d hard hitting. and hard hitting. >> people are dying because of >> people are dying because of this policy... this policy... >> there's no status quo, just >> there's no status quo, just the bottom line. the bottom line. >> but what is the >> but what is the administration doing behind the administration doing behind the scenes? scenes? >> real perspective, >> real perspective, consider this consider this on al jazeera america on al jazeera america >> america's mid terms will have >> america's mid terms will have a full run down of the states a full run down of the states that will determine control of that will determine control of the senate and coverage of the senate and coverage of critical issues that will affect critical issues that will affect the outcome. the outcome. and why can't most politicians and why can't most politicians seem to tell the truth? seem to tell the truth? hello i'm hello i'm antonio antonio mora, welcome mora, welcome to "consider this," those to "consider this," those stories and much more straight stories and much more straight ahead. ahead. >> the president was heckled by >> the president was heckled by hispanic activists. hispanic activists.

>> need to go >> need to go republicans. republicans. >> in the mid 30s. >> in the mid 30s. >> i.s.i.s. on the march. >> i.s.i.s. on the march. >> not fight against i.s.i.s. or >> not fight against i.s.i.s. or ebola but what is happening with ebola but what is happening with their bank accounts. their bank accounts. >> after six years of borrowing >> after six years of borrowing and spending these people need and spending these people need to be stopped. to be stopped. >> the latest polling >> the latest polling indicates,. indicates,. senate. senate. >> this is the last time to pass >> this is the last time to pass judgment ton obama judgment ton obama administration. administration. >> the republicans need a net >> the republicans need a net gain of six senate seats. gain of six senate seats. >> short of gop pickups. >> short of gop pickups. >> the democrats need to win new >> the democrats need to win new hampshire win north carolina hampshire win north carolina win in kansas. win in kansas. >> i don't agree with the >> i don't agree with the oddsmakers. oddsmakers. i believe we'll keep the senate. i believe we'll keep the senate. >> we begin with candidates >> we begin with candidates across the country making their across the country making their final appeals for votes. final appeals for votes. tuesday's election is shaping up tuesday's election is shaping up to be one of the most to be one of the most constituencyiful races in constituencyiful races in decades. decades. republicans need to pick up six republicans need to pick up six seats to recapture the senate seats to recapture the senate chamber and the odds seem to be chamber and the odds seem to be

strongly in their strongly in their favor favor . . >> victory is in the air we're >> victory is in the air we're going to bring it home tomorrow going to bring it home tomorrow night. night. >> but vice president joe biden >> but vice president joe biden said, democrats will rally to said, democrats will rally to keep control of both houses. keep control of both houses. >> first of all i don't agree >> first of all i don't agree with the oddsmakers. with the oddsmakers. i believe we'll i believe we'll be able to keep be able to keep the senate. the senate. i've been in 67 i've been in 67 races and i races and i don't believe the don't believe the oddsmakers. oddsmakers. >> a blog dedicated to u.s. >> a blog dedicated to u.s. electoral analysis, batted a electoral analysis, batted a thousand thousand with his predictions with his predictions two years ago. two years ago. sam very good to have you with sam very good to have you with us. us. let's start with your analysis let's start with your analysis of the senate race. of the senate race. you think that likely or sure you think that likely or sure things for the republicans are things for the republicans are 48 seats, the democrats, 45. 48 seats, the democrats, 45. so that means there are seven so that means there are seven races still in play. races still in play. alaska, colorado, georgia, iowa, alaska, colorado, georgia, iowa, kansas

kansas kansas, north carolina and new kansas, north carolina and new hampshire. hampshire. big question what do you think big question what do you think is going to happen in those is going to happen in those sefng sefng races? races? >> well -- seven races? >> well -- seven races? >> well, here's the difficulty >> well, here's the difficulty those race are all within less those race are all within less than three percentage points than three percentage points within the median of recent within the median of recent surveys. surveys. if they broke the way they if they broke the way they predicted we would have 51 predicted we would have 51 republicans and therefore republicans and therefore control for the republicans. control for the republicans. however, however, polls have an error polls have an error rate, it turns out polls rate, it turns out polls prediction of the weber is only prediction of the weber is only 55% in 55% in the past several races so the past several races so there's a tremendous amount of there's a tremendous amount of uncertainty. uncertainty. >> the smallest of flips could >> the smallest of flips could have major implication is. have major implication is. the republicans could have 54 the republicans could have 54 seats in the senate and the seats in the senate and the democrats 46 or the democrats democrats 46 or the democrats have 52 in the senate and the have 52 in the senate and the republicans 48. republicans 48. >> that's right. >> that's right.

we should not be surprised on we should not be surprised on election night for people to election night for people to analyze analyze polls like myself to polls like myself to get get two or three wrong. two or three wrong. when i was correct in 2012, that when i was correct in 2012, that was very fortunate account not was very fortunate account not all races were that close, we all races were that close, we have a record number of close have a record number of close races and i think there's races and i think there's surprises tomorrow night on surprises tomorrow night on election night. election night. >> i know you've said you don't >> i know you've said you don't like using like using probability to probability to forecast who will take control. forecast who will take control. for example today likelihood for example today likelihood that the senate will go that the senate will go republican is anywhere from 70% republican is anywhere from 70% according to the new york times according to the new york times to 95% according to cnn and 96 to 95% according to cnn and 96 percent according to the percent according to the washington post. washington post. so where do things stand on that so where do things stand on that frond frond front for you? front for you? are you willing to put a number are you willing to put a number on it? on it? >> i think it's bold of cnn and >> i think it's bold of cnn and the washington post to be so the washington post to be so certain and certainly when certain and certainly when statisticians make

statisticians make predictions predictions they should be ready to say they should be ready to say they're right and take their they're right and take their lumps when they're wrong. lumps when they're wrong. 60% probability for the 60% probability for the republicans to take over the republicans to take over the reason for that as i said poles reason for that as i said poles canpollscan be off. canpollscan be off. historically there is a bias in historically there is a bias in polls, entire group of polls polls, entire group of polls altogether when you take an altogether when you take an average or median they can be average or median they can be off three or four points in off three or four points in either direction. either direction. i think excess in confidence is i think excess in confidence is really unwarranted at this time. really unwarranted at this time. i put the probability as i said i put the probability as i said at 60% knot at 60% knot more. more. >> what are you going to be >> what are you going to be looking at early on tuesday looking at early on tuesday night give you an indication of night give you an indication of where things are going? where things are going? >> at the very earliest i'm >> at the very earliest i'm going to look at the first going to look at the first states that close, and in which states that close, and in which they are fast-reporting. they are fast-reporting. i'm going to be watching new i'm going to be watching new hampshire and kentucky. hampshire and kentucky. in new hampshire, jean in new hampshire, jean sheheen sheheen is ahead, that's a good night

is ahead, that's a good night for democrats because that bias for democrats because that bias may be the same in other states. may be the same in other states. on the other hand if she wins by on the other hand if she wins by less than that or she even loses less than that or she even loses then that is obviously not such then that is obviously not such a good night for democrats. a good night for democrats. similarly in kentucky mitch similarly in kentucky mitch mcconnell is not in any real mcconnell is not in any real doubt now, he is leading doubt now, he is leading allison allison lundergran lundergran grimes. grimes. if he wins by five points or if he wins by five points or less we should look to other less we should look to other states to have some surprises, states to have some surprises, some pleasant surprises for some pleasant surprises for democrats. democrats. >> so let's talk about what many >> so let's talk about what many have talked about which is that have talked about which is that this could be a way of election this could be a way of election for the republicans if cnn and for the republicans if cnn and the the washington post are right, washington post are right, they end up winning a lot of they end up winning a lot of these races and take control of these races and take control of the senate does that necessarily the senate does that necessarily mean that it is a wave election mean that it is a wave election for republicans? for republicans? because it's not same story when because it's not same story when you're looking at state

