that we could be looking at maybe an average price of about $68.00 to $59.00 in oil prices. and then in the long term depending on how the global economy is doing right how much do you think this destruction is costing saudi arabia right now oh it's going to cost them a lot of money certainly a lot of revenue. and i don't have a particular number to to give you right now but i can tell you you know for the next. 10 to 15 days they're going to lose a lot of revenues and that revenue of years is is based on their exports so assuming that the wall street journal is right that they do get 2 thirds of their production up by. tomorrow. you're still looking at a hefty loss you know that means a little bit more than

a little bit more than half of of their 5 percent of which they're going to lose so it goes into billions of dollars right the u.s. says you heard in as we've heard blaming iran for these attacks but we've heard yemen's who the rebels say they did it saudi arabia has long been seen as the custodian of the world's fair oil capacity that's the extra oil that a country can provide global markets who benefits from a prolonged disruption of saudi oil exports well let's just comment on the spare parts obviously that's going to be a problem in the short term. but who benefits well other oil producers obviously but then again you know there's another possibility that maybe and i'm just. bringing this out as a as i thought. there's

a possibility that maybe open my. might relieve that is might undo their production deal that they have in place right now suspended for a couple of months until saudi arabia gets back into full swing. and that of course would mean. other opec members plus russia could could actually up their output and if that would happen that would be a way of relieving some of the pressure. i heard you comment a little while ago about the possibility that the united states might sell its oil reserves that doesn't work it's a temporary fix so i would kind of think what we need to see is perhaps maybe opec suspend the quota deal that they have and place until saudi

arabia gets back into full production because saudi arabia is going to have time obviously trying to get back into full production in a short run that is thank you so much for speaking to us peter cardio from spartan capital securities joining us a from new york thank you for your time. counting is underway in tunisia after only a 3rd of voters turned out to choose their next president it's the 2nd time a leader has been democratically elected since the $27.00 revolution 70 deck of a force emptiness. half an hour before voting was due to start a small queue had already formed tunisians waiting to have their say on who is going to be their next president. i came here to vote in order to get someone who can get this country out of the crisis the economic crisis the financial crisis we have lots of debts it's very frustrating for me and not only can be. about any of the candidates because there are so many and i haven't seen them from the beginning

and it's the 2nd time tunisians are electing their president since the revolution 8 years ago tunisia is often quoted is the only democratic success story to come out of the so-called arab spring the 1st country where its people took to the streets bringing an end to the 23 year rule of president saying at aberdeen ben ali this is democracy in action yes there are many different candidates to choose from but the question is what can they offer to people are they going to offer real change or is the next president going to be more of the same voters here are telling us they're tired of empty promises. the next president is pressing issues to deal with unemployment is higher than it was before the 2011 revolution the security situation is a concern and corruption remains rampant the new leader will face a population hungry for change especially the youth many have told us they don't trust the politicians shola can move to live free from these elections are

a good thing it's the 1st time we've had a debate on t.v. with our presidential candidates we used to watch the debates on t.v. in the united states and now we're watching the same thing here in tunisia that's the 1st national and international observers were polling stations across the country we noticed a gradual slew of people but interestingly we saw many elderly coming in very in the morning and been very well organized and there has been no issues and so so far it's been good which is hoping that by no the young people would have come on board and increase the percentage of preliminary results with the official announcement on choose day the winning candidate will need more than 50 percent of the vote and no one expects that to happen the likely scenario out of 24 candidates the top 2 will head to a runoff in november by the end of the day tunisian should know who they are. stephanie decker al-jazeera tunis. violence has broken out in hong kong after tens

of thousands of people defied a police ban and marched through the city center it was the 1st mass demonstration since the territory's leaders with drew an unpopular extradition bell the protesters are demanding more government concessions and political reforms linda and reports from hong kong. to. another day another represent of unrest. hundreds of thousands of demonstrators defy a police ban to march through central hong kong once again. there is no shortage of anger here the turmoil in hong kong is well into its 3rd month and protests continue unabated. in the formal groups of volunteers from 1st aid medics to lawyers and will be just leaders show that support for these demonstrators is far reaching a full withdrawal of the proposed law to extradite suspects to china was announced by chief executive care really lamb last week

