tv News Al Jazeera January 22, 2015 2:00pm-2:31pm EST
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. ♪ ♪ >> hello, i am lauren taylor, you are watching al jazeera. we will have live reaction from around the world on the political vacuum. also coming up. 13 are civilled as rival forces battle for control in the east. this effort will take time, it will require focus but we will succeed. >> warning that oil revenues
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could hit the ability to hit the islamic state of iraq. and cash injection the euro zone is told to expect an economic shot in the arm begin with breaking news. the president of yemen has quit along with his entire government. who on tuesday took fearly total control of the capitol. his cabinet have also handed in their resignation, saying they don't want to be a party to what is happen manager the troubles country. by agreeing to a power sharing deal. but the rebels have continued to surround the palace. despite the agreement being reached essentially confining the leader to his home.
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houthis representative try to found a solution to the crisis. rallies against fighters taken to the streets. sweat the only private resident. >> what do you think this means in terms of a political vacuum for yes then? >> well, -- we are having trouble hearing getting our correspondent on the line, see if he can hear us now. and if not we may have to move on, can you hear me? okay i just wanted to after you what you think will -- how
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this will play out. >> i think the existing uncertainty, and people will be extremely extremely worried. you have a number of worrying parties you have the shiite fighters on the capitol and at least five provinces. so they are the most powerful force. very very influential, you have huge influence over the military. the al quaida and the arabian peninsula, it is a recipe for the president and his power vacuum is maybe a bit worrisome. >> tell us more about the role of regional players and what the reaction is likely to be?
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the regional are extremely worried when you hear the statements made you can see -- which led to the toppling of the former president. and they were very adamant about what happened in the coupe against the legis mat president of the country and the houthies to withdraw their fighters. and they didn't make an extraordinary remark, saying that will take what is next to protect it espressos. now giving the statement for those countries that means that this is some sort of an escalation new level giving that the president has resigned and i think can be much much bigger. >> that is his own safety. he has resigned, but as far as
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i understand it saying there are restorations there the south of yemen to receive it. i think it is the latter because the houthies despite signing the agreement yesterday, when he gives the dend mas of the constitution and everything else, they did not -- those terms and they did not withdraw their fighters so i don't know if the president is able -- but certainly it was the president did he basically used his more powerful weapons.
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until they give his resignation, and give the responsibility on the shoulders of the houthis because they accused them the president accuses them, but they are the ones that led in this escalation, and the crisis in the country. >> okay, thank you very much indeed. used a lot of time in yemen give us a sense of what given what we have heard there how much we are heading toward as violence confrontation or duke people will pull back from the brink of that because you have the president and his government that said that they are stepping aside for what could be a power vacuum.
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that can be following by more instability. it is a very critical situation, what you have is that he is a sunni and yemen is a predominately sunni country, so most of them now will be betrayed, abandoned and humiliated. not only by the houthies but also by the international community. the next step could be more intention, more escalation and they might decide to take up arms. to prevent that from happened there needs to be an immediate meeting between the houthiss and between representatives of the country. this has to be in a way brokered by the international community. there needs to be a genuine hands on approach whereby a new road map is set out a power sharing deal a new government which is inclusive where the houthies are given more representation. if that doesn't happen when the coming hours what you
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might see tomorrow, or the days after is definitely more violence more device, and maybe a civil war. >> you mentioned the sectarian issue there andoverly the houthiss are shiite, originally they didn't have a huge amount of power, how did they become such a powerful force so quickly? there are different factors. the fission one they managed to build a base in the north. on the border saudi arabia, and later with the backing of power for tribal leader ins the north they managed to recruit more fighters. then when the president was ousted. the deposed president is a sure tactician. what he had in mind then, is just to undermine his
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opponents who came to power. the saudis the international community and the government also say that iran has provided the houthies with stamping military and financial aid over the last two years to be able to sweep through the capitol last september, and also expand it's reach in the south particularly in the province. so we are talking about a movement that was started in 1990 to become now the most organized political and military organization a lot of the focus has been on the role of the iranian peninsula who is strong in yes mohn, what kind of impact is this how will that play into the strength of weakness? they couldn't have dreamt
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about a perfect scenario. pi said they were responsible for paris attacks. they were now try to tap into the growing discontext. your man has been evicted from the presidency. the houthiss are now moving more and then you have managed to force them and in provinces like them. al quaida has lets turn united to fight against them.
