hello, this is the fifth studio program, my name is yuri bogdanov, today we are discussing two topics, but we continue to follow, firstly , the situation in the middle east and we will discuss the pre-election alignments in the united states, kamala harris will officially nominate during the virtual roll call. here is the presidential candidate from the democratic party and she announced that minnesota governor tim wahls will run for vice president. we will discuss this topic with a professor of political science at the university of tennessee, andrei korobkov, he is a connection, andrei vladimirovich, hello, tim walls, who is he, what are his strengths and weaknesses, well, he was one of six candidates, all of them were white men.

there is a lot of intrigue, the fact is that, firstly, the fact that this is such a left-wing couple, you could say, a tandem, leads to tensions arising in the democratic party itself, between the majority, in the leadership, represented by the centrists, this left-wing radical group of progressives, who are now, by the way, suffering serious defeats during, today the second representative this...

maybe a variant like what happened under bush, when cheney actually acted as prime minister. thirdly, he has no personal ambitions, unlike a number of other candidates who were quite openly striving for power, first of all this concerns josh shapira, who was the main competitor at the last moment. i think that in any case the elections of waltz and shapira, who stood closer to the center, who occupied.

accordingly, increased taxation and so on, so i think that the reasons why the waltzes were chosen, they are quite understandable, but the negative aspects, here are the images of this couple that arise, they will ultimately be unfavorable for the democrats, that is , most likely this is a miscalculation, but the coming months will show. for now, it is clear that valts will take on the main burden in terms of speeches, in terms of attacks against trump and wens, and harris, who, to put it mildly, does not shine in this area, will go even further into the shadows, although in the 16 days that have passed

since her actual nomination, she has managed not to meet with journalists once, not to answer a single a freely posed question, therefore. abc, which quite frankly, in general, positions itself as a pro-democratic tv channel, while, well , it was clear that trump would have questions

addressed to him like why are you such a scoundrel, and harris, like biden , would be asked what kind of ice cream do you like, so trump is not against. debates as such, he wants the return of the old dubai format, when there will be spectators in the hall, when the microphones will not be turned off, when, in general, well, there will be at least some objectivity, and wants the debates to be held on the fox platform, a more pro-republican channel, so now what's going on is, ultimately trump is more interested in this than harris, if we evaluate the overall political alignment of the...

hispanic youth, but it is losing votes very quickly, especially the jewish diaspora, it has not yet, as i said... said anything in a free format, it now has another convention in reserve, which always gives some kind of increase in support by a couple of points, and then september and october come questions more and more serious questions will begin to arise, why is she avoiding journalists, can she say anything about the economy, can she say anything about immigration policy, can she say anything at all -

in the states, the escalation in the middle east will hit the democrats hard, it specifically hits biden, because... biden wanted to act as a peacemaker, he hoped for a nobel prize, all this collapsed, while biden understands perfectly well that bibi is absolutely now... not interested in the conflict being resolved, and he tensions are actually on the upside right now, so friction between the white house and the current administration in israel will grow, and there will be pressure, but it will be very difficult for biden to get his way now, so yes, this is a big headache for the democrats, but it is unlikely that they will be able to do anything.

how is the investigation into the assassination attempt on donald trump progressing, what is known about this and is there any progress? well, the investigation showed, firstly, the complete disorganization of the secret service - this led to a scandal, led to the fact that not only the republicans, but the democrats in congress also demanded the immediate resignation of its director, and therefore there will be such a serious purge here, and then very serious questions arise with the organization of trump's security, in fact there are only two options: the first is absolute unprofessionalism, the second is of course, well , thought-out windows that were left in

trump's security, while trump repeatedly asked for strengthening his security, these requests were ignored, and kennedy was not given any security at all, despite his history family and despite the fact that he has repeatedly made such requests, so i think that this is a story. which will be similar to 1963, that is, there will be a lot of questions that will not be answered, but the republicans will continue to investigate, because naturally, this casts a shadow on the leadership of both the secret service and the department of homeland security, naturally, well, it creates questions that concern. the white house. andrei vladimirovich, thank you for your detailed comments, together with you we will

