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ask in the stores of your city so that the taste of our steaks is, thus we use only 100% beef, and also salt and pepper, so they turn out so juicy, the very quality is delicious and the point is my name is maria zarubina i live in georgia in the city of batumi seven years ago. my daughter was stolen from me. in one that you still love him? double love for myself and for my mother. well, it's nobody's fault that she died.

call interpol's hotline number. let's tell them what evidence we have, nothing happens twice, what kind of restocking is this? i don't know, like a letter. i only read the first sentence, my love.

vertinsky where are your things? not? i don't have any of things. and you know each other here? gathering an army, he will go to war against us. welcome to vladimir you are a happy person. you have sons a faithful wife and the love of your people. and i'm alone in my principality of new beautiful girls. you can choose any of me before a difficult and

shameful choice, or 30,000 of our fathers. lord prince sometimes i counted the number of soldiers, there are only 10,000 people who will raise. if i had made concessions, he would have learned that the daughter-in-law of prince yaroslav himself lives in the mengu harem. to endure forever, we do not tolerate for the time being the golden horde from monday on first hello.

hello, you have never seen such a respectable man. we would like to find the first representative serafim mikhailovich. how are you doing here? i have no doubt that this is not your personal decision to order from above. but the people are waiting for the concert. do you really not know what to do? no, don't say anything. i know everything, this is pyotr sergeevich sorokin give me the phone. i'll pick it up myself now. i 'll call myself, i'm sorry, i'll call myself.

announce there that the concert of muslim magomayev will be and open the cash desk, you need to be organized to offend everyone and run people into the hall. i have more here. will succeed. if so, wait. the main thing is to put fire engines everywhere for us, to calm people down. that's all, serafim mikhailovich understood, good luck with more new good songs, make us happy thank you let's go genghis, we can't be late for the concert, do you hear? goodbye girls.

i have two tickets. not at all thank you thank you very much have a good concert.

excuse me, could you drive faster i 'll try. thank you to the lord everything sits mixed, only empty on the earth.

and you and you are given a star. today, vladimir putin had a telephone conversation with the president of indonesia, who will host the g20 summit in bali in november, at which vladimir putin was invited and, of course, will take part either in person or at least remotely discussed just this upcoming summit and issues of food security, and in

lviv today, the president held talks in turkey and ukraine recep taip erdogan visited ukraine for the first time since february 24, as well as tripartite talks with united nations secretary general antonio guterish, who arrived in lviv the day before, and tomorrow he must go to odessa to see how the scheme for exporting ukrainian grain through the black sea ports works. these lvov negotiations are quite extensive, including the grain deal and the situation with the zaporozhye nuclear power plant, which has been going on regularly for a month now. the prospects for a political settlement of the conflict in ukraine are also being fired in general, on which the turkish president continues to insist following today's talks in lvov, erdogan and zelensky signed a memorandum on the restoration and destruction of the ukrainian infrastructure, and with antonio guterres, vladimir zelensky reportedly agreed on the parameters of a possible iaea mission of the international atomic energy agency to the zaporozhye nuclear power plant and today, the

russian ministry of defense announced that tomorrow, when the un secretary general will still be on the territory of ukraine in odessa, the kiev regime is preparing for zaporozhye npp is a big provocation. listen to what the official representative of the russian ministry of defense, igor konoshenko, said about this today. on august 19, the kiev regime is preparing a resonant provocation at the zaporozhye nuclear power plant during a visit to ukraine by un general antonio guttershin, as a result of which the russian federation will be accused of creating a man-made disaster at this power plant to prepare provocations for the command of the operational-tactical group. on august 19, dnipro deploys traditional observation posts in the zaporozhye region, and also organizes training of units of the 108th territorial defense brigade of the 44th artillery brigade and military units stationed in zaporizhia on actions in

