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tv   Bolshaya igra  1TV  September 29, 2022 10:45pm-11:46pm MSK

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they found the body of a woman, they say, our people are being avenged for streaming on the square. what is it that turns out? we should rejoice. good afternoon, mr. fonberg, military prosecutor's office. she's a nice girl, but she just worked for me. you do understand that you the main suspect i order you both, and the existence of vonberg, to forget for any interrogations, he is not called in under the laws of war. you are an amazing woman. 1tv movie presents where we are going
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from october 1 on the first the officers betrayed us, the tsar left, and what else do we want to live? need to run. we can't run. we can't give up, everyone fled, and we alone against the whole army are leaving. stop.
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we're leaving, i said. stop. but what about honor? how about an oath.
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it can't be like that. lord save
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, lord save, save. well, come on. if you exist, and are painted on this piece of wood, then know that you never gave me anything, you took it yourself. i don't believe you now if you are the truth. i limp you. promise. well, how did you agree? that's good, that's all. amen
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charge pokorotitsa save and save let him answer the saber and the pain of the enemy let him return.
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good evening, the big game is on the air today, vladimir putin met with the heads of the delegation of the conference heads of intelligence agencies of the countries of the commonwealth of independent states and spoke, he was there not only about regional, but also about global trends. listen. we are witnessing a difficult process of forming a more just world order. it is connected it is accompanied by famous. the problems lying on the surface of unipolar hegemony are inexorably collapsing, this is an objective reality that the west categorically does not want to put up with. well, we see everything from this consequential consequence, clinging to past tortures, trying to pursue a policy of diktat in all areas from international relations and economics to culture and sports, this most notorious collective west , uh, creates new new problems, new new
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crises. at the same time, they do not disdain by any means, putting pressure on those countries that choose a sovereign path of development, on those who do not want to obey, but want to independently and freely choose their own path, their future, and protect their culture of traditions of value. and, of course, the main instrument of this struggle of the west against the formation of a multipolar world is a military conflict in ukraine although in the coming days the nature of this conflict will change qualitatively, it will take on the character of a defensive and liberation war for russia to restore its territorial integrity and protect its population, despite this, the united states clearly does not want to reduce the scale of its support for kiev and its direct involvement. in this conflict , moreover, this scale continues to increase and they are clearly talking and preparing for a protracted war. this is evidenced by yesterday's presentation ukraine another tranche of military assistance for one and
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one billion dollars, which includes 18 new highmars rso installations. and as the pentagon stressed yesterday, these weapons will not be removed from warehouses, but will only be ordered from manufacturers and sent to ukraine over a period of up to several years. this is precisely the preparation for a protracted war. in russia, they simply emphasize every day that the current degree of involvement of the united states in the military conflict in ukraine makes washington an actual party to this conflict. today, it was precisely these words that spoke word for word of the russian foreign ministry, maria zakharova, or rather, i quoted her well, given that the nature of this conflict for russia is changing radically, there is a threat of escalation, there is a threat of a direct military clash between russia and the united states. and here is nato. listen to an excerpt from today 's national interest magazine. articles of the russian ambassador to the united states anatoly antonov today an obvious fact is a direct
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the involvement of the united states in the military operations of the kiev regime, the open increase in the supply of lethal weapons. is kiev being supplied with data? there is a joint planning of operations against the russian armed forces. ukrainians are learning the art of war. on the nato technique of sensation. it is such that russia is being tested for strength, they want to test how much patience we have enough not to react to openly hostile actions and attacks, in fact. washington is pushing the situation towards a clash of the largest nuclear powers, fraught with unpredictable consequences. here, pay attention. i want to emphasize this anatoly antonov is talking about the risk of a direct clash of nuclear powers, that is, the risk of a direct clash between russia and the united states washington is stubbornly. this is not being heard , depicting a conversation between the blind and the deaf and talking about the risks of a completely different escalation, the alleged use of tactical nuclear weapons by russia in ukraine and, in
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recent days, dire warnings. both president biden and secretary of state blinkin and national security advisor did this. saleva, cia director william byrne, with a worried look, recently said that yes, this risk is serious and that it is necessary to monitor the actual preparations of russia for the possible use of classic nuclear weapons in ukraine, so ambassador antonov again clearly indicates in his article that all this hysteria, and the alleged intention of russia to use tactical nuclear weapons is a fabrication and a diversion of conversations. listen , american officials continue to escalate the situation, intimidate their own and the world the public with imaginary nuclear threats from russia, such rhetoric distorts the meaning of what the russian leadership said, stressed that no changes have occurred in the conditions for the use of nuclear weapons by our country. how do you explain this dissonance between the risks that russia is talking about and the risks that the
