[000:00:00;00] i don’t know, but keep in mind that no one will say a bad word to you about raf, he is the king and god here, i really need it, for the truth to smernova, she knows a lot about him, but she’s unlikely to say it, and how does smernova even know? bitch, profession? so listen to knock, who should knock? kgb, or what? and where else, she will turn over anyone, they hold girls for goods, put them under all sorts of men, to influence, you rush to her yourself, she will eat you, she

tried to try you too, or something. only i’m a shot sparrow, on me, you know, where you sit down, you get off there, amil, of course, i told you, don’t go, and now why go limp, you were sentenced to death, how sensitive everyone is, my former boyfriend was imprisoned with complete confiscation, and even then i’m not crying. i don’t want to report anything to anyone, well, listen, many have gone through this, and so have i, samulovich beat me off and will beat you off, girls, maybe i should still go with this robert, since he’s a spy, after robert there will be john, then zhana, yes, send them off politely, everything i tell them is that there are a lot of

options, i’m getting drunk, my tongue is like poo or i’m in i talk in my sleep, i might spill the beans, you can try to act inappropriate, they are afraid of it, filimonova told me, they approached her, she will assure the whole street, help, they are raping, there is no need to advise something that mila won’t do anyway, tell them so, i i thought, and since you have enough people who inform, then use them, the main thing is confidence, storm pressure. as one of my ex said, this is the one who, with confiscation, drilled with pressure, she pettyly only

went to bed for love, like you, like me. lord, but i drank, had too much, and accidentally walked in to the wrong establishment, arfail samaila, our vulnerable and tender one, you gave the ring to your lover samedov, but you were greedy and saved on gypsy gold, you gave it to amila too. why did you think to buy silence, although the size is not yours, but there is something wrong with the ring, okay, let’s wait for the examination, labels, and for the drummers , the capital of labor is such a car, smooth, factory stitching, a friend of the milaniconi family part-time, director of the weaving factory of the crazed ones flew by , i didn’t bring you samples

of labels, something went wrong to eliminate a dangerous witness, there are nice people in the apartment, you and your people we were looking for labels that could lead to underground production, but the sweet smart girl built a dinik outside the apartment, here it is, please understand, i’m not for myself, we’re not working , it’s not for the engineer’s paw, yes, if the lid gets in the way of us all, calm down belyasov, i... i'll figure it out, go already, a special analytical edition of the big game is on the air, we are discussing today

the dramatic events that... are happening in israel in the gas sector, and i must say, now more broadly, in all this very important very disadvantaged region, the latest... events indicate that the centers of hostilities have now become comparable for israel and gaza; in israel , 1,300 people became victims of the attack by hamas fighters, about 3,300 residents were injured, the number of victims of the gas... reached 1,203 people, according to palestinian sources, 5,763 people were wounded, that is, as you can see, if we are talking about the wounded, then there are now more of them in

the gaza strip, well, of course, because israel is using more and more weapons there, but i don’t want to say carpet bombing because this is a specific term with specific associations, but israeli aviation, israeli artillery are hitting residential areas very widely, the losses there are corresponding, tariq olyan, a well-known correspondent, a well-known war correspondent, joins us now from the gas sector, and we would like to get his perspective. taryk, good evening, can you see us, hear us? good evening. the obvious question is what is happening in gaza, what is the military situation, what are the sentiments of the local residents, and what are the sentiments, naturally, in to the extent that you know,

hamas fighters, are they ready for further fighting? is happening in the gaza sector - this is horror, continues on the sixth day, the sixth day is already ending, airstrikes, bombings on the gaza sector continue , more than 1.03 people have already been killed, more than 6,000 people have been injured, more than 200 or 250 houses have been demolished, including the house of one of the employees , employees of the russian embassy in the gas sector , the mood, of course, people are very scared, very terrible, you can see from the footage what is happening, it’s... just a massacre, it’s like explained today to the ministers of the gaza strip that the israelis want to turn the gaza strip into a big cemetery, this is in fact what is happening, this is in the country, of course,