conditions of radiation contamination of the area. readiness to record the fact of the accident at the zaporozhye npp, as well as to carry out a set of measures to demonstrate, supposedly eliminate its consequences. on august 19, units of the 44th artillery brigade of the armed forces of ukraine plan to launch artillery strikes on the territory of the zaporozhye npp from firing positions located in the city of nikopol, the blame for their consequences will be assigned to the russian armed forces. the purpose of this provocation is to create an exclusion zone of up to 30 km around the zaporozhye station and to introduce an international contingent there. and, of course, the accusations of russia in nuclear terrorism and indeed today, following a bilateral meeting with the general un secretary volodymyr zelensky said that, and he quotes, she is obliged to ensure the demilitarization

of the zaporozhye nuclear power plant, its complete liberation from russian troops, that is, the goal is insecurity, namely, to remove russia from there and, ideally, to place certain peacekeepers on the territory of ukraine, which in turn will become a precedent for deploying western troops, and not only on the territory of the zaporozhye nuclear power plant, but also on other territories that are now under the control of the kiev regime ivan pavlovich you we agree that this is precisely the goal of kiev and the united states standing above it. you know, i would put it in a simpler way, that is, kiev wants. and with little bloodshed at the expense of the international community , take strategic positions, ousting russian troops from there. this is uh embroidered white thread. this can be seen frankly, and the bottom, since kiev’s calculation is clear, and in the european union and nato, any configuration is any plan that can somehow cause damage. uh, russian, whose troops are in the combat zone, he

is acceptable, but it is impossible to fulfill it, because there is a second point. and if what is shown on the map happens, that is, a hit, and the easiest option is getting into a dry storage. and the exclusion zone is 30 km. i would like to look at those peacekeepers who are going to enter this zone, they simply don’t exist, they won’t exist, then what kiev is trying to achieve, kiev is trying to achieve what, and guys, look carefully. we are ready to go for anything. try to login now. without us destroying or doing some damage power plants that they are ready to go to serious, and provocations and are ready to go to the end. it is obvious that the international community needs to understand for itself, so this game, uh, is it acceptable to him or not? i think that in general, and this is a game that no one wins. well, uh for

the international community. this is an extremely dangerous game, of course, first of all for europe, for eastern and south-eastern europe, but i remind you that the kiev regime does not get tired of simply repeating that the west must either close the sky or introduce its own own contingent to the territory of ukraine, and it seems to me that these provocations with the zaporizhzhya nuclear power plants are an attempt. still, create a precedent for a certain deployment of a western contingent under the guise of peacekeepers on the territory of the zaporizhzhya npp yes, and thereby create a precedent in order to continue somehow trying to involve the west directly, not indirectly 10. for the kiev regime, since nato in principle, no, but the forces that are ready to go for it. that 's right. yes, ukraine can conclude, for example, a bilateral agreement with poland if poland is ready to send its troops outside the context of nato and we know that, firstly, polish officers, polish mercenaries, they are present in the conflict zone, and that's all, a is well known. if poland is ready to go further, then poland will have to act on

its own, and not as an underdog. but then poland is doomed in advance to the fact that the supply and in general everything that concerns the real actions of the troops. it will all be chopped off, so everyone understands this very well , and such a peacekeeping contingent, which can enter the territory of ukraine to become a buffer, for example, it simply does not exist, because the peacekeepers are the same, and he is nato and you, it doesn’t matter who everyone will see well what is happening and know that the ukrainians will try to provoke the same contingent. in order for a clash to break out between the peacekeepers and the russian side, of course, well, the ion contingent. here it is even hypothetically impossible, since russia will block a capable solution in the security council. it even surprises me that we are seriously discussing, nonsense spoken by a man who didn't even read, probably never got tired. he the coachman had to say the young man. i do not have such

