classic is a classic situation when it is required to find a strategic and political foothold in the middle east thanks to which it would be possible to deploy a project in relation to other countries of the east , with the help of this base, not only military, but also political, one can spread influence over saudi arabia. egypt jordan is strong, then the people of bush sr. stopped on the border of iraq their main task, a massive military presence in the gulf. they ensured that in 10 years people more than the younger will no longer be able to stop such global goals as the fight against international terrorism does not provide for any borders and no stops. on

the events of september 11, i would write our foreign policy as a protracted hysteria. it is useless, september 11 is the tragedy of several thousand people, but there are not only human, but also the state level at the state level there should not have been hysteria should be said, it did not harm us. you have achieved absolutely nothing. remember, again, our brzezin no world islam is not exist. it is necessary to stop the hysteria of the younger bush, critics are not into the conservatives, in fact they do not want to understand that it is the hysteria that the hysteria is needed and ordered the reaction of the little former. unlike the big one, there was no reaction, but a rose of american interest. it was a reaction to the crisis , the usual crisis of the american system of world government. september 11 is associated with the

events in austria in 1914. the serbian terrorist organization, the member who killed ers the duke, ferdinand, did not want war with the serbs there was no army and their only goal was the collapse of the austro-hungarian empire, the austrians, on the contrary, wanted war. however, in the end, the serbs got what they wanted so much in the united states , they did the same thing that austria, having started the war in iraq, strengthened the positions of al- qaeda in iraq i don't think, of course, this is absolutely an analogy and the united states as then austria is about to fall can be understood by a veteran of american intelligence. there are things that you don't want to believe. in fact, to understand the american systemic crisis. it fits better in comparison with the soviet union than with austria, and, as for the eleventh of september, here the gabriel prinz syndrome, as discovered, gave away, it’s just very accurate al-ka, and you’ll miss the administration pursued completely symbiotic goals. come on, i thought about crushing america, and well, it was necessary to

draw the islamic world into a war with the devil, exactly the same devil in the form of international terrorism was needed in the ears in order to justify the unrestricted use of force, the only one certainly the argument of the united states in a unipolar world, the bush administration after the events of september 11 felt the danger and became very ambitious and in 2004 these ambitions. failed in iraq i was talking to people in very high positions in washington and they said, we have two really serious problems in the middle east one of them is saudi arabia and the second is israel both of these problems are not solved, so we took on the third one not very important issue iraq in july 2006, ralph peters published a book titled never don’t get out of the fight dedicated to the configuration of the

new middle east ralph peters, a prominent analyst and columnist on military-strategic topics, the presented map of this new middle east is shocking, first of all, because it is primarily the countries that are considered traditional allies of the united states under the saudi arabia is completely destroyed and pakistan is cut down, turkey as for iraq your territory is divided between three states by the kurdish sunni and shiite plus city states. baghdad it's possible that iraq will not be a unitary state, i don't care if it turns into three states, shiite, kurdish sunni, the only thing i think we can't do. so it will be a disaster for the united states to leave, good uncle, zukerman. bloody sections, cancer is not only iraq - it does not matter. here is the departure of the united states - it really is. the trouble is the collapse of the iraqi state - this will be the worst

outcome of a military campaign, the turks are very worried about about the kurds. and what happens if there is an independent kurtkistan, there is a problem in the south and raki in the shiite region on the border with iran which is the largest shiite state in the world, if they unite then there will be a threat to kuwait and saudi arabia because the shiite population lives on the coast. it is not difficult to see that the old blood rock perceives as the worst option exactly what is perceived by the current, as the desired result, such a block will block and the region on the basis of religious and ethnic principles means war blood and chaos it seems that this is the only option in which the americans expect not to leave, or rather leave to stay, managing chaos. from a safe distance, the idea is to control the chaos in such a region. this is definitely an adventure. so, it is precisely the behavior of the united states in the iranian issue that can be the main indicator of the american and, ultimately