you're looking at state houses houses as who might win groafnls governor's as who might win groafnls governor's rations. rations. >> lot of them are reluctant to >> lot of them are reluctant to use the word wave. use the word wave. field that favors republicans so field that favors republicans so they have been expected all they have been expected all along to pick up seats. along to pick up seats. but honestly compared with but honestly compared with expectations democrats have expectations democrats have outperformed and it's been outperformed and it's been surprisingly hard-going. surprisingly hard-going. if you look as you just said at if you look as you just said at governor races, a lot of governor races, a lot of democrats are struggling. democrats are struggling. senators were elected in 2008 senators were elected in 2008 which was a great year for the which was a great year for the democrats so they are struggling democrats so they are struggling and they are also as i said in and they are also as i said in hostile ground for democrats hostile ground for democrats friendly territory for friendly territory for republicans. republicans. and governors many of them were and governors many of them were elected in 2010 and that was a elected in 2010 and that was a banner year for the republicans. banner year for the republicans. so in all cases the common theme so in all cases the common theme that seems to be showing up is that seems to be showing up is basically i would say a negative basically i would say a negative emotion from voters in which emotion from voters in which they are expressing they are expressing dissatisfaction both the dissatisfaction both the

governors who have not governors who have not governed governed to the voter satisfaction or to to the voter satisfaction or to senate candidates who are in senate candidates who are in states that -- where the states that -- where the president is not very popular president is not very popular right now. right now. >> i know you're going to be >> i know you're going to be looking at the florida race for looking at the florida race for governor as one of those early governor as one of those early indicators of whether the night indicators of whether the night is going for republicans or for is going for republicans or for democrats. democrats. >> yes, in florida right now if >> yes, in florida right now if you look at the last six surveys you look at the last six surveys completed over the last seven completed over the last seven days, charlie crist leads in days, charlie crist leads in three of them. three of them. i would call that a median of i would call that a median of crist lead of .5 percentage crist lead of .5 percentage point, the fact that scott has point, the fact that scott has not led in any survey, that's not led in any survey, that's going to be super-close and one going to be super-close and one to watch late into the evening to watch late into the evening because i think that that still because i think that that still could go either way. could go either way. and that's an example of a and that's an example of a republican governor who's really republican governor who's really having quite a bit of trouble having quite a bit of trouble getting reelected, rick scott. getting reelected, rick scott. >> what about the polls and >> what about the polls and certain categories of certain categories of voters voters

latinos, millenials and women? latinos, millenials and women? those groups which have gone those groups which have gone heavily for president obama in heavily for president obama in prior elections may not be going prior elections may not be going that strongly for the democrats? that strongly for the democrats? >> that's an interesting point. >> that's an interesting point. i would say that there's a i would say that there's a distinctive pattern in which in distinctive pattern in which in presidential years those presidential years those constituencies you have just constituencies you have just named, certainly latinos and named, certainly latinos and millennials will millennials will more likely more likely turn out. turn out. turnout goes way down in mid turnout goes way down in mid term years. term years. down 30% in mid term years so down 30% in mid term years so there's some question about there's some question about whether they will share up. whether they will share up. to paraphrase the pop song, it's to paraphrase the pop song, it's all all about that about that base. base. >> the women issues, democrats >> the women issues, democrats have talked a lot about women, have talked a lot about women, is the gap narrowing according is the gap narrowing according the polls and republicans having the polls and republicans having a big deficiency when it comes a big deficiency when it comes to women voting for them. to women voting for them.

>> there has been a gender gap. >> there has been a gender gap. i don't think one should read i don't think one should read much into that on either much into that on either direction. direction. very broadly speaking it might very broadly speaking it might be an error to focus on issues be an error to focus on issues considered women issues. considered women issues. men and women both want jobs and men and women both want jobs and economic security. economic security. in many respects women and men in many respects women and men are two halves of the human race are two halves of the human race and so i think there may be a and so i think there may be a gender gap but one should not gender gap but one should not take those fluctuations to take those fluctuations to seriously. seriously. >> two questions, i'll do it as >> two questions, i'll do it as one. one. best hope for a gop upset, best best hope for a gop upset, best hope for a democratic upset? hope for a democratic upset? >> best hope for a gop upset >> best hope for a gop upset would probably be i think kansas would probably be i think kansas city for taking off the city for taking off the independent candidate, greg independent candidate, greg orman, who is owned ahead by one orman, who is owned ahead by one percentage point and i think the percentage point and i think the democrats might have an outside democrats might have an outside shot in winning in alaska. shot in winning in alaska. the republican dan sullivan has the republican dan sullivan has been favored but there's a lot been favored but there's a lot of mystery up there and the of mystery up there and the mark mark

beg beg begich begich campaign has and sullivan campaign has and sullivan a relatively a relatively new arrival in new arrival in alaska. alaska. >> sam it will be an interesting >> sam it will be an interesting night, thank you. night, thank you. >> thank you. >> thank you. >> joining us from new orleans >> joining us from new orleans is randall pinkston. is randall pinkston. who has been covering the race who has been covering the race closely. closely. one of two senate races that may one of two senate races that may not be decided on election not be decided on election night. night. randall good to see you. randall good to see you. mary landrieu of course long mary landrieu of course long time senator down there fighting time senator down there fighting time senator down there fighting for her political survival for her political survival against a whole bunch of against a whole bunch of candidates, principally two candidates, principally two republicans, republicans, cassidy and cassidy and mannis. mannis. >> all eyes are on senator >> all eyes are on senator landrieu the incumbent and bill landrieu the incumbent and bill

cassidy the first term cassidy the first term congressman, rising star of the congressman, rising star of the republican party. republican party. mannis has tea party support, he mannis has tea party support, he is not expected to do much is not expected to do much better than third place. better than third place. he will likely draw votes from he will likely draw votes from congressman cassidy which means congressman cassidy which means that the race will go into a that the race will go into a runoff. runoff. landrieu's hope for landrieu's hope for keeping her keeping her seat is getting 50 plus one in seat is getting 50 plus one in the election tomorrow, if she the election tomorrow, if she doesn't do that this race will doesn't do that this race will go into december and most go into december and most analysts are predicting that analysts are predicting that mannis's votes plus cassidy's mannis's votes plus cassidy's will put landrieu out of office. will put landrieu out of office. >> this has been a nasty vote. >> this has been a nasty vote. mannis is a former kentucky mannis is a former kentucky colonel, who colonel, who wrastled an wrastled an alligator in one of his campaign alligator in one of his campaign ads. ads. the south has not always been the south has not always been the friendliest place for

the friendliest place for african americans and noted that african americans and noted that louisiana hasn't always been louisiana hasn't always been great for women. great for women. how has that been received how has that been received there, as an effective hail mary there, as an effective hail mary pass to her base or pass to her base or mistake? mistake? >> reporter: well, you know at >> reporter: well, you know at this point in her career, you this point in her career, you have to believe that senator have to believe that senator landrieu knew exactly what she landrieu knew exactly what she was saying when she was saying was saying when she was saying it. it. she was asked a she was asked a question by the question by the reporter and she answered it. reporter and she answered it. was it smart? was it smart? would it possibly drive away would it possibly drive away people who are on the fence? people who are on the fence? you could argue that no one is you could argue that no one is on the fence by now. on the fence by now. everyone know who mary everyone know who mary landrieu landrieu is, you either like her or you is, you either like her or you don't. don't. her her characterization of voters characterization of voters in this in this part of the country not part of the country not being kind to obama, among white being kind to obama, among white voters in louisiana according to voters in louisiana according to this poll only 20% approve of this poll only 20% approve of president obama. president obama.

