right policy. the biden administration is to the end of the war in gaza and make sure the war doesn't spread to the middle east. they are absolutely doing that and advocating aggressively. israel faces threat from iran, hezbollah. to pretend we can somehow disarm israel and not solve the problem is the point. the biden administration is putting pressure on prime minister netanyahu who is a big part of the problem. we need to get a cease-fire and stop settlements. the policy is moving us towards a more peaceful middle east. you mentioned i just got 54% and a five person primary. my opponent got 20. there are some out there who feel that way. i've been to a number of democratic conventions. i've never been to one without a significant number of protests. democratic conventions, i don't, as usual, make it about

me and vice president kamala harris will address the policy in a very intelligent way. >> congressman adam smith, apologies for the audio issues. we will have you back to talk about what is happening in the middle east with regard to e those negotiations for a cease- fire. we look for to seeing you again. thank you. barry white once said too much of anything is not good for you, baby. what will happen in the polls for kamala harris after the democratic national convention? will she get a big bump or little bump or is barry white just flat out wrong? we will explore that in the next half hour. ♪ ♪

good day to all of you from msnbc world headquarters in new york. welcome to "alex witt reports".u we begin with decision 2024 and a live look inside the united center there in chicago, where t the democratic national convention kicks off on monday.n a security perimeter around thee venue will take effect tonight as the final chapters are put into place. we are learning new details of n plans for president biden's appearance on monday. this weekend, the president is at camp david, fine-tuning his presentation on the biden- harris wrecker. democrats are planning big tributes to biden's legacy. ta >> this is a man who has gotten things done for the american people. because of his 50 years of service to this great nation, we will celebrate him and l knocked the roof off of the united center. >> with just about 80 days to go until election day, vice president kamala harris is making a strong showing against donald trump in a "new york times" /siena college poll in sunbelt states. the numbers are all within the margin of error, but they show trump leading in georgia and nevada and harris leading in arizona and north carolina. >> we are excited. when you think about the change

that we have now, we have young people, we have more senior people. we even have republicans who have gone on the record saying they will support harris-walz ticket. >> this afternoon, former president trump will speak at a rally in wilkinsburg, pennsylvania. these are new billboards going up in the area courtesy of the dnc. vice president harris will campaign in the keystone state tomorrow. we have several reporters and analysts in place ready for all these new developments. we start with aaron gilchrist at the white house. welcomed. what are we learning about tvi president harris' economic plan and reaction to it? >> reporter: vice president harris says she will lay out more of a plan to build what she calls an opportunity a comedy in the coming weeks. yesterday she covered a few da

different areas, tax costs, healthcare costs, reducing the costs and barriers to homeownership and renting. she talked about banning price gouging in the food and grocery industries. in healthcare, she raised up which she and president biden have done to lower medication costs and she talked about continuing those efforts to lower costs for drugs and healthcare for everyone, not just yours. she talked about making housing prices fair and working with f the industry to build 3 million new housing units accessible to middle-class families. the vice president also said she would work to pass up there, federal ban, on price f gouging in the food and grocery industries. she was people to enjoy profits and create jobs but they have to play by the rules. here is more on what she had to say about that. >> as president, i will go after bad actors. i will work to pass the first ever federal ban on price gauging on food. my plan will include new penalties for opportunistic companies that exploit the crises and break the rules and we will support smaller food

businesses that are trying to ss play by the rules and get ahead. ♪ ♪ >> reporter: the other headline from the plan that harris offered, tax cuts, again, she said to benefit the middle class, benefit working families, 100 million americans, she said, we get that through the earned income t tax credit and the child tax credit. she introduced the new idea for $6000 tax credit for families. trump called the plan a communists policy that would dismantle the free market. that is what we heard from the trump campaign. tomorrow the vice president, running mate and their spouses will do a bus towards through

