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tv   Bolshaya igra  1TV  April 6, 2023 10:45pm-11:46pm MSK

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yul screwed up to the fullest, at least forgive me. mish let me help you. are you kidding me funny? no, i'm not funny, but in principle, it's nice andrey told me that he was leaving, and instead of him you would be honest pioneer.
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what is not sleeping? are you crazy? how to sleep? it was you who called and was silent. all right, it's all behind. i'm home for the long haul. the main thing is that i am at home here and now.
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now i will wash my hands. don't worry.
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funny we know that we have russian crowns in the embassy. you need to find out about this. that's it, i'm your new curator. we will contact you soon.
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are you back? i already went to look for you, everything is fine, of course, you have to go.
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let him come in. so andrey andreevich i'm listening to you. i see it's not easy. but you know, we must get together and say. i don't know, it's really simple.
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i have a big game on the air and today we have a conversation with senator konstantinovich, deputy chairman of the federation council. i'm very glad to see you. good evening senator. you know that there are a lot of events going on in the world from moscow to washington and today beijing where the president of france macron is, but uh, i want to ask you straightaway. if i may, so to speak, take the bull by the horns and immediately ask you a question about the new concept of russian foreign policy. i would like to highlight a couple of points that president putin especially outlined and ask for your opinion. what exactly does this mean? let's
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listen. russia seeks to ensure security equally for all states on the basis of the principle of reciprocity . russia can use the armed forces to repel and prevent an armed attack on itself and or its allies. russia will investigate cases the proposed development of the deployment and use of biological and toxin weapons. first of all, on the territory of the border states of russia, it will help to reduce the ability of unfriendly states to abuse their monopoly or dominant position in certain areas of the world economy , expanding the participation of developing states in global economic management. and now let's listen. uh, what did president putin say about, uh, the influence of the united states , the american role in the world. russian
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the federation intends to consistently defend its national interests, giving priority attention to creating conditions for ending the unfriendly actions of european states and their associations , the complete refusal of these states and their associations from the anti-russian course, including interference in the internal affairs of russia, as well as for their transition to a long-term policy of good neighborliness and mutually beneficial cooperation with russia senator. i don't know if you will agree with me, but this is, in general, a very firm expression, behind which hiding, as i understand it, but serious changes in the concept of russia's foreign policy and it would be strange if there were no changes, given everything that is happening. eh, but naturally, the concept is different, as it were, from everyday practice, in that it is somewhat general. so i wanted to ask you what it means, for example, from your point of view. opportunities to prevent an angry attack on russia what does this mean? i will definitely return to this
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particular issue, but let me start by reminding you that this is the sixth the concept of russia's foreign policy during the existence of russia as a modern e-sovereign state. the first was adopted in the ninety-third year. and now for 30 years with about a step of 5 years. although, in fact, the step was uh, more uh, different uh, new documents of a doctrinal nature appeared, but from my point of view. uh, if the first five can be, uh, compared to each other , they differed. uh, some time nuanced some different prioritization of the current sixth concept, not because it the most recent is the real estimate from my point of view. it's high quality, it's really new and you're absolutely right. it marks an entirely new stage in our foreign policy. certainly in
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what our country is both outside and inside in its own sovereign development and, from my point of view. there are, uh, two explanations, and one of them you already mentioned. these are cardinal changes in the external circumstances of the situation that russia exists and develops, but the second, from my point of view, is more important is that russia has finally become more accurate and more adequately aware of itself, aware of its national interests. and uh, already building its foreign policy to focus on others not at the center of power, with whom i would like to build some kind of, uh, cooperation, but uh , it focuses solely on its own national interest and so that those who are ready to cooperate with us could not would build this cooperation without taking into account these of ours.