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they will definitely resinate of the sunnies across the country, unless the international community decides in the coming hours to step in and try to bring both parties to the government and the houthies. to a new power sharing deal. >> the united states has offered on going support during a recent unroast including the immediate reare lease pulling backed of armed forces in steps to get the political process back on track are key to determining the success. >> i understand that, but there's kind of o.b.e., overtaken by events, there is no government. >> we are still seeking
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confirmation but also assessing what that will mean. >> right but you are referring to an agreement that came out yesterday between a government that no longer exists and a rep force that appears to have control does appear does have control at the capitol. so i am wondering how it is that you can continue to support a peaceful transition -- a transition to way. >> well, matt, again we don't have confirmation of it, but we haven't yet assessed we won't jump to conclusions about what it means until we have a confirmation, and time to i recess, discussing internally what it means. of course, we continue to support a peaceful transition, there has been dialog. dialog that we expect and hope will continue. and that's the only way to deescalate the situation on the ground. >> in terms of the embassy what's the status? as i noted yesterday, it is worth repeating. the security of our personnel
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are of importance. but there has been no change in our security posture. >> live now in washington d.c. a complicated situation there and now it's been moving very quickly. what do we think we will hear next from the obama administration? in terms of what they can do. >> lauren, i am having severe problems hearing you there in london. but let me just say, that the assessment right now from the u.s. government is that it is not clear whether or not a coupe has taken place inside yemen, they also are not saying whether or not any u.s. officials or any other have been the contact with the president or former president. they say they cannot confirm
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the actual status. i should also let you and our viewers know, that as of right now, they are still in operation, there is minimal staffing there and that's been the case for the past several months because of the on going political instability. however, the u.s. says that if it were necessary, to evacuate those persons they do have contingency plans in place. of course, this is a situation where the summit is very much concerned about the political situation in yemen because the u.s. has been working very closely with yemen on trying to go after members of al kade do. there are questions about whether or not if the houthies in fact do become the ruling class as it where are in yemen politics would they be willing to cooperate with the u.s. on those measures. and lauren, i will go pack to you for now. >> thank you very much indeed
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in washington, d.c., joining me in the studio now is the fellow at the european council on foreign relations and the yemen specialist. did they take the eye off the ball while they were busy dealing with isil. and this crept up on them. >> i think if you lock at statements from the u.s. or diplomates or the that matter the u.n., they have for the past wondering years it's been continuing to deteriorate rather than acknowledging what is happening this has been a long time coming. this is not unexpected. i have made excepts about a thing like this happening for a wile, and i am far from alone, but yet for whatever reason, they have continued to hail as a success story even as we have seen. >> so now what? what happened after this situation. a day after we -- it looked as
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though there was a deal in place, what happen hadder hoo. >> i this i the key thing is that the president was unwilling, and especially the prime minister. the houthies if you look at the agreement that was signed yesterday, they didn't make good on any of it. so i think as you have seen in the prime minister official letter he said he refused to be appear to be part of beating the country into this terrible situation so then they resigned. >> and who stands to gain from this? when there's a political vacuum there's always people who benefit, who will benefit? people are acting as if the houthies benefit but i don't think they do. in the long run, they were much better off having the president in charge, because they had someone to put the blame on and they can't because of the demographics for the support they can't control the country. >> on that point, they were
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quite a small force at the moment how far does their control stretch? wondering have seen they have been in the capitol but there are areas that are outside the control completely? >> yes the houthies areas currently confined to i could say the majority -- waywas prior to 1990, in the south they have no real presence, and this i think with current events would benefit one who have been attempting to make a break. and two many are wondering if this will benefit who many allege has been plotting a return to power. yesterday we had leaked tapes of conversations pulling the strips from behind the scenes. what kind of role do you see him playing i think many are frustrate bedty situation. and yemen was more peaceful
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when he was president. they are frustrated typically his son coming into rule. if you look at the auction he is a shrewd tactician. whatever you think of him he has demonstrated that he is brilliant. i think many think what is happening today and it appears he could be one that has been setting himself to benefit. what about the tribal schisms and the sectarian divide, how will that work out? this is primarily a conflict. a political conflict. what is disturbing it has taken on a sectarian tone. what is scary about that, is that it is a country with no real history of septemberments.
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what about their presence in yemen, and how this will work out for them. >> al quaida has been doing it's best to capitalize. they have been refused the houthies of working together with the united states, and i think if al quaida, the battle between the two is almost a fight. al quaida feels they have a need to destroy them. whereas they feel that they must destroy al quaida.
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and that this should reinstate their own state that existed before and until 1990. but there's great deal of confusion about what is happening now in h the residents of the president. and what will be the reaction of the houthies. are they willing to reach out to him and say let's work together for a new deal, or will they take advantage of this situation step in and form a government saudi arabia dearead the houthis as terrorist organization, and said that the houthies where
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are proxy in the region that you have to understand by the end of the day the saudis have been pledging and providing billions of dollarss in financial assistant. no one can step in and provide such assistance. they cannot do what saudis have been doing because now with the price of the barrel coming down, it is going to be such a delicate task for iran. >> just on that issue where the saudi you mentioned the intervention in 2009. so is it bartley for them something that they are
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reluctant to get involved with the not being hugely successful. >> well, it was quite different situation for them, because it couldn't commit boots on the ground and they relied heavily on military air strikes against the houthies. that didn't work the saudis are also very cautious because they are predominately sunnies and are committing boots on the ground, which is seen by the shiite majority in the north as an act of aggression. so that would ago fight most of the saudis against saudi arabia but they still have huge assets in the country it has been financial and providing support for powerful leaders.
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it has allied in the south and in the tribal areas. they can use those in a way on another if needs be. do influence who yaw may see tomorrow or the day after. >> and in that context give us an idea of why in terms of globally, it was a small country in the gulf, why does the fall out mat tore the rest of the world, what is at stake here. >> well, there are huge things that are at stake. we are talking about a havening tooic area, if yemen collapsed. you will see an increase in piracy on the gulf of aidan. this is a have edge tooic rout
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for oil shipment you will see al quaida taking advantage of the situation to further expand. al quaida, in the arabian peninsula, when it was formed in 2009, it's aim was basic will i to use yemen as a platform to attack countries to attack western interests in the region, and to disrupt the flow of oil shipments on those areas particularly in the gulf of aidan. it is a very critical situation, this is why this is an area which has been closely monitored by the international community. and by the americans in particular. they have stepped up, their strikes against al quaida, over the last few years managing to keep some of their top leaders. and some others but they haven't been able to undermine the capabilities of al-qaeda.
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al-qaeda in particular has this capable to force ties and blend in with the local population so this is a country which is critical for regional and for international peace and stability if it collapsed you will see an increase of attacking and that would also play into the hands of somalia which has in the past in the arabian peninsula this is exactly why the europeans and the americans are very worried about what is happening in the yemen they would love to see a political settlement in that area. >> thank you very much indeed. for the international significance of this fast moving story we will have plenty more of you if and when it p twos in the meantime still ahead, greece's leader rallies support ahead of weekend elections. and talking once more, in 35
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