authority. you are addressing the wrong address. that's all. that would be the end of the conversation. here, with some kind of gasket, someone will be invited, someone will be installed . it simply cannot be done. this man this man is a disgrace. uh, well, the title of president. well, in general, a large european state, because it is infinitely ignorant and not serious recently, called himself as the president of a great power in a famous interview in yours. can he be declared president of a great power? here's a gutteresh. maybe, on my own behalf, i completely agree with you, naturally, it is not in the competence of the secretariats to decide something, but lately, uh, the secretariats of many international organizations and the united nations in particular are operating. unfortunately, at the behest of western countries, the collective west is using the aon secretariat as an

instrument of its policy. and alas today the summit in lvov confirmed this once again, because personally gutesh, following the results of negotiations with zelensky , agreed that yes, the territory of the zaporizhzhya npp should be demilitarized that is, he works out the agenda, the respective countries can work out. whatever, but portugal is a poor country, he needs money, but for this there is a security council the security council if it decides something can happen if it doesn't solve it, we have the right to spit on everything that people who are irresponsible say, of course, there were serious and responsible people. yes, after the un charter, the second main source of international law is precisely the resolutions of the un security councils where

russia china have necessarily, of course, legally binding yes. well, here russia said that if ukraine continues shelling the zaporizhzhya nuclear power plant, then russia will be forced to simply freeze, uh, stop activity of this station, and vasily georgiyevich, what will be the consequences for the ukrainian energy sector? why, if the zaporozhye nuclear power plant ceases to function, at least for a while, what will this mean for ukraine, its economy, its energy. well, the format of the shutdown is twofold, that is, either it will simply work on within our energy networks, or it will simply be. well, let's say not to supply electricity to ukraine and curtail their work there in some kind of technical format, and in this case, uh, the kiev regime will face a severe energy deficit. after all, the knot of these contradictions is being tied up in germany now when nord stream-2 is not launched,

nord stream alone cannot operate in full volume . cubic meters of liquefied natural gas and will reach 4,000. and, maybe even higher and up to 5.000 can reach this winter in this situation. ukraine will not receive the required amount of energy resources and cold, hunger and unemployment and, of course, the lack of electricity, that is, simply the temporary provision of electricity by a separate region, and at some definite or indefinite time, this format will be obtained now according to statements. e, such are the nikolaev authorities of the kiev regime. we know that unemployment can reach eighty percent. therefore, how many unemployed will there be if the situation deepens, if the enterprise stops everything, and they will probably stop well, 90% of enterprises will not

work in the format there. somehow they will try to supply some people working for the military in the military sector, uh, with energy and gas and electricity. but all the rest will simply stand up, what will be the unemployment on unemployment will be a colossal total unemployment. it will simply stop the economy, of course, this does not mean that the economy will cease to exist in the economy, there are microstructures of microrelationships. uh, most often we see them in the form of the smallest trade, sometimes illegal, and this will all exist, and resale of some batteries. to the resale of gas cylinders and warm socks of sauerkraut , salted apples, and so on. that's it, of course it will take place, but it will take place. in what format do you know the circulation of money will slow down the mass of goods will decrease and the hryvnia will depreciate rapidly. that is, it will accelerate the depreciation of the currency of the kiev regime. this is what will follow the energy crisis. in ukraine

, microeconomics will remain without macroeconomics, just a few figures. uh, significance characteristic zaporozhye is 20% of the energy balance of the whole of ukraine , we will consider, respectively, the liberated territories, not the liberated territories. and this is quite seriously the second as zaporizhzhya , such giants as kryvyi rih steel work from it. the metallurgical plant and, for example, the most famous motorsich in europe, the aircraft engine building plant, the plant, respectively, will also lead to the complete collapse of these enterprises, it must be taken into account that it is located in the war zone. now almost all production coal, natural gas in ukraine, and if they do not receive gas from europe, they will not receive gas, that is, most likely, the picture will be even more gloomy. as a matter of fact, i tried to outline this without focusing solely on the zaporizhzhya npp, because the entire energy system will collapse there. well, the

