don’t shoot rockets right and left, because in this way you can increase prices not only to 100, but also to 120 and higher, yes, konstantin vasilyevich, indeed, well, the americans are not listening to your advice yet , they are supplying bombs there, but in israel, and therefore the missiles, and well, of course, all this is very regrettable, but nevertheless, we were just talking about oil prices, really predicting them is not... a thankless task, nevertheless, some assumptions , which you and i have now done, you have done, they probably have place to be, because really now this geopolitical factor is of primary importance. konstantin vasilyevich, thank you very much, all the best, we will monitor whether there will be 100 dollars or not, i am also waiting for 100 dollars, we will see, and i will remind you that we talked with konstantin simonov, director of the national energy security fund, we talked about the oil market and it will be is it oil? cost 100 dollars.

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welcome to asia, where the heart of the continent beats. this week there has been a lot of talk about the prospects for the russian economy. this was discussed in detail in the government report before the state duma, and most importantly, the president set the task of bringing our country to fourth place in the list of largest economies in terms of purchasing power parity. this task requires a revision of the entire functioning of the economic mechanism.

we touched on what we need to pay special attention to today in a conversation with the head of the analysis and forecasting of macroeconomic processes, the center for macroeconomic analysis of short-term forecasting, dmitry beloosov. dmitry removich, hello, thank you for taking the time, we will of course talk to you about the economy and it is clear that last year these figures, which... are now announced at 3.6%, this is a lot in the current conditions, the government did the incredible instead of falling, and we we got growth, but should we calm down, and as i understand it, no, because both the president and the government are setting the task of strengthening economic growth, transferring it to a slightly different plane, namely the growth of household incomes, so that this growth can be felt more, and, well, etc, so i wanted to ask you, after all...

we have the next three-year period and there is a period of about 10-15 years that the president spoke about in which the government is thinking of forming a new pool of projects, a new pool of initiatives for the new political cycle, right now we have exhausted the impulse that we gave in 2022-2020 , plus we are pursuing a fairly strict interest rate policy.

there is shirov, klepoch, and we ourselves, with this somewhere real, such a level is achievable under the conditions of sanctions there, under the conditions of that structural the situation that exists around us, with the structure of demand for our products, means there are three restrictions, in principle , the president spoke about all of them in one world or another, three more precisely, nodes of actions that are removed, the first node is investment. because we have problems with the production apparatus, frankly speaking, there are problems with production - with

reorientation to the growing markets of southern countries, there are problems in the south-east - asian, african, etc., yes, in the end there are problems of import substitution and satisfaction our own demand in including production, which means investments must come from here if we want 2.5-3+ growth in a sustainable manner. sustainable, that is, not in one year, for 5-7 out of these ten somewhere, yes, and in conditions of shortage of labor resources, our investments should grow, roughly speaking, by about half, well, maybe a little bit less, than twice as fast, that is, about 4 dashes of 6%. this means, it’s clear that this is not a budget investment, we don’t have such resources, so in particular, hence all these stories about... protecting investments from to finally establish a tax regime

to follow and it would be worth adding to it this participation of companies in the once there was even a special government decree in ancient times, the truth in the formation of government programs, including the development of infrastructure, that is, those who will transport their metals, coal, there is grain, there is god, what else, yes, so that they participate. from logic and from certain stories associated with the development, unfortunately, of our country, the soviet union, it happens that investments perpetuate technological backwardness if we produce obsolete things, plus we need to free up labor resources for occupations in the development territories in the volga region, the urals,

siberia and so on, people must move between sectors, is there such an opportunity , do we have it? labor productivity before the start of the coronavirus there, then this sanctions crisis, lagged behind the eastern central european countries now called the czech republic and poland by about a quarter or more in the manufacturing industry, god bless it with rent, god bless it with the budget there in general not understanding the productively adopted budget , but in this core somewhere metallurgy lives where mechanical engineering lives there, our favorite auto industry, light there, it’s all somewhere there in... here it’s all amazingly superimposed on two things, that firstly , we are afraid to release the employed, because we do not have a mechanism for their retraining and a mechanism for moving them between regions to new growth areas, this is a question of cheap housing, and

secondly, we have restrained the development of robotization, this is the very thing the president was talking about,

a broken innovation system has been built, in which, in which we finance the early stages, because at the expense of the state budget, the research stage, then all this is largely transformed into technological results outside the borders of our country, then we receive ready-made packaged solutions from them, we are appeared quite large before the sanctions loan.

these chains, technological value chains more actively, as is done, for example, in china, they monitor this very strictly there, they work at all stages state structures or...

the regime, which even left, in fact, in some ways it helps us here, because it simply puts this irreversibility in front of our noses, in fact, this is already the top in its teeth, but unfortunately the ongoing energy transition, it would have brought us somewhere like this after the thirtieth year to a situation where there is no more rent, that we have set up the economy, we have set up the financial system, we have set up the logic of the bank's work to a large extent to prevent any overheating due to the fact that what is falling upon us, rent is collapsing in order to prevent

the dutch disease associated with the concentration of this rent there in environmental industries, but guys, this is rent even without the svo, it would begin to decline rapidly, because china is working there on electric vehicles, because europe is undergoing structural adjustment, many more why? that’s why the nwo sharply accelerated this process of the decisions that we would have to apply when we faced a crisis somewhere in the late twenties, early thirties, you know, guys, oil prices there sliding down, selling coal there, well, with gas it’s a little simpler, it’s getting more and more difficult, we need to do something urgently, we faced this situation, not so to speak, in thirty -two, twenty-two, twenty -four, we have here. 10 years of time have been added to adapt, plus, plus this situation itself, so we just need to quickly turn around, well

, adapt means the transition to quickly turn around, the transition to ensuring that we produce more goods within the country, as the president is also on there's a lot this week emphasized this, we must produce more internally, more at home, and this is not just connected with the closure of the economy, this is precisely the answer to those risks about which... we started replacing, so to speak, the film there of these polypropylenes, polyethylenes, all this story, and at the same time export to the rapidly growing asian and other markets there,

because it is clear that urbanization in asia, urbanization in africa, it leads to demand for finished products, finished products are packaging, but that means we are entering this market , but in principle this is all this and a whole chain of such stories in the auto industry.

and make the planes themselves on time in the required quantity. dmitry remich, thank you very much, we will follow the developments, all the best, thank you. and in breaking news, a dam broke in orsk and residents began to be evacuated from the flood zone. it could contain at least 4,000 residential buildings, housing about 10,000 people. shortly before this, the city was in a state of municipal emergency and the plant. there is no information about casualties yet. to the ministry of emergency situations reported that rescuers are now working to eliminate the breakthrough. six temporary accommodation points have been prepared. we are

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your brother is there. in the donbass, in short, i have to go there, my call sign is a passenger, i’m not a fighter, i came for my brother, i have to find him. in the orenburg region , a dam on the ural river broke due to floods, the evacuation of residents of the city of orsk, whose houses were in the flood zone, in the disaster zone, is underway.