are involved, this means that they have entrusted the war to the establishment, the government, while the war is going well, they seem to be not ready to ask tough questions, much less go there to protest, but if the war goes badly, if it becomes clear, if coffins come, or it’s not even that the coffins won’t go, but simply in ukraine, events will go completely in the wrong direction.

and considerations of this order should be included in making decisions about how to wage a war. koren, your truly final words. well i have to say i'm with you i absolutely agree, very interesting, once again, it speaks of your insight that you noticed this, this is the mood in our society, it is not general, no, we also have a certain percentage, obviously, but in general you are absolutely right , but... i must say that it seems to me that the russian people, at some, maybe even subconscious level, even maybe without deep analytics, they feel that this is this conflict, it is of fundamental importance for us , no less important than it was during the great patriotic war, not however, i have a feeling that our elite, part of this elite, still does not understand that our people are much deeper.

this is an easy money podcast, i am its host , mikhail khanov, and today we will talk about a topic that concerns everyone, growth. food prices for the so-called food basket, how true is the thesis that we have all started working just for the refrigerator, helps us deal with this complex issue, chairman of the council of the chamber of commerce and industry of the russian federation for the development of consumer markets, alexander borisov, hello, alexander, hello, mikhail, let's start, you know, how you and i, people of the older generation , remember such a soviet satirist. who

in one of his enterprises said that all wages go to the toilet, is this true or not, what is now with rising prices, inflation, what is the situation, specifically in... the third year, not all wages go for a toilet, expert research suggests that in different segments, social expenses for food are different, among the rich part of the population, this is approximately 24%. the middle class has 37%, and the poor have 50%. let's take the middle class - how much is it, what is it? 38, and 50 goes to those who are over 49.9, 49.9 to

those who earn around 50 thousand a month there, yes, that’s 5000, that’s poverty, or whatever it is, look, the minimum time... below we can consider that this is beyond the poverty level; today, according to official data from rosstat, we have 9% of the population, this is a very low figure compared to previous years. but these are 13 million people, let’s immediately reassure our audience, or vice versa, what prospects for the harvest in the twenty-third year? the harvest is good, good, it is not as large as in the previous one, because it was a record one, there are 158 million tons of grain there, and

here it will be somewhere around 100 45 approximately, that is , the main criterion for assessing the grain harvest, grain crops, including there's wheat. corn and so on, this is the basis of everything that we consume, if we talk about the quality of the food basket, on which we spend approximately 30 and a kopecks percent or 50%, then when we are talking about these statistics, what does it include? the minimum set by which all the main parameters of rosstat are calculated includes milk. meat, cereals, bread , of course, salt, sugar and so on, have recently even been included in the consumer basket - small cultural expenses, communication expenses, because this was not taken into account before, therefore - in

principle, now this is a fairly objective picture, but uh, you still need to work on it, because living conditions change. a person changes, his needs are changing. you said in 2022 that prices would rise - quickly, at a fairly rapid pace, compared to previous years, these forecasts of yours came true or have come true, yes, it’s easy to make this forecast, but the fact is that inflation - this is an immanent process of economic development, development, because essentially all innovations and investments are carried out due to inflation, because if there is not this artificial expansion, many processes will slow down, one will be surprised that inflation is at

the capitalist mode of production is a normal thing, but we still have capitalism, or even more so, in my personal opinion, we have not stepped over it. even in real capitalism, we are still in a transition period, because there are a lot of prevailing circumstances that prevent the completion of this process. yeah, your advice to the chamber of commerce and industry on consumer markets, that is, on those that we are discussing, what inflation is expected at the end of the year, here are the results of the year twenty-third and what are the forecasts for it’s the twenty-fourth year, what we’re preparing for, well , let’s start with the fact that now it’s even an official body.

from your point of view, i won’t take it, i won’t take it, this is a very difficult thing, because the number of factors that will influence in the coming period, the twenty-fourth year, you understand, it’s the twenty-fourth year and throughout the world , it very complicated, because no matter the geopolitical situation, let’s explain to our audience, that is, there will be presidential elections in russia and the united states in november, and a lot of elections in europe.

but there is a desire to buy

cars, prices are immediate, well, yes, this is hundreds of percent , the most striking example, the second factor is, we are in many, that is, it does not depend on our economy, it depends on the macroeconomic situation, then we have pricing for a large number of goods in fact, it is not internal, but it is exchange, global. “rice, yeah, grain, that’s all, prices on the domestic market, they depend on world prices, which are determined at exchange trading, why can’t we just set prices, because if we produce it in large quantities, the harvest as you already said, it corresponds to the levels that we need to consume normal, i understand that this is a deletant question, but i’m just asking it specifically so that it would be clear to our audience why it’s impossible to regulate well from factors.” i’m just trying to explain i can say the following: pricing is

a very subtle, delicate thing, very serious things happen, they cause damage to politics, well , a huge number of factors can be outlined, remember when a steamer became available in the soviet canal and prices immediately jumped up logistics services, all this cannot be foreseen, so as soon as you...

