>> that does it for me today.

governor tim walz will join me tomorrow night at 8:00 p.m. eastern. stay right where you are because there is much more news coming up on msnbc. >> a very good day to all of you from msnbc world headquarters in new york. talking to alex witt reports. it is 100 days until election day and we begin with a new poll showing a bump for resident harris. 43% of the abc news poll see harrison a favorable light compared to 36% who view former president donald trump favorably. trump had a higher on favorability rating at 52% compared to 42% for harris. information perhaps of what campaign organizers say they are seeing on the ground. >> i have never seen this type of energy, this type of organizing, in all my years of

being involved in politics. she's raised over $200 million. 100,000+ volunteers, and the dnc is also benefiting greatly from that energy. >> the next big item on the agenda for harris -- selecting a vice presidential running mate. the latest poll shows mark elliot leaving the field with a 22% favorability rating followed by gretchen whitmer. she's about 20%. in pennsylvania governor josh shapiro with 17. many are out and making the case for the carriers candidacy. >> joe biden delivered across the board on so many issues, but there's a new burst of energy. i have not seen anything like this for 15 years. what you saw in st. cloud yesterday with donald trump is the same old nonsense, just talking points and denigrating folks.

she is more boosted because she is bringing a positive vision. >> trump continue searching for any effective lines of attack against the vice president. >> we have a brand-new victim. and honestly, she is a radical left lunatic. when you find out about her, all i have to say is, defund the police. that was a big thing. let's defund the police. >> don't you love how he intentionally mispronounces her name? we got a number of reporters across the country with reaction from candidates, voters, and party officials to where the race stands this sunday, 100 days from the election. we start with allie joining us from the white house. what are we hearing from the vice president and some of her

potential running mates today? >> technically, the race between vice president harris and former president trump just began, but really it is entering its final phase with just 100 days to go until the election, and we are starting to see signs about how both of these candidates are going to continue making their cases to the american people in that time span. we heard from vice president harris yesterday and she was fundraising in massachusetts. and notably, among her normal speech, she incorporated these newer, fresher lines of attacks against former president trump then we saw from president biden. and she essentially goaded him into agreeing to that debate in september. she also included the sharper attacks, as we can see the trump campaign do that and see new rounds of attacks against vice president harris from them. listen to some of her remarks yesterday as well as some of the contenders on her vp shortlists were now asking as her surrogates on the campaign trail.

>> you may have noticed donald trump's been resorting to some wild lies about on the record and some of what he and his running mate are saying, which is just plain weird. and you may have seen he just pulled out of our debate. i hope he reconsiders. because we have a lot to talk about. >> she is somebody who understands that making the case is how you win. going out there and everything prosecuting the case, especially against a 34 time convicted felon and congenital liar. >> donald trump is going to put women's lives at risk. donald trump is potentially going to end constitutional liberties that we have. i do believe all those things are a real possibility.

>> we know there are at least eight candidates on the short list, and some of them were across the airwaves this morning. notably mom when asked about that process and whether they would the role of president if harris decided to pick them. we are going to continue seeing them out on the campaign trail showing their loyalty to her as the harris campaign tries to keep the momentum they have built the last week going for the next 100 days. >> thank you for that. let's go now to trailer in minneapolis. welcome to you. what was trump's message last night ? >> alex, yesterday we saw former president donald trump and ohio senator jd vance take the stage together for the first time in the state of minnesota. a democratic leaning state that they say is fully in play for them in this upcoming election. over the past week, we've really been keying in on the

way he's going to shift his campaign message as we seen biden out of the race and vice president harris become this de facto nominee. last night was interesting, because for the most part, we start trump really go after biden. he continued to hit the regular criticisms of his age, his cognitive decline. he made fun of his golf game. he made fun of the way he exits the campaign stage. when i reached out to ask about this continued strategy of going after president biden, they said that ultimately, president biden's record is vice president harris's record. perhaps the most notable part of the evening was when trump himself acknowledged the conversation around trump after his attempted assassination, saying he was going to have a more unifying message to unite the country. trump himself said that may ultimately not be the case. take a look at that. >> i will tell you right now, they all say, i think he has changed. i think he has changed since two weeks ago. something affected him. no, i haven't changed. maybe i've gotten worse, actually.

