war, it was very warm for a lot of people. what's it like being talking, talking to them to my students here at the army war college are mostly army officers from 75 different countries around the world. uh, air force officers, maybe officers marine corps officers, some state department officials but, but primarily made great army officers. lieutenant colonels just passed the tank command. and what i tell them is that in the national security business business is good and getting better. that the good news is that their chances for promotion are high. it's a bad news is i think the chances for great power war are higher than they've been in 30 years clearly. i mean, they, you're teaching them as an exponential antagonism about and play for them. they're trying, i cooperation, organization, countries in the wake of all these different places. what i'd be, i should just get to come to the quick and say, why do you think 2 navy seals were killed or gave up that lives for the us military

and the red z in the bus few days. so very sad to lose our sales, highly trained professionals, they were conducting boarding operations as part of an efforts to defend international trade through the red sea. and the that is one of the costs of the international free trade system that the united states are friends and allies around the globe have promoted since the end of the 2nd you think goes opperation is by the, by the ministration is going to increase the ability of shippers and insurance companies to be able to ensure free trade and not lead to increased attacks as well . so that depends on what a ran decides to do. of course. so a big part of the problems in the middle east, and there's plenty of blame to go around, is that around is trying to form and problems for the united states,

and to put pressure on israel. and the attacks on shipping in the red sea or part of that effort, united states is trying to punish those who are committing those attacks. it is trying to safeguard international shipping and, and it is doing so with relatively limited success. so far, i'm quite concerned that that war may turn hotter before it grows cold. when did you get this information and i hear it repeated. the iran controls and sorrow a in, in human. i mean, as is repeatedly being said, these are allies of iran, clearly in the region have run probably quite close now with china or arguably up to china broke at this. how do you run the deal? china needing these trade routes desperately, and i'm sorry i liked anything. they were only targeting is railey linked ships.

china and russian ships are explicitly named by a human is not being targets. so how did this? 2, navy seals die, giving up their lives in a fight that surely was not going to increase international world trade. this is about something else. business is about guys that well certainly that has the science about kaiser a but uh, in fact the war is designed to put pressure on israel in the united states. and the only way they're able to do that. and that is by attacking international trade. united states is working hard with the international trade is it's trade or with israel, and maybe as reynold's allies is not trade with, i mean, they know they've exposure. they said they're not going to attack questions. you have chinese ships presuming side of african ships so that they, they certainly say which ships they're attacking, but they are attacking

a number of ships that have no connection with israel whatsoever. so they're, they're simply not that good. they are able to harass chips, including us naval ships in the area. they are able to bring attacks against international shipping. and of course, the law of the sea, the united nations, all agree that ships peacefully transiting international waters are not to be attacked. and that's one of the most basic principles of international relation. the global economy depends upon that rule being fall, isn't that the motto, and cuba the same isn't have the embargo on cuba for the bus. 50 is, i mean, i more centrally here wouldn't to cease firing guys in the u. s. vote at the un security council will be a more effective way of ensuring freedom of navigation. then. uh, these 2 navy seals giving up their lives and strikes on the poorest country and they are build as well. so those of who these might and might not stop their

attacks depending on what the outcome of, of any ceasefire in gauze or might be. of course, that decision is israel, so not the united states to make. i am not a huge fan of all of the decisions that israel is making that i think it is time for a cease fire or at least i moved to more targeted strikes. i'd like to see more discrimination and the use of force from israel and who would use the whole glass of the we. so you just solve the problem in just what you said. so all you have to say was seatbar and we can go to the stages, go and see which you know, which is why the answer alignment with the prescribe by the, by the administration. and the 1st instance, because they was progress on the idea of uh, you know, a view of the process and just see if i did stage, you could have solve the freedom of navigation instantly by just saying that you need to strike them. indeed,