put another way 80% disapprove put another way 80% disapprove which is exactly the opposite which is exactly the opposite from african american voters from african american voters here. here. so landrieu was speaking so landrieu was speaking honestly. honestly. and we should also say she was and we should also say she was being consistent with her being consistent with her family. family. you know she's from a long line you know she's from a long line of politicians here. of politicians here. her father was the her father was the former mayor former mayor moon landrieu, he was the first moon landrieu, he was the first mayor to integrate to mayor to integrate to de de desegregate city desegregate city haul. haul. maybe holding it against mary maybe holding it against mary landrieu who knows? landrieu who knows? she's reaching out to her base. she's reaching out to her base. she wants african americans to she wants african americans to turn out in large numbers. turn out in large numbers. that is likely the only way she that is likely the only way she has to get 50 plus one that she has to get 50 plus one that she will need for will need for victory. victory. >> randall pinkston appreciate >> randall pinkston appreciate you joining us. you joining us. in a programming note our in a programming note our coverage of the elections begins coverage of the elections begins at at

7:00 p.m. eastern. 7:00 p.m. eastern. along with live reports along with live reports throughout throughout the night. the night. two of the two of the tightest races tightest races are north carolina and iowa. are north carolina and iowa. we'll get a look from someone we'll get a look from someone who's been with the candidates who's been with the candidates for over a month. for over a month. and a and a shift to shift to latinos.and latinos.and minutials and women? minutials and women? what do you think? what do you think? >> election day stay with al >> election day stay with al jazeera america for live jazeera america for live in-depth coverage focusing on in-depth coverage focusing on the issues with expert analysis the issues with expert analysis and updates from across the and updates from across the country. country. midterm coverage that's serious, midterm coverage that's serious, straightforward and unbiased. straightforward and unbiased. tomorrow, 7:00 eastern. tomorrow, 7:00 eastern. on al jazeera america. on al jazeera america. real reporting that brings you real reporting that brings you the world. the world. giving you a real global giving you a real global perspective like no other can. perspective like no other can. real reporting from around the real reporting from around the world. world. this is what we do. this is what we do. al jazeera america. al jazeera america.

>> i'm ali velshi, >> i'm ali velshi, the news has become the news has become this thing where you talk to this thing where you talk to experts about people experts about people and al jazeera has really tried and al jazeera has really tried to talk to people, about to talk to people, about their stories. their stories. we are not meant to be your we are not meant to be your first choice for entertainment. first choice for entertainment. we are ment to be your first we are ment to be your first choice for the news. choice for the news.

>> the balance of power in the >> the balance of power in the u.s. senate could come down to u.s. senate could come down to iowa an north carolina, our next iowa an north carolina, our next guest has had a unique inside guest has had a unique inside track on both races because he's track on both races because he's been filming all of the senate been filming all of the senate candidates for the past year. candidates for the past year. a.j. schnock is the executive a.j. schnock is the executive producer of the al jazeera producer of the al jazeera series. series. very reputable poll has him town very reputable poll has him town by seven points in the senate by seven points in the senate race to republican joanie ernst race to republican joanie ernst and most polls show she's ahead. and most polls show she's ahead. iowa democrats insist the race iowa democrats insist the race is much tighter. is much tighter. what is the real story? what is the real story?

>> well as you mention it is not >> well as you mention it is not only a reputable poll it's only a reputable poll it's considered the gold standard. considered the gold standard. iowa poll they get the numbers iowa poll they get the numbers right probably better than right probably better than almost anybody else. almost anybody else. whether he's down seven is whether he's down seven is probably the question. probably the question. most agree she's had about a two most agree she's had about a two to three point lead for last to three point lead for last month or so and i think that's month or so and i think that's probably where we stand going probably where we stand going into tomorrow. into tomorrow. >> now retiring democratic >> now retiring democratic senator tom senator tom harkin has set off a harkin has set off a last men last men controversy, set off a controversy, set off a fire storm, when he said he fire storm, when he said he didn't care if ernst was didn't care if ernst was as as attractive,. attractive,. >> narrative that people have >> narrative that people have built the braley campaign in built the braley campaign in which they can't seem to have a which they can't seem to have a good day. good day. whether it's the harkin comment whether it's the harkin comment or the or the first lady mispronouncing first lady mispronouncing his last name, they have really his last name, they have really been in need of some

been in need of some solidly solidly good days in the last month and good days in the last month and they haven't had them. they haven't had them. it needs this narrative of the it needs this narrative of the gang who couldn't shoot gang who couldn't shoot straight. straight. >> you've been in north carolina >> you've been in north carolina a lot a lot covering kay covering kay hag hag kay kay hagen. hagen. >> probably >> probably why why the the hagan hagan campaign is feeling good. campaign is feeling good. if the early vote numbers are if the early vote numbers are representative of what they'll representative of what they'll see tomorrow then it's looking see tomorrow then it's looking favorable for them. favorable for them. now, republicans will of course now, republicans will of course argue that in 2012 they were way argue that in 2012 they were way down in the early voting and down in the early voting and romney still carried the state. romney still carried the state. so it's probably too early to so it's probably too early to

write off thom tillis but i write off thom tillis but i think democrats feel better think democrats feel better about north carolina than olot about north carolina than olot of the states they're of the states they're campaigning in this year. campaigning in this year. >> very competitive, very >> very competitive, very negative races, what do you negative races, what do you think will ultimately make the think will ultimately make the difference? difference? >> well you know i think in iowa >> well you know i think in iowa it's really how people feel it's really how people feel about joanie ernst and that's about joanie ernst and that's the interesting tale all the interesting tale all along, along, whether republicans are fired up whether republicans are fired up and passionate about her or and passionate about her or whether whether democrats are against democrats are against her getting the seat. her getting the seat. it's not about bruce braley, it's not about bruce braley, it's about joanie ernst. it's about joanie ernst. if they can drive out if they can drive out traditional democratic base, traditional democratic base, which is always a which is always a challenge, challenge, then kay hagan has the then kay hagan has the advantage. advantage. tillis tillis has the advantage, that has the advantage, that is something that has gone very is something that has gone very

badly for the state so they're badly for the state so they're more motivated to vote for hagan more motivated to vote for hagan and against tillis in that and against tillis in that race. race. >> al jazeera america will air a >> al jazeera america will air a marathon on tuesday all three marathon on tuesday all three episodes will air starting at episodes will air starting at 1:00 p.m. eastern. 1:00 p.m. eastern. joining us now to talk about all joining us now to talk about all the closely watched races and the closely watched races and what we can expect to happen on what we can expect to happen on tuesday are lynn sweet, the tuesday are lynn sweet, the washington bureau chief of the washington bureau chief of the sun times, and here in new york sun times, and here in new york we're joined by patrick murray we're joined by patrick murray and al jazeera political and al jazeera political correspondent michael shore. correspondent michael shore. lynn i'll start with you. lynn i'll start with you earlier we heard lynn wong say earlier we heard lynn wong say seven states a tossup and others seven states a tossup and others eight states in the eight states in the tossup? tossup? new hampshire, north carolina, new hampshire, north carolina, what burr your neighbor what burr your neighbor iowa iowa

democrats think it's essential democrats think it's essential to hold the state. to hold the state. will it go with ernst? will it go with ernst? >> that's what every poll shows. >> that's what every poll shows. congressman bill braley has run congressman bill braley has run a campaign where he's had a campaign where he's had unforced errors that hasn't unforced errors that hasn't helped. helped. i would say it's a tossup right i would say it's a tossup right now now tossup meaning she looks tossup meaning she looks like she's ending ahead so the like she's ending ahead so the democrats should be bracing democrats should be bracing themselves for a potential themselves for a potential defeat. defeat. but what the democrats have in but what the democrats have in iowa is they iowa is they have in other have in other states is a very well oiled states is a very well oiled turnout machine. turnout machine. i think that the hunt by i think that the hunt by democrats nationally and in democrats nationally and in places especially where they places especially where they might be behind, big efforts to might be behind, big efforts to find what they call the find what they call the sporadic sporadic or drop off year voter, the ones or drop off year voter, the ones with democratic pro pens with democratic pro pens advertise so they can make up advertise so they can make up that deficit that they know is that deficit that they know is out there. out there. >> patrick let's talk about >> patrick let's talk about louisiana, we just louisiana, we just heard randall heard randall pinkston talk about what's going pinkston talk about what's going