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united states is talking about, they believed that their own myth that russia has a so -called doctrine of nuclear escalation for the sake of this escalation, which in fact case no. or they they simply turn their attention to their support of ukraine to this myth that russia is allegedly preparing to use nuclear weapons. why is this really a conversation between a blind man and a deaf man? dmitry you are an american. i will give you elementary examples many times. i spoke to american audiences. in ukraine, i speak, i explain, i say, no one argues with me, but then they get up and say their own agenda and their own vision of this situation. that is, there can be no dialogue here in principle if people do not set to dialogue on a constructive solution of some issues, each pushes his own. uh, here's your
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narrative, as they like to say today. although, i do n’t really like this word, but anyway and therefore it just doesn’t surprise me. this means that there is a fundamental lack of readiness for a real constructive conversation on the merits, and therefore they say their own. and we say our own, and therefore we should treat this calmly with understanding. well , because in the end everything is decided monopoly uh, verbal battles, everything is decided on the battlefield, as they say, well, whoever takes it up will prove that his agenda is more correct. in fact, this is what we are required to do in the near future. well, i agree with you, but at the same time, it seems to me that the united states is deliberately switching the narrative. they deliberately divert
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the conversation away from their own actions in relation to ukraine, pumping weapons of providing information, and so on and so forth, which really creates a threat . they convinced themselves that if there was any kind of conflict, they would remain safe , and they convinced themselves that russia would not go for such a use. no, i don't agree with this. argue perfectly well that if something happens, we will strike, and it will be very painful, but they have their own global media and the international community, and they replicate their agenda through the global media, amplify it. i say again, this is not done in order to solve some issue, it is done in order to to say here. this is our position, it is
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correct, but what we know is wrong. this does not bother anyone, but again, we are already used to, as they say, when the war starts. the first casualty of the war - this is the truth, and the truth, because everyone starts to lead their own line of interpreting, as they interpret. there is a problem of interpretation here. we should not worry about this, we should also interpret better, somehow we are smarter, it seems to me that both the rhetoric and practical actions of the united states, for example, on production, and the so-called missiles of strategic missiles with e, warheads of low-yield nuclear weapons. they testify that the united states still thinks that russia will not go to a global escalation, will not go to a global nuclear war and that a scenario of a local war, including a local nuclear war, is acceptable, but they
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are wrong. secondly, ah. recently, also, when, uh, this escalating wave went. a. please note that several disks have changed. and not only on expert level, not only at the level of retirees, but even at the level of some actors, and the borders for nato itself initially said nato would in no case intervene directly in this war. but uh, polish foreign minister s bigny frau, the current minister of foreign affairs of poland with big dne frau said that if russia uses nuclear weapons on ukrainian territory, nato can go to war on ukrainian territory nato should launch a military strike on russian troops . yes, on the territory that russia will read its own and the united states and e, poland and nato and ukraine, its influential democrat lindsey grahame, also stated that the use of russia
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is absolutely hypothetical again. uh, yes, i beg your pardon, then, ah. in any case influential it is true. he is a friend. john makey, of course, yes, the deceased said that if russia uses, and nuclear weapons in ukraine, then nato this should be considered as the activation of the fifth article, since , uh, how if ukraine were a member of nato, and here i want again add another quote. uh, ambassador anatoly antonov, who very clearly makes it clear that in the event of an escalation of the conflict in europe in the united states, it will not be possible to sit out across the ocean. listen , i would like to warn unnecessary military planners about the fallacy of their idea of ​​​​the possibility of a limited nuclear conflict in europe, saying that the united states will be able to sit out across the ocean if such a conflict occurs in europe where there are nuclear forces of great britain and france
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emphasized this extremely dangerous experiment. it can be assumed with a high degree of certainty that any the use of nuclear weapons can lead to the rapid escalation of a local or regional conflict into a global catastrophe, and ivan alekseevich what do you think? so they in the united states understand and recognize what anatoly antonov is talking about, and if they develop this idea, if they recognize it, then, probably, even if there is the slightest risk of such an escalation , it is necessary to move on to negotiations, as actually happened during the caribbean crisis, but now there is not even a hint of such a development of events, how do you explain this? i am this i explain, just in such a way that they do not want a repeat of the caribbean crisis in its figurative meaning yes, that this is the highest point after which some kind of dialogue takes place. uh,
