support from moderates and black voters. key groups that also helped him win the white house later that year. matthew dowd and jennifer are back. jennifer, what question or questions do you think will be most important to get the answers to tonight for joe biden? >> what i was interested prior

to last week with the supreme court decision was whether or not you would vote for donald trump if convicted. that not that he would ever be convicted necessarily, but it is the biden campaign information about how, you know, that is critical information for the biden campaign. all right, trump may not be convicted but that tells you critical things about that person. about the unease with january 6th. perhaps with classified documents, that they can be, and they may not be republicans per se, they could be republicans. so i think any information that gets at you know, the haley voters are the most interesting to me. what's behind their concerns. is there anything in there that biden campaign can mind, anywhere, some percentage, some small percentage, 5%, 10%, of those people open to voting for

biden. who did you vote for in the last election is a very key question, too, because that will tell you if there's new people turning out or if you know, it may be that a lot of people who voted for haley voted for biden in 2020. they may be disgruntled former republicans who voted for biden. >> let me ask you about the republican side if i can, matthew. i think both the inclination and the reality for folks around trump is let trump be trump. i don't know that exit polling is going to inform what his messaging is on the campaign, but certainly, it can help his campaign with ads and things then down ballot. what are you going to be looking for? >> every time anybody says what should the strategy be, let trump be trump. do you go to zeus and say let zeus be zeus? he's going to be who he is.

to me, at the most interesting thing which we've seen develop, and i'm going to look at it tonight, is how out of sync even though they vote for donald trump overwhelmingly, how out of sync republicans' views in the primary are with who's going to decide the primary in the general election. when you look at those republican primary voters, they're all backing trump. they don't want to fund ukraine, they don't want the u.s. to be active in the world and oppose roe v. wade and want some sort of national abortion ban. all three of those issues are overwhelmingly unpopular in a general election and you can't find the same dynamic among biden primary voters. they're right along in sync primarily with where the general election is. and so to me, the most interesting thing is how the republican party and we'll see it tonight, we'll see if we see it tonight, continues to be even though they're going to vote for

donald trump and all of that, how way out of sync they are with the average swing or independent voter, majority, in the general election. >> how do you use that? i'm thinking particularly, because let's not kid ourselves, not only is control of the house at stake. so is control of the senate. they're both so incredibly tight right now. how do you message if you're republican in a swing state a swing district? >> well, if you're a non donald trump candidate, it's going to be very hard because he uses up all the oxygen in the room. you have to try to, and even though they don't do this, which i can never understand, they refuse to separate themselves from donald trump and keep going along, going along. i guess because they're afraid of his primary voters in a primary. what we learn frd the michigan vote in 2022 is all three democrats won. all the trump-backed candidates

continued to lay themselves on the line for trump. if you're a republican candidate, even though most don't have the courage to do this, in order to win in a swing state, you have to separate yourself from donald trump because among those swing voters, he's toxic. >> matthew, jen, this is, for us, this is as fun as it gets. don't forget, okay. i'll just speak for myself. i see a little pain on both your faces. >> there may be a few things like the lions winning the super bowl, but this is up there. >> there is nothing more fun than the browns winning the super bowl but i haven't had much luke with that so far. catch how to win 2024. she has claire mccaskill. scan the code and follow along and listen. coming up next, will it be the michigan protest vote all

over again in minnesota for president biden today? plus, hanging over this super tuesday, that ubiquitous sense of dissatisfaction. >> i'm so sick of baby boomer presidents. i love joe biden and i think he's done a great job, but i do worry with his age. but given the alternative, trump or biden, there's zero percent chance i'm voting for trump. either have democracy in a guy that's too old to run it or have democracy. those are your two choices. democracy. those are your two choices u gotk on your trash talk. i'd rather work on saving for retirement. or college, since you like to get schooled. that's a pretty good burn, right?

i brought in ensure max protein with 30 grams of protein! those who tried me felt more energy in just two weeks. -ugh. -here, i'll take that. woo hoo! ensure max protein, 30 grams protein, 1 gram sugar, 25 vitamins and minerals. and a new fiber blend with a prebiotic. (♪♪) this thing? it's what's going on inside of me. it's my moderate to severe ulcerative colitis. it wasn't always this calm uc went everywhere i did. wondering when it would pop up next was stressful doing a number on my insides. but then i found out about velsipity a new once-daily pill, not a steroid or biologic, for adults with moderate to severe uc. velsipity can help calm the chaos of uc — it quickly treats flares providing a chance for lasting steroid-free remission.

don't take velsipity if you've had a heart attack, chest pain, stroke or ministroke, heart failure in the last 6 months, irregular or abnormal heartbeat. velsipity may cause serious side effects including infections that can be fatal, slow heart rate, liver problems, increased blood pressure, macular edema, certain types of skin cancer, swelling and narrowing of the brain's blood vessels or shortness of breath. tell your doctor if you are pregnant or plan to be. if conventional therapy like 5- asas or steroids aren't working for you, ask your gastroenterologist about velsipity. velsipity. help calm the chaos of uc.

♪ (upbeat music) ♪ ( ♪♪ ) constant contact's advanced automation lets you send the right message at the right time, every time. ( ♪♪ ) constant contact. helping the small stand tall. (bobby) my store and my design business? we're exploding. constant contact. but my old internet, was not letting me run the show. so, we switched to verizon business internet. they have business grade internet, nationwide. (vo) make the switch. it's your business. it's your verizon.

you're probably not easily persuaded to switch mobile providers for your business. but what if we told you it's possible that comcast business mobile can save you up to 75% a year on your wireless bill versus the big three carriers? you can get 2 unlimited lines for just $30 each a month. all on the most reliable 5g mobile network, nationwide. wireless that works for you. get the new samsung galaxy s24 on comcast business mobile. save big with up to $500 off an eligible samsung device with a qualifying trade-in. don't wait! call, click or visit an xfinity store. welcome back the another hour of chris jansing reports. ahead for us on this super tuesday. feeling competitive in california. the key races that could decide control of the house in november and the senate seat that has democrats trying to fend off a baseball great. le