it's certainly nice to believe that we could retire and just as go outside before october 7th, but i don't think that's possible in any way, shape or form, even if the 100 or so hostages. some of the american citizens weren't released as, as it is long overdue, mostly, noncombatants. no, no one, no principal of international law, and no religion recognize religion and the world believes that hostages innocent hostages should be held. you don't want base, you don't want to be opposites. and as, as is, the israel is gaping thousands of palestinians hostages. but in any case, how does supplying loads of weapons some people say by biasing congress to attack the tunnels supposedly, and probably make it more likely those captives or suggest a kill benefit of the argument you're making as well as i said, i'm not on on a vast fan of the strategy that israel is conducting,

i would prefer to see more discretion. i do think it's time to move toward a different phase of the war. but again, those are israel's decisions to make non americans israel, a solver, and when they call make them without the weaponry. i mean it can use answer guns with that i munition, it certainly is grateful for the support it's received from the united states. it does have a pretty substantial arms weaponry industry of its own way concise. so is your job that you're saying they don't need be? i mean ition that the by the ministration is speeding through and congress, obviously angry about them not being consulted enough. they don't actually need it . they have enough weaponry themselves in grown. so they're, they're, they're moving toward a different phase of this complex. they are, are moving toward or away from. if you compare it to a rack 2003,

they're moving away from the general invasion and toward i, i believe i owe a more targeted counterinsurgency campaign counterterrorism campaign where rather than using tax special forces teams will to detain uh, individuals whom intelligence believes are are responsible for holding the hostages for leading the october 7th attacks and, and so the demands for ammunition will go down. when you study this, d, p, you are the author, the 1st counter insurgency. manual. you're telling me that everything you're watching there, conforms to this idea of 2 stages. and the next stage will be this. and i mean, a genocide judge is, would be in to the national court of justice back by the arab league vote. my south africa co conspiracy. judges perhaps being developed against the united states and european union in britain for arming the genocide. and you're saying, yep,

the 2nd stage will capture those responsible for the october 7th attacks. right. and we're going to throw around charges of genocide that kind of cars go both ways . no, no the i c j o they have no they, they, they could. but, but so homeless needs to recognize israel's right to exist. they have a change, their joshua, their, their actions on october 7th, did not demonstrate that. they believed that is really right. he repeatedly said the change the charges to accept the 967. and what is it, and as you, as well as anybody know, as being a tv saying things as easy doing things as far as s o a great. they clearly hope to my belief, man, i'm not here this about how i'm just saying, like you as a military strategist, what israel has done and now brought britain in the united states and europe and

union. india is the entire world and international community think they're all participating in genocide and, and 4 percent of the entire population of guys is dead, disappeared or wounded which would equate to $13000000.00 americans dying off to being bombed in the usa. certainly the whole world does not think that israel is conducting genocide. americans not. i do not. i do believe that a mosse is responsible for the consequences of its actions. right? none of those people is bias of sadly added 4 percent of the population of gods. as you know, right, many of them, innocent civilians caught in the crossfire most most the most wanting to view and most of them, i'm sorry, most of them women and children. as many of the women and children, of course with the 70 age and the population. in gaza that's probably likely. however, right under the hood view integrity, general ed attorney retainer is saying that it's on president what's happened the

impression that it was a asked for the attacks of october. so and so i would have a very different perspective if october 7th hadn't happened and, and if it's real, we're not trying to recover its hostages and kill or capture those who aren't flying very even ok with this happens, isn't our hopefully debates is and people in these really press are, it's a full front of showing how most of the or many of the, those effects it on october. the 7th are killed by is riley american armament on the day. if you read these rarely papers, it's full of this information about how it wasn't em, us killing children at all. and the, but i, i've seen the videos of home us the right thing in killing children, cutting the heads off of this really. so yeah, all of that has been debunked, as you, as you know, the know, really premises that the full frontal showing that all that evidence was forged.