united states is certainly behind the ukrainian provocations regarding the zaporozhye nuclear power plant, they falsely accuse russia of placing heavy weapons on the territory of the plant itself and in every possible way hush up the story with constant monthly ukrainian the russian ministry of defense reminded of this once again today by the shelling of this station. listen. we are ready to provide the iaea with real pictures with very high resolution . military and commercial foreign satellites. the same information can be provided to the world community by the american side. at the same time, the united states is hushing up objective data on shelling and the situation at the nuclear power plant, thereby encouraging impunity of the kiev regime and contributing to the possible development of a nuclear catastrophe on the territory of europe well, you know perfectly well that

in the united states there is constant talk that the current situation is a dead end for the united states itself and that, let's just say, the best of evils for them or smaller of gold. for them, there may be a freeze of the conflict. now, the united states is not trying to produce some kind of controlled catastrophe at the zaporizhzhya nuclear power plant, to create some kind of crisis. in order to and get out of the impasse in which they driven themselves and provide for, uh, in the conflict zone, at least a freeze, in which, as we have said many times, the united states may be interested in, you know, to be honest, i am inclined at home so not because suddenly people in washington were so kind and compassionate. it just seems to me, uh, the level of disaster will be such that it will be swept away, if it becomes obvious that the americans were behind this and the ukrainians did it, because we are accused of

blowing up, and a nuclear power plant, but it's just completely impossible. we ask, we demand that the wealthy of the un all come and look, we can even stand there in bed so that they sleep there do you understand the question? i think that the americans have another problem to freeze the conflict. they don't want to go. unfortunately, today we didn’t get to that point with dmitry, we discussed this issue, though on the sidelines that, in general, such a situation, the americans are not ready to make concessions, because he is ahead of them in the midterm elections. he killed them, a very heavy load failures over these one and a half years there. and therefore, of

course, they would like us to make some concessions, but for us it is also unprofitable in this current situation to make any concessions. and what is it from? we have the strategic initiative in our hands and, of course, make concessions and freeze. well, i don’t know, this will not be perceived adequately in the world, in my opinion, that’s why it seems to me that most likely, of course, there will be no explosion , but some such chaos is completely unmanaged but this will have a general european and worldwide impact. that is why it seems to me that they would hardly go for it. well, we will definitely talk more about the policy of the united states today. and now i would like to discuss europe a little bit in europe, there are also

discussions about how long they can maintain unity, how long they can maintain their current support for ukraine. from the extremes where is one extreme of this escalation of the conflict, but here, rather, the united states may fall into this extreme warehouse. and where is the other extreme - this is the settlement of the conflict on predominantly russian terms. and here is a very interesting post. e, an influential american political magazine recently made that since april, european countries have been de facto reducing arms supplies to ukraine, that since july the six largest western european countries, by the way, including poland, have not made new treaty obligations in ukraine to provide armaments and, in general, the trend is obviously to reduce the supply of weapons to kiev, yes, that's all. this is under

the talk that europe will help ukraine , so to speak, until the last ukrainian before the alleged victory and so on ivanovich, here is how to interpret this ever- greater and larger gap between rhetoric and practice for western countries, the gap between rhetoric and practice. he's not that unusual. this is, in general, the main principle, a sign of hypocrisy, and it is very common in the position of western countries, but if i may say a word about that the united states wants to arrange something terrible at the zaporozhye nuclear power plant in order to freeze the conflict, and the version is interesting, but so far we have seen that all the terrible provocations, when the provocation in the bucha was aimed not at freezing, but for in order to create an excuse for escalation, not to say, oh horror, let's stop, but in order

to say, not a step back, everyone in our camp continues. support, so this provocation is more of a mobilization escalation goal. and no, on the contrary. here are some of them aimed at freezing. although freezing. it’s not beneficial for us either, as for europe, at first europe experienced some enthusiasm, because america created an impression with them, and apparently even directly promised that you would be the foremost avant-garde detachment of the whole world, the whole world would support ours. and after a while it turned out that a small part of the world supports this american position, the europeans. they said how we were going to be the vanguard. and it turns out we are the last in this in this american chinese mead 15% of the world's population of your food chain