western pennsylvania, two counties, one a democratic stronghold, the other historically conservative. here they are making the play to shore more support, alex, and go after new support in pennsylvania, as well. >> that make sense, it is a plan. aaron gilchrist at the white house. let's go to pennsylvania where both donald trump and kamala harris are willing supporters. pennsylvania is up for grabs. how are things looking for the trump campaign in the keystone state? oh right, i think pennsylvania is clearly important when you take into the fact that this afternoon he has a rally in 48 hours from now he will be at another pennsylvania rally in harrisburg. tomorrow you will be looking atu kamala harris and tim walz giving a bus tour through the western part of the state. donald trump is slated to take the stage here this afternoon. it essentially kicks off what ss will be a week of battleground state visits, counterprogramming to the democratic national convention. we are 2 1/2 tmonths out here, alex, for the trump campaign, this is the first time they have really had their backs up against the wall, at least polling that indicates donald trump is not in a consistent

healthy lee, like he was when he was facing joe biden. as you pulled up the sunbelt pu states there, not just michigan, wisconsin and pennsylvania the campaign needs to focus on. clearly, the polling is indicating that have to have ca their eyes and attention on north carolina, on georgia, on arizona. so this becomes, really, not just a determination of where the candidate and campaign has to spend their time, but also their resources and manpower. >> vaughn, let me ask you about the size of that arena. looks very full in the lower tier behind you. are their upper tears, as well? i can't quite make that out if those are sees behind your head or not and if they are, are they filled? >> reporter: these are the pre- speakers here on the r:stage. we are about two hours from donald trump taking the stage in a pretty massive arena. we were having a conversation about the crowd and it is maybe one quarter full here at the

moment. of course, it always depends on how many people the secret service let's in. i think we would have a better understanding of what this crowd looks like maybe two hours from now. this is a crowd donald trump would be eager to come out to, but still an outstanding question we are trying to answer, how many people are , outside trying to make their way in. kamala harris' crowd sizes, they are claiming it was a i generated, there will be extra e scrutiny around any crowd sizes for donald trump today. >> we will see. thank you, my friend. joining me now is jo democratic strategist and former advisor to the biden campaign and the previous press secretary for former vp candidate, paul ryan. good to have you back again. we have new polls from the "new york times" and siena college t that show harris making big gains in sunbelt states. in she is leading trump in north

carolina and georgia and cutting down his lead in nevada and georgia, although within the margin of error. overall, how significant is that? what you think these numbers suggest? >> i think it is very significant. it showcases this is a race that is extremely competitive. you know, the places that were considerably hurt during the biden administration have become more and play for kamala harris. we know she has expanded that map. she has expanded the democratic reach and she is going after suburban voters and going after evangelical voters. there are evangelicals for harris, for goodness' sake, i've never seen that in my lifetime. we are seeing more people of various demographics, jewish people, older people, middle- class, shindividuals on this is

aligning around this campaign. they think as we walk into the post-dnc, as we walk into the labor day holiday, over $300 million will be invested in the campaign in digital ads. the majority of that money will be in digital ads. we will see more of a swing for the kamala harris campaign after that, as well. >> give me your interpretation. is this a bad time for donald trump? >> well, let me say, it will be, what we've seen in the last several weeks is nothing short of historic, it is remarkable how much the democrats' position has improved. oc at the same time, it is still a very close race here. this is following three, four weeks now of some of the best press coverage in a candidate could ever ask for. there has not exactly, she is a favorite by a little bit, i think this week is really important. you typically, you will get some kind of convention bounce. this is perhaps a sign for the debates, providing they happen,

for a chance to introduce herself to the rest of the country. where is that ceiling for kamala harris? are we hitting it? does she have more room to go? this has been a fantastic as stretch for her and yet, donald trump is still right there. he could very easily still win this race because there are still enough people there to l push her ahead but obviously, the polls show she has a lot more paths to victory then joe biden could have ever imagined.o >> i appreciate the question you just raised, brendan, i ju will ask it of you, ameshia, in a different way. as we look ahead to the dnc, after the convention, the vice president has already seen a remarkable boost on the ticket.b how far ahead could she be by the end of this month? >> i think the sky is the limit for kamala harris at this point. after the dnc, we will see a monument is boost, in the same way we saw when she initially

