tv PODKAST 1TV March 14, 2023 11:45pm-12:26am MSK
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uh, a deal or reconciliation between iran and saudi paradise - it's an absolutely brilliant combination. moreover, it was made and prepared not today or yesterday, for 3 years it was made by chinese diplomats. i remind you that in the twenty-first year, and xi jinping. e, s. well, in fact, he made a breakthrough by signing such a hmm strategic package of documents for 25 years for $ 400 billion, 17 infrastructure projects and so on with iran, and in december 22, pina's visit to saudi arabia was also a very powerful visit. there is also a very large package, there are more than 40 billion and so on. that is, by today , this deal was powerful, uh, as if on bilateral tracks and china saudi china iran what kind of investment economic trade base, but this is not enough? that is, as if china brilliantly perfect, as if attracted. eh, i created the conditions for this relatively speaking triangle, because it is mutually beneficial and soft. here
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he, without advertising, moved the economic investment component with this deal into diplomatic politics into the geopolitical part , it is no secret that the middle east is a monopoly the sphere has always been the united states. that is , china, as it were, begins dismantling with this deal , i will not say that it is complete, but it is certain. this is a contradiction and the second point. this is a deal, after all, in fact, it is a model that is future and new, as it were in other combinations in others with a different composition of participants, but it’s definitely a model, and , as it were, a template in quotation marks for chinese, well, or mediation or active positions in other key world regions of latin america africa east asia what does that say? this talks about what we see as through regional content through regional projects. china is not declaring itself a superpower, not calling itself. a. well, so to speak, an alternative to the united states throughout the chinese,
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no matter how they never say it and do not say it, but de facto they are becoming and have already become. uh, well, a great power that decides, uh, regional policy in such not only economic but also political, because this is a good signal for russia tomorrow, as we know the russian foreign minister of syria , iran and turkey will gather in moscow that is, how there are variations on this theme. this is a good incentive for us. it's clear. there are other russian ones there. this means that in fact the regional policy. china is global politics. china and in this sense, this is the first time this is the first time this is a new quality. thank you , when we think about the confrontation between russia and the united states in general, then of course the united states, uh, there are many advantages. but the united states also has an achilles' heel, when we look at the defeat that has been suffered, the united states is,
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as a rule, they were not the result, but defeats on the battlefield, but the result of getting involved in some kind of adventures, unnecessary wars, which were easy to enter and keep. uh, if you want first victories. well, then it turned out to be very difficult to gain a foothold and leave honor. i watched one of these wars, vietnam. and here's what is interesting, contrary to the opinion of many liberal historians. i saw with my own eyes and heard from direct participants in this drama of tragedy that the united states, as a result of nixon's policy of vietnamization and strengthening own vietnamese armed forces. uh, the united states, with the help of its allies, its clients and the vietnamese army, went on a very successful offensive and just look at the map of vietnam and smart
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vietnam and the territory, despite the ceasefire agreement. v. in general. it didn't stop very well and they moved the boundaries of the battle in favor of vietnam . then it came from a grade, and nixon lost the ability to govern, and in the full sense the southern american congress deprived us of oxygen, and first the american troops were withdrawn, then the american military advisers. then they provided weapons and ammunition, and then they stopped providing fuel for tanks and aircraft. well, that's where it all ended. why am i talking about this? i'm talking about this because the election campaign is starting in america in earnest. and contrary to president biden's statements, how the whole country or almost the whole country supports
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ukraine and is ready to support ukraine at the current level for so long. how much does it take leading republican candidates clearly have another representation of parities. here let's hear what florida governor desantes said recently, who considers one of the most likely republican candidates for president of the united states although, the united states has many vital national interests counting on our borders. testing the economic cultural and military power of the chinese communist party further involvement in the territorial dispute between
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ukraine and russia are not among them virtual funding of this conflict by the biden administration on empty checks for as long as it takes without any specific goals or accountability distracts from the most pressing problems of our country the us should not provide assistance that may require the deployment of us troops or allow ukraine participate in offensive operations outside it, so the issue of deliveries of the f-16 and longer-range missiles is not discussed, we cannot prioritize the unleashing wars abroad, and not the defense of our own homeland, but you can’t say an explanation, it turns out you can say there is no , listen to what the former president and now candidate donald trump said. if you can for our country, the most dangerous times in its history have come upon us on the threat of a third world war loomed against a black gloomy background, and the only reason for the unprecedented risky situation of the united states and the whole world
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was the absence of a leader. hopeless joe biden is pulling us into the abyss, we must not let this happen. we need to take back control over the white house or our side is doomed. thank you, just public opinion show that russia today is uniquely unpopular among americans. and this, of course, will be a sad reflection. only there is nothing more permanent than american reactions to other states before the american voter began to seriously look at what these countries' support brings to this voter, and i personally have no doubt that during the election campaign. we will see that the polls are starting to show more acceptance of russia and that's it.
