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tv   RIK Rossiya 24  RUSSIA24  February 16, 2024 3:00pm-3:31pm MSK

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we are leaving one by one, if anything happens, we are geologists looking forward to seeing you at ours, god will grant the next meeting, all the best. vladimir putin is on a working trip to chelyabinsk today; the president inspected the production of industrial robots at the robotov plant. the head of state spoke about the company's development plans. the president inspected the assembly machining areas, as well as samples of finished products and the robot testing area. at the end of the inspection, vladimir putin got acquainted with the personnel training program for the plant. 14 people who were injured during the ukrainian armed forces attack on belgorod remain in hospitals. four seriously ill patients were taken to moscow for treatment. their condition was reported to
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the russian ministry of health. four victims of the shelling of a shopping center in belgorod by ukrainian nationalists, two of whom were children, were taken for treatment to the federal clinic of the russian ministry of health in moscow. he is the master of traumatology, orthopedics named after priorov and the russian children's clinical hospital. doctors assess the condition of two adults and one child as serious, the second child is in condition is of moderate severity. all patients endured the journey normally, doctors have already begun diagnostic and therapeutic procedures. now there is a live broadcast on our channel, colleagues, good afternoon, we are starting a press conference with the chairman of the bank of russia elvira nabiulina, deputy chairman alexei zabudkin, first the chairman will make a statement following the meeting of the board of directors, please, good afternoon, today. we decided to keep
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the key rate at 16% per annum. last year we saw a sharp acceleration inflation. this means that the economy was growing beyond its potential. in other words, heated demand significantly exceeded the possibilities for production growth. we responded to this by increasing the key rate to 16%. and today are the results of the transmission. monetary policy are visible quite clearly, strict monetary conditions have formed, under their influence savings activity is intensifying, credit activity is gradually cooling. as a result, the rate of price growth began to slow down. at the same time, uncertainty regarding the speed with which disinflationary processes will develop , they persist. therefore, for a sustainable return of inflation to the target. we will need
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to maintain tight monetary conditions for a long time. our policy will allow us to reduce inflation to 4-4% this year and secure it at the target level in the future. let me move on to the arguments for today's decision. the first is inflation. the peak values ​​of the current price increase have passed in the fall. the weakening of inflationary trends is primarily due to. with the tightening of monetary policy, its the disinflationary impulse comes through the interest rate channel, through the currency channel, through the expectations channel. the increase in the key rate led to an increase in interest rates on loans and deposits , which translated into a slowdown in lending and active growth in deposits. as for the currency channel, the high rate made ruble assets more attractive, restrained the demand for imports and... accordingly
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, foreign currency, this contributed to the stabilization of the ruble exchange rate. the transfer of its summer weakening to prices has ended. finally started to decline from extremely high valuations future inflation on the part of financial market participants, households and enterprises. in december-january, we saw a decrease in monthly price growth rates, excluding seasonality, compared to autumn values. and largely due to sustainable components. core inflation has slowed. in january, in general, the rate of price growth remained approximately the same as in december. the exception was services without housing and communal services, which rose in price faster in january. the growth here is largely due to the rise in prices for health resort travel services. probably, due to the reorientation of russians to travel around the country. the seasonal rise in prices for
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domestic tourism could intensify, thus, disinflationary processes in the stable part of inflation are already noticeable, they may proceed unevenly. but according to baseline forecasts, tight monetary policy will lead to inflation of 4-4% by the end of this year. the second is the economy: last year gdp growth was 3.6%, which is significantly higher than our forecast. the main driver was domestic demand. investments have increased especially strongly, which is due to the structural transformation of the economy. current data indicates continued investment activity, but at a slower pace. consumer demand, supported by rising wages and lending, made a major contribution to economic growth. consumption grew at a high rate until the end of last year.