the mood of the people, they are, i would not say that they are good, i would not say that they are militant people civilians too, civilians are also afraid for their lives, but the fact that hamas representatives, as they announce, so often announce in the media, through channels, on telegrams, on a telegram channel, that they are ready for this, they are they have been preparing for this for a long time, that they will resist, well, when you look at - hamas military units in gaza, to the extent that you can see them, they are organized, they are ready to fight or , on the contrary, they are running, they want... to disappear among civilians, how would you characterize their behavior ? well, i wouldn’t say that they are running, because we don’t see them, in general no one sees them on the street, they are well uh in

their uh places, and where they are, where they gathered earlier, that they prepared for this normally , but along the way, uh, what did they do, how did they start this... operation in saturday they were probably organized normally, they organized it very well, otherwise they would not have been able to go deep and penetrate the borders and go deep towards israel, i understand that, i’m sure you’re absolutely right, but of course, what is especially relevant today , not what they did in the beginning, but how ready they are for battles today, and many many of them in israel have already died. here is your impression: there are still serious hamas forces there that could repel the advancing israeli army. well

look, hamas has often announced that they have there are about 50,000 people, armed people who are well, uh, prepared, that they are ready for any war, this is, as they often announce, but today they announced that only 1,200 people who penetrated into israel, which means that this is 1% of 100 or 2% from 100, which means if, as they say... that there are 5000 people, then these are the ones who will probably be opposed by israeli tanks or israeli soldiers if they enter, if a ground operation begins, they are for this, they are probably for this ok, ok ready, and the last question, we hear behind your back some explosions, can you tell me what's happening? of course, it continues, the airstrikes continue.

the city of gaza still continues behind me, it is two or 3 km from me and there a little in the north of the city of gaza continues, recently i showed our colleagues when they were checking communications, and i showed how it is and what kind of airstrikes , the horror of what is happening, if you look at the streets of the city of gas, now you can simply say, this is stalingrad. thank you so much, thank you for your time for your. hope we see you again soon in our broadcast. thank you! well, now we will talk with our regular participant, vladimir rudakov, editor-in-chief of the historian magazine. vladimir, greetings, good evening, i want to tell you right away that when i look at what is happening today, i have.

two sensations, the first feeling is that in general , well, it’s impossible, at least it’s impossible for me, not to feel a sense of indignation at what hamas did in israel, it was outright terror, and i believe that terror has never been anything cannot be justified over the years, the palestinians, not just the palestinians, when they took some kind of terrorist action, they always tried to explain, uh, something terrible was done to them or to their families, or to their ancestors, and often it was the truth , or at least, to a large extent, the truth, but what we saw now in israel from my point of view, this can be understood, but it cannot be justified, but - the second - part of this

situation is that of course, this the situation did not begin on october 7, when units hamas invaded israel, in general very often, you as a historian know this better than me, very often when you analyze a situation, it depends on where you started to look at it. and if you look from october 7, then it is absolutely obvious that the israelis were victims, they were treated absolutely monstrously, but if you look at the entire history of the arab-israeli conflict, then in general the situation begins to look completely different, and indeed, palestinians, especially palestinians who live in gaza,

have had to face serious barbaric reprisals, when their lives, in general, quite often, just to put it mildly, were not really taken into account, here is the leader of the military wing of hamas, about whom he is now writing as one of the organizers of this operation against israel, they write about him that he is fighting against israel for many years, that under israeli bombs, his wife and his child died, several years ago, that just under israeli bombs, his father and his brother died, i have no way to check this, so i am passing on what they write arab media. this

repeated by some israeli publications, but i have no doubt that even if in this particular case the information is not entirely accurate, i have no doubt that there are many palestinian families, especially in the gaza region, who had such a tragic story , and again this does not justify what those terrorists did in israel, but it explains a lot, explains a lot, yes. and that’s why foreign minister lavrov says very clearly that we need to start, but in order to somehow bring this situation, the conflict under control. control, and more deeply, in the long term, we need to turn to the original roots of the arab-israeli conflict , let's listen, for many decades, the decision taken by the united nations to create a palestinian state has been sabotaged, primarily by the united