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the fifth studio program, now on the topic of the middle east, we continue to monitor what is happening in the region, we discuss events with the president. center for middle east studies murad sadykzad. murat, hello. hello. iran's strike is postponed. do you think this is the result of diplomatic efforts or is it a preparation stage? i think the second, of course, is a preparation stage, because no negotiations will not force iran to give up. of course, of course, these negotiations are continuing, and certain messages are being sent through closed channels, through intermediaries. literally yesterday they announced in washington that they , together with their allies, sent a notification on one side to israel and iran, and in order to reduce the level of tension, the level of escalation, this says a lot, again simply because no one wants a major global war, either in the region or in the world in general, everyone is very wary

of this, because the consequences of this war they so far no one can predict and analyze in this way. that is , will there be winners and what will this victory mean in general, who will get it, this is a big question, of course, on the other hand, this will be a blow to the world economy, because again, we note that the region is almost 48% of the world's oil reserves, exports, everything goes from there, this will certainly negatively affect the entire world economy, because iran is still one of the persian gulf countries, and in general, stability in the region is needed for the world. the main question: when? i think it will most likely be this week, it is quite possible that it is friday, saturday, firstly, because, well, if you look at it logically, iran has a certain strategy, because think, if god forbid, let's say, we live in a country in which, let's say, well, it has struck

an enemy, it expects that it will strike us any minute now, the ordinary population, the civilian population is constantly in a panic, because they are constantly called upon to be, to be closer to, let's say so, shelters and so on, the economy one way or another life in the country is coming to a standstill, because well , no one knows what to expect, everyone is expecting this panic, this is having a strong effect on the morale of both society and the army, and i think that this is in many ways some kind of attempt at cunning punishment on the part of iran for israel, because we know that there are certain... discontent with netanyahu inside israel, among citizens, practically since january of the twentieth, i beg your pardon, not since the twentieth, since the twenty-third year periodically there were various protests against netanyahu, and of course there is an opposition inside, which is unhappy with the policy that the current, rather extreme

right-wing cabinet of ministers headed by netanyahu is pursuing, so i think that on the part of iran, firstly, this is an attempt to prepare, this is an attempt for now, let's say, to conduct some reconnaissance, let's say, in force, to understand how to interact, because i don't think that it will be just like last

time in april, strikes from the outside, last time like in april, there were direct strikes from iran, and there were also strikes from the side of hizb, this time there will most likely be a larger -scale strike, perhaps some experts who are in the middle east in general in the security sphere, they say that this time... maybe, maybe, they will use the tactics of attrition, this is in a certain period of time a significant number of, let's say, not the most expensive ammunition will be launched non-stop, these are the same unmanned aerial vehicles, and these are such fairly cheap missiles, produced by the middle class, yes, perhaps they will not all be launched from the territory of rana, because again, yes, there is a certain radius and range of these missiles. but as for that, from the side of lebanon, they will definitely be launched, some say that from the side of syria too, let me remind you that just yesterday, literally on the border with the dutch

heights, the israeli army set up checkpoints, that is, in principle, they are also preparing for some serious consequences, on the other hand, these are other parts of the assyrian army resistance, such organizations as the kataib hezbollah from iraq, this is the ansar allah movement or the well-known ones. you are in yemen, they will certainly participate in this too, in my opinion, this will all be a continuation, because yesterday the secretary general of hezbollah nasral spoke, he said many things about the death, so to speak, of his followers, that is, members of the organization, in addition, there was a story about fuad shukr, who, let me remind you, was liquidated before ismail hani, just the day before this event there was an attack on ... beirut, and he considered the main strategist of hezbollah now, besides, against the background of all these events , hamas also underwent changes, yesterday ihyaar

was appointed, so to speak, instead of ismail hani, and i will remind you that he was more, so to speak, a ground commander, yes, as they call hamas, but the leader of everything that happened in the war against israel in the gaza strip, that is, he really is a... field commander, it is clear that even during the negotiations they always said that his position regarding the negotiations is much tougher than the same had, than the same ismail hani, therefore, taking into account all this, we can once again calmly say, unfortunately, yes, that the conflict in gaza and the conflict in the region in general, it is not going away, it will continue, and the most dangerous thing in this is that the further this happens, the worse the levels will be. the worse the violence will be, which, let's say, is fueled by one side or the other, and also, of course, this is the fear of other regional