a concession by beijing's leaders but observers say it may have been given too late . protesters say they're refusing to give in until their other 4 demands are met demonstrators say care relend is just a lack of beeching. everyone knows she's not sincere to face to people at home call a slow as she doesn't response to all of months you'll continue to protest you're getting these again that the government is full of pork or c it's the government that undermine the rule of law police are using on reasonable ballance the process is a using force not ballance it's ballance only when it harms people. water cannons the police tactics which have so far only emboldened protesters to keep surging forward for the last few months these have become familiar scenes the streets of hong kong have become a battleground this is hong kong on edge young people here tell us they are forever

transformed by the recent political turmoil and they are risking all to resist what they call creepy authoritarianism from big jamila indulgent on just 0. plenty more ahead on this news hour including category hell backstabbing u.n. chief has described the aftermath of hurricane dorian on a visit to the bahamas but they say they can talk to be's and cows after centuries living in kenya for as these tribes fear being wiped last. year we'll be stalling with an incredible comeback it'll be here to tell us how they did it and. the british conservative party has pushed further ahead of labor that's according

to the latest opinion poll by the observer newspaper the polling shows the conservatives are continuing to consolidate their support among voters who want to leave the european union for more let's cross to. london use and. yes that's right folly more than 3 years after the electorate voted in favor of leaving the e.u. british politics continues to be dominated by rex it this latest poll was conducted after prime minister boris johnson suspended parliament for 5 weeks last tuesday and scottish judges subsequently ruled his action to have been unlawful the leadership of both the ruling conservative party and the opposition labor party are facing increasing increasing criticism for their positions on grex it both have suffered a number of defections and an election in the coming months is looking to be inevitable let's just take a closer look then at the poll on the state of the u.k. parties and the observer conducted by opinion compared to that previous poll

carried out just a week before the conservatives have gone up 2 percent from $35.00 to $37.00 labor remains unchanged at 25 percent and the liberal democrats have dropped a point they currently stand at 16 whilst the bricks of party are unchanged at the cent at will so joining me now is patrick diamond senior lecturer at the school of politics and international relations queen mary university here in london so that opinion poll would suggest that really for all the criticism the condemnation the parliamentary defeat. and the suspension the suspension of parliament boris johnson doesn't appear to have suffered much reputational damage with the i think there's always a danger with these opinion polls that we tend to look at what's been happening over the last few weeks in westminster of course the country out there is receiving politics in very different ways and criticism of boris johnson has been under the house of commons criticism has been on the from ministers and conservative m.p.'s

on indeed opposition parties isn't necessarily feeding through into public opinion so we've seen at least one poll today we show the conservatives in a fairly strong position well so that means that going into a general election he has the advantage whereas usually in these circumstances the mentum should be with the opposition go. in the sort of turbulence of the chaos the opposition at the moment does not have political amends and that is clear from these polls labor has been polling behind the conservatives for a number of months its leader jeremy corbyn has done consistently badly in leadership ratings when you compare him to the tories may or boris johnson it is not poll very favorably so labor is having difficulties on leadership it's also facing difficulties over bracks it's been squeezed the conservatives are shifting towards a lean believe position of course whereas the liberal democrats are adopting a very strong remain position and labor feels at the moment is of it's caught between 2 stools not a very comfortable position you say that but jeremy corbyn has been underestimated before and he's been expectation to did manage to raise his numbers and the

election 2017 he could do the same thing again it's quite possible and i have to say that if you look at the general average of the opinion polls over the last few weeks it points towards a fairly similar result what we saw in $27.00 see labor would probably lose some seats but the overall outcome would be one of which the conservatives would be the furthest ahead but they would not have an absolute majority in the house of commons and this is the problem so in election in the country which is now looking inevitable would do nothing to resolve the impasse in the deadlock of a bracks i think that is absolutely right the method which most leaders are looking to now to resolve the deadlock is to have a general election but all the evidence is a general election would solve absolutely nothing in terms of the deadlock brags that our parliament passed a new law saying that the prime minister had to ask the e.u. for an extension to that bracks it deadline if an agreement is not reached by the 19th of october when there will be that crucial summit boris johnson has said he would rather be dead in a ditch than do that. is an ideal breakfast at the end of october still