states, which wants to monopolize, usurp mediation efforts , are trying... to push aside russia, the un, and the european union, and thereby disrupt the work of the quartet of international mediators, which all these parties include, russia, the usa, the un and the european union. from my point of view, these are absolutely reasonable thoughts, the problem is that these kinds of thoughts have been expressed for many decades. let's listen. what did the new york times write about this in two articles in 1982 and 1983? boutros ghali, egypt's canny foreign minister, known for his sympathies with the united states, told me that unless real progress can be made on the palestinian issue, then stability in

the country will be disrupted. egyptian defense minister general abdel-halim abu-ghazala linked strategic cooperation between egypt and the us, including facilities for the rapid forces. developments with the general state of bilateral relations, and these in turn, with progress in resolving the palestinian issue, everything will become possible if this issue is resolved properly - he noted, i wrote this 40 years ago, for the new york times, after that , how i spent several months in the region and specifically in the beirut area, that's what i wrote in 1983, the kremlin’s reaction... to secretary of state george shultz’s request to consider taking the side of peace in lebanon is predictable, this is an unequivocal and unconditional no, russians are not philanthropists and are not fools, they have no reason to approve agreements developed by washington without participation moscow. the last thing the politburo wants today is to help ronald reagan win a diplomatic victory in

the middle east. to be clear, i am quoting my beloved self, not because it was something particularly wise and especially about 40 years ago it was said approximately what we are saying now and what i said then was quite well known, including the president of the united states, ronald reagan, who did not understand it at the beginning, but later, during his reign, he understood , that without resolving the palestinian problem, stability. no and cannot be, 40 years have passed since this cart is called, and it is still there. why is this so difficult, vladimir? well, i think there are circumstances that are called irresistible forces, they are internal on the one hand, lying in the plane of the region, because there is still a tradition

of confrontation, it began long before the creation of the state of israel in 1948, and this tradition during this period, it is only... cases, as they say, on the other hand, of course, the middle east , as a matter of fact, this conflict zone, it has always been the sphere of interests of the great powers, during the cold war, superpowers, and in fact, you are writing about this, and for the situation in 1982, 1983, both the united states and the soviet union wanted to ensure a certain balance of interests here, taking into account interests, and accordingly, the decisions that they made to regulate these conflicts were based, among other things, on this line of behavior. sometimes you know, it seems that there are world conflicts that can never be resolved, so the palestinian-israeli conflict, perhaps, occupies the first line of the list of such conflicts, but on the other hand we also see

opposite examples, such as the recent story of karabakh, which may still be a year away, maybe not a year 3 years ago 5 years ago it definitely seemed completely frozen, frozen for a decade at least, it turns out to be resolved, so i can’t even imagine how many more decades your texts from forty years ago will turn out to be relevant, and only the names of historical ones will need to be changed there figures, but the essence will remain the same, you mentioned it quite justifiably, the conflict... it seemed for many years that this conflict was not only frozen, but in general was irrelevant. nothing happened, nothing happened, nothing

did not happen, and we thought so, but president aliyev, the head of azerbaijan , did not think so, turkey did not think so, azerbaijan became more and more prominent as a producer and exporter of energy, and as this progressed, azerbaijan’s military and military strength increased. if you want, diplomatic, what happened, what happened, this reason makes me think that if you have such an ongoing conflict, which however involves a number of players who are far from secondary in capabilities, then always, if you are in this conflict don't pay attention enough attention, it’s optimal to try to resolve it, but if you can’t, what’s called holding your hand all the time. on the pulse, then there may be a very great danger on the face, in this context i want to ask you, again as

a person who knows diplomatic history well, do you think that if there had not been this ukrainian crisis, and by crisis i mean in view of not only what began after the specialization, but more broadly, then, firstly, it would be more international , don’t you think that if this had not happened, cooperation, which the current explosion could be, secondly, the intelligence services of the united states, observe what is happening in the gas, and then all their attention

