tv [untitled] June 6, 2021 3:30am-4:01am +03
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since all, but the frustration shouldn't be too bad against civilian drone professionals. there is no link between the 2 and the skyline of paris, his featured in endless movies, commercials and documentaries, but without a compromise soon, the skies will remain empty. poll brennan al jazeera ah talk a quick check of the headlines here. al jazeera correspondent, giovanni jerry has been released after being arrested by israeli security forces. she had been detained in shed gerard, and accused of harassing security forces. and failing to present our credentials claims, baterri and al jazeera strongly denied or after he spoke to baterri just after her release. when they saw all the june, let us hear everything was changed. that may be, she cried. defense her says in 2 minutes everything was changed because of the
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video. everything. yes, yes. and then they said okay, you will be away from for 15 days. but no, i think as we will say, we will go to the call because it's because it was a message for all every, all the units. we kicked it out, we put we put it on hand so everybody will be afraid and nobody will cover. no, we will cover everything goes all the junior fighters in between a fast so have killed at least a $138.00 civilians is the worst attack in the country in years it happened in the village of sol. hand that's closed in jazz. the government's fighting groups linked to al qaeda and iceland, the region. a 1000000 people have been displaced by violence in the past year. the g 7 group of advanced economies as reached a deal to make it harder for multinational companies to avoid tax. that agreed to
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set a minimum global corporate tax rate of 15 percent. the u. k. chancellor ratio sooner described it as historic and i thought was bound in california has been overturned . a federal judge said the restrictions were unconstitutional. the band had been in place for 30 years. california is attorney general says an appeal will be lodged. the 7 candidates competing to become iran's next president have taken part in their 1st televised debate. the candidates were approved by the guardian council event focused on the economy, which has been battered by us sanctions. and humans. government says 17 people have been killed in a missile attack. a petrol station was hit in mid ab information ministers blaming . who's the rebels? a group launched over new defensive against the city in february. well, those were the headlines. the news continues here on our to 0 after inside story station. thanks for watching. by for me.
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the rounds presidential candidates go head to head while angle men about how they were chosen and critic say. the odds have been in the front runners favor as world powers hold talks to revive the 2015 nuclear deal. what impact will this boat have? this is inside story. ah, ah. hello and welcome to the program. i'm peter toby. as he runs presidential candidates whole, the televised debates. there's a much bigger debate about the election itself. only
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a handful of the hundreds of people who applied to run were approved by the election watchdog and the supreme leader, ayatollah ali. how many says some of those rejected work quotes wronged? iranians now have a choice between 7 candidates, 5 so called hard liners and 2 seen as moderates. be contentious elimination processes help the prospects of hard line judiciary chief abraham racy, whose favorite to win. gracie is an ally of the i, a telecom and i. e, but anger about the candidate bands and the weak economy may dent the supreme leaders hopes of a high turn out. i will badge yes because only has thank you, bob. oh no. you someone to give up the judy to participate in the election with absurd reasons. it is the will of the enemies, the enemies of iran, the enemies of islam, and the enemies of religious democracy. al jazeera is as the bags into iran, he says, there is a definite lack of enthusiasm. this presidential election has been notable not for
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many who is standing but who has been disqualified 3 times former speaker of parliament learn. johnny was disqualified by the guardian council. this vetting body, but also the former president. i didn't doubt now. the latter came out and said that he would not be voting for anybody and would be throwing his support behind any candidate. now, yesterday, the supreme need to know how many came out and he said that there had been an injustice done in terms of the guardian council of decision. and we thought that the guardian counsel may reverse this decision, but they stood by it and learned johnny, who was back by margaret, and reformist, is still disqualified, and not allowed to stand. now the frontrunner in this entire election president election campaign is the judiciary chief brian right now he is the establishment choice. he is a conservative, some consider him a hard liner and they have thrown the support behind him. some of the other candidates are not as prominent, not as well known. and there are many here that think that this is
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a done deal that a rhyme, right? you see will become the countries next president. nevertheless, there are still some pressing issues for these candidates to debate. one of the major issues is the economy. inflation is very high, unemployment is high and the economy has been ravaged by us sanctions and day to day. what really affects people here is their livelihood across the cost of goods and finding jobs for younger generation. but one of the main concerns for the establishment though, is voter turnout last year in the parliamentary elections. so the lowest for, to turn out that the start of the revolution in 1959. and there is concern that they will be another, a low voter turnout. now the supreme need to know how many has come out and said that people need to come out duty to come out and vote for the dignity of the country and for the establishment. but as a but so far, we have not seen that much enthusiasm least hair on the streets of thereon.