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interests any concept any doctrinal document, of course, it is written, uh, based on how the citizens of the country will read it, uh, which this is a doctrinal document, u accepts such an internal component of the internal orientation of any doctrine, even foreign policy, but it always u contains absolutely undeniable e components related to what the national interest is. what is the task of self-development? how to properly and most effectively protect the interests of citizens, that is, this is an internal component, as a rule, in all states turns out to be successful. foreign policy concepts, of course, also have a second component - this is how we will implement our internal development tasks on an external track, how we will interact with other states, and this second component is obtained differently by different states. now, if
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you look at the main doctrinal documents of the united states of america, then in the external part you will definitely find, uh, the thesis that america is exclusively a country and that it has some special rights to to see the world the way she does, uh, america needs and is important. well, deal with this world accordingly. you will definitely find in these doctrines. uh, the principle of e superiority of national law over international and the principle of extraterritoriality of american law. you will definitely find in these doctrinal documents. uh, the right that the americans write down for themselves in these doctrinal documents on the use of military force at their own discretion and anywhere in the world. uh, i think we are in this the program has already quoted these documents
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, which talk about the ability to freely provoke us military force anywhere in the world - this is a quote from one of the strategic doctrinal documents in the united states, in my opinion, about uh, defense , so if you imagine for a second what such kind of document is taken as an example to follow by all other countries. all here , each of them declares its exclusivity, and the extraterritoriality of its national legislation, and it is correct to use military force to the right and to the left, so to speak, according to your own understanding. we understand what state the world will immediately come to - a very world war. as a matter of fact, it gradually comes to this state due to the fact that the americans are consistently destroying the world with this external political concept. and now we return to our russian concept. here is the first quote that we are ready to help ensure the security of all states without exception on an equal footing , provided that their interests are equally ensured. i'm not very uh, i'm quoting verbatim, but that's just what was e was on the screens. and let's now
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hypothetically imagine that such a concept, such a model, is taken as an example to follow by all other countries, including the united states of america. well , imagine. whatever the world would be like a senator in another way, i have lived a long life and i have a creative imagination, but so far away. we creative imagination does not enter narcissistic americans, who , unfortunately, see no one but themselves, but hypothetically, if you imagine it, but the world would be stable the world would be safe the world would be stable and that's the concept. in fact, it is a real contribution to making the world this way. i am sure that those who expected from e the sixth edition of the russian. uh, the concept of foreign policy is more aggressive more offensive than such an anti-american or
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anti-western charge. they must be disappointed because it's not there. as a matter of fact, there is not much said about the united states, and it is practically not said about it, in one place it is mentioned, the north atlantic alliance, even without this abbreviation, and the penultimate place of the west is the european union, third from the end. e place in priorities. uh, russia's foreign policy, the united states and other anglo-saxon states are in second place from the end. well, at the very last antarctica well, for other reasons it is clear that this is not a top priority for russia, but here you are. uh , when you started presenting the current situation, you said, uh, by chance or not by chance, that uh, a lot of things are happening from uh moscow to washington. then four more beijings were added. yes, our previous five concepts. they voluntarily or involuntarily were written out in the genre from moscow
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to washington. they began with the fact that we need to integrate into the western world. we need to conform to western values. we need to build mutually beneficial strategic partnerships there. i don't know what else the united states of america and their nato allies have with the alliance as an alliance with the european union. there won't be anything else like this, and it won't be, not because we somehow disappointed in these structures, but because these structures and these states. they simply did not cope with the responsibility that , e.g., placed the world on them. when the cold war ended and when the inter-bloc confrontation ended, alas, the world either was, or seemed to be, we definitely won’t be at all. and this is where i 'm coming back from. sorry for taking so long to get back to your question. how to interpret the part that talks about uh prevention, uh, threats, yeah it's quite a change in the situation that
