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tv   NEWS LIVE - 30  Al Jazeera  October 15, 2018 3:00am-3:33am +03

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liberation there is a diplomatic diplomatic agreement over some over some some topics however on the practical level we don't see much called liberation miriam how is ankara balancing its need to preserve some sort of functional relationship with riyadh in light of the near constant leaks that we've seen him it's an investigation about what might have happened to jamal khashoggi. me a little first state that turkey and saudi arabia arabia has a long standing relationship but since the coup that overthrew mohammed morsi in egypt in two thousand and thirteen the relations have been strained and finally when it came to syria saudi arabia has been supporting the y.p. g. fighters which turkey believes that they are an offshoot of the p.k. k. an opcode organization so if turkey was disappointed in its relations with saudi
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arabia and saudi arabia in turkey as well and this is a similar question she's disappearance happened maybe probably a mood there is on the table a chill turkish public also put a lot of pressure on turkish officials to shed a light on this case because it's a now known. turkish soil even though it's a saudi territory inside the consulate if foreigners disappears and no one can do anything and also the turkey it turkey's n.g.o.s that officials have reacted harsh against this turkey tried to create an international conscience which actually had a good response for instance european countries criticize saudi arabia stance also united states threatened saudi arabia for sanctions and the u.s. senators have been have been saying that they are not going to leave it without
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a response so down by turkey's reaction there is an international pressure and saudi arabia and probably king solomon also noticed that mohamed bin sound salmond's reckless stance. towards its dissidents or opponents is not tolerable around the world from now on probably saudi arabia must be feeling lonely or must be must be afraid of being left out alone an international arena the signs i mean it. it's shows that saudi arabia is trying to make it up with turkey and houston and in ankara. when in the past hour egypt has backed saudi arabia's efforts to deal with the journalist disappearance riyadh warned against any sanctions against it u.s. president donald trump has said that the kingdom faces severe punishment if it's found to lead it as turkish authorities believe and the u.k.
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france and germany have jointly called for a credible investigation to establish fate mike hanna reports the saudi stock market suffered its biggest fall in years following president trump's warning it recovered slightly during the day but it was the purse tangible sign of the impact of this crisis on the saudi economy. i don't talk to on the ones cozy relationship between the trumpet ministration and saudi leaders a statement released by the saudi news agency threatening global retaliate against any sanction came just hours after president trump spoke of severe punishment that saudi arabia proved complicit in his disappearance. no dodge among members of congress that this should involve economic sanction despite president trump stated reluctance to pull such measures so i would just say this to you or for confidence if this is proven to be true there is going to be a response from congress it's going to be nearly unanimous it's going to be swift
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and it's going to go pretty far and that could include arms sales but it could include a bunch of other things as well european leaders to making clear they will not stand by they must have seen the huge international concern from the united states now from britain france and germany what they need to do is to cooperate fully with the investigation that the turks are asking us to do and to get over all of this and if as they say this this terrible murder didn't happen then where is jamal khashoggi and that's what the world wants to know a former cia director costing dulled to the vehement saudi denials of involvement there denials ring hollow very much for a hollow to go after a permanent resident states who writes for the washington post and doing it on foreign soil at a diplomatic mission to me would be inconceivable that such an operation would be run by the saudis without the knowledge of the day to day decision maker of saudi arabia that's crown prince mom been said. in an apparent bid to diffuse the tension
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the saudi foreign ministry has released a tweet thanking the u.s. and others for refraining from jumping to conclusions despite this though a relationship that was once so warm is along with the saudi stock market reaching a new low mike hanna is here or washington. well despite an offer by crown prince mohammed bin sound the saudis still haven't allowed turkish investigate his into that compound the consulate is still conducting official business as you shall reports from istanbul. opposite these are you consulates there is a company that deals with issuing visas that's the larger and smaller pilgrimage that muslims make to macau in saudi arabia now this company as well as a few others that are scattered around the building say that they are still able to process those paperworks by going to the consulates building albeit they have to
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answer from in the back there is a road parallel to this building behind now this consulate has essentially been a crime scene now for several days since the disappearance of jamal khashoggi however there hasn't been any turkish police and saying the only people who've been going in this door here have been those who come on diplomatic vehicles registered to the saudi mission here there are journalists who have been camped out here for several days now waiting for some sort of developments as far as the investigation is concerned other turks are still waiting to be allowed in to search this properly they want their forensic experts to go in there police to go in they need saudi permission to do that until now though they haven't been granted it's. well managed is an international oil and energy consultant joins me now to look at the effect of all this on the saudi economy we have seen
