deaths would follow so unfortunate a very grim picture in terms of what this looks like in the absence of action and continued growth next live please this is a complicated slide from the n.h.s. and it shows what the impact of this would be on n.h.s. beds on the left hand side is acute hospital beds and on the right hand side is ventilated beds it's the same curve you've just seen for the 1st peak on the left and then the projection on the right so the projections that i've just shown you lead when the n.h.s. do their bed calculations as peak usage being exceeded on the 20th of november that's obviously not a precise estimate where this would fall on average that the extra available beds would then be exceeded a couple of days later 3 days later and then extra capacity caused by having to perspire going unfortunately all the things that nobody wants to perspire and gets

exceeded some time later in december and a similar picture is seen on ventilator beds where the peak gets. reached at the. towards the end of november or december and the. currently available get breached little bit earlier so this is a picture of what the n.h.s. pressures would look like under the scenarios that are in the 6 week projection. oh thank you very much patrick and thanks chris look i'm afraid no responsible prime minister can ignore the message of those figures and when i told you 2 weeks ago that we were pursuing a local and regional approach to tackling this virus i believed then i still believe passionately that was the right thing to do and because we know the cost of these restrictions the damage they do the impact on jobs and on livelihoods

and on people's mental health and no one wants to be imposing these kinds of measures anywhere and we didn't want to be shutting businesses clubs and restaurants in one part of the country where incidents was was very low and when the vast bulk of the infections were taking place elsewhere and our hope was that by strong local action strong local leadership we could get the rate of infection down where the disease was surging in address the problem that by across the whole country i want to thank the millions of people who've been putting up with these restrictions in their areas for so long i want to thank the local leaders who've stepped up and local communities because as you can see from some of those chants you know that has been kept lower than it would otherwise have been and

there are signs that your work has been paying off and we will continue as far as we possibly can to adopt a pragmatic and a local approach in the months ahead but as we've also seen from those charts we've got to be humble in the face of nature and in this country alas as across much of europe the virus is spreading even faster than the reasonable worst case scenario of our scientific advisors. whose models as you've just seen now suggest that unless we act we could see death in this country running at several 1000 a day a peak of mortality alas bigger than the one we saw in april and as you've just seen even in the southwest where incidence was so low and still is so low it's now

clear though that the current projections mean that hospitals in the southwest will run out of capacity in just a matter of weeks unless we act and at me explain why the overrunning of the n.h.s. would be a medical and a moral disaster beyond the war loss of life because the huge exponential growth in the number of patients by name means all of them elderly by the way would mean that doctors and nurses would be forced to choose which patients to treat who would get oxygen and who wouldn't who would live and who would die. and doctors and nurses be forced to choose between saving patients and non-coding patients and the sheer weight of coded demand would mean depriving tens of thousands if not hundreds of thousands if not millions of known

covert patients of the care they need it's it's crucial to grasp this that general threat to public health comes not from focusing too much on could but from not focusing enough from failing to get it under control and if we let the lines on those graphs grow in the way that they could in the way that they're projected to grow then the risk is that for the 1st time in our lives the n.h.s. will not be that for us and for our families and even if i could no double capacity overnight and obviously i'm proud that we had massively increased best we do have the nightingales you got 13000 more nurses now than we had last year we've got many more doctors but it still would not be enough because the virus

is doubling faster than we can conceivably add capacity and so now is the time to take action because there is no alternative than from thursday until the start of december you must stay at home merely leave home for specific reasons including for education for work that's safe you cannot work from home for exercise and recreation outdoors with your household or on your own with one person from another household for medical reasons appointments and to escape injury or harm to shop for food in essentials and to provide care for vulnerable people or as a volunteer. i'm afraid non-essential shops at leisure and their detainment venue's will be closed they click and click services can continue and essential shops will remain open so there's no need to stock up. pubs bars restaurants

must close except for takeaway and delivery services work places should stay open where people can't work from home for example in the construction and manufacturing sectors single adult households can still form exclusive support bubbles with one other household and children will still be able to move between homes if their parents are separated. if you are clinically vulnerable or over the age of 60 you should be especially careful to follow the rules and minimize your contact with others i know how tough shielding was and we will not ask people to shield again again in the same way but we are asking those who are clinically extremely vulnerable to minimize their contact with others and not to go to work if they are unable to work from home i'm under no illusions about how difficult this will be for businesses which you've already had to endure such hardship this year and i'm

truly truly sorry for that and that's why we are going to extend the furlough system through november the furlough scheme was a success in the spring it's put people in biz's in a critical time we will not end it we will extend furlough until december and that will be some differences compared to much of these measures above or will be time limited starting thursday the 5th of november will end on wednesday the 2nd of december when will seek to ease restrictions going back into the tiered system on a local and a regional basis according to the latest data and trends. christmas is going to be different this year perhaps very different but it's my sincere hope and belief that by taking tough action now we can allow families across the country to be together. my priority our priority remains keeping people in education so childcare