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there is no complete information for the beginning of the year yet, but our regional divisions note signs of a slowdown in consumer activity in january. differences in consumer, business activity, lending and inflation are discussed in detail in our report regional economy. strong gdp growth may also reflect a more significant recovery in the economy's potential. the need to switch in-house production stimulated investment demand and the creation of new capacities. last year, transport and logistics infrastructure was actively built. there are examples of replacing imports with domestic production in the light and food industries, furniture and household chemicals. however, expanding the potential of the economy is always a slow process, and the overall demand in the economy fueled by government spending and accelerated
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lending, it grew noticeably stronger. as a result, even taking into account the increased production capacity, there is an excess overhang of demand, in other words, overheating of the economy. resulted in an accelerated rise in prices, probably the peak of this overheating occurred in the fall, and the decision on the key rate contributed to the emergence of the first signs of the economy returning to a more balanced growth trajectory, we judge this by a slight weakening of inflationary pressure in the last 2 months and the absence of a clear increase in tension in the job market. demand for company products is growing at a slightly lower rate than before; according to our monitoring, such estimates are given by enterprises in most industries ; in industries producing investment goods, demand growth estimates remain high, while company expectations for
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demand remain close to historically high levels, with the exception of production in addition, labor shortages create incentives. for the company to invest in labor automation to increase its efficiency. the economy will grow more moderately this year pace. however, we have raised our estimate of gdp growth from the october forecast to one 2% driven by household consumption. next year the economy will return to a sustainable pace, taking into account the growth of potential and structural changes, we estimate them at 1.5-2.5% per year.
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monetary policy operates without distortion, and the rate decreases faster. in preferential mortgages, the rate of issuance is lower than the autumn peaks, which is due to changes in the parameters of preferential programs, but so far the rate of issuance remains high at the level at the beginning last year. the growth rate of the corporate
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portfolio has slowed down compared to the middle of last year. corporate lending will continue to grow, although at a slower pace than in the past. the savings rate increased at the end of last year, at the beginning of this year, saving activity also remains high, significant growth rates up to...
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in these trends, we have revised the forecast for foreign trade, the export estimate for this year has been reduced, the import forecast has changed slightly, as a result trade surplus will be smaller than in the past year and below the october forecast. pro-inflationary risks remain significant, firstly, these are risks from external conditions, these include secondary sanctions, worsening conditions in goods and commodity markets. secondly, risks from inflation expectations, high and
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unanchored expectations, more sensitive to temporary episodes of rising prices for individual goods or services, this can create secondary effects on inflation. third, lending may be less responsive to tight monetary conditions if maintaining large-scale benefit programs. finally, the risks are associated with the fact that the increase. in conclusion about the prospects for our policy: we have raised our forecast for the average annual key
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rate by one percentage point. this year the average annual rate will be in the range of 13.5-15% per annum, next year 8, 10% per annum. this reflects the need to maintain tight monetary conditions over a long period of time to ensure a sustained return of inflation to 4%.
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that expectations need to be looked at at the actual rate, this can also happen. it was press conference of the head of the central bank, now footage from chelyabinsk. good afternoon. yes. i looked at your production, here, of course , it’s impressive, and i just now told the manager that if there were no restrictions that our quasi-partners introduced against russia, against russian industry, i probably wouldn’t have had so many orders, he’s here confirmed
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exactly, we say, and then we would not have acquired even those competencies that we have now acquired. and quite effectively - they are applied and scaled, and at the most in different directions, with the support of a large number of growing numbers of customers, this is very impressive both in the quality of work, and in the technologies used, and of course - of course, one of the key topics that we have been discussing constantly in recent years. this is personnel training, because it is almost impossible to implement such high-tech programs without well-trained, professional personnel, but here, too , your company is moving forward, a whole faculty, a faculty has been created, and a faculty a whole one was created at the ural university,
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but i just said... to your key shareholder of your company, the head, i say: well, you will train highly qualified specialists for yourself, he says: no, not only for ourselves, we will train for the entire industry russia in the relevant profiles of activity, which is very cool, very cool, this is a combination of the work of higher education, industry and the relevant federal departments that train personnel, so... well, directions there is a lot of work , the scope of work is colossal, i am sure that everything will be done, in any case, i congratulate you on what has already been done, and i want to wish you success, well, please, let's get started, good afternoon, vladimir vladimirovich, i would like to first of all to say that we are very glad to see you, we
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have been waiting for you, finally this meeting has taken place, welcome to the southern urals and... i must say the frosts this year are so strong, is it southern, i ask myself this question periodically, but nevertheless , our meeting today is in such warm conditions, i’m worried, of course, i’m worried, and i want to thank you for your feedback, i’m an employee of the conor industrial group, and your words, of course, warm my soul and such pride inside...
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to new frontiers, you are so clear in your messages, you explain the positions , where russia’s course is heading, so i personally don’t have any questions, just a feeling of gratitude and a feeling, again, of pride for what a great president we have, and you know, even if i don’t have any questions, but i know for sure that studio colleagues...
