translates into sixty six thousand job opportunities lost each year ok i want to get more on this by talking to our economics editor. going by those figures at least this whole sanctions process by the u.s. seems to start to take the the image of a big gamble by the u.s. how much is at stake for the u.s. here so it is a big gamble because you are relying on the saudi arabia and the united arab emirates to cover the oil that's going to be missing from iran the problem is that we have other events we have a group of nations called the shaky six which includes venezuela libya. algeria who basically have a troubled economies troubled political situations right this very moment and should they reduce the amount of oil that they are putting up this very moment in time that could lead to an increase in oil prices now if iran was to

blockade the straits of news you know oil prices could go well above one hundred dollars a barrel and that would transmit to u.s. consumers at some point and that they would be paying more at the at the at the gas stations now once that happens they're already overstretched because their credit cards are in a fully fully maxed out and stuff so they would find even more difficult to buy u.s. products themselves and that would impact on the on their economy and it is the world's biggest economy and everybody really really good eyes on the u.s. to be functioning at full pace for them to have a better economic situation you know the saudi arabia and the u.a.e. have both said and others have said that they are prepared to step into the breach and they are being pressured to do so as well by the u.s. . if they increase their productivity and forgive me for oversimplifying because this is an area i don't completely understand but you do. if they turn on the top chances are there's. as much oil as we have for example the prices stay

a lot so dear u.a.e. and many other oil producing companies have suffered as a result of the lower oil prices in the world what's the incentive for surly arabia in the u.a.e. and other countries to actually turn on the tops on run the risk of those low prices continuing so this is a political decision a foreign policy decision the geo political decision that they have taken they want to stop iran's meddling in the middle east and that's the only reason why they are willing to cooperate with the united states in this particular matter now. you come to this you come to the situation where basically you're saying you know surely they you want higher prices for your oil so you can help your your your economy but you want the rest of the world to be also be able to afford the oil so that they can continue their growth path if they can continue to grow at a price of joe currently at seventy five dollars a barrel anything above that starts to slowly crimp their economies and their

ability to function so it's in everybody's interest that we keep oil prices as low as possible thanks very much indeed appreciate the. now the rest of the day's news is still ahead first phone call or a setback for disaster recovery efforts in mozambique. helping to keep the peace in northern ireland the young politicians have various say on bragg's it and a lot smaller. and the philadelphia seventy six ers unleash their star man to take a two one lead over to wrong to win the n.b.a. playoffs paul is going to be here with more on that. the most powerful cycling for twenty years in india is battering the east coast cycling funny has killed at least two people in the dishes state one and a quarter million indians have left their homes to seek higher ground scott has

more from new delhi. with one hundred eighty kilometer per hour winds cycling funny slammed ashore in the distance state in eastern india. twenty first made landfall friday morning near the coastal city of put a holy place for hindus the strong side clone is expected to move north through the end weekend as it hits west bank and state it will then head to bangladesh. a big concern is coastal storm surges and resultant flooding about a million people have been evacuated india's navy air force and disaster response force are on standby. so we are really suffering due to this the government offices have advised as not to venture out into the sea since the access to the sea a closed boats and crowds are getting destroyed in this. airports and

schools were closed before the storm hit funny is the most serious cyclon for the region in twenty years in one nine hundred ninety nine a super cycle devastated and killed ten thousand people across the state thank the coast of a state is prone to cycle and storm surge and tsunamis in banquets and shelters have been built over the last seven years before he will be the first test of how they stand up to empower people cycling. got harder al-jazeera new delhi. ok let's hear more on this from our meteorologist kevin corriveau the one of the key questions of course is where is this going to go next it's going into some very very populated areas that we have a land falling storm already it's going to be weakening but the amount of rain that's going to be coming out of the storm in the next two to three days in the areas that it's going to be going in that is an area we're going to be watching very carefully i want to take you over here and show you right now take a look at the satellite image we rolled it back about a day and a half you can see as it moved towards the north it actually developed an eye very

powerful it made landfall as a very powerful category four storm equivalent right now though as it made has made landfall we are now talking about winds coming down but still hasn't come down that much we're talking about two hundred twelve clymer prow winds gusting to two hundred fifty nine now the storm is going to be weakening quite quickly now that it is. basically has lost its moisture source its water source the bay have been gulped i want to show you now windy dot com because we're going to take a close look at the storm you can see where this circulation is we're still looking at some very very. high rates of cumulation basically towards the west and to the north the other big problem with this particular storm is going to be the storm surge anywhere towards the east we're going to be seeing water still pushing up into these deltas and that is going to be a major problem we're going to be talking about flooding across much of this area over the next few days i also want to show you the accumulation very very quickly what we do expect to see with the storm let's go back to the maps with this and in

