david chalian, thank you. >>> i want to bring in gloria borger, and elliott williams. we just heard how americans feel going into this important hearing on thursday. what did the trump team's arguments revial to you? >> i think what they reveal is there's a few different ways the trump team is saying the supreme court can, in effect, keep former president trump on the ballot. many of them don't involve touching the insurrection question at all. the supreme court can resolve the issue without weighing in on whether donald trump is or isn't an insurrectionist. they can answer the question whether the presidency is, quote, unquote, an officer of the united states. what seems obvious talking, but it's a complicated legal question. in the constitution, there's a few legal issues like that, that i think the supreme court probably focuses on rather than insurrection. >> most americans, according to this new cnn poll say trump's actions around the 2020 election were illegal or unethical. how damaging is that for him going into a gem election? >> it's not terrific. doth font, a

david chalian fascinating stuff. well, if i were donald trump, dana bash, abby, phillip, and manu raju, i would look at those exit poll numbers and i think i might even be having a better night than i thought i was going to have. >> yeah. and look, there's no question in anybody's mind either in the trump campaign or in the haley campaign? or in anybody pretty much on planet earth right now, who doesn't think that he is going to have a good night in south carolina. you hit the nail on the head. the question is, what is the percentage going to be? >> and we've >> already heard, though, despite that in most contests, if somebody loses, not once, not twice, but three times, particularly in their home state, it would be curtain call and i'm gonna go on and figure out what i'm going to do next. >> she's determined to stay in this. she's has money. >> she has i'm told she's getting more and more stubborn and frankly angry at the things that donald trump is saying about her saying about her husband we'll see how long that l

now david chalian, it is it's fascinating to see some of these stories are to trial balloons coming from trump allies, and maybe even from those who aren't really excited about trump, even being the nominee, never, never mind being the president. so it's a this happened from some corners and it's warning this could happen from other corners. >> i don't think there's a lot of hiding the ball that's going on here. i mean, i really don't i think this process is very much out in the open. there are interest groups that are allied with him who have dedicated their entire being right now to developing these policies. and the last thing you mentioned in the intro, dana, which i know is the least sexy for everyone the federal workforce, just keep your eyes on this throughout this part of what the trump team believes thwarted them from a whole host of their goals. in the first administration and what they want to attack out of the gate to get rid of what they think are people entrenched in this bureaucracy who were human roadblocks to the things they wanted to accomplish. the reinvention of the f

and david chalian is at the table with us. david, you just gave us some of the headlines with the poll. i want to add one other element. and that is the question of if he's re-elected what voters think donald trump will try to do with that other term. and these issues are pretty interesting. mass deportation of undocumented immigrants -- >> these are issues he has promised. >> right. but the question -- >> keep going. >> no, it's a question of whether he will follow through on them. >> exactly. exactly. >> fire federal workers, 82%. and then the list goes on. again, it -- well, repeal and replace obamacare, 77% think he's going to do that. >> didn't work well the first time. >> exactly. what's your way of the people who responded to this poll view the ability of donald trump to make good on the promise. >> remember americans already lived through four years of a trump administration. so i think they're taking him at his word, both literally and seriously that what he is promising he's going to execute on. what is interesting,

before we go we're going to tell our viewers something that you flagged to me, david chalian. and that is now an inside politics fun fact. today is chelsea clinton's 44th birthday. what makes that such a fun fact? >> that's how old her mother >> was when her father, bill clinton, began running for president david and i feel i don't want to feel it. i know you don't. and melanie just say right whatever there from our pay junior to cornell west could third-party presidential candidates tip the 2024 scales? we will ask professor west himself up next back room, deals cia secrets of fares, bribery, corruption prostitution there's so much more to the store >> united states of scandal with jake tapper sunday nine on cnn. >> meet the jennifer's gen x and y and gen-z, each planning their future for the chase mobile app. >> gen x is planning a summer >> in portugal with some help from jpmorgan wealth plan let's got whiskers to and why is working with a bank or to budget for her birthday? >> you only turn 30 once. >> and gen z, her credits goal, then, hello, new apartment three jens gett

david chalian, arlette saenz, and daniel strauss.rlette, you first started covering president biden back when he ran in 2012, i believe. or when he was running for re-election in 2012. you were an embed. you have spent a lot of time with him. can you just kind of put in perspective the day that we saw yesterday and the impact on this white house, on this re-election campaign and on him personally? >> well, i think this is certainly one of, if not the most fired up that i have seen him in pushing back on some of the critiques about him, specifically on the issue of age. it was clear that he and the white house felt that they needed to go out and address this in some capacity. i think long-term, we'll see whether this did help with that in any way, but i think the challenge that is facing the biden white house right now and the biden campaign is that these concerns about age and his memory, things that have dogged him for quite a long time, there is no immediate answer to that. and now, they need to navigate what the next steps are goi