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even the citation of threats is already, uh, the most serious problem, because these threats can be of a very different nature. it could be in the area of ​​cybersecurity. it may be the sphere of economic cooperation. here with these unilateral sanctions. it could be a biological threat, when we are no longer just talking about dropping some kind of drug, so to speak, on the enemy troops. and we can talk about the fact that suddenly, somewhere, the number of bees e, has sharply decreased or suddenly somewhere it didn’t give e didn’t give no one sees the harvest of wheat for inexplicable reasons, no reasons, so to speak, only consequences, so to speak, there are a lot of plots that currently make up a list of potential threats and not all of them are purely military in nature, but here this list of ladies will have to cope with adequate tools and it is clear that in the field of cyber
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security. he is his own in the field and energy security. he is his own in the sphere, eh. and security he is the third, but there are also military threats. here you are for sure. now let's get to the nuclear weapons of russia in belarus, panic throughout the western world, but these nuclear weapons have been quietly existing for decades outside the united states of america. american nuclear weapons are six to five. forgive european states at six american bases. what it is? this is a preventive use of the nuclear factor through its deployment you have not yet used these bombs, so to speak, they are not dropped anywhere, thank god but this is the deployment of nuclear weapons outside the territory of the united states that is, it is the preventive use of the us nuclear potential to prevent or overcome those threats that the americans and their nato allies who know the bombs
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agree are allegedly experiencing. i think we can safely use the word allegedly, because in fact these threats do not exist, not for italy where these bombs are located not for uh, the netherlands, let's say not for belgium but here they projected their military force in this way and pay attention no one has asked any questions about this. yes a few decades ago not 10 years ago not last year. this is completely normal. it seems to be believed that the americans have their nuclear weapons outside the national and american borders all of a sudden. when russia does exactly the same thing, it does not violate the nonproliferation treaty. it does not transfer these nuclear weapons to our belarusian partners, control remains with the russian side, and we see what panic immediately occurs, what an inflated scandal they inflate immediately occurs, and how they try to present all this as confirmation the threat allegedly posed by russia if only we had agreed in time
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that not a single nuclear power would place nuclear weapons outside its national territory. and we have proposed this many times, but if it were not now, this situation would not exist, but it appears again, i repeat, not because it is our choice. well , because over and over again we are forced to react to what is happening around us and to what constitutes immediate threats to russia. and as an extreme plot , it answers your question very briefly of course this is the use of military force. where it will prevent, obvious military threats and prospects for use. military forces in relation to russia, its territory and its citizens, you know the senator. i agree with everything you said, but i would like to put some pressure on you specifically. uh react to uh, very stupid from my point of view. ah, and even provocative statements that
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are heard in the west about the fact that russia can be ignored, because russia will endure everything. i ask you this because but in general, if it was about the united states and the united states would decide, uh, exercise healthy caution. they all said it. the united states has a lot to learn the united states is showing more common sense. but when russia and e, what is called does not shoot with a fan of his stomach, then the reaction is different, if we can afford it, but let's say, and somewhere shout insults at them from the other side of the street and they do not react. it only means that you can probably throw a stone and so on. here let's see what the german newspaper writes about this. in general, a boulevard or a sheet, but
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as they say, a sober person does not have a drunk on his tongue. let's listen. now clearly all the kremlin's red lines have disappeared, russia has not carried out any of its threats. and this, despite the fact that ukraine is now even bombing villages in russia at the beginning of the war. moscow demanded not to supply weapons to ukraine in the summer of 2022. after new deliveries of western weapons, new russian threats followed. this will cross red lines that will force russia to escalate nothing happened to us in the situation in ukraine and the more the west supplied, the quieter moscow became, only the western infantry and battle tanks remained taboo even the most important of all the red lines, the attack on russia crossed ukraine a few months ago and thus exposed another bluff these empty threats. encouraged ukraine now to openly attack and destroy a russian army unit in western russia that is filmed by their own drones already, without thinking about russia's supposed red lines. west now also
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sees putin's bluff since march dozens of western tanks and infantry fighting vehicles arrive in ukraine every week by summer there should be 500 tanks that kiev should use to deliver the final decisive blow . russia has been talking about its concerns for many years and russia , by the way, not only talking, but also acting as in 2008 in the case of georgia as in 2014 in the case of the donbass and crimea, but finally, quite recently , special operations will happen, this is considered. apparently , this is considered insufficient for russia's firmness to be taken seriously. what should a senator do, but uh, the first thing is this author, or andrei, in my opinion, his name is he is a provocateur. he's just a provocateur. and uh,