players, the same arab countries, that sooner or later this will spread to these countries also, yes, what do you think, israel in these conditions can launch a preemptive strike, they write about it, but how likely is it, well, and israel, what could happen, if israel launches a preemptive strike, then this means, as it were , a further war, you understand, anyway. yes, of course, tanyahu wants to prolong it, but if he is the initiator, that is, as if the media as a whole, the international community will begin to accuse him of inciting this war, then here are already western colleagues, who have not really supported him lately, even that the same joseph biden administration, they will start to put maximum pressure on him and say that well, the support will be incomplete. netanyahu really wants to be attacked, roughly speaking, but so that it does not happen.

in the arena of the israeli authorities suffered greatly, and many say that israel is committing genocide, the situation with the international criminal court, and in general with the international court of the un, and from the south african republic, and in general these protests of many thousands in all european capitals, they do not really affect relations of western allies with israel, so he needs, of course, i do not believe in the story of a preemptive strike before iran responds, because israel does not need to be blamed at the beginning, yes, of course, it is logical that in principle, and the initial round of escalation began with israeli actions, yes, in relation to iran,

but still ... a fairly populist, let's say so, and how to say it correctly, politician, he periodically makes statements, last year, literally a year ago, he met with that netanyahu himself said that relations would be normalized, the process of normalization had indeed begun, yes, they met in new york in a turkish house, but now everything is going the other way around, because erdogan is trying to play some kind of game in the foreign policy arena as a defender of muslims, and in many ways after his statements here and in many countries

, these... statements about karabakh, about libya, there , he meant in many ways that this invasion, that is, this is an attempt by the supposedly muslim world to win, that is, he meant this about libya, because what can you say, that the turks won in libya, nothing has been completed in libya yet, in karabakh, the azerbaijani side is saying that they did it and that the turks did not help there, that is, there are many questions here, as for israel, i do not believe that the turks will be able to do this, because the turks themselves... have many problems in the economy inside the country, yes, now it is being restored, the indicators are improving, it is expected that by the end of the year there will already be 40% inflation, not like now at 62-70%. and besides in addition, most likely the turks will be interested in, you know, supporting one side or another, because the weakening of any other regional player opens up opportunities and paths for turkey, which itself is striving to become

a regional leader, this is essentially all that happens, that is, the enemy of my enemy, he will be my friend, but when two of my opponents quarrel, it is better to remain neutral, watch and see who will be advantageous to support, now of course such a tandem is emerging that turkey is much closer to iran than to israel, and accordingly, it may well be that this will be economic support if a full-scale war begins, and this may also turn out to be support for weapons. through a third party, because, of course, it is profitable, firstly, to sell something and receive money for it, and secondly, that israel will be weakened, which turkey, like iran, like the arab leading countries in the person of the emirates, saudi arabia and qatar sees as its competitor, therefore any war in the region leads to the fact that new alliances, and how all this will return again, well, there is even. if i may

add, i would say that it is necessary to understand that this war, it is unlikely to be like, you know, occupied, that between israel and iran, firstly, there is no direct border, besides this, if it starts between iran and israel, then the united states of america is in the way, the united states of america is in the way, this will be the nato factor, how turkey will act here, this is also a very important point, there will be a conflict of interests, besides, i am sure that one way or another the axis of resistance will be...

the ukrainian armed forces have attacked the kursk region again, four drones were shot down, there are casualties among the civilian population. the situation at this hour is live on yevgeny poddubny. vladivostok is going under water, roads and underground crossings in the city are flooded due to heavy rains. trams have stopped, traffic lights are not working. a new wave of flooding is expected in dalnerechensk. in the event of an attack from iran, the united states will help israel, and hamas has meanwhile officially announced the appointment of a new leader. in lebanon, jordan supported, and how does tel aviv react to this? the fsb has declassified documents proving hitler's preparation for a nuclear strike on the soviet union. he needed less than two months to do this. which cities were the target? how are railways being restored and developed in new regions of russia?