early years settings schools colleges and universities will remain open our senior clinicians still advise that school is the best place for children to be we cannot let this virus damage our children's futures even more than it has already and i urge parents to continue taking their children to school and i'm extremely grateful to teachers across the country for their dedication in enabling schools to remain open and it's vital that we keep provision for normal health care proves going so please and this is this is really important unless you're clinicians tell you otherwise you should continue to use the n.h.s. get your scans turn up for your appointments and pick up your treatments if at all possible we want you to continue to access these services now and through

the winter indeed it's only by taking this action that we can protect the n.h.s. for you on monday i'm going to set out our plans to parliament on wednesday the parliament will debate and vote on these measures which if passed will as i say come into force on thursday. we've got dated the devolved ministrations on the action we're taking in england stand ready to work with them on plans for christmas beyond missing their tuesday prime minister the u.k. announcing rules for england from the 5th of november to wednesday the 2nd of december new essentially a lockdown but not under that name a new measures to keep people to stay at home if possible this time around schools will be kept open and a number of other facilities although most non-essential shops and leisure will be closed and he said that these measures were required because the virus is spreading even faster than even the reasonable worst case scenario let's bring in need barker

has been at monitoring this so 1st we heard from the kind of the figures from the scientists with him and then the prime minister and one of the key headline sources that they are extending help for people as they bring in these new restrictions you know of course i mean one of the key things the british government of course other governments across europe have to weigh up is not only the health of the general population but also the health of the economy as well we know that billions and billions of dollars have been for prop up sectors of the economy all across the whole of europe but given that the 1st scheme whereby the government paid and supported many people during periods of unemployment was coming to an end this will be will come with great relief i think to people knowing now that they're entering a period of lockdown and they do have the support of the government so this isn't just a health issue it's a deeply fundamentally financial one and economic one as well and what about the the the open keeping schools open that's quite a big difference or 2 a full lockdown isn't it you know there was another huge challenge as well during

the 1st obviously only the children of key workers who were allowed to go to school or nurseries and that meant for an awful lot of people they were forced not only to work from home but to look after their children as well or the i've been in touch with countless people that have struggled with zoom calls. bouncing toddlers on their laps also been a huge issue through our but it does appear that the science of the scientists are saying that the safest place for kids to be is essentially in school the 1st places to be allowed to reopen after a lockdown should always be the schools are the last place to close should be the schools to leave the figures we're looking quite serious when they have what they described as a very grim picture of the next 6 weeks if they didn't make it takes some action the chief scientific officer basically said if no action is taken now we could be in a situation within several weeks where we're recording several 1000 deaths

a day he did also say that when the 2nd wave peaks that it could be twice as high if not more than the 1st wave if we do nothing that is why there is such a degree of urgency that is why the prime minister has made this radical u. turn on their strategy which previously was all about local lock downs and all about limiting the possibility of what is now a national law thank you very much indeed. now a greek orthodox priest has been shot and wounded in the french city of the priest was fired on twice as he was closing a church this is affected attacker fled the scene but has now been arrested after authorities locked down the city as it went motors news agency. live in nice and david kind of a shocking series of events in france really. yes

it's a relief for the people who live on that government has been called. that loose 2 shots from his sort of shotgun into the abdomen of the the greek orthodox priest as he was locking his church he was in a terrible condition but he's now in hospital and is being treated but we still don't know whether this should be treated itself as a terrorist incident that is still not clear sawn off shotgun is more the sort of weapon used by gangsters in that city will have to wait and see now is being captured exactly what lies behind the shooting and why it happened but of course in the present tense atmosphere and the anything like that near a christian church does raise suspicions that it was a deliberate attack against a christian symbol david thank you very much indeed. but just as in pakistan's biggest city of burnt effigies of the french president

emanuel mike hall they've been angry protests across several muslim countries all to michael defended the right to mock religion and vowed to crack down on what he calls radical islam and the rally in karachi follows similar protests in capitalism but on friday and hundreds of people have been chanting anti french slogans in the west bank city of ramallah thousands of people also took part in rallies in hebron and east jerusalem earlier this week palestinian shops have been removing french products from the shelves. when your macor sat down with al-jazeera to discuss the wave of anger against him the french president says what he calls radical islam is a threat to everybody including muslims. welcome pauli sentiments in a very i understand the sentiments being expressed and i respect them but you must understand my role right now it's to do 2 things to promote calm and also to protect these rights. click here mostly kozel me what i want to say is very clear