on there. on there. eight candidates including two eight candidates including two republicans. republicans. in the end sam wong says that's in the end sam wong says that's over there, it's going to be a over there, it's going to be a republican state. republican state. you agree? you agree? >> yes the >> yes the hypothetical matchups hypothetical matchups agree, whether they have a tea agree, whether they have a tea party or more mainstream party or more mainstream republican, either way that mary republican, either way that mary lan you droo islandrieu is going to be on the lan you droo islandrieu is going to be on the losing losing end. end. >> new hampshire is one where >> new hampshire is one where everywhere thought jean everywhere thought jean shehe shehe rvetionn would be rvetionn would be sheeheenwas going to be able to win. sheeheenwas going to be able to win. >> early in the night, we're all >> early in the night, we're all going to be watching, looking at going to be watching, looking at that race, because if early in that race, because if early in the night you see that scott the night you see that scott brown is running tight that they brown is running tight that they call that race early or that call that race early or that they don't call that race at all they don't call that race at all that's going to be an important that's going to be an important

part of election night and yeah, part of election night and yeah, i mean that was one that the i mean that was one that the republicans said that we're republicans said that we're going to let scott brown run going to let scott brown run casualty-bag, he's a well-known casualty-bag, he's a well-known name in politics. name in politics. casualty-bag isn't a casualty-bag isn't a derogatory derogatory word, it's not that we're going word, it's not that we're going to look for a new hampshire to look for a new hampshire candidate, but one that's candidate, but one that's marquee. marquee. dug adds by a fireplace, things dug adds by a fireplace, things of that sort, those help in new of that sort, those help in new hampshire because of who he's hampshire because of who he's going up on. going up on. >> one that is not going to be >> one that is not going to be decided early is alaska. decided early is alaska. do you think mark do you think mark begich can begich can hold onto his seat? hold onto his seat? he's up against dan sullivan a he's up against dan sullivan a republican. republican. >> everyone is reporting it's >> everyone is reporting it's going to be difficult for going to be difficult for democrats to keep. democrats to keep. there's nothing i've heard that there's nothing i've heard that counters that. counters that. >> and colorado -- >> and colorado -- >> colorado where the democrats >> colorado where the democrats are going to be a little

are going to be a little surprising in the returns. surprising in the returns. i think it's going to be a i think it's going to be a little more democrat and part of little more democrat and part of that is because of early voting that is because of early voting that's been instituted there in that's been instituted there in colorado. colorado. right now they have a hybrid right now they have a hybrid method but what what happened in method but what what happened in oregon happened in washington, oregon happened in washington, when they introduced that vote when they introduced that vote by mail by mail system, it increased system, it increased turnout, and mark udall there turnout, and mark udall there the incumbent democrat has a the incumbent democrat has a chance, he's behind in all the chance, he's behind in all the polls. polls. polls say this is corrie polls say this is corrie gardener's, and georgia would be gardener's, and georgia would be the other place we would look at the other place we would look at if they really v do have this if they really v do have this machine that we're talking about machine that we're talking about this is where we're going to see this is where we're going to see it. it. >> that's where the latino vote >> that's where the latino vote is important and there is some is important and there is some argument as to whether latinos argument as to whether latinos have been polled properly. have been polled properly. >> yeah, we've seen that i don't >> yeah, we've seen that i don't think that's particularly the think that's particularly the case. case. i think it's the early voting i think it's the early voting issue in colorado and one of the issue in colorado and one of the things we've got to remember things we've got to remember with mid terms is nonwhite with mid terms is nonwhite

voters who vote democrat are voters who vote democrat are less likely to turn out like less likely to turn out like they do in the presidential they do in the presidential year. year. gender gaps are smaller in mid gender gaps are smaller in mid term elections so all these term elections so all these things things hurt democrats. hurt democrats. >> all those things make it >> all those things make it easier to know where democrats easier to know where democrats are going after. are going after. that is a structural problem. that is a structural problem. in states where there were big in states where there were big turnouts in obama in '08 and 12 turnouts in obama in '08 and 12 as cold colorado was, they have a as cold colorado was, they have a bigger pool of people to try the bigger pool of people to try the hunt down. hunt down. >> i was going to agree with >> i was going to agree with patrick. patrick. patrick talking about colorado patrick talking about colorado the place where there could be a the place where there could be a surprise tomorrow, i think that surprise tomorrow, i think that could be the case. could be the case. going also you remember when going also you remember when michael bennett was running michael bennett was running against kim buck, at the end of against kim buck, at the end of that polling it looked like buck that polling it looked like buck was ahead a little bit. was ahead a little bit. some show gardner ahead biquite some show gardner ahead biquite a surprising margin. a surprising margin. you're right antonio about the you're right antonio about the latino vote, it's the only state latino vote, it's the only state

where that's been a focus in the where that's been a focus in the battle ground states this year. battle ground states this year. >> what about kansas, we are >> what about kansas, we are talking how that could be a talking how that could be a surprise for surprise for republicans, maybe republicans, maybe caucus with the democrats. caucus with the democrats. >> the night before election day >> the night before election day about whether the republican about whether the republican will win in kansas. will win in kansas. nobody would have ever predicted nobody would have ever predicted that, the democrat leaves the that, the democrat leaves the race, greg orman saying he could race, greg orman saying he could cause of action cause of action caucus with anyone -- caucus with anyone -- >> did he make a fawx >> did he make a fawx faux faux pas? pas? >> i'll tell you wednesday if it >> i'll tell you wednesday if it was a big faux pas. was a big faux pas. the anti-sam the anti-sam brownback -- brownback -- >> the governor's race -- >> the governor's race -- >> the eafnt sam >> the eafnt sam

antisam antisam brownback. brownback. >> michelle >> michelle nunn now seems to nunn now seems to be be falling behind david purdue. falling behind david purdue. there's more than two candidates there's more than two candidates so we might be waiting to know so we might be waiting to know what happens there. what happens there. >> absolutely. >> absolutely. this just shows this is kind of this just shows this is kind of state where this was six years state where this was six years ago, you might have been able to ago, you might have been able to help the democrat by having help the democrat by having powx, mrs. obama in or the powx, mrs. obama in or the bidens come in and this just bidens come in and this just shows what happens when you take shows what happens when you take away the ammunition that the away the ammunition that the democrats have had in prior democrats have had in prior years. years. this is part of the whole this is part of the whole national narrative, the highly national narrative, the highly questedhighly questedhighly contested. contested. the interesting race in the interesting race in georgia georgia the gloafns the gloafns governor's's race where governor's's race where jimmy carter's grandson is the jimmy carter's grandson is the

nominee. nominee. >> last state, north carolina. >> last state, north carolina. >> this is part of the >> this is part of the interesting thing i interesting thing i think kay think kay hag an holds on hag an holds on an, i think north carolina an, i think north carolina holds on by a few points. holds on by a few points. >> two final questions to each >> two final questions to each of you, is this going to be a of you, is this going to be a wave election for republicans. wave election for republicans. >> depends on what you mean by >> depends on what you mean by wave election. wave election. if the republicans end up if the republicans end up winning the senate tomorrow winning the senate tomorrow night it's not a wave. night it's not a wave. so much of that changeover is so much of that changeover is happening in an area where it happening in an area where it couldn't possibly -- couldn't possibly -- >> will they win the senate? >> will they win the senate? >> a great question. >> a great question. >> i'll move on to patrick will >> i'll move on to patrick will it be a wave and will it be in it be a wave and will it be in favor of the republicans? favor of the republicans? >> i agree with michael, it is >> i agree with michael, it is not a republican wave, it is an not a republican wave, it is an anti-incumbent wave. anti-incumbent wave. i think, that means, the i think, that means, the democrats lose the senate, the democrats lose the senate, the republicans get 71. republicans get 71. >> lynn what do you think? >> lynn what do you think? >> it does look like, democrats >> it does look like, democrats in control of the senate at in control of the senate at risk.