this area we do expect to see anywhere between another two hundred fifty and five hundred millimeters of rain. every time we cover events like this the question of climate change always comes up and if i understand it correctly that the the indian ocean is not a woman is that having an effect on the kind of events that we're seeing when we talk about climate change the the general rule that we're going with tropical storms or tropical cyclones is basically with climate change and with the waters coming back warming up you add that energy into the water you. going to receive it as a tropical storm that is even stronger now we don't expect that we're going to see more tropical systems but over time we can see more powerful tropical systems now whether or not we actually say that it's happened with this storm what we have just seen landfall with this we can't really valuated yet but get this has been a very very powerful storm we have seen powerful storms across the bamboo gulf it has been twenty years but i do expect that of course we are coming into the

atlantic hurricane season next month we do expect to see a little bit more above average in terms of there so we're going to be watching this very carefully of course we did see this in mozambique as well a very powerful storm in an area that we don't normally see this and kevin thanks very much indeed. ok on the other side of the indian ocean people in mozambique as kevin was mentioning i doing with the office of science on kind of it was the second major storm to hit south east africa in six weeks it's killed at least forty people now disease outbreaks threaten more lives on the top of reports from a comin in. they survived last weeks like learn now they struggle is finding food the heavy rains and floods destroyed their crops now after days without much to eat aide workers are finally overcome flood damaged roads to reach them. on their wants to spread of maize to last at least a month long enough for his family to live on until he makes a plan his home was destroyed during the cyclon. sangar

arriving to the house to help more children or pull them out when i went back inside to take things out of the house collapsed i was injured. and my legs. cyclon kenneth struck while mozambique was still struggling to deal with the impact of cycling die aid workers say many remote areas and small islands are still waiting for supplies aid has started to arrive but it's slow partly because of bad weather some trucks and managed to reach remote areas by roads but some areas can only respond back to pins on the weather. the united nations says hundreds of thousands of people are without shelter food and drinking water that eye of the storm was narrow but it was ferocious it took out everything in its path so those are the people that were targeting this food assistance that already gone out to

nearly twenty seven thousand people so this operation is moving at a pace and scale but we need the international community to care we know this is a part of the world that often doesn't get attention it needs the world's attention and it needs the world to care i more rain is expected and that could burst already swollen rivers people living in areas at high risk of flooding have been urged to move to higher ground but some families say they have nowhere to go they just hope the worst of the with the has passed so they can begin rebuilding their lives. mozambique. the president of afghanistan has accepted several recommendations for peace talks with the taliban on the final day of the loya jirga assembly of regional elders ashraf ghani approved seeking an immediate ceasefire and the withdrawal of u.s. troops is ordered the release of one hundred seventy five taliban prisoners or balance has more from kabul. president danny has agreed to all the recommendations

in the loya jirga more than three thousand participants have met for the last five days in the white building behind me coming up with what is important to them as representatives of the afghan people what positions do they want the afghan government to take in future negotiations with the taliban prisoner to all of their recommendations directly address the taliban in his in his speech in the closing ceremony this morning saying we have fought for far too long sometimes we have one sometimes you have one in the meantime people have suffered so going forward he said that he will accept that there needs to be interest and tweaks it is now an afghan government position that the u.s. troops should withdraw that they should be a ceasefire as soon as possible that the taliban should open a political office in kabul or a city of their choosing as long as it's in afghanistan and they should be moved from door where currently is that any legal demands of the taliban should be accepted during negotiations and that this should be a person of swap so this started to come out of the committees yesterday that this

was something that was important to them and ashraf ghani saying that he did agree that taliban prisoners should be released from afghan government jails and vice versa and he said he's already started that agreeing and ordering the release of one hundred seventy five taliban prisoners from the afghan government jails he said i'm willing to do this wherever the taliban would like i just want to hand over their prisoners with honor and dignity he said that it should be a trust building measure and that he hopes that the taliban reciprocate with a similar similar gesture during the muslim holy month of ramadan meanwhile in doha u.s. and the taliban amazing is the sixth round of negotiations the last time they met was about six weeks ago where they discussed the first two steps and what is a have a four point to go between the u.s. the first two steps being that there should be a foreign troop withdrawal and the second state being that the taliban shouldn't allow afghanistan to be you. as a staging ground for attacks on foreign soil now they did get through the majority