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exchange. uh, and in principle come to negotiations. they want to avoid it, they've basically moved on to what meersheimer calls offshore balancing. if all this is fully spoken in russian, then this is a-a deterrence of others in regional situations by proxy, deterrence of one's opponents by proxy. they do it in russia in europe and partly in the caucasus, they are doing this in relation to china, uh, in the case of taiwan, and in this sense, they do not want to move to, uh, this direct level, that is, they participate directly, but still that's not directly in regional e in regional situations, and their task is precisely this russian task. yes, the last time was, as far as
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i can interpret it, to lead the united states to honest equal dialogue and honest equal rights uh equal agreement from my point of view. hmm. as an expert, i think that this has not worked out. i don't know, if there are still attempts, and if it's for an honest equal confrontation, uh, which anatoly antonov points out. the point is, and what is the goal of an honest equal confrontation? the goal is the political goal of an honest, equal confrontation; then it should be an agreement anyway. that is, it is a way to agreements through confrontation. eh, from my point of view. i repeat again. i don't know, maybe that's what it is. here, uh, such a general, re-line, current russian politics. i do not undertake, that is, to say unambiguously, but, as an expert , it seems to me that after all, our line. now it may
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be that i already say this in your program to gain the ability to solve the most important political and economic tasks for me without the united states and without an agreement with them. this is true, but it concerns directions both without confrontation and without agreement. well, why does this concern does not really concern ukraine, the solution of issues, the way we can solve them on earth and here uh, as in one of the programs, it means that the dronik of the migrants supplemented me and put everyone before the fact that this is the new, but the new reality. and it seems to me, again, i proceed from my own expert ideas. it seems to me that the goal of our policy in the broad sense of the word. this is not against america, but without america, this is the acquisition of the ability and the will to solve
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the most important tasks, both one’s own and significant parts of the international community, without america , america in the world should be completely smaller ivan alekseevich agrees, but in this case we are faced with a situation where a hybrid war is being waged against us, and it also creates a lot of inconvenience for us, for example, in the same ukraine or outside of ukraine, and we are not interested in this hybrid war, and its scale grew, but practically. of course, but at the same time, it would remain this hybrid one, if it’s not possible to agree now, and the hybrid war does not suit us, then, it seems to me, logically, it is necessary to translate this into that format, oh, which antonov writes is already a direct threat of a direct clash with an exit to a certain agreement, or the elimination of the subject of the conflict due to, uh, disappearance. actually that vassal, with the help of
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which the united are also a very short option. i strongly disagree when drawing parallels with the cuban crisis. there was a completely different situation. the americans said, put away your missiles. we said, get your missiles out of turkey, we agreed. we removed and agreed now we are dealing completely with another situation. and of course, what to exchange countries for? yes, firstly, and secondly, it’s strange to hear that the issue needs to be resolved. without america, the americans have already provided ukraine with financial assistance in arms, money, and so on, more than our annual military budget of 68 billion. and therefore , now the situation is completely different. the americans say, yes, we need to negotiate a lot. here i read everything that is written. but at the same time, what they say, it is
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necessary to create favorable negotiating conditions for ukraine, which means that at least some kind of defeat for russia so that ukraine would be able to bargain on the terms of a certain agreement from an advantageous position. this is not possible under the current conditions. we cannot agree to this, and ukraine does not want to accept it. just what you do, of course, otherwise, as i said, in my opinion, last time, or the americans and the west should put pressure on ukraine and say, listen, accept all the conditions that russia is now saying and started ukraine as a state will not, but until we get to that moment, therefore, everything is in limbo, not only they say that it is necessary to provide ukraine with favorable negotiating starting positions. they
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say that ukraine will decide for itself, on what conditions, on what positions it will go, and ukraine says that the complete, so to speak, defeat of russia, so here i agree that there is simply no subject for such an agreement, and most importantly, the difference between the current situation and caribbean crisis. it seems to me that at that time soviet missiles posed an immediate threat the united states, and turkish missiles american missiles in turkey posed an immediate threat. to us and it was not any proxy. it was exactly straight. that's exactly why we managed to resolve the caribbean crisis. and for now, we still have it. this is a proxy. and while the united states is playing in every possible way. uh, they play either the deaf or the blind. yes, and they say that we have nothing to do with it at all, and russia allegedly wants to use tactical nuclear weapons. we will be in this incomprehensible situation. still need this one situation. that's it. i am talking about this and talking about this and talking about it, and while we are here. in a state of