was switched to the ukrainian crisis, i cannot prove it, but this is my hypothesis, well i think yes and no, on the one hand, of course, cooperation after the 2014 coup was curtailed; apparently, it was curtailed in all areas, especially in sensitive areas, but on the other hand , we should probably keep in mind that what the united states... quite a long time ago made a bet on resolving issues in the middle east in general without involving any, what is it called, co-sponsors of this process, primarily russia and russia, as far as i understand, say, in the nineties it was quite reacted favorably to this, because russia left this region, well, if we speak systemically, in general , it left voluntarily, yes voluntarily, that is , this is what you wrote about in 1983, that the brezhnev politburo, well, the andropov politburo , not ready to do

gifts to president reagan, the conditional politburo of the nineties, yeltsin, kozyrev, and in general during this period russia was ready to make these concessions and transfer the unraveling of this complex international crisis into the hands of the stronger and, as it turned out in moscow, the more experienced, clearly better equipped united states , it failed, but it seems to me that the united states has developed a taste for such a rather unilateral solution to many problems, including the palestinian-israeli one, and what we are now seeing is many experts in the west in the arab world write that this is actually a failure of this line, because the escalation that we are now seeing cuts off many of the threads that the americans, so to speak, tried to tie, many of the knots that they tried to tie on this crisis, this is an attempt, so to speak, to connect israel with the arab world and this is an attempt, that is, to offer the palestinians some kind of material compensation, and

so on, all these things are torn, and apparently, the americans at the moment, according to at least, there is no sober recipe for resolving this issue other than the traditional saturation of israel with even greater military power, and as i understand it, blinken’s visit suggests that this line of credit will soon be opened. we're leaving for advertising, we'll be back in just a few minutes. frank confession of the head of ukrainian intelligence budanov. such a demonstration of impunity. budanov admitted that it was kiev that endangered the world by attacking the zaporozhye nuclear power plant. but this is generally a unique case. they need to attract attention so that there is funding, so that ammunition is supplied. and also, who needs fake news about russians going into battle with simple shovels? hey, a spatula can really cause terrible injuries. it’s difficult to give exact numbers, but for every russian shot we fire, about a dozen are fired, so in general

we should give up. antifake, premiere, tomorrow on the first. vodka veda, a product of the stellar group, aired a special analytical edition of the big game, there was a very serious and very unpleasant episode in the united states, when the state. us secretary, colin powell, went to the un, shaking a test tube, gave the impression that in this test tube there was evidence that iraq had weapons of mass destruction, i knew colin pavelov very little, was in the same room with him several times, never spoke, but all i knew about knew him, showed me that

this man was serious and worthy, i did not assume that he was always right. was far from always right, but i proceeded from the fact that he would not consciously agree to such a lie, uh, such a fake, after it became clear that it was a fake, colin paol gave a lot of explanations, very sorry, very apologetic, unlike president bush, jr. and vice president chenia, and uh, there were paola's memoirs, where he talked: about what happened, and the memoirs of the then cia director george tennet, and the memoirs of several other people who held serious positions in the administration of buikh the younger, this is what turned out. george tenet, director of the center, he was appointed by clinton. he really wanted to remain in his post, and he understood that he

did not come, by the way, from the ranks of experts, but he was a personnel officer. for politicians in the democratic party, so to speak, a party commander. yeah, and how to keep him indefinitely as director of the cia, the republicans were not very natural, and he wanted to show his selfless devotion, and it was clear that president bush, jr., he wanted evidence that iraq had weapons of mass destruction, he wanted it. and it’s not that the cia was given a direct task to prepare a fake, but the whole focus was on finding these weapons, careers were made there, on this search, so it’s quite it is clear that the cia looked at a lot of other things, including looking at the possibility that maybe, in fact, not only