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this article itself is an element of the information war against russia, it frames the war that is being waged against russia through supplies. now lethal weapons. e to ukraine and through the encouragement of ukraine to inflict military strikes on the territory of the russian federation was talking about this the other day, or secretary of state tory kirby blinkin, but u, let's still, uh, clearly fix russia never grabs a gun for uh, as the first reaction to what is happening, this could be second or third cowboy cowboy such tricks this is for the americans, yes, which , like the second, as churchill said, as churchill said about the americans, they will definitely find. eh, better solution. after everyone else has tried. this is not found. yes, we try from the very
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beginning to go for the optimal solution to the problem, but let's agree that any problem is optimal to try to solve. by peaceful political means so you started in 2008, how much we dragged georgia into negotiations with the abkhazia of south ossetia to avoid a military scenario, but when the military scenario was already implemented, i'm sure, then uh crazy. uh, saakashvili, our reaction was instantaneous, and , in my opinion, it left no one in doubt that russia could act exactly like this the same decisively and without warning the fourteenth year. the same analogy, how much we dragged ukraine to sort out these problems, well, through negotiations between the authorities and the opposition. yes, let 's remember that our country was the only one who tried to convince the conflicting parties to still stay at the negotiating table when this situation was. uh,
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radically overturned on its back, by maidan street, but supported by both the americans and the germans and the french, we acted absolutely decisively. i think we got everyone by surprise, therefore, to think that russia is not capable of acting this way. well, it's completely wrong to add syria to this list for the fifteenth year. you forgot to mention this. we have been since the beginning of the arab spring since the eleventh year. for four long years we have been proposing to the entire international community , one way or another, involved in this conflict, to act together. do you remember that at first we succeeded in destroying chemical weapons in syria, it was a brilliant result of diplomatic efforts in russia and the usa, first of all, but then the americans slid uh, regime change program in syria is me, using american street support terminology. these are terrorists. in this case, there were uh, beyond any doubt , the reaction of russia. september 15
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, the beginning of our operation, our operations in syria , well, and now. uh, of course, a special military operation. this is also an adequate reaction , and i am sure it is timely, because the special military operation launched on february 24, 22 prevented, if i am not mistaken, women on march 8, let not offended, but it was on march 8 that most often appeared in the plans intercepted by us, uh, the ukrainian side and those who stood behind them to start, uh, an attack first on the donbass well, then on uh, crimea by sevastopol , therefore, no reasoning regarding , uh, decisive russia is not resolute it allows, so to speak, someone to cross the red lines. and she retreats for them or does not allow. well, i wouldn’t accept, by definition, there’s nothing behind this, except for once again i repeat attempts to exert psychological pressure on us provoke us to ill-considered actions , emotional actions, in order to
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prove something to someone, well, let's get back to the fact that we are in this situation nothing to anyone. we prove that we are solving the tasks that we ourselves have determined the number one task of life is the safety of the health of people who have been living in the conflict zone since the fourteenth year and the elimination of those threats that emanate from these territories. now the new russian regions from e ukraine and the ukrainian authorities and task number two. she is task number one. they are absolutely, uh, equal in meaning. this is the protection of the life and health of the population of the russian federation, which is definitely experiencing fundamentally different threats here in relation to what is happening. your own opinion, what did you say? i agree, let's argue now is to say something to agree. now i will say that you will not agree now. i think i got it. uh
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, that's it, it's been a while . it just took me a while to figure out , which he gave in the most vulgar provocative form, but i brought it in because in a less vulgar and serious form. such an impression exists, see everything that russia has done so far. it was on the territory of other states. i don’t have others in relation to russia, i have in relation to nato, yes, but this is a situation where ukraine is in a state of, if you want, no fire and but of course, a terrible bloody war, and this is very difficult for the ukrainian army and the ukrainian people and many others examples, but democratic as they consider themselves nato countries are not
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very impressed because it does not directly affect them immediately, and therefore it seems to them that they can take increasingly more serious actions against russia. i hope that this will not affect their loved ones. do you agree with this observation? if yes, what conclusion do you agree absolutely, and i will develop your idea it is impossible to disagree, but i will develop your idea, saying that in the first place they sin and suffer, the united states of america here they are far away from any conflicts at any point earthly ball and that is why they allow themselves to behave so irresponsibly. they put experiments in fact. well, here it turned out perfectly, a coup there or, uh, aggression. well, it didn't work out here. let's try next time.