turned out to be the last. that is, you will be fed by us. who will we feed on? who's next to this food chain the americans say, wait, wait, someone will. well, the europeans have been waiting for a while, but the europeans are tired of all this. they realized that they had made a completely wrong bet, but that the current elites can not get out of american control. well , they just can't go through this american school selection is their asset. even if they are dissatisfied , they cannot go anywhere, and in general, they take a rather european position. if you consider europe to be true, not what they have been saying about themselves for the last 30-40 years, that they have come up with something incredibly new for modern history. and if you consider europe, remember the plot that is depicted in many paintings of the classics. the abduction of europe, a weak-willed girl is taken away by a bull; here is europe and appears in this

classic image. maybe she's unhappy may be. she is kidnapped, maybe she is crying, squeaking , complaining, but the americans are still taking her where they need to be. therefore, yes, the europeans are reducing direct support . they, as it were, understand how a child falls and does nothing, but the americans still continue to drag them in the direction they need to argue with the americans. the europeans do not dare, but they do not want to actively help either. the current european elites are hesitant. uh, already argue with the united states. and what will be the situation with other european elites, and what policy after all, the united states will hold on to the ukrainian conflict, we will talk in a few moments, do not switch.

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director of the defender of spam calls and nose . do not scratch, smart protection against spam calls, the defender in the mts-access subscription will answer unwanted calls and send a transcript of the conversations in the my mts application on the air of the big game in europe , alarming talk is increasingly heard that as the socio-economic situation in european countries worsens, moreover, a very serious deterioration elite e from the stage. e with rotation. elite europe will weaken its support for ukraine here. listen to the opinion of the famous british columnist simon tizdal on this matter, and the guardian newspaper columnist a. and this person. well, it is by no means possible to suspect russia of any sympathies; rather, on the contrary, listen. an uncomfortable, even disturbing

question arises. should ukrainians prepare to be stabbed in the back this winter nearly half a year after the start of the war, a widening gap between rhetoric and reality is becoming potentially fatal public outrage over the invasion is giving way to concern bordering on spain regarding its serious side effects on energy prices and food also on the cost of living. this in turn raises doubts about the resilience of the west, how long it will be before the already shaky and unity of europe collapses at the moment when the russian gas valve is finally turned off. ultimately won't win. she is unlikely to finally lose the war resembles a boiling pot that is never brought to a boil. ukraine is facing a brutal multi-year, a war of attrition, just like the west. consequently , there will be mounting parallel pressure for a ceasefire or some sort of undeniably temporary peace deal to alleviate europe's economic pain right-wing populist. in italy, other countries are ready to

take advantage, the leaderless britain is focused on the home front in germany according to the overgrown up to 50% of people are in favor of territorial concessions to russia, a sharp division between those who seek justice for ukraine and those who seek peace is observed across throughout europe and the scales are tilted against kiev well, the most vivid illustration of what the guardian columnist is writing about is the current situation in italy in september. there will also be parliamentary elections on current issues of public opinion. the most popular political force is the far-right party brothers of italy, led by georgia. uh, melanie or melanie and this eurosceptic party is a party that advocates a more constructive relationship with russia and this party is in coalition with the other two herbs or center-right parties. this is the league of matteo salvinia and portia, italy e, silva, berlusconi and according to all public opinion polls,

it is this right-wing coalition that should win the upcoming parliamentary elections in italy but here is the question of andronicus vsevisovich, eh. will the european bureaucracy allow the deep state atlantic structures of the elite, and so on, to change the policy of european countries such as italy, maybe even france, if new political forces come to power there. after all. we are a lot once we have already observed a situation where, well, either these new political forces are being destroyed. yes look at donald trump, either they are not allowed to carry out the policy that they initially want to pursue, yes, or they themselves somehow adapt to the situation. how do you think dmitry, i will now say a heretical thing. but you will understand why i say this, who would have thought that in the sixteenth year. not in europe will the alternative win. globalism, and in america at the center of