came out. she has been out of the gate and running from day one. i think at ngthis point, she ha not only shown to be amazing and fundraising but also organizing on the ground. more importantly, organizing in the key battleground states. what we will see is an alignment of democrats, moderates, the people who are behind nikki haley, republicans, as well, at this convention, i think the holy trinity of democrats will be speaking, we will see various generations come together in support of this ticket. we will also see, i think it was extremely strategic and smart for the vice president to align her economic policies

leading into this. america is hurting, quite frankly. being able to talk to a america families on ways you can reduce costs is huge. e there is no limit on how high this can go. i don't think that will be negated by the dnc, it will only be greater when the dnc is over. >> i am curious to your reaction. you are smiling, i will call it a smirk, my friends. give me your interpretation. is it a legitimate question to say, given how hot she is, there is no denying the e enthusiasm she has captured in a remarkable way the last few weeks, but is she so high that maybe the bump will be smaller after a convention? >> yeah. a i don't know. that is something i am curious about. i appreciate the sentiment but we are very divided country and nobody is ever going to get more than 52, 53% on their best day. that is just the reality of where we are as a country. this is still a very, very critical period. donald trump is figuring out, t we will also be devoting a lot of resources on the air, on tv, defining her as a liberal that is out of step with a lot of the country. the ads on twitter are all over the place.

people don't have very strong opinions of kamala harris, they probably have better opinions and they did before, but they are probably still quite malleable. if you can convince enough people she is far too left of center for the country, there will be all a lot of people not comfortable with that and that is why it is so important for her to tell people she is not a radical. >> quickly, brendan, before we take a break with you guys, the washington post, robert f. kennedy jr. try to approach kamala harris about a position in her cabinet if she won. she did not respond to her request. kennedy denied the story. even as a t.spoiler, what are t chances if he drops out? >> this is a guy who was driving his numbers down to zero and asking for a lifeline. you know, i can't imagine anybody is looking to bail him out. he was relevant when joe biden was on the ticket because you had a lot of democrats who

said, look, i can't vote for him and they need a third party. this double concept we have talked about, he will not be a viable candidate, that doesn't exist anymore, a lot of those people have moved to harris and revealed himself to be an awful candidate and may be an d awful human. he will not attract a lot of attention. most people still sticking around would otherwise vote foro trump. i don't know kamala harris will do anything to bail him out. >> do you want to quickly weigh in on the rfk junior factor, ameshia? >> i agree with that. at the end of the day, there were two seniors at the top of their party and it made more sense.

i don't know how he runs after what happened in the park, after the brain warms and you continue to have that conversation one time and time again he has proven himself not to understand policy, to be an anti-baxter, someone more akin to the far right in addition to i think some of those online portals of doom that someone s who could actually be taken co seriously in policy in an administration. this guy has done is y level be to denigrate his family's legacy. he is done. >> both of you, stick around, please. donald trump struggled to come up with a nickname for kamala harris. stay there. first, we will check on bermuda, everyone, we want to rm see the damage hurricane ernesto coming ashore this morning. look at the boats on a lot of choppy water. the impact the storm has th already had on the east coast in the u.s. we are back in 90 seconds. 0 seconds. complete nutrition you need, and the flavor you love. so, here's to now... now available: boost max!

♪♪ breaking news, we are tracking hurricane ernesto as it soaks from udo after making landfall there earlier today. sustained winds around 80 miles per hour have left more than 26,000 customers without power, according to officials. meanwhile, the local energy company in puerto rico says energy has been restored to 90 percent effective -- affected customers. angie glassman is in the studio and joining us from bermuda riding out the storm is steven. we will start with you, stephen, given the conditions you are getting through, just to join us. is it any better since we spoke last hour?