of those negotiations six weeks ago this is some logistics to sort out which is why they've made now however we believe that they have a sticking point over the name of the taliban if it's to formalize these first two steps they would not be agreement but the taliban want to be referred to as the islamic emirate of afghanistan which was their name when they were in power the u.s. saying we cannot refer to you as that in this agreement because that would mean that we are negotiating with a foreign government and that would undermine the current afghan government in kabul we understand they are meeting again tomorrow in doha where they hope to try push past the sticking point. a vietnamese woman who was jailed over the murder of the north korean leaders her brother has been released the one to hong spent more than two years in a malaysian prison she's one of the two been put on trial for the poison in a quantum force airports two years ago. florence loury has more from poland for.

twenty one had pleaded guilty to the lesser charge of causing harm last month she has time for that conviction and will be flying back to vietnam later on friday now the kohak used. been in the dock with us since the start of the trial was released in march off to prosecutors dropped charges against her following intense lobbying by the indonesian government these two women have always maintained that innocence they said they had no idea they were taking part in a mud plot and that they always thought they were merely playing harmless pranks for a reality t.v. show many analysts have said it would have been a struggle to convict them for murder because prosecutors would have found it difficult to come up with a motive as to why these two women wanted to kill kim jong nam and the lawyers for the two women have always said that they believe the women pawns of a north korean plot to kill kim jong nam they say the real loss to minds of the four north korean agents who had recruited the women and trained them to the extent

of taking them to carry out practice runs at shopping malls in crowded areas in kuala lumpur and these four north korean men were charged in that century but they've never been in malaysia in police custody because they fled the country our us off to kim jong il was mad and south korea has said it believes north korean intelligence was behind the killing of kim jong nam what this trial has done is it has helped shed light on a few things such as the fact that kim jong number when he died was found to have been carrying on him vols to the vx nerve agent that killed him suggesting that he had real fears and real concerns about being murdered but the ultimate conclusion of the trial but no one was convicted of the murder of kim jong il also leaves many questions on onset and it also means that a very brazen committed in broad daylight in front of many witnesses captured. on fifty t.v. goes unpunished jevons got more on the world's weather in

a moment and then a career caught short we're going to tell you how a plan to sideline long distance races is affecting athletes in kenya that's coming up the pole in the sport. we want to take you over hitching united states where we are watching a severe weather outbreak that's also causing a lot of problems in terms of flooding but first of all the severe weather right here across parts of arkansas missouri down across parts of texas the last two days we have seen twenty tornadoes and you can see the clouds right there now as we put this into motion i want to show what we have seen in terms of the flooding because if you remember just last month we're talking about the the significant flooding in the northern part united states now we're talking central as a lot of that water makes its way down towards the south here in buffalo iowa this is what it's looks like some areas do not have levees and this is one of those

cities that does not have a levee so the river water just really kind of pushes into towns into fields into farmlands as well we're going to see more rain and that's all due to this stationary boundary laying across much of this area now the problem is with this boundary we have a lot of moisture down here towards the south as the moisture pushes towards the north it hits this front and it drops the rain and over the next few days we are looking at flood watches and warnings in effect for much of this area now because it's already saturated it's not going to take very much at all to cause more flooding across this area along with that we are now also looking at severe weather across much of the southeast and that is going to extend into the northeast as we go towards the next couple of days to the north though it is looking fine and dry with the temperature in minneapolis and twenty two. with a sponsor down a. caliphate chain. since you missed seven.

charting the lives of the children of apartheid over twenty one means each story reflecting a history of dramatic social and political change twenty eight up south africa three announces iraq. when the news breaks. when people need to be heard and the story needs to be told. all of them with the exclusive interview very dangerous for journalists to choose publishers all around the world and in-depth reports are real big canadian forces there without use iraq as teams on the ground i cannot make world to bring you more award winning documentaries and life means.

