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tv   Inside Story  Al Jazeera  October 21, 2015 11:30pm-12:01am EDT

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say they are investing millions in mexico hungary and denmark. popularity has governor in recent years because of movies. ray suarez tarts now with "inside story." >>representativee fishing for the sally field moment and giving the republican house colleagues until friday to demonstrate that they like him, they really like him and then he'll agree to do what they have been begging him to do, become the speaker of the house. it is a power position in politic and how come nobody wants the job. it's the "inside story."
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welcome the "inside story." i'm ray suarez. john boehner laid down the burden the day of the pope left washington, most guys turned to kevin mc carthy, the second in command until in short order he pulled out of the running. the name on g.o.p. lips around washington was paul ryan. chairman of the house and weighs means committee and 2012 vice presidential nominee. but the speculation continued, pressure from other members never stopped and by the way, no plausible contenders stepped up to the breach. flou the wisconsin lawmaker is saying if you make him, he'll do it. >> we need to do this as a team and including the fixes so we
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don't experience the challenges and the crisis in leadership. i cannot and will not give up the family time. i pledge to make up for it communicating the vision, the message. what i told the members is if you can agree to these requests, and if i can be a unifying figure, then i will gladly serve. >> ryan doesn't want be in the pitch fork revolution. the head of the tea party caucus holds ryan's conditions entirely unreasonable, one of the leaders of the social media win of the republican party said going along with the demands would be house conservatives signing a death warrant. joining me from capitol hill is michael
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sewure, the reactions among the members are abrong a continuum, let's say? >> yes, mirroring what has been there i a division in the republican caucus, democrats are upset up the way that the house is led and when it comes to paul ryan, people are taking about the fact that paul ryan is asking them to do something, the freedom caucus saying that is the reason we are in this place, we don't want to do what the majority of the caucus is document demanding. >> there have been some people looking at the demands and say it doesn't sound like a guy that wants the job. >> you can say hey he's a great team player and volunteering do to job he doesn't want and being
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a death politician and putting himself out and one of the demanding is vacating the inteeker ship and no member of the group or caucus in the house can ask for the speaker's chair to be vacated, he's setting hilz for failure. >> there is another party involved here. they are not just bystanders or potted plants, 180 some democrats of congress and what are they talking about today as they are watching this going on? >> i spoke to a democratic congressman and saying that paul ryan is their worse night mare and he'll be looked as a unifier. they see him as a real conservative in the wrong place on immigration and the wrong place on medicare and a big, big issue for they will. they see paul ryan coming in
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america, the media, the republicans are looking at him as sort of a savior and he'll have a honeymoon and that is not what they want. for democrats, this is the down side of disarray, instead of passing the popcorn, a honeymoon for a knew speaker. >> they'll see the appearance of unity. if he should, he would come in with aora of bringing the house together. it is difficult working with a speak that america likes and turn us into the obstructionist, which we are not being. >> michael sure, thanks a lot. >> joining me for a look at the new candidate, and to talk about some of the reasons so few
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people seem to want it are john furry, director of government affairs, jeanny, professor of political science in new york, and tom mantoes and welcome to you all. john, what are you making of this and what is going on in your party? >> that is a very good question. paul ryan will take the job and not unanimous consent, and the camp will continue not to like paul ryan. he's trying to get the best deal possible. he's setting the terms to accept it. the republicans don't have a plan b. if not paul, who will it be. paul is an old timer, even though only 44. he's been there 16 years and he has enough knowledge to bring the conference together and he'll take the job.