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hybrid war and indeed, here's an example of how dangerous it can be, this hybrid war are. i think the undermining of the northern streams. yes, no one has any doubts that these are explosions, and this is precisely what it consists of. ah, hybrid warfare. it's when we hurt each other. yes, when we strike at critical infrastructure, while nord stream is a critical infrastructure of a strategic nature, but with we do this. it is justified, either through a proxy, or we do not take responsibility. we hide it. whoever did this at all , but the united states does not take responsibility for this. no one takes responsibility. yes, but at the same time, uh, these explosions happened. and this is a very dangerous situation, it is not by chance that russia is convening a special meeting of the un security council regarding these explosions, the russian prosecutor general's office characterizes this as an act of international terrorism. peskov said even dmitry peskov
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is the president's press secretary. called it an act terrorism at the state level, and he is absolutely right, because only the state could arrange this, which again emphasizes that this is an act of hybrid war, actions within the framework of a hybrid war, and against this background. i personally fully agree, for example, with donald trump, the former president of the united states, who wrote today. uh, this morning on your ahh on your social media that uh these bombings could lead to a major escalation or war because a true hybrid war could escalate in a non-hybrid war and besides donald trump. he understands very well. er, these risks escalate the danger of a hybrid war, tolsie, gabbabert, former member of the house of representatives, er, the united states former congresswoman is definitely from the democratic party. even the chairman of the democratic committee himself at one time. listen to her, but now she's a fox star. for the american people and us,
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the real question is how much suffering we will have to endure in our country and people around the world. as you clearly noted, today we have on the face of sabotage on the gas pipeline, which further access to the internet satellites of the gps system that ensures the functioning of essentially all aspects of our lives, as well as our combat systems. start moving down, so the path and you will eventually come to a potential nuclear outcome. and you know our leadership. he says there's nothing we can do. everything is in the hands. putin know that the united states is our leadership and european leaders. that's who warms up and finances this conflict nikolai viktorovich you agree, after all turkey gabbard, in fact, did not impetuously say, but hinted that the united states may be involved. after all, they actually benefit, but, frankly, listening to her words, reading them, it didn’t seem to me what she had in mind, she is moving in the mainstream in the wake of the american point of view, which is to blame. uh, putin is russia and that
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's it. as a matter of fact, it does not say so. she always says that the biden and the administration of the bider are to blame for everything, as for the statement of the russian foreign ministry, that one is used the term to be used is terrorism. and what is terrorism is the influence of one state on another through a structure that was created by special services; there is no international terrorism that would not be sponsored by the same states that are now involved. this is a vivid example of this, the collapse or attempt to destroy the middle east, when all terrorist organizations banned in russia were all funded, in principle, by the americans or through some other states, so today we see an act of state terrorism in this way it should be treated, but the situation in this sense is radically new, because no one has done this before and now the whole world feels vulnerable. the port will be blown up tomorrow. tomorrow , the day after tomorrow, there may be some gas pipeline. that's everywhere, and this
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creates a situation of absolute uncertainty with chaos and destabilization. and now let's see who 's over the past. well, it's been fifteen years. stable. sorry for the pun is engaged in the destabilization of entire regions of countries and continents, united states of america great britain as a whole anglo-saxons, so the question. uh, who blew up that gas pipeline? well, i don't know, it seems to me that for experts in russia it really is not such a question, whoever did continues to do. uh, attempts to destroy the existing status quo. well , attempts to blame russia is generally a classic. the genre blamed us for everything. i won't even list anymore. all the nonsense recently we were accused of shelling the nuclear station where ours is located. uh, military personnel, so in the head of the western the layman has already invested the idea that we act incomprehensibly, irrationally, inexplicably, and in general. do not
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bother yourself, if something bad - it definitely did. russia hmm already denmark is asking for help from nato sweden is asking for help, that is, some non- economic things. i'm not talking anymore, i'm giving away the industrialization of europe and the transfer of industry to america, these are the pluses. they have already received it, but i assure you they will continue to pedal this situation, they will blame russia and try to shift responsibility for everything that happening. i really liked in this, just in the context, i liked in quotation marks, the publication of the bild, german, which wrote that there is no evidence that russia did it, but it was exactly what russia did, which means, indeed, the prevailing discourse. e back in the west, just lies in the fact that russia did some of the publications. they even call who specifically they say that this gru is some specific part of the gru and so on. yes, it is very dangerous again. why because it? yes it's an act terrorism, but it is also an act of hybrid warfare.