you are going to zero a reminder of our top stories this hour the u.s. sanctions waiver on eight major buyers of iranian oil has expired that includes china india and turkey and now face the prospect of u.s. sanctions if they continue to buy crude oil from tehran. the most powerful cycle for twenty years in india is battering the east coast sidetone forty has killed at least two people in the dishes state one and a quarter million indians have moved from their homes to higher ground. the president of afghanistan has accepted several recommendations for peace talks with the taliban on the final day of the loya jirga assembly of regional elders. ashraf ghani has approved seeking the withdrawal of u.s. troops and immediate cease fire. and eleventh successive week of friday protests

are under way in algeria demonstrators return to the main post office in the capital of geas which has become a focal point for the revolt was forced out president of the disease but the flicka protesters also want anyone associated with his long rule. in uganda the wine is back home after three nights in prison the pop star turned politician was granted bail after arrest for incitement ones accused of encouraging an attack on the president's motorcade during protests against new taxes last year the supporters say the charges are trumped up to stop him criticizing the government while we can speak now to bobby one is joining us from kampala thank you very much indeed for your time sir how did you react when you were told that you could only give evidence to the hearing yesterday by video link from the maximum security prison you were in. well it was shocking

when i was living prison i was told i was heading to court but again it is evident that the regime in kampala even hi honey whatever they're doing is not out of hate but it out of extreme korea is spatially up to the have seen people raging in our neighborhood how concerned are you for your own safety and freedom and also the safety and freedom of those who support you. it is very concerning to see that our president must have been his regime has been cracking down on any a voice that tries to represent the people many have been killed many are disappeared and indeed many have been thrown in prison like myself however i'm encouraged to know that the people of uganda have a result of even if the government has continued to blanton to break the law our police have become criminals in uniform they break the law with reckless abandon

but we are encouraged to know that the people of uganda have a reserve to secure their freedom at whatever cost will you and your supporters continue to restrict your protests predominantly to the political arena or are you prepared to go further in order to force the changes that you see as necessary. well as they have not said before we have gone to every legal avenue trying to get our freedom our we have petitioned the court we have gone to parliament and all the recently sions all the pronouncements of parliament have been disrespected are the times it's going to court our cases have not been hard and we have resolved resorted to another constitutional means of our airing our voices of dissatisfaction and that is protest because it is provided for in our constitution

as per article twenty nine so whatever we are doing is within the law and even our protest against injustice against police brutality and against impunity is justified as by the law however the police and old security organs of continue to break the law and to crack down brutally on the peaceful citizens we often see that one of the consequences of protests which don't appear to affect any change is an increase in frustration amongst the demonstrators and protesters how concerned are you that the protests could essentially spiral out of control and we could end up seeing some very intense and possibly violent situations on the streets i am very concerned that indeed this could get even more violent but i know that we have for a long time encouraged the people of uganda to be peaceful and to be law abiding however it is evident that the police and all other armed organs are constantly

unleashing violence to their peaceful citizens this gives us concerned that the violence is going to get continue continued and at this time we'll call upon all friends of uganda both within africa and internationally to reign over president brigitte it must have been his regime that has become a regime of national shame in uganda for we want to thank you very much indeed. britain's governing conservative party and its main opposition rival labor have sustained big losses in local elections as brags it will be voters expressed frustration where the country's stalled departure from the e.u. alone sleeze joining us now live from catterick in yorkshire what are these talent tell us about the public's attitude towards bragg's at lawrence. well it's not entirely finished yet for example here they they haven't started

counting the votes but that seven outs one one ward here was just announced they had seventeen one seven percent turnout very very low turnout and a lot of places a lot of the reason for that is just a general disillusionments will anger among the voting public with the two main parts of the conservatives and labor over bricks at the conservatives because they've failed to deliver its labor because there's so i'm big he was on that position as to whether or not they support breck's it's all done and so both of those policies have suffered some of the smaller parties have done well as a result as people look for somewhere else to go the greens or independents have made some gains but overall turnout has been very low and what we've heard over and over again here in this part of england over the course of the week is people councils knocking on doors are you going to vote for me and people saying you've screwed up bricks it's just not going to bother voting that's all and that overwhelmingly has been the biggest trend i think lawrence is this do you think

going to be just like a one off this representation of how people feel about drugs it or is this going to translate into the european elections which are coming up later this month. well i mean certainly the european elections are much more important than they speak his eighties plainly all about the u.k.'s role or not in the european union and there will be two new policies that haven't stood in these local elections the brics it party we won't brics it right now that's already polling on thirty percent more than double the conservatives and change u.k. defectors from the conservatives and labor who don't want bracks it's all so they're joined by the liberal democrats the greens the scottish nationalists and others who want to reject breck's it entirely and so in that sense the european elections will end up being a sort of mini second referendum in its own terms on whether or not people in this country want breck's it's all or whether they don't tell you what lawrence thanks very much indeed will brag that uncertainty has also been on the voters' minds in