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let's say, let's go to them, no consequences of those perturbations of those conflicts of those shocks that e shake so many other states, and they are introducing this idea to their nato allies already in europe that you, too, do not be afraid, will not reach you, because over you our nuclear umbrella over us our other dollar umbrella we always give you. let's print it out, if something goes wrong, this is an illusion in which the americans keep their european allies. but i think, in fact, that the americans are not completely sure that these european allies of the united states in nato will not befall in the end. uh, the same serious situation of a military nature. it just doesn't bother them. they know it anyway. well, yes, it’s rolling, god forbid, god forbid yes, it’s rolling to the atlantic coast of europe anyway stop across the atlantic. as a forest fire, so to speak, it does not jump across the road, as a rule, except for a horse. yes, they also hope that purely geographical considerations of americans will always
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be left out of any conflict. this is an extremely dangerous delusion. it is clear that there is a factor of nuclear weapons. and for him , so to speak, the atlantic is definitely not e. not an insurmountable barrier. i don't want to intimidate anyone with this, but a would just like to point out that if americans think so, and i'm sure they think so, they're in a very serious illusion that, uh , threatens their own interests in their own existence. i would recently attend a meeting in moscow and, for obvious reasons, i would not name the participants there unambiguously. eh, it was said. that's what uh nato uh allowed itself to be convinced with the help of the united states that the uh nato charter which says that all
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nato members have the right to protection, that it is international law and that about it russia will never allow itself to do anything about any nato country , regardless of the level of provocation. comment. well, uh typical. uh, western in this case, natocentric, uh, manner. e, thinking and worldview, when it seems to them that everything they do within the alliance well, firstly, by definition, it is true, fairly stable, but secondly, ego e, as a model that will be applicable already in a global context, if they write out the washington treaty, as they write out to everyone else. it is necessary either to him join. this is the only acceptable alternative for them, but on nato terms , of course, it is not easy. here, come on, come here, but on the conditions necessary. and those who don't. they are enemies by definition, but
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i repeat. this is the natocentric point of view. it was successfully overcome. oddly enough, during the cold war, due to the existence of a balancing block of the warsaw pact organization, primarily the soviet union, it became almost dominant in the nineties, zero and 10s, but it all ends there. natocentricity, e world order. and once again i will repeat. this is how we started the world will never be the same again. how would you like to see nato, great to you. thank you. it was very interesting. conversation thank you for your time and we hope to have a lighting program again soon with great pleasure. take care of yourself. thank you, i can do everything, but it’s enough for me to come to any group of sleepers, and everyone
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else is allowed to go there. the wind is destined for me to go , it does not shine anywhere, not a native window. only wild also recommendations wrote to me major novikov is inclined to criticize, press buttons and everything is wasted for nothing, and there are no roads for it to hurt. i'm not going to overdo anything in any way. i would not have lived my life differently. vladimir zhirinovsky perseverance is important on the first on sunday.