risk. wave, don't think so. wave, don't think so. >> lynn >> lynn sweet, patrick sweet, patrick murray murray and great to see you. and great to see you. >> more on the issues that mean >> more on the issues that mean most to voters, and why to most to voters, and why to politicians have such a hard politicians have such a hard time telling the truth? time telling the truth? a new book analyzes political a new book analyzes political speak. speak. significant step in new significant step in new >> al jazeera america >> al jazeera america presents the best documentaries presents the best documentaries >> i felt like i was just >> i felt like i was just nothing nothing >> for this young girl >> for this young girl times were hard times were hard >> doris had a racist, >> doris had a racist, impoverished setting impoverished setting had a major impact had a major impact >> but with looks charm.... >> but with looks charm.... >> i just wanted to take care >> i just wanted to take care of my momma... of my momma... >> and no remorse... >> and no remorse... >> she giggles everytime >> she giggles everytime she steps into the revolving she steps into the revolving door of justice door of justice >> she became legendary... >> she became legendary... >> the finer the store, the >> the finer the store, the bigger the challenge bigger the challenge >> al jazeera america presents >> al jazeera america presents the life and crimes of the life and crimes of doris payne doris payne

>> at least 16.4 million ballots >> at least 16.4 million ballots have already been cast in this have already been cast in this election during early voting and election during early voting and while mid term elections are

while mid term elections are never a big draw for voters, never a big draw for voters, democrats hope they have one democrats hope they have one last trick up their sleeve last trick up their sleeve before voting ends on tuesday to before voting ends on tuesday to stay in control of the senate. stay in control of the senate. turnout. turnout. >> it all comes down as it >> it all comes down as it always does to who shows up. always does to who shows up. >> joining me is lynn sweet, and >> joining me is lynn sweet, and here in new york, al here in new york, al jazeera jazeera political correspondent michael political correspondent michael shore and peter roth, u.s. news shore and peter roth, u.s. news and world and world report. report. peter good to have you. peter good to have you. >> thank you antonio. >> thank you antonio. >> early voting, it seems that >> early voting, it seems that democrats have some reason to democrats have some reason to hope for better returns than the hope for better returns than the polls indicate. polls indicate. african american turnout thus african american turnout thus far in georgia and north far in georgia and north carolina is higher than normal. carolina is higher than normal. but you wrote on monday that but you wrote on monday that some democrats are returning to some democrats are returning to race-baiting and you mentioned race-baiting and you mentioned specifically of the race of kay specifically of the race of kay hagan in north carolina as an hagan in north carolina as an example. example. >> there was >> there was a flier, that had a

a flier, that had a picture of a picture of a lynching, kay lynching, kay hagan, the impeachment hagan, the impeachment begins begins thom tillis to the stand your thom tillis to the stand your ground law, which they blame ground law, which they blame to to the george the george zimmerman, trayvon zimmerman, trayvon martin killing. martin killing. and nothing to do with florida and nothing to do with florida and of course stand your ground and of course stand your ground is not something that zimmerman is not something that zimmerman stated if in his defense. stated if in his defense. in maryland, georgia, delaware in maryland, georgia, delaware arkansas is use the arkansas is use the killing of killing of michael brown michael brown by officer white by officer white in ferguson, missouri as a way in ferguson, missouri as a way to tell black voters if you to tell black voters if you don't come out white policemen don't come out white policemen are going to shoot you. are going to shoot you. i think it is insipid, i think i think it is insipid, i think it is disgusting, i think it is it is disgusting, i think it is worse than anything the worse than anything the republicans have ever done and republicans have ever done and that may have generated some that may have generated some excitement in the african excitement in the african american community but quite

american community but quite frankly they're showing not too frankly they're showing not too much enthusiasm much enthusiasm in this election in this election nor are white democrats for that nor are white democrats for that example. example. >> we talked about mary >> we talked about mary landrieu's dmoments landrieu's dmoments louisiana. louisiana. >> it is pretty insipid. >> it is pretty insipid. i don't know that it rises to i don't know that it rises to the most insipid thing that any the most insipid thing that any party has ever done. party has ever done. it is sort of in line of what it is sort of in line of what happens in the last days of the happens in the last days of the exaibs both exaibs both campaigns both republicans and campaigns both republicans and democrats. democrats. what they're doing is what they're doing is concentrated get out the vote. concentrated get out the vote. democrats realize that in order democrats realize that in order to keep this within the margin to keep this within the margin of a runoff in georgia and to of a runoff in georgia and to get landrieu some support they get landrieu some support they have to get the black vote out. have to get the black vote out. >> we'll see if this helps >> we'll see if this helps democrats but it's not the only democrats but it's not the only problem they may face, who may problem they may face, who may be turning be turning

out? out? millenials have helped out in millenials have helped out in the past but it seems that the past but it seems that there's been a switch there's been a switch and and millennials are now trending millennials are now trending towards republicans. towards republicans. >> yes if they're of those >> yes if they're of those likely to vote. likely to vote. a new poll just came out from a new poll just came out from harvard university of politics harvard university of politics gold standards of millenial gold standards of millenial survey research. survey research. but that kind of information is but that kind of information is useful to a campaign in finding useful to a campaign in finding out who to target or not. out who to target or not. and i want to go back to what and i want to go back to what we're talking about because at we're talking about because at issue is issue is targeting. targeting. and that is, you identify who and that is, you identify who your voter is, it's a your voter is, it's a combination of using a lot of combination of using a lot of voting voting history. history. of combining that with a lot of of combining that with a lot of data on your consumer habits data on your consumer habits predictive behavior, what they predictive behavior, what they call a high propensity voter call a high propensity voter and you don't duet targeted and you don't duet targeted target -- you target -- you don't get targeted if you are a don't get targeted if you are a

likely democrat, you do your likely democrat, you do your research and it also goes down research and it also goes down to the kid or the volunteer who to the kid or the volunteer who knocks on your door or takes knocks on your door or takes call. call. this is all just to feel you this is all just to feel you out. out. so i wouldn't go overboard on so i wouldn't go overboard on this because campaigns learned a this because campaigns learned a lot in the last year in figuring lot in the last year in figuring out who to target. out who to target. >> peter -- >> peter -- >> i actually think though >> i actually think though that's changing. that's changing. those millennials in 2012 who those millennials in 2012 who voted for obama who are in voted for obama who are in college are now college college are now college graduates living in their graduates living in their parents' basements without jobs. parents' basements without jobs. the republican strategy the republican strategy throughout. throughout. >> i'm not disagreeing with >> i'm not disagreeing with that. that. >> the republican strategy >> the republican strategy throughout has been to talk to throughout has been to talk to lots of people, to talk to sinl lots of people, to talk to sinl women to talk to women to talk to women, to women, to millenials and latinos. millenials and latinos. unlike the other people on the unlike the other people on the panel i do see a wave coming a panel i do see a wave coming a wave being defined as people wave being defined as people ending up winning who weren't ending up winning who weren't supposed to win or weren't

supposed to win or weren't expected to win. expected to win. the early voting in iowa is very the early voting in iowa is very good for the republicans, the good for the republicans, the early voting in north carolina early voting in north carolina even those hagan has 40% of even those hagan has 40% of the the early ballots are compared and early ballots are compared and contrasted with 2012 not 2010, contrasted with 2012 not 2010, which was a much better in terms which was a much better in terms of early voting. of early voting. >> and to peter's point, latinos >> and to peter's point, latinos and women, 71% of latinos voting and women, 71% of latinos voting for president obama that it was for president obama that it was going to be hopeless for going to be hopeless for republicans in the future if republicans in the future if they didn't turn them in their they didn't turn them in their direction, also the gender gap direction, also the gender gap many more women voting for many more women voting for democrats. democrats. both of those are showing both of those are showing softness for the democrats this softness for the democrats this time around. time around. >> absolutely, i think >> absolutely, i think everyone everyone is surprised how is surprised how allison allison lunder lunder lundergram grimes is trending lundergram grimes is trending and mary landrieu is and mary landrieu is trending. trending. pay equity is something they pay equity is something they