were there no weapons, but saddam hussein invented them to intimidate iran, but there was such a possibility, they should have to consider it, should have always been there according to their own rules, such attempts to understand all possible alternative options, this did not happen, why am i telling this story today, not only because it had to do with the middle east, because it takes place in the current situation , the administration, it seems to me, has set its task to convince everyone, including the american congress, the media, that they can calmly make ukraine the main organizing factor of american foreign policy, and that this will not have serious negative consequences consequences for america, that america could

afford it, all the resources of the intelligence community. i don’t mean that there were no agents, that there were no electronic means, intelligence, all this of course existed, but for in order for the president to pay attention to this, someone must pay attention to all these symptoms, convince his analytical superiors that it is necessary to report this to the cia leadership, the cia leadership had to... decide that this is serious enough to report to the president , i imagined the director of the cia, bill burns, coming to mr. biden and saying, you know, we are seeing very very alarming symptoms, very alarming about the plans of hamas, there could

be a very large crisis there, we must to think about cutting aid to ukraine because israel might need it, we might even have to start some kind of dialogue with russia because russia might need help in this regard would be very bad news. that’s right, yes, they would go against the entire previous line, and i don’t want to say that this was so, because i have no evidence, but when i think about why the cia didn’t warn, the american white house, here i have it - such a hypothesis, your point of view, how could the americans not see, not understand what was happening and not warn the netanyahu government. i think that you are right that the americans, of course, are now topic number one, the american establishment considers ukraine to be topic number one, everything else is the periphery of their attention, but

you probably know better than me that events of this kind that we now we see, they always give rise to a huge number of conspiracy theories , it was the same 50 years ago, when there was the yom kippur war , the october war, this war, and so... and so now, because then and now, considering a variety of scenarios, why did this happen, why did the intelligence services of israel and the united states miss such a powerful blow, such a fist that it was impossible to assemble in weeks, which the forces that had been gathering for a long time, offer conspiracy theories that this is some kind of game , that someone needed to play giveaway, that the israeli intelligence services, and perhaps, so to speak, in agreement with the american intelligence services, decided... so to speak, not to pay attention to all these things in order, on the contrary, to blow up the situation and use it in your own interests, either in the interests of the military -industrial complex, or in order to finally shift

attention from the ukrainian crisis, where the biden administration clearly does not look brilliant and we see this in a variety of things, as they say on the field , starting from events in the field, and what is called on the battlefields, ending with the situation in the american congress. and conspiracy theories also link that it was necessary to switch attention, i don’t think that conspiracy theories are the right way to solving this crossword puzzle, but i think that, of course, we are now at such a point of conflict that, uh, to determine what caused such an escalation and why it was overlooked by those who, it would seem, as part of their duty, should be doing just that, at least the israeli military intelligence services, it seems to me, for this... we do not yet have sufficient information, we need to see where this conflict will head in the coming months, probably even weeks. and vladimir, last question, uh, i ask you,

we talked about the past, look a little into the future, historians do this too, and of course, what is happening now in gaza, what happened a few days ago in israel, is a terrible tragedy. but while this was a tragedy on a local scale, i am concerned about the possibility of escalation, because the place is where the interests of many other states collide, plus, emotions in washington and moscow are already quite strong at the moment, everyone has their own truth, i must say , which is a particularly strong feeling. truth in washington, because from my point of view they developed the mentality of non-state

realists, rather crusaders of the 21st century. it seemed to me that the situation was quite like this, seriously, now we are reading a message that israel carried out attacks on the airport of damascus and aleppo , there is confirmation... to the press that this really took place, there is confirmation that, uh, the plane of the iranian foreign minister, who has already flew from tahran to damascus, that he had to turn back because damascus airport was suddenly closed, i want to talk about all this quite carefully, because that there are some first reports, they are serious enough to take them seriously, but we don’t know much, so, if this story turns out to be what it

appears to be today, and if indeed netanyahu decided to expand the military conflict, from gaza to the north of israel, the south of lebanon, where hezbollah is located, if he decided to expand it, to damascus, there is the potential that this will really become, if you like, some kind of world confrontation, well... this potential of course exists, because uh , judging by the reaction of, say, the israeli public opinion, and not only the american media, but netanyahu found himself in a difficult situation, he overlooked the war that had begun , everyone considers him already a politician who should be written off, netanyahu has been at the top of israeli politics for several decades now, i think he is not that person who is ready to leave just like that in disgrace

