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tv   Inside Story  Al Jazeera  December 27, 2020 3:30am-4:01am +03

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represented in keeping with local tradition christian salumi al-jazeera new castle delaware. all the news of course on my website there it is going to spring. for a quick check of the top stories here on al-jazeera nearly 14000000 americans will lose their unemployment benefits within hours on this president donald trump signs of coronavirus relief and spending package trump has refused to sign the bill unless congress extends relief checks from $600.00 to 2000 wasn't jordan explains the impact of the president's decision on the lives of struggling americans short version is that everyone who had been receiving unemployment benefits through this week won't be getting them next week and that's because even if the president were to sign this bill on sunday or on monday well the whole process has
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essentially stopped and it would take the federal government in coordination with state governments some time to really ramp the process back up states can't just give out unemployment benefits because they have to have a balanced budget they basically are the pass through from the federal government to provide these unemployment benefits to the millions of people who desperately need the money a court has ruled that central african republic can press ahead with elections despite violence escalating between government forces and rebel fighters more u.n. peacekeepers of iraq to try to ensure sunday's vote is peaceful federal investigators in the u.s. saw searching a home as they look for clues into the large explosion in the southern city of nashville on christmas day minutes after bearing a recorded warning of what was to come apart motorhome blew up on a street early in the morning 3 people were hurt and about 40 building was damaged
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. 3 e.u. nations of started code with 19 vaccinations a day earlier than the official mass rollout in germany a 101 year old woman was among a small number of people to receive the 1st pfizer by on take jobs back scenes have also been administered to frontline health workers in hungary and slovakia. more than a 1000 refugees and migrants are stranded in a burnt out camp in bosnia herzegovina in freezing temperatures the camp on the corruption border was meant to be a temporary shelter for the summer and was set to be closed on wednesday but politicians in bosnia haven't been able to find an alternative facility to relocate them at least 10000 people are stuck trying to reach western europe. so those were the headlines the news continues here on al-jazeera after inside story stage and thanks for watching for that.
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pushing for independence after bragg's it 1st minister nicola sturgeon says scotland has the right to decide its future she argues the divorce with the e.u. happened against the will of the country so can scotland become independent this is inside story. hello and welcome to the program. after 8 months of negotiations and 7 days before the braggs a deadline the european union and the u.k. finally a trade and security deal british prime minister boris johnson calls it an agreement
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that will how the u.k. take control of its destiny but in scotland pro independence leader nicola sturgeon says it's time for the country to become an independent european nation the 1st minister to it of that's what's happening is against scotland's will in the 2016 brezhnev referendum 62 percent of voters in scotland opt to remain in the you since then calls for independence have grown but boris johnson rejects the demands now sturgeon party is expected to head into next year's elections seeking any a mandate for a 2nd independence vote but will an independent scotland be allowed to join the e.u. . bragg's it's changed the debate over an independent scotland it's been 6 years since scots voted 55 to 45 percent to reject sovereignty in
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a referendum this year polls indicated support for independence of beijing 58 percent that's a tribute to the success of 1st minister nicolas sturgeon in controlling the koran of virus compared to what's happened in england british prime minister barak is johnson has rejected and your referendum saying scotland voted to stay in the u.k. into $1014.00 several a u foreign ministers have made it clear an independent scotland would need to apply to get back in in scotland's capital city edinburgh many describe feelings of fatigue and dismay over brags that even after the deal was reached on christmas eve i think it makes me feel that the because over the past couple weeks it's been just so much hype and misinformation and media happened that it's so easy for the bit that might come and restrictions in terms of food that we have so
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hopefully it will get rid of all of that and get rid of the uncertainty but personally i would prefer scotland's market here so that's the be up to the general debate we're still going to be part of it because i hate breaks and i think it's completely retrograde step one of the year i can remember life before we joined europe and i remember things going better. in every way i think that the feeling of being part of a multinational international. i were looking community i think has been thompson fantastic i've always been very sizeable i buy everything right being in europe. let's introduce the panel in london marcus ain a political commentator and former special adviser of the u.k. home office in brussels carol lin to see you at the center for european policy