anyway, the passage on the, i'm just now be the more from the professor wolf. i think studies be what tell me will college after this break the

the welcome back to going on the right, i'm still here with professor joe. now go retired us army lieutenant kindly, professor will fighting studies and us army war college professor. i do want to get onto your a, but i suppose i should just ask, given that you are the author of the country insurgency. manual human has vowed revenge on the usa and u. k. for its asked strikes in the past few days. um, is the, is britain in the united states prepared for any insurgency against them? however, that might to happen. i mean, now whatever context that might happen. yeah, i think what about, look more like terrorism and like, and search and see. so it is certainly possible that your many agents could conduct additional tax on us british assets in the region as possible. if those attacks

could extend further into a rack is raining attack sponsored attacks recently have a young man does not have global reach. and i think they can do more damage to commercial shipping, then they can to the armed forces of the united states and her friends. well, certainly there was a 2 british warships that are backed up into each other because once the visual media be you came in to see your defense, i have to admit in the past few days. so let's go to, to ukraine. then you predicted immediate victory for food in favors of the day, at the outset of the movie, into waste and ukraine. and now lots in the global south. i could be would say, persians moving to east and ukraine. he obviously, so it is protecting the people to be some don't yet, is given the global side of the thing. it is the starting pistol for the bearing of

us and by forever as bricks, images, as a huge you might see a new opponent for the united states and nato, india and china and continue to fund the russian war. obviously, buying the energy. how do you see it now? well, 1st, i very good company when i incorrectly predicted the rest of what, when the work with light, the term of the joint chiefs believed the same thing. turned out that the russians were not as capable as i feared. and that the ukrainians were tougher fighters, that i believed, or the war against russia between russia and ukraine, was part of scrutinise territorial ambitions. a desire to restore the former soviet empire. it has failed to date. the main g or political result of it has been an expansion of nato and expansion of western

defense budgets. nato coming closer together, especially having a much longer border to defend against nato going forward. and so i, i think it's safe to say that to this point, hooton's invasion of ukraine has failed horribly or so we don't know what's going to happen next. and in fact, i'm quite concerned about whether the united states will still support ukraine going. why, why given the, you teach and read widely a know that uh for decades now, the warnings about nato expansion east was bound to capitalize a reaction from moscow level was leading it a do just don't buy that at all. and why do you think that it's not the pressure did badly in the initial stages of the war? it was maybe they were blocking cab from tanks. going that way for the supply lines and they're in it for the long haul because the real battle here is for the dollar

for uh, uh, economic power. and as we can see us in europe. so the economies lie in taxes. so they, they certainly weren't getting it for the long haul. the tag crews headed toward keys and their dress uniforms on board for a victory. for me. i spent a bunch of time on tanks. there is no spare room for a dress uniform. it would've been better off leaving the dress uniforms at home and filling out space with the weapons, the munition, the gas, the way to do that, then you would enter the tags all the way to keith. i'm sorry. who told you about the dress uniforms? that's widely reported. i've published on it. you can, you won't have to google work to the source because it's renew their submission from ation, washington post. so that's, that's absolutely well known. so it to the failures. a russian arms in the initial invasion of ukraine, or, or why the mere fact of that? who was attacking keats? right, we certainly all agree that happened right, is prove that he was not merely concerned about the eastern portions of ukraine.

you wanted to topple the ukranian government and he wanted to bring ukraine into what, what he sees as a revitalized soviet sir. i mean, i failed in doubt. i'd say the source, the source is highly suspect, but you said the new york times, the washington post, that clearly being fed lines from those in pa, now that does the landscape defeat is on the cards every day and then your times and was your best. we can see somebody saying a softening up of nato nations to prepare for the defeat of the landscapes forces. you don't see that there's a lot of these forces you're creating forces are suffering right now from a lack of ammunition. zelinski famously, when he was offered a ticket out of ukraine by the united states that he didn't want to leave you want to them, you nation. and unfortunately, because of the problems here in the of what i see is failures in the united states congress right now. he's running out of ammunition is running out of air defense,