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of a miraculous rescue in the film one premiere on april 15 at pervy let's talk now about what is happening in ukraine and the possibility of the so -called ukrainian offensive or, as some say, counter-offensive operations to this operation. from the beginning of the conflict, we provide intelligence and information support to ukraine to allow us to defend ourselves and conduct operations. i won't go
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into it. the details of what intelligence we provide and how we do it, but it is intended to help ukraine, like everything we do, we do not encourage ukraine to carry out strikes outside the country. one can see a military expert professor in their school of economics well , among other things, you will also reveal the secret, you are also a very experienced successful military-diplomatic, if i may say a statesman. so, when you look at admiral karbe's statement, as a senior comrade, you had more stars than him. so, as a senior comrade, what do you think about the statement that we do not encourage ukraine to carry out strikes outside the country. you know better than me that they define the limits of ukraine as including donetsk lugansk crimea what does this statement mean you know, but this is pure water and
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hypocrisy, because what does it mean we do not encourage. that is, we don't force, we don't mind, we don't even know what other words to find, because this information scouts everything. once again i want to repeat. i have repeatedly said on these programs on your program that, uh, the saturation of the entire structure of command and control of the armed forces with american advisers is specialists. and ukraine in principle, well, if not outrageous, something close to this. this, in general, reminds me of the times of the soviet presence of the soviet union and in syria in egypt, when in almost every battalion. uh, the same thing happened with soviet advisers and uh in ukraine, so to say that we provide all the information, including intelligence, we provide information support. i'm not talking about the supply of weapons, and we do not encourage at a time when
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the ukrainians have already really begun to strike at russian territory, not just some single ones, but in fact, uh, these raids and drones and artillery attacks are already happening, almost every day in this regard, the ukrainians are just testing our patience, because well, if we talk about the red lines that, uh, they supposedly cross, uh, we don’t react. this is wrong. we have shown that we are able to respond after the terrorist attack on the crimean bridge, when massive strikes began on the energy sector, first of all, on the infrastructure, and then on the industrial sector. e. well, now it remains, e, to strike at the capital in kiev is not a difficult means, for it has uh, objects and goals. uh,
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there are in the major cities, but i think it's, uh, intentional. such is the abstinence of the russian leadership. he's hitting on what we call decision centers as well, but nonetheless. i think that if the ukrainians continue like this, uh, somewhat reckless. actions with strikes on our territory, they uh, i think they are waiting for massive strikes to be made, on targets that have not been hit yet. there are a lot of general here. eh, how are you know the speculations of the western press, what is going to do? ukraine what forces it can throw against russia, let's hear, and one prediction, but the secret plan for training the armed forces of ukraine based on the incoming data from training programs and forecasts, 12 combat-ready brigades
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can be prepared for the spring offensive, of which three are trained inside ukraine and 9 by the united states and allied out of these nine brigades, six will be ready by march 31st and the remaining three by the april 30th deadline. equipment deliveries may affect temporary the boundaries outlined in the document, the total number of weapons needed for nine brigades is 253 tanks . i'm giving this as an illustration of what the western press is saying, but how much of it has anything to do with reality, first of all, and how serious a threat it is to the russian armed forces. secondly, you know, here for me it's a mystery. that's when i see these
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numbers, uh and uh? these figures are in the context of some kind of decisive offensive or counter-offensive, whatever you like. but i will call this offensive, because so far no offensives have been carried out on our side, but there is, so to speak, a systematic extrusion. uh, ukrainians from the territory. eh, donbass so. uh, if we talk about, what are 12 brigades, well, the average size of a brigade is 3,000 people. uh, that's 36. well , 40,000 troops, a few uh, hundreds of tanks, a few hundred artillery uh, multiple launch rocket systems guns practically, despite well, i believe such boastful statements. e of one of the leaders of the armed forces of ukraine, what do they have there again? uh, in my opinion, even the word five fighter brigades. eh? about 200-200
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mig-29 fighters are also a mystery to me. where did they get so many fighters from, but nevertheless, uh 40,000. despite the fact that the number of the russian group, but somewhere taking into account the partial mobilization carried out, so to speak, is 300,000. uh on the battlefield along dispersed along the front line, which, of course, is a significant 1,000 km, but nevertheless , somewhere around 100,000 is in reserve. that is, uh, if we talk about an offensive operation, but if we act according to textbooks, then uh , the advantage of the offensive side should be, well, at least three to one, that is , uh, count on the fact that on some sector of the front, and uh lately. eh, they judge even by those reports that we read to the general staff of ukraine well, which