globalism, anti-globalism will win in the euro mini alternative. this is brexit, just a little other. if the american establishment let trump into the heart of america, i don't see it as unusual that they can't do anything about this coalition if they get voted and the public can vote, so at least it won't come as a surprise to me. well, ivan vasilievich it seems to me that a very serious crisis of trans-atlantic relations will begin, because right-wing populist parties in italy will advocate for changes in the policy of the collective west and nato of the european union in in relation to russia, all others will interfere with them in every possible way. yes, it will probably be against them, and some entrepreneurs are political sabotage. yes

, what do you think, how can the body end in this situation. you know, i think that at the first stage, a may not happen quite like that. as you say, here, if it happened so how to say. that is, the winners are more nationally oriented, more focused on their own, uh, domestic interests on their population. such politicians begin to argue with the brussels e bureaucracy. well, it’s the same with the washington one. and the regional committee is still a clinch, but it seems to me that at the first stage, now there is an opportunity for it not to happen exactly like that. and since hungary is hungary, it does not so much argue and enter into a deadly confrontation with brussels. she's just trying to keep brussels at arm's length all the time. we have our questions. let's decide for ourselves hungary does not really interfere, brussels hungary, for example, did not block the adoption of any of the

sanctions package. here, we do not accept everything totally and uh, and in general, hungary has not even voted even once in the past for the abolition of those still sanctions of the fourteenth year, but hungary spoke. that's when you are already climbing the issues of our life and the well-being of our fellow citizens, that's all. we don't let you in here. and if other nationally oriented forces follow this path, then this does not mean a mortal battle with brussels, but the fact that the power of brussels will decrease geographically only for those territories that remain where the atlantic trances remain, but the elites, and i repeat my time form that it will be like this, i say, not against america and without america, it will also not be against brussels and without brussels, at some point, of course, there will be a limit to such a policy, and they will already begin to find out after all who is here the main

national government or the brussels or brussels bureaucracy, but at the first stage. it seems to me that if these parties focus on getting more autonomy in deciding their strata. questions and more independence brussels oddly enough will retreat for tactical reasons just as it happens with hungary, so will brussels immediately start a war of annihilation against these politicians who do not fit into their scheme. no, it won't. he does n't have it right now. e forces will e, put up with this as well as measured. e sorban, and in hungary and further, let's see how the situation will develop, so i'm answering directly to the essence of your question, and whether they are corrupted right away, whether they are deprived of the opportunity to pursue the policy with which they were elected, there are chances that the pre-election , uh

programs will be these politicians, there is indeed a serious chance for this to be implemented. well now let's uh talk a little about the united states in the united states is also very active. the discussion about how long they can carry out the current policy towards ukraine is it enough, is it enough, or maybe it is already even redundant. and how not to go to one extreme or another and and the hawks, of course, demand an increase in the supply of weapons to ukraine, yesterday a group of high-ranking retirees wrote a letter to the biden administration in bely house with a demand to provide ukraine with long-range missiles of a long-range missile for hymers systems. uh, in particular, and there among the signatories and the former commander of the armed forces of nato in europe, uh, wesley clark and naturally yes, uh, who just gave the order to use military force in june 1999 and

knock out russian paratroopers from uh , the airport of pristina, as well as. eh, filibreed. lao and former united states ambassadors to europe uh john herbst. a e, who used to be on our program very often and e taylor, that is, they are demanding to increase the supply of weapons, since they appeal to the fact that right now is a critical moment in the course of the military conflict, but the biden administration is not yet clearly ready, e, to comply with this requirement about this is not unambiguous. yesterday , an official representative of the state department spoke out. no price list listen we have provided ukraine with everything necessary so that it can defend itself against an external aggressor. however, we have repeatedly said that this is not in the interests of ukraine, nor in the interests of nato. it is in the interests of europe and not in the interests of the united states that russia's aggression against ukraine turns into a larger fire, that this war spreads beyond ukraine into europe, or