a possibility in your view i think it's a possibility but it's a very distant possibility of the legislation which was passed in the house of commons last week of course does make it much harder for the government to take you out without a deal but also even for the current government despite boris johnson's rhetoric for the u.k. to leave with no deal at all is a massive risk to take particularly given as we were just discussing. would like to have the election relatively soon to have an election against the backdrop of the potential chaos of a new deal brags that give more we saw last week with the publication of the operation yellow hammer documents i think would be far too risky so i think despite the rhetoric of the government and no deal breaks it remains a very distant possibility thank you very much appreciate your analysis on this patrick diamond joining us meanwhile scotland's constitutional relations that country says there is a path open for an independent scotland to walk into a u. membership like russell added that there has been a huge change in the attitude towards scotland where 62 percent of people voted

remain in the 2016 referendum and made the comments of the former european council president under van ronk point help british media that if scotland legally voted for independence the e.u. would have to very seriously consider a scottish bed for membership of the bloc well and i was stories of following in europe former italian interior minister to salvage any as branded as former coalition partners the 5 star movement as traitors it was speaking in front of thousands of supporters at a rally in northern italy in outs the lead party plans to unleash a number of referendum to block any reforms planned by the new italian government and unlikely coalition between 5 star in the pro e.u. democratic party was formed after salvini collapsed the coalition in a failed attempt to force elections. that are strong.

i don't know once. i've said in all the languages italian people are no one's slave. of merkel in my crown we're leaving them to the traitors of your tali and people. just want a bit of news from london climate change activists have targeted london fashion week members of the group extinction rebellion briefly blocked roads calling for an end to so-called fast fashion protests took place outside former spice girl turned design of victoria back and showing off her latest collection 30 demonstrators said they want to draw attention to the fashion industries impact environment. that's it for myself and the team here in london for this hour let's get back to folly and. thank you very much for that still ahead on al-jazeera downing toes in the u.s.

we'll tell you why tens of thousands of workers at general motors are preparing to go on strike and where former rugby captain is blackmailed into revealing news on his health we'll have more on that in sports stay with us we're back after the break. to strengthen. you have to look all the more we still fight against corruption. for. the rich heroes like new who refused a $15000000.00 brian the achievement of heroes like him should be international ace award it shines a light on these heroes because your best way to fire the dark. let's remove a router bit to please nominate your anti corruption mirror.

you know changing conditions across the middle east lots of dry by the loss of hot sunshine little bit of cloud just spilling out of turkey just making its way towards georgia over the next day or so so you could see some wet weather the really show up too much on monday but come choose day that sherry right just not to us for i can set eastern side of the black sea getting close to 30 celsius once again in beirut some lovely sunshine here getting close to the mid forty's in baghdad so the hot sunshine does continue in the hot sunshine stretches way down across the arabian peninsula some weak patterns of cloud just pushing through here you might just catch a sports of rain on lease but i think any rain will be few and far between as just a spot or 2 is certainly a possibility so lossy settle and largely sunny as we go through the coming days we've got dry weather and sunshine stretching across

a good part of southern africa possibilities some showers just into the far south just across the southern k.b. must see a little bit more cloud just creeping in here 19 celsius the top temperature in cape town durban gets up to around 26 degrees celsius harare at 20 a lot of dry weather there and a similar picture as we go on through tuesday with more warmth and sunny weather. on counting the cost of technocrats and the defacto leader ok has been and still will be the placement of saudi arabia's energy minister pay any better than struggle to get for its oil plus the cost of adapting to a warming planet counting the cost on ages it.

welcome back a reminder of our top stories on this al-jazeera news hour iran is accusing the us of deceit after washington rain tehran for drawn attacks on 2 oil facilities in saudi arabia yemen to feed rebels say they were responsible for saturday's explosions which knocked out more than half of the kingdom's oil output there's been a low turnout at the polls in tunisia where voters have been deciding who should be the country's next president a runoff election will be held if none of the $24.00 candidates receive 50 percent of the folks and police in hong kong have used tear gas and water cannons to break up the latest some type government protests some in the crowds through petrol bombs at riot officers tens of thousands of people have been marching in defiance of a police van. that workers that u.s.