, having crossed out his entire biography, which is why netanyahu and the israeli political class, i think, are now very determined, for them this is a serious challenge, a slap in the face, and the fact that these are the reports that you said about the bombing of the airfield in damascus and aleppo, they say that if they are confirmed, they say they will indicate that israel is ready to use all means to show that it is still a strong player in the region, that he accidentally missed this attack, and he will soon... uh , catch up, if he does not show this strength, i think that a lot will change in this region, because a lot rested on israel's military superiority , on his determination to fight to the end, to avenge everyone israeli, if tel aviv does not do this again now, this means that in the near future it may lose too much, so it seems to me that we can expect the most decisive escalation of the conflict, which could spread beyond the boundaries of

the palestinian-israeli conflict itself? i have always considered netanyahu to be a very ambitious person, with a large element of politicking. you said correctly that he has a difficult situation in israel now and a very small majority in the knesset, but it always seemed to me that something, as they say at the end of the day: his instincts as a statesman, that they defeat the instincts of a politician in him. i really hope that now he will find a sense of responsibility and will know where to stop, because well, it is obvious that if there really are such attacks on syria, that this will become, well, part of... normal,

regular, israeli military behavior , a way of waging war, it is not difficult to imagine that syria will immediately ask russia for help, both with retaliatory means, with air defense, missile defense, and it’s no secret that russia has the same means that russia, for now, has in syria. did not supply, i think that from israel’s point of view, putting their country in a situation where they would openly provoke russia, i cannot imagine that netanyahu would want to do this, and it is also very difficult for me to imagine that even the biden administration i would like this to happen, i really hope that in this case common... sense will work

quickly enough to put some brakes either in washington or in tel aviv, or rather in somewhere else, they will still have time to click. vladimir, thank you so much, i hope to see you on our air again soon. thank you, thank you very much. we're leaving for advertising, we'll be back in just a few minutes. sooner or later in life. there comes a moment for every person when, well, he begins to think more about russian rock as a cultural phenomenon, about the spiritual search of russian musicians, we sometimes had to go down to hell to understand what the bottom is, gogol rock, i somehow that’s it, gogol is punk, in general, in my opinion, that’s what we have now a film about balabanov is coming out, how do you

remember it now? firstly, alexey and i knew each other for a long time, starting from college times, then he moved to st. petersburg, then i ended up there, yes, i gathered a crowd once in a cafe, only because slavus would play a song there, i’m not an artist he took it, and the person who is here with me, hello, but here he is celebrating, no, no, glory. well, what are you talking about, i said the very top to the left. it was slava’s anniversary, everyone gathered at my house and gave an interview. a do you agree that there is still a hand ahead of us? well, i'm just observing. watching how music develops, uh-huh, modern, podcast lab, today on the first, a heavy self-propelled mortar tulip of special power, capable of destroying a serious enemy with a few accurate hits, this is

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back, on sunday on the first, the big game is on air. with us now there are connections from already snowy american state of colorado, famous american journalist, television commentator, former senior official of the state department, christian whiten, christian welcome you, christian, i know that you are now in colorado, but i know that you spend a lot of time in washington attentively watching the events in washington. what's going on with this saga of electing the speaker of the house of representatives? well , the republicans are still in a state

of slight disorder, but at least they are already something is planned, it seems that they have decided to nominate a candidate from louisiana to support him, since the republicans have a very small advantage over the democrats in congress, and in order for his candidacy to be approved by a majority of votes, it is necessary for almost all republicans to vote for him, so this is necessary first to see if the full republicans will vote for him? there is no person who would get a lot of votes, so in the end i think that everyone will still vote for skalitsa, but we’ll see, well, let’s imagine,