, an indicator of america's systemic crisis with eggs against iran. the us policy remains the same radical and is still aimed at simply putting pressure on the country, forcing it to do what america needs is the question of what constitutes iran to act in american interests, especially and it is not necessary paradoxically that in the region in the obvious american hot spots and in afghanistan and iraq, iran is in fact an american partner. even despite all american efforts. this partnership would be undermined if the americans really tried to negotiate with the wound. they have had almost 20 years to respond to positive iranian signals iran has survived the islamic revolution for a quarter of a century back. this is a purely, conservative power of a natural stabilizer. in the region. there is a suspicion that the american policy towards the wound is precisely radical. that is, this policy is intent on destabilization. and the notorious democratization of the middle east there are

win-win means of such stabilization once again. podbyukan real conservatives, then they continue to vissociation. this is the wilsonian idea that america must make the world safe, that it cannot feel safe outside the democratic world, this idea that they they are guided, but these are not conservative ideas at all, they are neo-kobins, their next project is to drag the united states into a war with iran only through escalation. they can justify the task of traditional conservatives is to stop this adventure in iraq to withdraw troops and remove the fleet from there. and let them solve their problems. the states will refuse to leave and will continue to strive to lead the world revolutionary process. first of all, this will really manifest itself in iran. a new big war in the middle east puts the whole the american system, not so much militarily as economically. the big problem

facing the us is that the terrorist threat comes not only from clear adversaries like iran but also from those whom the united states supports pakistan saudi arabia is a challenge for america friends and foes alike, the worst scenario for the us is revolutionary regime change among friendly states, therefore the united states. it is so difficult to pursue a consistent policy in the region pakistan 160 million a muslim country with nuclear weapons, a historically forced ally of the united states after the british left india in 1947, the country was divided along confessional lines into india pakistan, which provoked a colossal massacre that killed about a million people 20 million became refugees due to the fact that that india received the support of the soviet union pakistan was doomed to the union by the united

states. having become one of the instruments of american policy in the region, pakistan played a key role in supporting the afghan mujahideen, and then in the victory of the taliban there after september 11, the military leadership led by general musharaf unequivocally took the side of the united states, while musharaf always tried to separate pakistan's obligations to combat islamist terrorism from participation in pakistan's disastrous adventures in the region that the american allies tried to wall it, while pakistan is the country with the most powerful energy of radical islamism, which for the time being manages to restrain her husband raf. once again , there is no such islamist energy, nowhere in iran all this energy came out long ago , the islamic revolution in iran ended, and in pakistan, god forbid, a political explosion in pakistan has not yet begun, which means chaos in the entire vast region with unpredictable consequences. and now there was no one from another country

to continue experiments with the orange revolutions in pakistan, or in washington they decided that general musharov wasted his political resource on supporting american policy, or was it the result of growing irritation with the independence of the pakistani leader, but the project of replacing musharaf with a former benadir prime minister. huto almost 10 years, hiding in exile from allegations of corruption, matured in the bowels of the american intelligence and analytical community a few years ago, the reason for launching the project. as is usually the case in the orange scheme became the presidential election. there are, of course, fears that pakistan will blow up on him a lot, which have an impact next to afghanistan kashmir. they have nuclear weapons, they are muslim state, they don't have democracy, they need a strong hand, a very unstable situation. people want to change this dangerous situation for something more stable, but as in the case of saudi

arabia. the issue should be resolved step by step, if you try revolutionary methods, then it can explode as soon as possible. here is the idea of ​​an orange revolution in pakistan with the goal of immediate democratization no less than the iranian project demonstrates the state of modern american political thought. this is the degree of adventurism beyond madness. one two three loud and clear i can talk, come on, i can talk.

they are kind of lethargic. you know how strange. i just haven't seen you, as if i'm still a child, by the way, mom, and in what year did my father leave us in thirty-six or thirty-seven? well , first of all, did lisa die on 35? well, lisa lisa is the one we work with in the printing house. in the end, forgive me if i'm at fault. andrei tarkovsky mirror on sunday at the first