because i get angry at the incompetence that i witness every single day, the way millions of people are pouring into our country. >> so alex, as you said, we are 100 days out from this historic election. he has a completely different opponent to go against, but if last night is any indication, we are seeing a very true to form trump of what we've seen over the past 100 days. we might see it until election day itself. >> thank you for that. joining me now, democratic congressman from. welcome, my friend. you heard it right from the horses mouth. donald trump saying he has not changed since the attempt on his life two weeks ago. he has gotten worse, he said. what does this foreshadow for the next 100 days of the campaign for kamala harris? >> we are going to see him and jd vance using the same burial tiled playbook that he was using

four years ago. i will say, it mirrors the attacks that they have made about her being a dei higher, which is incredibly false. we know that she was eminently qualified, and she brought additional skill sets and traits that made that ticket both competitive and limiting. and if we are going to talk about, you know, getting worse and talking about inclusion, why do we also talk about things like nepotism inclusion and financial status inclusion, and male gender inclusion. because those are a lot of the boxes that got checked off for donald trump to actually become president. we see that in our boardrooms and our executive suites, even in the halls of congress. i hope he is able to talk about the issues that americans and voters care about, but we know he doesn't have a platform to run on other than project 2025, so he is going to continue to attack and abuse andy fame. >> you accompany the vice president on air force 2, to

that rally in indianapolis. i was just a couple of days after president biden had jumped out. but describe the overall mood at that moment for harris and her campaign. what did you witness? >> she got up at 4:00 in the morning to make sure they could get through security to be in that convention hall to hear her. when she did, she raised the roof. she talked about how amazing biden has been as a president, a progressive he has been. she talked about the issues that all of us care about. making sure we can afford to live here, making sure that we can afford our homes, unemployment being down, inflation being down. we manage the cost of healthcare to an extent, lowering the cost of insulin and inhalers, and she talks about her vision for the future. she says this vision has to include every single person in this convention all. i got on the plane to go back to washington, d.c. to vote on those crazy bills put up by the

republicans, there was an older white man who fist pumped me in the plane and said, were you excited to see kamala harris? are you fired up? are you ready to go? i am. i thought, yes, this is what we need here. oaks from all stripes of life excited for her campaign. >> let me ask you what else happened on thursday, and that was you and kamala harris missing the prime minister's. harris met with benjamin netanyahu the next day, which felt like a somewhat cool reception. how much do you think she is weighing swing state electoral factors in her approach to israel versus the very complicated diplomatic issues that it presents? >> well, you know, i wish that netanyahu would have said many of the things that joe biden said in his address to the nation earlier that week. updating the families of the hostages before i went to

indianapolis, and they said, we need to please push both parties to accept the cease- fire deal. please release the hostages. push to make sure these hostages can be released. if that happens, you will bring a little more stability to the region, you will end the tensions. that is what she said, that is what president joe biden said. it's more important for her to actually be meeting netanyahu and sitting in a ceremonial spot for an address to congress. i think ultimately what swing state voters want is they want to know that we are safe, and that our allies around the world are safe. and what we know as the donald trump practices isolationism and he has turned his back on so many of our allies and potential partners. so she is a breath of fresh air, and i hope she continues to talk about the work that she and joe biden have done to build better relationships with many of our partners around the world. >> what about those fears today

from the rocket strike from lebanon that killed 12 young people on the soccer field in an escalation of all-out war between hezbollah? donald trump says the strike would not have happened had he been president. you are on the foreign affairs committee. what is your read on donald trump's comment? then on the situation more broadly, and if the u.s. can help prevent a second front on the war? >> he is a liar and he is an agitator, and he was doing nothing to actually ease tensions in the middle east during his presidency. he certainly was trying to stoke fires. and i think you try to create some sort of religious war. one of the reasons why we have seen intensified conflict is because of what he did four years ago. joe biden and kamala harris have been at the wheel since the beginning trying to make sure that we can get to an area of peace. i have met with folks, the ambassadors of saudi arabia, jordan, many of them are saying, let's all work