have done in the latter weeks of have done in the latter weeks of the campaign. the campaign. >> -- wait wait sir, i'm not >> -- wait wait sir, i'm not sure which of you is speaking. sure which of you is speaking. >> michael. >> michael. >> michael, one, i hope our >> michael, one, i hope our listeners know this we're really listeners know this we're really talking about multiple campaigns talking about multiple campaigns with their own strategies. with their own strategies. >> of course -- >> of course -- >> this generalization of >> this generalization of this -- this -- >> let me >> let me finish though we're on finish though we're on the same page. the same page. this is a series of local this is a series of local elections antonio. elections antonio. >> the way you >> the way you generalized -- generalized -- >> i'm talking hypothetically. >> i'm talking hypothetically. >> why, we are covering these >> why, we are covering these campaigns or not campaigns or not here. here. >> i'm saying hypothetically, if >> i'm saying hypothetically, if you look at these you look at these results, we're results, we're going to relook and see the way going to relook and see the way which messages and which messages and which issues which issues resonated. resonated. mark udall in colorado was mark udall in colorado was

having a hard time in what was having a hard time in what was expected to be an easier expected to be an easier election to woo women election to woo women voters. voters. >> wait wait wait, go one >> wait wait wait, go one one at a one at a time time here. here. how much politics is local and how much politics is local and how much is national let's how much is national let's listen to something that mitt listen to something that mitt romney had to say. romney had to say. >> this is really the last >> this is really the last chance for america. chance for america. to pass judgment on the obama to pass judgment on the obama administration and on its administration and on its policies and the president policies and the president himself said he's not on the himself said he's not on the ballot but his policies are. ballot but his policies are. >> peter, joe >> peter, joe kline, "time" kline, "time" magazine said, the whole magazine said, the whole election is about obama but then election is about obama but then there are those outs there that there are those outs there that say it has nothing to do about say it has nothing to do about obama. obama. your take on it. your take on it. >> i think for a lot of voters >> i think for a lot of voters it is about obama. it is about obama. for many of them it was for many of them it was culturally unacceptable in their culturally unacceptable in their own minds not to like the own minds not to like the president. president. because to not like him, because to not like him, obviously would have to do with obviously would have to do with his race. his race.

but once he but once he was was disassembling disassembling what was happening what was happening on the u.s. on the u.s. mexico mexico border, that bad economy border, that bad economy is now surging across the is now surging across the country and you are going to see country and you are going to see it in a wave that's going to it in a wave that's going to produce a house pickup of maybe produce a house pickup of maybe 15 seats and a senate pickup of 15 seats and a senate pickup of as many as ten seats. as many as ten seats. >> you bring up joblessness. >> you bring up joblessness. lynn i want to talk economy lynn i want to talk economy before we're done here. before we're done here. why have the democrats failed why have the democrats failed oget their message through when oget their message through when it comes to the economy? it comes to the economy? because you go back to 2012, because you go back to 2012, 9.5% unemployment, the stock 9.5% unemployment, the stock market, the dow jones was a market, the dow jones was a little over 11,000. little over 11,000. now it's over 17,000 now it's over 17,000 unemployment is down to 5.9%. unemployment is down to 5.9%. even i even if a large percentage of even if a large percentage of americans are not working, a americans are not working, a large percentage in more than large percentage in more than three decades. three decades. but back in 2012 americans but back in 2012 americans thought republicans would do thought republicans would do better on the economy only by

better on the economy only by about 1 percentage point. about 1 percentage point. now it's 9 percentage points and now it's 9 percentage points and the republicans don't seem to the republicans don't seem to have managed to -- well the have managed to -- well the democrats haven't sold the democrats haven't sold the economy, clearly, not doing a economy, clearly, not doing a very good job of selling the very good job of selling the economy if republicans are seen economy if republicans are seen as so much better on the as so much better on the economy. economy. >> yes, again, it is -- there is >> yes, again, it is -- there is a success story that the white a success story that the white house can say, and i know that house can say, and i know that the republicans have done a good the republicans have done a good job of looking at parts of the job of looking at parts of the economy, in different ways and economy, in different ways and different sectors on it. different sectors on it. the white house and the the white house and the democrats, in all throughout democrats, in all throughout this election have put a big this election have put a big emphasis on raising the minimum emphasis on raising the minimum wage. wage. that's been used mainly as a that's been used mainly as a turnout tool. turnout tool. i would think i would think that the if you that the if you are looking at the 2012 are looking at the 2012 election, every month if you election, every month if you remember we used to wait for remember we used to wait for that first friday of the month that first friday of the month where the jobless rate came out where the jobless rate came out and if it was below 8, we and if it was below 8, we thought it would be you know the thought it would be you know the end of the world because we end of the world because we didn't think it would go down

didn't think it would go down that low and it's much lower that low and it's much lower than that and if there's a than that and if there's a 10th of a opinion difference 10th of a opinion difference we were trying to see if it we were trying to see if it would help romney or would help romney or obama. obama. when you look at these races the when you look at these races the complaint about obama is not the complaint about obama is not the same one as you've heard before. same one as you've heard before. i go back to the separate races, i go back to the separate races, i know this is a national i know this is a national international show but i do hope international show but i do hope that our that our listen know we're listen know we're trying too hard to nationalize trying too hard to nationalize something that's a bunch of something that's a bunch of different races with different different races with different issues and different issues and different personalities. personalities. i would pull back on this trying i would pull back on this trying to find one narrative to fit to find one narrative to fit everything. everything. >> but it is important to >> but it is important to consider the way that different consider the way that different races and different states races and different states intersect with gubernatorial intersect with gubernatorial contests, and in iowa, the last contests, and in iowa, the last poll i saw, you had terry poll i saw, you had terry branstad run 19 points branstad run 19 points

ahead of ahead of jack and jack and can't can't hope but help hope but help joanie ernst. joanie ernst. in virginia you've seen the in virginia you've seen the phenomenon in the closing weeks phenomenon in the closing weeks of the race, mark warner has a of the race, mark warner has a tiny little ethical problem tiny little ethical problem having to do with offering a having to do with offering a federal judgeship or the federal judgeship or the possibility of offering a possibility of offering a federal judgeship to the federal judgeship to the daughter of a democratic state daughter of a democratic state senator which told me. senator which told me. >> you told me -- >> you told me -- >> which if i may lynn which >> which if i may lynn which told the republican voters told the republican voters around richmond and around richmond and virginia virginia who liked mark warner, who was a who liked mark warner, who was a partisan republican guy, was in partisan republican guy, was in fact a partisan democrat. fact a partisan democrat. is not determined yet. is not determined yet. >> big question there, peter >> big question there, peter roth, lynn suite, michael shore, roth, lynn suite, michael shore, thanks thanks for having you with for having you with us. us. >> thank you antonio. >> thank you antonio. >> we'll have in depth reporting >> we'll have in depth reporting on the issues that matter most

on the issues that matter most to you along with live updates to you along with live updates from across the country from across the country throughout the night. throughout the night. coming up how to talk like a coming up how to talk like a politician, how they use politician, how they use positive spin to stab their positive spin to stab their enemies in their back. enemies in their back. plus, new information on the plus, new information on the virgin galactic crash. virgin galactic crash. >> an election day midterms >> an election day midterms marathon. marathon. >> it's gonna be close. >> it's gonna be close. >> several swing state elections >> several swing state elections are up for grabs. are up for grabs. >> are you kidding me? >> are you kidding me? >> don't miss filmmaker a.j. >> don't miss filmmaker a.j. schnack's unprecedented... schnack's unprecedented... >> if i can drink this, i don't >> if i can drink this, i don't see why you should't be able to see why you should't be able to smoke that. smoke that. >> behind the scenes look... >> behind the scenes look... >> are you gonna do this? >> are you gonna do this? >> at what it takes to win. >> at what it takes to win. >> it's certainly something that >> it's certainly something that doesn't exist elsewhere in doesn't exist elsewhere in politics on television. politics on television. >> midterms election day >> midterms election day marathon. marathon. tomorrow, 1:00 eastern. tomorrow, 1:00 eastern. only on al jazeera america. only on al jazeera america.