potentially brings russia into conflict with nato and the united states is of no interest to anyone. well, i’ll add as a cherry on the cake that today the russian ministry of defense announced the transfer to the kaliningrad region, and three more mig-31 aircraft with dagger hypersonic missiles, and dagger hypersonic missiles are missiles that, in principle, cannot be intercepted, and ivan pavlovich containment works judging by the fact, and what did no price say? well, before i say. i want to remember that story. i witnessed i was there when the british general mick jackson, who was in command of ground operations, and his troops. we were with him near the salatino, prishvinsky airport and only five of our paratroopers stood on the road and blocked the movement of an entire british regiment, and then clark called out and said attack. and what did jackson say that this is russian you want to start the third world war, that is these are the people who signed

this letter. well it's their hawks. you can't even name it. these are people. absolutely i agree, absolutely irresponsible. ah, as for the rest of the situation, then, uh, well, in here it is necessary to argue quite simply europe to the united states a and, a. i even look, i can’t even name allies anymore, that’s all, here it is a limited field. uh, what do they have left, and there is virtually no room to maneuver. e how to proceed? hmm think of some new concept when uh and suggest it. and by the way, i see playing russia, including, for example, what happened, uh, around the taiwan crisis, the situation has reached a dead end on the one hand and look what the americans are doing. they draw the japanese into this and the japanese correct the delegation. approximately the same composition. they declare it

in taiwan in this way is created, and a new one is formed, a new ally, which will support in this zone. uh, the united states he just has no way out, because he will enter the cry in china and it will be an additional force for taiwan. the united states is going to fight with its hands. give vanya and now proceeding from this situation already. and japan, japan has created, by the way, everything possible, and the forces in order to already operate outside, including the marines. and this is a shock shock connection. they are not needed for defense, as it was before the japan self-defense force, so e will not change anything. and i'm absolutely sure. what and by the way, as ivan alekseevich spoke about this more than once, but there is only one possibility - this to say that no, the guys of the world will not. get ready for war, at least get ready to see if we will fight or not, but get ready

for another concept. we are unable to offer you. that is why one of the most profound american international scholars the leader of the realist school in the theory of international relations today, john ersheimer , is a professor at the chicago university and writes on the pages of the fori fs magazine what, even if the united states does not supply long-range missiles to ukraine , anyway, it is precisely the impasse into which the united states has driven itself that it will sooner or later, in the opinion of shimer, lead to the threat of escalation , or at least create the threat of escalation, because you absolutely rightly said, citing the analogy with taiwan, the united states they are trying to get out of the impasse through escalation through aggravation, and in ukraine, the united states has also driven itself into a dead end. victory over russia is a military victory. impossible on the battlefield, the united states

has raised the stakes so much and tied their own prestige to the outcome of the ukrainian conflict, that they cannot make concessions to russia. what is the way out of this situation? here john mersheimer writes about the fact that unfortunately there is a very serious risk of escalation in this situation. listen to the classic. western politicians seem to have come to a consensus on the war in ukraine, the conflict will go into a protracted stalemate and eventually weakened russia will accept a peace agreement beneficial to the united states and its nato ally and ukraine. although official faces admit that both washington and moscow can escalate to gain an advantage or avoid defeat. they imply that catastrophic escalation can be avoided by few who can imagine that us troops would be directly involved in the fighting or that russia would dare to use nuclear weapons. this