northern ireland particularly the future of the border with the republic of ireland which has been a major sticking point in the u.k.'s e.u. withdrawal as good under sentence he's there for us in belfast andrew has this predominantly been about bragg's that or are there other issues for northern ireland as well. where you hit on a major point there the border will the border end up being a hard border with the return of controls of fickle checkpoints of customs posts the days of old will be a factor here because people will look back on them the days of violence when the issue was republican i'll race a whole three decades of violence so this is really a concern about bret's it this remember is a place that did not want to leave europe there was a majority in favor of remaining so that is a fact the d u p the main unit is party here and the shin fein the republican party

both of those two parts were power sharing government had devolved government but that broke down two years ago that in. is a major issue we went to county to rome to assess what's going on in the countryside a place where the ira in the days of the so-called troubles the conflict was very active we assess the mood. tranquility for now yes but this. border with the republic. to heighten the risk of possible violence if there was a. many festering issues in the local elections but there's something new going on. and one. this young politician is a protestant in a mainly catholic nationalist party the s.-t. o.-p.

. for enthusiasm i don't love the baggage of the past and i don't live with the baggage of a lifetime and we need to unify we no need to be constantly reminded of the violence and the things that often separate us levy is from where twenty nine people were killed by a car bomb in one thousand nine hundred eight before he was born this is of republicans were responsible now two decades on of course no one could forget the devastation of the omagh bomb but what's really striking about these new generation politicians is their willingness to put the dark past to one side while concentrating on really developing what they call cross community politics because of a number that we have in northern ireland we're not far away in strip scott morrison twenty born after the good friday peace agreement we have been sort of gifted a piece which didn't previously exist we're seeing dysfunction in our politics are

our government hasn't been working for a couple years and the peace process is at a pretty low web at the minute. represents the alliance party it wants to overcome what's often termed tribal politics the mainstream parties republicans and unionists. a few glances of some parts of belfast tell you how divided. catholics still remain particularly in poor areas physical divisions stays in place there's segregated public housing and segregated education as long as kids go to different schools as long as we go to different churches as long as that. bigotry nonsense is fed to children at their mother's nice this place will not change very much. apart from the kids who get out a look back but don't come back that's

a level that don't come back. scott and others like him insist they'll carry on their push even though it's against the odds. radical political change here could be at least one more generation away. well with me right now to assess the situation with these local elections counting well underway now as david mccann political analyst welcomed news tell me this week we've heard there of the middle ground in politics right now this is a crucial moment because the the shooting dead of niram a key was some people still think a watershed moment she was killed by the at this is an odd way the the the the group that's trying to ruffle life here back to two to the days of old now that has caused a priest to cause outrage by by basically telling politicians get your act together

you know what does this mean what does it mean well yeah the reverberation from father martin macneill speech incidents it has been felt in terms of the local actions here the deviants in v.n. are set to meet the ns from what they receive the colossal collection in twenty fourteen but i think it is noteworthy that we are seeing the middle ground party the alliance party as is that they do very well in these elections the green party which is another cross community pro environmental party is also set to do very well too so it's not just a case of the two kind of more established parties doing well you're also seen more middle of the road parties like the alliance party like the green party also making in the selection what we were getting out of that report this does this fake hope that the could be a change in the so-called tribal type of politics do you think it could really get off the ground most people here still do vote on constitutional lines so if you're unionist you're more likely to vote for the d.v.r. you. and if you're a nationalist you're going to vote for shouldn't be and or the s.t.l. be it's just a case of which is to you go for i'm there is

a growing section of people who are kind of voting along cross community lines out also tonight is an important thing you know in northern ireland the biggest. the biggest stag group of voters are those who are not voting turnout in this in these elections are said to be around about forty four to forty six percent overall so you have a majority of people not actually causing a vote in this election which does show some up with the with the political process is really at the center of things possibly the same issue as in the u.k. and that has brought suits that doesn't doesn't really this place have to be in europe for things to progress in a positive direction yeah absolutely any price that has been initiation fee and in the s. the lp have run very heavily on bragg's it of course ignore that and we're going back to the polls in three weeks time for the european election so brags it is a big issue it's bigger along the border area in places like for mana places like derry it's not as much of an issue here in both hospital on the border certainly people are talking about breaks it and just what is going to hop an eye.