>> reporter: no. it is allowed the same, alex. we experience these brief bands of rain and wind gusts, that continues right now. we just got updates of authority saying they know there are utility poles go out, 75% of customer still don't have power in bermuda but they won't go out to try to fix the situation as a hurricane warning remains in effect. they are telling people to stay inside, as well. emergency crews are trying to get out of people do need help but it is difficult for anyone right now. the causeway that connects the mainland to the airport is so close right now. the tourists trying to get out beforehand, a lot of them had to hunker down and run out at the end of their trips. some people were at the beginning of their drips and they started it off with a hurricane. we talked with some of them a minute ago. >> it is getting better. he has learned from -- >> reporter: ari, looks like we have the wrong soundbite.

as you can imagine, tourists starting off their vacations with the hurricane is the last thing they expected but one thing they were surprised by and i was surprised to learn, as well, the building structures here, there is so much concrete infrastructure, it seems like there is no reported damage so far to buildings and they have no major damage reported. that is the good news. also, no injuries reported here. >> we were hoping to hear from those starting their vacation, a lot of people wanted to get off the islands and get back to work i don't know what they want to leave bermuda, but how long will the airport be closed? it can't be flying in this weather. >> reporter: ray, no, the causeway to get to the airport is closed. the airport itself shut down at 8:00 p.m. last night. people were trying to get out before that. it is not exactly clear when it will be open. they are not expected to check the causeway until tomorrow to see if they can open it. that has to open before the airport returns to operations. it is expected to happen maybe tomorrow. >> it sounds like that. thank you for keeping us abreast of what is happening there. let's go to the studio, i

am joined by nbc meteorologist angie glassman. i was asking stephen at the airport, how long will ernesto stick around? >> for bermuda, we will see things gradually improve as the rest of the day goes on it by tomorrow things will be much quieter as the system moves to the north. we will be done with ernesto just yet, we have a couple more days where this will be a system we are talking about but no more for bermuda. right now, the center of it is sitting 60 miles to the northeast of bermuda. they saw that landfall earlier this morning. winds are still at 80 miles per hour. it has significantly slowed down at this point. it is moving northeast but just seven miles per hour. yesterday we were talking about double-digit movements fees. that will continue to be the trend where we see the slow movement to the north. notice what happens as we get

to the later parts of today and into sunday and eventually into monday. we will hover around the 75 mile per hour to 80 mile per hour range, still maintaining cat 1 storm on monday. we could look at minor impacts, abreast with the atlantic -canadian coast. that is what we will be watching by the time we get into late monday and tuesday for the united states. the big thing has been, we will not see a direct impact but we will see indirect impacts up and down the coast. it is the weekend and we are rounding out summer. this is problematic for beachgoers or boaters over the next couple of days, not just today but even tomorrow. the system is well off the coast but still really churning up the waters. we have the potential to see waves 4 to 7 feet, still impactful, those rip currents will be dangerous. you will notice the red flag warnings up and down the coast as we go through your saturday and sunday. >> thank you for all of that. we will check in with you again next hour. so he has tried laughing, lying and crazy and none of them are sticking. why donald trump's inability to come up with a nickname for

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i am very angry at her that she weapon iced the justice system against me and other people, very angry at her. i think i am entitled to personal attacks. i don't have a lot of respect for her. i don't have a lot of respect for her intelligence and i think she would be a terrible president. >> former president trump this week defending his choice to use personal attacks against vice president harris during a rambling news conference filled with false claims. let's bring back my panel, ameshia cross and brendan buck. he has struggled to attack vice president harris. he has not been able to settle on a nickname. he has used laffin', mispronouncing her name, lyin'

kamala and crazy kamala, does that show how much he is gramlich? >> of course it does. all the things he is saying on truth social, he can't rise above the racism, the sexism, everything he does read his daily life. with kamala harris, he found the candidate is everything he hates about america. he is someone that doesn't like her because she has a strong academic background, leadership that is evident, everything she has done up to this point. she is someone who embodies everything white supremacist hate. he is unable to create any kind of tagline people could latch onto. at this point, folks are used to the greatest hits. it is isolating in a way that is not just to republicans. he did not calculate for that. every time he tries to attack kamala harris, it is as those attacks land on every woman in america, they are against every child who happens to be in the background that is not represented by a white, eurocentric christianity. he is at a loss on how to