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are not secret. i don't think all of them so to speak, uh, pure disinformation, uh , a grain of truth, they have, so, uh, the russian federation has greatly strengthened. e their positions, especially in the southern direction, zaporozhye, crimea, even recently published on satellite images. there, on the uh isthmus, uh, the trenches leading to the crimea are three rows of anti-tank trenches, that is , very, very well equipped with engineering relations of the area. and, uh, count on the fact that with these twelfth twelve brigades, they will create, uh, three times uh, an advantage for a breakthrough. eh, practically. well, they don't have air superiority. they generally have very weak e-e, apparently
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, aviation cover, some say that they can compensate for this there due to drones, but i will repeat once again about the russian federation as one of the most powerful and effective e-electronic systems in the soviet union struggle, which is uh, that's the main means of them. of course, you can shoot down, there are anti-drone guns and, uh, an anti-aircraft system, but still the rap system, they are the most effective. now against drones, count on the fact that they will be able to destroy the whole of our defending group with a drone swarm there. i would n't, so frankly, it's a mystery to me what kind of offensive it will be. i won't fantasize where, uh, it will be them. yes, and they even talk about an offensive in several directions, both in melitopol and mariupol and in berdyansk and crimea well, in general, it is clear that they want to carry out
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offensive operations in several directions, but for this you need to multiply increase. uh, it shouldn't be nine brigades. it should be at least 50-60 there, i don’t know. well, it seems to me that i heard you more than once, therefore, on occasion, they always said that it is necessary to take the possible, ukrainian offensive seriously and be prepared for the fact that this will be a real challenge. yes, but i want to ask, uh, another question. uh, russia from my point of view is quite reasonable unlike ukraine what is she going to do? what parts is she going to throw where? i think that ukraine is doing this partly for domestic consumption, so that reassure its population partly as a weapon of psychological warfare against russia in order to intimidate, but russia in such a tone and
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does not talk about such things, but am i right. uh , i think that, of course, knowing everything we know about the upcoming russian offensive, and russia, to put it mildly, is also not preparing to meet. this is without reserves. here is dmitri you know, you e anticipated my e, you know the answer, i believe that everyone is talking about the ukrainian offensive, but no one is saying everyone believes that russia is now e digging deep into the ground and preparing for repulse this powerful ukrainian offensive. i personally would not be surprised if at one fine moment russia starts an offensive operation on uh, maybe on one, maybe on several. uh directions uh, i will not fantasize, uh and speculate for the general staff. but uh, i think that in the plans of our general staff
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, an offensive operation is by no means ruled out, and uh, if we talk about the balance of forces, uh, on the line of contact. i think it is in favor of russia when we talked about the big game we mentioned you as the main participants. naturally, russia is naturally the united states. sometimes it is necessary but, and china was perceived as a very important, but still , from the point of view of foreign policy , a predominantly regional power. this has begun to change, much to the annoyance of washington and to a very tolerant and maybe even somewhat positive reaction from moscow, and recently there was a very important and successful chinese
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dialogue initiative. and now it is already leading to the restoration of diplomatic relations between two very serious enemies , saudi arabia and iran and now , literally today, negotiations were being held in beijing. e between the head of the prince and french president manuel macron, and it is interesting that the macron, who came in company with the head of the european commission, ursola von der line, that he came not only to discuss the development of european, especially french relations with china no, he also came to involve . china is in some kind of pressure on russia over ukraine andreychentsov, and professor at the imo, dean of the faculties of international relations. tell me what you think is going on there. in
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the middle of the crisis, france, together with the vatican , was thinking about how to come up with an independent peace initiative. and regarding these events, but it was quickly put in its place by the nato allies, pointing out that there can be no peace in the interests of the west at the moment, france at that moment borrowed the arguments that the americans and their allies are very actively offering for the entire trans-atlantic community eastern europe mainly poles and balts. we can't speak now that france, like 20 years ago , when france actively opposed the american invasion of iraq, president jacques chirac, together with the german chancellor and the russian president, formed a kind of triangle of american opponents and jointly spoke in the security council. he uh, seeking to prevent. the american invasion of iraq did not allow the adoption of a security council resolution