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>> you were in and around the hill, around the time of bob livingston and newt gingrich and you know the type of talk that goes at the top levels here, can you remember a time where these types of demands, i will take the job if you proms that the machinery for removing me from the job is dismantled. >> well, the leadership had the ability to tell the members who they should pick. they went down the list, and they decided on denny hasser and this time around they are imposing paul ryan and you have followers that are just not interested in following and that is the problem with the house representatives. it is scattered. it is hard to bring the congress back together. >> tom, you heard michael
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talking about the dilemma. but be careful what you wish for. >> paul ryan has been a vice presidential candidate and polished and he polled well, fundamentally this comes down to request he run the house effective and the democrats want to expose the fact if he has troubles or pass on the job and going to somebody else, the democrats are showing that the republicans are not fit to govern a large part of the government. >> how about this, is it a bag look for the republican party, even if it represents principles and genuine disagreements within the caucus and it is not a good look for the public entering the primary cycle? is>> i think that paul ryan's demands yesterday were interesting, as a parent i'm thrilled he's not going to negotiate on the family time. that said, a lot of people are
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talking about the demands if met go. there is nothing to stop from saying yes to demands on friday and by two weeks from friday, you know what, we are not as happy as we thought we would be and we are not giving up on the issues that confronts them that they don't want to negotiate on. paul ryan has a dilemma here. maybe he'll take the job and what stops from being in the same position as john boehner was just a few weeks ago. i don't think there is much to stop it, and that is a big problem for the republican leadership and they know it and they are setting paul ryan as the last best hope, it is a problem for paul ryan and the republicans as a whole because if this doesn't work out, what is truly plan b.
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you don't hear widespread talk about what happens if he takes it and it doesn't work or not taking it. >> why did representative paul ryan want the guarantees upfront and suspect of taking down boehner won't satisfy the freedom caucus and the right wing of the politics. another battle looms along with the national election. reluctant ryan. it's "inside story." >> where we are standing right now will be the panama canal. >> this will be flooded. >> we have upgraded for bigger ships. >> now we go for weeks without water. >> techknow's team of experts show you how the miracles of science... >> this is what innovation looks like. >> can affect and surprise us.
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>> welcome back to "inside story." i'm ray suarez. paul ryan turned the free sdom caucuses play book against them. get behind him by friday or i'm out. usually as a do or die legislative deadline looms. should we expect a long tenure which is only a reluctant speaker speaker. john, you heard the professor talking about the idea that it is not at all clear that ryan's demands will be met and met in
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full and whether he in fact will be the next speaker, if he's not, is this just another cycle of churn, a constant revolution as they take on the candidates by candidate. >> if the freedom caucus doesn't endorse ryan before, i imagine they'll do it after the leadership election. if that doesn't happen, and ryan can't get 218 votes we'll have multiple ballots. a number of names will be coming up. the only winner would be getting the majority of the republicans and democrats and then freedom caucus screwed itself frankly. ultimately they are going to endorse ryan, and they are going to walk him back from some of
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the parliament changes that he's requesting. you can change thomas jefferson's rules of the house. you can try, but that won't work and a brief honeymoon period and within the next year, not a lot that the congress is doing in the last year of the obama presidency. and the most thing for ryan is setting up the agenda that all republicans can get behind. >> tom, did you ever think in your years in politics, you would get to point of nobody wanting to be the speaker of the house? >> no. when speaker pelosi ran for the speaker, she wanted it and organized the caucus and never a doubt. she and hasser had parts of the kcaucusesnot with them onevery vote. this case is so different. you have to worry about the fringes of your party and
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everyone else in the middle of the party. it is a different dynamic than we have seen in modern politics and shocking to people there for a long time. >> maybe the down side of popularity and when you have as big caucus as the republicans have, back when they had a 150 seats, instead it was ease yesh to be unified they just didn't have as many factions, not as many members, they didn't have as many interests to corral and handle and channel, could this just be part of what happens when you have a big, wide ranging and varied caucus? >> yeah, ray, that is an excellent point. i was listening to what was said, 2010, 2014 the republicans did an amazing job, thanks to mc carthy and many others in terms of the biggest sweeps.