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blown up by critical infrastructure, i completely agree with you. by the way, this is tool segabert. this is also indicated by what and what next satellites internet cables nuclear power plants? yes, this is what we will come to as a result, this is another one. uh, more uh, one attempt to over-successfully move the red line. yes, this is another act of war. yes, for which, uh, the united states does not want to take responsibility in this case, huh, but other than that, it's just beneficial for the united states from the geo-economic from the energy point of view. the united states did not hide and do not hide what they want to the bottom, so to speak, destroy the russian german energy cooperation, switch germany to other markets, primarily the american energy market, and weaken it along the way. uh, germany's competitiveness and that's exactly what it was about 8 years ago in 2014. ah, when
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only the ukrainian crisis began, uh, candalis rice said here. listen to what she said 8 years ago. now we need to introduce more stringent sanctions, and i'm afraid that at some point it will come to oil and gas. they say the europeans will run out of energy, but the russians will run out of money before the europeans run out of energy. i understand that it is inconvenient to influence business relations in this way. but this is one of the few tools that we have in the long run, you just need to change the structure of energy dependency, which is more dependent on the north american energy platform of huge oil reserves and gas that we find in north america, don't you need pipelines that don't go through ukraine and russia for years. we tried to interest the europeans in other pipeline routes. the time has come to do this, that this
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is the colonization of europe, just before our eyes , the colonization of europe is already being carried out by force, and it is even being destroyed. the possibility of restoring the scale of russian german energy cooperation that was in the recent past yes , you are absolutely right in that regard, uh, but i will explain after all, from my point of view, europe all these years, post-war after the second world war, depended on the united states in this sense, to what extent was it a colony, but if the rest of the world is now passing, the decisive stage of ideological ideological decolonization? yes, they are fully switching to living in accordance with their own ideas. europe, this qualitative milestone, unlike china, india , russia, brazil, and so on, could not pass, and therefore it rolls back into even more. this
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state depending on the united states as for whether it is reversible or irreversible, but here i think that the issues are still not completely closed, because, of course, now the united states will shove their gas to the european market, they have been doing this for a long time all the last decade, but, but let's still not forget that the main function of the northern streams was to reduce dependence on ukrainian transit. yes, if the problem of ukrainian transit. one way or another is solved, that is, we no longer have problems with ukrainian transit. this is very fundamental, if i would like it seems to me that the fulfillment of those declared goals of the russian special military operation, which have been declared,
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have not been cancelled. as they say, the problem of ukrainian transit is actually being removed here, although another problem arises, that, apparently, i won’t say military without a special one, but germany’s special operations in poland are indispensable. this land route will not work. so far this is happening on the other side. and here is what i see is a very strong escalation of contradictions within europe. and on the surface it is a line, poland germany well, apparently. there, means, very actively still plays. uh, great britain kiev states, well , of course, the united states a, the united states too therefore, the quality of the relations that russia had with europe with individual european countries will never be restored, but to say that in general everything means the threads that bind us . in terms of this
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infrastructure, there will never be anything work. i wouldn't say that because uh again uh land route. it may well be that under certain conditions of functioning, we will consider finland is building a wall is going to build a wall on the border with russia, but we will now pause for a few moments, and then we will talk in more detail about european energy. millions of discounted items every day. open additional discounts. open that card in the ozon app for discounts up to 60% on finish tablets. can already do something, why gigabytes
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months. tele2 other rules is a great way to teach your child financial literacy. free card tinkoff junio. get a tinkoff junior card and we will help your child with the first financial matters. he is the only cyan who will make sure that you do not overpay when renting or buying, because we mark apartments with a bargain price, write to the owner or call. how to choose me and you and everyone. miss flat rate 8.9 each this opening on the air is a big game after the blowing up of the gas pipeline to nord stream 1 and nord stream 2 , the two remaining routes for russian gas supplies to the european union remain primarily transit through ukraine, but it is not guaranteed, because