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studies and in london jonathan list policy analyst and deputy director of the british influence what come to your know the general sentiment in scotland which seems to be now moving to worse splitting away from the union is it a momentary rejection of bragg's it or a day nomic shift. i think the polls would suggest there has been this sentiment growing over the last year or so i mean breaks it you know we've been talking about this for nearly 4 and a half years now in the u.k. so if the any impact breaks that we would have seen factored in already over the last year you've seen this huge pandemic or for governments that u.k. have been grappling with i think it's given nicholas stoughton much more of a platform it's gotten control his own health service should be a briefing so i think how she seemed to be responding to code it has maybe in
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some people's minds may have made it seem to come across as more of a leader and somebody who potentially could be an independent country but i do you think they are 2 separate things the context has been quite different but the brakes the argument i think has been going on for quite a long time so i'm not sure if there was no deal that would make a bigger impact a bigger difference of course much more damage because that is it you know we'll see what the details are i'm not sure it will make as big a dent into the polls as we've seen. i mean even with the trade deal that is just prevailing sentiment that the scots find themselves in an uncharted territory do you think this is why 0 one of the main reasons why people feel like they have been somehow hijacked by the braggs that architects. yes to some degree but the scots are only a minority or it minority u.k.
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there are about $5000000.00 south if there ever were to be another referendum it would be a referendum from the whole of the u.k. and they said they would have to agree the whole of the u.k. would have to agree but eventually the scottish league. i do not see it or not read but i think let's say we'll have to see 1st how this new wood deal. and how the overall economy how people react to this in the coming weeks and months and then we can see the same other will be in your call if your friend runs in scotland but i'm sure it will not go away because if you look at basically the deal has been about 2 big things goods and services and for goods that will not be customs basically there will be a customs control whether or not he credits or the goods will enter into your case freely and since the u.k. has a great deficit for goods i mean you will see even more goods throwing it you can get for her services on the other hand which is the export product of your game and also the export market of scotland i mean dairy that is do not apply there are all
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the rules which are identical perhaps orders from us exported from the u.k. so i think you could see a lower middle medium term or in the long run some problems for the u.k. company in continuing to export their services certainly to europe and this explains i think the anger of the scots or let me go to jennifer and jennifer at the moment but as johnson announced the trade deal the people in scotland said that the government has betrayed the the scots in the sense that their premium exports now to the you will have to suffer because there will be extra costs and they will definitely have to lose the competitive as the years to have in the past. yes but identity nuts the main reason for scottish anger over the last few years obviously contribute to facts i think it's much more political than economic. so stop there and has been rebuffed in every state for the last 4 and a half years so
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a majority of students as we know you very existence that you're 60 percent that year 8 which is more will then vote is a bigger percentage than very same united kingdom which is any $55.45 so you might say the european union is the move poc in a union of the 2 scotland and the scottish government put forward a proposal to stay in the single market in 2016 and that was dismissed out of her but he can't government which made no effort to compromise whatsoever so the scots have felt that their views have not been taken into account they haven't and now i think is the main reason behind this. for independence which is now running 58 percent in the polls which is very very hard tax institute who are know if you look of the politics no in scotland there is this battle of narratives the independents leaders saying that the trade deal is not good for scotland the conservatives on
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the other hand saying that they'd agreement protects the progress of scotland this narrative itself between the pro independence and those who would like to remain within the union how likely is it to shape the future of scotland and who is likely to prevail. i think it will be an ongoing discussion certainly as we head to the expected lection in may and i think you have to really is ition things differently and have different points of view that you are trying to make in trying to get across you know on the one hand of the union stance the argument which will talk about the fact that actually now is not the time to be talking about independence we already had 4 and a half years of torturous breaks in trying to deal with the pandemic actually because of the united kingdom that we have this furthers theme which is protected
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800000 jobs in scotland with the 1st mother the 1st country in the world have a vaccine which people in scotland are benefiting from so there are arguments around the issue we're facing as a country now to deal with and then you will have the s. and p. side and the nationalist side that will make the case because brixton because of the press that deal has been struck there are not the people who voted against brits that across the whole case isn't just in scotland so is being is slightly image meaning the situation just to think that if you want independent you automatically are all anti bricks that you can be an internationalist or you want to ideally be back in the e.u. but you can also want to be part of the united kingdom it shouldn't be one union against the other so i don't think this kind of simplified argument is really going to cut through with everyone because you know on one hand you're saying you want to join the e.u. but then independence would be leaving the u.k.