attack her. he will not stop going down the path he is chosen. i don't think he is capable of doing so. >> brendan, polling show that trump is making all these bizarre remarks, is anybody paying attention to those personal attacks? >> bingo. that is the issue. it is not that he is not talking about the economy, in other words, he is not talking about the border, where he has a significant advantage, it is just that none of that stuff will stick with people talking about crowd size or whatever it may be. when you look at a presidential candidate, your goal should be to appeal to voters and put the other side on defense. nothing donald trump does in these ramblings makes the harris campaign feel like they need to respond, they're not feeling any heat whatsoever. it is so easy, talk about

prices going up, a decent idea, put food around it to drive a point but he won't stop talking. someone needs to tell him you don't need to keep talking. you need to stop there. if somebody would phone him with that message, that used to be his superpower. figuring out a nickname you could say over and over again and would be associated, his repetition has been lost. nothing will break through and kamala harris keeps gliding on by. >> thank you for sticking around. let's plan on it next weekend. in just a few minutes, there is reporting showing kamala harris now has two paths to victory. to victory. provides 2 shades whiter teeth and 24/7 sensitivity protection. i think it's a great product. it's going to help a lot of patients.

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♪♪ breaking news. renewed hope today that a long elusive gaza cease-fire deal will be finalized in the coming days. today secretary of state antony blinken is headed to israel to continue efforts to finalize the agreement holding two days of talks where israel and hamas agreed in principle to a plan president biden laid out earlier to in the fighting and release hostages in gaza. joining us is matt, welcome, do these talks feel different than previous ones and will a deal stop a iran from an attack, retaliatory attack, those are two big questions. >> they are hoping any successful deal will prevent the iranians and hezbollah, an iranian backed militant group,

from retaliating against the assassinations. those assassinations killed a senior hamas and senior hezbollah official, one here in beirut another in tehran. there is another burst of optimism around these two days of talk taking place in qatar. the intermediary is, the egyptians, the qatari zen the americans have presented what they call a bridging proposal, trying to bring hamas and israel on the same page. now there is talk this could actually be working. here is what president biden said about it yesterday. >> part of the reason i was late was because i was dealing with the cease-fire in the middle east and we are closer than we have ever been. we don't want to jinx anything, but as my grandfather said, by the grace of god, we may have something. we are not there yet. we are closer than we were

three days ago. fingers crossed, thank you. >> reporter: now, alex, i would love to be able to tell you this is a burst of optimism that this really represents something that we have been here before, not just once, but many, many times over the last 10 months, the only successful deal we have seen so far was back in november. that released about half of those hostages who were being held by hamas and other militant forces in the gaza strip, it was a measure of peace for one week in the guises drip. this feels any different, it doesn't. we have seen this cycle of optimism and then crushing disappointment that follows a couple days later. this is all supposed to start again this coming week, this time in cairo. we don't know exactly when it will start but again, hamas has

not been sending positive signals. a senior hamas official, named, who told abc this was just a delusion, alex. >> okay, throwing a little cold water on things. let's hope that president biden's perspective is the one that bears out. thank you. let's go to a new development in the war between russia and ukraine. we have this dramatic video showing a key russian bridge being blown up. ukraine's military says this will impact russia's ability to send supplies there. we have more from kiev and new video of you crying's triumph on the battlefield. before we get to that, where do things stand today? >> reporter: well, alex, ukrainian military officials say they are in the process of strengthening their positions in the russian region while the front line back home here in ukraine remains a priority concern.

>> reporter: this morning, new video shows the moment ukrainian soldiers crossed the russian border. in a video released by the ukrainian military, you see the checkpoint in ruins, russian soldiers waving white flags. another shows a ukrainian soldier driving through the bombed out russian countryside unchallenged and then celebrating, driving back a russian tank. it is the largest attack on russia since world war ii. the goal, to draw a russian forces away from ukraine's dumb best region with ukrainian steadily losing the rome ground. a key advisor to president zelinski telling nbc news he believes russia will begin deploying their troop step-by- step but inside ukraine, this ukrainian drone operative router, who asked we hold his security -- identity for security reasons -- >> also see we can do something. >> reporter: there is no sign of russian deployments. ukrainian forces are still

