business school, we welcome him to our airwaves, mr. valery, good morning to you, good morning, mr. valery, if you think back to the past year, the beginning of the year was perceived as fairly optimistic by yu, everyone was hoping for some success, there were many predictions about that in 2023 the war will end with the victory of ukraine, now everyone is much more cautious, and even i would assume that such a little ... gloomy and pessimistic views prevail, or does this really mean that those forecasts last year were too optimistic, and in what difference between forecasts and scenarios, as i know that you have prepared just scenarios of how events can develop until 2025, thanks for a great question, actually emotional coils are of course. things in difficult times, those who were on the maidan got to know them back in december 2013, and everyone who was tested by subsequent events knows them well, at first it seems that everything is very good, we are winning, then it is the opposite, everything is bad , everything is a betrayal, not