together, because we need a framework for peace that does include a revitalized palestinian authority, that will allow palestinians to practice self-determination and pick the government that will work for them. right now, they don't have any choice. the only choice they have is hamas, and hamas is a terrorist organization. if you could push those discussions forward, then you can ease tensions, you can build trust, and people are more willing to put down arms. donald trump does not invoke trust in anyone, so no one is wanting him to become president again. >> he has been testing out attack lines on kamala harris. let's check out what he did last night with -- this is when he has repeated a few times now. take a listen. >> no person in american politics has been more of an open borders zealot then harris. this was an open border. she was talking about open borders for a long time, before

anybody was even listening. >> let's remind viewers -- president biden asked vice president harris to address. you know this issue is far from being solved. but how can harris defend herself against attacks like these with immigration being a major concern for many voters? >> well, first of all, donald trump should stop lying and maybe try to protect all the couches in his vicinity, considering who his vice president is. you know, one, mass migration, human displacement, it is really a product of root causes like religious persecution, acute poverty, climate change. joe biden tasked vice president kamala harris to look at diplomatic strategies that would address those root causes. we were talking about trade, we were talking about security, we were talking about climate change. people don't want to leave

their countries, but -- >> okay. unfortunately -- fortunately, that was the last question i was going ask the representative there, it looks like we got frozen up. meantime, two states that could make or break the race for each candidate. you will hear from voters in arizona and georgia next when we are back in 90 seconds. seco. their four—point lift design opens my nose for maximum air flow. so, i breathe better. and we both sleep better. and stay married. for more than a decade farxiga has been trusted again and again, and again. ♪ far-xi-ga ♪ ♪ far-xi-ga ♪ ♪ far-xi-ga ♪ ♪ far-xi-ga ♪ ask your doctor about farxiga. meet the jennifers. jen x. jen y. and jen z. each planning their future through the chase mobile app.

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>> a big push to get out the vote in swing states with 100 days until election day. volunteers going door to door trying to drum up voter enthusiasm. our embeds are hearing from voters directly in arizona and georgia. we begin with the kamala harris campaign and four south county, georgia. what are you hearing from the voters there now that the vice president is at the top of the democratic ticket? >> alex, if there is one word i have heard repeatedly over the next couple of days, it is the word enthusiastic and optimistic. voters here throughout the state of georgia have a sense of renewed vigor now that vice president harris is at the top of the ticket. they supported him and some said they would have voted for him, but each and every voter from organizers to volunteers to legislators acknowledged that there is this feeling of a

sense of rejuvenation that they are seeing from voters that motivates them and makes them think that not only can they win this state, perhaps even increase their margins. i am here in forsyth county, georgia. it's a state that trump picked up during the 2020 election. the voters are optimistic, being rallied, and just saying they feel they actually have a fighting shot that kamala harris could be that candidate that keeps georgia blue. i also joined the campaign over the last couple of days as they had their weekend of action. i went to two of their events. one was a canvassing drive. democrats were concerned that even if the county stays blue, turnout may decrease. they went and they canvassed, they knocked on doors, i want you to take a look at what some of those volunteers i spoke to how to talk about the current time we are in. >> i love biden, i love joe. i think even if he was still on the ballot, i would still be voting for him.

but now it is a different energy. it is refreshing. it is not an accident. this is what was supposed to take place, so i am excited about it. >> he did something that was totally unselfish. trump would never do anything like this. joe said it is not about him, it is about us. no matter what our height, our color, our creed, our nationality. he speaks for the entire nation. not just the nation, but the world. >> that last point that you heard is something i have been hearing repeatedly, that kamala harris may outperform in georgia because of her identity and because she can speak to so many groups of voters. voters are excited and we may expect to see the sizable crowds we saw in milwaukee this upcoming week here in georgia. >> excitement is the big word there right now. thank you so much. let's go to camp alex tabet who is covering arizona for us. how are the voters there? how are they reacting to kamala