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more concern about the cost of the economic and in terms of the risks of the blind teenagers of ukraine well, then i want to tell you that in the united states in the administration of the war, the globalist, cosmopolitan elite not only absolutely do not understand russia, but it seems to me that they do not understand human nature. a normal person is an average person, and here was a wonderful american film that came out a few years ago. unforgiven is anfalgiz, which means not forgiven. i'm not going to retell you the movie here with the client, but uh, the main if the idea of the film was that uh, there was a person who was once, uh, a criminal and knew how to kill people, what is called reformed became a farmer and lost all his potential
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as a person who loves to know how to kill. and when he was hired to deal with, uh, local cowboys who bullied women, then initially everyone laughed at him and beat him up. and in general, he could not do anything. just couldn't really climb. but when the local sheriff killed his friend and hung his corpse as a warning to everyone on the street to anyone who could dare, and challenge the local river exploded. he took. i went to this city and came to the hotel, where this famous villain sheriff was sitting, who was known for his violent temper, and
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there were many of them with his assistants. he was alone. he took his weapon, his pistol, and killed them all, and that 's why when in washington they look at the international situation and the behavior of russia , they forget that, of course, there is an intellectual analysis. of course there are complex calculations. but there is for all hearts. there's a feeling of a man when he's cornered is there a human feeling that this is not possible? and why wouldn't he allow it? and this is a very important instinct in any fight. i think washington is underestimated. and it’s not dotsenko that can turn out to be very expensive for america, it was a big game, let’s meet tomorrow on the air channel one and tinkov for the first time
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that is, some attitudes, behavioral values, moral and ethical values, the general level of culture, i am the correct definition. why in the economy we are talking about the fact that this is not the main thing, no, i do not want to say that everything in the economy is determined by culture. i want to say that the formulas are economic, as in their time was added as human capital. the so-called salt residue associated with technical problems. now we need to add the characteristics of a culture of value and behavioral attitudes of large groups of people that are slowly changing, because, well, 5-10%, and these 5-10% of products are determined, that is, you even evaluate this in our country. what are the cultural and economic values, let's say, so there are prerequisites for using
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these five to ten percent to the maximum , these issues, as a pro-climate. because is the climate in russia good different different and it depends, uh, climate assessment on what you intend to do, because if you intend to relax, you need warm seas. and if you build data processing centers, then the cold is very good. just for the construction of tsons. it’s the same with culture, there is a set of characteristics, and we know them quite accurately, because 30 years of international bullet research of our own fields, 30 years is serious, because we are doing this, a little more than ten years in russia we have been watching different regions work or tampania we passed. a dozen and a half regions looked at the general characteristics of the federal districts and mrs. by what is obtained in the field. yes? i can
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say a portrait who we are so, too, i would say with us it means that we treat power rather as a value that is handed. no need to touch than how businesslike in these conditions. it is rather difficult for innovative projects to go from below, but it is much easier for large ones to go from above. we have the highest uncertainty avoidance in the world, what is it? don't open this door. it's scary there don't change this person. the next one will be worse, don't touch the system. it’s falling down, this is bad economics or quality, because venture markets will block innovation processes from slowing down this fear , of the future, generally speaking, where it came from , it’s hard to say, maybe these are traces of the shock reforms of the early nineties, maybe well,
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and deeper , probably still. i can’t answer you, i can rather tell you how to overcome this. that's very interesting. there is such a thing as a culture of failure. in russia do all these misconceptions exist? about silicon valley, what is the most successful person in silicon valley. this is a twenty- two-two-year-old guy who did some trick in the garage and became a billionaire. so , not at 202, but at 43, he fucking entered, and he has five or seven 12 unsuccessful projects behind him. and without going through failure, you won’t come to success, so when through schools, through films, through disputes, people are convinced that it’s possible to make mistakes and that once you make a mistake, you don’t become a loser. it gradually lowers. this is the fear of the future
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now, what else do we have, i would say our most unexpected quality is the so-called chiminality, that is, let's take the twentieth century. our country was called differently in the 20th century. it managed to make a satellite , a spacecraft, a nuclear power plant, a hydro turbine, a heavy engine, and could not make a competitive car, a tv set, a refrigerator. personal computer why because there are cultural characteristics that encourage so-called activities and individualized we are not able to meet the standards of doing what 32 point in a row, this is not, in culture. i can explain why the russians are able to make an ingenious prototype, but not able to put it into circulation absolutely right. and actually, literature. this fact has been known for a long time by leskov, his left-hander wrote in the usa
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, he badly signed for production. bloch was not organized. yes, why can i give much more high-profile stories. vladimir zavarikhin, invented the tv in russia, you know what the economic effect of e, the invention of the tv. this was considered by the hostess mikhail chendov, one of my teachers 20 annual products of the current russian federation 20, but they are not implemented in russia alfer it is extremely important for telecommunications, which is also a colossal effect. here, therefore, here is our cultural property. i can easily explain. where did it come from. there is a magnificent book by the historian leonid vasilievich milov of the great russian farmers , our ancestors have worked for many centuries in the zone