munitions, he's running out of artillery, munitions, all of those are being rationed right now on the battlefront and ukraine. i strongly believe have been written on this extensive living started for the past 2 years. that as long as the united states congress and the majority of the members of the united states congress and broke the sound of the house, do support additional funding for ukraine. as long as that coast room, ukraine will continue to survive as an independent nation. drew calendar 2020 for the engine light purchases. never said they didn't want an independent nation. what do i be in one abrams tanks? is it a p all question as to why they're not being used more often. i mean, there are claims that the, they on ahmed well against you avi's on the sides and on the top of the change that techs have been designed to were designed in one tech. all, all modern dollars were designed before managerial vehicles were an effective

weapon of war. they're all being modified now to provide additional protection against you would have use of the real i think critical failure of ukrainian arch today is not the young ones. they'd certainly like to have a lot more of them and i believe they will have more of them in years to come with the modification. great. or with the modification against the russian drugs. were i guess, right? i guess whoever's drones, they may be drones are now one of the inescapable factors of the modern battlefield . that's a relatively new development in the past 5 years or so. i don't expect it to go away. but i think as always happens, the tank itself was a, it was created in reaction to the machine guns so so of their progress in one direction. and it is, it is countered by another working on the russians and the ukrainians are both showing dramatic increases in their ability to counter on managerial vehicles in,

in a number of different ways. but the big problem ukraine versus using the year. but it's not you avi's, of which they have sufficient quantities of quality. it's in mandy aircraft. it's in the ability to provide air superiority over the balance here and, and until they get that. and so the, some of the 6 teams will be coming on board of both european and us at 16 so will be coming on board in 2024. i don't expect those to be decisive on the battlefield, but they're going to help and long term. i'm confident that ukraine can survive as an independent nation again, as long as the west and in particular, the united states continues to find a way to provide it with the arms that needs to point. yeah, i do with this point about the independent nation page and said denot supply and obviously protect the russian speaking people in the some of ukraine never said he wanted to take over ukraine today as well. i'm sure he was sending tags to key

just to wish president lensky a happy birthday. but he's actually a don't real intention for his a lot of ski at all. and one of the less the once again power is that what you're suggesting? no, but he says you can establish your own state and of course some people, the things that landscapes life is being protected by a by rusher and a sense. because as you know, and i want to ask you about that, actually, why does rusher just don't take the lensky at which clearly they have the capability of doing, but choose not to do so they have tried to repeatedly write in and so far from me. oh them so they haven't, that's not it. no, that's not is they've tried many, many times a dozen times 2 dozen times to take out the landscape and failed to do with the suicide. this information again is this information again coming from the ukranian side. some of it is coming all over is coming from a lot of classified sources. let me be clear, right? although i will take the dress uniforms and the tanks came from a ukrainian i feel like we already have arms. others that came from that's not true

. is that record the paper? it's completely sure. no, it took me paper of united states but, but i guess you don't have to believe me. right. you, you asked me to come on. i'm happy to talk to but but, but so um and as, as for the future of, of ukraine under, so if your time, the russian domination, you might look to the soviet domination of poland checklist of lucky, uh, east germany. right. and has a why do these countries the united states is not forcing countries to join nato. they wish to join, you know, because they have lived under soviet domination. we don't, we hoping that the american window to gain take over vietnam. i'm not sure that historical powell quite works to it. i'm, i'm pretty sure the americans learned about to take over cuba like the soviet union once invaded. poland let's, let's get on to sanctions then. um, in your,

in your, in china, even zelinski is kind of funding the russian war machine now with buying energy from the across, illinois gas to pay dues for the energy coming through ukraine for a gas transit trees. is it the end of the united states sanctions policy as a method of war fast in that the sanctions of left to russia with a growing economy. and of course that you are a p in western europe and in dire straits economically. so i would say that western europe is in dire straits economically. britain certainly as breaks that it hasn't helped it, but the you continues to germany a good grow the industrialized, not as good as the united states. but, but so russia has demonstrated some remarkable resilience in the face of the american sections, the western sanctions. i think the civilian your craft industry and so they may be asian industry is probably the place where russia is having the hardest time