it’s not much, but it still adds something so effective, this is cost inflation, there are a huge number of additional factors, starting there with customs duties, tax and non-tax payments, tariffs of natural monopolies , new burdens that appear for businesses in connection with the introduction of new traceability systems, there is digital marking, cash registers, which...

that it sets tariffs for natural monopolies, yeah, and here it’s very serious the problem is with monopolies, because each of them has oil and gas.

major business leaders said that, unfortunately, this is the level of economic management with the active implementation of digitalization, processes have begun, they have accelerated, there are now requirements to be counted for the achievement of goals, this is the first time that the task has been set.

restrictions and so on, dialogue with all that is, you said that duties, restrictions, country, dialogue with everyone, results of the year with vladimir putin on december 14 at 12:00 p.m. moscow time, vodka veda. this is the easy money podcast, today we have a very important topic, rising prices for the food part of the consumer basket, projected inflation in the twenty-third year, in the twenty -fourth year, helps us deal with this complex issue, chairman of the council of the chamber of commerce and industry of the russian federation for development consumer markets, alexander borisov, what food products,

here are some statistics, which products from the food basket are rising in price faster total. oranges, tangerines, chicken and eggs, and it would seem that now oranges and tangerines are in season, now there will be a decline. closer to the new year, delivery is now underway, yeah, and so far it turned out that the demand is higher than what is involved

in these deliveries, they are now making money, they will now be overstocked, mass sales will begin, prices will go down, but what about the chicken and eggs? we have an overproduction of chicken meat, we don’t eat that much, and export helps, but still... but we ended up with overstocking and in connection with this in previous years of serious overstocking of chicken, they immediately got it back, got it instantly , that’s why i say don’t interfere, yes, i liked the statement of one of the owners of the enterprises that raise broiler chicken there, he says: well, don’t touch our segment. in 3-4 months we will instantly do everything any broiler now 2 days 10 years ago 64

yes yes i remember that these were months, we will instantly adjust ourselves to regulate, that is, there is no need to apply this very thing, we should immediately introduce export restrictions, but this is efficiency this is the same efficiency that you mentioned that the market is so effective when it is quiet. you care about your profit, and there is no profit without quality, like we are today’s youth now, yes, but if you don’t invest in the quality of the product, then literally after some time you will be swept away from this market, your place will be taken by those who are concerned quality, so you have now touched upon a very serious problem, because in the current conditions, when, unfortunately, over the last 10 years we have really the disposable income of the population has unfortunately been declining.

ways of survival, one of the ways to change recipes, replace expensive ingredients

with cheaper ones, or another example that is heard a lot now is changing the packaging, or rather maintaining the packaging, changing the contents, you are absolutely right when you say that the market... will remain for those who do not harm quality, the modern, russian consumer, he has become very sophisticated and demanding, and although he does not have much money, he still demands quality, level of service, that, based on the three restrictions you mentioned for...

the segment that we are discussing, the food basket, everything is more or less good here, we have large chains, and small chains, and eco-products, attempts there farms to enter their own separate conglomerates, and even marketplaces , and trading platforms on the internet, have already begun to create so-called fresh products, due to the very increase in the struggle for quality, that is , competition, which ultimately increases quality and demand , here's the very first named by you...

we produce 90 million tons annually, it has approximately doubled, well, relatively speaking , from 20 trillion to 40 trillion rubles, yeah, per year, in two, yes, but in quantity, in pieces , in terms of volumes, it remained the same, that is , the numbers and the price increased, this is the subject of our discussion today, for what period? this is the result of inflation, this is over the last 10 years, 10 years, that is, actually twice, well, in principle, if you calculate after 8%, 10 years as an accumulated total, it will turn out this way, this is how this figure will turn out, let’s just say, returning to the figures that we spoke at the beginning, regarding inflation, according to what you said, that this year it could approach eight, according to estimates, according to the forecasts of the central bank, this is 7.5, maybe eight, in next year, the central bank gives an optimistic estimate

of... four, but we are talking about eight, after all, the main contribution to reducing inflation, what does it bring, which of these three limiting signs? i think that after all, the limiter is real demand, real demand, that is, this is a decrease in income, which, due to the fact that even you called it as the first reason, it will be a driver of prices, prices will go down, prices will actually go down, this is a question for which there is no simple answer, because we have no answer. here i have a piece of paper, i specially wrote it out, so as not to keep it in my head , of course, during the first half of the year that we had, prices for food products rose, which means the twenty-third year, the first half of the year, oranges, cabbage, apples, lemons, sugar, pears, food prices.