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of high-risk agriculture. and they were engaged in arable farming. it is important? i'd be unlike forestry where really watch algorithms. every 7 years the peasant changed. the fields are still karamzin wrote. so the task was not the best to adjust. eh, to find the technology of the process and algorithms to comply with, and all the time to solve new problems, so there is creativity here, but the ability to comply with standards. there are no junior products in the production, and from my point of view , our future in new versions of the global world is that the development would go here, experimental series here, and then license agreements from the one who can make mass the production of researchers or culture in
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that sense. because the great educator writer daniil granin told me a great phrase. he said sasha in russia can do a lot. if you don't ask permission. here individualists are a person who does not ask. why should i, and collectivists - this is who asks the family from the authority of the boss. true, he has another advantage. he, as yuri mikhailovich lotman put it. he has the architite of self-giving. he is ready to invest himself in a cause in the community. in this province, it's all the same so our country e consists of two cultural phenomena in our megacities in the urals in siberia in the far east individualists live. and in all the rest you carry on and this greatly affects the country
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, i can say that even the perception of such events as a geopolitical split. they are still different from individualistic russia and russia. and i believe that the future of the country largely depends on whether we will be able to make a single country, where russia and russia understand each other to work together, and not against each other. it's possible to do how much for it need time. here's your estimate of any recipe take 25 to 40 years. this is three generations, even five two two generations is considered 15 years old. i will tell you. where is this known from? and there are countries that can be considered as experimental laboratories. although in fact there is a historical tragedy behind this. here is germany. it was divided at first, then it was explained. and there is a fucking place where migrations constantly come, like in israel or the usa you can watch what
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happens to them there and what happens to the corresponding generations in the countries and well, england with her colonies is also like one girl, and history can be viewed as syria to asia experiments, so er. was 15 years ago , an analysis was carried out for two germany, this was done by a well-known economist, ashina, he wrote an article goodbye. lenin is the night. and the calculation showed that it would take 40 years to completely overcome the difference between east and west germany. in general, we don’t have this figure, we heard moses in the department of our people after the egyptian slavery, the digital day of the soul flies away, so i would say, but here is the main question. not how long will it take. a when to start yesterday yesterday was to start sewing work, no, i believe that there is an understanding
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of what it is necessary to do. here you are as a popularizer of science, as the dean of the faculty of economics. you advise the government. you have long networked this idea for this task. at least just a wording to do it, but it's not so easy, because you still have to figure out how. but it seems to me that in order to do this, a series of actions is needed, on the part of the authorities and some actions on the part of each of us, the listener, who is yours, and the addressees are the government or higher? as i said, my main addressee is a student of the faculty of economics of moscow state university, and the economic factor of moscow state university has been producing elites all his life. here, the central banks of russia are usually led by graduates not of financial academies, but of the economic faculty of moscow state university. by the way, i am proud of how the team of elvira nabiullina, and i didn’t even work with these
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crisis ones. i take this opportunity. sorry for interrupting you. i want to say hello, and my deepest respect for what the central bank did and the teams and high tasks and ksenia yudaeva and other guys of the dractors communication of our elvira was a graduate student, when i was at their seminars of communication, what should i do? this is the highest level of professionalism. just step by step and here it is. yes, they prevented the crash from happening any further. exactly what you are trying. yes, people who manage ministries in the provinces, because for the last 10 years i have been teaching in the presidential reserve as the leader of russia in the highest non-management personnel, and so on and so forth. yes, of course, but look, here i want to repent of yours, because you see michael i don’t like
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the situation in which we find ourselves we are an ever smaller share of the world's gross product composition. lenya, our economic structure is not good. so, i thought, well, and you are my responsibility in this. i came to the conclusion that there is and it consists. that's what i always told them honestly, how i generally see what should not be done, what should not be done, there are some scenarios and that's it. and then it turned out that i work as psychotherapists. that is, they say, it means that here is something for the world, so everything is not bad in it. yes, yes, what do they want to hear? and now i speak differently. i say, you know who is to blame for the fact that we are there and i can firmly say what. there is such a fashionable vitamin d3. so i would like