that today in the world there are people who distort islam and in the name of this religion that they claim to defend they kill they slaughter they make speeches justifying a kind of expulsion of human groups from the world today there is violence practiced by some extremist movements and individuals in the name of islam of course this is a problem for islam because muslims are the 1st victims and as i mentioned before more than 80 percent of the victims of terrorism are muslims and this is a problem for all of us. i mean is accusing azerbaijan of using volatile white phosphorous munitions in a go in a car back in violation of international law the ministry of foreign affairs released this video saying civilian areas were near the scene of the attack white phosphorus is considered an incendiary weapon and its use is restricted under international law the disputed region is in as area territory but has been controlled by ethnic armenian forces since 1904 i mean this is this market in the regional capital by the code was attacked by as every forces after talks in geneva

and the collapse of a 3rd ceasefire armenia and azerbaijan agreed not to target civilians deliberately but both sides are accusing each other of breaking that agreement comes as armenians prime minister has asked russia for help in the conflict or a chance is following developments from amin yes capital year of on. nichole pressure on the armenian prime minister whose office you can see across the square behind me tweeted out earlier today that despite the agreement reached not to target civilians and civilian infrastructure since the early morning azerbaijan has resumed its bombing of shushi. the azerbaijan leadership he said is not capable of fulfilling its own commitments and the civilians of new going to care about are his main enemy and target now he was referring to the fact that just yesterday on friday both sides pledged not to target civilian populations and he's saying that

that is exactly what the azerbaijanis have done the armies of also released a couple of video seemingly show the use of white phosphorus and incendiary munition that sends out burning lumps of white chemical full down causing horrendous injuries to anyone who is underneath restricted under international law and he says that the azerbaijanis have been using this against targets in the go on our camera back where there are civilians presence now by john or thorazine that is absolutely not the case that they don't even possess such weaponry which is a restricted under international law we know that's not really the case though because both these sides have been using cluster munitions are also restricted under international law and these sides have been bombing civilian targets with those in the last few weeks i don't know how many days in baquba with more on the

as area government's response to the accusations of using white phosphorous. well there's have said right from the beginning then those accusations were groundless and now just a few minutes ago. the senior aide to president who have earlier has actually tweeted that i mean your rider has use this white phosphorus in the. rooted in the woods around the town of show which their minions refer to as shushi and rory was just talking about this armenia was saying that john did that now earlier in the day the ministry of defense also said that it had intelligence that armenia had moved white phosphorus engine an integral care of us with the aim of creating a pro bowl creation now accusations have been going in both directions about who is doing what and who is actually breaking international law. by johnny point of view . there are civilians that have been targeted the most latest attack was invited

a few days ago 21 people died in that attack in the human rights watch issued a statement on friday saying that indeed armenia hide use cluster bomblets in that attack now as a result says accused of using exactly do same cluster bomblets doors there were no care about something that by john refuses but when it comes to the civilian toll so far as a bridge and has paid the highest prices rose about 91 people killed in the attack invited and then you had to do 2 attacks that happened in a few weeks ago and he's 21 people have been killed in an attack on a village in the democratic republic of congo the army has confirmed an attack in the blue key area of north kivu locally to say armed men carried out the raid on friday evening. rescue workers are racing against time to save people trapped under

the rubble in turkey a powerful earthquake on friday rumbled through the turkish province of izmir and the greek on and of some lost triggering a small tsunami at least 39 people have been killed and hundreds more are injured sin and cos new report. this is the aftermath of the magnitude 7.0 earthquake. many buildings and it's have province collapse within seconds killing dozens of people and injuring hundreds others were buried alive but this woman was pulled out of the rubble 17 hours after to earthquake but there are similar stories throughout as our province. here a mother waits nervously new york cops building a shopping rescue teams find her missing daughter she says she was working at a dental clinic when to earthquakes struck the good i don't know until the dentist

said a couple of workers with him maybe she's there we're waiting willing we will have good news most of the collapsed buildings were apartment blocks is that were built to my nieces my uncles my grandmother and my family lives here including my daughter several families live here and we're waiting hopelessly. we're told the concrete and i don't call ins in this building are a very weak despite the structure being green force 4 years ago it's been less than 24 hours since the earthquake which gives some hope to the victims spell milly's but the longer the search goes on the more difficult it's will be to find anyone alive. there have been more than 470 aftershocks since friday's earthquake in this region of turkey and didn't nearby greek islands have been a warrant this could bring further damage. the turkish red crescent has sent tents bats and food to the region but the pandemic and the need for social distancing

could add yet another challenge to this disaster scene now because so little al-jazeera is made western turkey greece's prime minister has traveled to the island of someone else where 2 people died in friday's earthquake could lead to talkies expressed his condolences to the victims' families and towards damaged areas of the on and to being put under a 6 month state of emergency. and with just 3 days until the u.s. presidential election intensive campaigning is taking place in the key battleground states president donald trump is holding new fewer than 4 rallies in pennsylvania a state he won by the narrowest of margins 4 years ago challenger joe biden has been speaking along side for president barack obama in michigan trump trails in the polls but he's predicting a late surge will deliver him a victory. grid red wave is.