harris as a likely democratic nominee to replace president biden? >> i have been covering arizona politics for the last five months or so, and during that time, there hasn't really been much enthusiasm, excitement, or optimism about the top of the democratic ticket until this past week, where it is really, really palpable. part of that enthusiasm is not just the fact that vice president harris appears to be ascending to the top of the ticket, but that she might be considering senator mike kelly who is here from arizona for her running mate who has a large degree of reference. not just amongst democrats, but republicans and democrats here in the state. i think a good example or good anecdote that will show the degree of excitement here in arizona is a harris campaign held an event on thursday. it's about 110, 150 degrees here every single day in phoenix. they held an indoor event with no air conditioning and more

than 100 people still showed up, clapping and enthusiastic every step of the way. i want you to hear from a couple of the voters at that event about what they are feeling right now. >> i feel -- you know, i love joe biden as a president. i think he is one of the most successful presidents of the last few years. america is in a really good place because of them. it was actually a little sad to see him step down. but the excitement is so palpable for kamala harris. i think that she has a much better chance to take on donald trump, so i am really optimistic and hopeful. >> i think she is more in tune, more in touch. you know, she goes out there, and she is going to different cities, different states, and she's talking to people and doing her job. i think people see that and she is also listening. i think that is a big thing

that she is doing that is helping her pull well. >> and the youth vote is really key in a state like arizona. home to arizona state university, the largest university in the country. about 80,000 students. it vice president harris can galvanize those young voters and get them into the fold and out to the polls in november, that could be a good time for democrats in just a few months. >> very good point on that. thank you so much. next, this headline about a poll from april says a lot. biden loses support among black men. will this change with harris, and how much? the question black voters are asking next. next. what tractor supply customers experience is personalized service. made possible by t-mobile for business. with t-mobile's reliable 5g business internet.

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>> the election is 100 days away and the emergence of vice president harris has a presumptive democratic nominee sparky new conversations among black male voters. charles coleman recently sat down with members of this key voting block to discuss the magnitude of this moment, and our friend charles coleman joins me right now. is also a former lakeland new york prosecutor. so here's the question, my friend. what did you gather from these conversations about how having vice president harris at the top of the ticket is going to influence their vote? >> alex, i think the easiest thing that i can say that i took from these discussions is that we are not a monolith.

it's an intergenerational conversation that we were able to have, really inviting a lot of different first actives about what the enthusiasm has been since kamala harris enter the race for president, and for some people, how it hasn't changed. i heard from young people talking about their issues, not necessarily about the significance of kamala harris as a black woman, because their frame of reference for the presidency is like obama. i talked to older people, talked about who regardless of who is in office, they are concerned about things like social security and the price of prescription drugs. one of the things that i learned is that there is a sense from some people to just get on the bandwagon regardless of what she is talking about because of the fact that she is a black woman. i thought that was a very interesting dynamic. we get some information from one of the people i'm talking to. >> how much pressure, if any, do you feel to make the commitment and engage the conversation or the support for

kamala harris from community before you have heard anything in terms of what her platform is? >> really significantly. we have already seen that push and that call for us to rally behind her. she already had my vote before we had this conversation, earlier in the year. the biden administration actually campaigned, and that was a direct benefit for me. they had my vote solidified on that. i do feel like the symbolism of the moment does are just a little bit more, even without hearing the platform. >> it is kind of doubled for me, personally, because it is kind of like you are almost a villain if you have a question. it is almost like, you are anti- something, because you are questioning something. politically, because it is such a finite timetable of what you have to make a decision, it doesn't leave room to have a

real in-depth conversation. you are almost put in a place where you have to say, come on, let's go. let's go with what? and then you feel like, wait a minute. i shouldn't be part of this bandwagon. are you anti-because you want to back off now? you know what i mean? it is rough. >> there are a lot of people who are skeptical about the question, and i want a yes or no from each of you. do you think she can win? >> yes. >> i think it is going to be difficult. i want her to, but i don't think so. >> i think she can win. it depends on the strategy the campaign manager takes. i think she can win, but i think we've got to get the young people involved. you've got to get the young people's vote. and how do you engage those people? how do they strategize to get

that vote? >> i think she is going to win. i think she can win. i think she is a more qualified candidate than donald trump is. >> for me, here's way i say i don't think so. everything that we have seen in the realm of american politics since 2016 until now has been -- because we had a black man in office. he won two consecutive terms. earlier when we had the conversation, we played three much since then. to up the ante, a black woman in office i just think is going to be hard. so i hope i'm wrong. >> as you can see, alex, lot of ground covered there, a lot of different perspectives and opinions. it's going to be interesting as we had to november to see where this discussion goes. >> you are 100% right off the top, you are not a monolithic