>> on the next >> on the next "talk to al jazeera" "talk to al jazeera" legendary tv host legendary tv host dick cavett. dick cavett. >> steve jobs said, "how does it >> steve jobs said, "how does it feel to be dick cavett"? feel to be dick cavett"? about the only question that's about the only question that's ever floored me, you know? ever floored me, you know? >> "talk to al jazeera". >> "talk to al jazeera". saturday. saturday. 5:00 eastern. 5:00 eastern. only on al jazeera america. only on al jazeera america. >> welcome back to this >> welcome back to this preelection edition of "consider preelection edition of "consider this." this." before we get back to the before we get back to the elections here's some other elections here's some other stories from around the world. stories from around the world. we begin in israel where we begin in israel where concerns are growing about a concerns are growing about a possible third possible third palestinian int palestinian int intenada. intenada. palestinian palestinian leader mahmoud leader mahmoud abbas, told his family he would abbas, told his family he would

go to heaven a martyr. go to heaven a martyr. israeli prime minister benjamin israeli prime minister benjamin netanyahu accused abbas of netanyahu accused abbas of adding fuel to the fire, saying adding fuel to the fire, saying it's time for the international it's time for the international community to condemn him for his community to condemn him for his actions. actions. next we head to the next we head to the mojave mojave desert where investigators desert where investigators are are searching for reason for the searching for reason for the crash. crash. rotating tail section of rotating tail section of spaceshiptwo deployed too early. spaceshiptwo deployed too early. that may have coughed that may have coughed caused it to break caused it to break up. up. unable to determine if it was unable to determine if it was mechanical failure mechanical failure investigators say pilot error investigators say pilot error has not been ruled out as a has not been ruled out as a potential cause. potential cause. they added the investigation they added the investigation could take up to a year. could take up to a year. and we end in new york city. and we end in new york city. one world trade center is open one world trade center is open for for business. business. nearly 200 employees of nearly 200 employees of publishing joint publishing joint

conde nast have conde nast have moved in occupying floors 20 moved in occupying floors 20 through 44. through 44. 60% of the building has already 60% of the building has already been been leased. leased. patrick foy, executive patrick foy, executive director of the port authority director of the port authority which owns the site said in a which owns the site said in a statement the new york city statement the new york city skyline is whole again. skyline is whole again. and that's some of what's and that's some of what's happening around the world. happening around the world. coming up as candidates try to coming up as candidates try to win votes across the u.s. we'll win votes across the u.s. we'll look at a big reason many of look at a big reason many of them can't connect with voters. them can't connect with voters. the bizarre dynamics of the bizarre dynamics of political-speak, next. political-speak, next. >> bying homes by the >> bying homes by the thousands... >> bying homes by the thousands... >> bying homes by the >> it's all been transferred to thousands... >> it's all been transferred to thousands... wall street and now they're our >> it's all been transferred to wall street and now they're our >> it's all been transferred to landlords. landlords. wall street and now they're our landlords. wall street and now they're our landlords. >> to them we are just a >> to them we are just a >> to them we are just a >> to them we are just a monitory value. monitory value. monitory value. monitory value. >> they're being taken advantage >> they're being taken advantage of in the rental markets. >> they're being taken advantage of in the rental markets. >> they're being taken advantage the crisis continues. the crisis continues. >> fault lines: al jazeera of in the rental markets. >> fault lines: al jazeera of in the rental markets. america's hard-hitting...

the crisis continues. america's hard-hitting... the crisis continues. >> today they will be arrested. >> fault lines: al jazeera >> today they will be arrested. >> fault lines: al jazeera >> ground breaking... >> ground breaking... >> they're firing canisters >> they're firing canisters of gas at us. america's hard-hitting... of gas at us. america's hard-hitting... >> ... emmy award winning >> ... emmy award winning investigative series. investigative series. >> new episode: wall street >> today they will be arrested. >> new episode: wall street >> today they will be arrested. landlords. landlords. >> ground breaking... >> they're firing canisters of gas at us. >> ... emmy award winning >> ground breaking... >> they're firing canisters of gas at us. >> ... emmy award winning >> only on al jazeera america. investigative series. >> only on al jazeera america. investigative series. >> new episode: wall street landlords. >> only on al jazeera america. >> new episode: wall street landlords. >> only on al jazeera america. >> tomorrow on tech know. >> tomorrow on tech know. a brutal killing. a brutal killing. a thorough investigation. a thorough investigation. >> we're pushing the envelope. >> we're pushing the envelope. >> but this is no ordinary >> but this is no ordinary c.s.i. c.s.i. >> what went on right before >> what went on right before that animal died? that animal died? >> hunting the hunter. >> hunting the hunter. >> we're gonna take down the bad >> we're gonna take down the bad guys. guys. >> solving the crime. >> solving the crime. >> we can save species. >> we can save species. >> tech know's team of experts >> tech know's team of experts show you how the miracles of show you how the miracles of science. science. >> this is my selfie, what can >> this is my selfie, what can you tell me about my future? you tell me about my future? >> can affect and surprise us. >> can affect and surprise us. >> don't try this at home. >> don't try this at home. >> tech know, where technology

>> tech know, where technology meets humanity. meets humanity. tomorrow at 7:30 eastern. tomorrow at 7:30 eastern. only on al jazeera america. only on al jazeera america. >> it's a chilling and draconian >> it's a chilling and draconian sentence... sentence... it simply cannot stand. it simply cannot stand. >> this trial was a sham... >> this trial was a sham... >> they are truth seekers... >> they are truth seekers... >> all they really wanna do is find out what's >> all they really wanna do is find out what's happening, so they can tell happening, so they can tell people... people... >> governments around >> governments around the world all united to condemn the world all united to condemn this... this... >> as you can see, it's >> as you can see, it's still a very much volatile still a very much volatile situation... situation... >> the government >> the government is prepared to carry out mass is prepared to carry out mass array... array... >> if you want free >> if you want free press in the new democracy press in the new democracy let the journalists live. let the journalists live. >> why don't americans feel they >> why don't americans feel they can trust politicians? can trust politicians? last year americans rank the last year americans rank the honesty and ethical standards of honesty and ethical standards of congress next to last just ahead congress next to last just ahead of lobbyists. of lobbyists. a big reason may be political a big reason may be political speak. speak. 70 years 70 years

ago george yor well ago george yor well orwell said orwell said it made murder sound it made murder sound respectable. respectable. co-authors of dog co-authors of dog whistles walk whistles walk backs and washington backs and washington handshakes handshakes decoding the jargon slang and decoding the jargon slang and bluster of american political bluster of american political speech. speech. you you start the book start the book with that with that or or orwell quote. orwell quote. the american electorate is not the american electorate is not buying it. buying it. so why spend so much time so why spend so much time working on how to say nothing? working on how to say nothing? >> i think basically because the >> i think basically because the candidates get into office and candidates get into office and they feel they have turf to they feel they have turf to protect. protect. and we also have this and we also have this 24-7 news 24-7 news cycle now where they're afraid cycle now where they're afraid of making mistakes. of making mistakes. but ironically what happens is but ironically what happens is they become so scripted a lot of they become so scripted a lot of the times that it just when they the times that it just when they do make a mistake it gets do make a mistake it gets