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a negative reaction in the market today because of concerns about what it could mean for saudi arabia's relationship with the international community these concerns likely to continue weighing on the market or it all depends what happens from the outcome of this trial threatening the other side threatening and so on but it seems to be generally more about the oil. that they are going to sanction. on saudi arabian started we are going to retaliate by not exporting oil and putting the whole rural markets taking it as a ransom that is the what i read in the news that seems to be the implication doesn't it because the disappearance of khashoggi and worries about what might have happened ten certainly prompted some strong reactions we have for the first time seen statements from saudi arabia's western allies calling for transparency if that is indeed followed up by action how might it spill over into the oil markets well
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it will be the loss of oil if saudi arabia goes stops exporting or reduces cos its imports at present the surprised demand is more disbalance than because the us is putting sanctions on iran early november there is a fear of a shortage so we are in a precarious situation and this announcement already even before the saudi might retaliate by cutting their explore this announcement will make the price go up if the market thinks that this is going to happen of course when it comes that it would be quite serious it all depends what the of the sanctions by the u.s. against saudi arabia are going to be because we don't know and then what how much saudi arabia is going to cut its export because one comment from these news media was their reaction against the u.s. pressure or the west sanction would be to cut exports but by how much we don't know if saudi arabia is now producing ten points seven million barrels per day according to the crown prince himself the opec data say ten point five and how much of this
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ten point five day cuts that would be the issue but it is very precarious the balanced yes from air in november about want to two million barrels per day of oil exports from iran might be caught off because of prison trams and so on so that is very serious as you say the saudi cut in oil production could lead to a spike in oil prices but would this effect. only be temporary given that saudi arabia's influence in the markets has declined recently going to saudi arabia of exporting oil producing more than ten is very significant it has and its importance hasn't declined it is there and is very important but it all depends on those so the how much they are going to cut and the next two months the rule is balanced with the prospects fear of a shortage of ward from iran and then this one on top of the prices would shoot top but looking broadly from this month to the early two thousand and nineteen the
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markets abroad was going to be better there would be more soft law expected or there than opec and others and so the tide situation would improve looking at them he proved that balance would get a bit better in going february march and so on but really the details depends on how much are going to cost but as the u.s. it if they'd stop selling armaments to saudi arabia they will do should themselves in the port they were the same with saudi arabia putting sanctions and so on as you say the to lose so there will be the u.s. reaction larry is not a certain isn't reserved from would punish the usa oshie good self but the saudis would punish themselves and that is really a return to a prison much hands on in my depends on how the international sanity react thank you very much michel checking there is plenty more still ahead for you this hour including back to school in iraq children in mosul return to the classrooms that
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once served as an eye still military base. somalia's prime minister calls for unity is a ceremony remembering the hundreds of victims of last year's massive bombing in market to share and novak djokovic keeps that winning feeling in shanghai that's on the way since for the whole. chancellor angela merkel's bavarian allies of stuff that that was selection results in one thousand nine hundred fifty a result that risk widening divisions within germany's national government the christian social union of one thirty five and a half percent of the vote according to the latest exit poll meaning the party has lost its absolute majority will have to form a coalition to rule dominant cain has the latest now from munich. for decades the christie and social union has dominated varian politics but no longer now their vote has slumped dozens of six have been lost and the overall majority has gone to
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the c.s.e. was current leader and sitting prime minister it was time to put on a brave face or remember. we accept the results with humility and we will have to learn from it we must analyze it clearly but one thing is clear despite the prognosis discussions and comments the c.s.u. is not only the strongest party but it's also received a clear mandate to govern. whereas for the greens this was a moment for celebration their vote more than doubled and did eight of the various biggest cities they came first cementing their position here as the leading party of the center left displacing the social democrats something the national polls had suggested for some time and by and yet the parliamentary election results of any change but there is a tonight because it clearly shows that people want politics that encourages instead of spreading fear itself current problems instead a constant. it shows clearly that you can win elections if you bet on the courage