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the ok, there we are. here we go. let's bring in today's guests. we have journalist and iran affairs analyst, mustafah cost cheshire into iran in washington. we have mark, it's patrick the acting director of the nonproliferation program at the international institute for strategic studies and out of london. an essay by sir. it's a breezy, a senior research fellow and head of the middle east and north africa program at the royal united services institute. welcome to you all my stuff. coming to you 1st with this election. what's at stake? hello, and thanks for having me. as a matter of fact, so after quite a long time, a chairs that honey was in office with one single plan that entail they talked with the united states in order to remove the factions to move forward. and the j. c. p o, a has failed to, you know, meet the expectations of the public. now it seems that those that were the
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proponents of this program are not going to stage a very large tear now, but polls in support of the same view and those that are critical of this be you will be the core of participants in this election. and not only with regard to the candidates, but also with regard to the turn out that we expect. so it could be predicted pretty well that the next administration will be completely different from the one that's roll in the country under president jaime right now. and foreign policy as well as economy and especially economy with experience is strategic and very fundamental shit relying more domestic capabilities as well as expanding ties with the neighbors. they talk with the neighbors as well as expanding ties in the strategic cooperation with latin america, with africa, with china,
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russia and others that are not mainly in the western block. so the countries expect a major shift and say passivity to breezy in london predicted turn up, possibly bottoming out less than 40 percent. 35 percent of people who are polled saying we're not going to vote. what's the point? well, i think we are definitely in a situation in which elections are going to be interesting to watch. we have the previous action in which they do to my see off the republican has very much be linked to the voter turnout. i think in this case, establishment is depicting a different picture which you, that's the continuation that you see. this is what really matters more than water turnout. they have some room of mine over today in terms of obviously cold
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days. and the fact that these can be blamed for their turn out, but really i think people are aware that this is very much leading to, to their offering of the candidates for the debate. and ranges of you is much more limited than before. and that's obviously increase the apathy if you wish, and give interest by the population to participate in this election. i think what is going to be interesting is that seeing the fido who is going to be a prevailing, i'll be very strict range of candidates. and what this will mean more important than before iran to a friend policy posture moving i had bought fitzpatrick in washington on that idea of to ron's foreign policy posture. chances are, all the indicators are that mister honeys about to be replaced with someone who is at a political dna level if you will, hostile to the west. how does that dovetail or not, with the biden administration?
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well, the bind administration will deal with whomever is in power. in iran the administration wants to restore the deal that was struck in 2015 in order to block iran potential pass to a nuclear weapon. and it looks like this deal will be restored, implementation will be tricky, but i think by an administration will provide for enough sanctions relief so as to give the next administration in iran a leg up whoever went to the election is going to benefit from the restoration of the j. c. p a. and one point it's interesting that the binding station was not really in a huge hurry to restore the j. c p. o. a. they didn't want to make unnecessary concessions just in order to get a deal with the roof. honie current administration biden realizes that ronnie will
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be replaced and so let the, let the negotiations continue and however long it takes, but they do want to restore the deal with stuff a construction there into iran. was there as much surprise into iran as there was across the region. when mr. lottery, johnny was barred because he so well connected. it's part of his political bone marrow. he's well connect. 50 knows all the top people you've got to do that. you've got to be that person, and yet the guardian council said no, you should not, you will not stand. oh, there were some surprise at the beginning, but later when we came to know that there were 3 reasons that his he was not qualified and was not in the final list of 7. mainly the 1st reason which was mentioning that he came on their attack and his reputation with babich for that was
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his daughter's residence and citizenship in the united states, which came to be not true actually later. and what the rainy leader asked yesterday was asking the uranium media, the intelligence ministry, and every one to extend an apology to a lot johnny, for this reason though, he was not wild if i could never qualified for 2 other reasons actually. so the decisions the same off the wrong reason actually was being mentioned among the public. that's why the reading and either asked every one to extend an apology. but considering that a lot johnny, which is kind of honeys logic and rationale towards foreign policy and economy. he would not actually have much of a chance to win the election unless the election season would go to polar and, you know, unless for the basketball,
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mrs. the principal is or the revolutionary cap lot. johnny would not have a good chance to win this election. and he said to breezy, is it wrong to describe iran? forgive me if the sons overly simplistic. is it wrong to describe iran as a course democracy? last time there was an election 2017. more than 1000. 600 people put themselves forward to be candidates. the guardian council chose 7 people. so point number one is the word democracy wrong and point number 2, who actually runs the country? well, i mean, i think we wouldn't need to stay here for hours to talk of the structure of the iranian system. but i think simply put, you ronnie's and he's let me republic. so i think the best definition of how you run works is a mix of islamic component and a mix offer public component. in some cases that one dominates versus the other.