intlifd and they end intlifd and they end up -- up -- amplified and amplified and they end up they end up responding to it in the first responding to it in the first place. place. >> even though book is very >> even though book is very funny it is driven by a certain funny it is driven by a certain amount of resentment, a quiet amount of resentment, a quiet resentment. resentment. [ laughter ] [ laughter ] >> so and how big of an issue? >> so and how big of an issue? do you see this do you see this double-speaking? double-speaking? if so many people david hate if so many people david hate political, that political political, that political nonsense-speech or at least nonsense-speech or at least no-substance speech so much why no-substance speech so much why do they use it so much? do they use it so much? >> well, in a sense we get the >> well, in a sense we get the elected officials we deserve and elected officials we deserve and we get the political rhetoric we we get the political rhetoric we deserve. deserve. i think elected officials use i think elected officials use this kind of speech because they this kind of speech because they feel it can be effective. feel it can be effective. because they can gloss over real because they can gloss over real issues that voters ought to be issues that voters ought to be paying attention to. paying attention to. and i think just as much as and i think just as much as chuck said in this chuck said in this age of age of instantaneous news, at which instantaneous news, at which

timer, et cetera, they're really timer, et cetera, they're really scared about going off-script scared about going off-script and saying something dumb that's and saying something dumb that's going to haunt them. going to haunt them. >> when people say they love >> when people say they love straight shooters i.t. can be a straight shooters i.t. can be a double edged sword. double edged sword. governor chris christie last governor chris christie last week , when he took on critic of week , when he took on critic of the hurricane sandy response. the hurricane sandy response. >> turn around, get your 15 >> turn around, get your 15 minutes of fame and take your minutes of fame and take your jacket off and roll up your jacket off and roll up your sleeves and do something for sleeves and do something for people of the state. people of the state. if you want the conversation i'm if you want the conversation i'm happy to have it but until then, happy to have it but until then, sit down and shut sit down and shut up! up! >> vice president biden speaks >> vice president biden speaks off the cuff a lot and then ends off the cuff a lot and then ends up taking the heat and up taking the heat and criticized for being a loose criticized for being a loose cannon. cannon. if we criticize politicians for if we criticize politicians for speaking frankly aren't we speaking frankly aren't we partially to blame for all of of partially to blame for all of of it? it?

>> of the people and above the >> of the people and above the people at the same time, when people at the same time, when they cross that line they get they cross that line they get into trouble. into trouble. in christie's in christie's case, people want case, people want straight talk but they want straight talk but they want politeness in politicians politeness in politicians too. too. politics politics being descending and being descending and ugly. ugly. biden it's an engrained part of biden it's an engrained part of his personality, it sure hasn't his personality, it sure hasn't stopped him from trying to speak stopped him from trying to speak the truth and speak straight to the truth and speak straight to people. people. >> true. >> true. dave, you have broken it down, dave, you have broken it down, into all sorts of into all sorts of double-speak double-speak categories and one of the ones categories and one of the ones you have is the polite knife in you have is the polite knife in the back. the back. >> right, this is one that you >> right, this is one that you often hear in often hear in the halls of the halls of congress and the floor of the congress and the floor of the house and senate, where you hear house and senate, where you hear one elected one elected official members of official members of congress refer to the other, my congress refer to the other, my good friend or some good good friend or some good

variation thereof. variation thereof. it's probably wrong, they're it's probably wrong, they're probably not good friends, in probably not good friends, in many cases they don't know each many cases they don't know each other's other's name. name. it's a case of trying to look it's a case of trying to look nice, sticking the knife into nice, sticking the knife into the opponent in a not very the opponent in a not very subtle way. subtle way. >> a great example of your next >> a great example of your next category is you guys avoiding category is you guys avoiding the l word which is lyre, we saw the l word which is lyre, we saw it in it in the the kentucky senate kentucky senate race race mitch mcconnell doesn't call mitch mcconnell doesn't call allison allison lundergran lundergran an -- an -- >> four >> four pinocchios, the only one pinocchios, the only one i can i can think think of that got four of that got four pinocchios than ms. grimes is pinocchios than ms. grimes is the president. the president. >> still bad form to call >> still bad form to call

someone a liar at least to their someone a liar at least to their face as opposed to online or in face as opposed to online or in print. print. politicians use coded phrases politicians use coded phrases like like disingenuous. disingenuous. or preface something with "with or preface something with "with all due respect" instead of all due respect" instead of saying what they want to say. saying what they want to say. >> you say >> you say boldness and boldness and extremist, bold to make extremist, bold to make themselves sound more daring and themselves sound more daring and adverbs that people use over and adverbs that people use over and over and over again. over and over again. frankly and fundamentally, as frankly and fundamentally, as you read through this book and you read through this book and you also talk about you also talk about cliches. cliches. it brings everything we listen it brings everything we listen to every single day to life, to every single day to life, david and it doesn't do it in david and it doesn't do it in a -- it makes you angry or at a -- it makes you angry or at least it makes me angry. least it makes me angry. >> members of parties use this >> members of parties use this word word repeatedly, you hear the repeatedly, you hear the

word "bold" to describe their word "bold" to describe their own own policy, bold kind of policy, bold kind of captures it well captures it well that one that one sillable sillable sillable -- sillable -- syllable syllable but but pollsters tell them to use those pollsters tell them to use those words repeatedly. words repeatedly. it's no secret that they use it's no secret that they use these terms over and over again. these terms over and over again. >> saying nothing, where people >> saying nothing, where people like me ask them questions and like me ask them questions and get very little back. get very little back. are we much different than other are we much different than other countries, chuck? countries, chuck? england they get pretty nasty in england they get pretty nasty in parliament. parliament. >> i think we are different in >> i think we are different in certain respects. certain respects. i know in england they have a i know in england they have a lot more, we talk about question lot more, we talk about question time in parliament. time in parliament. where the prime minister gets to where the prime minister gets to go down and people just hurl go down and people just hurl questions at him. questions at him. i think the i think the 24-7 nature of our 24-7 nature of our news cycle certainly has news cycle certainly has accelerated this and mait made accelerated this and mait made

this much different and much this much different and much more pronounced in recent years. more pronounced in recent years. >> as you go through what you >> as you go through what you have in the book it really just have in the book it really just brings to life just how many of brings to life just how many of these words and these these words and these expressions we have to listen to expressions we have to listen to over and over and over over and over and over again. again. and we'll continue hearing them and we'll continue hearing them i'm sure. i'm sure. again the book is dog whistles again the book is dog whistles walk-backs and washington walk-backs and washington handshakes. handshakes. decoding the jargon slang and decoding the jargon slang and bluster of american political bluster of american political speech. speech. chuck and mark pleasure to have chuck and mark pleasure to have you with us. you with us. thanks. thanks. >> pleasure, thank >> pleasure, thank you. you. >> reminder, al jazeera's >> reminder, al jazeera's coverage of the mid terms kicks coverage of the mid terms kicks off at 7:00 eastern. off at 7:00 eastern. and wednesday on "consider this" and wednesday on "consider this" is the obama warehouse breaking is the obama warehouse breaking ground in its surveillance of ground in its surveillance of journalists and we'll hear journalists and we'll hear from from cheryl atkinson. cheryl atkinson. >> the conversation

>> the conversation continues, continues, on twitter @ajconsiderthis and on twitter @ajconsiderthis and you can tweet you can tweet me me get ready america, the polls get ready america, the polls open in a matter of hours, and open in a matter of hours, and the economy is the economy is issue number one. issue number one. i'll explain why people could i'll explain why people could vote differently than people who vote differently than people who count on their investment count on their investment portfolio. portfolio. also to the victor go the also to the victor go the spoils, i'm looking at the perks spoils, i'm looking at the perks and pay to winning a seat in and pay to winning a seat in congress. congress. and i'll tell you how alcohol and i'll tell you how alcohol sales could change the game for sales could change the game for a lot of businesses in alabama. a lot of businesses in alabama. i'm ali velshi. i'm ali velshi. this is "real money." this is "real money." ♪ ♪