that everyone will vote for scalis, but for those who live in russia, for them it will have some meaning, something will change in the american external environment. you know, some changes are planned, the majority of members of both parties, democrats are almost in full force, and republicans, after all , the majority of republicans are in favor of unlimited support for ukraine, for assistance to president zelsky, but in the republican party the number of members who are committed to somewhat negatively, they say: what stands out in ukraine too a lot of money, they say that they created a big fuss about the counter-offensive, which was in the fall, then summer, then autumn, in the end the output was very small, and in the meantime, on the us border, on the border with

mexico, there are serious problems, a large number of migrants are coming , including, possibly, some criminals and terrorists , people are saying that why are we giving so much money to ukraine, while we cannot ensure the security of our own southern border, so the republican party is gradually moving towards because people get tired from the ukrainian war, especially since the counter-offensive has slowed down, now winter is approaching, but still it cannot be said that the republicans have completely reconsidered their position, but the republicans are still very much in control, they do not control them, much less they do not control the white house, this is the evolution of the republicans present it in the chamber. their partial withdrawal from supporting ukraine will affect

the practical, real foreign policy of the united states. it may have an impact in the end, because the white house will sooner or later will be forced to understand that it is necessary to set priorities correctly and make some concessions. yes indeed. republicans seem to have only a slight advantage in one of the chambers, congress, and this is just one of the three branches of government, and nevertheless, it must be said that the people still made their choice, and the democrats lost the majority, and there is a consensus in regarding the need to increase the amount of aid supplied to israel, there is a consensus on this matter, and if israel receives... more aid, then ukraine will apparently get less, especially since the united states now has a very large

budget deficit, 2-3 dollars a year, and compared to pre-pandemic times, it has now grown even more; the economy is not doing very well, therefore, taking into account the upcoming presidential elections , i think that priorities in the us will gradually change. and the assistance that is being provided to ukraine, what the united states has given over the past 2 years, is already approximately the same amount as the united states has given to israel over the past 50 years, and accordingly questions arise, increasingly louder and the questions are louder about what these funds are used for? when we look at what is happening now between - israel and the palestinians, more specifically gaza.

then serious concerns arise that there may be some kind of escalation , secretary of state blinken has just arrived in israel, and he says that the united states fully supports israel and does not call, unlike, say, russia, turkey, egypt, saudi arabia is not calling for an immediate cessation of hostilities and in some... talk, however, president biden reminded israel that although they were clearly the victim of terrible terror, there are some un norms that israel must also take into account, an important warning, given that israel is facing an invasion of gaza, and there is fear of a humanitarian catastrophe there, but is there you have the feeling that biden can afford to at least somehow in this situation move away from netanyahu and start putting

pressure on him to really look for a solution to the palestinian problem and it’s not for me to tell you, this process is very, very difficult. you know, it seems to me that it is almost certain that biden, blinken and other senior representatives of the us administration will begin talking to the israelis in the near future. moreover, there are no special expectations about israel’s successes in gaza, because let’s remember that if fighting is carried out in urban areas and during the second world war in fallujah, this always led to large casualties among the civilian population. but it must be said that now the most important issue is iran, and

gradually the americans are beginning to come to the realization that yes, this attack was directly organized by hamas, but who is behind hamas, in fact, iran is doing it, despite the fact that it is a shiite country, and the us administration refuses to admit its mistake, because recently the us unfrozen a huge amount, and billions of dollars, 6 billion dollars of iranian money that was held in a korean bank were unfrozen, and now they are unfrozen, it was a colossal mistake, and i wanted to add one more point, it seems to me that no one in the administration is now thinking about about how this war will end and what

next? you rightly said that from the point of view of the american intelligence community there is no evidence that iran helped organize this hamas attack and even knew about it in advance, at least specifically knew enough when it would happen, how it would be done, under these conditions, if prepared , serious readiness in the administration, congress... to launch a military strike on iran? no, of course, the current administration will not do anything like that; on the contrary, they still intend improve relations with iran, they will say before the elections, yes, we