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their numbers h huge. they owned the house for a number of cycles, yet they can't come together to get behind the leadership has to be frustrating to the republicans that were thrilled in 2010 and 2014. it is not what naturally happens when you have a sweeping victory, but what happened as a result of the factors, including jury demandering and boring things and the way we draw the districts that we have these, these representatives who are elected who really don't represent the kind of moderate wing or the establishment wing of the party, but certainly well represent their districts. look at eric cantor, you can see that and dave is one of the representatives saying in the freedom caucus i have ten points, i'm unlikely to support
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him if he doesn't meet the ten points. freedom caucus, 60 to 80 percent of the members are needed to endorse the speaker. you are hard pressed they can get there. they may strong arm the members to get there. i'm concerned about down the road, what happens if people are frustrated. look at the debt ceiling passed, you know, if ryan is there, and yet there's not the kind of cuts that many of these people are saying we need to see in order to raise the debt ceiling. what happens then? we don't have answers to any of the questions. >> only one speaker of the house has become the president of the united states later on. still in his 40s, does paul ryan's acceptance of the speaker
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post means he's setting aside ambitions for the bigger house. it's the "inside story."
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>> welcome back to "inside story." i'm ray suarez. henry clay, james brain, newt gingrich. only james ever served as house speaker and later as president, but he was governor of tennessee in between. for the length of the political career, paul ryan is a man in a hurry, ambitious with eyes on bigger things. for most of the people becoming the speaker, wielding the power is good enough and creatures of the house and leading it was a capstone of the
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careers. the ryan saying he didn't want the job and demanding guarantees even allows ing his name to go forward. is he letting go of the white house dreams he every nurtured. tom, what do you think, a formable figure? >> yes. he's brokered a budget deal with a senate democrat. the presidents are the bipartisans that can brocker the deals. so this wouldn't disqualify him. but it is a moment of time they are saying we need you, you are the only option and step up to the plate. >> is it not a coincidence,
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house speakers that is it for them. they got the speaker ship well into the 50s and 60s and planned to stay there for quite a while. by the time the end of the career, they were 70 years old. paul ryan is 44. he can turn two or three or four terms of the speaker, turn that into a governor ship and run for the presidency or maybe became a senator. so i think what, a lot of people are saying it is a depped end job for him. i think that is wrong. he can do great things there and take it to whatever he wants to do. >> speaking of 70s something-year-old politician, one making the news today in washington. take a listen to this and then we'll talk about it. >> while i not be a candidate, i will not be silence. i
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intend to speak out and influence as much as can where we stand as a party and where we need to go as a nation. >> all the people with inside information were wrong, joe bide season not running for president. what do you make of that? >> it was a very emotional statement from joe biden and i know the supporters are very disappointed that he's not running. that said, i think you talk to any campaign strategyist at this point, he's right, it is hard to figure out what the path forward is for him barring a controversy involving the fbi and hilly clinton and the emails. joe biden is smart enough to know, he saw the writing on the wall, and you know, i do say, it's sad for many democrats, here is a guy that has been running and part of the party
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since being 29 and now stepping from the stage. one thing he did well, you know what, i'm not stepping from the stage, i have issues that i care about and i will be pursuing those and holding the democrats the feet to the fire on the issues and i think he's going to do that. so i think it was a win-win for the democrats today that he decided not to run, but i do understand from all of the supporters that they really saw this as a great moment for joe biden and unfortunately they are going to see that happen again, unless, hillary clinton implodes and he's asked to come in and rescue the day, which seems doubtful. >> we have little time left, you looked at this possibly happening are the republicans disappointed? >> the democrats are putting all of the eggs in the hillary clinton basket. that is risky for them.
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biden pulling out puts more scrutiny on clinton. >> joe biden is going down as u one of the best public servants. i would rather be in hillary's camp. there is a good part of the democratic party going for bernie sanders. i so much rather be a democrat right now. >> more than a year from election day, the clock ran out. >> yeah, the primary calendar. it is early. he's got a couple of months to do this. >> i want to thank the guests, tom, jeannie, john, and former communications director for the longest serving republican speaker. i will be back in a moment on a
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final thought on power. send us your thoughts on twitter at aj inside story. visit our facebook page and tell us what you think, does paul ryan have the right stuff? we'd love to hear from you.
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>> with 53 palestinians and nine israelis killed in the last ten days. u.s. secretary of state john kerry he goes to meet with benjamin netanyahu. you're watching al jazeera, i'm fauziah ibrahim in doha. coming up, bashar al-assad meets with russian president in moscow. the first time he left the country since the civil war began four years ago. joe biden ss

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