sure sure there sure is we're here together that wave is forming and they see they see it or go. and there's not a thing they can do about it. can be how good is in reading they are said to pennsylvania trump is due to speak soon and trump is really keeping the pace up in the last few days. absolutely he's just landed here at the airport in reading pennsylvania just could even walk in on to the stage just for talking we'll keep that focus and see what happens but you're right this is a critical state for donald trump to win and so as a result he's been making a big investment here 4 different stops in just 10 hours in this battleground state he won it narrowly in 2016 and he's counting on doing it again in that red wave he was referring to of republican support but the challenge is the polls have his rival democratic nominee and former vice president joe biden leading by 5

percentage points so donald trump is hoping that he'll be able to win over voters in this last minute push not some of the issues he's expected to talk about include energy with specifically fracking that's a big economic driver here in this state it provides a lot of jobs what it is is sort of a process for drilling for natural gas this is something that joe biden said that he would get rid of and then change his mind said absolutely not so expect donald trump to hammer in on that issue and sort of show sort of some of the inconsistency is have his opponent also expected to talk about law and order given where in the suburbs outside of philadelphia where there's been rioting and looting this week but once again what donald trump is counting on is enthusiasm and he does lead in the polls. with regard to that and his candidacy his supporters here are very loyal one other fact and donald trump is favors the fact that he has this the fodor's

here have. one of 3 voters have cast their ballot that means that there are a large number of voters that have not yet gone to the polls so donald trump is making the push trying to win them over in the final campaign hours can be how to thank you very much indeed. joe biden is appearing twice in michigan and that's another key swing states for president barack obama now martyr's your super bowl the power to change that country is not for you to learn early in your. i don't care how hard donald trump tries there's nothing let me senator there's no free that he can do to stop the people who station from voted in overwhelming numbers and turn came back this democracy. john hendren is in flint michigan to remind us why this particular state is so important to. well the motorcades are gone the vice

president is gone the former president is gone after their 1st appearance together in this campaign but they picked michigan and they picked these 2 stops for very specific reasons donald trump would have a really hard time winning without michigan he won it by a very narrow margin 0.2 percentage points in 2016 that's about 10000 votes and in the 2 places they're stopping here in flint and in detroit the counties surrounding those 2 locations have about 100000 voters who voted for barack obama but didn't vote for hillary clinton so they can make up the margin that trump won by last time and then if all they do is get people out in there specifically targeting the black vote both of these locations are majority black and they need to get people out to vote for joe biden but they better do it quickly because the populations have been dwindling detroit once had 2000000 people back in the fifty's

now it has 700000 flint a few years back had about 200000 people now it's got half of that but those who remain are upset here in flint about lead in water situation for which they blame republicans and here in michigan they've got a massive covert outbreak a 2nd wave and they're upset with the president about that many of them the governor here has been in a running feud with president trump 13 militia members have been recently been arrested trying to kidnap her because of her harsh crackdown so covert is going to be a major topic both here and in detroit where stevie wonder will join barack obama and joe biden john hendren thank you very much indeed. sean connery that brought james bonds to life on screen has died at the age of 90. the scottish star died peacefully in his sleep in the bahamas connery was the 1st actor to play the

coveted role of secret agent double 07 and went on to star in 7 bond films bringing his career spanned 5 decades and included winning an oscar still matters and 3 golden globes. he was knighted to by queen elizabeth in 2000 for his services to film and on what he called one of the proudest days of his life. well 100000 people have marched in asia's largest gay pride parade the crowd began their rally near government buildings in the taiwanese capital taipei taiwan legalized same sex marriage last year the 1st place in asia to do so it's also largely kept the coronavirus pandemic at bay authorities have not reported a local spread an infection in more than 200 days 7 people have died and before we go a quick reminder that you can catch up anytime on our website address that is our desire dot com and you can also watch us live any time by clicking on the orange

live icon al-jazeera dot com. and one of the top stories here on to syria the u.k.'s prime minister has ordered a national lockdown for all of england set to last until the beginning of december in osman comes as britain suppost more than 1000000 corona virus infections we will get through this but we must act now to contain this autumn's we're not going back to the food scale look down but march and april the measures that i don't mind the less brutal less restrictive but i'm afraid.