danger is far from certain, the risk of this much higher than is generally believed the united states could join the fighting if it desperately wants to defeat or prevent the defeat of ukraine, while russia could use nuclear weapons if it desperately wants to win or faces imminent defeat, which would be likely if american troops were to be drawn into combat. the maximalist approach that now prevails in both washington and moscow gives each side even more reason to fight until victory. in order to be able to dictate the terms of the peace, in fact, the absence of a possible diplomatic solution creates an additional incentive for both sides to climb the ladder of escalation agree with this analysis, but i always enjoy reading in marches, i know it, and this, of course, is one of the most brilliant in the american strategic oil. well , at least today one can say the patriarch of the realistic, uh, direction in american

foreign policy. but you know, i just wanted to remind you here, although it may be in another. e format, we talked about it. uh, in two very serious people, who is also on the pages of a foreign, queen recently wrote. true, they wrote about relationships about conflict. e usa china is a lbx flask and a second is kevin root. yes kevin or glad. well glad, that's what he says. we must prepare for war so that there is no war. but he only says that the americans should seriously prepare for this. and then there are some fake movements. there are some hmm, some optional threats and so on, the chinese didn’t give a damn about it . but if you are serious and yelling writes. you

you know, yes, it's a very difficult situation. these maneuvers are potentials and so on. but, probably, this is a competition, a conflict with the possibility of reaching an agreement , retaining some space for managing this conflict, so that this does not result in an open clash with real combat means. so here in this direction warns of the same, but to finish, it seems to me that this is a very dangerous situation. that is, we are, in general, one step away from irreversible processes. that's how unmanaged space is. here's what the responsibility today rests with the political leaders who make the decisions. now, where is the john f. kennedy who was supposed to

be in the white house today? hey you, if only very briefly agreeing with this thesis of mersheimer, that due to the inadmissibility of concessions and the impasse in the current situation, only escalation is the likely way out for the united states. and i agree with him. the most important thing is that there are a lot of those who are pushing the escalation. and this is very dangerous, because there is a lot of merchimer, where details we are wrong. but this is clearly a person who warns the search - this is very bad. let's say to the flask he calls for a serious bluff, and there clark and others call not even for a bluff, but immediately directly fight. seriously, people like a meshaimer call the guys like that. this will really take us very far, but the fact is that this patriarch of the realist school is faced with a theoretical problem. according to his theory, a balance of power should have arisen, and on this basis, a balance of power, where

does not happen, and he, as it were, on the one hand, says that there is no need for escalation, because this contradicts his school. yes, especially there is no need for emotional escalation, but he can be presented with a theoretical counterargument on the other hand, but opportunities for agreement. no, you are talking about this, what to do then. that's about it. it writes. so he just wrote. he just wrote that there was an opportunity to reach an agreement, but it was in january at the beginning of february, the united states missed this opportunity, a new balance balance until it can. eh, arise why? because both sides believe in their victory, the new balance will be determined precisely on the basis of the results of this situation, and not only locally, but also globally. yes , but it is necessary for this situation to mature and for this balance to somehow settle down, but it seems to me that it is still very important to give back. uh, paying tribute to

the realism of the minuend. why does he write about inadmissibility, although there is a high probability of escalation, because realists, in contrast, there are wesley clarkes and even more so, michael malov knows how to differentiate vital interests from less important and world war iii. not allowing a third world war. from point of view. ersheimer. this is an existential interest of the united states that requires a lot, yes, and in order to realize this interest, the united states may be forced to take very unpleasant steps for itself. we'll take a break now and talk about economics in a few moments. today, mankind is separated only by one misunderstanding, one miscalculation, from nuclear annihilation, a provocation on zaporozhye nuclear power plant, ukrainian nationalists have been preparing for a long time and carefully today in the ruling

circles in the united states of america are ready to use ukraine as such a second chernobyl, we must now look at the most diverse, including the most dangerous scenarios, see there are two options to start a third world war start physically war with russia, or make russia pay a heavy price on major-holder relationships for any use of a low-yield nuclear weapon. the point is that if there is an aggressive force, well, there is another force against it. good, how do we then begin to think about these. in the end. this parity once again underline the parity and once again the parity mad risk part two premieres on sunday on the first is now a free service forever. i will have time

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