david chalian, our political director, always happy to have you specially on primary day. i'm much more with the rest of our panel after the break and we'll be talking to michigan senator debbie staff habba now, later on in the hour about all of this and up next, taylor swift's father is facing an assault complaint in australia. we're going to tell you what the singer's team is saying now. plus senator amy klobuchar live on cnn this morning with her take on the border crisis plus the political calculation behind president biden's appearance on late night with seth meyers >> united states of scandal with jake tapper sunday, a nine on cnn scout is protected by simply a trio and he's in it to win it the trio is the first two with triple protection intestinal worms were born disease no problem with some parotid trio. this drug class has been associated with neurologic adverse reactions, including seizures, use with caution and dogs with a history of these disorders for winning protection, go with sympatric, a trio, bombus makes absurdly comfortable underwear >> need to move wi

now, cnn political director david chalian is now joining us from washington, dc. there is always something bigger at stake when it comes to michigan talk us through >> well, no doubt about that. i mean, 15 is the number really to watch. that's how many electoral votes or it's taking michigan in november. and what we're going to get tonight, sara, are some clues, especially as it relates to president biden. he as you know, michigan was one of the states that he flipped from red to blue that helped secure his victory for the white house. and so piecing together, back together that 2020 winning coalition is mission critical for joe biden. and tonight, because of this protest vote that you're talking about with uncommitted and the disenchantment with younger voters progressives were going to see some exposure here, some vulnerabilities likely of biden's general election posture. >> all right, i do want to ask you about sort of the history of this biden won in michigan in 2020 with the help of young progressive and eric voters but now there's this big statement being p

david chalian. >> yeah. jake, we have 50 delegates at stake tonight and south carolina cnn has already been to allergen, already been able to allocate 38 of them based on those results, you just read that are already in all 38 that we've allocated tonight? from south carolina, go to donald trump? none yet for nikki haley, we have 12 delegates left unallocated as we determine the vote. count in the congressional districts that will determine who wins the remaining delegates. but that's just for tonight. take a look at where we are delegates to date up there on the right-hand corner, 1,200 15 delegates are needed to become the republican presidential nominee, donald trump. is that 101? >> nikki haley's at 17 ron desantis is at nine the vague ramaswamy is adding three delegates, obviously, no one even trump is close to 12, 15 yet, but that's going to start accelerating as super tuesday and beyond all those contests, fast approaching fascinating stuff. david chalian, john king, >> well jake, let's backup both po

let's turn now to cnn political director, david chalian, to take us through this. how much of an uptick, david, are we seeing here? >> this is 35% number, as you noted, is still a low number. but we do see growth in those who are saying it go well in the country. back in october, november last fall, breonna, it was a 28%. a 7% hike there. we were at 35% saying it was doing well since december of 2022. look at this by party, i think this is instructive. you see an uptick among democrats, independents, and republicans across party line saying that things are going well. again, it is not that 35% is a huge number but it does seem, perhaps, that we have turned the corner on the low point of pessimism when it comes to the economy in our new poll, joe biden doesn't seem to be getting a ton of credit yet. 55%, a majority, still say his economic policies have worsened economic conditions. only 26% say they have improved economic conditions. 19%, no effect. that is pretty similar to where he was last august. if you look here in terms of people saying they were worse off, or

cnn political director david chalian is here with us with those top line result, so, david, how does this result now compare with previous head-to-head polling between biden and trump, and how do voters feel about this potential rematch? >> alex, it is a remarkably stable race. let me show you the brand-new numbers in this poll conducted by ssrs for cnn, and and you can 49% to 45%, trump over biden, just outside the margin offer 00er. trump with a narrow lead and look at that into our october/november poll, identical. the race has been frozen in place there. you asked how do americans feel about this rematch. not great is the answer, alex. i mean both of these men are deeply unpopular. look here, trump is at 39% favorable, 55% unfavorable. biden is at 34% favorable. 59% unfavorable. and then take a look at the different motivating factors for biden and trump supporters. i mean, what you see here is that donald trump is the factor in this 2024 race, so among biden supporters, 68% of them say they're casting their ballot for biden as a protest vote in opposition to donald trump where.