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gazprom even officially announced that it can completely refuse from relations with ukraine's naftogaz, and then it will stop and the turkish stream, but it goes mainly to strange southern europe and, for example, uh, forbes has already released a very disturbing comment in this regard about the fact that that without constant supplies of precisely constant supplies of russian gas, the gas that has been accumulated in european gas storage facilities in europe simply will not be enough. not enough not for this winter , much less for next winter. listen to this commentary under normal circumstances, fuel storage reaches its lowest level exactly towards the end of winter. however, this only happens under the condition that throughout the season. supply pipeline gas go without interruptions what europe should not wait for this year it means that europe will run out of gas in storage somewhere in the middle of winter, if it is not too harsh and if energy saving measures and
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alternative fuel flows prove adequate for the time being, none of this can be guaranteed and even more or less accurately predicted from we can only say with certainty that next winter, gas reserves in european storage facilities will run out earlier than most, the leaders publicly declare that even more importantly next summer in europe will not be able to replenish stocks adequately, that is, the next winter can also turn into an economic disaster and human tragedies. markovich you are one of the largest energy specialists in russia. how do you assess the current state and development prospects of the energy gas market in europe? do you agree with these predictions? i would say that the situation is a little different, yes, firstly, firstly, well, let me give you some introductory figures for the audience, otherwise it will be very difficult. uh, roughly speaking, the european union consumes 400 billion a year of which last winter, january-december. ah,
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november december. january. uh, february, april, february, march, 5 months, 220, let's say for 20 they saved 200 billion oe for 5 months, and in storage, well, roughly 885 billion. and they never pumped out more than two-thirds. so, first of all, here is the difference with the pressure drop there. here, well, the gas workers say that a maximum of two-thirds is pumped out. hmm i'll make a reservation. this means that, well, 50 billion can be rolled out. well, roughly speaking , enough, but purely gases that should be enough there for 5-6 weeks, regardless of fasting. gazprom delivered at the end of december 21. here it is full capacity per day up to about 460 million. can you imagine almost a billion 2 days. uh-huh, and now here is the second one pipe through ukraine and the turkish
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turkish flow takes parts of turkey, of course, so southeastern europe has been serviced to make it easier in slovakia now gas reserves in ghg in relation to annual consumption of 56%. and na- uh, hungary austria czech republic uh, practically there in the region of forty. that is, there is no problem at all, the average value. and the fact that now xr to all use for the year is 22% the same in italy and in germany if converted to 5 months, this is 30 with something there, well, krug there 20 30%. that is, a is real, but quite a lot, therefore, unlike uh, people are extreme skeptics, so to speak. i think that after all, no one will freeze, but it will seriously take away. he says that
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serious lifestyle changes are a drop in temperature is another. and it's, of course, uh, very high prices and practically it's practical. here is the withdrawal of the borrowed industry that has already begun. well because it really should have started at the age of 21, when american gases left for asia in the summer of 21. the price reached 500, and from september 21, gas consumption in european industry began to decrease, and this is already so to speak, this has been going on for a long time. eh, and this is not done in two or three thousand. it's just too expensive already for a thousand. it's not workable thousands of this in the usa inside is much cheaper, that is, the only sensible policy in general in europe is to transfer, uh, there all fertilizers and chemistry to the usa and carry fertilizer from there. well, it's like, because cheap. well, it’s even pointless to drive for the industry. uh, because that's a lot more
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shipping money. then, uh, let me remind you, lng uh, emits 25% more greenhouse gases, as soon as everyone wakes up, they will start talking about the climate again. that is, in principle, a reasonable thing to carry fertilizer to the united states. that 's uh, the problem is now the winter. e. well, i think they will survive somehow. i am not, in general, i somehow feel myself to the population of europe. and i understand that this is how the crisis pulls me out. i am a biographical fact, says that i am i got involved in world politics in my first year and got acquainted with world politics . they were also told to sympathize. here, and the first crisis, which he described online, it was 73-75, we have something similar to the crisis of the third seventy- fifth, only then there was an arab embargo for understandable political reasons, and now there is an embargo by european consumers, and the effects
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are similar, hmm then japan, for example, closed all energy-intensive industries and she had stagnation. there, at one percent growth of 15 years, that is, we are entering some other era, and uh, i have more here, which means that the slides will show, but verbally. and i think that here is your transmission, and we will now discuss closer with the next recession, and then oh, and this is hmm and the imf data. and the fundamental question here is very simple, that there is a rapid decline in forecasts for 22-23, now in mid-april. and oh already i'm just like with the democrats in october. yes and how but look here. here it is, look at the tip, on the right it is a wonderful index, which few people know in russia except for professionals. this is not just business