automaker general motors will go on strike later on sunday for the 1st time in 12 years about $46000.00 workers are expected to walk off the job at $31.00 factories the united auto workers union is pushing for better wages health benefits and job security guarantees they have threatened to stay on strike until an agreement is reached and speak to michel martin is about this has a reporter for the automotive news joins us by skype from detroit thank you so much michael for being with us so just how significant is this strike action and what impact do you expect it will have. this is a very significant action it's sort of the last resort that the union has in negotiations that reshape impasse and we don't know yet what the impact will be on general motors it depends on how long the strike last but workers in less than 10 hours now will ringback leave the assembly lines in form picket lines outside of

all geos facilities he said the 2 sides still seem far apart in negotiations tell us more about the demands that work is a making and that conditions are in right now definitely well workers are looking for higher wages they're looking for retention of very lucrative health care benefits they've been able to keep. they're looking for a greater share of the profits the general motors ford and chrysler have been able to amass over the years and they're also looking for protection for temporary workers to try to find a way for them to reach full time permanent status. in the long time i mean if this drags on how much when it hurts g.m. and the auto industry as a whole well it could cripple g.m. if the straight west long enough currently the automaker has been preparing for some type of action and they have a 77 days supply of new vehicles on hand that number

fluctuates depend you know what vehicle you're talking about there are more profitable more popular s.u.v.s and trucks they have a lower days supply and in the fifty's but if this drags on the news essentially means they can't build any products dealers won't be able to sell those new products because there will be anything there. michel martin is very good to talk to you thank you so much for being with us on knowledge is there thank you. the united nations secretary general hopes hurricane survivors in the bahamas will get the help they need from the international community antonio terese was visibly shaken as he saw the destruction to the alico islands from hurricane dorian a category 5 super storm 2 weeks ago is known to have killed at least 50 people around 1300 others are still missing. there is it in social community the idea that middle east from countries should not be supportive it's a wrong idea especially with middle income countries of high levels of

vulnerability to tweak subtle structures they're not responsible for. and so i hope that the international community will be able to know obviously is the moment of still rescue in some situations that the central humanitarian aid but then there will be reconstruction building resilience busy recovery and these you know you require a mess of investments from the government from the people. there was some good news however as a tropical storm launching a mist a mess as alan fischer reports from the capital that's given the island as a chance to clothe and feed others who've lost everything. there the everyday things that we rebuild ordinary lives ripped apart their t. shirts and shorts and dresses and toiletries all busy gathered by the people and not so for those who lost everything in the hurricane literally thousands of people to come in from the island with nothing but the clothes on the back some not even the shoes and so they lost everything and so this set up is just to be there to

help people regain some type of dignity and you know when the humanity and just good feeling about themselves and to be independent again. it started as a call to a few people went vital and suddenly it became a major operation the next step is distribution was no organization no grouping it was just a message sent out and the people responded well locals are playing their part the international community is doing what it can it's assessing the damage caused great bahama and abaco and how we can even begin to repair rebuild and recall behind this door is with a huge international operation is being coordinated there are so many agencies so much what going on they don't want to let the cameras in this is by far and away the biggest disaster ever to hit the bahamas the rebuilding will take months it will take years and the cost will be millions it will be billions we're trying to

get information from areas that have compromised communication systems so we're really working with a coalition of partners to be able to collect that data and analyze that so that decision makers feel confident in their next steps as they plan towards mid-term and long term recovering. the displaced hundreds will start to collect donations on monday taking what they need giving them something that says things are going to get better giving them hope alan fischer al-jazeera the bahamas. and the storm that killed at least 6 people in southern spain has moved north and is causing flooding near the capital madrid early a triggered evacuation orders for thousands rivers burst and banks on being homes and sweeping away pots cars hundreds of troops are helping rescue and cleanup efforts in the under new c.m. or c. and valencia regions days of rainfall in some areas has been described as the

heaviest in more than a century at least 13 people are dead and dozens are missing after a boat capsized in india the accident happened in the god of a river in southern under the dosh state local media reporting $61.00 people were in board including 10 cool but 14 people have been rescued so far in the democratic republic of congo dozens of passengers are missing after a river boat sank police say 76 people on board were rescued but 36 others a few had drowned in maluco near kinshasa the boat went down during the night in the congo river as it headed for the capital. to kenya now where a battle is underway for the survival of the not just forests of its kind in east africa the kenyan government has evicted hundreds of thousands of settlers from the mouth forests over the past 20 years as nicholas hock reports indigenous people in the region say their homes are risky and so if it's where wildlife.