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of the american model of capitalism depends primarily on what happens in the middle east if, god save , a revolution spreads throughout the middle east, it could have such an impact on the movement of oil that it will fundamentally change the attitude towards individual consumption. this will affect not only americans, but also people from other countries of the world, and especially, perhaps, the chinese. but, in principle, it will affect all countries. the problem is that the americans are alone and only they can save them what you want us to create a bipolar world. this is academic criticism. we couldn't do it even if we wanted to we don't have to do it we're not going to do it at the cost of returning the soviet the communist regime in russia and, accordingly, the polar world is a characteristic reaction of one of the

pillars of bush's neo-conservatism bi. we noticed that the bipolar world was more stable and safer than the unipolar name day at the meeting of the clergy in qom in 1984 worse than england england worse than the soviet union and the soviets worse than both, but now america is the embodiment of all abomination. this name ayat allah is felt as a great friend of the soviet union, and so it is from iran and specifically from the leader of the islamic revolution, which did not could not welcome the collapse of the soviet system came one of the first alarms in january 1986 he writes a letter to the young reformer mikhail gorbachev. i hope the ussr, in connection with the beginning reforms, will not turn out to be a prisoner of the west named after gorbachev on january 11, 1986, in front of the west

, the police, which ensures its stunning essence that the collapse of the soviet union became the end of the russian empire in georgian 1994. richard chancellor british merchant and navigator 1553 , if russians knew their strength, no one would could compete with them. and their neighbors. would not have rest from them, but i think that no god's will. i can compare russians to a young horse who does not know his strength and allows a small child to control him and lead himself to the bridle, despite his great strength. but if this horse was aware of it, that is, neither a child nor an adult would have coped with it. this is richard chancer. it was in 1553 that chancer opened russia to britain as well as america's columbus to the spaniards, and for

exactly the same purpose the british then sought an alternative to transport routes to the east in india , precisely because the well-known route was already occupied by the spaniards and the portuguese, then the discovery of russia essentially did not take place. it was simply canceled by the british, they opened it, they looked at the door, they gasped, they were horrified and tried to close it quickly, but they were horrified. they are exactly what the member was talking about, that is, roughly speaking, russia, unlike america, turned out to be unsuitable for colonization. so in this sense, russia has been closed for all these 500-odd years, the window of opportunity has opened twice during turmoil at the beginning of the xviii to the beginning of the xx century, but quickly closed. so, they couldn't use it. and now after the collapse of the union. this window of opportunity has opened wide open. i always remembered vit's expression that there is no russia after peter i, but there is the russian empire. and the destruction of the russian empire is the destruction

of their own state. i do not know of a single case in history where a leading nation felt like a victim of its own empire and began to destroy its own with your own hands. moreover, without any of this historical necessity, without any national liberation movements that would inevitably do this. remember, bzim's famous definition of russia with ukraine is always a great power. without ukraine, there is always no jizzilian majestic idea of ​​building bypass routes for transporting primarily strategic hydrocarbons around russia, an idea that, until recently, has been a steady area of ​​life in ancient times. the great silk road passed through china and india to central asia, then through the caspian along the kura river to colchis and through the black sea, where the greek cities of the state were located. the current great silk road is named after comrade brzezinski. this is

primarily a hydrocarbon transit route. and this is a way around russia, which became potentially possible in connection with the separation of the caucasus and central asia, respectively, and it is divided into two segments - the caucasian and the middle asian caucasian segment already. this pipeline undermines tbilisi ceyhan, but it acquires real meaning only when the central asian segment of baku tbilisi is launched. kazakhstan chinese xinjiang to the eastern coast of the yellow sea and further to korea japan and taiwan the cost of this great energy road is estimated more than 10 billion dollars, it

was supposed to start up by 2010. the peak of optimism about the new silk road falls, finally, in the nineties, when the main operators of the project believed that russia could simply be written off as scrap. i personally believe that russia has finally lost its imperialist face and is no longer a superpower with its capital in moscow ukraine georgia and other republics will no longer return to russia and will fiercely resist any attempt to restore russia in its former form the soviet union was the end of thirty years of strategic territorial advancement, st. petersburg and moscow, modern russia has moved north and east, and has become more distant from the western europe of the middle east than it was in the 17th century, ispeking in 1995? can russia survive if ukraine and