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i am a representative of the personnel service of the chelyabinsk tractor plant uraltrak, we are entering the ural-vagonzavod concert, we produce special-purpose diesel engines, important products for the country, and i will probably continue the topic that you raised at the beginning of our meeting, now at the enterprise these are the last years , especially, and a lot of young workers come, so we are... investing serious efforts in in-house, intra-corporate training in the development of mentoring. at the same time we interested in the development of the educational system that was. would be aimed precisely at the needs of enterprises, and here a proposal arises for those that are particularly significant for the development of the country, and both from the point of view of the development of the country
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and for increasing its defense capability, for particularly significant industries and maybe even holdings, corporations, to develop professional standards for key specialties , but on the basis they can essentially be corrected. educational standards, aligning them with each other as much as possible, ultimately on leaving directly with professionally trained graduates, and here this work, in our opinion, would be more correct to be done with the participation of those same holdings, well , also ural carriage works, for example, which we are part of, we could together with educational institutions of higher educational institutions, and how to take part in the development, in fact, of the educational programs themselves, and in their implementation, we know that we have such experience in our country, in fact it already exists, in
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some universities it is successful, we believe that this would all be feasible, but i would also like to know your opinion, to what extent this process can be scaled up in principle, and if so, is it possible to somehow speed up the time frame, thank you, well, look, yesterday we were at the oral carriage works , they also spoke with... people, a million specialists should be trained in new, latest or traditional areas of activity, which also acquire new qualities and
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require special training from special training of workers, and, probably, there is no secret, especially for those , who works at this enterprise, i won’t open it, because today workers, people in working professions should receive from... higher educational institutions, secondary technical schools, lyceums worked closely with production, but we have been doing this for a long time, for several years with our
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leading companies , they respond because it suits their interests, the interests of the company, just before i came here, i was at another enterprise, here is the manager, but he is here somewhere, here he is sitting andrey, right? that means it’s the same there, they recruited, what, 1500 employees, yes, how many? 4.0, 14. recruited, right on the spot and cooked, and of course, they are not interested in the people who came to production again, and these, as he said, are former waiters, also necessary professions, former managers, even what - they were doing something else in the service sector, when they come to... to the sphere of real production they had good, good training, well, ours, how many people do you have from prison, 400
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people, well, 280, well, here you go there 280, under 300 people, even from prison people work, there are not enough workers, and they also need to be trained and... for them this is also the future, because after this page in life is turned, they get a profession, a good one have further development prospects, including professional and personal, so we will work very closely, build this joint work between schools, career guidance must begin from school, between secondary specialized educational... a person must prepare
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by - by 2028, but this is not the only program, there is a whole set of them, and we will further improve it - this is interaction with the real sector of the economy, so there are no doubts here, thank you very much, hello, vladimir vladimirovich, my name is boglai pavel, i i am the head of the department for automation of industrial processes at the equipment plant. and my question actually intersects with my colleague, but in the context of robots, in connection with a new round of development of robotics in industry, there is a need for new personnel due to the fact that the principle of work becomes more complex and, as a result, qualification requirements increase. please tell me, are there any plans to modernize existing educational institutions and open new ones specifically in the field of robot technology? thank you, but we also discussed this with the governor in the car
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together.
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in which this work is going on, of course, we will do this, you ask, within the framework of what, if we have any special programs, we have a program that is called the production of means of production, this is something that we should have paid attention to long ago, but we still seemed to be counting on the fact that when we sell oil and gas, coal and metal blanks, we will receive high-tech everything for the money. somewhere over the hill, but uh, there is an opportunity, a need has arisen, it turned out that it is possible to produce everything ourselves, well, not everything, but what is needed, uh, technological keys, to develop our own, we will do it that way, that’s how that there are such programs, i named only one of them, but it is not the only one, we definitely will work, and specific examples, they are right here, 10 minutes away, thank you,
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yeah.
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will make it possible to attract and interest young people to work in the manufacturing sector and thereby avoid a shortage of highly qualified specialists in the future. i just said that work on early career guidance is needed. what you said is really such a positive experience since the times of the soviet union, but in my opinion, we have been running the program since the eighteenth year. unwinding, i don’t remember what the window to the future is called or something like that, starting this year we are intensifying this work, and in all schools, i think we have 38 of them. work begins on early career guidance for schoolchildren from the sixth to the eleventh grade, the goal is to have
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about 40. .. 7 48 to...

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