deep in the mouth forest are people who communicate with honey bees. bees can sense our intentions explained secure macho to her nephew collect the honey with a pure heart she says and you'll be unharmed hanging from the branches are wooden hives people built to protect the bees it's a relationship of cultivated over centuries which is at risk. the bees done tree unsub back but we know what death thinking it's obvious by the sound they make they are angry they are upset with the lid destruction in these forests. east africa's largest indigenous force was cut down to almost half of its original size over the course of 100 years british colonisers of kenya invaded and killed people to turn part of their forest land into te plantations then came 50 years of kenyan government logging when settlers who moved into the forest were given title deeds to the land. won

a landmark legal battle against the kenyan government 2 years ago the verdict recognizing their land rights and need for compensation for their suffering now kenya's government is evicting 60000 settler families from their forest in the distance right behind me are trees that were burned to the ground to make way for farmland and pastures to use for people who want to feed their animals and right here is a 200 year old red cedar tree that was cut down days ago now it will take centuries for part of this forest to grow back and that's why the government here is taking such drastic actions to protect the environment at risk of extinction say environmentalist our $173.00 species of animals including the bongo elephant and the golden cat sen the drama from the messiah tribe plays jazz music to his cows. the need soothing explains because too many animals are dying. this country is

littered with carcasses of dead animals because of the drought the murray river which gives this county over 2000000000 shillings every year dries up. the sea and when you go down and look at the river is horrific. it is a fragile ecosystem in which the survival of the bees depend on the you kick their survival depends on this forest nicholas hawk forest kenya dozens of doctors in zimbabwe are protesting over the alleged abduction of their union leader they say peter monk a disappeared after a call for a strike over pay and that he received death threats several government critics including a comedian and a teachers' union leader out so said have gone missing over the past few weeks. it's essentially unfortunate that we ended up coming to the cage we have by we saw it go down not being able to afford the kinds of by listening and saying it

could be in doubt the end isn't output for good enough for transport. we are not talking about lord they're not talking about buying cars going to turn up with anything just to survive just to be able to look where. we are. palestinian refugees in lebanon say they don't have enough money to live and demanding asylum there protesters say a government crackdown on foreign workers is adding to their plight zina harder has a story from beirut. they're demanding a dignified life a future for their children palestinian refugees have been gathering outside western embassies in the lebanese capital beirut demanding humanitarian asylum. give us the opportunity to live. we want. to give our children indication palestinians are criticizing

a recent lebanese government crackdown on undocumented foreign labor as refugees they believe they should be exempt lebanese law already bans them from working in many professions and denies them access to public services as part of a long standing policy to discourage them from staying. if we are denied the right to work and open businesses then how do we pay for medical treatment for example and it was says it covers 100 percent of the cost but that is not true only 10 percent of my father's operation he was a cancer patient and he has since passed away international aid for palestinian refugees has decreased in recent years the un relief and works agency which supports palestinian refugees says it is providing services to all of them but it needs $120000000.00 to be able to fund operations until the end of the year palestinians have been living here for more than 70 years since the creation of

israel but now the situation is getting worse unemployment was already a problem before the recent decision by lebanese authorities that requires them to take work permits are not only expensive but they are also difficult to get palestinians who own shops like us are were also affected by the government crackdown this 27 year old lost his livelihood in a country going through a severe economic crisis. told me i have no right because i'm a palestinian. many of us are graduates the use of kidding your children right. they are not allowed to work there is anger and resentment among the almost 200000 refugees they say they should be given special status and not be treated as foreign workers but many have lost hope in their host country and they're looking for a better life outside lebanon. beirut and refugees and asylum seekers in indonesia struggling many who have escaped already in africa and the middle east

say they've been left in limbo for years waiting for documentation to be braced settled in a new country where. they came to indonesia in hope they could start a new life in australia new zealand or canada but many say they're now stranded. fled the war in afghanistan and 2015 he and his family live in this makeshift shelter without water electricity or basic sanitation and little food. don't have come here my wife has 3. she leaves. i have no money but their food. mohamed is one of 400 refugees sharing this small space in cali do this in west jakarta up to 26 men live in this room using cardboard boxes and plastic sheets to make the floor more comfortable to

sleep on unable to work or study they sit and wait for transit papers or permanent assistance but as conflicts in africa and the middle east continue.