david chalian is back with me and david we've got some more information now about these voters. tell us what you're finding out >> yeah. so one of the questions we ask is what candidate quality mattered most to your vote today? erin? and in the south carolina republican primary, 37% said the candidate, the quality that mattered most fighting for people like me, 33% shares my values and you can see, can defeat biden the electability quality and has the right temperament are each at 13% much lower priority for this republican electorate. and those of course have been the core of nikki haley's arguments now, take a look here among trump supporters. this is fascinating. erin, among trump supporters, 91% of them say they are voting for their candidate. only 8% of trump supporters say their vote today is a vote in opposition to the opponent that is totally different from what we see in haley's coalition. still a majority say they're voting for their candidate 59% of haley's supporters say that 40% though foreign ten haley voters are casting their ballot in opposition to donald trump a

i want to bring in my great panel, cnn's david chalian, elena treen, and john mitchell. want to start with jeff left off and this is the road to 270, and we played with this. you don't have you at the wall, so we'll do one snapshot. imagine a world in which donald trump in november assuming he's the nominee, wins some of those states in the sun belt. arizona and then goes out to georgia, okay? so he doesn't -- joe biden doesn't have that on his side. >> and nevada. >> and nevada, thank you. look at where joe biden is. we have michigan in yellow. michigan has 15 electoral votes. this is just one example of many, how critical michigan is to any joe biden win. >> 15 electoral votes. if that were to flip from blue to yellow, joe biden would be president of the united states. >> that's true. >> michigan and pennsylvania is not competitive because that dna is similar, but we see a specific michigan issue in what you just saw from jeff's reporting that has michigan -- i will tell you from my reporting, chief among equals in that blue wall in terms of areas of concern for the bi

joining me now at the magic wall to talk about this, to break it down, is david chalian.'s start with the overall idea that political strategists, since we've been covering politics, have looked at and matters more than anything, which is how people feel about the direction of the country. >> exactly. we asked that question, and we see that only 35% of americans in our new poll say that things are going well. now, i say only 35%, that's about a third and it is a low number. but, dana, look, it is ticking up a bit. it was at 28% last fall. i mean we weren't at 35% until the aftermath of the midterm elections in december of '22 and that was a blip. so that is a bit of good news that maybe the country is turning the corner in perception, though still two-thirds do not believe things are going well. i think it is instructive. look at it broken by party. you see growth in positive perception across all democrats and republicans. you see democrats think more is going well, but you see an 8 percentage points with republicans and 7% with republicans. >> the economy, we talked abo

. >> david chalian leads us off this hour. when you dig into these numbers, at least on the top line, where do you see momentum here? >> there isn't much momentum. it's a pretty static race. a narrow trump lead just outside the margin of error in our brand-new cnn poll. look at that. it is identical to what we had the race at at the end of october, beginning of november. this is our first look after the iowa caucuses/new hampshire primary of a national political landscape. it hasn't much moved. you noted in the haley/biden match-up that she has a 13 percentage point lead, 50% over biden's 39%. she wallops the president. the problem for nikki haley is she has a rough road of getting there. she is 50 points behind donald trump for the republican nomination and 26 points behind him in a new monmouth poll in south carolina, the next big primary, guys. >> so, those are the numbers on the candidates. what about the voters, when it comes to the mood of voters, how they're feeling, how do things look right now? >> we asked this basic

chalian, david immigration, border security.ay majorly into tonight's race, the way that lauren said, right? >> there's no doubt about it. and look at the national landscape of the immigration issue. according to our most recent poll from the end of january. so president biden's approval rating, jake, as you know, on immigration, it's his worst tested across every issue. it's at 30% approval, 70% disapproval we also asked folks, and again, this was a nationwide poll whether or not the us should prioritize deporting all undocumented immigrants versus providing a pathway to citizenship in 2019, only 15% said the priority should be deporting all undocumented immigrants >> that has >> doubled in 2024 now to 31%. and that's overall, when you look at it just among republicans, jake 32% of republicans said the priority should be deporting undocumented immigrants. that was in 2019. now a majority of republicans, 54% say the priority for the us should be deporting undocumented immigrants. and that is why you saw two thirds of the immigra

bar is david chalian pointed out, but they're already at 15,000 with only 10% coming in. we could easily see this getting up to closer to 100,000. the question for the white house and do those voters come home in november just minutes from now, the last polling places close. let's go back to jake in dc thanks anderson we're going to >> get a fuller picture of how president biden is fairing tonight as he faces, not only long shot challenger congressman dean phillips, but also that protest vote for uncommitted. that's being urged by democrats who are pushing for a permanent ceasefire in the israel-hamas war and also pushing for for the us to cut all military aid to israel in the republican primary, donald trump is looking for another decisive victory over nikki haley to extend his winning-streak and to bring him closer to amassing the delegates, he needs to lock up the gop presidential nomination. let's go over to john king now at the magic wall, john more votes coming in. where are they coming in from? >> the starting to get a good scattering across the state, which makes