outmanned and outgunned and russia has constant reinforcements. >> there just throwing men at the problem. >> it is the second world war type. >> reporter: meanwhile, regarding that russian bridge in the russian region of kursk, the ukrainian military says it blew up in the overnight hours. that is being seen here is significant, not only because it is used to transport russian supplies to the front line in ukraine, but also, it has been seen as critical or russia to send reinforcements to try to take back the portion of the kursk region seized by the ukrainian forces and it serves as sort of evidence as to how the ukrainian military is trying to get creative, trying to think outside of the box in order to change the dynamic of this war being that dynamic being they are outmanned and outgunned right now by the

russian forces. >> that strike was quite strategic. okay, thank you. the new economic policy of kamala harris, will it help her in her push to defeat donald trump? we have some answers next. wers. ♪ we feel the height of lustful life ♪ ♪ when we're together ♪ life is better with the credit gods are on your side. rewards once available to the few are now accessible to the many. credit one bank. get cash back rewards, and live large.

♪♪ preparations are well underway for the democratic national convention now just

two days away. president biden will take the sage monday to rally behind his vice president. she will tell accomplishments and make clear donald trump poses a great threat to democracy. former presidents barack obama, bill clinton and hillary clinton are set to speak her head of the formal acceptance speeches from tim walz on wednesday and kamala harris on thursday. joining me now is former democratic congresswoman from florida, stephanie murphy. it is good to see you again. it is always enthusiasm for the harris-walz ticket, we know you will be there. just not in crowd sizes and fundraising but in the polls now. what does the democratic party need to do next week to make the strong case to americans to get their vote. by the way, given the generational torch that will be passed, will there be a new

vision for the party? >> it is great to be with you. i am really excited about being in chicago next week. i think it will be a really interesting moment for the democratic party. so much has happened since i was in milwaukee for the republican convention, covering that. i am looking forward to seeing the democratic party do a couple of things. one is to consolidate their base even more. and then secondly, they need to start reaching out to swing voters. in the polling we have seen, these races are pretty close in the swing states and the swing voters again to be key in the next election. that means presenting a vision of the future that speaks to these voters. and so, i think, there are a number of economic issues they will have to cover. i am excited to see so far the harris talking about key elements to be reaching swing

voters. >> do you think that is how to do it, the economic way? kamala harris has this new agenda that builds on the president's plan to help americans. in some cases, hers goes even further. some are calling it populist policy proposals. is that the way to beat donald trump? >> what we have seen in polling over the last couple of years, actually, is that the economy remains very high on people's list of what concerns them the most. so speaking to their concerns is incredibly important. speaking in terms of affordability, you know, the ability to afford housing, groceries, having access to financial instruments and opportunities to achieve the american dream, all of those things are a key part of this message. there is a real opportunity here for the harris-walz ticket to flip the script on a number of these issues and reach some of these younger and swing voters. i think ensuring financial opportunity on a different platform for how they want to

approach housing, how they will approach financial institutions, um, being more open to crypto as we begin to have conversations with that industry to give access to the unbent, all these things are very tangible ways they can meet the american where they are. >> in getting to a win, the "washington post" polling model shows kamala harris has two paths to victory, yet the sumner, georgia, nevada, arizona and north carolina we had the rust belt, the post suggests winning just one would clinch the electoral votes that are needed. on the other hand, donald trump whitney wins in both of the sunbelt and rust belt states. why does having harris at the top of the ticket create the scenario and how should the harris campaign approach this opportunity?

