fear that isis or al qaida would be the beneficiaries of this so ultimately they will look to the united states look to iranian backed militias in iraq and russia and assad in syria to provide that security and they've gone to the kurds in the north but ultimately this is a dilemma i think that both everybody has underlined here is that we're going back to the status quo assad is clearly winning he is asserting himself he is destroying these various rebel groups as he's been doing down in debt on the question is whether he can provide stable rule in syria and both your other commentators have said no way he can't do that unless he brings in more opposition but that's very unlikely to happen assad is not going to. find a political solution to this war he is finding what he believes a political solution but one that will not satisfy most the syrian opposition he is

talking with the kurds and marco rubio american senator just accuse the kurds and north syria the white b.g. of being a rebellious organization and and in a sense of treason for talking with us side but the united states is not willing to really back them up and that's the that's the problem what shortens do the groups these other groups have other than to fall in line with assad we've seen the jordanians we've seen the lebanese we've seen even the israelis began to talk about assad staying and and ultimately allowing the syrian army into southern syria into the darel reason to destroy the rebels and nobody lifted a finger to help them so the writing is on the wall assad is winning and out the question is how much debility can he bring back to syria he just put a couple of building blocks together here for us if we are talking about the beginning of the end of this conflict and if it does mean indeed

a victory for bashar al assad we've got the kurds in damascus we've got the rescuers being rescued in the past few days the white helmets being escorted to a different location and we've got external actors kind of laying down a line in the sand saying yes we might accept an asset victory but we will not accept the consequences of that millions of people displaced unless those millions of people go back into syria how does that work well it's difficult to see and basically the situation when. make everyone happy in a way because on one hand it's clear that again that the regime is winning militarily. doesn't automatically mean that basically the regime will be able to ensure again the stability of syria on one hand stop the

ongoing attacks inside syria on the other and more importantly for the regional and international actors be able to allow for at least on courage refugees to go back when we go to the first basically issue which is when the syrian regime be able to stop similar attacks in the future. we have isis who has been changing its tactics in order to ensure long term or long term survival they have changed their economic model they have changed basically their structure their depending mainly on sleeper cells and people who are discreetly trying to destabilize different areas you have other rebel groups who will continue to carry out similar . like attack will if there were like attacks and different areas and then you have a political solution that will again will not most likely happen unless we see some

serious pressure from russia on the scene because there is e-mail wants to basically recapture the rest of syria militarily but there are so far not willing or unable to pressure the region to accept some kind of compromise with the rest of the groups where it counts to basically when where where does that leave us it leaves us in a place where basically the regime will continue to function to function and different areas or in the measure if syria but groups will continue to carry out attacks area will be will be destabilized and many refugees will not be able to go back so will be felt or semi felt states that we would be most likely looking at the moment if there's another else we could but not of course the diplomacy the clicks together with the politics and as much as for example we know for a fact french diplomats are being ping ponging between beirut and damascus for the

last year the french under russian auspices of getting aid into the western half of syria and yet the french are being criticized for saying well to doing that because people are similar you know if you're working with the russians you're back in the russians if you're back in the russian ship backing bashar al assad so there seems to be a circle there that has got to be squared but how do you square it will be to i mean this is the point that i was. actually to me even if assad is winning on the ground in syria i think there are so many stakeholders in this conflict most of them with bad hops now accept that assad is winning including. the united states. and others but i think there is a big that there is a big elephant in the room that we need all to see it before we can talk about an end also i mean to this conflict about from seeing a political solution between the regime and the opposition which is iran in this case i think everybody is talking now about. how to get iran out of syria if we accept assad the manning and power and then for that for the next war that for the

next couple couple of couple of years i mean this is something that is really on board and so now i mean i believe this is why in syria it's c.d.n. borton to get almost everybody on board that that means the russians the americans of course i mean the russians are having the upper hand in the syrian and the syrian conflict there are in the driving seat the americans might be in the back seat for the time being but we need the the people who are sitting in the backseat and the people who are sitting in the driving seat to come to agree actually on how to look to to do that i've done that the vehicle and this case i'm a political solution and in syria so i think we need to bring almost everybody right now in order to have a bit to go solution to this crisis in syria as far as the french or all is concerned i think i think this is somehow and debilitation of the helsinki summit between president bush and president prom the focus right now is maybe on the city in the refugees on trying to focus maybe on the humanitarian aspect of the seating

crisis because political solution and i know it doesn't seem very likely as i said because we need to have almost everybody. on board this is why we're the french actually we have seen the french stepping in and trying to do something with the russians because they know for now that this is better hops the issues that need to be i mean to be dealt with for the time for the time being ok. and then we see an agreement between the americans and the russians on how to deal with iran ok that is about it is would be i actually have a say and let's just pick up on that point of iran that you're raising in through that joshua joshua but there has been slight progress on that because the israelis surely have got exactly what they wanted because they've got russian guarantees from the iranians saying yes we will move back from where we were historically over the past several months because the israelis were beginning to get really uncomfortable with that i don't think there's a chance in hell of getting the iranians out of syria president assad has made it