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and i think in these particular elections that have been probably a lot of consideration about what are the republican components have been taken enough into account compared to the past. but because obviously the restriction that we have heard of also when, when it comes to any thought or candidates have been perceived. that even within the, i would say those within the publish mode as to restrictive even for that you know, mac republic consideration. so i think obviously, you know, it's doubles between these 2 criteria and i think these is what makes it very complicated that very difficult to understand, but also very difficult to predict in which direction i would go in terms of the outcome of the election. but also in terms of sense, the mexico internationally marks, it's patrick in washington. how much momentum is there in know the 5th going into the 6 thrown of talks about the 2015 nuclear deal?
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or maybe i framed that question the wrong way. how much inertia is there within that process? because the reality surely is that t, ron terran, has made its own advances. and once you accept that, you can't on see it, you can't not know about that. so the negotiations have been proceeding in an orderly fashion and sometimes the one participant, or another, talks about with optimism about the progress as that has been made. but as i see it, there are still some considerable sticking points and negotiations won't be completed until one side or the other fundamentally changes its posture. and this regards a couple of things, but most importantly on the issue of sanctions, iran has been demanding that all sanctions imposed by president tub be removed. he had over 1500 designations of people and entities put on the tertiary
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blacklist. now some of these people and entities were put on there for very legitimate reasons involving their human rights violations, their interference and us elections, their support for terrorist groups, sometimes the, the counter terror come to terrorism designations where are kind of a sham because the real purpose was to impede tom successor from restoring the j. c . p. o. a biden has said as team has said that all sanctions that are inconsistent with restoring the j. c. p o, a will be removed, but they're not going to remove sanctions on people who interfered in the u. s. c. election or who slaughtered hundreds of iranian demonstrators. so if the ron insist that all sanctions be removed, they're going to have to artfully read the 5. what all means and i don't think the iran leadership is ready to do that. maybe until after the election. they don't
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want to have any big news that might impede what looks like a coordination of, of you know, right. you see this is a sham election and you know, they needed to proceed without incident. and then afterwards they can allow the negotiations to be completed. must offer on that idea that there's a change of posture has to come from somebody someplace or you somebody has to blink 1st. we don't have ours on the show to drill down into who actually runs the country. so would the guardian council go with the idea of reform, or a change of posture? if whoever replaces ro, honey said, that was a good idea because article 4 of your countries constitution, correct me if i'm wrong here, article for of your countries constitution says this, that the all laws, all new reforms or changes have to be islamic. and it's the guardian council that decides whether new laws are or, or not, islamic, or the j. c,
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p. o. it has already been approved by the parliament and guardian council. it's, you know, iranian foreign policy be under the constitution. the strategic goals are specified by the uranium leader, but the government, the government are very much effective on this path because the iranian leader has proved to be working with and the kind of government from reformers part. i mean to hon. you're at the shop. they offer their strategies to the leader and he works with them the same way that he allowed to honie to start jason a lot. but i am that semester was the result. and he has been true to be right in every aspect. so basically speaking, if they strike a deal with the honey administration, and i believe they have their best shot now. and if the next government comes, they don't care really much for what the us ones. it doesn't mean that they will be radical. they want to increase patients know, of course not what we see right now in the 1st presidential debate on economies
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telling us that they have a well detailed plan in order to diffuse the un sanctions in order to be the u. s. containment strategy. what the us actually donald trim and bided. they had been building up or layered of similar identical sanctions with concerning data results of these factions. and they want to strike the nuclear deal and get back to the deal again. okay. only remove one of them in a way that it doesn't work. you would not be released from the pressure sanction. and they want to get more and more and more from your running, you know, miss island, this regional power and so on. so for iran knows that 3 d, well that's why no matter who ruled the country, you launch the all these sanctions after the j. c, p o, a should be removed here. okay. be given, it will come on to the saying that i make it very valid point because that's why
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the middle classes have suffered. and that's why the economy suffered. and that's why the currency has suffered as well. and se procedure, it's a breezy in london. if it is mister, right, you see he's on already a us designated list of being rather how can i put it delicately questionable? how do you get everyone else involved in this process to get the j. c, p. o a back up and running with a good healthy heartbeat. how do you talk to a president who's on a us list of people that we don't like? well, i think that's a very good question, but i think the assessment here is that to deal would be red resume before then new precedent would be elected. so we are talking a very, very strict timeline. it's true that there are still a lot of speaking points, but there is also that, that my in for the agreement between iran and the i e, which expires on the 24th of june. so i think there is