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confidence and passion and don't suffer in a right wing way and he had one party that did precisely that was the alternative for germany in the twenty thirteen election they didn't exist this time around their stance on tougher migration and border controls one of the more than ten percent of the vote for you it is now that is result is a message to america merkel must finally got everything frankly the nachos. for us here and for our families and for our busy area for beria is a blessed plant to have friends. in the immediate aftermath of this election attention will focus on who will form the next government here. early indications of the c.s.u. were trying to punch together a small majority with one of the mind the policies that some more profound problems on not so easily solved sunday's result seems to many people here like
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a mini earthquake shaking the c.s.u. to its friends stations in its own it's the question now is what will be off the shelves be as a national level don't make a how does there are in news. a taliban attack in western afghanistan has left at least seventeen members of the security forces dead a gunman or a positive attacked seven security check posts in far province on saturday night at least eleven of us have been abducted well that attack comes as the u.s. special envoy to afghanistan met taliban representatives for talks reviving hopes of an end to decades of violence but in the lead up to saturday's parliamentary elections the attacks of continued reports from the afghan capital. the action campaigning goes on despite the violence this candidate hoping to be voted into the next parliament. the elections seen as crucial to and instability in
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afghanistan but attacks by the taliban have picked up the group has threatened more disruption of the ballot box accusing the united states of using the elections to extend its troops presence in afghanistan a meeting between the u.s. special envoy to afghanistan. and the taliban took place in qatar on friday raising hopes of a political solution the u.s. and the afghan government are remaining tight lipped about the meeting the taliban welcomed the talks but warned in a statement that the presence of foreign troops is the greatest obstacle to peace and solving problems first must be made to was a genuine peace and the solution agreed on by the afghans themselves the afghans who have survived years of violence and bloodshed say political talks have to be
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good for afghanistan but they have yet to see any benefits. to keep talking about peace talks we haven't seen any progress those talks have been mentioned for years and yet there is nothing there yet. was certainly i really need peace but at the same time we need a third party who can help negotiate a peace deal between the taliban and the government in june the taliban and the government agreed on a three day cease fire it was the first truce in seventeen years but talks stalled at violence resumed. most of which are caught up to the fight among the big people talk about the afghan government conditions for a permanent deal with the taliban. but over ground peace seems some way off taliban attacks targeting election candidates and security forces happen almost every day it's generally accepted that the military officer will not defeat the
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taliban and that it's better to engage with the group and devise its leaders chilled join a broader governing coalition many see that as the best hope of and if the war decades of ethnic divides so that they can start rebuilding the country. kabul at least twenty two people including a number of children have been killed when a truck carrying migrants overturned in the turkish province of izmir the lorry crashed through a barrier and landed in a canal twenty meters below the nationalities of those killed is not yet known turkey is a main route for migrants trying to reach europe. well now to iraq white children in the city of mosul is settling back into class more than a year after it was reclaimed from i sell the group shut down and destroyed most schools when it sees the city in two thousand and fourteen but isn't how methadone now reports it's hope returning to education will help the children of account the trauma of war. it's the first day of school in bubble elementary school in mosul
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regular classes i've received for the first time in three years. i still use this school as a military base firing rocket propelled grenades and mortars at the a buyer of the forces by the time the complaint to the cup to most will also be. most of the city was reduced to rubble their own going school or construction work was initiated by volunteers and patents came to see their children back in class canada this was made possible with the help of contributions from the well wishers within and outside iraq it is the result of the tireless efforts of iraqi women to portray to the world agony and devastation and mosul. the classrooms are crowded and the children must share both books and sits most top forgotten what it is like to be in school up to three years when war it can be a struggle say the teachers to get them to listen and participate but it's the troll man psychological impact the violent us had that's been lost give us the. six
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year old solid that has house him survived an ass like that hit his home and almost wiped out his entire family he now lives in the partly destroyed house with his father and grandfather the only other survivors of their strike solace father prepares his son for the first day in school he is hopeful making new friends will help his recovery hard enough said humble solace is slowly recovering he nearly died and remembers everything vividly we need more help in caring for him though solace said mr ses everyone's trying their best to help. the psychological impact on children has been huge we have to.

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