let's bring in cnn political director david chalian. david, we should say that we're expecting to hear from the speaker really momentarily. so it'll be curious to hear how he responds to this, but what are your takeaways from last night? >> well, clearly it is a big win for the democrats. they flip a seat. so in the short term relating to speaker johnson's remarks upcoming year, it narrows his majority and he's got a lot of thorny issues still ahead of him. and so having one fewer vote to play with, there's like no wiggle room for the speaker at this point. so that's its most immediate impact, but also democrats needed a win at this moment, right? just in terms of the political environment in the aftermath of the her report. and a lot of democrats wringing their hands about joe biden. but i think it's also a reminder for democrats. there's, there doesn't seem to be, if you look at the november elections, other special elections, there's not a democratic brand problem at the moment, voters it seemed to be okay with what the democrats are

i want to caution david chalian, you know, does note that while the polls do show that people might look upon trump differently if he is convicted of a felony, who knows what would happen ultimately if that took place? you see people like mike johnson who no matter what happens seem to stick by the former president, sophia. >> john, you know, it is dangerous. i have to use that word, and it's a threat to this republic for the speaker of the house of representatives to dismiss a court of appeals that says in this 57-page document how serious this is. it's a threat to the separation of powers. it's a threat to our stability as a republic to allow donald trump to even argue something like this, much less affirm it. so they're just -- i don't know what to say about the republicans. i'm out of words, to be honest. i don't have them. >> alice, you do, i think. as we look at this. hearing from the speaker, and hearing him use some of the same language that donald trump uses and that his campaign uses in a case like this where 57 pages, three judges, many multiple courts who have said the same e

let's bring in carrie cordero and david chalian to talk about this a little bit more, we only on a day like today with this get a little bit lost, right? when we saw what happened down in georgia. but trump, this is huge. he's going to be standing trial in a criminal case next month. it is official. so how big of a deal is this in? is there any chance that this could slide time-wise? >> so time-wise, it seems like this probably is the schedule i don't see something in the federal case changing getting accelerated that would bump it again. so this as far as we can tell, this looks like this will be the date for it to for to start. but in terms of the substance of it, it is amazing that this is the case that is going to be the first one in the history books against a former president, at least in my judgment of all the cases, this is the weakest one substantively, i mean, the facts are now eight years old by the time we're actually getting to trial. the case is on an sort of an interesting legal theory three, in order to jack it up to a felony charge in terms of what otherwise would have

chalian was here with us yesterday, kind of explaining this. nikki haley did not campaign in michigan the way she campaigned in some of these other states, right? she came close to 40% in her home state of south carolina. she had done these major ad buys in many ways, this michigan margin is a little bit more of a pure test of if all else is equal, if, if one candidate is not campaigning more than the other are spending way more money than the other. this is the percentage of the republican party that sticks with nikki haley and it's she she had 26.5% here now she did do better in the suburbs in michigan. she had stronger turnouts outside the detroit suburbs, the suburbs of lansing, grand rapids, et cetera. but that's kind of where things landed here. what's your top takeaway from the republican results last night? >> i mean, i think it's very fair to compare the voters who voted for nikki haley on the republican side to the democratic voters who voted on uncommitted, on the, on biden's side, they are voters who are giving warning signs to both

and sometimes cnn news central anchor david chalian is here with us we have now since we last spoke, which was actually just like an hour-and-a-half ago, house speaker mike johnson came out trying to spin the laws. they're saying, you know what? if i were the democrats, i wouldn't be happy with the results in new york three, i'm sure if they had won the race, he would also not be happy if they won the race, right? yeah. obviously so he was doing his best to put a positive face on what is bad, loss for them. and as you just noted, that mayorkas vote is a perfect example. in fact, given absences or whatever, suozzi had already been sworn in, that may not have happened yet. again, that could have failed. so he knows he has such a complicated task. he's trying to keep morale high among us troops, obviously, let's switch gears for just a moment. let's talk about nikki haley this morning on today's show. essentially saying that she is still competitive. she pointed to delegates, listen is there one state where you could see right now we can win there. >> you need 1,200 and delegates coming

. >> let's get >> some more analysis right now this time from our political experts, david chalian this is perhaps the most consequential case against trump. and now there's a very real chance it won't necessarily be decided before the presidential election in november. that's a huge benefit potentially for trump, right? >> well, it's a huge benefit in two ways. if indeed it is not tried before november this is one of the two federal cases. and if he wins and he's president, he'll have it dismissed, didn't have to go away and it will be as if it didn't exist. so there's that piece of it, but, but in terms of the campaign, donald trump has proven across all these trials to utilize them as the clock is ticking, as a way of fortifying his base of support now, there's a question. if indeed one of these trials went forward and he was convicted of a crime related to trying to overthrow an election and upend our democracy that, that may have real-world political impact on independents, moderate republicans, what have you in this race, we don't know that to be sure wolf, but that would be hangi