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to offer in this sense d3 to each of us first. we are guilty of having a short look. we do not look further in march 24. and this means that education and healthcare infrastructure cannot be good in the country at all, because they take longer to sprout, and do not give effects in 5-7-10. who, how china works and thinks china for 20 years, should be a thinking horizon 10 years ago 12 we made a report to the president about east asian modernization. they are very different cinnamon. japanese chinese. it seems to us that they all look alike. yes, they are all confucians, but otherwise they are very different, but they had some things in common 20 year horizon of thought or second majority. the thing is, a we trust our own against the outsider. yes, it's very
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cost-inefficient. it's for small projects. but not for a big country? you know, in recent years it has been more amazing two french economists algan akayu calculated the effect of trust on the gross product for the position of the population on the basis of these to each other or trust to each other or to each other's authorities. and this trust is a positive answer to the question. is it possible to trust the majority of people, so their calculation showed that if trust in the relevant ones were nearby, like in sweden sweden in europe, the leaders would trust 63% positively, so that now you can trust, then in england it was again a percentage higher than the gross product per soul in germany violence in the czech republic by 69%. there is, if there is trust like sweden. that is, we have huge losses
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from distrust, and in general, it is clear why we have these two cores of the country wanting different things, so i need trust. this is what, let's define it, this is a measure of the subjective probability that your counterparty will not cheat on you. you definitely need to increase this measure if the rule works and if sanctions work for the fact that he threw you, if monitoring works, that is, if the institute works, if it inspires you from childhood as cultural and sociological program, but the fact is that in order to build institutions, we must agree on what kind of democracy there are, and russia wants democracy to modernize karase , wants state participation in social justice figuratively. sorry for our
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listeners readers and russia is an individual russia now a component. these are large cities, moscow peter ural ah. russia -a collective russia, the so-called that is, what's here between further annihilation occurs. as you express in physics , two signals rise, they extinguish each friend, and we have manual control with manipulation, because here is the political support of control in fact, and with low trust and enormous losses. is it possible to do something like this, i would say that to build trust, you need to figure out how to build institutions that exclude each other. because he wanted life. i want to remind you of strange things. these are hypotheses, but russia is a federation. this means that, in principle, in one region. one can be a policy of an economic regime, if it gives a resource, of course, and another in another region, that is
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you can realize both dreams, both of which are small in the region, and then the guys are replicating now. if you want it like this, first of all, yes. because the economy is stitched together through agglomerations agglomeration - this is a small city, and a city with huge gravity, which attracts itself like moscow petersburg yekaterinburg, right now we have three cities with gravity, but we will take it ourselves. this cluster will be, it will not yet manifest this gravity, but in the future, uh, the cities of the volga and south siberia. i'm sure so butt joint agglomeration, and i would say that if you go back to d3, then the third d is an ability contract. so you know, if the main disease of crucian carp is its trust against strangers, and it is definitely a trigger who
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are you, who is a stranger or yours, then the main disease and russia is not an agreement with went. i'm right, they need to implement what i came up with and this is also manifested in abundance, e political leaders who could not agree on scientific schools, who actually consider themselves to be considered individual about the same thing. that is, i am an individualist. a how do i read it myself are right, i have to consider it simply by definition from here. interesting question traces are also individualists. how did he manage to build this level. there is such a thing as a social individual. once again, the social secrets of inflorescence, that is, you are an individualist, but you recognize the existence of another individualist. put it in your calculation that, if you do not take into account, then what the other individualist wants. you don't do anything either. taxes please. here are the taxes of the beautiful
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school, by the way, taxes are the money that go through your head. why do i insist, for example, that the ministry of finance sees that taxes on the company are not only fiscal income, but also the company's motivation for physical taxes is the same. you create different escapes. well, for example, why should a person pay personal income tax? they can’t legally feel it. and not only will he then apply this tax where he lives and asks those to whom he pays his money to compete for these people to live highly profitable, highly productive first, that it is necessary to make selective taxes, on which i have been insisting for a long time; here we have such a semi-selective tax, which i confess i pay, because people with incomes
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above 5 million rubles. they pay 15% a year, not 12%, but these two percent go to children with arfan diseases. the noble chain is correctly made except for two things. why only for arkhangelsk diseases and why it is up to the president, not the taxpayer. yes, if we make voting a tax ruble, then we are moving forward in building institutions and understanding and trust and contract ability. i think it's two or two hours here, because you know, when we were doing the 18-24 strategy for russia, the so-called kudrin strategy. i was just talking about this case, the report of the presidential administration, and we asked about getting used to it. but how is it that why people agree to give an increased tax? to school from health
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care is understandable to yourself and why to social security according to i say this means that we have a civic culture in the country that people understand that you cannot live normal in a country where there are homeless children and abandoned old people. what where when the spring series of games from march 19 on the first remedy against different types
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