adapting to the sanctions. and i believe that sections tend to be a very slow and imprecise tool of international politics. there's some emotional and psychological benefits to them, but russia has shown more resilience side expected. of course, a big bunch of that is that the russian people are used to suffer. and one of the indicators i'm looking at most closely is the russian dismay. at the extraordinary law since they've suffered in ukraine, and the so called mother's protests against the tally tune regime of food. so we've had $12.00 and a half to get scrutiny so far, but it's clearly not to tell a terrier. and if they're a purchase on the streets, you really, we don't know that we don't know the cause really just and that's just fine. where most of the protesters you have with the security know approach the know position bodies in uh,

as soon as gives you gray and they will be in band and the newspapers shut down, but just click a new magazine you road. i believe there's no tron through any kind of negotiated settlement until putin finds the trump is not going to be the next president of the usa. it's head to the end december. what do you think now then? so there is going to be a negotiated settlement when trump wins in 2024. the choice is president. trump is re elected in 2024. i think that that would have dire implications for ukraine's independence, as well as for nato as a whole. so according to john bolton, one of the president drops, nash, he's been on this, you god bless a job, said that the trump of what, what, what to do and plans to full the united states out of nato in the 2nd term. if he gets a 2nd term, i think that that would have arrest the consequences for global peace and security . and in fact, the recent national defense authorization act tried to prevent any future president

from withdrawing the united states from nato without explicit side of the approval . whether that particular part of the n d a is constitutional or not, is, is an open question. i am deeply concerned that ukraine will not stand as an independent country. if donald trump is re elected to the presidency of the united states. there to see what the american people decide to do on the account. professor john, thank you. thank you. and that's it for the show. continued condolences, those bereaved by the u. k. u. s. back slaughtering gaza will be back with a brand new episode on saturday until then keep in touch with my social media. if it's not send, send me your country and had to have channel going on the going to be a normal. don't come to us. new and old episodes, i'm going undergrad suicide. the

in 1881 began to expand its property in north africa. france decided to attack and easy. the invasion began with a bomb barred man of the french fleet on coastal cities. and was followed by sending in the ground through the french easily occupied one of the key city. these urging and the bay of doing this bomb at the 3rd us deep agreed to humiliating negotiations. the bartow trade, he concluded with a colonial list, establishing a project to rid of france, overton easier. however, the people loved an easy, i would not surrender to the enemy. at the call of the islamic clergy, the june easy as rose due a holy war against the invaders. the soldiers of the bays army also joined the

resistance. the french groups did not get an easy walk. vieira patriots bought desperately, but failed to defeat a huge and well armed army, which was supported by the strongest sleep. within a year, the rebels where defeated. this turned out to be a real tragedy for the country. about one 7th of the population together with the fighters left for neighboring libya. 1000 as of people died during the warfare. the french flag was raised over to an easy and the colonial authorities tried to deprive the country of its air of identity and populated with european settling such an easy instead now brought up with the loss of freedom era. patriots had been fighting against french colonialism for decades until june, easy a game, the independence in 1956. the hello and welcome to the cross stuff full born.

here we discussed some real in the post divided and says that washington will respond to up to 3 american soldiers that kills and dozens wounded in a drove stride on a us middle east. and i'll post pony range and forces reportedly behind the inside . disturbing images that had in northern gossip, medics lay out the bodies of the depth as a result of these very strife. on jaws, a city at least at least 23 dead of simeon slammed the suspension of funding, find nearly a dozen western countries to the un release of works agency. that's up to israel claimed some of the organization stuff were involved in the october the 7th service . the psych also eco was under the influence of foreign powers and betraying its

founding.