beans, buckwheat, beets, sunflower oil, carrots, cucumbers, onions. prices have fallen, this how many? 3, 5, 2, or these are tenths, the drop is smaller, but, let’s say, onions, uh , by 17%, cucumbers by 16%, relative to the twenty- second year, well, 16 to 18%, these are tangible numbers, of course , of course, this is inflation of expectations. expectations, yes, absolutely right , the same buckwheat during the pandemic, i remember that our compatriots en masse made a very significant contribution to the inflation of expectations, simply buying up everything they could, yes, i remember, uh, my children say, dad, why are you sitting, i say, what do you need? do, you have to go shopping, i say why, well, because everyone does it, i say, well, believe me, i say, dad, well , you see, everything is worth it, they say, yes, maybe we’ll take something, i say, why , we have at home, that is, i have common sense for...

for the rest of my life, but this is the desire, because if the world is changing in general, then there is no point in trying to maintain the previous consumption model, you need to change with the world and you need to try to fit into that volume or quality or assortment efforts, that’s how you correctly noticed that only by accelerating your own inflation through this inflation of expectations is a hint of easy money.

today we are talking about the rise in prices for the food basket, how much this rise in prices predicted in the twenty-fourth year helps us understand this, today the chairman of the council of the chamber of commerce and industry of the russian federation on the consumer market is an element, because as soon as you start keeping a sign of your expenses, from year to year, from year to year, you really see that on average, in on average, yes, this inflation for the class is exactly... the same as what the security council is talking about, that is, i have a friend, we argue with him from time to time, he says: for me , taxis are also included in the consumption basket, and taxis supported twice, period paragraph, i say, well, you’re a mathematician, my dear friend , yes, well, how can you say that we are talking about the average basket, but for me, he says, a taxi enters the basket, then there is such a moment that people very often lay down individual some moments of consumption, and relevant precisely at this moment, and the

same tourist trips have become more expensive. together with the exchange rate or the same real estate, which is actually included in the calculation of inflation, and even their basket is not included, this is precisely why the expectation is higher. than the actual inflation, which is why we always say that prices have risen, prices rise, prices rise, but it could be even higher, in fact, this year, for example, it was decided not to raise tariffs housing and communal services, and if raised, our price level would be different, but the increase will be in 2024 in july, that’s why i say that most likely prices will be higher than expected there by the central banks, they are more or less optimistic, uh , because housing and communal services tariffs, they

affect everyone in production, on the population, but there is no such thing that they will reduce housing and communal services, for utilities, and thereby there will be less money left for the food basket, that... this is the first factor rising prices, namely demand, it will fall due to redistribution of expenses in the household , this must be taken into account, well, two factors will operate, the first is the ability of consumers themselves to carefully manage their own family budget, the second is social support, the issue, in your opinion, now for the consumer the main problem is the price or reduced choice , i'll start to know. of which, most importantly, we do not have a food shortage, this is the most important thing, and there will not be, and does not expect, and will not, of course, moreover, the processes have been launched such that in this century we can, russia can become one of the main players

in the food market, as we have already touched upon, the fact is that - unfortunately, due to rising costs for manufacturers, trade has very... few opportunities left for making a profit, in connection with this now an obvious process, it is natural, a reduction in assortment, because it is easier to sell, it is more obvious that there are no longer 18 types of different milks on the shelf, in small shops near the house there are three or four. it’s always much easier to concentrate on one or two segments to get quality and to ensure that you will be a number there, i don’t know there 1 2 3 on this side, the russian

consumer really loves new things and in 2022 , 13,000 new products appeared on the shelves, for example. parts are what replaced the products of manufacturers that have left or changed their name, sausages, cheeses, cheeses, dairy products, so still the price remains the main thing, the main thing, all public opinion polls, when it comes to problems or concerns, the price is always worth it in the first place, well, in fact, we looked at the prices today, thank you. for yours expertise, thank you very much for the informative conversation, this was a podcast of easy money, and today we talked about how really the basket is, and the answer is immediately no, any problems with

food in the near future for our country. i remind you that you can watch all episodes of the easy money podcast on the website of the first channel 1tv.ru. you understand what a thing is happening, boris alexandrovich, your generation, you came out of russian hockey, from bandy, but now this species is gradually fading away, well, let's be honest it’s very difficult to say what you think is possible to give it a new life, it’s hardly ever hockey. will be shown , will be a participant in the olympic games, and there will be a huge field, a football field, roughly speaking , 110 by 60 meters, a small ball that is

absolutely invisible, although i am not only a good friend, my colleague on the ussr sports committee. pomortsev, with whom we later worked, what efforts he made to ensure that this sport was included in the program. olympic games, well, naturally, the leaders of the international olympic the committee was somehow loyal to his requests, yes, yes, yes, yes, of course, we will consider it, but that was about 20 years ago, the matter has not moved forward, today, as far as i understand, uh.