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but it's under siege from big out-of-state media companies and hedge funds. now, california legislators are considering a bill that could make things even worse by subsidizing national and global media corporations while reducing the web traffic local papers rely on. so tell lawmakers, support local journalism, not well connected media companies. oppose ab 886. paid for by ccia. >> more good news for vice president harris with 100 days to go until election day. the new abc poll has her favorability rating up eight points since that poll was taken just before president biden left the race. she is a 43% now with a net positive favorability rating.

dnc chair jamie harrison says the renewed enthusiasm is putting even generally red states in play. >> this is an energy on the ground i have not seen since barack obama in 2008. and i'm telling folks, don't sleep on florida. don't sleep on north carolina. because we are going to have the boots on the ground to win one of those tight, close elections. >> my sunday family is joining me. joining me now, don calloway, host of the caucus room podcast , along with republican strategist susan dell per seo and david jolly, both msnbc political analysts. gotta start with you, don, because you followed harris for a long time. what is it about her that has stirred up so much energy? >> i think it is important to recognize that she is a younger and exciting category. people are taking the time to get to know her. her rocketship out of the gate performance this last week is a direct result of independent movement based black owned

electoral infrastructure that has been in place and building since 2008 in the barack obama era. on monday, she's been building wind with black women, who has the ability to host a column where 100,000 or more black women get on and begin to participate and donate. love roland martin with an independent black owned news network that is ready to activate. when you stay ready, you don't have to get ready. you have these movement based independent black owned organizations which are serving as a ready-made infrastructure external to the dnc, which is spreading her message far and wide and really doing a lot of the el toro work. that's what i think is at play here. >> how much is it a sense of relief -- how long, all three of us of countless conversations i have had and you have had with others a lip this were we wired about joe biden's age? there was a palpable sense of,

okay, and concern. how much is kamala harris benefiting from that? >> a lot. that was a major issue. it might've been the major issue of the campaign and it is completely eliminated. i will tell you the right is flat-footed and they were not prepared to have a substitute debate with kamala harris. >> 100%. susan, you have the trump numbers in that same pole. his favorability rating has dropped slightly to 36%. on favorability, that is a 52. meanwhile, jd vance his favorability remaining static while his unfavorable slipped about 8 points. give me your sense of interpretation about those numbers. >> donald trump, his numbers are pretty steady. they have been for the last eight years. once he came into office, and since then, he's never cracked 50% in favorability. his floor and ceiling are set. when it comes to jd vance, we

know him. we can talk about him. but even with his speech at the convention, the american public is just getting to know him, and really what is going to hurt him is they are getting to know him off of a really stupid comment about single women. but that's after seeing him for the first time. >> good point. that has ricocheted across this country. let's take a look at the wall street journal, because that has her just behind in a head- to-head matchup. which actually might reflect what we are getting on the ballot november, all of this within a margin of error. is this a honeymoon phase, or is this enthusiasm something that she can take all the way to the election night? >> i think it is both. if you look at this dispassionately, what i would suggest is, enthusiasm is back among democrats. that is measurable both in how they respond to polls as well as giving that $200 million in

one week. enthusiasm, intensity, all of that is back for democrats. it's an even up race, because it's back to levels that republicans are as well. the polls are all margin of error. i think with the vice president has going for her is, with that intensity and without enthusiasm, the ability to tell a new story, are there new voters that start to come into play? young voters, black voters, and perhaps sitting on the sidelines at this point, either newly persuadable voters? there are key states that could change the selection. the pro and the con for the vice president with those newly persuadable, i know this sounds crazy, but nobody knows her. nobody knows her record. nobody knows her vision. she has just started getting out there to find herself, and that is where the opportunity is great. as susan said, there is a ceiling to donald trump. there is not necessarily that ceiling for the vice president should she reach those