belarus are in the european union, russia no i think this is a very important issue and i am very skeptical about this possibility, because it will push russia back execution push away from europe russia moved northeast from europe and the middle east in the 17th century. here is the main geopolitical meaning of what is happening. what is the difference between the position of the vast majority of the anglo-saxon elite and our professor nivin, whose great-grandfather count von palin still strangled our emperor. pavel with a scarf, after all, does it matter to him to survive for russia or not? now he could no longer wear a scarf, but they easily. i do not think, and i think that the russian administration does not think so, that the reconstruction the soviet union or the strengthening of russian imperial interests is desirable or possible, i do not think that this is impossible, because russia is now strong enough to handle it. i think that this is undesirable not

because the interests, actually imperial, the united states, for example, are not very complex about their imperial interests, but because this can cause an extremely painful reaction in the only empire that currently exists. i think any strengthening of russian positions on apostolic space will cause great concern to america, and in certain circles, extreme nervousness one of the hallmarks of american diplomacy after the end of the cold war, and especially after the bush administration came to power, is that america feels uncomfortable if it is not a major player when americans see that some kind of unification is taking place around russia; they are afraid that the situation will get out of control. the world

changed after 9/11, damn it, it ain't has changed. some even believe that he has completely returned to the old well-trodden rut of the big game. the world is more and more guided by the traditional great game of the 19th century the competition between america and russia in central asia is an outdated and stupid geopolitical game played by stupid people in moscow and washington both sides are fighting shadow fighting in central asia . whose base is this located in this very central asia not to mention poland and the czech republic, at the same time, notice no russians paratroopers have not yet been found in mexico

. moreover, in texas, and even staples, our electronic intelligence bases have been brought into the aids consciousness for some reason, they usually ignore the fact that in any conflict, as a rule, there is, at least two sides did not invent a stupid game, like brother noticed. anatoly lilin, dominic, if you remember, i am describing the large breasts of the 19th century. before talking about the threat to british interests, you need to look. where is kent and somewhere is tashkent russia has vital interests in in the post-soviet space, as well as the united states in central america and the caribbean, any country with a periphery must have vital interests in these regions. in the case of russia, these interests are even more important , because russia is in an even more difficult position than america. one of these interests is the preservation of peace and the prevention of the upheaval of the revolution, the emergence of hostile states in the first place in muslim countries. actually, nothing could be added to this. however, add

these institutes who talk about the will of russia and so on will have to. and for me they are not realists, they are romantics, they talk about russia that will no longer exist, in my opinion. another issue is to expand to strengthen influence in, say, uh central asia in the caucasus, this is understandable. this, of course, i understand, and this position of the most balanced most can be said about russian western analysts, in general, in order to understand the mechanism of the activities of american structures in the post-soviet space. less attention to give sympathy to the orientations of specific political operators. well, it should be said that we do not quite, uh, correctly understand the organization of the work of the foreign affairs departments of the

united states of america; they are arranged according to the principle. ah, the business of a corporation similar to, uh, coca-cola or generic motors, the people that work there, they take it as uh, a normal business project to promote a special kind of product on, uh, something called honey. this is a huge business. it is calculated in tens of billions of dollars. well in basically, naturally connected and serviced by the us budget and it employs hundreds of thousands of people around the globe to stop this business overnight. well, it is also impossible, as it is impossible to stop the work of a large corporation. this is a lot of money, a very large part, which is due to the peculiarities of the process operators. hardly hits the mark. but this is the problem of the american taxpayers, nevertheless,

a significant part of them is distributed in the form of grants of various other forms of encouragement among the native population, creating a colossal and self-propelled agents of influence. here it is after the crash. union it turned out that this whole machine considers the field of its activity not only the outskirts and actually itself in russia it turned out that siberia is too big and rich for russia to manage it on its own? now it could turn out to be what alaska california, taken together, was tired of in its time for the americans as a source of enormous wealth, in order to keep siberia, russia will need help beyond its strength. to overcome this task independently in the conditions of the demographic decline and new trends in neighboring china, due to the large-scale european presence, siberia could eventually turn into a common, eurasian property , the use of which