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a lot of push for getting something done, if not before the elections, at least before the expiration of these newly renewed agreement, which obviously causes a lot of concerns for the us european countries in particular. and i think the idea is to have the agreements signed and noun, so then and then implemented between june and august. so before the new president come see johnny speaking, i think it's going to be challenging for us to engage with the new president. if not on the front. i mean, we already have to look at god for instance, which is a, for of a bad the no money to fix it as $1.00 of the potential for the 2 sites are to engage . not often, i don't care, you should, but also a broader issue. so i think there is going to be a broader question mark about how the us will be able to engage with the wrong but obviously right. you just want the her and the $33.00 is not the one that normally
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engages in. make sure we have specific people who are busy committee to negotiate and use to our knowledge are not appointed yet. we don't know if that will be if it is, if at all. okay. but it's patrick coming back to you in washington. i'm sure must offer into iran. would mind me paraphrasing what he had to say in his last on. so to my last question, when he was talking, he was basically saying that there is a certain optimism and a certain desire to engage with this process again. but what if, despite whoever becomes iranian president, what if the iranians then say, actually, dear fellow interlocutors, we want to talk about a missile capabilities, because correct me if i'm wrong, him up the original j. c. p o, a. when it was all contract, the 20142015, they were very, very clever because they took mis style ambition and they kind of put that on the back burner. and they said, no, this is about generating nuclear power. this is about meeting your power, energy requirements, 1st and foremost,
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and there are other issues which we can talk about down the line. so the binding administration and his european partners definitely want to get on to other issues after the j. c. p. o is restored, they want to talk about iran missiles and the missiles that iran has been sending to its partners like come off, which range them down on israel. this is a big issue throughout the western world. iran so far has said that it won't talk about these other issues, but, but the supreme leader did say that if the united states, we establish or establish this trust by implementing the j. c, p o, a, and it can be verified. then he opened the door to talking about other issues. i think it will be 2 rounds advantage. and iran already is talking with saudi arabia, of course, about yemen and possibly other regional issue. so, you know, i think there are, there will be avenues to engage with the right. maybe not with my mr. i. you see,
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who is a murderer. but with his foreign minister, the united states does deal with, with orange of government and other countries, myself across trash and into iran. you shaking your head. i just want to move on to a slightly different area in our discussion today. assuming for a 2nd, despite a low turn, despite a record low turn up, possibly if it dicks below 40 percent, that will arguably strengthen home and ease position at home. given that how much trust will then flow from tehran to washington, wrapped up in an expectation that washington will give to iran what it wants up here, give me. oh, give me a minute. it's it all. i'm truly sorry to hear that one of the guess is insulting my country. i'm sorry, and the election in my country and me myself. the rainy people by calling one of
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the presidential candidates murder of calling. the system of election in iran is a sham. you know, when you have the presidential election in the united states with donald trump that everyone knows, we still respect that you and your system of election. nobody would allow a 1000 people to go. busy or, you know, the vote and people would be confused to do with 1000 people, especially considering that they need to have enough time. there was this big one, tv channels and on the internet and so on, so forth. so it's not possible to give a 1000 people the chance, similar chances to represent their ideas. so entry has a system under where they have to. i'm going to have to interrupt you there for which i sincerely apologize in 10 seconds. how much trust is there now into iran? aimed at america? nothing. absolutely nothing. but united states performance with regard to j. c. p.
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o, a has made uranium ship their idea about who should run the country. the ranges are not on the park. there's like a party, they'd like to figure, and now the figures that i see on tv presenting a well detailed part about the economy and how to deal with the united states. vivian rationally and courageously. i believe there was when the election because they have a well detailed plan that would end this deadlock with the united states eventually . okay, we must leave it there. thank you so much to i guess they will stop. i caution mark it's patrick and se bassetti to breezy and thank you to for your company. you can see the program again. any time here. our web site al jazeera dot com, and for more discussion, go to our facebook page. that's facebook dot com, forward slash ha, inside story. we're on twitter. of course. our handle is ha insights for me, peter, adobe, and everyone on the team here. and thanks for watching. we will see you very soon. for the moment i
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. never forget canada's dark secret on al jazeera. there is no channel that covers world views like we do, we revisit places, mistake. i'll just say we're really invest in that. and that's a privilege as a journalist, lose . ready hello, i'm down, jordan and dough. with a quick reminder at the top stories here now, jesse reporter has been released from custody after being arrested by israeli security forces. this is when giovanni baterri emerged from these railey police station and occupied east jerusalem. she'd been arrested in check gerard accused of harassing security forces. not presenting her credentials claims, but jerry and al jazeera strongly deny. well this was the moment, but jerry was beaten and arrested.
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