were defeated in afghanistan, it was a humiliation, but we corrected relations. we won, achieved some successes in ukraine, so we are improving relations with iran, but if we talk about the capital hill, then the situation there is already different, but we see that, in fact, where does hamas get its weapons from? obviously from iran, iran organizes training for militants, hamas and so on, so i think not, after all. opportunities for presentation oil supplies are being supplied from qatar to hamas, perhaps in the persian gulf the united states will take a more decisive position

towards iran, especially when iran is trying to somehow interfere with the movement. what could this more decisive position be expressed in? well, some candidates, for example, governor of florida desan, who is now running for the post of president, and some other candidates say that it is necessary to act more harshly in relation to iran, it is necessary to introduce secondary sanctions. this was under the previous administration, this is several reminiscent of the sanctions that the united states imposed on russia; exactly the same sanctions apply to iran. iran is still considered the main exporter of radical islam, and this affects not only the situation in

gaza, it also affects iraq and so on, so i think direct military action will not follow from the united states, but. there will simply be economic sanctions and a military presence in the region. let's talk now about russia, or more precisely the relationship between washington and moscow. as i understand it, until recently, in the biden administration and in congress there were hopes that the ukrainian offensive would be crowned with serious success and that if kiev fails to capture crimea, it would at least get closer to this task, and maybe even be able to cut through the russian forces that are located between crimea and traditional russian territories, crimea is of course also a traditional russian territory, but at least

ukraine claims it, nothing like that, nothing like that happened, i think that now everyone recognizes it, including the zelsky government, that the ukrainian offensive has virtually ceased, and that it is unlikely to intensify much in the late fall and winter. there were hopes in moscow that maybe, uh, the administration, when this happened, would show readiness for some new diplomatic initiatives with moscow. but so far nothing of the kind is noticeable; on the contrary, they are talking about a new round of escalation about more weapons for ukraine in an attempt to somehow exert further military pressure on russia in the expectation that the russian government, vladimir putin, under collective pressure

the west will make some unexpected concessions. there are chances that they will start. serious negotiations in the foreseeable future? or will everything be decided on the battlefield? in the united states there is a growing opinion that on the field... a stalemate has developed, it’s like on the western front during the first world war, public opinion polls show that many people are against continuing to provide military assistance to ukraine, although there a lot depends on how to formulate the questions in this questionnaire, but many people still wanted to i wish the united states would help israel more, because it is now raising its head there... islam is perceived as a real danger, but as for the biden administration, they clung to this idea that they need to win, they will say that they need to give

the ukrainians more money, now they will prepare a new offensive in the winter, and the next ukrainian counter-offensive will begin in the spring, but trump, and the paratroopers, and many republicans, they are increasingly talking about the need to negotiate, if you look at history, we see that the conflict in vietnam, at one time ended through negotiations, when kissinger met in paris with his north vietnamese counterpart, when a stalemate arises on the battlefield, both countries understand that they will not be able to move forward much, then negotiations usually begin, but to me it doesn’t seem that the administration will be able to take any revolutionary steps here, maybe they will simply reduce the amount of aid and send more to the middle east, but truly serious changes should

only be expected with the arrival of the new administration, they will already be able to begin to push the ukrainians actively to begin negotiations and abandon such goals as seizing crimea, for example, is there a concern that what you called a stalemate is not only an unsatisfactory situation from the point of view of the united states and the kiev authorities, but this is not a completely , frankly speaking, satisfactory situation from the point of view of russia and in moscow, they are increasingly saying that russia is still far from using all its military capabilities, and in part. this was due to the fact that russia wants the russian leadership to maintain a normal way of life throughout russia

, to make sure that people have confidence in the future, to pay for all social obligations, that is, they do not want to switch to a mobilization economy, they do not they want to live according to the principle of some kind of crisis situation and martial law, but this is the choice that has been made so far, but i can well imagine that if they give ukraine all new weapons, if these weapons are used according to the russian territory, and i want to remind you that from russia’s point of view there is not the slightest doubt that crimea is russian territory, a very important russian territory, that if all this arose... then russia may slightly change its priorities and move on to more active action in ukraine . at least i hear