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single market and having the custom border potentially the scotland england border it could mean that it couldn't be joining the euro and what would it mean for the common fisheries policy and how that go down with the fishing community because it is not straightforward thing there are many many under many questions around kerala spoke about. the you spoke of the services there were affected by the trade deal and when you when it comes to scotland you have the fisheries and you have a greek culture the seed potatoes exports which are the somehow the pride of the scottish exports the g.d.p. of the country is likely to contract by 66 percent in the upcoming years because of the new political reality isn't this on its own a strong reason for the probably independence movement is scotland to say it's about time to rethink where we stand i would like to move forward. yes these
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projections are holding together part of the for last many years that's enough for the exodus negative so we do have to see how it does not be divided over the country maybe that law enforcement was the city and as the capital of many financial services will suffer a lot but maybe not all the parts will suffer as well one of the bigger parcel of this agreement but also our people and the free movement of people from mainland europe from other european countries could u.k. and we've seen a 10 of these people mostly unskilled labor let's say were very mediocre or for example the agriculture sector will have to see much of what will be the impact of not having so easily cheap labor coming over from europe but also qualified labor which probably will comment much more easily into the u.k. to create an undercurrent agreement may also not find it that undressing any more to come to your carry on if for example european capitals managed to put up a place which will be a financial center which will be competing with a lot of u.k.
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will force yourself but one of the thing that's of which we haven't mentioned is northern ireland i think a lot on the scottish reaction will depend on how the agreement will work and not at night we don't accept that it will be no border between i don't i'm not an outlet was not of the deal but all of you know it's just our last year this has been preserved in this agreement even if some conservatives are against i mean that means or to that base in northern ireland it's part of the. integrity of u.k. is a fact that if this works well for not not not scotland make slowly but certainly be started to say look we want the same you know if you haven't got it right and be on his goods putting it into a concert without any border checks much more easily we'll talk more in detail about all of that island later in the program for the time being jonathan one 1st minister nicholas tows just says that nothing will macaffer what the brig's it takes away from scotland is it imbra on a collision course with westminster. it ups of years and the fundamental problem of
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the governance is they can't say we have the right to our independence right to take back control of the town in our own future but deny that the scottish people was made always very clear. in 2040 there not only would scotland have a bigger say over the running of the u.k. you know there was a famous vow which is made just before the referendum in 2014 on scottish independence which suggested that that be some kind of constitutional v. terry and obviously that never took place so the scottish people have alexis the s.n.p. as the majority party in the last 4 elections 2015 in the general election 2016 in scottish hands lection $27.00 c. in the elections 2019 again in the action and the s.n.p. is that the likely to win a majority again next year so how can he take government possibly do not the
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scottish people what they clearly say they want because they to lead to the party which has an independence referendum as its overarching concern and on the other point it's absolutely just the s.n.p. to say the brics it is a change of circumstance yes it was agreed in 2014 the independence referendum would be for a generation but that was barring any major constitutional changes now bracks it is a major constitutional change and leaving the single market in customs even is even bigger change because that alters the entire economic and commercial infrastructure sort of a no don't you think that this could be the right time to start to rethink the whole constitutional architecture in the u.k. because people in scotland now think it there is absolutely no way we're going to move forward under the same circumstances. yeah i mean i think the debate around