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activity. this index is called pmi. this is a micro basis for macro forecasts. these are surveys of managers for the purchase of raw materials at enterprises around the world. here they are normalized to 50, if 50 is fine. well, it’s kind of neutral if it’s higher , but when it goes down, note that the eurozone is already below 50, this turn, it has now come on all these monitorings of the imf world bank but this does not guarantee you a recession, but this is there is a turn. this means the manager of the enterprises ceases to reduce the purchase of raw materials for the next month. here's a great index. if karl marx had had him, he would have written the theory even better further, but these are the prices here, which i am very glad that it is a pleasure for me, so to speak, to convey. this is the same if you don’t exterminate the professor from yourself, but look at the jump in gas prices. this is the middle
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of the 21st year, long before the special operation, because it was an internal, so to speak, european phenomenon. but oil oil is holding in some reasonable limits. it's the right scale where the data disappeared up there. uh, yellow up. it's in the region of a hundred now lower, but he is holding on, thanks to plus this is such a deep public good uh-huh and what does it have to do with it obviously? in general, from the positive here in the us at the moment, here, but somehow one is holding red. goes up and thereby changes the general structure of world industry. we can now write new dissertation textbooks. and we will have a different economy. we are a new magazine, starting on this occasion. and here, look at natural gas in japan and the united states in this blue-blue-green is seven times cheaper. this is not cheap. but it is much cheaper, but i repeat the
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turning point of the same prohibitive price in the region for industry. these facets are thousands, especially since in europe it is cunningly done. it’s like the population subsidizes their industry, the prices for the population are higher than for the industrial one, but it doesn’t matter, but up to some limits. therefore, uh, look at how this data from one of the european european offices looks like, and here is our level of supplies, and begins to fall in the twenty-second year. but in principle, the level there i muz e refute or confirm the opinion that there will not be enough physical gases, i think at the expense of reducing the economy, but we will already discuss. the next stage includes a discussion that, uh, so to speak, because of these here you have not 22, but 19. and when i gave an interview, uh, the last phrase so to speak, but quoting itself is
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inevitably a sin. i said that russia will supply gas to europe as long as people drink beer in europe. well, i was wrong. well i totally agree for the park because the current european gas prices, they are not upswings for the gas-intensive industry. that is why there is already a process of transferring many german european productions, the united states. that is, this is a process before industrialization, the united states is in an advantageous position. not only do they export their lng. so they also get serious investments. and they create jobs, and they develop german industry and the germans are sounding the alarm about this. here, i will give you a quote, and from er, the edition of the german edition economic daughter, virshaw snahrington. uh, well, that is german business news, listen. in europe , companies are currently paying seven times more for gas than in the united states under these conditions, german
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industry is no longer able to compete in the world market, the german economy is likely to be irreparably damaged largely because there are no signs of a resumption of russian gas supplies to europe in the near future, so natural gas. likely. will never be as cheap as a few years ago. well, do you agree with the irreversibility of these changes that they write about, firstly, one more reminder. this cheap gas came in 1982 under the us ban on pipe deliveries. and france is nationalized. as far as i remember the compressor company. that is, these were american socialized compressors, that is, the cold war. in the usual sense, there was not and is a wonderful second year. for 40 years we have been supplying according to the graningen con. how is a and by the way we have a whole school of gas workers who believe that we
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were performing, we were not doing this business profitably, because it was tied to european prices for fuel and oil. we didn’t steal, we didn’t get back the price of capital, investments, return on investments, and so on, the soviet slaves of the soviet, as if they were building industries. nobody considered it. this is in normal money. we're not very profitable, so if there's a problem with, uh, a fair price for gas, let's calculate it retrospectively, at least for 30 years. uh, market economy. yeah, we didn't get paid much. but uh, back to those pipes. this is unfortunate. e with the unfortunate sabotage of the unfortunate. i think above all for germany but from my point of view. this is an attempt. well, the only one that is unprofitable in all respects. this is us absolutely for everyone else. i can still find. and that is a plus, we are here, it is not profitable for us, but i think that this
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is not even against at all. us it against germany is a lesson that guys, forget it. forget these options with russia thanks leonid markovich we let's break now and continue in a few moments. more benefits with new banking millions of products at discounted prices every day. open additional discounts. open the zam card in the ozon app diapers panties for children for 809 rubles. pasta and puree cutlets only cherkizova from their own meat.
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