>> well, i think what we have seen so far is that the trump campaign doesn't actually know how to define the harris-walz ticket without alienating voters. so far they have gone after her with sexist attacks . voters take that personally. i think sometimes when they hear these things, they are alienating key voting bloc sin those states that are necessary. i think, you know, this race is going to be tight no matter what. you can't have just one path to victory. i think the harris walz ticket has broad appeal both to the sunbelt states, as well as the rust belt states. you know, tim walz does a great job talking to the rust belt. you can see the enthusiasm changing in the sunbelt states with harris at the top of the

ticket. >> a usa suffolk university poll says harris is in striking distance in your state of florida. trump leads harris but only by five points, just outside the margin of error. does this indicate the former battleground state that turned red, it could return to battleground status? >> i think this is a reflection of the momentum that switching candidates to harris has created. it has created it across all of the states across this country. you really can see the momentum shift in her direction. momentum is one thing but the other three things that are necessary in a campaign to win in a state like florida is message, money and machine. the democratic party in florida has to continue to pump out the machine, especially since there are 1 million registered voters down compared to the republican party. there is a lot of work to do between today and election day for them to actually manifest a competitive race here in the state but, you know, anything is doable. i think, with a lot of hard work and the right message and a sufficient amount of money,

they might make the state a swing state, yeah. >> interesting. we will see. thank you very much, former congresswoman stephanie murphy. what is the mindset of average voters in the swing states? my next guest will talk about new number straightahead. new n ♪ to see hundreds of miles of tracks. ♪ [vroom] [train horn] [buzz] clearing the way, [whoosh] so you arrive exactly where you belong.

>> new today, a "new york times"/siena college poll shows vice president kamala harris putting four sunbelt states in play. she leads donald trump in arizona by five points and is up two points in arizona. trump leads four points in georgia and one in nevada. the numbers are in within the four percent margin of error. it comes as the latest poll shows vice president harris ahead of donald trump, 40% to 47 percent in may, the poll showed biden trailing trump in six of seven states and tied in wisconsin. the numbers this month show harris leading in pennsylvania, michigan, north carolina and arizona, tied in georgia, trump leads in nevada. the margin of error on these go as high as 4.8 percentage points. i am joined by david wasserman, senior editor. welcome, david. let's get into the numbers. does the "new york times" poll lineup with your findings? are they the same demographic

roots backing president biden or is vice president harris winning new groups of voters? >> we had georgia tied. the cns still has trump with a slightly. harris is riding a wave of momentum and she was winning five of the seven states within the margin of error. she was tied in georgia and behind in nevada, but one common theme appears to be that trump is doing best among the battleground states and the only state of the seven is the silver state. however, when you look at the breakdown of the poll, kamala harris is leading among the youngest voters and holding onto biden's lead among seniors, 52-44. she appears to be winning the

tiktok set and the pickleball set and everything in between is tied. where she is really closing the gap versus what we saw in may with biden is with voters prolifically engaged in politics. half of the electric which is 100% turnout of voters, harris is leading trump by four points. everyone else is perfect in voting history and the last four elections, biden was trailing trump by 10 and harris narrowed it to three. she is a better pop-culture candidate than biden could have ever been, at least so far. >> that is interesting. what about the dnc? candidates always get a bump

after conventions. what do you expect to follow the dnc in chicago? >> well, kamala harris has two tasks in front of her. even though she close the gap in the surveys, there are warning signs on the horizon. she is still trailing trump by six when it comes to getting inflation and the cost of living under control. she is trailing trump by 13 on who to better handle the border. she is marginally ahead when it comes to protecting democracy and healthcare and certainly, far ahead on abortion. 53% of voters in these battleground states believe she is too level the >> liberal to effectively serve as president and 57% believe trump is too erratic and out-of- control to serve as president. whichever candidate does the better job of us waiting voters on that, will succeed. the speech and layout of the harris plan this week, this convention cannot afford to be a good luck, she's got to convince voters she can govern in a pragmatic manner. >> let's listen to part of the explanation. here it is. >> i tend to poll low.

in some cases, really low. in 2016, was polling low because people didn't want to say who they voted for. i don't know that is supposed to be a good thing or bad thing but it is what it is. we did very well in 2016. >> so is he write about this? are polls more reliable now in 2024 where is there a caveat to all of this? >> the answer is, we don't know. we are in the dark. you can get the same data set to five different pollsters and they will translate that raw data sets into five different sets of topline numbers. every poster has to make adjustments based on what they think will turn out. nobody can say for sure with 80 days left until the election, keep in mind, kamala harris' lead is within the margin of error.