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the constitution has been going on for a while and i think that will just get stronger i know it's concerning a lot of people 'd in westminster and in government and this wish seen in the health fisheries parts of the deal that has just been struck the fisheries of the very small u.k. economy but politically it's really important not just because of the sovereignty argument but also because of the union and the impact on fishing communities in scotland so i think there are will certainly be more thought given to for that evolution of powers as a result of the powers going back in brussels to the united kingdom and beyond and you saw that again from the labor party just last week announcement over. whether workers including for prime minister gordon brown to look at while can be devolved so i think there is a real concern but i still i still don't think about it for years and he should just be seen through the prism as a vote for independence and if people do also go to domestic issues well that went
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back to issues that matter to them look at the opposition in scotland from the labor side it's very weak with david's leaving the conservatives finally got to see what happens there as well so i don't think we can just use you and george to mean for the s.n.p. which gets that very likely to get well magically meet one here instead of once this the remains of a sin because when you look at the recent polls on to see what's happening you get the impression that this absolutely not the case they are most likely to ride the wave on a president of popularity and expand their influence and presence in the parliament for the time being carol give us an idea about the general sentiment among the e.u. leaders about what happens next i think when they have struck the deal with the u.k. they're worth thinking about teaming up with a partner for the future but what happens with that partner breaks up into
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different nations. i think overall a tender sentiment envy your special goal it's a it's a pity. 'd that you had a member which was 47 years a member of the euro has unleashed and it's not the 1st the best number it's a very important country it's the 3rd largest the e.u. order 2nd largest let's say depending on what count you take so it's an important member which we forget which middles let's say and which has played a very important role in framing the you would ask 47 year certainly in the single market and the competition which we haven't seen for service some and certainly for serves as a very important member but also that all of britain and the mastery excuse me or not and that it's something ritualised on the other hand of course i think some will be happy let's say that we have got the union part because of the a few days ago there was a possibility then would be no it has been kept up until almost the last minute we heard i think on christmas eve that there was many people even a few days before dollars that it will be not at least we have really learned
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destructive for a population that is not never one thing that you are missing and you refer to those and i mean the e.u. all is missing a very important security act with the u.k. as part of the e.u. of course you cable me involved and nato and was also involved and nato are many many member states of you are often it will rotate but to form a stronger security actor in europe we will be missing u.k. and we will have to form some form of agreement just not like there's agreement on with the u.k. to strengthen our security for example in the middle east jonathan for the time being a we or boil down to what happens next in scotland just for the sake of further explain the politics in scotland let's map out the political the voting a lot scaped to 2 thirds of those who voted in 2016 said they would like to stay in the douglas ross will find it extremely difficult to reverse the trend of the pro independence sentiment. who do you think will
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shape what happens in the upcoming months is here the greens coming on together with the s.n.p. and saying both together we can till the grand towards our own favor and we will move forward to words a 2nd vote for independence why him yes and he has a commanding lead. in india in scotland let's go polls nicholas dungeon is very popular and she's seen as having managed the current virus price since march that's the boris johnson. all of the political charisma and skill as well i don't think she needs a lot of help and i think that she's on course to win the next election and come head see you just to go back to what most saying a moment ago it's not saying that everyone necessarily suppose independence and they've made the s.n.p. we know that's we know that's the case that you're using the s.n.p.