persuadable voters this week or in the coming months. that is the opportunity right in front of her. >> let's talk about what we learned today, that illinois governor j.b. pritzker is being vetted as a possible vp pick. what does he bring to the table, and who you think is a leading candidate right now? who would bring the most from an electoral perspective? because that's got to be either at the top were a super significant qualification right now. >> the real answer on what j.b. pritzker brings to the table is that he is a billionaire. he is a billionaire psion of one of the major hotel chain families. but he is extraordinarily popular. he has real appeal over various sectors of his state. brings folks together, well- liked in chicago as well as in springfield. he's an extraordinarily popular guy who could still be in the conversation for vice president and a post-kamala harris area. but he's a billionaire. >> susan, all these possible vp pics -- they bring something

different. and in particular, different vote counts from home states. how does kamala harris balance someone getting those swing state votes with someone who can turn out voters nationally, as well as the person that she sees as her best working partner. >> well, the chemistry between who she chooses is going to be its own separate factor. looking at the numbers, it makes sense the josh shapiro, who has amazing numbers as a governor of pennsylvania, he is at 61% now. however, i am going full mark kelly out of arizona, because he doesn't just potentially bring -- and no vp candidate really brings in a home states, but he is influential in his home state of arizona. but he has such a tremendous story, alex. he is a former astronaut. his wife, gabby giffords, who is targeted in gun violence and

really suffered greatly from her injuries is back out there. and i think she would be a great campaign partner for senator kelly. but kelly plays and more time zones. if they want to open up the map, kelly is the person to do it with. >> well, okay. to that point, david, this has to be made and this decision has to be made very soon. we saw that poll were mark kelly, the senator from arizona, is at the top of the pole right now. another one who is popular, josh shapiro, pennsylvania, brings the electoral votes. he is third right now in the national vote or national poll. give me a sense of where you stand on this and who you think is the strongest candidate. this decision needs to be made pretty darn quickly. >> look, the democrats have a

remarkable bench. that has been known for a while. i think the vice president is looking at some really great candidates. i would suggest they are looking at it democratic dream ticket right now. that is fantastic. where i think susan might be right on the kelly angle is, i would suggest that there is one piece of the puzzle that the vice president could help herself with, which is on national security and issues of global conflict, if you will. not that she is inexperienced. she said four years of vice presidency, but nobody when you get to the white house is fully variance in that space. the world is on fire in ukraine and the middle east, and one day away from a conflict breaking out somewhere else. could you add to the coalition she currently brings by bringing some national security chops to the ticket in addition to what the vice president already has? that's why i'm a little surprised why we haven't seen more talk about somebody that is a down the line democrat -- a true democrat.

i'm not suggesting reaching across the aisle. the reach for a democrat with strong national security credentials. all of a sudden, that wide working class, kind of hawkish group, that demographic might find themselves part of the harris coalition and the game is over. >> that is a very interesting perspective. can i just ask you very quickly your reaction to that ? don, you first. >> i think that the vice presidential course is important, but her map is different from president biden's map. it brings back the abrams organization in georgia and puts north carolina and play and we don't have to rely on pennsylvania, ohio, and michigan. although we still want those in play. the maps are totally different in the vice presidential challenge has something to do with that. >> >> without the interesting? >> it would be interesting, but here's the thing. there's 100 days from today until the election.

so to get a candidate like that known to the public in the same way who has gone through the same vetting, who can be on the stage basically going from zero to 60 in five seconds, i don't think that those types of people without the political chops can transition quickly enough. for the harris campaign. >> nick is telling you got to go, so i guess we got to go. as susan said, 100 days to go until the election. we unpacked the polls in ohio, michigan, and wisconsin next. w let's go whiskers. jen y is working with a banker to budget for her birthday. you only turn 30 once. and jen z? her credit's golden. hello new apartment. three jens getting ahead with chase. solutions that grow with you. one bank for now. for later. for life. chase. make more of what's yours. when was the last time you checked in on your heart? with kardiamobile, the personal ekg device, you can check it from home using your smartphone.