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that would approve this invasion, but now we see that in france, in fact, this strategic autonomy was abandoned in in favor of transatlantic solidarity the fact that the french president invited or was forced to take with him one of the main hawks of european policy regarding the ukrainian crisis well shows the content of the signal that france is carrying to china, but i believe that the french leader is not fully aware of the new reality, which international life is going on, china a few weeks ago, very authoritative and weighty, came out with the main peace initiative, and by proposing its own within these 12 points understanding of a polycentric world order. in china, they deeply perceived the generally american idea that the ukrainian crisis is the turning point of the twenty -first century, it will be there that it will be determined whether the world will remain unipolar or
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the main trend will be the formation of a multipolar world, the americans presented the situation in this way instead of denoting the ukrainian crisis. simply as a regional matter of eastern european politics. they scaled the scale of this crisis in multiples, presented it as the nodal the geopolitical crisis in china has taken this approach and now according to the fact that this crisis is a key one, and since it will define the contours of the 21st century. this of course it will affect the interests of china and of course. china must have a say in how this crisis will develop and how it will be resolved. and the chinese peace initiative cannot be ignored, the european leaders , the american leaders are forced to formulate their answer to it , it can be seen from the american critical reaction that they are not in the mood for any negotiations, they are not satisfied with the world. they working to prolong this conflict. their planning horizon is not that deep.
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it's the next electoral cycle, and they realize that russian resources will be shackled in ukraine, uh, all the way down to the next presidents. macron, if you heard him carefully, i think i hear him carefully. he kind of talks to beijing and he said before coming to beijing that he wants to convince china to influence russia to agree to negotiations. i thought it was ukraine that was refusing to negotiate. if only e russia does not surrender it seems to me that russia has never taken the position that russia is not ready for negotiations . the russian line was set out on the eve of the crisis and since then. it has not changed russia is ready for negotiations, subject to the recognition of the actual realities that have developed in the territorial sense and subject to ukraine's compliance with the four main points
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of requirements for it. i think if ukraine accepts this list of requirements, negotiations can begin tomorrow, but it is kiev that is really now half-hearted and enthusiastic and is going to continue this military conflict with the help and support of the united states, which is now generally used, ukraine well, the tool is sharpened, i find it difficult to say how realistic the french leader is in assessing his own weight now in these bilateral negotiations with china and i doubt that this diplomatic initiative will have any some effect on chinese leaders who look at ukraine again as a link in a chain of major events that will determine in the 21st century whether the world will be unipolar or polycentric? you know, i can be wrong and correct me, and you correct evgeny if i'm wrong, but it seemed to me that russia agreed to negotiations without
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preconditions. russia outlined those conditions. which she will look for in any possible agreement, but i haven’t heard any prefaces, so that russia puts forward it’s clear that russia won’t accept it. uh, no preconditions for ukraine that would force russia to leave its territories is absolutely out of the question. but if you talks started, i don't think at least, i have never heard that russia would demand from ukraine a commitment not to raise any issues first. if there were negotiations, they can raise any issues. i see this as a very tough position of russia regarding the possible terms of the agreement, but i hear the opening for negotiations from ukraine. you will first capitulate, and then, perhaps, we
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will agree to sit down at a separate table. yes, by the way, putin's place should be free, he should be. uh, on gaga's way . that's how i understand it, no, no, you're totally right, because here i think that russia has a very well-adjusted wording in the russian position. we are ready to sit down. e to the negotiating table, which should be conducted taking into account the realities that have developed on earth. no it's yes. this is a wish, not just a wish, but a requirement for the ukrainians, so that they sit down at the negotiating table to keep in mind what has developed on the ground. they understood that this is for russia , of course, definitely a condition, but not a preface to say you just said that you don’t think that beijing is serious perceive the initiative of the macron, this is because the initiative is not serious or because

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