royal united services institute for defense and security studies. he joins us now from london. good. have you with us on the program and how dangerous is this an escalation in terms of face that'd be completed by these riley's that they're taking responsibility for the strike. oh, thank you for inviting me on the program. so since the beginning of this relative environment of gaza in october, i think that many have been quite concerned about the notion that escalation across the region as, as really being attempted to here. and what we've seen with this latest retaliation by this rape is on the who sees in yemen, i think is more evidence of that. there might always be the sense um from one side or the other or thinking that they can, you know, retaliate and just this particular not should not take it up any further than that . but of course, the law of unintended consequences always applies and think can spit out of control and who see so sad that they will retaliate and respond. is a reason to suggest that they will this particular tech doesn't, do

united services institute, i correctly translate it somehow as the royal united services institute,hat's how we know it in british writing. that they are actually analyzing the reasons not for the failure of the offensive, the failed offensive, the counteroffensive of the 23rd year, and they say that it was possible to predict in advance that it would be a failed offensive, because, since the russians had well prepared for this offensive and knew well, where this offensive will be, and here is another interesting thing, that they believe that if in a few months the russians will soon lose... the initiative and will no longer be able to attack along the entire front line, then the ukrainians may be tempted to try to implement a counteroffensive again, and their conclusion is that when i quote, when the 14th division of the army still lacks weapons, and another counteroffensive by the armed forces of ukraine would be an unsuccessful double, they say that in the fourth year of the 20th ukraine it is better not to carry out. no offensive operations, because it will be an adventure. inde