very clear that he. is invited the iranians and any he expects them to stay now did israel get what it wants i don't think it did israel as is busy drawing red lines by bombing everything in syria that it can find of iran's but the israeli demands were made to lab rob in a meeting just a few days ago and they want the border with lebanon close there's no rearming of hizbollah they want iran out no missile emplacements their list is very long very extensive and they're not going to get it so they're going to continue to bomb it as we've seen them do up near aleppo anyplace they can sense that they're iranian soldiers helping out advising or helping to build missiles they will blow up and that's you know they're they're taking care of their security and drawing red lines but i don't suspect that iran is going to lead and russia will not make iran leave russia needs iran in the sense that they have one together and they. are

both interested in propping up the assad regime the moment iran leaves syria this country will be that country will be very vulnerable and we've seen that in iraq too we've seen that with hizbollah iran as a major investment and it has one it believes it has ok let's just get one point it's interrupted joshua because we are where across into was the end of the program hate the russians are saying we will give all those displaced people safe passage safe passage to where and to what vladimir putin is not going to put a million people into chechnya into the caucuses if he starts moving them around mr erdogan in ankara will react very badly turkey has got literally a footprint on syrian soil it's his semipermanent presumably he wants to stay where do those people go and what kind of life do they have once they get there. well so far according to the russians that they want them to go back to their own basically

areas but here we have two issues the first one is that the syrian regime has been still medically trying to prevent many people to go back to their areas may lay around were the masters basically the border with lebanon for example you have that which has been captured for more than two years it's completely empty and many other towns are completely empty so the russians cannot basically pressure the regime to allow those people to go back to their areas so as many of them cannot got to go back to their areas then they will be displaced elsewhere and that is something that people are not willing to basically risk their lives for and the other thing is that basically many of those people they still have many concerns that are not basically address one of the issue is that all those who are considered basically a politics gene there is no protection guarantees those who are basically wanted for that to do their militaries or service and who are scared of being listed there

is no guarantee that they will not be listed and this is why unless those different issues are addressed you will find it difficult to see people voluntarily go that tentative will be to force those people to go back from that region and then that will have many other consequences that will lead to destabilizing the region ok to live in because they will not be now and the last point of the early graham general just is this is the beginning of the end game of the war in syria or if there's another. is that a perfect demonstration of the fact that this war is far from over and it will continue apace for many months to come we said we said we said during the program that the assad regime might be winning militarily on the ground but i think there will be no stability in syria and yes we have a chance to do. to this crisis including actually the discussion about iran i think

the need need for iran will decrease when this conflict militarily and there will be no need for iran to have a bit because they will be north that the at that point if we have the opposition and that he agreeing on a political solution what that would be that he. should be actually leaving syria without iran leaving syria i cannot see i can do this that this conflict as it always will have to leave it there many thanks for your contribution thank you so i guess my joshua landis on a date and thank you too for your company you can see the show again any time by checking out the website al jazeera dot com or for the discussion check facebook page facebook dot com forward slash page inside story you can also tweet us at a.j. inside story or tweet me i'll take you back at one for me on the entire team here thanks for your company will do it all again at the same time for more. of.

the yorkers are very receptive. because it is such an international city they're very interested in that global perspective. join us in the battle for somalia. many never return. understood.

from the north. volcano kill way erupted explosively last thing boiling clouds of steam and ash and rock high into the atmosphere scientists say it's not unusual for eruptions to stop and start up again later as for kill the way it has been spilling lava continually for more than thirty years native hawaiian spiritual beliefs say eruptions reflect the mood so of the goddess de lay. says native hawaiians family is always nice to us whether she takes our home or not we accept this type of event. i'm not matheson in doha with the top stories on all disease

a group of opposition political parties has rejected the results of pakistan's general election and follows out a geisha is a vote rigging and military meddling the ruling party has conceded defeat and that's paving the way for cricketer turned politician imran khan to become the next prime minister but the opposition alliance says it will take to the streets until a new vote is held by some avenge i've had reports from the home. the master even his brother are no longer calling the shots after the campaign it's time to clean up in what the manhunt called a new pakistan video voters have taken their leader for the top job but they're already calling for accountability of those who joined in one hand from the so-called all pakistan in an airfield those caught you want me pardon me if they carry one the same way even after coming to power it will be really unfair to us p.t.i. voters imran khan must know this if he cannot stop the corruption and then he has no right to be the leader international observers say they did not witness any military indifference during the vote process but the election observation mission

says the twenty eight hundred electoral process was not as trouble free as it was five years ago although there were several legal provisions aimed at ensuring a level playing field we have concluded that there was a lack of equality of opportunity candidates with large.