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>> after the ohio senator courted big-time controversy with those childless cat lady comments. vance was back on the campaign trail this weekend and unleashed a line of attack on vice president harris. >> for 3 and half years, my friends, they told us that joe biden was abraham lincoln. and now the media tells us that kamala harris is martin luther king jr. can you believe it? but we all know she is not mlk, justice joe biden was not abraham lincoln. we know that she is a card- carrying member of the san francisco lunatic branch. >> wears vance getting that from? we have nbc national politics

reporter henry gomez joining me from cleveland. henry, welcome. how are ohioans reacting to the first few weeks as running mate? there it is. >> well, alex, we break these voters down into three buckets. you have your super engaged republicans who had been with vance longer than others. they are excited about the pick. they are excited to share with the rest of the country. they are ready to go out there and defend him. this is the first time and i believe 80 years that in ohio and has been on a national ticket, and they are pumped. you have your engaged democrats. they have been following katie vance's career for roughly the same amount of time. they know his vulnerabilities, they know his pressure points, they know the things that make him vulnerable to these attacks we are already seeing, and they are ready to take the charge for vice president harris. but i think the most substantial bucket here, these

are people that don't really know who jd vance is. they often say that governors are better known for senators in their states. when senators have to run for election every six years, it's a challenge to get your name back up there to boost your familiarity, to let the voters know what you been working on. the conversations i have been having -- i live in ohio, and conversations i have been having with neighbors and friends over the last week, it all runs along the lines of, i don't think i know jd vance very well. who is this guy? i know he is our senator. they, like the rest of the country, are learning about jd vance for the first time, and they are hearing the childless cat lady remarks. and so it's going to be on the republicans, on trump, on vance to soft in those edges over the next 100 days. >> can i ask, he's from the midwest. is he going to play better in

michigan and wisconsin? >> that's been a game plan all along for him. the pick was made by trump knowing that they may be running against kamala harris. they may be running against the vice president, jim schapiro, or tim walz, or gretchen whitmer or somebody from the midwest. they are not defending the state from that standpoint. they still think jd vance lines up very well. he could go to michigan and talk about his upbringing, and that can be a success. the problem is, and that is what the folks try to find a pivot point. that's what you see he will try to do over the next week or so. >> wait until they resurrect the things he said about donald trump in 2016. the road to 270 electoral votes. next, we are going to break down where everything stands now and how it could play out in november with the one, the only, steve carnegie. ly, steve

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>> with 100 days until the election, there are new and intriguing electoral pad to victory for former president trump and vice president kamala harris, and it could all come down to a few crucial counties. we are at the big board mapping up the road to 270. >> behold, the road to 270. we got harris now in biden's place, still with the six core battleground states. wisconsin, michigan, pennsylvania, michigan, arizona, nevada. all six of the states voted for joe biden in 2020 and five of these states, nevada being the lone exception, voted for donald trump in 2016. crucial states here. the question is, does harris's entry into the race change anything about this battleground? democrats are certainly hoping it does in one way.

we are going to find out in polling over the next couple of weeks this is burying out. with biden in the race, there had been a clear division among the six states. trump had been faring particularly well in the sunbelt states, in georgia, and arizona, and nevada. why was that? because trump's gains since 2020 have come heavily among nonwhite voters. he is doing better in polling among black voters, among hispanic voters, among younger male nonwhite voters. and of these six states, georgia, arizona, nevada, are more diverse than the three northern counterparts here in the battleground. that was why the polling was particularly troubling for democrats in these three states. and for trump, what that meant was, trump could win georgia, he could win in arizona and he can win in nevada, he would be sitting there on the cusp of victory. he wouldn't quite get in there. it would get him to the line,

basically. all he would need was to win any of these three. a wisconsin, michigan, pennsylvania. the biden folks were already talking about a very narrow path. they were talking about biden having to defend all three of these states, very potentially lose the three sunbelt states, and they felt they could squeak by with 200 70. what democrats are hoping is that harris does better than biden particularly among black voters. this is been an area where he has been struggling against historic democratic numbers. if that changes, maybe a state like georgia stops looking as ripe for trump as it has so far. if democrats, you know, could pick off georgia, there's a lot of electoral votes there. what that would do is it would open up other avenues. just a minute ago, you were telling trump, winning the street from one state away, after this scenario, even if trump wins in michigan, he still would be short. now he would be 2 from this big ten region of stes