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a majority in 2014 and they still lost in his referendum but what it does say is that the s.n.p. has a mandate for its major policy which is to have that independence referendum and so as you said the full there is now into a very very difficult period but here is the s.n.p. is going to be elected next year on this platform of holding a 2nd referendum in the lights of massive disruption to the constitutional rule against is going to. london is going to be saying it's not the time you can have the referendum figures overseas because they're worried that they might leave and they're worried about the general disruption that it's irrelevant but the fundamental point is this is going to be a major blow because there is nothing to say that scotland concert have a complete. constitutional crisis if this got over it again and again for referendum in london doesn't get it and what happens that we don't aren't we have few time left here appreciates. from you if you don't mind element. with the end of
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the transitional period what will britta look like in the future. who very big question. but i think now we've seen the parameters of what the deal will look like i think a lot of people will be believed because it's not known to you which was a real concern with me and many of our country i'm sure and i think actually will be looking much more internationally so there's been a lot of focus on the whether it's the iraq and the more immigration i think actually will be looking much more closely and hopefully by cherry tree 6 sharing g 7 that's real cheap to put into practice what we mean when we talk about global written but i think hopefully more internationally its outlook is coming carol i mean no one can ignore ignore the impact of the laws of gravity the republic of ireland issue is deafening going to be pulled to words the european bloc and if not
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an island decides that its benefits will be decided by the a republic of ireland they are more likely to say you know what i think it's about time to join the republic and we'll end up having a united ireland will that be the pivotal moment that will decide the future of britain if this were to happen of course it will be a disaster for britain because they are stopping the conservators have come bendable the devotee of the u.k. but it's something which according to me is very likely to happen in the coming years that won't happen overnight and of coming months it's i think very likely to happen because if they see there's no banker and there is support or with the u.k. then there will be a big difference and yet it was able in practice you know united's jonathan in less than 15 seconds do you think that the breakup of the u.k. is inevitable it is noticeable the scottish people want independence is the right to has already happened emotionally illegal roger i think you have on a very shortly gentlemen thank you very much it is a really appreciate your insights my hossain carol lin. thank you very much indeed
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looking forward to talking to you in the near future. thank you so for watching you can see the program again any time by visiting our web site for further discussion go to our facebook page that's facebook both golf always slash a.j. inside saudi can also join the conversation our handle is inside story for me. the entire team here in doha by phone up. january on al-jazeera it's 10 years since the arab spring sold to bring change to
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the middle east al-jazeera looks into how successful that pollution is what a new documentary series examines history and she takes of drug trafficking and the way states and drug lords abused as an instrument of power and sparks elections a big goal down to around the world hope of returning to normal comes back again to repeat trends constantly changing listening post continues to analyze how the news is coming. to one of the most intense election campaigns the u.s. is set to inaugurate its cool to 6 percent in. january on al-jazeera. what is that they've been doing with the money that it's boring we bring you the stories and developments that are rapidly changing the world we live in seen as congress is debating a bill seeking to raise pillions of dollars from the super rich poor families hit odd by them and counting the cost on al-jazeera. and i had 3
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jobs and now i only have one but i'm soo providing for my family. the 1st time i was admitted to hospital i didn't show any signs of m.s. . and more that but i had about my opinion and then i have become very positive and stop thinking about the negative sides of emptiness and i get on al-jazeera wound he is from living with an x. in egypt. it's the u.k.'s biggest hospital with the eventual capacity for 4000 covert 19 patients built inside a london conference center it took just 9 days to construct with the help of army engineers dramatically expanding the critical care bed count and other similar sites on the way the actual london numbers could be much higher than advertised researches say that huge gaps in testing capacity that the government is now trying
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to close extrapolate that across the country under spread of corona virus appears far wider than anyone thought. hello i'm daryn jordan and with a quick reminder of the top stories here on al-jazeera nearly 14000000 americans will lose their unemployment benefits within hours unless president trump signs a coronavirus relief and spending package trump has refused to sign the bill unless congress extends relief checks from $600.00 to $2000.00 was in jordan's in washington she explains what will happen if the president refuses to sign the bill it's very simple if there is no presidential signature the unemployment funding to the states which it minister unemployment benefits will stop and that means.

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